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1

Meyler, Aidan. Forecasting Irish inflation using ARIMA models. Central Bank of Ireland, Economic Analysis, Research and Publications Department, 1998.

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2

Hella, Heikki. On robust ESACF indentification [sic] of mixed ARIMA models. Bank of Finland, 2003.

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3

Fritzer, Friedrich. Forecasting Austrian HICP and its components using VAR and ARIMA models. Oesterreichische Nationalbank, 2002.

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4

Yŏ, Un-bang. Sŭngpŏp kyejŏl ARIMA mohyŏng ŭi kujo sikpyŏl pangbŏp. Hang̕uk Kaebal Yŏng̕uwŏn, 1985.

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5

Reid, Abigail-Kate, and Nick Allum. Learn About Time Series ARIMA Models in Stata With Data From the USDA Feed Grains Database (1876–2015). SAGE Publications, Ltd., 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.4135/9781529710281.

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6

Reid, Abigail-Kate, and Nick Allum. Learn About Time Series ARIMA Models in Stata With Data From the NOAA Global Climate at a Glance (1910–2015). SAGE Publications, Ltd., 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.4135/9781529710380.

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7

Choi, ByoungSeon. ARMA model identification. Springer-Verlag, 1992.

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8

Choi, ByoungSeon. ARMA Model Identification. Springer US, 1992. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-9745-8.

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9

Shimizu, Kenichi. Bootstrapping Stationary ARMA-GARCH Models. Vieweg+Teubner, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-8348-9778-7.

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10

service), SpringerLink (Online, ed. Bootstrapping Stationary ARMA-GARCH Models. Vieweg+Teubner Verlag / Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden GmbH, Wiesbaden, 2010.

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11

Routis, J. Bayesian analysis of ARMA models. UMIST, 1997.

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12

Kuersteiner, Guido M. Optimal instrumental variables estimation for ARMA models. Dept. of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1999.

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13

Smith, Jeremy. Comparing the bias and misspecification in Arfima models. Warwick University, Department of Economics, 1995.

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14

Bousias, Spyros. Arōma apo riganē. Ekdoseis Tópos, 2022.

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15

Gilbert, Paul Douglas. State space and ARMA models: An overview of the equivalence. Bank of Canada, 1993.

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16

Özgüler, Verda Canbey. İş arama teorisi, sosyal ağlar ve internet. Anadolu Üniversitesi, 2007.

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17

Katsanakē, María. Arōma gynaikas stēn hellēnikē zōgraphikē. Ethnikē Pinakothēkē kai Mouseio Alexandrou Soutzou, 2008.

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18

W, Evans George. The algebra of ARMA processes and the structure of ARMA solutions to a general linear model with rational expectations. Institute for Mathematical Studies in the Social Sciences, Stanford University, 1985.

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19

Fargues, Monique P. TLS-based prefiltering technique for time-domain ARMA modeling. Naval Postgraduate School, 1994.

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20

Azencott, Robert. Series of irregular observations: Forecasting and model building. Springer-Verlag, 1986.

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21

Simos, Nikos Emm. Hena pistoli gia hypographē: Mia skoteinē hypothesē me dolophonous, tromokrates, aprosmenē exelixē kai... arōma politikēs. Kaktos, 2022.

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22

Gregorini, Massimo. Paesaggi d'autore in Toscana: Aria|acqua|terra : Baj, Buren, Estoppey, Fabro, Fuchs, Gori, Guasti, haring, Inoue, Karavan, Kounellis, Marangoni, Martini, Mattiacci, Mitoraj, Morris, Nagasawa, Nunzio, Paladino, Paolini, Parmiggiani, Philippe, Saint Phalle. Sonfist, Spoerri, Staccioli, Trafeli, Tufan, Varotsos, Venturi, Zorio. Aska, 2018.

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23

Tesa, Szudek-Ujazdowska, and Komorowski Krzysztof, eds. Wspomnienia oficera do zadań specjalnych. Oficyna Wydawnnicza RYTM, 2012.

