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1

Shahriari, Shahriar. "The Frechet distribution as an alternative model of extreme value data." Thesis, University of British Columbia, 1987. http://hdl.handle.net/2429/26735.

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The Frechet distribution was applied to a set of earthquake data in order to test its validity as a practical alternative distribution for extreme value data. It was concluded that the Frechet distribution was the best model representing that data set. Also, a Poisson model of occurrence could not be rejected for that data set. The combination of these two models resulted in a closed form unconditional extreme value distribution which was developed analytically. The appropriate statistical tests and sensitivity analyses were performed on the obtained model.<br>Applied Science, Faculty of<br>Me
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2

Matsumoto, K., and A. Laurinčikas. "Joint value-distribution theorems on Lerch zeta-functions. II." Kluwer Academic Publishers-Consultants Bureau, 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/2237/20426.

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Nielsen, Mark A. "Parameter Estimation for the Two-Parameter Weibull Distribution." BYU ScholarsArchive, 2011. https://scholarsarchive.byu.edu/etd/2509.

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The Weibull distribution, an extreme value distribution, is frequently used to model survival, reliability, wind speed, and other data. One reason for this is its flexibility; it can mimic various distributions like the exponential or normal. The two-parameter Weibull has a shape (γ) and scale (β) parameter. Parameter estimation has been an ongoing search to find efficient, unbiased, and minimal variance estimators. Through data analysis and simulation studies, the following three methods of estimation will be discussed and compared: maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), method of moments estim
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Zhi, Tianchen. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Parameters in Exponential Power Distribution with Upper Record Values." FIU Digital Commons, 2017. http://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/etd/3211.

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The exponential power (EP) distribution is a very important distribution that was used by survival analysis and related with asymmetrical EP distribution. Many researchers have discussed statistical inference about the parameters in EP distribution using i.i.d random samples. However, sometimes available data might contain only record values, or it is more convenient for researchers to collect record values. We aim to resolve this problem. We estimated two parameters of the EP distribution by MLE using upper record values. According to simulation study, we used the Bias and MSE of the estimato
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5

Kim, Hyun Seok (John). "Diagnosing examinees' attributes-mastery using the Bayesian inference for binomial proportion: a new method for cognitive diagnostic assessment." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/41144.

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Purpose of this study was to propose a simple and effective method for cognitive diagnosis assessment (CDA) without heavy computational demand using Bayesian inference for binomial proportion (BIBP). In real data studies, BIBP was applied to a test data using two different item designs: four and ten attributes. Also, the BIBP method was compared with DINA and LCDM in the diagnosis result using the same four-attribute data set. There were slight differences in the attribute mastery probability estimate among the three model (DINA, LCDM, BIBP), which could result in different attribute mastery p
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Brathwaite, Joy Danielle. "Value-informed space systems design and acquisition." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/43748.

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Investments in space systems are substantial, indivisible, and irreversible, characteristics that make them high-risk, especially when coupled with an uncertain demand environment. Traditional approaches to system design and acquisition, derived from a performance- or cost-centric mindset, incorporate little information about the spacecraft in relation to its environment and its value to its stakeholders. These traditional approaches, while appropriate in stable environments, are ill-suited for the current, distinctly uncertain and rapidly changing technical, and economic conditions; as such,
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7

Kilčiauskienė, Eglė. "Diskretus Oilerio sandaugų reikšmių pasiskirstymas kompleksinėje plokštumoje." Master's thesis, Lithuanian Academic Libraries Network (LABT), 2011. http://vddb.laba.lt/obj/LT-eLABa-0001:E.02~2011~D_20110802_165144-56022.

