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Artykuły w czasopismach na temat „OECD Composite Leading Indicators”

Autor: Grafiati

Data publikacji: 3 czerwca 2025

Data aktualizacji: 31 lipca 2025

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1

Nilsson, Ronny, and Emmanuelle Guidetti. "Current Period Performance of OECD Composite Leading Indicators." Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis 2007, no. 2 (2008): 235–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2007-5km7vgqh718t.

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Tkáčová, Andrea, and Marianna Siničáková. "New composite leading indicator of the Hungarian business cycle." Acta Oeconomica 65, no. 3 (2015): 479–501. http://dx.doi.org/10.1556/032.65.2015.3.7.

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The objective of the paper is to create a composite leading indicator (CLI) for monitoring and predicting Hungarian business cycles. We compare the existing CLI applied by the OECD and Eurostat with our own CLI. According to our findings, our CLI forecasts the evolution of a referential series more precisely than the CLIs developed by the OECD and Eurostat. Nevertheless, from our point of view, the application of all existing CLIs at the same time can be appropriate. Consequently, the number of false signals should be reduced. The CLIs allow us to receive the first rough preliminary estimation

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3

Handoko, Rudi. "DEVELOPING LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR EASTERN INDONESIAN ECONOMY." Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan 1, no. 1 (2017): 85–108. http://dx.doi.org/10.31685/kek.v1i1.243.

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The main reason for the construction of the leading indicators for Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) of Eastern Indonesia is the need for macro-economic policy decision making to obtain the up-to-date condition of the GRDP of Eastern Indonesia development. Using the methodology which was used by the OECD, the composite of leading index for GRDP of Eastern Indonesia has built with its components consist of the 24 variables of total 59 variables relevant to the economy of Eastern Indonesia. This study will contribute to knowledge in terms of the methods used would be adapted to the conditio

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4

Dzikevičius, Audrius, and Jaroslav Vetrov. "Stock Market Analysis Through Business Cycle Approach." Business: Theory and Practice 13, no. (1) (2012): 36–42. https://doi.org/10.3846/btp.2012.04.

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It is often claimed that stock prices are determined on the basis of some key macroeconomic indicators. Presumably, stock market movements reflect positions taken by market participants based on their assessment about the current state of the economy. Given the forward-looking behaviour of OECD Composite Leading Indicator which identifies business cycle phase, this paper explores the possibility of improving risk-adjusted returns of portfolio of US stocks. Using portfolios which are composed only of US stocks we show that asset weights should be modified to accommodate cyclical shifts in the e

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Dzikevičius, Audrius, and Jaroslav Vetrov. "Investment Portfolio Management Using the Business Cycle Approach." Business: Theory and Practice 14, no. (1) (2013): 57–63. https://doi.org/10.3846/btp.2013.07.

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A dissimilar performance characteristic displayed by asset classes over the economic business cycle has determined the purpose of this study - the integration of the business cycle approach into the construction of optimal investment portfolios. The paper combines business cycle, asset allocation and portfolio optimization theories by presenting a new model of the investment process and adding valuable information about the performance of asset classes in different phases of the business cycle. One of the best measures for the business cycle are leading indicators that can provide significant

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6

Stetsenko, Sergii, and Anton Moholivets. "Methodical approaches to forecasting and early detection of economic cyclicity." Ways to Improve Construction Efficiency 2, no. 47 (2021): 120–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.32347/2707-501x.2021.47(2).120-131.

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The analysis and generalization of theoretical preconditions of formation of the advancing economic indicators which at different times in different countries of the world are used as indicators of change of a phase of an economic cycle is carried out. Based on the analysis of literature sources, it is established that the methodology of economic forecasting of cyclicality in the scientific literature includes two main areas, namely: a) direct forecasting of the dynamics of key macroeconomic indicators based on extrapolation, correlation and regression analysis, expert surveys (consensus forec

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7

Jakubíková, Emília, Andrea Tkáčová, and Anna Bánociová. "Composite Leading Indicators of Economic Cycles of V4 Countries and their Comparison to the CLI of the Eurostat and the OECD." Politická ekonomie 62, no. 2 (2014): 194–215. http://dx.doi.org/10.18267/j.polek.946.

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8

Yamada, Hiroshi. "A Note on Band-Pass Filters Based on the Hodrick-Prescott Filter and the OECD System of Composite Leading Indicators." OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis 2011, no. 2 (2012): 105–9. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2011-5kg0pb01sbbt.

