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Littérature scientifique sur le sujet « Macroeconomics and finance »

Auteur : Grafiati

Publié le 10 mars 2023

Mis à jour le 31 juillet 2025

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Articles de revues sur le sujet "Macroeconomics and finance"

Rakauskienė, Ona Gražina, and Eugenijus Chlivickas. "PUBLIC FINANCE OF LITHUANIA: GENDER PERSPECTIVE." Journal of Business Economics and Management 8, no. 1 (2007): 11–27. http://dx.doi.org/10.3846/16111699.2007.9636148.

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The paper presents the analysis of Lithuania's economic growth, tax policy, state budget and municipality budgets, using of the EU structural funds support from a gender perspective. Gender asymmetry is examined not only at the microeconomic level, but also at the level of macroeconomics, therefore solutions of gender problems have to be relevant and adopted in view of macroeconomic criteria.

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Woodford, Michael. "Convergence in Macroeconomics: Elements of the New Synthesis." American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 1, no. 1 (2009): 267–79. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/mac.1.1.267.

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While macroeconomics is often thought of as a deeply divided field, with less of a shared core and correspondingly less cumulative progress than other areas of economics, in fact, there are fewer fundamental disagreements among macroeconomists now than in past decades. This is due to important progress in resolving seemingly intractable debates. In this paper, I review some of those debates and outline important elements of the new synthesis in macroeconomic theory. I discusses the extent to which the new developments in theory and research methods are already affecting macroeconomic analysis

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Brunnermeier, Markus, and Arvind Krishnamurthy. "The Macroeconomics of Corporate Debt." Review of Corporate Finance Studies 9, no. 3 (2020): 656–65. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/rcfs/cfaa015.

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Abstract The 2020 COVID-19 crisis can spur research on firms’ corporate finance decisions and their macroeconomic implications, similar to the wave of important research on banking and household finance triggered by the 2008 financial crisis. What are the relevant corporate finance mechanisms in this crisis? Modeling dynamics and timing considerations are likely important, as is integrating corporate financing considerations into modern quantifiable macroeconomics models. Recent empirical work, including articles in this special issue, on the drag from debt in the COVID-19 crisis provides a fi

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Aye Sudarto. "PERTUMBUHAN DAN PERKEMBANGAN EKONOMI MAKRO SYARIAH DI INDONESIA." At Taajir : Jurnal Ekonomi, Bisnis dan Keuangan Syariah 1, no. 1 (2019): 59–76. http://dx.doi.org/10.47902/attaajir.v1i1.28.

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Abstract Macroeconomics that play an important role can often have a serious impact on a country's growth. We can mention one by one what is part of the macro economy that affects the national economy are low economic growth, poverty and unemployment, inflation, low rupiah exchange rate, energy crisis, state budget deficit, and imbalance of trade balance and payments become adult national economic problems this. In view of the growth, development, opportunities and challenges of sharia macroeconomics in Indonesia, it is important that we first understand the economic system adopted by In

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Costa da Silva, Guilherme Jonas. "MACROECONOMIA DO DESENVOLVIMENTO: UMA PERSPECTIVA KEYNESIANA, JOSÉ LUÍS DA COSTA OREIRO." Investigación Económica 83, no. 327 (2023): 209–16. http://dx.doi.org/10.22201/fe.01851667p.2024.327.87386.

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In Brazil, Professor José Luís Oreiro is considered one of the most talented and productive Keynesian economists of his generation. Prof. Oreiro was hired by the Department of Economics at the Federal University of Paraná in 2003, when I came into touch with some of the theories organized in this book. This book written by Oreiro presents the debate around development macroeconomics from a Keynesian perspective, which is a new and particularly important topic for those who wish to understand a little more about macroeconomics, growth, and economic development. The main contribution of the book

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GANDOLFO, GIANCARLO, and MICHAEL D. GOLDBERG. "INTERNATIONAL FINANCE AND OPEN-ECONOMY MACROECONOMICS." Macroeconomic Dynamics 9, no. 2 (2005): 263–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s136510050504023x.

