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Dissertations / Theses on the topic '經濟變數'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 4 June 2021

Last updated: 1 February 2022

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1

胡光華. "股價指數語總體經濟變數之因果關係". Thesis, 1998. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/45038483310017387606.

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碩士<br>東吳大學<br>經濟學研究所<br>86<br>Everybody knows the stock market develop flourishing recent years. Numbers of accumulated opening accounting, listed company and listed company capital amount are increasing gradually. People are care about stock market more and more. We think Taiwan weighted stock index and real G.D.P. have the same tendency of growth. In our research, we analyze the causality between stock index and macroeconomic variables from 1987 to 1997. However, domestic or foreign thesis are seldom similar to ours. We hope we will get right conclusion in our research. We used Granger method in our research. Finally, we find that the relationship between Taiwan stock index and financial side has 70% significant, real side has 40% significant and international stock markets has 80% significant.

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2

蔡嫚鞠. "臺灣總體經濟變數對貨幣乘數之影響". Thesis, 1999. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/85055119060865014769.

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3

Hsu, Chih-Wei, та 許智偉. "台灣總體變數對地下經濟之影響". Thesis, 1999. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/95555020444771228950.

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4

YE, HUAI-REN, та 葉懷仁. "股價與經濟統計變數之關係模型". Thesis, 1990. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/52858546904612755764.

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5

林孟鋒. "影響臺灣出口之相關總體經濟變數". Thesis, 2001. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/41218080146353090776.

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6

WEI-SIANG, WANG, та 王偉祥. "股價報酬和相關總體經濟變數關係". Thesis, 2001. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/54767886625402817952.

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7

Hsu, Li-Tun, та 許理敦. "人口高齡化對台灣總體經濟變數之影響". Thesis, 2016. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/50465945258873807613.

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碩士<br>國立高雄第一科技大學<br>金融研究所<br>104<br>This paper selects the average life expectancy and overall economic variables from 1971 to 2015 to explore the mutual relationship of the consumer price index, savings rates, unemployment rate and the number of the elderly population. The results show that the impact on the male average expectancy on the consumer price index, unemployment rate and the labor participation ratio is higher than that from female average expectancy; regarding the impact on savings rate, the impact of female life expectancy is higher than that from male life expectancy.

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8

Tsai, Yang-Xuan, та 蔡楊玄. "我國匯率與總體經濟變數關係之實證研究". Thesis, 2005. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/29587394475907249874.

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9

吳瑞生. "外匯市場管理對總體經濟變數效果之分析". Thesis, 1999. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/49563314514532734118.

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10

Cash та 張建隆. "退票比率與總體經濟變數間關係之實證研究". Thesis, 1999. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/75562450714827226962.

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11

Kuo, Shu-Hua, та 郭淑樺. "房價與總體經濟變數之關聯性-以中古屋為例". Thesis, 2016. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/y5jnp9.

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碩士<br>國立高雄第一科技大學<br>金融研究所<br>104<br>This paper explores the relationships between the macroeconomics variables and the pricing level of the second hand houses in Taiwan during the first quarter of 2001 to the second quarter of 2015. The vector autoregression model shows that the house prices and the stock price of preceding periods have a significant positive correlation. The Granger causality demonstrate that both the commodity prices and currency circulation level have a one-way impact upon the house prices. Otherwise, the stock price has a two-way feedback relationship with the house prices. The forecast error variance decomposition shows that the stock price has the most significant influential power, and the currency circulation level is the second significant influential variable.

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12

黃玄洲. "臺灣鋼鐵業能源消費變動因素分析─物理指數及經濟指數". Thesis, 2000. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/57619926422449864063.

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13

CHANG, CHUN-HSIANG, та 張竣翔. "基本面、技術面及總體經濟變數對股價指數報酬之預測性". Thesis, 2018. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/52rk8g.

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14

TSENG, HSIN-HUI, та 曾馨慧. "營業稅、低報銷售價格與開放總體經濟變數波動". Thesis, 2018. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/9rchtv.

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15

Tsao, Chia-chen, та 曹嘉珍. "新資本協定下總體經濟變數對銀行效率之影響". Thesis, 2009. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/55942968951225720336.

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16

PENG, SU-LING, та 彭素玲. "臺灣經濟發展程度之衡量與其因果變數之探討". Thesis, 1991. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/19088977690331330834.

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17

林夢萍. "實行貨幣供給成長目標區對總體經濟變數的影響". Thesis, 1999. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/fcwc52.

