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Artykuły w czasopismach na temat "Real GDP"

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Hashim, Emilda, Norimah Rambeli, Asmawi Hashim, Norasibah Abdul Jalil, Shahrun Nizam Abdul Aziz, and Noor Al Huda Abdul Karim. "Dynamic Relationship Between Real Export, Real Import, Real Exchange Rate, Labor Force and Real Gross Domestic Product in Malaysia." Research in World Economy 10, no. 5 (2019): 20. http://dx.doi.org/10.5430/rwe.v10n5p20.

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This study examined short run and long run relationship between endogenous and exogenous variables. Specifically, it studied the relationship between real export, real import, labor force participation and real effective exchange rate (REER) and real GDP in Malaysia from 1988 to 2017. These variables were tested in various tests, namely, unit root test, granger causality test, vector autoregressive (VAR), Johansen Juselius test and Error Correction Term (ECT). The result revealed that all variables were non-stationary at the level form and stationary at first difference in ADF unit root test.
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Schiff, Aaron F., and Peter C. B. Phillips. "Forecasting New Zealand's real GDP." New Zealand Economic Papers 34, no. 2 (2000): 159–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00779950009544321.

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Heenan, Geoffrey, Karras Lui, Ian Nield, et al. "Nowcasting Real GDP in Samoa." IMF Working Papers 2025, no. 092 (2025): 1. https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229009782.001.

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This paper describes the recent work to strengthen the nowcasting capacity at the Central Bank of Samoa (CBS). It compiles available high-frequency datasets such as tourism receipts, agriculture market survey, remittances, among others, to nowcast real GDP in Samoa. Nowcasting enables the estimation of the present and near-term forecast. It employs standard nowcasting methods such as Bridge, Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS), and Unrestricted MIDAS (U-MIDAS). All methods significantly outperform the naive forecasts. Our analysis show that forecast combination of the three methods minimizes the root
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Franses, Philip Hans, and Max Welz. "Forecasting Real GDP Growth for Africa." Econometrics 10, no. 1 (2022): 3. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/econometrics10010003.

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We propose a simple and reproducible methodology to create a single equation forecasting model (SEFM) for low-frequency macroeconomic variables. Our methodology is illustrated by forecasting annual real GDP growth rates for 52 African countries, where the data are obtained from the World Bank and start in 1960. The models include lagged growth rates of other countries, as well as a cointegration relationship to capture potential common stochastic trends. With a few selection steps, our methodology quickly arrives at a reasonably small forecasting model per country. Compared with benchmark mode
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Henderson, David. "Rejoinder: Measuring and Comparing Real GDP." Economic Affairs 36, no. 1 (2016): 88–90. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ecaf.12157.

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Summers, Lawrence H. "Comparing Real GDP Across Countries: Comment." Economic Affairs 36, no. 2 (2016): 221–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ecaf.12184.

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Boyarchenko, Nina, Domenico Giannone, and Anna Kovner. "Bank Capital and Real GDP Growth." Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Working Papers 24, no. 08 (2024): 1–70. http://dx.doi.org/10.21144/wp24-08.

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Cahill, Miles B. "Teaching Chain-Weight Real GDP Measures." Journal of Economic Education 34, no. 3 (2003): 224–34. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00220480309595217.

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Rusnák, Marek. "Nowcasting Czech GDP in real time." Economic Modelling 54 (April 2016): 26–39. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2015.12.010.

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Hsing, Yu. "Is Currency Appreciation or Depreciation Expansionary in Kosovo?" Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business 22, no. 1 (2019): 47–54. http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/zireb-2019-0011.

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Abstract Applying an extended IS-MP-AS model (Romer, 2000), this paper shows that real depreciation of the euro raises real GDP in Kosovo and that a lower real lending rate in the euro area, a higher real GDP in Germany, a lower real oil price, or a lower expected inflation rate would help increase real GDP. More government deficit spending as a percent of GDP does not affect real GDP.
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Rozprawy doktorskie na temat "Real GDP"

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Rybanová, Soňa. "Relation between Globalisation and the Real Convergence: Does convergence of globalisation influence convergence of real GDP per capita?" Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2011. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-85839.

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This dissertation poses the question of whether there is a relationship between the speed of convergence of globalisation and the speed of convergence of GDP per capita. Firstly, the concepts of globalisation and real convergence and their relationship are thoroughly explained from both the theoretical and empirical point of view. And secondly, the answer to the question comes in the form of beta and sigma convergence analysis of this relationship. Thirdly, the analysis splits the countries into two groups (developed and developing countries) and finds interesting but ambiguous results in thei
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Neto, Celso de Campos Toledo. "Ciclos do produto brasileiro: decomposição e análise em 'tempo real'." Universidade de São Paulo, 2004. http://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/12/12138/tde-28072004-110113/.