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Shleifer, Andrei, and Robert Vishny. "Fire Sales in Finance and Macroeconomics." Journal of Economic Perspectives 25, no. 1 (2011): 29–48. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/jep.25.1.29.

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Analysts of the recent financial crisis often refer to the role of asset “fire sales” in depleting the balance sheets of financial institutions and aggravating the fragility of the financial system. The term “fire sale” has been around since the nineteenth century to describe firms selling smoke-damaged merchandise at cut-rate prices in the aftermath of a fire. But what are fire sales in broad financial markets with hundreds of participants? As we suggested in a 1992 paper, a fire sale is essentially a forced sale of an asset at a dislocated price. The asset sale is forced in the sense that th

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Gürkaynak, Refet S., and Jonathan H. Wright. "Macroeconomics and the Term Structure." Journal of Economic Literature 50, no. 2 (2012): 331–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/jel.50.2.331.

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This paper provides an overview of the analysis of the term structure of interest rates with a special emphasis on recent developments at the intersection of macroeconomics and finance. The topic is important to investors and also to policymakers, who wish to extract macroeconomic expectations from longer-term interest rates, and take actions to influence those rates. The simplest model of the term structure is the expectations hypothesis, which posits that long-term interest rates are expectations of future average short-term rates. In this paper, we show that many features of the configurati

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Sargent, Thomas J. "Robert E. Lucas Jr.'s Collected Papers on Monetary Theory." Journal of Economic Literature 53, no. 1 (2015): 43–64. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/jel.53.1.43.

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This paper is a critical review of and a reader's guide to a collection of papers by Robert E. Lucas, Jr. about fruitful ways of using general equilibrium theories to understand measured economic aggregates. These beautifully written and wisely argued papers integrated macroeconomics, microeconomics, finance, and econometrics in ways that restructured big parts of macroeconomic research. (JEL A31, E00, E13, E50)

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BRESSER-PEREIRA, LUIZ CARLOS. "From classical developmentalism and post-Keynesian macroeconomics to new developmentalism." Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 39, no. 2 (2019): 187–210. http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0101-31572019-2966.

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ABSTRACT New developmentalism was a response to the inability of classical developmentalism and post-Keynesian macroeconomics in leading middle-income countries to resume growth. New developmentalism was born in the 2000s to explain why Latin American countries stopped growing in the 1980s, while East Asian countries continued to catch up. This paper compares new developmentalism with classical developmentalism, which didn’t have a macroeconomics, and with post-Keynesian economics, whose macroeconomics is not devoted to developing countries. And shows that to follow the East Asian example is n

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Thèses sur le sujet "Macroeconomics and finance"

Raciborski, Rafal. "Topics in macroeconomics and finance." Doctoral thesis, Universite Libre de Bruxelles, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/209211.

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The thesis consists of four chapters. The introductory chapter clarifies different notions of rationality used by economists and gives a summary of the remainder of the thesis. Chapter 2 proposes an explanation for the common empirical observation of the coexistence of infrequently-changing regular price ceilings and promotion-like price patterns. The results derive from enriching an otherwise standard, albeit stylized, general equilibrium model with two elements. First, the consumer-producer interaction is modeled in the spirit of the price dispersion literature, by introducing oligopolistic

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Emiris, Marina. "Essays on macroeconomics and finance." Doctoral thesis, Universite Libre de Bruxelles, 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/210764.

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Mendel, Joshua Brock. "Essays on Macroeconomics and Finance." Thesis, Harvard University, 2013. http://dissertations.umi.com/gsas.harvard:10767.

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The Local Multiplier: Theory and Evidence. I show that 1) the policy-relevant "global multiplier" can be written as the sum of a spending component and a taxation component, all scaled up by spillover effects, 2) the "local multiplier" is exactly the spending com- ponent, and 3) if trade is anonymous, the local effects of a shock to federal government purchases in a county will be identical to the effects of a shock to consumer demand for the exports of that locality. I estimate a bound for the local multiplier and consider spillover effects to contiguous counties. I find that a shock of $48,0

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Mohsenzadeh, Kermani Amir Reza. "Essays in macroeconomics and finance." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/81046.

