Dissertations / Theses on the topic 'Banking and capital markets'
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Serra, Ana Paula de Sousa Freitas Madureira. "Tests of international capital market integration : evidence from emerging stock markets." Thesis, London Business School (University of London), 1999. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.312308.
Full textNorton, Simon Dominic. "Application of capital markets instruments in ship finance." Thesis, Cardiff University, 1995. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.310180.
Full textLee, Sunglyong. "Firm access to capital markets in Europe." Diss., Columbia, Mo. : University of Missouri-Columbia, 2007. http://hdl.handle.net/10355/4711.
Full textThe entire dissertation/thesis text is included in the research.pdf file; the official abstract appears in the short.pdf file (which also appears in the research.pdf); a non-technical general description, or public abstract, appears in the public.pdf file. Title from title screen of research.pdf file (viewed on September 27, 2007) Vita. Includes bibliographical references.
Willer, Dirk. "The development of equity capital markets in transition economies : privatisation and shareholder rights." Thesis, London School of Economics and Political Science (University of London), 1998. http://etheses.lse.ac.uk/1507/.
Full textSabilika, Keith. "Valuation of banks in emerging markets: an exploratory study." Thesis, Rhodes University, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1013057.
Full textCanta, Terreros Michel. "Macroeconomics effects of banking regulation in emerging markets: the role of countercyclical bank capital requirements." Thesis, McGill University, 2012. http://digitool.Library.McGill.CA:80/R/?func=dbin-jump-full&object_id=106269.
Full textCe document analyse, dans le contexte d'une économie émergente, les effets des rigidités financières et réglementations prudentiels de capital bancaire sur les fluctuations économiques. En plus, il propose une règle prudentielle qui permettra assouplir ces effets dans le coût du financement externe des sociétés et en même temps qu'améliorera le déménagement de la politique monétaire. Il est aussi proposé l'hypothèse que les effets macroéconomiques des réglementations bancaires ont tendance à être pro cycliques et à amplifier les shocks monétaires tout en affectant le mécanisme de transmission et l'effectivité de la politique monétaire dans le but de contrôler l'inflation. Ces effets, tendent à incrémenter la vulnérabilité du système financier pendant les récessions et deviennent plus grandes à l'économie émergente, avec la dollarisation ou la concurrence imparfaite dans le marché des crédits. A travers de l'usage des Modèles Dynamiques d'Equilibre Général (DSGE) avec des banques et régulation prudentielle, c'est établi la nécessité de l'existence conjointe d'une règle monétaire, d'une règle prudentielle de capital bancaire qu'agisse de manière contra cyclique, permettra assouplir les effets des shocks dans les cycles économiques. Cette règle fondement aux politiques qui propose le Comité de Basel pour la Surveillance Bancaire a partie des modifications à l'accord de capital qui sont en train d'être discutés au niveau international après la crise financière sub-prime. Les résultats des simulations numériques montrent que l'existence des frictions financières et rigidités donnent lieu non pas seulement à un déménagement incomplet de la politique monétaire dans les taux d'intérêt, mais aussi un effet amplificateur de la réglementation prudentielle bancaire Basel II. En même, il se trouve que la politique prudentielle actuelle a une tendance à augmenter la vulnérabilité du system financier pendant la phase de récession, raison pour laquelle une politique de capital bancaire contra cyclique tende à assouplir ces effets et à contribuer à la stabilité et solvabilité des systèmes financiers.
Aldrich, Paul. "The role and influence of human resource management in the capital markets and investment banking sector." Thesis, Durham University, 2008. http://etheses.dur.ac.uk/80/.
Full textFosu, Samuel. "Capital structure, product and banking market structure and performance." Thesis, University of Leicester, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/2381/28601.
Full textChadwick, Warren. "A study of the New Basel Capital Accord and its impact on South Africa and other emerging markets." Thesis, Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University, 2002. http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/52710.