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9

Dzikevičius, Audrius, and Jaroslav Vetrov. "ANALYSIS OF ASSET CLASSES THROUGH THE BUSINESS CYCLE." Business, Management and Education 10, no. 1 (2012): 1–10. http://dx.doi.org/10.3846/bme.2012.01.

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This study was driven by the dissimilar performance characteristics displayed by asset classes over the business cycle. The authors aim to explore assets classes on the grounds of a scientific literature review and a statistical analysis. Business cycles are divided into four stages to explore broad movements in returns of asset classes and a possible existence of asymmetrical effects of determinants within stages. Six main asset classes were analysed: US stocks, EAFE stocks, Bonds, Gold, Real Estate and Commodities. Monthly data from February 1976 to August 2011 were used for the study. The a

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10

Celebi, Kaan, and Michaela Hönig. "The Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on the German Stock Market: Evidence for the Crisis, Pre- and Post-Crisis Periods." International Journal of Financial Studies 7, no. 2 (2019): 18. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijfs7020018.

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Today we live in a post-truth and highly digitalized era characterized by a flow of (mis-) information around the world. Identifying the impact of this information on stock markets and forecasting stock returns and volatilities has become a much more difficult task, perhaps almost impossible. This paper investigates the impact of macroeconomic factors, German government bond yields, sentiment and other leading indicators on the main German stock index, namely the DAX30, for the time period from 1991 to 2018. Using a dataset on 24 factors and over a timeframe of about 27 years, we found evidenc

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11

MAKHONIN, Vladyslav. "INTERRELATION OF THE INCLUSIVE DEVELOPMENT INDEX SYSTEM AND CURRENT GDP & GDP BASED ON PPP INDICATORS." Herald of Khmelnytskyi National University. Economic sciences 308, no. 4 (2022): 118–24. http://dx.doi.org/10.31891/2307-5740-2022-308-4-18.

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This article is empirical in nature. Its purpose is to analyze, on the basis of a multivariate regression model, the question of the impact of the Inclusive Development Index–as the first index instrument of an inclusive economy–on such two forms of GDP as an indicator that the Inclusive Development Index was recognized to replace: current GDP per capita and GDP based purchasing power parity (given that the constant GDP indicator is officially included in the structure of the Index). The dimension of analysis described above and presented in this article is a component of the author’s research

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12

Khundrakpam, Jeevan Kumar, Rajesh Kavediya, and Jessica M. Anthony. "Estimating Financial Conditions Index for India." Journal of Emerging Market Finance 16, no. 1 (2017): 61–89. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0972652716686273.

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This article constructs financial condition indices (FCIs) for India and explores their predictive ability of business cycle. The estimated FCIs indicate substantial tightening in financial conditions in India since the global financial crisis barring a brief phase during 2010–11. Unlike in the literature, it shows the importance of standardising the financial variables by removing the influence of unit of measurement and not purging the influence of past economic activity as that improves the forecasting ability of FCI about business cycle. In predicting GDP growth, principal component analys

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13

Weale, Martin. "An Assessment of OECD and UK Leading Indicators." National Institute Economic Review 156 (May 1996): 63–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/002795019615600105.

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Leading indicators are produced by both the OECD and the UK Office of National Statistics as tools for predicting turning points of the business cycle. An assessment on the basis of performance at turning points is frustrated by their scarcity. It is found that the indicators generally have significant (but not good) ability to predict changes in the direction of the variable they are intended to lead. When they are included in VAR models the standard error of quarter on quarter changes is generally lower than when pure autoregressions are used. However, the forecasting power of such equations

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14

Tang, Candy Mei Fung, Brian King, and Stephen Pratt. "Predicting hotel occupancies with public data." Tourism Economics 23, no. 5 (2016): 1096–113. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1354816616666670.

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This study demonstrates the value of using readily available Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) indicators to estimate hotel occupancy trends in a particular territory (Hong Kong) drawing upon almost four decades of data (1972–2010). The indicators predict the economic climate at global, regional and national levels by providing comprehensive statistically based economic information. They should be of particular benefit for resource-constrained small and/or independent hotel operations for whom accurate occupancy predictions facilitate a more targeted approach to str

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15

Fichtner, Ferdinand, Rasmus Rüffer, and Bernd Schnatz. "The Forecasting Performance of Composite Leading Indicators." OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis 2011, no. 1 (2011): 55–72. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2011-5kgg5k4zb49w.