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Thesis (Ph. D.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics, 2013. Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. Includes bibliographical references (p. 142-150). The first chapter proposes a model of booms and busts in housing and non-housing consumption driven by the interplay between relatively low interest rates and an expansion of credit, triggered by further decline in interest rates and relaxing collateral requirements. When credit becomes available, households would like to borrow in order to frontload consumption, and this increases demand for housing and non-housing c

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Di, Tella Sebastian T. (Sebastian Tariacuri). "Essays on finance and macroeconomics." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/81043.

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Thesis (Ph. D.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics, 2013. Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. Includes bibliographical references (p. 91-94). This thesis studies the role of the financial system in the amplification and propagation of business cycles. Chapter 1 studies the origin and propagation of balance sheet recessions. I first show that in standard models driven by TFP shocks, the balance sheet channel disappears when agents are allowed to write contracts on the aggregate state of the economy. In contrast, I show how uncertainty shocks can drive balance

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Macchiavelli, Marco. "Essays in Macroeconomics and Finance." Thesis, Boston College, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/2345/bc-ir:104232.

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Thesis advisor: Susanto Basu The goal of this dissertation is to shed some light on three separate aspects of the financial system that can lead to greater instability in the banking sector and greater macroeconomic volatility. The starting point of the Great Recession was the collapse of the banking sector in late 2007; in the subsequent months, liquidity evaporated in many markets for short term funding. The process of creating liquidity carried out by the banking system involves the transformation of long term illiquid assets into short term liquid liabilities. This engine functions prop

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Pang, Wei. "Ambiguity in macroeconomics and finance." Thesis, University of Birmingham, 2005. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.668336.

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Hu, Yushan. "Essays in Macroeconomics and Finance:." Thesis, Boston College, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/2345/bc-ir:108735.

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Thesis advisor: Fabio Schiantarelli Thesis advisor: Zhijie Xiao This dissertation consists of three essays in macroeconomics and finance. The first and second chapters analyze the impact of the financial shocks and anti-corruption campaign on Chinese firms through the bank lending channel. The third chapter provides a new method to predict the cash flow from operations (CFO) via semi-parametric estimation and machine learning. The first chapter explores the impact of the financial crisis and sovereign debt crisis on Chinese firms through the bank lending channel and firm borrowing channe

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Kanik, Zafer. "Networks in Macroeconomics and Finance." Thesis, Boston College, 2018. http://hdl.handle.net/2345/bc-ir:108184.

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Thesis advisor: Matthew O. Jackson In this dissertation, I focus on networks in macroeconomics and finance. In Chapter 1, I develop a theoretical model of rescue of distressed financial institutions. I study rescues in a coalition formation framework, which provides new insights into the financial contagion and stability and rescue of systemically important financial institutions. The findings show that the levels of negative shock, bankruptcy costs, interbank obligations of each financial firm and the topology of the interbank network all together determine financial firms’ contributions i

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Clymo, Alex. "Essays in macroeconomics and finance." Thesis, London School of Economics and Political Science (University of London), 2015. http://etheses.lse.ac.uk/3280/.

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I present a thesis in three chapters on the topics of Macroeconomics and Finance. In the first chapter, I study the ex ante effects of the fear of future financial crises. Crises are modelled through multiple equilibria driven by a self-fulfilling fall in asset prices. I study the effects of allowing agents to anticipate such an event. In a financial crisis, capital is pushed away from experts and towards less productive households, worsening the allocation of capital. Anticipation of this lowers asset prices, investment, and growth today, even if experts are currently well enough capitalised

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Livres sur le sujet "Macroeconomics and finance"

Fontana, Giuseppe, John McCombie, and Malcolm Sawyer, eds. Macroeconomics, Finance and Money. Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230285583.

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Felderer, B. Macroeconomics and new macroeconomics. Springer-Verlag, 1987.