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Esta tese é composta de três artigos. O primeiro artigo aplica a metodologia proposta por Chari, Kehoe e McGrattan (2003) para decompor as flutuações da indústria brasileira, usualmente medidas por meio da aplicação de filtros mecânicos. Sugere-se que os ciclos encontrados pela utilização do filtro Hodrick Prescott (ou qualquer filtro band pass) englobam oscilações econômicas cuja origem pode ser deslocamentos tanto da demanda quanto da oferta. Em particular, as simulações a partir de dados reais indicam que a maior parte dos ciclos brasileiros têm origem na oferta. Este resultado sugere que a
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Hussein, Siti Almafahaza. "Business and Real Estate Cycles The Kuala Lumpur Office Market." Thesis, KTH, Bygg- och fastighetsekonomi, 2011. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-77472.

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Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to apply the concept of business cycle and real estate cycle in term of their characteristics, period and sequence of the cycle to the Kuala Lumpur’s office market. Design/methodology/approach - The paper is based on previous literature review, facts, reports, and data in arriving at the conclusion of the study. Findings - This paper revealed the characteristics, period and sequence between business and real estate cycles to Kuala Lumpur’s office market. Research limitation/ Implications - The framework and flows of this paper act as an introduction for t
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Roihjert, Samuel, and Viktor Åhlander. "Real estate as an investment alternative in an environment with low interest rates and inflation – A comparison between Japan and Sweden." Thesis, KTH, Fastigheter och byggande, 2016. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-190176.

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Today’s market situation for real estate and property developers in Sweden is very unique. It is characterized by low to negative interest rates and low to no inflation. However, many of the existing economic theories are based on positive interest rates and a positive inflation. This has resulted in uncertainties for investors and market players how to assess this new situation and be able to adequately predict how this will affect the real estate market. The purpose of this thesis has been to investigate how a low interest rate and inflation environment affects real estate, as an investment
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Hlongwane, Tshembhani Mackson. "The effect of South African public debt on economic growth: An ARDL cointegration approach from 1961-2017." University of Western Cape, 2019. http://hdl.handle.net/11394/7927.

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Magister Commercii - MCom<br>This study investigates the effect of public debt on economic growth in South Africa since 1961-2017. Public debt stock is disaggregated into external debt and domestic debt in order to determine the effect of each on economic growth independently. The study employed the ARDL bound test to estimate the long and short run relationship among several macroeconomic variables - real economic growth, domestic debt, external debt, budget deficit, inflation rate and investment. An error correction model was used to analyses the short-run disequilibrium. The results show th
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Janíčko, Martin. "Vliv vývoje ekonomiky Německa na hospodářskou výkonnost České republiky v letech 1993-2005." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2007. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-4437.

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The most important aim of the thesis is to find out how strong was the impact of the German economic development on the Czech economy from 1993 to 2005, through what kind of linkages could have been such an impact effective, and what are the future prospects in this field.
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Svatošová, Ludmila. "Odhad potenciálního produktu v ČR a jeho vztah k hospodářskému cyklu." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2013. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-163391.

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Potential output is used as the indicator of the business cycle. The aim of this study is to compare the results of different methods used for estimating potential output and verify the hypothesis that potential output or rather the output gap can serve as a reliable indicator to determine the phase of the business cycle in the Czech Republic in the years 1996-2012. 6 different methods - linear trend, Hodrick-Prescott filter, Baxter-King filter, Butterworth filter, Kalman filter and the production function have been used to estimate potential output. The output gap was determined based on the
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Pumpalavičiūtė, Jurgita. "Nekilnojamojo turto rinka Lietuvoje. Jos ryšys su bankininkystės ir kitais sektoriais bei įtaka šalies ekonomikai." Master's thesis, Lithuanian Academic Libraries Network (LABT), 2006. http://vddb.library.lt/obj/LT-eLABa-0001:E.02~2006~D_20060327_161042-47300.

