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Thèses sur le sujet « Business cycles – Europe »

Auteur : Grafiati

Publié le 10 mars 2023

Mis à jour le 31 juillet 2025

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1

Kernen, Joakim. "Trends, cycles and institutions : -Job polarization and the business cycle in Europe." Thesis, Uppsala universitet, Nationalekonomiska institutionen, 2018. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-367063.

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This thesis studies the cyclical aspect of job polarization in Europe. Contributions include offering a comparison to the findings of previous research on the United States, and extending the analysis by introducing labor market institutions. The analysis is done in two parts, first showing that the observed link between job polarization and jobless recoveries in the US is observed in Europe, but not across all countries and business cycles. In Scandinavia, the process of job polarization appears smoother than the spurts observed in the US. The second part involves regression analyses of the r

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2

Phelps, Peter. "Euro area enlargement and the prospects for business cycle synchronisation of Central and Eastern European countries." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 2013. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.648101.

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3

Belo, Daniel Filipe Tiago. "Tax policy stance over the business cycle: evidence from Europe." Master's thesis, NSBE-UNL, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10362/11524.

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A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Economics from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics<br>We contribute to the literature addressing the cyclical behavior of tax policy. Most recent studies have relied on tax revenues and adjusted measures of tax collections to analyze this issue. We argue that such methodology is insufficient to characterize tax policy cyclicality, as tax revenues move endogenously with the business cycle. Consequently, this topic is revisited by making use of the policy instrument, tax rate, as opposed to the pol

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4

Boewer, Uwe. "Synchronisation of business cycles in the enlarged European Union." Diss., lmu, 2007. http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:19-65057.

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5

Silva, Ricardo Fernando Ferreira Reis da. "Nonlinearities and synchronization of business cycles : a novel approach." Master's thesis, Universidade de Aveiro, 2009. http://hdl.handle.net/10773/1772.

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Mestrado em Economia<br>Esta dissertação estuda os padrões de sincronização de ciclos económicos numa amostra composta por 18 países desenvolvidos e a Zona Euro ao longo do período 1970:1-2008:1. Para realizar este estudo, propomos um novo modelo de componentes não observáveis multivariado com markov-switching e interdependência de estados variável no tempo, no qual a sincronização é modelizada como uma componente comum variável no tempo entre os ciclos económicos. Para estimar o modelo, desenvolvemos um filtro de Kalman adequado, que permite a projecção das componentes não observáveis e a est

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6

Malek, Mansour Jeoffrey H. G. "Three essays in international economics." Doctoral thesis, Universite Libre de Bruxelles, 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/210878.

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This thesis consists in a collection of research works dealing with various aspects of International Economics. More precisely, we focus on three main themes: (i) the existence of a world business cycle and the implications thereof, (ii) the likelihood of asymmetric shocks in the Euro Zone resulting from fluctuations in the euro exchange rate because of differences in sector specialization patterns and some consequences of such shocks, and (iii) the relationship between trade openness and growth influence of the sector specialization structure on that relationship.<p><p>Regarding the approach

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7

Crespo, Cuaresma Jesus, and Octavio Fernandez-Amador. "Business cycle convergence in EMU: A first look at the second moment." Elsevier, 2013. http://epub.wu.ac.at/4128/1/JIMF_TP.pdf.

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We analyse the dynamics of the standard deviation of demand and supply shocks as well as of the demand component of GDP across countries in the European Monetary Union (EMU). This analysis allows us to evaluate the patterns of cyclical comovement in EMU and compare them the cyclical performance of the new members of the EU and other OECD countries. We make use of sigma-convergence methods to identify synchronization patterns in business cycles. The Eurozone has converged to a stable lower level of dispersion across business cycles during the end of the 80s and the beginning of the 90s.

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8

Holm, Louise. "A non-stationary perspective on the European and Swedish business cycle /." Göteborg : Dept. of Economics, School of Business, Economics and Law, Göteborg University, 2007. http://hdl.handle.net/2077/4445.

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9

Ugembe, Mendita Arnaldo. "Similitude das estruturas produtivas e ciclos económicos na União Europeia." Master's thesis, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/11418.

