Journal articles: 'Age of uncertainty'

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Buchan, James. "Age of uncertainty." Nursing Standard 31, no. 40 (May 31, 2017): 30. http://dx.doi.org/10.7748/ns.31.40.30.s26.

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Geoghegan, Peter. "The Age of Uncertainty." Political Insight 12, no. 1 (February 24, 2021): 3. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/20419058211000993.

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Makriyannis, Christos, Robert J. Johnston, and Adam W. Whelchel. "Are Choice Experiment Treatments of Outcome Uncertainty Sufficient? An Application to Climate Risk Reductions." Agricultural and Resource Economics Review 47, no. 3 (April 10, 2018): 419–51. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/age.2017.27.

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Choice experiments addressing outcome uncertainty (OU) typically reframe continuous probability densities for each risky outcome into two discrete categories, each with a single probability of occurrence. The implications of this simplification for welfare estimation are unknown. This article evaluates the convergent validity of willingness-to-pay (WTP) estimates from a more accurate multiple-outcome treatment of OU, compared to the two-outcome approach. Results for a case study of coastal flood adaptation in Connecticut, United States, suggest that higher-resolution OU treatments increase choice complexity but can provide additional information on risk preferences and WTP. This tradeoff highlights challenges facing the valuation of uncertain outcomes.

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COEN, DAVID, and ALASDAIR ROBERTS. "A New Age of Uncertainty." Governance 25, no. 1 (December 27, 2011): 5–9. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0491.2011.01559.x.

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Melleuish, Gregory. "Understanding an “Age of Uncertainty”." Australian Journal of Politics & History 41, no. 1 (April 7, 2008): 130–34. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8497.1995.tb01341.x.

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Sharma, Bijay P., Seong-Hoon Cho, and Chad M. Hellwinckel. "Optimal Budget Allocations for Protected Area Acquisition To Store Carbon in a Local Community Under Economic Growth Uncertainty." Agricultural and Resource Economics Review 49, no. 2 (June 3, 2020): 209–36. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/age.2020.10.

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We analyze optimal budget allocations to acquire protected areas for carbon storage while balancing risk and return from protection under economic growth uncertainty in a local community. Our study is the first to explore how risk of uncertain economic growth affects cost of protected area acquisition using real estate values at the parcel level, enabling us to estimate the site-specific opportunity cost of carbon storage. The Pareto optimal trade-off frontier between the expected carbon storage benefit and its variance provides a continuum of risk-return combinations. The pattern of the trade-off relationship implies that risk mitigation is less costly in terms of foregone expected benefit when risk is higher than when it is lower. Our results also find that the difference in cluster-specific budget allocations between the strong economic growth scenario and the weak economic growth scenario subsequently decreases between the point of expected benefit maximization and the point of variance minimization. Our findings of optimal hectares of land for protected area acquisition for carbon storage and corresponding benefits and costs serve as an empirically informed knowledge base to help a local community prioritize acquisition of potential protected areas for carbon storage under economic growth uncertainty.

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Ando, Amy, Aparna Howlader, and Mindy Mallory. "Diversifying to Reduce Conservation Outcome Uncertainty in Multiple Environmental Objectives." Agricultural and Resource Economics Review 47, no. 2 (May 21, 2018): 220–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/age.2018.7.

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In this paper we develop tools and intuition for portfolio optimization for multiple conservation objectives. We show it is more efficient to optimize a conservation portfolio for multiple goods jointly, allowing planners to exploit information about multiple dimensions of correlations between goods. We identified a new type of correlation that is important for optimal conservation planning of multiple objectives under uncertainty: scenario correlation between objectives in a given part of the landscape. The conservation planner faces a different kind of problem if the objectives at hand respond similarly rather than differently to climate shocks in subregions of the planning area.

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MacEntee, Michael I., and Kavita R. Mathu-Muju. "Confronting dental uncertainty in old age." Gerodontology 31 (January 21, 2014): 37–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ger.12109.

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Li, Xueyan, and Chunxiao Zhang. "Delayed Age Replacement Policy with Uncertain Lifetime." Mathematical Problems in Engineering 2015 (2015): 1–6. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/528726.

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This paper considers the delayed age replacement policy, in which the lifetimes of all units are assumed to be uncertain variables, and the lifetime of the first unit has an uncertainty distribution which is different from the others. A delayed age replacement model which is concerned with finding the optimal replacement time to minimize the expected cost is developed. In the policy, the optimal replacement time is irrelevant to the uncertain distribution of lifetime of the first unit over the infinite time span.