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16

Matić, Robert, Helena Blažić Pečarić, and Maja Grdinić. "Porezna autonomija lokalne samouprave." Hrvatska i komparativna javna uprava 24, no. 1 (2024): 29–58. http://dx.doi.org/10.31297/hkju.24.1.5.

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The paper measures the total (two-tier) local tax autonomy (cities/municipalities and counties combined) in Croatia applying the OECD methodology in terms of the definition and scope of taxes and their classification according to taxing power and autonomy. First, it follows the methodology of previous studies for Croatia, which considered only nominal taxes. This results in a relatively small share of autonomous taxes in local tax revenues. The change from a formal recording of taxes to an effective one based on the OECD definition of taxes leads to more than a doubling of local autonomous tax

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17

LEE, CHIEN-MING, and HSUAN-HSUAN CHOU. "GREEN GROWTH IN TAIWAN — AN APPLICATION OF THE OECD GREEN GROWTH MONITORING INDICATORS." Singapore Economic Review 63, no. 02 (2018): 249–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s0217590817400100.

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Green growth is a global priority strategy for responding to climate change. This paper applies the OECD (2011a) green growth monitoring indicators framework to analyze 20 indicators of progress toward green growth specific to Taiwan. Principal Component Analysis and Analytic Hierarchy Process are used as weighting methods to calculate an aggregating composite index and perform sensitivity testing. The results show that for the past decade (2002–2011), Taiwan has been moving toward green growth but has been negatively impacted by its natural capital stock. This indicates that improving natural

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18

Biancone, Paolo Pietro, Silvana Secinaro, and Valerio Brescia. "Better Life Index and Health Care Quality Indicators, Two New Instruments to Evaluate the Healthcare System." International Journal of Business and Management 13, no. 2 (2018): 29. http://dx.doi.org/10.5539/ijbm.v13n2p29.

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Local health companies have been trying to report quantitative and qualitative information through social reporting tools for a long time. The OECD has been questioning for quite some time how to evaluate satisfaction and quality by not considering the economic aspect alone in the quest for satisfying the needs of the citizen. The aim of the work is to evaluate how the compound indicator of well-being perceived by the population and the composite indicator of the quality of health services can be used to define health policies considering the incidence of other variables. In the analysis, it i

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19

Koh, S. C. L., Jonathan Morris, Seyed Mohammad Ebrahimi, and Raymond Obayi. "Integrated resource efficiency: measurement and management." International Journal of Operations & Production Management 36, no. 11 (2016): 1576–600. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ijopm-05-2015-0266.

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Purpose Drawing on the systems theory and the natural resource-based view, the purpose of this paper is to advance an integrated resource efficiency view (IREV) and derive a composite “integrated resource efficiency index” (IRE-index) for assessing the environmental, economic, and social resource efficiencies of production economies. Design/methodology/approach Using sub-national input-output data, the IRE-index builds on the human development index (HDI) and the OECD green growth indicators by including functions for environmental resource efficiency, energy, and material productivity. The st

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20

Tkacova, Andrea, Beata Gavurova, and Katarina Kelemen. "Prediction of business cycle of Poland." JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL STUDIES 15, no. 3 (2022): 65–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.14254/2071-8330.2022/15-3/5.

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The paper is focused on the construction of a new composite indicator intended to predict the economic cycle of Poland and its comparison with the existing CLI used by international institutions such as OECD and Eurostat. In part, this research is also dedicated to monitoring the partial advance cyclical indicators that make up the CLI components and their changes over time. The paper explores 62 qualitative and quantitative economic indicators of Poland and their relationship to the development of monthly GDP at constant prices in three different time periods: 2005 to 2021, 2010 to 2021, and

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21

Горбунова, Виктория. "СОВРЕМЕННЫЕ ТЕНДЕНЦИИ РАЗВИТИЯ НАУЧНО-ТЕХНИЧЕСКОЙ БЕЗОПАСНОСТИ ТЕРРИТОРИЙ". Baltic Economic Journal 2, № 30 (2020): 39–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.46845/2073-3364-2020-2-30-39.