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18

周大森. "台灣經濟二論:1.論台灣經濟預測模型外生變數預測值的預測績效2.美國經濟表現對台灣生產面的影響". Thesis, 2002. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/ucz97w.

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19

蔡宗顯. "以總體經濟變數預測股市超額報酬－類神經網路與迴歸分析之比較". Thesis, 1997. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/96095029332842445776.

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20

Hsu-Ching, Chiu, та 邱旭清. "台美日韓股市及台灣股價與其總體經濟變數之關聯性". Thesis, 2004. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/86221924598630131294.

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21

Liou, Chen Shen, та 劉振順. "房價與總體經濟變數之關聯性-以新成屋及預售屋為例". Thesis, 2016. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/g3d893.

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碩士<br>國立高雄第一科技大學<br>金融研究所<br>104<br>This paper adopts the quarter data from the year of 2002 to 2015 to analyze the correlations between the variables of the money supply, the consumer price index, the Taiwan Stock Exchange Capitalization Weighted Stock Index, and the housing price index . The empirical findings show that the stock prices is the leading indicator of the house price, prices of commodities, and the money supply. The increase of the stock market can lead to the rising of the house price which enhances the rising level of consumer price index and the money supply. Through the forecasting error variance decomposition, this study finds that the level of variance explained is quite high. It indicates that the governmental control over the prices of the pre-sales housing and new readily available house is significant; and the authority should carefully adopt certain appropriate housing market measures for achieving a better effect in controlling the housing prices of the market.

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22

張立志. "利率自由化對總體經濟變數因果關係影響之實證研究". Thesis, 1995. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/62429963745984902330.

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碩士<br>國立臺灣大學<br>商學研究所<br>83<br>Many regulations on interest rates in Taiwan were not lifted until the new Bank Act of 1989. During the period when interest rates are regulated, the relationships among macroeconomic variables are twisted. Using data under regulations will be proved to lead to wrong conclusion while testing theories. The purpose of the research is to study whether the causal relationships among interest rate, money, price, and income changed after regulations on interest rates were removed, and to verify the estimated relationships consistent with general and regulated macroeconomic theories. 　　First, we adopt the ADF test to determinate the order of integration. The results show that the series considered are individually an integrated process of order 1. 　　Second, we choose four proxy macroeconomic variables from representing each of the four classes of variables to test for cointegration by the Engle - Granger approach. No evidence of cointegration among the four variables was found whether interest rates were regulated or not. 　　Finally, we test the causal relationships among R6 (six - month time deposit interest rate), M2, CPI, and JQ by VARMA model. The empirical results under regulation show that the growth rate of income will decrease and price will increase if the Central Bank deregulates interest rates because of the rising of interest rates. In other words, interest rates deregulation tends to cause unfavorable effects. But VARMA model is suitable mainly for short - run relationships. In the long - run, interest rates deregulation will enhance economic growth through efficiency. 　　The VARMA results under deregulation are consistent with some of the predictions of the theorles, such as Accommodation Hypothesis, Liquidity Preference Theory, Fisher effect, Tobin effect. The negative effects of money to income and money to price contradicts the assertions of the Quantity Theory, Monetarists and Keynesian School. This is probably due to the decline of velocity of money is relatively faster than the growth of money supply. 　　Comparing the regulated results with the deregulated ones, we find that the causal relationships among macroeconomic variables altered when interest rates were deregulated. That is to say, we must have the financial system in mind when studying the relationships among macroeconomic variables, otherwise we will draw incorrect conclusions.

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23

沈博盛. "股票報酬的決定因素：總體經濟變數與基本面因素之比較". Thesis, 1997. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/04179215725869699237.

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24

CHEN, SHU-MIN, та 陳淑敏. "實質景氣循環分析--北國與南國之總體經濟變數的互動關係". Thesis, 1992. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/56717220572972626678.

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25

CHEN, DONG-JIANG, та 陳東江. "時間數列之結構性變動與單根檢定之探討--臺灣總體經濟數列之實證分析". Thesis, 1992. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/90677113448683436128.

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26

Chang, Yu-Pei, та 張玉佩. "股價報酬預測率與總體經濟變數關聯之探討－以決策樹模型為例". Thesis, 2004. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/42079981573332043156.

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27

王啟豪. "股價報酬與總體經濟變數之關聯性-貝氏馬可夫鏈蒙地卡羅之分析研究". Thesis, 2003. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/54394950905221810403.

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28

陳淑惠. "台灣人身保險整體收入及給付預測模式之建立--以總體經濟指標為預測變數". Thesis, 2002. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/17085770423860682787.

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