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Tegul s yra kompleksinis kintamasis. Oilerio sandaugos apibrėžiamos pagal pirminius p skaičius. Funkcija L(s) turi tenkinti hipotezes. Magistro darbe, įrodome diskrečią ribinę teoremą silpno tikimybinių matų konvergavimo prasme Oilerio sandaugoms kompleksinėje plokštumoje. Gauta mato išreikštinė forma.<br>Let s be a complex variable. The Euler products is defined by the prime number p. The Function L(s) satisfies some additional hypoteses. In Master work, we prove the discrete limit theorem in the sense of weakly convergent probability measures for the Euler products on the complex plane. Then
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8

Kilčiauskienė, Eglė. "Diskretus Oilerio sandaugų reikšmių pasiskirstymas kompleksinėje plokštumoje." Master's thesis, Lithuanian Academic Libraries Network (LABT), 2012. http://vddb.laba.lt/obj/LT-eLABa-0001:E.02~2011~D_20120102_183855-14855.

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Tegul s=σ+it yra kompleksinis kintamasis. Oilerio sandaugos yra apibrėžiamos pagal pirminius skaičius, taip pat yra reikalaujama, kad funkcija L(s) tenkintų papidomas sąlygas. Mes įrodome diskrečią ribinę teoremą tikimybinių matų silpno konvergavimo prasme kompleksinėje plokštumoje C Oilerio sandaugoms.<br>Let s=σ+it be a complex variable. The Euler products L(s) is defined by the prime number. If the function L(s) satisfies some additional hypotheses. In the Master work we prove the discrete limit theorem in the sense of weakly convergent probability measures for the Euler products on the com
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9

Al, Hassan Ahmad. "Estimation des lois extremes multivariees." Paris 6, 1988. http://www.theses.fr/1988PA066014.

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Soit (x::(1),y::(1)). . . (x::(n),y::(n)) un echantillon du vecteur aleatoire extreme (x,y) i. I. D. Suivant l'un des modeles : logistique, gumbel, mixte, naturel. En reduisant les informations par des procedes nouveaux, on presente des resultats originaux sur le probleme d'estimation des parametres de liaison de (x,y) et en faisant des tests bases sur ces estimateurs. Finalement, on etablit quelques resultats sur le probleme d'estimation non parametrique d'une fonction de dependance
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10

Wang, Pu. "Modeling, analysis, and optimization for wireless networks in the presence of heavy tails." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/50232.

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The heavy-tailed traffic from wireless users, caused by the emerging Internet and multimedia applications, induces extremely dynamic and variable network environment, which can fundamentally change the way in which wireless networks are conceived, designed, and operated. This thesis is concerned with modeling, analysis, and optimization of wireless networks in the presence of heavy tails. First, a novel traffic model is proposed, which captures the inherent relationship between the traffic dynamics and the joint effects of the mobility variability of network users and the spatial correlation i
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11

Börjesson, Carl, and Ossian Löhnn. "Univariate GARCH models with realized variance." Thesis, Uppsala universitet, Statistiska institutionen, 2019. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-386073.

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This essay investigates how realized variance affects the GARCH-models (GARCH, EGARCH, GJRGARCH) when added as an external regressor. The GARCH models are estimated with three different distributions; Normal-, Student’s t- and Normal inverse gaussian distribution. The results are ambiguous - the models with realized variance improves the model fit, but when applied to forecasting, the models with realized variance are performing similar Value at Risk predictions compared to the models without realized variance.
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12

Fusek, Michal. "Rozdělení extrémních hodnot a jejich aplikace." Doctoral thesis, Vysoké učení technické v Brně. Fakulta strojního inženýrství, 2013. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-234183.

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The thesis is focused on extreme value distributions and their applications. Firstly, basics of the extreme value theory for one-dimensional observations are summarized. Using the limit theorem for distribution of maximum, three extreme value distributions (Gumbel, Fréchet, Weibull) are introduced and their domains of attraction are described. Two models for parametric functions estimation based on the generalized extreme value distribution (block maxima model) and the generalized Pareto distribution (threshold model) are introduced. Parameters estimates of these distributions are derived usin
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13

Kwiatkowski, Robert, and Shwe Htay. "Kostnadskalkyler med osäkerhetsanalys och subjektiva sannolikheter : En fallstudie på Biogas Mellannorrland." Thesis, Mittuniversitetet, Avdelningen för informationssystem och -teknologi, 2017. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-30591.

