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Littérature scientifique sur le sujet « Climate vulnerability assessment »

Auteur : Grafiati

Publié le 1 mars 2025

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Articles de revues sur le sujet "Climate vulnerability assessment"

Onyeneke, Robert Ugochukwu, Chukwuemeka Chinonso Emenekwe, Jane Onuabuchi Munonye, Chinyere Augusta Nwajiuba, Uwazie Iyke Uwazie, Mark Umunna Amadi, Chibuzo Uzoma Izuogu, Chukwudi Loveday Njoku et Louis Uchenna Onyeneke. « Progress in Climate–Agricultural Vulnerability Assessment in Nigeria ». Atmosphere 11, n^o 2 (11 février 2020) : 190. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos11020190.

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An in-depth understanding of the impact of vulnerability on livelihoods and food security is important in deploying effective adaptation actions. The Nigerian agricultural sector is dominated by rainfed and non-homogenous smallholder farming systems. A number of climate change risk studies have emerged in the last decade. However, little attention has been given to vulnerability assessments and the operationalization of vulnerability. To highlight this shortcoming, this study systematically reviewed climate-change-focused vulnerability assessments in the agricultural sector by evaluating (1) variation in climate variables in Nigeria over time; (2) the state of climate change vulnerability assessment in Nigerian agriculture; (3) the theoretical foundations, operationalization approaches, and frameworks of vulnerability assessments in Nigeria; (4) the methods currently used in vulnerability assessments; and (5) lessons learned from the vulnerability studies. We used a linear trend of climatic data spanning over a period of 56 years (1961–2016) obtained from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency and the Climate Research Unit of the University of East Anglia, United Kingdom, along with a systematic review of literature to achieve the objectives. The analysis indicates a significant and positive correlation between temperature and time in all major agro-ecological zones. For precipitation, we found a non-significant correlation between precipitation in the Sahel, Sudan, and Guinea Savanna zones with time, while the other zones recorded positive but significant associations between precipitation and time. The systematic review findings indicate no clear progress in publications focused specifically on vulnerability assessments in the Nigerian agricultural sector. There has been progress recently in applying frameworks and methods. However, there are important issues that require addressing in vulnerability assessments, including low consideration for indigenous knowledge and experience, unclear operationalization of vulnerability, non-standardization of vulnerability measures, and inadequacy of current assessments supporting decision making.

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M, Sumathy, et Muraleedharan S. « Assessment of Vulnerability to Climate Variability ». RESEARCH HUB International Multidisciplinary Research Journal 8, n^o 4 (17 avril 2021) : 9–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.53573/rhimrj.2021.v08i04.002.

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KC, Binita, J. Marshall Shepherd et Cassandra Johnson Gaither. « Climate change vulnerability assessment in Georgia ». Applied Geography 62 (août 2015) : 62–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2015.04.007.

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Foden, Wendy B., Bruce E. Young, H. Resit Akçakaya, Raquel A. Garcia, Ary A. Hoffmann, Bruce A. Stein, Chris D. Thomas et al. « Climate change vulnerability assessment of species ». Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews : Climate Change 10, n^o 1 (11 octobre 2018) : e551. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/wcc.551.

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Schneiderbauer, Stefan, Daniel Baunach, Lydia Pedoth, Kathrin Renner, Kerstin Fritzsche, Christina Bollin, Marco Pregnolato et al. « Spatial-Explicit Climate Change Vulnerability Assessments Based on Impact Chains. Findings from a Case Study in Burundi ». Sustainability 12, n^o 16 (7 août 2020) : 6354. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su12166354.

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Climate change vulnerability assessments are an essential instrument to identify regions most vulnerable to adverse impacts of climate change and to determine appropriate adaptation measures. Vulnerability assessments directly support countries in developing adaptation plans and in identifying possible measures to reduce adverse consequences of changing climate conditions. Against this background, this paper describes a vulnerability assessment using an integrated and participatory approach that builds on standardized working steps of previously developed ‘Vulnerability Sourcebook’ guidelines. The backbone of this approach is impact chains as a conceptual model of cause–effect relationships as well as a structured selection of indicators according to the three main components of vulnerability, namely exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity. We illustrate our approach by reporting the results of a vulnerability assessment conducted in Burundi focusing on climate change impacts on water and soil resources. Our work covers two analysis scales: a national assessment with the aim to identify climate change ‘hotspot regions’ through vulnerability mapping; and a local assessment aiming at identifying local-specific drivers of vulnerability and appropriate adaptation measures. Referring to this vulnerability assessment in Burundi, we discuss the potentials and constraints of the approach. We stress the need to involve stakeholders in every step of the assessment and to communicate limitations and uncertainties of the applied methods, indicators and maps in order to increase the comprehension of the approach and the acceptance of the results by different stakeholders. The study proved the practical usability of the approach at the national level by the selection of three particularly vulnerable areas. The results at a local scale supported the identification of adaption measures through intensive engagement of local rural populations.

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Timberlake, Thomas J., et Courtney A. Schultz. « Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment for Forest Management : The Case of the U.S. Forest Service ». Forests 10, n^o 11 (15 novembre 2019) : 1030. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/f10111030.

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Forest managers need access to targeted scientific information about the impacts of climate change in order to adapt to climate change. Vulnerability assessments address this need and are common across a range of disciplines and geographies; however, the practice of vulnerability assessment has revealed challenges that warrant further examination in a specific context. The U.S. Forest Service, a national forest-management agency in charge of 78 million hectares, has developed a collection of climate change vulnerability assessments to support adaptation by forest managers. We conducted a qualitative document analysis, informed by a series of research interviews with scientists, of 44 vulnerability assessments developed for the U.S. Forest Service. We found that partnerships between research scientists and land managers were central to the development of vulnerability assessments in the U.S. Forest Service. Assessment processes vary across settings. As the practice has developed, vulnerability assessments increasingly cover larger spatial extents and a broader range of resources associated with forest management. We identified ways in which vulnerability assessments can support decision-making, including approaches already in use and opportunities to improve practice. In particular, we discuss how vulnerability assessments are well-positioned to support the development of land-management plans, which set strategic management direction for periods of at least a decade. This paper provides baseline knowledge on a fundamental aspect of a large national forestry agency’s climate change adaptation strategy, with many findings transferable to the study of other forest-management organizations.

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File, Dramani J. M., et Emmanuel Kanchebe Derbile. « Sunshine, temperature and wind ». International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management 12, n^o 1 (20 janvier 2020) : 22–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ijccsm-04-2019-0023.