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Felderer, B. Macroeconomics and new macroeconomics. 2nd ed. Springer-Verlag, 1992.

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Pikoulakis, Emmanuel. International macroeconomics. St. Martin's Press, 1995.

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FitzGerald, E. V. K. The Macroeconomics of Development Finance. Palgrave Macmillan UK, 1993. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-22475-3.

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Balloch, Cynthia Mei. Essays on Finance and Macroeconomics. [publisher not identified], 2018.

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Baek, Seungjun. Essays on Macroeconomics and Finance. [publisher not identified], 2015.

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G, Kohn Meir, Tsiang Sho-chieh, Zhong yang yan jiu yuan., Zhonghua jing ji yan jiu yuan., and Symposium on Monetary Theory (1986 : Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica), eds. Finance constraints, expectations, and macroeconomics. Clarendon Press, 1988.

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Ottonello, Pablo. Essays in Macroeconomics and Finance. [publisher not identified], 2015.

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Gregory, Paul R. Macroeconomics. HarperCollins Publishers, 1994.

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Chapitres de livres sur le sujet "Macroeconomics and finance"

Vercelli, Alessandro. "Finance and Macroeconomics." In Finance and Democracy. Springer International Publishing, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-27912-7_4.

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Baddeley, Michelle. "Behavioural Macroeconomics." In Behavioural Economics and Finance. Routledge, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9781315211879-17.

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Lewin, Peter, and Nicolás Cachanosky. "EVA and macroeconomics." In Capital and Finance. Routledge, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9780429031687-14.

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Goodwin, Neva, Jonathan M. Harris, Julie A. Nelson, Pratistha Joshi Rajkarnikar, Brian Roach, and Mariano Torras. "Money, Banking, and Finance." In Macroeconomics in Context, 4th ed. Routledge, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9781003251521-14.

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Dullien, Sebastian, Neva Goodwin, Jonathan M. Harris, Julie A. Nelson, Brian Roach, and Mariano Torras. "Money, Banking, and Finance." In Macroeconomics in Context. Routledge, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9781315644653-14.

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Marston, Richard C. "Three Parity Conditions in International Finance." In Open-Economy Macroeconomics. Palgrave Macmillan UK, 1993. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-12884-6_14.

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Tsoukis, Christopher, Frédéric Tournemaine, and Edward John Driffill. "Socio-Economics, Macroeconomics, and Finance." In Social and Behavioural Macroeconomics. Springer Nature Switzerland, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-77748-6_8.

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Schmölders, Günter. "Psychology and Macroeconomics." In The Psychology of Money and Public Finance. Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2006. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230625112_6.

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Creel, Jérôme, and Giuseppe Fontana. "Are the Macro Econometrics Models of the Federal Reserve Board, the Bank of Canada, and the Sveriges Riksbank consistent with the New Consensus Macroeconomics Model?" In Macroeconomics, Finance and Money. Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230285583_1.

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Kitromilides, Yiannis. "The Banking Crisis, Nationalization of Banking and the Mixed Economy." In Macroeconomics, Finance and Money. Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230285583_10.

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Actes de conférences sur le sujet "Macroeconomics and finance"

Septiarini, Tri, Muhamad Taufik, Mufti Afif, and Atika Masrifah. "Analysis of Macroeconomics Factor Affecting Jakarta Islamic Index." In ASEAN Universities Conference on Islamic Finance. SCITEPRESS - Science and Technology Publications, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.5220/0009864700190022.

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Křečková, Renáta, Daniela Šálková, Radka Procházková, and Sergyi Yekimov. "MACROECONOMICS AND TOURISM DEMAND: EVALUATING THE ROLE OF ECONOMIC INDICATORS IN THE CZECH REPUBLIC’S HOSPITALITY INDUSTRY." In International Conference on Economics, Finance & Business, Prague. International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, 2024. https://doi.org/10.20472/efc.2024.022.008.