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Mestrado em Economia Monetária e Financeira<br>Este trabalho tem como objetivo analisar a importância empírica da similitude das estruturas produtivas na sincronização dos ciclos económicos de 20 países da UE entre 2000 e 2007. A similitude das estruturas produtivas é medida através do índice de especialização de Krugman e do comércio intra-ramo (CIR), feito o controlo de outras variáveis que poderão também contribuir para o fenómeno em apreço, como a adesão ao euro. Relativamente à literatura anterior, testamos a importância de distinguir o comércio intra-ramo por tipos, designadamente se o e

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10

FRENDA, ANTONIO. "Estimating Business Cycle: from Bandpass Filters to Eurocoin Approach." Doctoral thesis, Università degli studi di Bergamo, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/10446/26712.

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New Eurocoin (NE) is a synthetic and up-to-date statistics measure of the Euro-Area conjuncture. The target of NE is the medium to long-run component of the Euro Area GDP growth, that is published monthly by the Bank of Italy and CEPR. Estimations of NE are obtained through the generalized dynamic factor model. It is a well-known result in the literature isolating the business cycle in integrated series that band-pass filter could deteriorate at the end of the sample, being less reliable for the most recent data. This is very relevant for economic policy. Altissimo, Cristadoro, Forni, Lippi,

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11

Tondl, Gabriele, and Iulia Traistaru-Siedschlag. "Regional Growth Cycle Convergence in the European Union." Europainstitut, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, 2006. http://epub.wu.ac.at/568/1/document.pdf.

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This paper investigates the patterns and determinants of the co-movement of economic activity across regions in the European Union. Using a panel data of 208 EU-15 regions over the period 1989-2002 we estimate a system of four simultaneous equations to analyse the impact of regional trade integration, specialization and exchange rate volatility on correlations of regional growth cycles with the Euro area. We find that deeper trade integration with the Euro area had a strong direct positive effect on the synchronisation of regional growth cycles with the Euro area. Industrial specialisation and

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12

Sembenelli, Alessandro. "Industrial organization studies on market power and European integration." Thesis, University of East Anglia, 2000. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.323264.

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13

Ozberki, Izzet Mehmet. "Is The Turkish Equity Market Integrated With European North American And Emerging Markets." Master's thesis, METU, 2010. http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12611962/index.pdf.

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Modern portfolio theory stipulates that an investor can reduce systemic risk simply by diversifying its assets across national boundaries. Therefore, the issue of whether stock markets are cointegrated carries important implications for portfolio diversification. This study aims to identify and model a relationship between four equity markets namely, Turkish, European, North American and emerging markets using cointegration technique. We investigated the existence of cointegrating equation between four stock market indices and also the existence of a structural break. During our investigation,

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14

Zhang, H. E. "The sustainability of European Monetary Union : evidence from business cycle synchronisation, monetary policy effectiveness and the Euro fiscal dividend." Thesis, University of Bradford, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10454/7319.

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EMU as the only functioning single currency area has been criticised as a non-optimal currency area since the Treaty on European Union was signed. Despite this, it has been seen as, probably, the most complete economic project that has ever been conducted by any group of governments. Through Dynamic Factor model and Panel VAR method, we are focusing on the issues of business cycle synchronisation, effectiveness of ECB monetary policy and the euro fiscal dividend, thus to advances the current studies on EMU through assessing whether it can be a sustainable system. For example, whether economic

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15

Blessing, Jochen [Verfasser]. "Monetary and fiscal policy interaction in the enlarging European Economic and Monetary Union : Essays on business cycles and welfare / Jochen Blessing." Berlin : Freie Universität Berlin, 2009. http://d-nb.info/1023496828/34.

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16

Chang, Michele M. "Crisis and credibility in the European monetary system /." Diss., Connect to a 24 p. preview or request complete full text in PDF format. Access restricted to UC IP addresses, 1998. http://wwwlib.umi.com/cr/ucsd/fullcit?p9902292.

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17

Soares, Tiago de Menezes. "Comércio e ciclos na União Monetária Européia." Universidade de São Paulo, 2007. http://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/12/12138/tde-18102007-133226/.