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Purpose This paper aims to draw on community risk assessment (CRA) for assessing vulnerability to climate change in north-western Ghana, focusing on sunshine, temperature and wind, elements of climate which are seldom explored in vulnerability assessments to climate change. Design/methodology/approach The paper draws on data collected from a qualitative research design that used participatory rural appraisal methods, particularly, in-depth interviews, focus group discussions and seasonal calendar analysis in three selected rural communities of the Sissala East District. Furthermore, an inter-generational framework was adopted for comparative assessment of vulnerability and changes in vulnerability to climate change. Findings The results show that the current generation of smallholder farmers is more vulnerable to climate change than the past generation, the era of grandparents. Thus, farmers are exposed to higher-intensity sunshine, temperature and wind in contemporary times than was the case in the past. Consequently, their livelihoods are affected the most by the damaging effects of these climatic hazards. The CRA process revealed the relevance of indigenous knowledge systems for vulnerability assessments and at the same time, underpins the need for adaptation of such knowledge if it is to sustain smallholder farmer efforts at climate change adaptation at community levels. Practical implications The paper recommends an endogenous development approach to climate change adaptation planning (CCAP), one that will build on indigenous knowledge systems for effective community education, mobilization and participatory response to climate change. Policy interventions should aim at enhancing climate change adaptation through innovations in soil and water conservation, access to water for irrigation and domestic use, climate smart-housing architecture and agro-forestry within the framework of decentralization and district development planning. Originality/value This paper will contribute to climate change research in two ways: first, by drawing attention to the usefulness of CRA in vulnerability assessment; and second, by focusing on climate elements which are critical for CCAP but rarely given sufficient attention in vulnerability assessments.

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Zebisch, Marc, Stefan Schneiderbauer, Kerstin Fritzsche, Philip Bubeck, Stefan Kienberger, Walter Kahlenborn, Susanne Schwan et Till Below. « The vulnerability sourcebook and climate impact chains – a standardised framework for a climate vulnerability and risk assessment ». International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management 13, n^o 1 (3 février 2021) : 35–59. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ijccsm-07-2019-0042.

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Purpose This paper aims to present the “Vulnerability Sourcebook” methodology, a standardised framework for the assessment of climate vulnerability and risk in the context of adaptation planning. The Vulnerability Sourcebook has been developed for the Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) and has been applied in more than twenty countries worldwide. Design/methodology/approach It is based on a participative development of so-called climate impact chains, which are an analytical concept to better understand, systemise and prioritise the climate factors as well as environmental and socio-economic factors that drive climate related threats, vulnerabilities and risks in a specific system. Impact chains serve as the backbone for an operational climate vulnerability assessment with indicators based on quantitative approaches (data, models) combined with expert assessments. In this paper, the authors present the concept and applications of the original Vulnerability Sourcebook, published in 2015, which was based on the IPCC AR4 concept of climate vulnerability. In Section 6 of this paper, the authors report how this concept has been adapted to the current IPCC AR5 concept of climate risks. Findings The application of the Sourcebook is demonstrated in three case studies in Bolivia, Pakistan and Burundi. The results indicate that particularly the participative development of impact chains helped with generating a common picture on climate vulnerabilities and commitment for adaptation planning within a region. The mixed methods approach (considering quantitative and qualitative information) allows for a flexible application in different contexts. Challenges are mainly the availability of climate (change) and socio-economic data, as well as the transparency of value-based decisions in the process. Originality/value The Vulnerability Sourcebook offers a standardised framework for the assessment of climate vulnerability and risk in the context of adaptation planning.

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Levison, Morgan, Ainslie Butler, Steven Rebellato, Brenda Armstrong, Marina Whelan et Charles Gardner. « Development of a Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment Using a Public Health Lens to Determine Local Health Vulnerabilities : An Ontario Health Unit Experience ». International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 15, n^o 10 (12 octobre 2018) : 2237. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph15102237.

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Climate change is negatively impacting the health of Canadians and is accordingly expected to have a significant impact on public health agencies and their response to these health impacts throughout the twenty-first century. While national and international research and assessments have explored the potential human health impacts of climate change, few assessments have explored the implications of climate change from a local public health perspective. An applied research approach to expand local knowledge and action of health vulnerabilities through a climate change action plan and vulnerability assessment was utilized by a local public health agency. Adoption and adaptation of the approach used may be valuable for public health organizations to assist their communities. Through completing a vulnerability assessment, an evidentiary base was generated for public health to inform adaptation actions to reduce negative health impacts and increase resiliency. Challenges in completing vulnerability assessments at the local level include the framing and scoping of health impacts and associated indicators, as well as access to internal expertise surrounding the analysis of data. While access to quantitative data may be limiting at the local level, qualitative data can enhance knowledge of local impacts, while also supporting the creation of key partnerships with community stakeholders which can ensure climate action continues beyond the scope of the vulnerability assessment.

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Lee, Jong Seok, et Hyun Il Choi. « Comparative Analysis of Flood Vulnerability Indicators by Aggregation Frameworks for the IPCC’s Assessment Components to Climate Change ». Applied Sciences 9, n^o 11 (5 juin 2019) : 2321. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/app9112321.

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As severe flood damages have been increasing due to climate change, the flood vulnerability assessment is needed in the flood mitigation plans to cope with climate-related flood disasters. Since the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Third Assessment Report (IPCC TAR) presented the three assessment components, such as exposure, sensitivity, and adaptability for the vulnerability to climate change, several aggregation frameworks have been used to compile individual components into the composite indicators to measure the flood vulnerability. It is therefore necessary to select an appropriate aggregation framework for the flood vulnerability assessments because the aggregation frameworks can have a large influence on the composite indicator outcomes. For a comparative analysis of flood vulnerability indicators across different aggregation frameworks for the IPCC’s assessment components, the composite indicators are derived by four representative types of aggregation frameworks with all the same proxy variable set in the Republic of Korea. It is found in the study site that there is a key driver component of the composite indicator outcomes and the flood vulnerability outcomes largely depend on whether the key component is treated independently or dependently in each aggregation framework. It is concluded that the selection of an aggregation framework can be based on the correlation and causality analysis to determine the relative contribution of the assessment components to the overall performance of the composite indicators across different aggregation frameworks.

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Thèses sur le sujet "Climate vulnerability assessment"

Wiréhn, Lotten. « Climate vulnerability assessment methodology : Agriculture under climate change in the Nordic region ». Doctoral thesis, Linköpings universitet, Tema Miljöförändring, 2017. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-143226.