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The topic of this Master’s thesis is the Lithuanian real estate market and its influence on the country’s economy. The paper elaborates problematic issues of the real estate market: sudden changes, price and demand surges and decrease in supply; as well as influence of such factors as artificial inflation of prices on the future of the economy and potential threats to the welfare of the citizens. The author also advises on making investments and engaging in the real estate market or choosing a personal housing in the context of current sudden changes of the market and prices. A lot of attentio
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Urman, Maxwell J. "The End of the Three Percent Rule: How Structural Changes in the U.S. Economy have Impacted Economic Growth." Scholarship @ Claremont, 2017. http://scholarship.claremont.edu/cmc_theses/1508.

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Using data from government sources (FRED, BEA, BLS), the thesis explores the underlying reasons for declining U.S. economic growth. A long standing trend of annual 3% growth no longer seems to hold true for the economy. The paper summarizes current theory as to why the growth has slowed and finds new explanations by analyzing the various major industries which make up GDP. The results show that sectoral shifts in employment from high paying industries to low paying industries help to explain a significant portion of the decline in national growth rates. The decline in growth is primarily drive
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Lackson, Daniel Mudenda. "Pollution, Electricity Consumption, and Income in the Context of Trade Openness in Zambia." Thesis, Umeå universitet, Nationalekonomi, 2016. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-124715.

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This paper examines the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis and tests for causality using Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) and the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). There is evidence of long-run relationships in the three models under consideration. The Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) finds no evidence to support the existence of an environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis for Zambia in the long-run. The evidence from the long-run suggests an opposite of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC), in that the results indicate a U-shaped curve relationship between income
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Książki na temat "Real GDP"

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Hartman, Harrison C. Bad Breaks in Real GDP and Employment. Springer Nature Switzerland, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57769-7.

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Macdonald, Ryan. Real GDP and the purchasing power of provincial output. Statistics Canada, Micro-Economic Analysis Division, 2007.

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Statistics Canada. Micro-Economic Analysis Division, ed. Real GDP and the purchasing power of provincial output. Micro-Economic Analysis Division, Statistics Canada, 2007.

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Feenstra, Robert C. Who shrunk China?: Puzzles in the measurement of real GDP. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2012.

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Feenstra, Robert C. Who shrunk China?: Puzzles in the measurement of real GDP. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2012.

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Arby, Muhammad Farooq. Long-run trend, business cycles and short-run shocks in real GDP. State Bank of Pakistan, 2001.

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Hall, V. B. A quarterly post-World War II real GDP series for New Zealand. Motu Economic and Public Policy Research Trust, 2007.

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Giannone, Domenico. Nowcasting gdp and inflation: The real-time informational content of macroeconomic data releases. Federal Reserve Board, 2005.

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Wong, Jason. Forecasting inflation and real GDP: Bayesian VAR models of the New Zealand economy. Reserve Bank of New Zealand, 1993.

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Debs, Alexandre. Testing for a structural break in the volatility of real GDP growth in Canada. Bank of Canada, 2001.

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Części książek na temat "Real GDP"

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Hartman, Harrison C. "Hypothesis Testing with Real GDP: Somewhat Mixed Results." In Bad Breaks in Real GDP and Employment. Springer Nature Switzerland, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57769-7_5.

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Hartman, Harrison C. "Econometric Issues To Consider and Model Selection for Some Hypothesis Tests." In Bad Breaks in Real GDP and Employment. Springer Nature Switzerland, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57769-7_4.

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Hartman, Harrison C. "Literature Review of Major Schools of Macroeconomic Thought and Empirical Work." In Bad Breaks in Real GDP and Employment. Springer Nature Switzerland, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57769-7_2.

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Hartman, Harrison C. "Similar Results from an Extended Sample Period and Concluding Remarks to Guide Future Work." In Bad Breaks in Real GDP and Employment. Springer Nature Switzerland, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57769-7_7.

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Hartman, Harrison C. "Derived Demand for Labor and Breaks in Trend: Does Hysteresis in Employment Imply Hysteresis in the Growth Path of Real Output?" In Bad Breaks in Real GDP and Employment. Springer Nature Switzerland, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57769-7_6.

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Hartman, Harrison C. "Introduction to Modern Mainstream Macroeconomic Thought Versus Keynes’ Views on Recoveries from Recessions." In Bad Breaks in Real GDP and Employment. Springer Nature Switzerland, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57769-7_1.

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Hartman, Harrison C. "Results from Estimating and Projecting Trends for Recent Recessions." In Bad Breaks in Real GDP and Employment. Springer Nature Switzerland, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57769-7_3.

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Heim, John J. "Statistically Estimated Real GDP Determination Functions (“IS” Curves)." In An Econometric Model of the US Economy. Springer International Publishing, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-50681-4_7.