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O objetivo deste estudo é investigar, através do estimador de diferenças em diferenças, se a adoção da união monetária européia ampliou tanto o comércio quanto a correlação bilateral dos ciclos econômicos entre seus membros, em comparação com outras economias da OCDE. A evidência apresentada sugere ser esse o caso, nos indicando que a união monetária, como processo último das teorias de integração, pode não ser um fim, mas sim um meio para o alcance da integração entre as economias.<br>The goal of this paper is to investigate, by means of a simple difs-in-difs technique, whether the adoption o

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18

Rodrigues, Miguel João de Figueiredo. "Business Cycle Synchronization Between the Euro Area and The Central and Eastearn European Countries Member States of The Eu: A Markov switching Regime Model Approach." Master's thesis, Faculdade de Economia da Universidade do Porto, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/10216/49826.

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19

Rodrigues, Miguel João de Figueiredo. "Business Cycle Synchronization Between the Euro Area and The Central and Eastearn European Countries Member States of The Eu: A Markov switching Regime Model Approach." Dissertação, Faculdade de Economia da Universidade do Porto, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/10216/49826.

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20

Janeček, Daniel. "Konvergence hospodářských cyklů mezi eurozónou a novými členskými státy." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2008. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-10375.

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The paper examines the degree of convergence between the business cycles of the new EU member states and eurozone. This convergence is a necessary condition for a troublefree operation of a monetary union. Several analyses have been used to assess the problem -- pure time series correlation, correlation of detrended time series and of lagged series, and above all impulse-response functions correlation and forecast error variance decomposition. Finally, the paper briefly assesses the evolution of business cycles convergence.

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21

Polonyankina, Tatiana. "Má hospodářský cyklus dopad na vliv imigrace na evropský trh práce?" Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2013. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-165416.

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The thesis tests whether the impact of immigration on native workers differs depending on the business cycle. Previous studies proved that labour mobility and the effect of immigration differs with respect to the business cycle. For the expansionary years was found a sizable relocation of native workers to occupations with more interactive rather than manual content as a response to immigration. This is no longer the case for economy in recession period. However, there is null impact on native employment that does not change with the business cycle. The results were found for Spanish labour ma

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22

Fischerová, Veronika. "Politické cykly: Kupují si politici hlasy voličů vyššími výdaji?" Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2015. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-193072.

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The present thesis is concerned with the existence of political cycles in European Union member states between 1990 and 2013. These cycles are of two types: political business cycles and political budget cycles. The analysis was performed by means of the fixed effects method (using first differences) along with a visual analysis of data. The results obtained from three types of data sets show that two years before elections, inflation grows at 0.47%, unemployment rate at 0.5%, and structural balance at 0.8%. One of the data sets reveals that structural balance is reduced by 0.39% in election y

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23

RIVOLTA, GIULIA. "ESSAYS ON MONETARY POLICY AND CYCLICAL CONVERGENCE IN THE EURO AREA." Doctoral thesis, Università degli Studi di Milano, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/2434/256711.

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This work contributes to the literature about the Euro-area monetary policy analysing the effects of unconventional measures, the conduct of monetary policy by the European central bank and the effects of the crisis on the economic structures of member countries. The first chapter deals with the effects of unconventional monetary policy measures implemented since 2007 to cope with the financial and sovereign debt crisis. The focus is on government bond yields as they as they became the direct expression of the sovereign debt crisis in the Euro area, and it deals with two aspects of the transm

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24

Alouini, Olfa. "Country size, growth and the economic and monetary union." Doctoral thesis, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.18452/16609.

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Der Zweck dieser Arbeit ist es, die Beziehung zwischen die Größe des Landes und das Wachstum auf internationaler Ebene und vergleichsweise in der Wirtschafts-und Währungsunion zu untersuchen und erarbeiten ihre Folgen für das Verhalten der wachstumsorientierte Finanzpolitik. Um ein globales Verständnis des Zusammenhangs zwischen Größe des Landes und das Wachstum in der EWU weiter verfolgen wir einen interdisziplinären Ansatz, einschließlich der makroökonomischen Modellierung (DSGE), Ökonometrie und Analyse der politischen Ökonomie. Die Kombination dieser Untersuchungen schließen wir, dass die

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25

GARNIER, Julien. "Aspects of business cycle transmission in Europe." Doctoral thesis, 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/1814/4932.