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Food security and climate change mitigation are crucial missions for the agricultural sector and for global work on sustainable development. Concurrently, agricultural production is directly dependent on climatic conditions, making climate change adaptation strategies essential for the agricultural sector. There is consequently a need for researchers, planners, and practitioners to better understand how, why, and to what extent agriculture is vulnerable to climate change. Such analyses involve challenges in relation to the complex social– ecological character of the agricultural system and to the multiple conceptualizations and approaches used in analysing vulnerability. The aim of this thesis is to identify how vulnerability assessments can be used to represent climate-related vulnerability in Nordic agriculture, in order to advance the methodological development of indicator-based and geographic visualization methods. The following research questions are addressed: (i) How can agricultural vulnerability to climate change and variability in the Nordic countries be characterized? (ii) How do selections, definitions, and emphases of indicators influence how vulnerability is assessed? (iii) How do estimates of vulnerability vary depending on the methods used in assessments? (iv) How can geographic visualization be applied in integrated vulnerability assessments? This thesis analyses and applies various vulnerability assessment approaches in the context of Nordic agriculture. This thesis demonstrates that various methods for composing vulnerability indices result in significantly different outcomes, despite using the same set of indicators. A conceptual framework for geographic visualization approaches to vulnerability assessments was developed for the purpose of creating transparent and interactive assessments regarding the indicating variables, methods and assumptions applied, i.e., opening up the ‘black box’ of composite indices. This framework served as the foundation for developing the AgroExplore geographic visualization tool. The tool enables the user to interactively select, categorize, and weight indicators as well as to explore the data and the spatial patterns of the indicators and indices. AgroExplore was used in focus group settings with experts in the Swedish agricultural sector. The visualization-supported dialogue results confirm the difficulty of selecting and constructing indicators, including different perceptions of what indicators actually indicate, the assumption of linear relationships between the indicators and vulnerability, and, consequently, that the direction of the relationship is predefined for each indicator. This thesis further points at the inherent complexity of agricultural challenges and opportunities in the context of climate change as such. It is specifically emphasized that agricultural adaptation policies and measures involve trade-offs between various environmental and socio–economic objectives, and that their implementation could furthermore entail unintended consequences, i.e., potential maladaptive outcomes. Nevertheless, it proved difficult to validate indicators due to, e.g. matters of scale and data availability. While heavy precipitation and other extreme weather events are perceived as the most relevant drivers of climate vulnerability by the agricultural experts participating in this study, statistical analyses of historical data identified few significant relationships between crop yield losses and heavy precipitation. In conclusion, this thesis contributes to the method development of composite indices and indicator-based vulnerability assessment. A key conclusion is that assessments are method dependent and that indicator selection is related to aspects such as the system’s spatial scale and location as well as to indicator thresholds and defined relationships with vulnerability, recognizing the contextual dependency of agricultural vulnerability. Consequently, given the practicality of indicator-based methods, I stress with this thesis that future vulnerability studies must take into account and be transparent about the principles and limitations of indicator-based assessment methods in order to ensure their usefulness, validity, and relevance for guiding adaptation strategies.
För jordbrukssektorn och global hållbar utveckling i stort är matsäkerhet och mitigering av klimatförändringar viktiga angelägenheter. Samtidigt är jordbruksproduktionen ofta direkt beroende av klimatförhållanden, vilket gör klimatanpassningsstrategier mycket centrala för sektorn. Forskare, planerare och aktörer behöver förstå hur, varför och i vilken omfattning jordbruket är sårbart inför klimatförändringar. Sådana analyser inbegriper även de utmaningar som skapas genom jordbrukets komplexa socio-ekologiska karaktär, och de många utgångspunkter och tillvägagångssätt som används för att bedöma sårbarhet. Syftet med denna avhandling är att identifiera hur sårbarhetsbedömningar kan representera klimatrelaterad sårbarhet i nordiskt jordbruk, och i och med detta har avhandlingen som avsikt att utveckla metodologin för indikatorbaserade- och geografiska visualiseringsmetoder. Följande forskningsfrågor avhandlas: (i) Hur kan det nordiska jordbrukets sårbarhet inför klimatvariation och förändringar karaktäriseras? (ii) Hur påverkar urval, definitioner och betoningar av indikatorer bedömningar av sårbarhet? (iii) Hur varierar uppskattningar med bedömningsmetod? (iv) Hur kan geografisk visualisering användas i integrerade såbarhetsbedömningar? För att svara på dessa frågor analyseras och tillämpas olika tillvägagångssätt att bedöma sårbarhet inom nordiskt jordbruk. Avhandlingen visar att olika metoder för sårbarhetskompositindex resulterar i signifikanta skillnader mellan index, trots att samma indikatorer och data används. Ett konceptuellt ramverk för sårberhetsbedömningar där geografisk visualisering används, har utvecklats för att möjliggöra transparens avseende till exempel. vilka variabler, metoder och antaganden som används i kompositindex. Detta ramverk har följaktligen legat till grund för att utveckla ett geografiskt visualiseringsverktyg – AgroExplore. Verktyget möjliggör interaktivitet där användaren kan välja, kategorisera och vikta indikatorer, och dessutom utforska data och spatiala mönster av indikatorer och kompositindex. AgroExplore användes i denna avhandling för att stödja fokusgruppdialoger med experter inom den svenska jordbrukssektorn. Resultaten från dessa workshops bekräftar svårigheten med att välja och skapa indikatorer. Dessa svårigheter innefattar olika uppfattningar om vad indikatorer representerar, antagandet om linjära samband mellan indikatorerna och sårbarhet, och följaktligen att sambandens riktning är fördefinierade för respektive indikator. Utöver de konceptuella och metodologiska utmaningarna med sårbarhetsbedömningar visar avhandlingen på komplexa svårigheter och möjligheter för jordbruket vid klimatförändringar. Särskilt framhålls att klimatanpassningspolitik och åtgärder inom jordbruket medför konflikter och avvägningar mellan olika miljö- och socio-ekonomiska mål. Implementering av sådana anpassningsåtgärder kan vidare innebära oönskade konsekvenser, så kallad missanpassning. Trots ökad kunskap gällande nordiska jordbrukets sårbarhet inför klimatförändringar har det visats sig vara svårt att statistiskt validera indikatorer på grund av, exempelvis, skalproblematik och datatillgänglighet. Samtidigt som experterna ansåg att kraftig nederbörd och andra extrema väderhändelser är de mest relevanta drivkrafterna till klimatsårbarhet visar den statistiska analysen av historiska data på få signifikanta samband mellan förlorad skördeavkastning och kraftig nederbörd. Denna avhandling bidrar till metodutveckling av kompositindex och indikatorbaserade metoder för sårbarhetsbedömningar. En viktig slutsats är att bedömningar är metodberoende och att valet av indikatorer är relaterat till aspekter såsom systemets utbredning och den spatiala skalan av bedömningen. Även indikatorernas tröskelvärden och hur deras relation till sårbarhet är definierade anses vara viktiga faktorer som påverkar hur indikatorer representerar sårbarhet, vilket visar på sårbarhetsbedömningars kontextuella beroende. I och med de rådande bristerna hos indikatorbaserade metoder, som bland annat har identifierats i denna avhandling, vill jag framhålla vikten av att sårbarhetsbedömningar bör vara transparanta gällande den tillämpade metodens principer, antaganden och begräsningar. Detta för att säkerställa användbarhet, giltighet och relevans, om metoden och bedömningen ska ligga till grund för anpassningsstrategier hos såväl politiker, planerare och lantbrukare.