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The work substantiates the importance of increasing the level of scientific and technological security both in regions separately and in the state as a whole. The author assessed the innovative "involvement" of the Kaliningrad region according to a specific system of indicators. The article analyzes the seven leading OECD countries in research and ranking these developed countries according to the most significant indicators. In order to increase national security and strengthen the policy of supporting science and technology, a set of specific strategic actions is proposed. The findings and s

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22

Harizan, Siti Haslina Md, and Syed Afzal Moshadi Shah. "Composite sustainability index for online and distance education." International Journal of Innovative Research and Scientific Studies 6, no. 4 (2023): 1032–40. http://dx.doi.org/10.53894/ijirss.v6i4.2387.

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The surge in internet usage and the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic have emphasized the significance of online and distance education. However, there is a scarcity of scholarly research on the sustainability of initiatives implemented through these modalities, and the existing measurement methodologies for sustainability are not well suited to this particular context. This study aims to elucidate the relationship between sustainability and the performance of online and distance education and proposes a composite sustainability index to assess these programmes. The methodology for constructi

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23

Skare, Marinko, Beata Gavurova, and Andrea Tkacova. "Analytical framework for industry-oriented leading cyclical indicators: Empirical investigation of EU economic cycles." Acta Oeconomica 74, no. 2 (2024): 145–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.1556/032.2024.00007.

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AbstractThis research developed an analytical framework for industry-oriented leading cyclical indicators (CII), focusing on monitoring and forecasting economic cycles within the European Union (EU). Various methodologies for constructing these indicators were examined through an exhaustive sector analysis. A salient conclusion drawn is the non-feasibility of a one-size-fits-all composite leading indicator for all EU members. It underscores the imperative to tailor these indicators in congruence with the unique industrial characteristics of each country. The study provides empirical evidence t

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24

Tule, Moses, Taiwo Ajilore, and Godday Ebuh. "A composite index of leading indicators of unemployment in Nigeria." Journal of African Business 17, no. 1 (2015): 87–105. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15228916.2016.1113909.

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KOENIG, EVAN F., and KENNETH M. EMERY. "WHY THE COMPOSITE INDEX OF LEADING INDICATORS DOES NOT LEAD." Contemporary Economic Policy 12, no. 1 (1994): 52–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1465-7287.1994.tb00412.x.

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Bikker, J. A., and N. O. Kennedy. "Composite leading indicators of underlying inflation for seven EU countries." Journal of Forecasting 18, no. 4 (1999): 225–58. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1099-131x(199907)18:4<225::aid-for722>3.0.co;2-p.

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Lesage, James P. "Scoring the composite leading indicators: A Bayesian turning points approach." Journal of Forecasting 11, no. 1 (1992): 35–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/for.3980110104.

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Noorsa'adah, Noorsa'adah, Nur Salam, and Dewi Anggraini. "ANALISIS FAKTOR UNTUK PEMBENTUKAN INDEKS KESEHATAN IBU DI PROVINSI KALIMANTAN SELATAN." RAGAM: Journal of Statistics & Its Application 2, no. 2 (2024): 13. http://dx.doi.org/10.20527/ragam.v2i2.11489.

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Maternal health is an important health problem because mothers are the printers of the next generation. Maternal health can describe the quality of the child to be born, so maternal health is very important to pay attention to. In Indonesia, the government has made various efforts to improve maternal health, which is still far from being expected. In this improvement effort, it is necessary to have a measure that can be used to monitor and evaluate the health development carried out, especially in the Province of South Kalimantan. Therefore, this study aims to establish a measure that can be u

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29

Chelli, Francesco, Mariateresa Ciommi, Francesca Mariani, et al. "A Story of Strengths and Weaknesses in Tertiary Education: Evaluating ‘Mobility’ and ‘Opportunities’ in OECD Countries with Composite Indicators." Sustainability 14, no. 24 (2022): 16463. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su142416463.

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Assuming a high education level associated with a high probability of job occupancy and greater income, comparative exercises analyzing academic performances and socioeconomic dynamics at regional, country, or supra-national scales have intensified in recent years. As far as tertiary education is concerned, a great disparity in academic performance was characteristic of OECD countries. While adults 25–34 years old were attaining tertiary degrees more frequently than adults 55–64 years old, adults 30–34 years old with at least one tertiary-educated parent were more likely to attain a tertiary d

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30

Müller-Frączek, Iwona. "Periodical measurement of multidimensional phenomena." Acta Oeconomica 73, no. 2 (2023): 305–25. http://dx.doi.org/10.1556/032.2023.00018.