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Bedir, Serap, and Arzu Tural Dikmen. "Fiscal Deficit and Inflation: New Evidences from Turkey Using a Bounds Testing Approach." In International Conference on Eurasian Economies. Eurasian Economists Association, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.36880/c05.00915.

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A well-established theory in macroeconomics is that governments running persistent deficits have sooner or later to finance those deficits with money creation, thus producing inflation. The fiscal view of inflation has been especially prominent in the developing country literature, which has long recognized that less efficient tax collection, political instability, and more limited access to external borrowing tend to lower the relative cost of seigniorage and increase dependence on the inflation tax. For this reason, the main factors which affecting inflation rate in developing countries are

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Forsberg, P., and M. Wahde. "Macroeconomic time series prediction using prediction networks and evolutionary algorithms." In COMPUTATIONAL FINANCE 2006. WIT Press, 2006. http://dx.doi.org/10.2495/cf060391.

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Húleková, Marika. "Analýza vývoja ekonomických determinantov na vojenské výdavky SR v rokoch 2000-2023." In Aktuálne problémy vojenskej logistiky a manažmentu zdrojov v oblasti obrany a bezpečnosti – 2024. Akadémia ozbrojených síl generála Milana Rastislava Štefánika, 2024. https://doi.org/10.52651/vl.c.2024.9788080406776.131-143.

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This contribution deals with the analysis of economic determinants that affect the military expenditures of the Slovak Republic in the period from 2000 to 2023. The primary objective is to identify the main macroeconomic factors, such as gross domestic product (GDP), public finance deficit, inflation rate and unemployment, which shape the amount of expenditure allocated to defence. The author examines the relationship between the development of these indicators and defense spending, pointing out the fundamental impact of global security threats, as well as economic and financial crises, which

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Rusnak, Alexander Michael, and Stéphane Daul. "Macroeconomic Conditioned Synthetic Financial Markets." In ICAIF '24: 5th ACM International Conference on AI in Finance. ACM, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1145/3677052.3698606.

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Panasyuk, Mikhail. "ESTIMATION OF MACROECONOMIC SYSTEMS LIVABILITY." In SGEM 2014 Scientific SubConference on POLITICAL SCIENCES, LAW, FINANCE, ECONOMICS AND TOURISM. Stef92 Technology, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.5593/sgemsocial2014/b23/s7.025.

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Csápai, Ádám. "MACROECONOMIC FORECASTING USING MACHINE LEARNING: A CASE OF SLOVAKIA." In International Conference on Economics, Finance & Business, Prague. International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, 2023. https://doi.org/10.20472/efc.2023.019.005.

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Salzmann, Eleonora. "Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on ESG (Environmental, Social, and Corporate Governance) – Index performance: empirical study on Eurozone data." In Konfrence doktorandů. Vysoká škola finanční a správní, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.37355/kd-2023-09.

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The movement towards a low-carbon economy is driven by processes like decarbonization, digitalization, ESG transition, and Industry 4.0. ESG investing has evolved into sustainable finance, aligning corporate governance with long-term ESG principles (Friede et al., 2015). The recent Russian-Ukrainian war has accelerated the shift to a low-carbon economy due to rising energy costs. Companies with high energy consumption have seen their stock prices decline, while ESG-driven companies show lower sensitivity to macroeconomic factors like energy prices. This paper aims to explore how macroeconomic

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Subedi, Mukti Nath. "EFFECTS OF MACROECONOMIC POLICY SHOCK ON THE LABOUR MARKET DYNAMICS IN AUSTRALIA." In 5th Economics & Finance Conference, Miami. International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.20472/efc.2016.005.026.

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Rapports d'organisations sur le sujet "Macroeconomics and finance"

Shleifer, Andrei, and Robert Vishny. Fire Sales in Finance and Macroeconomics. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w16642.

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Diebold, Francis, Monika Piazzesi, and Glenn Rudebusch. Modeling Bond Yields in Finance and Macroeconomics. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2005. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w11089.