This is deliverable of the Nordic Centre of Excellence for Strategic Adaptation Research (NORD-STAR), funded by the Nordic Top-level Research Initiative Sub-programme ‘Effects Studies and Adaptation to Climate Change’.

The work has also been supported by the Swedish Research Council FORMAS under Grant No. 2013-1557 ‘Identifying thresholds for maladaptation in Nordic agriculture’

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Griffiths, Chevon. « Climate change and coastal vulnerability : application of vulnerability assessment methodologies in two coastal communities in South Africa ». Master's thesis, University of Cape Town, 2016. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/22970.

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Climate and environmental change is a phenomenon which is having a significant effect on human-ecological systems around the world. It is predicted to have a detrimental impact on certain groups and populations; among those most at risk are those who have the highest exposure and sensitivity to the climate and environmental changes and the lowest adaptive capacity. This includes coastal fishing communities and therefore necessitates action at a variety of scales in order to build the resilience of these individuals and groups to the predicted changes and their potential impacts. Vulnerability assessments (VAs) have been identified as an effective way to discover who is most vulnerable and to what threats or hazards. This is valuable as assistance can then be provided to the individuals, groups, regions or countries identified as most vulnerable. VAs can be conducted at a variety of scales and can be either quantitative or qualitative. This research project focused on vulnerability assessments conducted at the local level. These community-scale assessments are important as they are able to elicit finer-scale details, identify the greatest hazards and stressors, and conceptualize adaptation strategies that are locally-informed, context specific and targeted towards a specific community. The focus of this research project was to first assess the vulnerability of two coastal communities in South Africa, namely Doringbaai and St Helena Bay, using a suite of mixed methods which included focus group discussions, the review of secondary data, and key informant interviews. Secondly, this project aimed to assess the potential contribution of a 'rapid vulnerability assessment' (RVA) methodology, conducted in the same two coastal fishing communities, to gain information required to identify appropriate adaptation strategies in the context of climate and environmental change. The RVA is conducted as a workshop over a two-day period and may be followed by key informant interviews on the third day, if appropriate and required. This research sought to compare and contrast the information emanating from the RVA workshops with information obtained from the triangulation of mixed methods used in this study with respect to: key threats and stressors faced by the two small-scale fishing communities, identified environmental changes, impacts of these changes on fisher livelihoods, current coping strategies and potential adaptation strategies. Criteria for assessing the performance of the two different approaches were drawn from the literature and systematically documented. The outcome of the assessment showed that the RVA has value as a VA methodology and is able to identify locally relevant, potentially viable adaptation strategies. It is an effective approach for obtaining a good overview of the vulnerabilities of a community and is thus especially useful in under-resourced and data-poor regions. The conclusion was therefore that it is an exceptionally useful tool as a starting point for vulnerability assessments but can be enriched by combining it with other methods such as the review of secondary data, focus group discussions, surveys, questionnaires and key informant interviews. Furthermore, it is recommended that the RVA includes follow-up research and focuses on flexible adaptation strategies.

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Araya, Muñoz Dahyann Johanna. « Urban vulnerability assessment of the coast of Chile ». Thesis, University of Edinburgh, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/1842/29504.

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Vulnerability to weather-related hazards is a considerable humanitarian, economic and environmental concern for cities, especially in developing countries. However, there is a limited understanding of urban vulnerability and its specific implications. This study assesses the spatio-temporal vulnerability caused by climatic and societal change in Chile’s key coastal urban areas. In this urban vulnerability assessment, both regional and local approaches were undertaken, the former to give a broad sense of the possible futures that these cities face and the latter to explore, using all available and reliable data, how climatic and societal change affected one of these metropolitan areas. For the time points 2025, 2055 and 2085, the regional assessment shows that vulnerability is likely to vary across different scenarios and time frames. A significant future increase in exposure to hazards is mainly moderated, to a greater or lesser extent, by an increase in the adaptive capacity of the cities in question. Cities in central and southern Chile are more vulnerable. The local assessment provides a detailed evaluation of recent past vulnerabilities in the Concepción Metropolitan Area (CMA). In the local assessment, an urban indicator framework was first designed and then employed to explore changes in exposure and sensitivity of areas within CMA and the general ability of the urban system to adapt to different hazards. Five weather-related hazards were explored: coastal flooding, fluvial flooding, water scarcity, heat stress and wildfire, using a flexible methodology based on spatial fuzzy modelling with geographic information systems. Hazard-specific vulnerability and overall vulnerability indices were created. The local assessment results indicate a high vulnerability in the CMA that decreased slightly between 1992 and 2002. The combined socio-economic factors of sensitivity and adaptive capacity influenced the index more than the biophysical factors of exposure. Changes in age structure and economic growth had a greater influence on vulnerability that other variables. Overall vulnerability varied across municipalities and hazards, with wildfires and water scarcity influencing overall vulnerability the most. Fuzzy modelling enabled realism and flexibility in the standardization and aggregation of indicators with different attributes. It permitted the exploration of the individual and aggregate influence of the indicators that comprise the indices. ArcGIS software favoured transparency and simplicity in the aggregation of multiple entry criteria, facilitating spatial representation through maps, which can help identify indicators, components and hazards or combinations thereof that influence municipal vulnerability. The results can be used to improve and promote dialogue among policy-makers and stakeholders regarding the prioritization of resources for urban development in ways that can reduce vulnerability to climate change.

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Sorey, Gaël. « Climate Change And Vulnerability Impact Assessment Study of the Agricultural Adapatability in Tanzania ». Thesis, Stockholms universitet, Institutionen för naturgeografi och kvartärgeologi (INK), 2011. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-59328.