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AbstractSynthesizing multidimensional phenomena such as well-being in the form of composite indicators has been gaining popularity in recent years. The Mazziotta-Pareto Index is one of the methods of constructing non-compensatory composite indices. The paper proposes a modification of this method, which (unlike the original) enables periodical measurements and can be used to compare countries in research on East European transition. The essence of this modification is the use of anti-pattern normalization, during which only current data is used, and yet after normalization, the indicators are

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31

Lentner, Csaba, Szilárd Hegedűs, and Vitéz Nagy. "Correlations of Taxation and Macroeconomic Indicators in the OECD Member Countries from 2014 to the First Year of the Crisis Caused by COVID-19." Journal of Risk and Financial Management 15, no. 10 (2022): 464. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15100464.

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This paper explores the characteristics and inter-relationships of tax systems in the OECD countries over the period 2014–2020, i.e., from a relatively consolidated economic period until the end of the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. A predictable tax system is essential for the proper functioning of the economy. One of our two main research objectives was to develop a composite indicator for taxation, consisting of tax rates and tax administration time. This composite indicator was then tested using multivariate statistical methods. Our second research objective was to explore the correl

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32

Stumbrienė, Dovilė, Audronė Jakaitienė, and Rimantas Želvys. "Status of Education System: Interactions of Input and Output Composite Indicators." Lietuvos statistikos darbai 56, no. 1 (2017): 31–40. http://dx.doi.org/10.15388/ljs.2017.13669.

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Education is one of keystones that guarantees well-being of a country, therefore the understanding about the educationsystem status might be crucial. It motivates to measure the state of the education system, to understand its determinants and tomonitor changes over time that would allow the implementation of evidence-based education policy. Measurement and assessment ofthe state of the education system is a complex task, as the analysis of individual indicators of the educational system is insufficient tomonitor and evaluate education as a multidimensional phenomenon. To achieve a comprehensi

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33

Rakhmonov, Nuriddin. "PROSPECTS FOR THE USE OF INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCE IN IMPROVING THE PENSION SYSTEM OF THE REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN." International Journal Of Management And Economics Fundamental 03, no. 01 (2023): 1–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.37547/ijmef/volume03issue01-01.

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The article deals with the evaluation of pension systems in the light of existing and recognized by leading economic scientists static indicators on a global scale: demographic load, replacement rate, government expenditures on pension payments, assets of the pension system, the efficiency of the pension system. Practical results of the experience and reforms of pension systems of foreign countries, mainly OECD countries, were taken as the initial data of the analysis. Developed recommendations and proposals for the possibilities of improving the pension system of the Republic of Uzbekistan at

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Korobkov, D. S., S. Yu Filimonov, and A. S. Nikolaev. "«Green» Technical Solutions as One of the Indicators of Innovation Activity in the Field of Sustainable Development." Economics. Law. Innovaion, no. 4 (December 29, 2022): 12–20. http://dx.doi.org/10.17586/2713-1874-2022-4-12-20.

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The preservation of the environment is one of the highest priorities of the world community. An important role played by «green» technical solutions that combine functionality and reduce the negative impact on the environment. Today, such technical solutions are becoming the subject of active patenting by the world's leading companies and individual authors. This work is devoted to the analysis of «green» patent activity of the countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in the context of its impact on sustainable development. The authors of the study analyze

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Aggarwal, Suresh Chand. "Inclusiveness and the Progress of Indian States: Evidence from Inclusive Development Index Between 2011 and 2018." Indian Journal of Human Development 15, no. 2 (2021): 200–228. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/09737030211008688.

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This article examines the progress of the Indian states in inclusiveness between 2011 and 2018, based on the “Inclusive Development Index” (IDI), which includes many important aspects of the economy and people. The study has followed the broad guidelines of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development—OECD (2008) to construct IDI, and it is based on two pillars of growth—the process and the outcome. The index includes 26 sub-pillars represented by 104 indicators. The weights of the indicators are obtained separately for 2011 and 2018 by applying the principal component analysis a

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Stanković, Jelena J., Ivana Marjanović, Jason Papathanasiou, and Saša Drezgić. "Social, Economic and Environmental Sustainability of Port Regions: MCDM Approach in Composite Index Creation." Journal of Marine Science and Engineering 9, no. 1 (2021): 74. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jmse9010074.