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24

McCleary, Richard, David McDowall, and Bradley J. Bartos. ARIMA Algebra. Oxford University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780190661557.003.0002.

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The goal of Chapter 2 is to derive the properties of common processes and, based on these properties, to develop a general scheme for classifying processes. Stationary processes includes white noise, moving average (MA), and autoregressive (AR) processes. MA and AR models can approximate mixed ARMA models. A lag or backshift operator is used to solve ARIMA models for time series observations or random shocks. Covariance functions are derived for each of the common processes.Maximum likelihood estimates are introduced for the purposes of estimating autoregressive and moving average parameters.
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25

Rathmanner, Steven Clifford. Image texture generation using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models. 1987.

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26

Okyere, Francis. Modelling and Forecasting Monthly Petroleum Prices of Ghana Using Subset Arima Models. GRIN Verlag GmbH, 2013.

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27

MARQUÉS, Felicidad. UNIVARIATE TIME SERIES FORECASTING. BOX JENKINS METHODOLOGY: ARIMA MODELS. Examples with R. Independently Published, 2021.

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28

McCleary, Richard, David McDowall, and Bradley J. Bartos. Noise Modeling. Oxford University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780190661557.003.0003.

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Chapter 3 introduces the Box-Jenkins AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) noise modeling strategy. The strategy begins with a test of the Normality assumption using a Kolomogov-Smirnov (KS) statistic. Non-Normal time series are transformed with a Box-Cox procedure is applied. A tentative ARIMA noise model is then identified from a sample AutoCorrelation function (ACF). If the sample ACF identifies a nonstationary model, the time series is differenced. Integer orders p and q of the underlying autoregressive and moving average structures are then identified from the ACF and partial a
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29

McCleary, Richard, David McDowall, and Bradley J. Bartos. Forecasting. Oxford University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780190661557.003.0004.

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Chapter 4 downplays forecasting’s role in the design and analysis of time series experiments and emphasizes its potential abuses. While the “best” ARIMA model will outperform other forecasting models in the short and medium-run, long-horizon ARIMA forecasts grow increasingly inaccurate with diminished utility to the forecaster. Although the principles of forecasting help provide deeper insight into the nature of ARIMA models and modeling, the forecasts themselves are ordinarily of limited practical value. Forecasting can provide useful guidance to analysts choosing between two competing univar
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30

Time Series ARIMA Models and the USDA Feed Grains Database (1876–2015): U.S. Oats Yield per Acre. SAGE Publications, Ltd., 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.4135/9781473995598.

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31

Time Series ARIMA Models and the NOAA Global Climate at a Glance (1910–2015): Average Land Temperatures in Asia. SAGE Publications, Ltd., 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.4135/9781473995321.

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32

Pevehouse, Jon, and Jason D. Brozek. Time‐Series Analysis. Edited by Janet M. Box-Steffensmeier, Henry E. Brady, and David Collier. Oxford University Press, 2009. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199286546.003.0019.

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This article discusses time-series methods such as simple time-series regressions, ARIMA models, vector autoregression (VAR) models, and unit root and error correction models (ECM). It specifically presents a brief history of time-series analysis before moving to a review of the basic time-series model. It then describes the stationary models in univariate and multivariate analyses. The nonstationary models of each type are addressed. In addition, various issues regarding the analysis of time series including data aggregation and temporal stability are considered. Before concluding, the articl
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33

McCleary, Richard, David McDowall, and Bradley Bartos. Design and Analysis of Time Series Experiments. Oxford University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780190661557.001.0001.

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Design and Analysis of Time Series Experiments develops a comprehensive set of models and methods for drawing causal inferences from time series. Example analyses of social, behavioral, and biomedical time series illustrate a general strategy for building AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) impact models. The classic Box-Jenkins-Tiao model-building strategy is supplemented with recent auxiliary tests for transformation, differencing, and model selection. The validity of causal inferences is approached from two complementary directions. The four-validity system of Cook and Campbell
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34

McDowall, David, Richard McCleary, and Bradley J. Bartos. Interrupted Time Series Analysis. Oxford University Press, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780190943943.001.0001.