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NOVAK, J., C. JONES, and R. HALL. "Political advocacy in an age of uncertainty." Journal of Pediatric Health Care 16, no. 1 (January 2002): 44–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0891-5245(02)40404-x.

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Bullard, John. "Achieving Certainty in an Age of Uncertainty." Information Security Technical Report 5, no. 4 (December 2000): 81–83. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s1363-4127(00)04009-7.

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Block, Fred, and Margaret R. Somers. "Karl Polanyi in an Age of Uncertainty." Contemporary Sociology: A Journal of Reviews 46, no. 4 (June 19, 2017): 379–92. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0094306117714499.

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Novak, Julie Cowan, Cheryll Jones, and Robert A. Hall. "Political advocacy in an age of uncertainty." Journal of Pediatric Health Care 16, no. 1 (January 2002): 44–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.1067/mph.2002.121136.

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14

Hartley, David. "Teacher Education in an Age of Uncertainty." Journal of Education for Teaching 20, no. 4 (July 1994): 16–17. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/0260747940200405.

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15

James, Toby S. "Policy Studies during an age of uncertainty." Policy Studies 42, no. 1 (November 10, 2020): 1–5. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01442872.2021.1842130.

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Hilborne, Lee H., Lucian L. Leape, James J. Paradis, Powers Peterson, and Cindy Johns. "Quality Outcomes in an Age of Uncertainty." Laboratory Medicine 27, no. 11 (November 1, 1996): 731–35. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/labmed/27.11.731.

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17

Weston, Marla J. "Strategic Planning in an Age of Uncertainty:." Nurse Leader 18, no. 1 (February 2020): 54–58. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.mnl.2019.11.009.

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18

Silva, Jennifer M. "Constructing Adulthood in an Age of Uncertainty." American Sociological Review 77, no. 4 (June 29, 2012): 505–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0003122412449014.

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Past research in both the transitions to adulthood literature and cultural sociology more broadly suggests that the working class relies on traditional cultural models in their construction of identity. In the contemporary post-industrial world, however, traditional life pathways are now much less available to working-class men and women. I draw on 93 interviews with black and white working-class young people in their 20s to 30s and ask, in an era of increasing uncertainty, where traditional markers of adulthood have become tenuous, what kinds of cultural models do working-class young people employ to validate their adult identities? In contrast to previous studies of working-class identity, I found that respondents embraced a model of therapeutic selfhood—that is, an inwardly directed self preoccupied with its own psychic development. I demonstrate that the therapeutic narrative allows working-class men and women to redefine competent adulthood in terms of overcoming a painful family past. Respondents required a witness to validate their performances of adulthood, however, and the inability to find one left many lost in transition.

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19

Cadman, Timothy. "Climate finance in an age of uncertainty." Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment 4, no. 4 (October 2, 2014): 351–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/20430795.2014.971097.

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20

Wilson, Ian. "Technology foresight in an age of uncertainty." International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy 1, no. 3/4 (2004): 207. http://dx.doi.org/10.1504/ijfip.2004.004960.

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21

Russo, Thomas N. "Reworking NEPA in the Age of Uncertainty." Natural Gas & Electricity 35, no. 4 (October 17, 2018): 28–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/gas.22089.

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Pennisi, Giuseppe, and Pasquale L. Scandizzo. "Economic Evaluation in an Age of Uncertainty." Evaluation 12, no. 1 (January 2006): 77–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1356389006064174.

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23

Werner, J. P., and M. P. Tingley. "Technical Note: Probabilistically constraining proxy age–depth models within a Bayesian hierarchical reconstruction model." Climate of the Past Discussions 10, no. 6 (December 5, 2014): 4499–533. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cpd-10-4499-2014.

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Abstract. Reconstructions of late-Holocene climate rely heavily upon proxies that are assumed to be accurately dated by layer counting, such as measurement on tree rings, ice cores, and varved lake sediments. Considerable advances may be achievable if time uncertain proxies could be included within these multiproxy reconstructions, and if time uncertainties were recognized and correctly modeled for proxies commonly treated as free of age model errors. Current approaches to accounting for time uncertainty are generally limited to repeating the reconstruction using each of an ensemble of age models, thereby inflating the final estimated uncertainty – in effect, each possible age model is given equal weighting. Uncertainties can be reduced by exploiting the inferred space–time covariance structure of the climate to re-weight the possible age models. Here we demonstrate how Bayesian Hierarchical climate reconstruction models can be augmented to account for time uncertain proxies. Critically, while a priori all age models are given equal probability of being correct, the probabilities associated with the age models are formally updated within the Bayesian framework, thereby reducing uncertainties. Numerical experiments show that updating the age-model probabilities decreases uncertainty in the climate reconstruction, as compared with the current de-facto standard of sampling over all age models, provided there is sufficient information from other data sources in the region of the time-uncertain proxy. This approach can readily be generalized to non-layer counted proxies, such as those derived from marine sediments.