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Ndou, Eliphas, Nombulelo Gumata, and Mthuli Ncube. "Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations, Exports and GDP Growth Dynamics." In Global Economic Uncertainties and Exchange Rate Shocks. Springer International Publishing, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-62280-4_6.

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Jakovac, Pavle, Nela Vlahinic Lenz, and Sasa Zikovic. "Macroeconomic Impacts of Electricity Generation on Croatian Real GDP: Causality Analysis." In Entrepreneurship, Business and Economics - Vol. 2. Springer International Publishing, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-27573-4_14.

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Streszczenia konferencji na temat "Real GDP"

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Rothfuss, Jonas, Bhavya Sukhija, Lenart Treven, Florian Dörfler, Stelian Coros, and Andreas Krause. "Bridging the Sim-to-Real Gap with Bayesian Inference." In 2024 IEEE/RSJ International Conference on Intelligent Robots and Systems (IROS). IEEE, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1109/iros58592.2024.10801505.

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Marnet, Luiza Ribeiro, Stella Grasshof, Yury Brodskiy, and Andrzej Wąsowski. "Bridging the Sim-to-Real GAP for Underwater Image Segmentation." In OCEANS 2024 - SINGAPORE. IEEE, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/oceans51537.2024.10682212.

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Sang, Jianbin, Mengwen Zhang, Huicheng Yang, et al. "YOLOv8-GDI: A lightweight YOLOv8 for real-time Pedestrian Detection." In 2024 7th International Conference on Robotics, Control and Automation Engineering (RCAE). IEEE, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1109/rcae62637.2024.10834184.

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Chen, Shijie, Mohammad Mahdizadeh, Chong Yu, Jiayuan Fan, and Tao Chen. "Through the Real World Haze Scenes: Navigating the Synthetic-to-Real Gap in Challenging Image Dehazing." In 2024 IEEE International Conference on Robotics and Automation (ICRA). IEEE, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/icra57147.2024.10611709.

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Hojdan, David. "Exploring the relationship between government DEBT and real GDP: a panel ARDL analysis." In 14th International Scientific Conference „Business and Management 2024“. Vilnius Gediminas Technical University, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.3846/bm.2024.1311.

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This study explores the impact of government debt on real GDP in 37 high-income economies from 1990 to 2019, using quarterly data and panel ARDL models with the PMG estimator to distinguish between short-run and long-run effects. Despite identifying a non-linear relationship between government debt and real GDP, suggesting a long-term debt threshold of 95% to 110%, robustness checks using the Common Correlated Effects estimator to adjust for cross-sectional dependence find no significant long-term impact of government debt on real GDP. This conclusion calls into question the existence of a uni
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Ganjouhaghighi, Negar. "Causality analysis between electricity consumption and real GDP, GDP based on Purchasing Power Parity, government spending, and total national savings in Iran." In 2014 5th Conference on Thermal Power Plants (CTPP). IEEE, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ctpp.2014.7040610.

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Qian, Huachao, Jian Chen, Qi Wang, and Chen Liu. "A Panel Data Analysis on the Relationship Between Real Estate Value And GDP." In 2nd International Conference on Civil, Materials and Environmental Sciences. Atlantis Press, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.2991/cmes-15.2015.39.

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Maruping, Hlompo, and Itumeleng Mongale. "THE REAL INFLUENCES OF OIL PRICE CHANGES ON THE GROWTH OF REAL GDP: THE CASE OF SOUTH AFRICA." In 21st International Academic Conference, Miami. International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.20472/iac.2016.021.023.

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Mkiyes, Hussein. "The Importance of Stabilizing the Syrian Pound Exchange Rate for Achieving Economic Stability." In EDAMBA 2022: 25th International Scientific Conference for Doctoral Students and Post-Doctoral Scholars. University of Economics in Bratislava, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.53465/edamba.2022.9788022550420.277-286.

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The aim of this article is to measure the impact of the fluctuations in the real exchange rate of the Syrian pound on the key macroeconomic indicators of the Syrian economy during the period 1961- 2020 to analyze the role of the real exchange rate in achieving economic stability. Since 2011, the Syrian economy suffered from a devastating war that effected all economic and social aspects of business activities leading to high fluctuations and instability of the macroeconomic ecosystem. During the first 40 years of study, the political stability in Syria has not been translated into economic sta
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"The influence of real GDP on rental growth of residential properties in Ede, Nigeria." In WABER 2019 Conference. WABER Conference, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.33796/waberconference2019.77.