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Future climate change and variability is one of the top priorities for most countries and regions in the world. Unpredictability and uncertainty regarding future climate is making adaptation forecasts and mitigation of climate change on societies a real challenge for both climate scientists and policy makers. The climate system is not a static entity. On the contrary, changes are part of the mechanism. The impact of human activities, however, has accelerated processes inducing the need for rapid adaptation and mitigation strategies. This thesis focuses on understanding how hydrology and climate influence vulnerability and adaptation of rural Tanzania. This is done by looking at social, climatic and biophysical factors of two villages located in western Tanzania. Analysis of local climate and hydrology factors showed that precipitation and evapotranspiration amounts were about thesame, resulting in small margins for error for successful small scale agriculture. Investigation of various strategies used by farmers as a response to present climate variability are insufficient, and raise concerns about the potential hazard of future climate change. Most of the strategies rely on socio-ecological services from the surrounding environment, and therefore would face dire consequences as a result of future climate change. A wider understanding of successful current adaptation and resilience strategiesand their systematic application would increase the ability of farmers to meet the challenges of future climate volatility.

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Cincio, Paige. « Quantifying the Vulnerability of Arctic Water Supply Lakes to Environmental Change Through Paleolimnological Assessment ». Thesis, Université d'Ottawa / University of Ottawa, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/10393/41488.

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Anthropogenic stressors to freshwater environments have perpetuated water quality and quantity challenges for northern communities across Arctic Canada, making drinking water resources a primary concern for Arctic populations. To understand the ecological trajectory of freshwater supply sources, we conducted a paleolimnological assessment on two supplemental sources of freshwater in Igloolik, Nunavut, Canada. A stratigraphic examination of bioindicators (Insecta: Diptera: Chironomidae) allowed for paleotemperature reconstructions with decadal and centennial resolution over the past 2000 years. Between 200 and 1900 CE, the sub-fossil chironomid community was comprised of cold-water taxa, such as Abiskomyia, Micropsectra radialis-type, and Paracladius. Reconstructed temperatures were consistent with known climate anomalies during this period. A rapid shift in the composition of the chironomid community to warm-water adapted taxa (Chironomus anthracinus-type, Dicrotendipes, and Tanytarsus lugens-type) in the late 20th century was observed in both systems. Our results demonstrate that these lake ecosystems are undergoing marked transformations to warmer, more nutrient-rich environments, and suggest water sustainability pressures on freshwater and human systems will likely continue in tandem with ongoing climate change. To contextualize the influence of recent warming and elucidate the status of water resource vulnerability over the longer term, paleolimnological methods can be usefully applied as components of vulnerability assessments.

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Palmer, Anna E. « Climate Change on Arid Lands – A Vulnerability Assessment of Tribal Nations in the American West ». Ohio University / OhioLINK, 2017. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=ohiou1502443290575261.

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Hou, Xiaohui. « Risk Communication in Vulnerability Assessment Towards Development of Climate Change Adaptation Strategy for Health in Guangxi, China ». Thesis, Griffith University, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/10072/367699.

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Over the past few decades, climate change has emerged as a significant global problem. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in its Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) concluded that warming of the climate system is unequivocal and that warming will continue throughout this century and beyond 2100 (IPCC, 2013). Changes in climate have presented a considerable risk for environment and health on all continents (IPCC, 2014f; Kirch et al., 2005; Parmesan & Yohe, 2003). The impacts of climate change are most evident from recent climate-related extremes, such as heat waves, droughts, floods, and cyclones (IPCC, 2013). These extreme weather events have significant impacts upon ecosystems, communities and human health, including disruption of food production and water supply, damage to infrastructure and settlements, morbidity and mortality, and consequences for mental health and human well-being (McGeehin & Mirabelli, 2001).The Guangxi government has developed its own action plan as province-wide guidelines to respond to climate change. It has developed mitigation strategies in controlling carbon dioxide emissions in industry, agriculture, forest, mining and tourism (GXGov, 2009a). However, adaptation strategies are missing in this action plan. With the increasing threats from the climate-related extreme weather events in this province, adaptation strategies and policies are urgently required to support local communities in reducing their vulnerability and increasing their adaptive capacity to those events.
Thesis (PhD Doctorate)
Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)
Griffith School of Environment.
Science, Environment, Engineering and Technology
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Akhter, Feroz Raisin. « Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment for Sustainable Urban Development : A Study on Slum Population of Kota, India ». Thesis, Linköpings universitet, Tema vatten i natur och samhälle, 2012. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-108959.

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The urban centres are becoming more vulnerable to climate change because of the rapid urbanization and the inequality of urban development. This study assesses the urban vulnerability in an integrated approach focusing the slum people as the targeted group. The slum people are severely exposed to climate risks in terms of city‟s overall development. The negative indications of the indicators of person‟s vulnerability represent their high sensitivity to the adverse impact of climate change. The determinants of adaptive capacity also confirm that the slum people are more vulnerable to climate change with having lower adaptive capacity; though, the city is possessing high development indexes. In this context, an institutional structure is developed to build multi-level urban climate governance with the involvement of all relevant stakeholders based on the case study and literature review to integrate the vulnerable group in development planning for climate change adaptation.

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Raghavan, Sathyan Archana [Verfasser]. « Climate change vulnerability assessment among rainfed smallholder farmers : a case analysis from Indian watersheds / Archana Raghavan Sathyan ». Gießen : Universitätsbibliothek, 2019. http://d-nb.info/1187658324/34.

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Tonmoy, Fahim. « Assessment of vulnerability to climate change : theoretical and methodological developments with applications to infrastructure and built environment ». Thesis, The University of Sydney, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/2123/10167.

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Assessing vulnerability to climate change can help policymakers in incorporating climate futures in planning and in better allocating adaptation resources. Indicator Based Vulnerability Assessment (IBVA) has been widely used because it is relatively simple to design, implement and communicate. However, this approach faces significant difficulties from conceptual, theoretical and methodological points of view. A number of assumptions are typically made in methods used for aggregation of indicators—a linear, monotonic relationship between indicator and vulnerability; complete compensation between indicators; precise knowledge of vulnerable systems by stakeholders who provide input data for the assessment exercise—none of which usually hold in reality. Following a meta-analysis of the IBVA literature, the thesis proposes a) a general mathematical framework for vulnerability assessment that better identifies sources of uncertainty and non-linearity; b) a new IBVA assessment methodology, and associated computer tool, based on a pair-wise outranking approach borrowed from decision science; the methodology can represent various sources of uncertainty, different degree of compensation between indicators and different types of non-linearity in the relationship between indicators and vulnerability and; c) a system dynamics model, integrated in the above framework, for studying vulnerability of infrastructure systems and better representing the mechanistic interdependency of their components. These methods are applied to a real-life assessment of the vulnerability to sea-level rise of communities and infrastructure systems in Shoalhaven, south of Sydney, at local scale. The assessment is conducted in collaboration with the Shoalhaven council and includes an analysis of the sensitivity of vulnerability rankings to community preferences. In addition, the effect of using an outranking framework on the way vulnerability is conceptualized by stakeholders is critically appraised.