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Werner, J. P., and M. P. Tingley. "Technical Note: Probabilistically constraining proxy age–depth models within a Bayesian hierarchical reconstruction model." Climate of the Past 11, no. 3 (March 24, 2015): 533–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-11-533-2015.

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Abstract. Reconstructions of the late-Holocene climate rely heavily upon proxies that are assumed to be accurately dated by layer counting, such as measurements of tree rings, ice cores, and varved lake sediments. Considerable advances could be achieved if time-uncertain proxies were able to be included within these multiproxy reconstructions, and if time uncertainties were recognized and correctly modeled for proxies commonly treated as free of age model errors. Current approaches for accounting for time uncertainty are generally limited to repeating the reconstruction using each one of an ensemble of age models, thereby inflating the final estimated uncertainty – in effect, each possible age model is given equal weighting. Uncertainties can be reduced by exploiting the inferred space–time covariance structure of the climate to re-weight the possible age models. Here, we demonstrate how Bayesian hierarchical climate reconstruction models can be augmented to account for time-uncertain proxies. Critically, although a priori all age models are given equal probability of being correct, the probabilities associated with the age models are formally updated within the Bayesian framework, thereby reducing uncertainties. Numerical experiments show that updating the age model probabilities decreases uncertainty in the resulting reconstructions, as compared with the current de facto standard of sampling over all age models, provided there is sufficient information from other data sources in the spatial region of the time-uncertain proxy. This approach can readily be generalized to non-layer-counted proxies, such as those derived from marine sediments.

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25

Von Dras, Dean D. "Age Differences in Self-Appraisal Motivation." International Journal of Aging and Human Development 45, no. 2 (January 1, 1997): 133–58. http://dx.doi.org/10.2190/v3r0-34b0-d6xu-x7a5.

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One hundred and eight young (mean age 29 years) and 108 older adults (mean age 69 years) participated in a laboratory investigation of self-appraisal motivation. Participants were recruited via media advertisement to take part in a study of two novel and different thinking abilities and randomly assigned to either a similar others, dissimilar others, or temporal-self comparison referent condition. Each participant was administered two tests purported to measure different thinking abilities and received experimenter-controlled test feedback intended to manipulate participants' level of uncertainty about these abilities. Motivation to self-appraise was assessed via behavioral choice measures collected following the inducement of uncertainty about ability status. Results indicated that older adults were less likely than the young to initiate behaviors that would reduce uncertainty about ability. Subsequent post-hoc analyses suggested that self-appraisal motivation in young adulthood is not moderated by level of perceived efficacy, while in later adulthood an attenuation of self-appraisal motivation occurs as a result of low efficacy or heightened uncertainty about one's capabilities.

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26

Shirk, David A. "US-Mexico Relations in an Age of Uncertainty." Latin American Research Review 53, no. 3 (September 28, 2018): 671. http://dx.doi.org/10.25222/larr.326.

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Brown, L. Carl, F. Stephen Larrabee, and Ian O. Lesser. "Turkish Foreign Policy in an Age of Uncertainty." Foreign Affairs 82, no. 3 (2003): 162. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/20033627.

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Birkenkötter, Hannah. "Ascertaining Legal Rules in an Age of Uncertainty." Transnational Legal Theory 4, no. 3 (November 30, 2013): 456–61. http://dx.doi.org/10.5235/20414005.4.3.456.

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Purcell, Mike. "Byrne, God: Thoughts in an Age of Uncertainty." Studies in World Christianity 7, no. 2 (October 2001): 244–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.3366/swc.2001.7.2.244.

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Glassner, Barry. "Liquid Times: Living in an Age of Uncertainty." Contemporary Sociology: A Journal of Reviews 38, no. 2 (March 2009): 190. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/009430610903800249.

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31

Hamin, Zaiton, Rohana Othman, Normah Omar, and Hayyum Suleikha Selamat. "Conceptualizing terrorist financing in the age of uncertainty." Journal of Money Laundering Control 19, no. 4 (October 3, 2016): 397–406. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jmlc-06-2015-0022.