Full textENGLISH ABSTRACT: The new Basel Capital Accord is intended to align capital adequacy of banks more closely with the key components of banking risk and to provide incentives for banks to improve their risk measurement and management capabilities. This has important implications for banks, particularly in the area of credit risk management. The purpose of this study is to take an in-depth look at the implications for banks in the area of credit risk management and the choice of approach (i.e. standardised versus internal ratings based approach) to be adopted. These changes in approach to credit risk will have broader economic implications and the study will in its final analysis explore these in the context of South Africa, as an emerging market. The study is split into three sections: Section A • Introduction and background to the New Basel Capital Accord; • Detailed overview on the New Basel Capital Accord with a particular emphasis on the internal ratings based approach to calculating minimum capital. Section B An in-depth discussion of credit risk management and the practical implications of moving towards an internal ratings based approach, which will eventually allow banks to take on a full portfolio approach to credit risk management. This will enable banks to manage credit risk across sub-portfolios and set economic capital based on the portfolio loss distribution of the banks entire lending book. This is an extremely important development in credit risk management and as a consequence is covered in some detail. The adoption of an internal ratings based approach offers significant rewards in the form of lower statutory capital. A profile of the current capitalisation of SA banks is provided followed by the likely effect of the standardised versus the internal ratings based approach to credit risk management, on the minimum level of statutory capital of banks. Section C The final section covers the envisaged macro effects of the New Accord on emerging markets (procyclical trends, lending concentrations, foreign capital flows and bank failures) with specific comment provided on the implications for the SA banking environment and economy. In conclusion, South African banks should as a priority move towards an internal ratings based approach to credit risk management in order to benefit from the lower statutory requirements, which accrue in the advanced phase. While the accord is likely to impact significantly on emerging markets, South Africa fortunately has a sophisticated banking system by international standards, making the adoption of an internal ratings based approach by the larger SA banks inevitable. The benefits for smaller banks are questionable and at this stage they are unlikely to move beyond the standardised approach, unless compelled to do so.
AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Die "New Basel Capital Accord" het ten doel om die kapitaal vereistes neergelê vir banke meer in lyn te bring met die risiko komponent gekoppel bankwese. Dit hou 'n belangrike implikasie vir banke in en verskaf voorts ook 'n dryfveer vir banke om die bestuur van krediet risiko en algehele bestuursvaardighede te verbeter. In hierdie studie word 'n indiepte ondersoek onderneem aangaande die implikasie op banke van krediet risiko-bestuur en die keuse van die benadering wat gevolg word. Hierdie veranderings in die benadering (dws.standard teenoor interne-graderings benadering) tot krediet risiko hou breër ekonomiese implikasies vir banke in. Hierdie ekonomiese implikasies op SA as 'n ontwikkelende mark word in die finale analise ondersoek. Die studie kan in drie afdelings verdeel word: Afdeling A: • Inleiding en agtergrond tot die "New Basel Capital Accord" en • 'n Gedetaileerde oorsig van die "New Basel Capital Accord" met spesifieke verwysing na die interne-graderings benadering om die minimum vereiste kapitaal te bepaal. Afdeling B: Hierdie afdeling ondersoek krediet risiko bestuur en die praktiese implikasies van die aanvaarding/instelling van 'n interne graderings benadering, en die effek wat dit sal hê op 'n totale portefeulje benadering tot krediet risiko. Die gevolg is dat banke krediet risiko oor sub-portefeuljes sal kan bestuur en kapitaal vlakke vasstel gebaseer op verwagte portefeulje verliese. Hierdie is 'n belangrike ontwikkeling in krediet risiko bestuur en word vervolgens in diepte behandel. Die aanvaarding van 'n interne-graderings benadering tot gradering hou voordele in vir banke in die vorm van laer statutêre kapitaal vereistes. 'n Profiel van die kapitalisasie van SA banke word verskaf, gevolg deur die verskil in die effek van die standaard benadering tot die interne graderings benadering op krediet risiko bestuur en die vereiste minimum statutêre kapitaal. Afdeling C: Die finale afdeling ondersoek die beoogde makro ekonomiese effek van die "New basel capital Accord" op ontwikkelende marke (pro-sikliese neiging, lenings konsentrasies en bank mislukkings) met spesifieke verwysing na die implikasies op SA bankwese en ekonomie. Ter afsluiting moet SA banke so spoedig moontlik die interne-graderings benadering tot krediet risiko aanvaar om voordeel te trek uit die laer kapitaal vereistes wat "ophoop in die gevorderde stadium." Daar word verwag dat die "New Basel Capital Accord" 'n wesenlike invloed op die ontwikkelende mark sal hê. SA het egter 'n gesofistikeerde en gevestigde bankstelsel wat goed vergelyk met internasionale standaarde. Die aanvaarding van 'n interne-graderings benadering deur die die groter SA banke is onafwendbaar. Die voordele wat dit vir kleiner banke inhou kan bevraagteken word en is op hierdie stadium onwaarskynlik dat so 'n benadering deur hulle geïmplimenteer sal word.