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Livres sur le sujet "Climate vulnerability assessment"

Hay, John E. Vulnerability & adaptation : Evaluation and regional synthesis of national assessments of vulnerability and adaptation to climate change. Apia, Samoa : South Pacific Regional Environment Programme, 2000.

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Chhinh, Nyda. Climate change vulnerability assessment Kampong Speu Province, Cambodia. Phnom Penh : Royal University of Phnom Penh, 2013.

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R, Shukla P., dir. Climate change and India : Vulnerability assessment and adaptation. Hyderabad : Universities Press, 2003.

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Saleemul, Huq, dir. Vulnerability and adaptation to climate change for Bangladesh. Dordrecht : Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1999.

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Tarr, Jacquie. An overview of Namibia's vulnerability to climate change. [Windhoek : Desert Research Foundation of Namibia, 1999.

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Intergovernmental Palen on Climate Change. Working Group II, dir. The regional impacts of climate change : An assessment of vulnerability. Cambridge : Published for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [by] Cambridge University Press, 1998.

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T, Watson R., Zinyowera Marufu C, Moss Richard H et Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Working Group II., dir. The regional impacts of climate change : An assessment of vulnerability. New York : Cambridge University Press, 1997.

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Stein, Bruce A., Naomi A. Edelson et Patricia Glick. Scanning the conservation horizon : A guide to climate change vulnerability assessment. Washington, D.C : National Wildlife Federation, 2011.

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Porter, Julia. The vulnerability of Fiji to current climate variability and future change. North Ryde, N.S.W., Australia : Climate Impacts Centre, School of Earth Sciences, Macquarie University, 1994.

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International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development et John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation, dir. Climate change vulnerability of mountain ecosystems in the Eastern Himalayas. Kathmandu : International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development, 2010.

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Plus de sources

Chapitres de livres sur le sujet "Climate vulnerability assessment"

Abdul Malak, Dania, Katriona McGlade, Diana Pascual et Eduard Pla. « Vulnerability Assessment ». Dans Adapting to Climate Change, 61–75. Cham : Springer International Publishing, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-51680-6_5.

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Boswell, Michael R., Adrienne I. Greve et Tammy L. Seale. « Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment ». Dans Climate Action Planning, 172–91. Washington, DC : Island Press/Center for Resource Economics, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.5822/978-1-61091-964-7_6.

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Sam, Koyel, et Namita Chakma. « Assessment of Vulnerability ». Dans Climate Change in the Forest of Bengal Duars, 33–40. Cham : Springer International Publishing, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-73866-2_5.

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Diouf, Aliou, et Amadou Thierno Gaye. « A Methodological Framework for Building an Index for VulnerabilityIndex, participatory vulnerability assessment Vulnerability assessment Assessment of vulnerability Participatory approach Assessment in Rainfed Agriculture ». Dans Handbook of Climate Change Adaptation, 3–15. Berlin, Heidelberg : Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-38670-1_42.

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Singh, Swarnima, et R. B. Singh. « Climate Dynamics and Livelihood Vulnerability Assessment ». Dans Simulating Climate Change and Livelihood Security, 195–230. Singapore : Springer Singapore, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-4648-5_7.

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Gore, Ramdas D., et Bharti W. Gawali. « Vulnerability Assessment of Climate-Smart Agriculture ». Dans Communications in Computer and Information Science, 290–301. Singapore : Springer Singapore, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-0493-5_26.

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Silaen, Mariana, Yudiandra Yuwono, Cynthia Ismail, Amanda Ramadhani et Takeshi Takama. « Vulnerability Assessment on Agriculture in East Nusa Tenggara ». Dans Climate Change Management, 109–34. Cham : Springer Nature Switzerland, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-28728-2_6.

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Niyibizi, Abel, Aquila Mpeirwe et Susan Ajambo. « Vulnerability Assessment for Rural Settings : Applicability to Developing Countries ». Dans Climate Change Management, 273–92. Berlin, Heidelberg : Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-31110-9_17.

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Bouwer, Laurens M. « The Roles of Climate Risk Dynamics and Adaptation Limits in Adaptation Assessment ». Dans Springer Climate, 209–16. Cham : Springer International Publishing, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-86211-4_24.

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AbstractThe performance of adaptation measures depends on their robustness against various possible futures, with varying climate change impacts. Such impacts are driven by both climatic as well as non-climatic drivers. Risk dynamics are then important, as the avoided risk will determine the benefits of adaptation actions. It is argued that the integration of information on changing exposure and vulnerability is needed to make projections of future climate risk more realistic. In addition, many impact and vulnerability studies have used a top-down rather a technical approach. Whether adaptation action is feasible is determined by technical and physical possibilities on the ground, as well as local capacities, governance and preference. These determine the hard and soft limits of adaptation. Therefore, it is argued that the risk metrics outputs alone are not sufficient to predict adaptation outcomes, or predict where adaptation is feasible or not; they must be placed in the local context. Several of the current climate risk products would fall short of their promise to inform adaptation decision-making on the ground. Some steps are proposed to improve adaptation modelling in order to better incorporate these aspects.

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Lückenkötter, Johannes, Christian Lindner et Stefan Greiving. « Methodology for an Integrated Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment ». Dans European Climate Vulnerabilities and Adaptation, 5–15. Chichester, UK : John Wiley & Sons, Ltd, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/9781118474822.ch2.

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Actes de conférences sur le sujet "Climate vulnerability assessment"

Lopez, Andrew, Hayk Zargaryan et Manuel Avendaño. « Climate Vulnerability Assessment in Power Systems ». Dans 2023 IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting (PESGM). IEEE, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/pesgm52003.2023.10252207.

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Chinmay, Kumar, Abhishek Tripathi et Elena Rokou. « LEVERAGING CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT WITH MCDA ». Dans The International Symposium on the Analytic Hierarchy Process. Creative Decisions Foundation, 2024. https://doi.org/10.13033/isahp.y2024.038.

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Plank, Z., P. Selmeczi, Z. Pronay, P. Tildy et D. Polgar. « Geophysical Methods in Vulnerability Assessment to Climate Change Effect ». Dans Near Surface Geoscience 2016 - 22nd European Meeting of Environmental and Engineering Geophysics. Netherlands : EAGE Publications BV, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.3997/2214-4609.201602063.

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Kaveckis, Giedrius, et Benjamin Bechtel. « Land Use Based Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change Assessment ». Dans The 9th International Conference "Environmental Engineering 2014". Vilnius, Lithuania : Vilnius Gediminas Technical University Press “Technika” 2014, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.3846/enviro.2014.122.