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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to conceptualize the concept of terrorism, terrorism financing, the relationship between money laundering and terrorism financing and the governance of terrorism financing. Design/methodology/approach This paper adopts a doctrinal, content analysis and secondary data, of which the Anti-Money Laundering and Anti-Terrorism Financing Act 2001 and the Penal Code are the primary sources. The secondary sources for this paper include articles in academic journals, books and online databases. Findings Several methods are involved in the commission of terrorism financing such as raising, moving and using of funds. The activities relating to terrorism financing under the Penal Code are broader than such activities. Despite the adherence by Malaysia to international policies established by the Financial Action Task Force, terrorism financing has remained a threat that must be addressed by the relevant authorities. Practical implications This paper could be a useful source of information for the practitioners, academicians, policymakers and students studying this particular area of crime. Originality/value This paper contributes to a discourse on terrorism financing in the Malaysian context.

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32

Lee, C. Aujean. "Engaging Non-Citizens in an Age of Uncertainty." Journal of the American Planning Association 85, no. 3 (June 28, 2019): 271–86. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01944363.2019.1616318.

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33

Adams, Randall. "Liquid Times: Living in an Age of Uncertainty." Sociological Inquiry 79, no. 4 (November 2009): 526–28. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-682x.2009.00308.x.

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34

Wang, Yeong-Tsyr. "Taiwan's Social Development in an Age of Uncertainty." Journal of Comparative Asian Development 1, no. 2 (September 2002): 171–93. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15339114.2002.9678359.

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35

Engelke, Peter. "The Mediterranean's Future in an Age of Uncertainty." Mediterranean Quarterly 27, no. 1 (March 2016): 5–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.1215/10474552-3488027.

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36

Gilson, Lucy L., and Walter D. Davis. "Managing in an Age of Complexity and Uncertainty." Group & Organization Management 44, no. 2 (April 2019): 243–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1059601119836545.

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37

Reid, Joan. "Career decision making in an age of uncertainty." BMJ 334, no. 7608 (June 30, 2007): s239. http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.334.7608.s239.

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38

Geynisman, Daniel M. "Hope and Uncertainty in the Age of Miracles." Journal of Palliative Medicine 20, no. 10 (October 2017): 1166–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.1089/jpm.2017.0198.

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Wirtz, James J. "Indications and Warning in an Age of Uncertainty." International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence 26, no. 3 (September 2013): 550–62. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/08850607.2013.780558.

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40

Borkan, J., A. Davis, T. Campbell, and R. Wender. "LEADERSHIP IN AN AGE OF UNCERTAINTY AND AUSTERITY." Annals of Family Medicine 9, no. 6 (November 1, 2011): 557–58. http://dx.doi.org/10.1370/afm.1326.

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Michael, Donald N. "Competence and Compassion in an Age of Uncertainty." Reflections: The SoL Journal 1, no. 2 (December 1, 1999): 8–16. http://dx.doi.org/10.1162/152417399570133.

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42

SAVU, Elena Mădălina. "EDUCATION IN THE DIGITAL AGE." International Multidisciplinary Scientific Conference on the Dialogue between Sciences & Arts, Religion & Education 4, no. 1 (December 7, 2020): 225–30. http://dx.doi.org/10.26520/mcdsare.2020.4.225-230.

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The World Health Organization has declared Covid-19 as a pandemic that has posed a contemporary threat to humanity. This pandemic has successfully forced global shutdown of several activities, including educational activities.The COVID-19 pandemic was a forceful reminder that education plays an important role in delivering not just academic learning, but also in supporting physical and emotional well-being. Education and the acquisition of skills are crucial to solving some of the world’s most pressing problems. Education is a basic right that promotes other rights such as health and civic participation. It is key to unlocking the developmental potential of children, communities, and countries. An educated workforce can help lift people out of poverty, reduce premature mortality, strengthen gender equality, and promote civic participation. Children must also learn skills that can be flexible and adaptable in the age of uncertainty and economic change. Workers will need breadth of skills such as literacy and numeracy as well as the ability to think critically and to solve problems collaboratively. In the digital age, citizens must be prepared to respond to the challenges presented by globalization, climate change, health epidemics, and economic uncertainty. The world needs to urgently rethink the way education is done, how it is delivered, and what skills children will need in a digital age to become healthy and productive members of society. Many agree that the delivery of education to marginalized children must be improved. It is evident that online learning is different from emergency remote teaching, online learning will be more sustainable while instructional activities will become more hybrid provided the challenges experienced during this pandemic are well explored and transformed to opportunities. However, there is little consensus on how to do so in a way that best reflects the challenges and opportunities facing young people today and on why education systems have largely failed to adapt to ensure that all children are receiving the support and learning opportunities they need.