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The purpose with this study is to show how the subjective uncertainty analysis can be applied to the cost estimates and examine how the attitudes towards risk budgeting of construction projects works. Biogas Mellannorrland is based on a case study and focuses on four location options for the biogas plant. For each option, a cost estimate in form of a fixed cost and variable cost elements, where the latter are uncertain. Pearson-Tukey method have been applied as a method to estimating subjective probabilities. An assumption is made so that the uncertain costs are normally distributed, where the
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14

Cavalcanti, Gilmara Alves. "Estimação de valores estatísticos de referência para as internações por condições sensíveis a atenção primária em municípios brasileiros." Universidade Federal da Paraíba, 2017. http://tede.biblioteca.ufpb.br:8080/handle/tede/9019.

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Submitted by Viviane Lima da Cunha (viviane@biblioteca.ufpb.br) on 2017-06-26T11:50:59Z No. of bitstreams: 1 arquivototal.pdf: 7515806 bytes, checksum: a09d41d012f6b4bd6ac4e7f7ffd37975 (MD5)<br>Made available in DSpace on 2017-06-26T11:50:59Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 arquivototal.pdf: 7515806 bytes, checksum: a09d41d012f6b4bd6ac4e7f7ffd37975 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2017-03-22<br>Many indicators have been used to verify the e ciency and quality of services in primary health care. Recently, this level of attention has been evaluated in Brazil. The ambulatory cary sensitive conditions (
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15

Ostrouško, Viktorie. "Neurčité a intervalově-pravděpodobnostní přístupy k hodnocení rizik investičního projektu realizovaného formou partnerství veřejného a soukromého sektoru (PPP)." Doctoral thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2009. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-115492.

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The result of my dissertation justifies the use of fuzzy-sets theory to make a prediction of cost risk of a PPP project, when there is not enough information available to clearly describe the project, and, when the probability distributions of the variables that characterize the project are unknown. I showed that fuzzy-sets theory and linguistic variables may be effectively used in such a case. In this thesis were classified different types of uncertainty and investigated traditional methods for estimating efficiency of a investment project in conditions of uncertainty. On the basis of the ana
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16

Pavlíčková, Lenka. "Fitování rozdělení pravděpodobnosti pro aplikace." Master's thesis, Vysoké učení technické v Brně. Fakulta strojního inženýrství, 2012. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-230140.

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The diploma thesis describes the bootstrap method and its applications in the confidence intervals generation, in the testing of statistical hypotheses and in the regression analysis. We present the confidence interval for individual value. Further the method of discrete probability estimation of the categorical quantity is presented, making use the gradient and the line estimate.
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17

Martinásková, Magdalena. "Porovnání účinnosti návrhů experimentů pro statistickou analýzu úloh s náhodnými vstupy." Master's thesis, Vysoké učení technické v Brně. Fakulta stavební, 2014. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-226781.

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The thesis presents methods and criteria for creation and optimization of design of computer experiments. Using the core of a program Freet the optimized designs were created by combination of these methods and criteria. Then, the suitability of the designs for statistical analysis of the tasks vith input random variables was assessed by comparison of the obtained results of six selected functions and the exact (analytically obtained) solutions. Basic theory, definitions of the evaluated functions, description of the setting of optimization and the discussion of the obtained results, including
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18

Frank, Petr. "Metodika zabezpečování optimální přesnosti měření v souladu s metrologickou konfirmací." Doctoral thesis, Vysoké učení technické v Brně. Fakulta elektrotechniky a komunikačních technologií, 2009. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-233462.

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This thesis deals with the evaluation of accuracy of measurement and achieving the required accuracy level. This includes global analysis of the uncertainty evaluation, the calibration interval design and the creation of confirmation system. Basis of this work is in identification of all possible problems, which may occur during evaluation of accuracy and achieving the required accuracy level. The analysis is followed by suggested solutions for identified problems. It means namely the selection of probability distribution in case of uncertainty type A, evaluation of degrees of freedom in case
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19

Beisler, Matthias Werner. "Modelling of input data uncertainty based on random set theory for evaluation of the financial feasibility for hydropower projects." Doctoral thesis, Technische Universitaet Bergakademie Freiberg Universitaetsbibliothek "Georgius Agricola", 2011. http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bsz:105-qucosa-71564.