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Seto, J. T. C., L. U. Arenson et G. Cousineau. « Vulnerability to Climate Change Assessment for a Highway Constructed on Permafrost ». Dans Cold Regions Engineering 2012. Reston, VA : American Society of Civil Engineers, 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.1061/9780784412473.051.

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« SEVA : A non-linear mathematical framework for climate change vulnerability assessment ». Dans 20th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2013). Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand (MSSANZ), Inc., 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.36334/modsim.2013.k8.tonmoy.

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Drešković, Nusret, et Snežana Radulović. « STONE MONUMENT ENSEMBLES AND THE CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT—RISK AND VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT BASED ON CLIMATE SCENARIOS (STECCI HORIZON EUROPE PROJECT) ». Dans Book of Abstracts and Contributed Papers, 15. Geographical Institute "Jovan Cvijić" SASA, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.46793/csge5.09nd.

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Climate change, intensified by extreme weather conditions and heightened levels of environmental contaminants, is serving as a significant contributor to the degradation of cultural heritage sites, specifically limestone monuments. This susceptibility is primarily due to the composition of limestone, composed primarily of calcium carbonate, which is notably vulnerable to chemical weathering processes. To safeguard these enduring vestiges of our shared cultural past, it is of paramount importance to devise and implement comprehensive protective measures and policies. Instances of extreme meteorological activities such as heavy precipitation, floods, and landslides, which are on a marked rise due to climatic alterations, pose a significant danger to geoheritage sites, inclusive of stećak tombstones. These climatic aberrations can substantially accelerate the degradation process of such sacral limestone heritages, even leading to a complete loss of their original characteristics or total extinction. Besides, the recent notification by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2018) warns against an impending increase in precipitation extremes and resultant soil saturation due to climate change. Such changes can lead to an upsurge in events like landslides and flooding, which, in turn, can cause erosion or even displacement of these limestone tombstones and other similarly fragile stone structures. This study presents a methodical vulnerability assessment process, aimed at identifying the explicit dangers that varying climatic scenarios pose to a location. This critical risk assessment should holistically integrate threats posed by climate change and other non-climatic perturbations, such as pollution. The process necessitates a comprehensive understanding of each site, taking into consideration multiple factors including geolocation, landscape characteristics, hydrological patterns, exposure to extreme climatic events, susceptibility to erosion or leaching, and pollution impact. Station data, referring to collected meteorological information from weather stations, can provide detailed local insights into climatic patterns such as precipitation, temperature variations, and more, thereby helping evaluate the site-specific climatic threats and their potential impacts. Additionally, the contribution of climate change to biodeterioration is iultifaceted due to its overlap with other forms of decay, complicating the attribution of damage to specific biological or climatic factors. Thus, it is crucial to account for the full extent of damage caused by biodeteriogens, given that such biodeterioration often concurs with and exacerbates other physical and chemical destruction processes. Consequently, the process of monument iodeterioration can be categorized broadly into three principal classes of decay: biophysical, biochemical, and aesthetic deterioration. The paper includes case studies of the sites Kopošići, Križevići, Blidinje Dugo polje, Ravanjska vrata, Radimlja, Mramorje Bajina Bašta, Žugića bare Žabljak, and Velika Cista, all of which exhibit unique patterns of decay due to specific climatic and environmental conditions.

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Liu, Lulu, Rui Yan et Shaohong Wu. « ASSESSMENT OF FLOOD LOSS IN ADMINISTRATIVE UNITS BASED ON IMPROVED VULNERABILITY CURVES ». Dans Book of Abstracts and Contributed Papers, 26. Geographical Institute "Jovan Cvijić" SASA, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.46793/csge5.16ll.

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Floods are among the most common natural disasters worldwide and cause significant losses under climate change. Advanced flood loss assessment helps to improve flood prevention and relief systems. The vulnerability curve is one of the main methods for flood loss risk assessment. However, existing vulnerability curves are mostly established on a large spatial scale, ignoring the intraregional difference in vulnerability. This study aims to quantify the spatial heterogeneity of vulnerability within the region and to clarify the impact and changes of vulnerability on flood loss. Choosing Hubei and Hunan Provinces in China as study areas, this study built vulnerability curves using the mixed-effects model. Then, vulnerability curves and flood intensities under different return periods were combined to assess flood losses. The impacts of vulnerability and flood intensity on flood losses were also analyzed. The results show that 1) the mixed-effects model can be employed to construct separate vulnerability curves for smaller-scale administrative units (cities) while assessing the overall vulnerability of the study area, and the results are more accurate, with R2 values above 0.75, 2) With the increasing return period, the differences in loss rates between cities increase, and 3) Vulnerability difference between cities is the dominant factor influencing flood losses of cities with low return periods. However, with the increasing return period, the difference in hazard intensity between cities exerts a greater impact on city flood losses. This study provides methods and suggestions for systematic flood risk reduction and climate resilience construction path proposal.

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Nedbaev, Ivan, Ekaterina Semenova et Anastasiya Soroka. « VULNERABILITY OF FORESTS TO THE CLIMATIC RISK OF AN INCREASE IN THE FREQUENCY OF OUTBREAKS OF MASS REPRODUCTION OF HARMFUL ORGANISMS IN FORESTS ». Dans FORESTRY, FOREST MANAGEMENT, STATE FOREST MANAGEMENT IN THE 21ST CENTURY : CHALLENGES AND SOLUTIONS, 140–46. FSBE Institution of Higher Education Voronezh State University of Forestry and Technologies named after G.F. Morozov, 2024. https://doi.org/10.58168/bugaevva2024_140-146.

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Climate change can have a negative impact on forest plantations. The article considers the vulnerability of forests to the climatic risk of an increase in the frequency of outbreaks of mass reproduction of harmful organisms in forests. The vulnerability of forests was calculated using a normalized vulnerability index in the context of the subjects of the Russian Federation. A retrospective assessment was carried out based on statistical data on the areas of foci of harmful organisms and a forecast assessment based on data on changes in the Selyaninov hydrothermal coefficient for the period of the 2050s and 2090s. Cartographic materials on the differentiation of the subjects of the Russian Federation by the level of vulnerability to the considered risk are presented.

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Sano, M., S. Baum, F. Crick, D. L. Choy, S. Serrao-Neumann et R. Tomlinson. « An assessment of coastal vulnerability to climate change in South East Queensland, Australia ». Dans Littoral 2010 – Adapting to Global Change at the Coast : Leadership, Innovation, and Investment. Les Ulis, France : EDP Sciences, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/litt/201105002.