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Atkeson, Andrew, Jonathan Heathcote, and Fabrizio Perri. Reconciling Macroeconomics and Finance for the U.S. Corporate Sector: 1929 to Present. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2025. https://doi.org/10.3386/w33459.

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Hirtle, Beverly, and Anna Kovner. Demographic Differences in Letters of Recommendation for Economics Ph.D. Students. Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.59576/sr.1129.

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We analyze 6,400 letters of recommendation for more than 2,200 economics and finance Ph.D. graduates from 2018 to 2021. Letter text varies significantly by field of interest, with significantly less positive and shorter letters for Macroeconomics and Finance candidates. Letters for female and Black or Hispanic job candidates are weaker in some dimensions, while letters for Asian candidates are notably less positive overall. We introduce a new measure of letter quality capturing candidates that are recommended to “top” departments. Female, Asian, and Black or Hispanic candidates are all less li

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Boyarchenko, Nina, and Leonardo Elias. The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly of International Debt Market Data. Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.59576/sr.1074.

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Comprehensive granular data on firms’ access to international credit markets and its determinants is instrumental to answering a wide set of questions in international macroeconomics and finance. We describe how to put together data on primary market issuance and secondary market pricing, how to track debt securities over their lifetimes on firms’ balance sheets, and how to collect data on issuers’ financial statements. We argue that choices that need to be made in collating comprehensive information on debt market activity have non-trivial consequences for the measurement of key credit market

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Ávila-Montealegre, Oscar Iván, Juan J. Ospina-Tejeiro, and Mario A. Ramos-Veloza. Macroeconomic Effects of Healthcare Financing in Colombia. Banco de la República, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.32468/be.1278.

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Healthcare expenditure in Colombia is expected to increase by 35\% over the next eight years, due to population aging, rising costs, and domestic policies. These trends, in a context of high levels of informality and affiliation to the subsidized regime, add significant pressure to public finances. Using a dynamic general equilibrium model with heterogeneous households, we analyze the macroeconomic impact of financing a higher public healthcare expenditure through different taxes. The funding sources play a significant role in shaping the aggregate dynamics and income inequality. While consump

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Favilukis, Jack, Sydney Ludvigson, and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh. The Macroeconomic Effects of Housing Wealth, Housing Finance, and Limited Risk-Sharing in General Equilibrium. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w15988.

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Beck, Thorsten. Long-term Finance in Latin America: A Scoreboard Model. Inter-American Development Bank, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0007018.

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Theory and empirical work have shown that long-term finance is critical for households, firms and government and for the overall development of the economy. The development of efficient and sustainable long-term financial markets, however, depends on macroeconomic stability and an effective institutional framework. Policy initiatives, including tax policy, regulation and competition policies can also improve the availability of long-term finance within these more fundamental constraints. However, country characteristics including size and demographic structure also play an important role. When

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Gavin, Michael. The Mexican Oil Boom: 1977-1985. Inter-American Development Bank, 1996. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0011582.

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The Mexican oil boom was characterized by a period of high investment, followed by capital flight. The private sector and households responded to the 1977-1981 windfall by attaining high savings rates. On the other hand, the Mexican government, the proprietor of the state oil company and the principal beneficiary of the oil boom, used windfall revenues to finance unsustainable spending and even engage in dissaving. These policies produced macroeconomic dislocations that made Mexico highly vulnerable to the inevitable external shocks.

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Corpus, John Paul, and Margarita Debuque-Gonzales. Quantifying the Short-Run Macroeconomic Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Macroeconometric Approach. Philippine Institute for Development Studies, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.62986/dp2023.42.

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While the COVID-19 pandemic’s effects on the Philippine economy have been widely chronicled, there has not been an effort at an ex-post quantification of the pandemic’s impacts using counterfactual analysis. This paper aims to fill this gap. Using a modified version of the PIDS small macroeconometric model, forecasts for 2020 and 2021 are generated to serve as counterfactual paths of key economic indicators in the pandemic’s absence. The gap between the actual and counterfactual trajectories is interpreted as comprising the pandemic’s impact. The impact estimates lend further evidence to the p

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