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43

Torell, Gregory L., and Katherine D. Lee. "Impact of Climate Change on Livestock Returns and Rangeland Ecosystem Sustainability in the Southwest." Agricultural and Resource Economics Review 47, no. 2 (August 2018): 336–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/age.2018.13.

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Climate change will increase variability in temperature and precipitation on rangelands, impacting ecosystem services including livestock grazing. Facing uncertainty about future climate, managers must know if current practices will maintain rangeland sustainability. Herein, the future density of an invasive species, broom snakeweed, is estimated using a long-term ecological dataset and climate projections. We find that livestock stocking rates determined using a current method result in lower forage production, allowable stocking rate, and grazing value than an economically efficient stocking rate. Results indicate that using ecology and adaptive methods in management are critical to the sustainability of rangelands.

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Li, Xiaogu, and Katherine Y. Zipp. "Dynamics and Uncertainty in Land Use Conversion for Perennial Energy Crop Production: Exploring Effects of Payments for Ecosystem Services Policies." Agricultural and Resource Economics Review 48, no. 02 (July 25, 2019): 328–58. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/age.2019.3.

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Perennial energy crops like switchgrass that are used for biofuel production have the potential to generate various water quality benefits such as reduced nitrogen runoff. Yet the current expected returns to switchgrass are not profitable enough for these crops to be widely adopted by U.S. farmers due to relatively unstable yields, volatile revenues, and high costs of crop establishment. This study uses a dynamic economic model to investigate the uncertainties in the yields and costs of switchgrass production, in comparison with those of corn-soybeans in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed in Pennsylvania. Results indicate that farmers would be willing to convert corn-soybeans to switchgrass land use with the provision of payments for ecosystem services (PES). A targeted PES policy based on the environmental effectiveness of the crop land is found to be slightly more effective in providing nitrogen reductions than a uniform PES policy with cost savings of 8–19%. Moreover, switchgrass has the potential of providing energy supply while reducing greenhouse gases emissions.

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45

Watson, Cate. "Thomas Pynchon: Realism in an Age of Ontological Uncertainty?" Literature Compass 5, no. 1 (December 19, 2007): 11–19. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1741-4113.2007.00512.x.

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Gheciu, Alexandra. "Communities of security practices in the age of uncertainty." Journal of Regional Security 7, no. 2 (2012): 151–61. http://dx.doi.org/10.11643/issn.2217-995x122spg22.

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This paper examines some of the challenges involved in recent efforts to create a new community of practice that brings together - within the domain of peacebuilding - NATO and humanitarian actors. In recognition of the need to promote systematic cooperation between the alliance and the humanitarian community, NATO has launched several initiatives aimed at constructing a domain of shared knowledge and common procedures, and, on this basis, cultivating mutual trust and a sense of membership in the same community between representatives of the alliance and members of the NGO community. While these initiatives have enjoyed a certain degree of success, at the deeper level the process of forging a new community of practice among these actors remains challenging and fraught with tension. !is process has been rendered particularly complicated by the fact that some of the new initiatives challenge fundamental assumptions about self-identity and purpose both in NATO and within the humanitarian community. Indeed, efforts to construct a new community of practice in the domain of peacebuilding both reflect and contribute to intense debates and contestations within the Atlantic Alliance as well as among NGOs about their evolving identities and, linked to that, appropriate logics of action in the future.

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Khanal, Kalpana, and Zdravka Todorova. "Remittances and Households in the Age of Neoliberal Uncertainty." Journal of Economic Issues 53, no. 2 (April 3, 2019): 515–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00213624.2019.1603763.

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48

Openshaw, Nicholas, and Anne‐Marie Boyle. "The age of uncertainty: retirement and the Equality Act." In Practice 34, no. 9 (October 2012): 548–49. http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/inp.e6088.

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Robinson, Reviewed by Priscilla. "Governing Uncertainty: Environmental Regulation in the Age of Nanotechnology." Australian Journal of Primary Health 17, no. 3 (2011): 295. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/pyv17n3_br2.

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Prakāsh, Vikramāditya. "The ‘Islamic-Modern’ Project in this Age of Uncertainty." International Journal of Islamic Architecture 10, no. 1 (January 1, 2021): 269–80. http://dx.doi.org/10.1386/ijia_00045_1.

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Journal articles on the topic 'Age of uncertainty'

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