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Rapports d'organisations sur le sujet "Climate vulnerability assessment"

Balachowski, Jennifer, Pelayo Alvarez, Amber Kerr, Julian Reyes, Alexandros Xides, Hyeyeong Choe, Casey Peters, Joel Brown et Leslie Roche. Climate Vulnerability Assessment of California Rangelands. USDA California Climate Hub, Agricultural Research Service, University of California, Davis, juin 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.32747/2018.6876398.ch.

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Fratanduono, M., H. Ottaway, N. Graves, R. Wong et E. Taketa. Climate Vulnerability Assessment and Resilience Plan. Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI), septembre 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.2172/1890099.

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Ischay, Christopher, Ernest Fossum, Polly Buotte, Jeffrey Hicke et Alexander Peterson. Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment for Idaho National Laboratory. Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI), octobre 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.2172/1166046.

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Gould, Sarah, Katelyn Moje, Kassidy Boorman et Shannon Blair. 2022 Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment and Resilience Plan Summary. Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI), novembre 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.2172/2228623.

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Ischay, Christopher, et Caitlin Nate. Climate Vulnerability Assessment and Resilience Planning for Idaho National Laboratory. Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI), septembre 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.2172/1957785.

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Hanberry, Brice B. Colorado Front Range climate change vulnerability assessment for National Forests. Fort Collins, CO : U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.2737/rmrs-gtr-438.

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McNulty, Steven, Sarah Wiener, Emrys Treasure, Jennifer Moore Myers, Hamid Farahani, Lisa Fouladbash, David Marshall et Rachel F. Steele. Southeast Regional Climate Hub Assessment of Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies. United States. Department of Agriculture, janvier 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.32747/2015.7279978.ch.

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Climate-related variability in rainfall, temperature, and extreme weather (e.g., drought, flood, unseasonal frost) pose significant challenges to working land (i.e., range, forest, and agricultural) managers across the southeastern United States. This document outlines the type of risks that southeastern agriculture and forestry currently face and, in some cases, options to address these risks. Finally, this document looks forward to providing direction on the priority needs of Southeast working land managers and an outline of how the USDA Southeast Climate Hub will address those needs.

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Elsen, Paul R., Sorosh Poya Faryabi, Guatam Surya et Hedley S. Grantham. Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment for the Panj-Amu River Basin, Afghanistan. Wildlife Conservation Society, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.19121/2023.report.45305.

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Ricci, Glenn, Sarah Gaines et Amanda Babson. Integrated coastal climate change vulnerability assessment : George Washington Birthplace National Monument. National Park Service, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.36967/2304901.

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Through a series of workshops, a team of National Park Service, University of Rhode Island and related experts conducted a climate change vulnerability assessment to integrate issues across natural resources, cultural resources, and facilities for George Washington Birthplace National Monument (NM). This assessment used existing methods (Ricci et al. 2019a) and data, and expert knowledge to understand the general trends in current (2022) and future (2050, 2100) vulnerability and adaptive capacity. Climate stressors included sea level rise (SLR), storm surge, flooding, erosion rates, and precipitation and temperature changes. The results of the assessment are presented for each of the three workgroups: cultural resources, natural resources, and facilities, as well as for two key geographic focal areas ? the Shoreline and the Memorial Core. Cultural landscapes, historic features and archeological sites that comprise the core values of the park are already being impacted by ongoing erosion, sea level rise, and storms, all of which are accelerated by climate change. The Ice Pond Dam was identified as a critical feature, both as a cultural resource and a facility asset, which is vulnerable to flash flooding and serves as a weak link for critical systems of communications, electricity, and access. Bluff monitoring designed to identify paleontological resources can benefit archeological resources as well. As erosion rates increase, newly uncovered archeological resources may drive a push for excavation. However, undercutting of the bluff makes any excavation or information reconnaissance on the archeological sites more difficult or dangerous due to the possibility of bluff edge sloughing or collapse. There is a recognized need to strengthen tribal partnerships to understand the priority for management of these resources. Tribal consultations initiated by the park are now underway. Any archeological excavation will result in loss of context and require additional storage capacity. Evaluation of potential shoreline stabilization techniques would need to consider how they would impact the viewshed and cultural landscape. Recommendations also included conducting an updated cultural landscape plan for the Memorial Core to consider tree management, including tree replacement in consideration of wind damage potential and because of the likelihood that extended warm seasons will lead to a longer period of pest activity. The vulnerability assessment data and maps can be a valuable resource for jumpstarting the adaptation planning process and integrating into existing planning processes. They can be used to engage with partners and help them appreciate the underlying vulnerability issues and changes over time.

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McDowell Peek, Katie, Blair Tormey, Holli Thompson, Allan Ellsworth et Cat Hawkins Hoffman. Climate change vulnerability assessments in the National Park Service : An integrated review for infrastructure, natural resources, and cultural resources. National Park Service, juin 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.36967/nrr-2293650.

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Climate changes are affecting virtually all National Park Service units and resources, and an assessment of climate vulnerabilities is important for developing proactive management plans to respond appropriately to these changes and threats. Vulnerability assessments typically evaluate exposure and sensitivity of the assessment targets and evaluate adaptive capacity for living resources. Chapters in this report review and evaluate climate vulnerability assessments of National Park Service units and resources including infrastructure, natural resources, and cultural resources. Striking results were the diversity of approaches to conducting vulnerability assessments, the small number of vulnerability assessments for National Park Service cultural resources, and the large differences in the “state of the science” of conducting assessments among the three resource groups. Vulnerability assessment methodologies are well established for evaluating infrastructure and natural resources, albeit with very different techniques, but far less is known or available for designing and/or conducting cultural resources assessments. Challenges consistently identified in the vulnerability assessments, or the chapters were: Limited capacity of park staff to fully engage in the design and/or execution of the vulnerability assessments. Most park staff are fully engaged in on-going duties. Inconsistent use of terms, definitions, and protocols, sometimes resulting in confusion or inefficiencies. Discovering and acquiring National Park Service vulnerability assessments because results were inconsistently archived. Aligning results with park needs due to differences in level of detail, scope, and/or resolution, or format(s) for reporting results. Best practices and recommendations identified in multiple chapters were: Ensure that vulnerability assessments are designed to match parks’ needs, and that results are reported in ways that inform identified management decisions. Prioritize resources to be thoroughly assessed so effort is directed to the most important threats and resources. Evaluate all components of vulnerability (not just exposure). Explicitly and systematically address uncertainty, recognizing the range of climate projections and our understanding of potential responses. Identify and, where possible, focus on key vulnerabilities that most threaten conservation or management goals. Embrace partnerships and engage others with necessary expertise. Good vulnerability assessments usually require expertise in a broad range of subject areas.

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