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Defence date: 28 February 2006<br>Examining board: Prof. Mike Artis, supervisor, EUI ; Prof. Anindya Banerjee, EUI ; Prof. Lionel Fontaigné, CEPII, Paris ; Denise Osborne, University of Manchester<br>First made available online on 21 August 2019

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26

Farroukh, Abed El Karim. "Business Cycles and Stock Market Returns Predictability Evidence from Continental Europe." Master's thesis, 2016. https://repositorio-aberto.up.pt/handle/10216/83704.

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Farroukh, Abed El Karim. "Business Cycles and Stock Market Returns Predictability Evidence from Continental Europe." Dissertação, 2016. https://repositorio-aberto.up.pt/handle/10216/83704.

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Gonçalves, Daniel Fernandes. "Business cycle dynamics across Europe: a cluster analysis." Master's thesis, 2016. http://hdl.handle.net/10071/13216.

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JEL Classification: E32, E37<br>This dissertation aims to analyze the dynamics of business cycles across European countries between 1960Q1 and 2016Q1. For such purpose we identify country-groups of national deviation cycles through Hierarchical Agglomerative Clustering with the Ward’s method. The clustering technique suggests the existence of three country-groups, which include, aside from other countries, France and Spain in Cluster 1, United Kingdom and Denmark in Cluster 2 and Germany and Italy in Cluster 3. We execute an extensive analysis on business cycle stylized facts, synchroniz

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MUSSO, Alberto. "An analysis of the Euro area business cycle." Doctoral thesis, 2005. http://hdl.handle.net/1814/5016.

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Defence date: 18 November 2005<br>Examining Board: Prof. Mike Artis, supervisor ; Prof. Anindya Banerjee ; Prof. Denise Osborn, University of Manchester ; Prof. Gabriel Perez Quiroz, Economic Bureau of the President, Madrid<br>First made available online 5 September 2016

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30

Peng, Ciao-Ting, and 彭巧婷. "The European Business Cycle : a perspective in unemployment rate." Thesis, 2013. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/f4kkv6.

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碩士<br>淡江大學<br>產業經濟學系碩士班<br>101<br>After the global financial turmoil, the euro-zone countries resulting in rising unemployment and other issues in recent years, issues related to the unemployment rate more attention. And comparison to other financial indicators, the unemployment rate can be described by the characteristics of the labor market. This study would like to know whether the euro area member states tend to cyclical fluctuations in consistency because monetary union strategy to achieve the effect of regional integration and an enabling environment for the formation of the single curre

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Rubina, Stanislav. "Assessment of Czech and European Business Cycle Co-movements." Master's thesis, 2013. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-167696.

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32

Zienius, Rimas. "Economic growth and business cycles movements in Baltic and Western European countries." Master's thesis, 2018. http://hdl.handle.net/10773/31500.

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The present dissertation has as main goal analyze the differences of economic growth dynamics between Baltic countries and Western European countries. With this purpose data from OECD database was studied for the countries of Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Germany, France and United Kingdom. The analyzed period was the years from 1995 to 2017. The research consists of two main parts: analysis of the business cycle stages and the factors that affect GDP growth in Baltic and Western European countries. To identify business cycles stages we used the Hodrick-Prescott Filter and for the identification

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Böwer, Uwe [Verfasser]. "Synchronisation of business cycles in the enlarged European Union / vorgelegt von Uwe Böwer." 2007. http://d-nb.info/983270899/34.

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Gonçalves, Telma Catarina Martins. "A liquidez do mercado acionista antecipa o ciclo económico na Europa?" Master's thesis, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/10071/11619.