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Maritime transport and ports are among the most important linkages between global economies, handling more than 90% of internationally traded goods. Economic importance of maritime transport imposes significant implications on the social and environmental performance of port regions. The paper aims to create composite indices as relevant, scientific-based tools used in comparing and monitoring various aspects of sustainability across 37 sea port regions in seven countries on the European side of the Mediterranean, covering a five-year period from 2014 to 2018. The model encompasses Eurostat an

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Eyuboglu, Sinem, and Kemal Eyuboglu. "Examining relationship between composite leading indicators and Borsa Istanbul sector indices." Pressacademia 3, no. 1 (2017): 860–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.17261/pressacademia.2017.666.

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Phillips, Keith R. "The composite index of leading economic indicators: A comparison of approaches." Journal of Economic and Social Measurement 25, no. 3-4 (1999): 141–62. http://dx.doi.org/10.3233/jem-1999-0169.

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Mostaghimi, Mehdi. "Monetary policy, composite leading economic indicators and predicting the 2001 recession." Journal of Forecasting 23, no. 7 (2004): 463–77. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/for.923.

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Smirnov, S. V. "Predicting Turning Points of the Russian Economic Cycle Using Composite Leading Indicators." Voprosy statistiki 27, no. 4 (2020): 53–65. http://dx.doi.org/10.34023/2313-6383-2020-27-4-53-65.

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The article provides a brief overview of the background of constructing composite leading indicators (CLI) for Russia; the paper defines key indicators which currently are calculated and published monthly; they can be put in practice to monitor the Russian economy. The underlying methodological approaches are analyzed, along with their advantages and disadvantages. The importance of accounting for a factor of regular or irregular updates and revisions of methods for calculating the CLI is emphasized. Due to them not only the current but also the “historical” dynamics of the indices occasionall

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Al, Rajhi Imad Saif. "CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR HUMAN CAPITAL AND RESEARCH IN OMAN'S INNOVATION SYSTEM: ANALYZING GLOBAL INNOVATION INDEX DATA FOR 2012-2024." Bulletin Social-Economic and Humanitarian Research 24 (26) (November 3, 2024): 28–35. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14030838.

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<strong> </strong>This article examines Oman's human capital and research performance in the Global Innovation Index (GII) in 2012 and looking forward to 2024. The analysis shows that Oman has experienced significant ranking changes (both positive and negative) in education and research indicators. Oman has excelled in producing science and engineering graduates, but its ranking on human capital and research indicators is still very low compared to OECD countries. Researchers believe that these results point to areas where investment and policies need to be improved, focusing on R&D a

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Danindro, Bimo, and Harmawanti Marhaeny. "KAJIAN INDEKS DAYA SAING DESA DAN KELURAHAN DI PROVINSI JAWA TENGAH." Jurnal REP (Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan) 5, no. 2 (2020): 133–47. http://dx.doi.org/10.31002/rep.v5i2.1919.

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Village development positions the village as the subject of development. Competitiveness is defined as the ability to achieve the absolute development goals a village must have to realize the village development policy. The limited size of competitiveness to the village level shows the urgency of establishing these indicators. This study aims to establish a village competitiveness index (IDD) and its comparability to kelurahans. Composite index formation refers to the Handbook on Constructing Composite Indicators: Methodology and User Guide compiled by the OECD. This index covers 5 dimensions

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Hegazi, Nourhan, Diaa Noureldin, and Chahir R. Zaki. "What Drives Business Cycles in Egypt? An Analysis of Coincident and Leading Indicators." Review of Middle East Economics and Finance 19, no. 1 (2023): 37–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/rmeef-2022-0015.

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Abstract The paper proposes a chronology for the Egyptian economy by detecting phases of expansions and recessions during the period (2002–2019). It examines the cyclical behavior of variables that are considered potentially useful in measuring or predicting aggregate economic activity. To do so, we combine the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) approach together with time series analysis techniques to select the variables best suitable to play the role of coincident and leading indicators. This methodology is found to be the most appropriate when there is no well-established referenc

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Szafrański, Grzegorz. "Syntetyczne wskaźniki wyprzedzające w prognozowaniu inflacji w Polsce." Przegląd Statystyczny. Statistical Review 2013, no. 3 (2013): 395–416. http://dx.doi.org/10.59139/ps.2013.03.7.