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The design of hydropower projects requires a comprehensive planning process in order to achieve the objective to maximise exploitation of the existing hydropower potential as well as future revenues of the plant. For this purpose and to satisfy approval requirements for a complex hydropower development, it is imperative at planning stage, that the conceptual development contemplates a wide range of influencing design factors and ensures appropriate consideration of all related aspects. Since the majority of technical and economical parameters that are required for detailed and final design can
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20

Lin, Chun Fu, and 林椿福. "Probability Distribution of Feature Value in Speech Classification." Thesis, 1994. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/80018031901416755142.

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21

Lu, Tsz-Ting, and 路姿庭. "Implied Stock Index Probability Distribution and Value at Risk." Thesis, 2017. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/19924914629752421938.

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碩士<br>國立中央大學<br>財務金融學系<br>105<br>In the past, the Black-Sholes model, studied by Black-Scholes(1973), was the basis for an option pricing model, but it frequently misprices deep in-the-money and deep out-of-the-money options. Hence, a lot of literature proposed different model designed to overcome most of its limitations. On the other hand, value at risk(VaR)has become one of the most important tools for risk management, and many research papers have been published in the academic field. But there is little the relevant research to explore between the two field. Therefore, in order to gain a d
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22

Nemukula, Murendeni M. "Modelling temperature in South Africa using extreme value theory." Thesis, 2018. https://hdl.handle.net/10539/24840.

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Dissertation submitted for Masters of Science degree in Mathematical Statistics in the FacultyofScience, SchoolofStatisticsandActuarialScience, University of the Witwatersrand Johannesburg, January 2018<br>This dissertation focuses on demonstrating the use of extreme value theory in modelling temperature in South Africa. The purpose of modelling temperature is to investigate the frequency of occurrences of extremely low and extremely high temperatures and how they influence the demand of electricity over time. The data comprise a time series of average hourly temperatures that are collected by
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23

Wang, Chia-Hsing, and 汪家興. "Using Conditional Partial Expected Value towards the Dynamic Estimation of Mean Project Activity Time Under Different Probability Distribution." Thesis, 2006. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/r4dwbs.

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碩士<br>國立臺北科技大學<br>商業自動化與管理研究所<br>94<br>In daily life, there are multitudes of engineering works in project model, in a project schedule often include a lot of activities. Because the project is to use specific resource, manpower, material resources to reach the goal in a most efficient way within limited time so must use the technology of project management to management the activity time in project and make the whole project can be finished as scheduled. Because project management most important work is to control time, so to there are many technological kinds to analysis activity time in pro
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24

Beisler, Matthias Werner. "Modelling of input data uncertainty based on random set theory for evaluation of the financial feasibility for hydropower projects." Doctoral thesis, 2010. https://tubaf.qucosa.de/id/qucosa%3A22775.

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The design of hydropower projects requires a comprehensive planning process in order to achieve the objective to maximise exploitation of the existing hydropower potential as well as future revenues of the plant. For this purpose and to satisfy approval requirements for a complex hydropower development, it is imperative at planning stage, that the conceptual development contemplates a wide range of influencing design factors and ensures appropriate consideration of all related aspects. Since the majority of technical and economical parameters that are required for detailed and final design can
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25

Ouimet, Frédéric. "Extremes of log-correlated random fields and the Riemann zeta function, and some asymptotic results for various estimators in statistics." Thèse, 2019. http://hdl.handle.net/1866/22667.

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26

El-Khatib, Mayar. "Highway Development Decision-Making Under Uncertainty: Analysis, Critique and Advancement." Thesis, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/10012/5741.

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While decision-making under uncertainty is a major universal problem, its implications in the field of transportation systems are especially enormous; where the benefits of right decisions are tremendous, the consequences of wrong ones are potentially disastrous. In the realm of highway systems, decisions related to the highway configuration (number of lanes, right of way, etc.) need to incorporate both the traffic demand and land price uncertainties. In the literature, these uncertainties have generally been modeled using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) process, which has been used extens
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