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Raporty organizacyjne na temat "Real GDP"

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Susnjak, Teo, and Christoph Schumacher. Nowcasting: Towards Real-time GDP Prediction. Knowledge Exchange Hub, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.33217/keh/gdplive/001/12.2018.

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Feldstein, Martin. Underestimating the Real Growth of GDP, Personal Income and Productivity. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w23306.

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Feenstra, Robert, Hong Ma, J. Peter Neary, and D. S. Prasada Rao. Who Shrunk China? Puzzles in the Measurement of Real GDP. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w17729.

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Gordon, Robert. A New Method of Estimating Potential Real GDP Growth: Implications for the Labor Market and the Debt/GDP Ratio. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w20423.

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Castillo, Marola A. Theoretical Background on External Sustainability Assessments. Inter-American Development Bank, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0009306.

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This paper explains in detail the external sustainability assessment approach given by the stock-flow relationship between the net external positions, non-income current account plus net capital transfers, and real exchange rate. This approach consists of determining the non-income current account over GDP that would stabilize a benchmark net foreign asset (NFA) position over the medium term, and a "gap" by comparing the NFA-stabilizing non-income current account over GDP with the nonincome current account expected to prevail over the medium term. Additionally, the paper addresses the role of
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Castillo, Marola A. Template for External Sustainability Assessment. Inter-American Development Bank, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0009305.

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This manual explains in detail the external sustainability assessment approach following Castillo (2016), given by the stock-flow relationship among net external positions, non-income current account, and real exchange rate. This approach consists of determining the non-income current account over GDP that would stabilize a benchmark net foreign asset (NFA) position over the mediumterm, and a "gap" by comparing the NFA-stabilizing non-income current account over GDP with its value expected to prevail over the medium term. The text develops an External Sustainability Template and provides guida
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Gómez Loscos, Ana, Miguel Ángel González Simón, and Matías José Pacce. Short-term real-time forecasting model for spanish GDP (Spain-STING): new specification and reassessment of its predictive power. Banco de España, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.53479/36137.

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The predictive power of short-term forecasting models was impaired by the increased volatility observed in most economic indicators following the outbreak of COVID-19. This paper sets out a revision of the Spain-STING model (one of the tools used by the Banco de España for short-term forecasts of quarter-on-quarter GDP growth) with a view to improving its predictive power in the wake of the pandemic. In particular, the revision entails three main changes: (i) the correlation between the indicators included in the model and the estimated common component is now coincident for all of the indicat
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Oliveira, Lucas Gabriel Martins de. Which One Predicts Better?: Comparing Different GDP Nowcasting Methods Using Brazilian Data. Inter-American Development Bank, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0005004.

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The objective of this paper is to develop a basic framework for the implementation of a GDP nowcasting strategy using Brazilian data. Our goal is to identify a scalable strategy that allows us to project the Brazilian GDP in real time at any point during the current quarter. In the paper we detail the survey of classical techniques and also of techniques usually known by market practitioners as "machine learning methods". We survey the literature since the first work on estimating business cycles and document the evolution of this literature until the insertion of machine learning methods. Add
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Rebucci, Alessandro, Joong Shik Kang, and Alessandro Prati. Aid, Exports, and Growth: A Time-Series Perspective on the Dutch Disease Hypothesis. Inter-American Development Bank, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0010989.

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The available evidence on the effects of aid on growth is notoriously mixed. We use a novel empirical methodology, a heterogeneous panel vector-autoregression model identified through factor analysis, to study the dynamic response of exports, imports, and per capita GDP growth to a "global" aid shock (the common component of individual country aid-to-GDP ratios). We find that the estimated cumulative resposive of exports and per capita GDP growth to a global aid shock are strongly positively correlated, and both responses are inversely related to exchange rate overvaluation measures. We interp
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Batyr, A. V., Володимир Миколайович Соловйов, and E. P. Sedov. The Cyclic Surgings as One of the Reasons of the Modern Economical Crisis. Information Systems Management Institute, 2009. http://dx.doi.org/10.31812/0564/1130.

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Since the problem of the world economical crisis is gaming importance nowadays, it becomes necessary to reveal its real nature and reasons, in order to act in the most adequate way. The cycle theory is a possible explanation for the current situation in the economy.We have carried out our own investigation, during which the economies of USA, United Kingdom and France in 1961-2007 were compared. The real GDP and unemployment dynamics were taken into consideration. We also paid attention to historical events of the period and Kondratiev’s empiric truths, in order to explain both the most powerfu
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