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Classificação JEL: E32, G10<br>Pode a liquidez do mercado acionista antecipar a evolução do ciclo económico na Europa? A análise empírica, que incidiu sobre sete países europeus no período entre 1992 e 2012, sugere que a liquidez contém informação relevante sobre a evolução da economia. Verifica-se que a liquidez enfraquece antes da economia abrandar. Esse efeito é mais pronunciado quando se considera a liquidez de empresas de pequena dimensão, como se comprova para as empresas constituintes do Índice STOXX Europe 600 (STOXX 600). Em todos os ensaios empíricos realizados verificou-se uma rel

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Rodrigues, Miguel João de Figueiredo. "Business Cycle Synchronization Between the Euro Area and The Central and Eastearn European Countries Member States of The Eu: A Markov switching Regime Model Approach." Master's thesis, 2007. https://repositorio-aberto.up.pt/handle/10216/112873.

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Rodrigues, Miguel João de Figueiredo. "Business Cycle Synchronization Between the Euro Area and The Central and Eastearn European Countries Member States of The Eu: A Markov switching Regime Model Approach." Dissertação, 2007. https://repositorio-aberto.up.pt/handle/10216/112873.

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Paredes, José Alberto Martins. "Factos estilizados do ciclo de negócios na União Europeia 28 : uma análise comparada da República Checa, Alemanha, Itália, Holanda, Portugal e Reino Unido." Master's thesis, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/23611.

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Este trabalho tem como principal objetivo identificar as principais diferenças e semelhanças dos factos estilizados do ciclo de negócios das economias de 6 Estados Membros da União Europeia 28 – República Checa, Alemanha, Itália, Holanda, Portugal e Reino Unido – no período 1995-2015. A visão do ciclo de negócios assumida é neoclássica e Nova Keynesiana: o ciclo de negócios corresponde a flutuações de curto prazo da atividade económica em torno da sua tendência de longo prazo; as flutuações são causadas, na sua maioria, por choques do lado da procura e o mecanismo de propagação assenta, princi

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Δημητρακοπούλου, Μαρία. "Ασυμμετρίες και διάχυση των οικονομικών κύκλων στη διευρυμένη Ευρώπη". Thesis, 2006. http://nemertes.lis.upatras.gr/jspui/handle/10889/3830.

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Στην παρούσα εργασία επιχειρούμε να διερευνήσουμε το βαθμό στον οποίο οι οικονομικοί κύκλοι μεταξύ των χωρών-μελών στη διευρυμένη Ευρωπαϊκή Ένωση των 25 χωρών εμφανίζονται ή όχι συγχρονισμένοι και επιπλέον εξετάζουμε την πιθανότητα ύπαρξης ασυμμετριών. Το θεωρητικό πλαίσιο της ανάλυσής μας στηρίζεται στη Θεωρία της Άριστης Νομισματικής Περιοχής, στην οποία αναφερόμαστε εκτενώς, παρουσιάζοντας τόσο την παραδοσιακή όσο και τη σύγχρονη προσέγγισή της, ενώ παράλληλα θίγουμε και το ζήτημα της ενδογένειας των κριτηρίων. Στη συνέχεια, παραθέτουμε αναλυτικά ένα σημαντικό μέρος της σύγχρονης εμπειρικής

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FOUŇOVÁ, Michaela. "Postup při zpracování a realizaci projektu v rámci Strukturálních fondů." Master's thesis, 2008. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-49754.

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The main aim of this dissertation is to provide a practical guide for entrepreneurs in the field of structure funds EU, describing of necessary information, which are important in area of project preparation, administration, realization and finalization. This guide should contribute to easier orientation of applicants in the structure funds area, improve quality of submitted projects and in consequence increase amount of drawing from structure funds EU in the Czech Republic.

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NORDI, FRANCESCA. "ESSAYS IN PUBLIC ECONOMICS AND POLICY." Doctoral thesis, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/11570/3117245.

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Spatial interaction in local expenditures among Italian municipalities: evidence from Italy 2001-2011 - I estimate a spatial autoregressive dynamic panel data model, using information on 5,564 Italian municipalities over the period 2001-2011, exploiting their border contiguity as a measure of spatial neighborhood. I find a positive and statistically significant effect of neighboring expenditures on total, capital and current expenditures of a given municipality. These results are robust to the use of alternative weighting matrices for the definition of spatial neighbors and also when I employ

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