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Interrupted Time Series Analysis develops a comprehensive set of models and methods for drawing causal inferences from time series. Example analyses of social, behavioural, and biomedical time series illustrate a general strategy for building AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) impact models. The classic Box-Jenkins-Tiao model-building strategy is supplemented with recent auxiliary tests for transformation, differencing and model selection. New developments, including Bayesian hypothesis testing and synthetic control group designs are described and their prospects for widespread a
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35

Choi, ByoungSeon. ARMA Model Identification. Springer, 2012.

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36

Arma Model Identification. Island Press, 1992.

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37

Choi, ByoungSeon. ARMA Model Identification. Springer London, Limited, 2012.

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38

Mejías, Wilson. Predicción de precios de productos forestales usando modelos ARIMA. INFOR, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.52904/20.500.12220/32066.

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En el presente estudio se analizó el comportamiento de los valores nominales de dos productos forestales; trozas aserrables y madera aserrada (en pesos chilenos/m3) de pino radiata. En base a la información disponible en la Plataforma de Estadísticas Forestales (PEF) de INFOR, se construyeron series de tiempo de los precios de los productos seleccionados, considerando las regiones de Biobío, La Araucanía y Los Lagos, ajustando modelos de series de tiempo locales. Las series de tiempo de precios disponibles en la PEF son de carácter trimestral y abarcan desde el año 1980 hasta hoy.
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39

Leeuw, Jan Van Der. Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Exact ARMA Models. Tilburg University Press, 1997.

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40

Khan, Aman, and Kenneth A. Scorgie. Forecasting Government Budgets. The Rowman & Littlefield Publishing Group, 2022. https://doi.org/10.5040/9781666990355.

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Forecasting is integral to all governmental activities, especially budgetary activities. Without good and accurate forecasts, a government will not only find it difficult to carry out its everyday operations but will also find it difficult to cope with the increasingly complex environment in which it has to operate. This book presents, in a simple and easy to understand manner, some of the commonly used methods in budget forecasting, simple as well as advanced. The book is divided into three parts: It begins with an overview of forecasting background, forecasting process, and forecasting metho
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41

Niu, Xufeng. Space-time ARMA models for satellite ozone data. 1991.

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42

Modelos Arima-Arch: Algunas aplicaciones a las series de tiempo financieras. Universidad de Medellín, 2008.

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43

McCleary, Richard, David McDowall, and Bradley J. Bartos. Intervention Modeling. Oxford University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780190661557.003.0005.

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The general AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model can be written as the sum of noise and exogenous components. If an exogenous impact is trivially small, the noise component can be identified with the conventional modeling strategy. If the impact is nontrivial or unknown, the sample AutoCorrelation Function (ACF) will be distorted in unknown ways. Although this problem can be solved most simply when the outcome of interest time series is long and well-behaved, these time series are unfortunately uncommon. The preferred alternative requires that the structure of the interventio
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44

Linear Models and Time-Series Analysis: Regression, ANOVA, ARMA and GARCH. Wiley & Sons, Limited, John, 2018.

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45

Paolella, Marc S. Linear Models and Time-Series Analysis: Regression, ANOVA, ARMA and GARCH. Wiley & Sons, Incorporated, John, 2018.

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46

Prediction and Estimation in Arma Models (Skriftserie-Publications / Statistiska Institutionen, Ghoteb). Coronet Books, 1986.

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47

Linear Models and Time-Series Analysis: Regression, ANOVA, ARMA and GARCH. Wiley & Sons, Incorporated, John, 2018.

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48

Bijutsu no arika: Robō kara gendai bijutsukan made. Serika Shobō, 2016.

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49

Heini, Stefan. Explaining the Gold Price after the Bretton Woods Agreement Using Independent Variables. an Arima Model Approach. GRIN Verlag GmbH, 2015.

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50

MARQUÉS, Felicidad. AUTOMATIC TIME SERIES FORECASTING Using NEURAL NETWORKS, STATE SPACE and ARIMAX MODELS. Examples with R. Independently Published, 2021.

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