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We present the procedure for a systematic selection of short-term leading indicators for Polish consumer inflation (CPI) from large number of predictors. Using data set of 189 economic and financial time series (available from July 2009 to November 2012) we select the indicators highly (in-sample) correlated with future inflation from 1 to 12 months ahead. Then we perform a direct forecasting exercise on a real-time data base from December 2010 to November 2012. Compared to individual leading indicators we find that few common factors extracted from a principal component analysis (named compos

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Papić, Milica. "IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON PRIVATE RETIREMENT SAVINGS IN SERBIA." Ekonomske ideje i praksa, no. 48 (March 31, 2023): 67–88. http://dx.doi.org/10.54318/eip.2023.mp.334.

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: The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic and the related economic downturn have impacted retirement savings, retirement saving schemes, providers, regulators and supervisors, potentially leading to future lower incomes during retirement and significant dysfunctions in the market. The main goal of this paper is to investigate how key indicators of the voluntary pension funds market in the Republic of Serbia were influenced by the Pandemic. The Pandemic certainly had an important effect, and we all had the opportunity to learn first-hand that low frequency high severity events do happen, so they

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Kulendran, Nada, and Kevin K. F. Wong. "Determinants versus Composite Leading Indicators in Predicting Turning Points in Growth Cycle." Journal of Travel Research 50, no. 4 (2010): 417–30. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0047287510373280.

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Patrocínio, Rafael Gonçalves, and Jéfferson Augusto Colombo. "Composite leading indicators of economic activity: An application to the upstream oil and gas industry in Rio de Janeiro." Brazilian Review of Finance 18, no. 2 (2020): 55. http://dx.doi.org/10.12660/rbfin.v18n2.2020.81097.

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This paper proposes a monthly composite leading indicator to anticipate turning points in the economic activity of the upstream oil and gas industry in Rio de Janeiro, from January 2002 to May 2019. Firstly, we build a database with 61 series, and categorize each of them into i) rapidly responsive to economic activities; ii) expectation-sensitive; or iii) prime movers indicators. Afterward, we remove the seasonality of the series through the X-13 ARIMA-SEATS method and use the Bry-Boschan algorithm to identify the cycles. Then, we evaluate the components’ fit to integrate the composite leading

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Turner, L., N. Kulendran, and H. Fernando. "The Use of Composite National Indicators for Tourism Forecasting." Tourism Economics 3, no. 4 (1997): 309–17. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/135481669700300401.

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This paper identifies the usefulness of available national indicators in forecasting tourist arrivals to Australia from the USA, Japan, the UK and New Zealand. Income, unemployment, forward exchange rate, money supply, price ratio, industrial production, imports and exports of the tourist's country of origin are potential leading indicators of the tourist arrival series. A composite indicator is developed to forecast tourist arrivals. Further, disaggregated data are analysed to determine whether there is likely to be any increase in accuracy if the travel data is divided by travel type. The ma

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BOUMAHDI, Smail. "Integration of Morocco in the global automotive value chains." African Scientific Journal Vol 3, N°17 (2023): 072. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7802207.

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<strong>Résumé </strong> La création de l’usine de montage Somaca, constitue le premier jalon de l’industrie automobile au Maroc posé au lendemain de son indépendance vers la fin des années 50. Depuis, cette industrie franchisait plusieurs étapes de son parcours de développement sous la houlette des politiques publiques. Le Maroc a pu tirer profit de la vague de la mondialisation de l’automobile entamée depuis les années 90 où les firmes automobiles se désintégraient et la production de

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Drastichová, Magdaléna, and Peter Filzmoser. "Factors of Quality of Life in a Group of Selected European Union and OECD Countries." Problemy Ekorozwoju 16, no. 2 (2021): 75–93. http://dx.doi.org/10.35784/pe.2021.2.09.

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This work focuses on the evaluation of the factors of quality of life in a sample of 26 countries. Quality of life is a complex, multidimensional concept, which includes various social, cultural, economic, political, demographic and environmental aspects. Regarding this, principal component analysis and regression analysis were chosen as relevant methods to analyse relationships among twenty-five variables related to quality of life, and their rela-tionships with three composite indices reflecting crucial aspects of quality of life, wellbeing and sustainability. These indices, applied as the r

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