Kosek, Jiří. "Analysis of investment products of domestic and foreign banks." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2014. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-192610.
Full textHe, Wentao. "Credit market under the risk-based capital requirement." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 2014. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.648831.
Full textImai, Masami. "The banking sector problem and the credit crunch in Japan." For electronic version search Digital dissertations database. Restricted to UC campuses. Access is free to UC campus dissertations, 2002. http://uclibs.org/PID/11984.
Full textGarcia, Patricia de Oliveira. "Value relevance do índice de Basileia: o impacto da regulação bancária no mercado de capitais." Universidade de São Paulo, 2018. http://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/12/12136/tde-18062018-163803/.
Full textThe banking sector is one of the most important in society, because its activities related to the payment process and its role as financial intermediary are essential in the development of the economy. However, because of the nature of its operations and the risks involved in them, the banking sector is also one of the most rigid. And banks that operate globally receive regulatory influence in the international arena, such as the Basle Accord, which deals with minimum capital requirements. Banking regulation, and therefore the Basle Accord, can impact the activities of banks, their capture in the market, their strategies and competition. Such an impact must be assessed by the banks themselves, regulators, the market and academy. The present research evaluates the impact of banking regulation, especially the Basel Accord, on the capital market through a value relevance study. Using the Price Regression Model (PRM) with data from banks of the 27 member countries of the Basel Committee, it was assessed whether the Basel index affects the stock price of banks. We conclude that the Basel index is value relevant for the whole sample. However, with the withdrawal of the United States from the sample, due to the high percentage of participation (51%) in the sample, the Basel index is no longer value relevant. In addition, the results showed that the Basel index is not value relevant for countries considered code law and for adopters of the IFRS (full sample).
Yee, Eric Michael. "The Cost of Going Bulge: A Comparative Analysis of Bulge Bracket and Non-Bulge Bracket Banks and their Impact on IPO Underpricing." Scholarship @ Claremont, 2014. http://scholarship.claremont.edu/cmc_theses/971.
Full textZhang, Song. "Impacts of relationship banking and capital market concentration on small business finance." Thesis, University of Surrey, 2016. http://epubs.surrey.ac.uk/811005/.
Full textCoppes, Robert C. "Credit and market risk : an analysis of capital requirements for banking institutions." Capelle a/d IJssel : Labyrint Publication, 1997. http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&doc_number=008171553&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA.
Full textGreil, Tatjana Barbara. "The West German capital market and the financing behaviour of public limited companies, 1948-1965 : a reassessment." Thesis, London School of Economics and Political Science (University of London), 2002. http://etheses.lse.ac.uk/2650/.
Full textAl-Quadah, Kamal Ahamad Moh'd. "Capital expenditure decisions and company market value : a study of information flows and associated share price movements." Thesis, University of Abertay Dundee, 1991. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.247324.
Full textSheikh, Abod Sheikh Ghazali. "Mobilisation of Muslim financial resources for investment in the Malaysian capital market : an analysis of the Bumiputera investors." Thesis, Durham University, 1995. http://etheses.dur.ac.uk/1122/.
Full textIan, Ka Ieng. "Capital market development and corporate investment." Thesis, University of Macau, 2008. http://umaclib3.umac.mo/record=b1872932.
Full textVieira, Isabel Maria. "Short-term and long-term capital market integration in the European Union : an investigation using interest rate and currency swaps data." Thesis, Loughborough University, 1999. https://dspace.lboro.ac.uk/2134/10561.
Full textBurton, Bruce M. "An empirical investigation of the relationship between corporate investment opportunities and the UK stock market reaction to new financing and capital expenditure announcements." Thesis, University of Dundee, 1998. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.273643.
Full textÖgren, Anders. "Empirical studies in money, credit and banking : the Swedish credit market in transition under the silver and gold standards 1834-1913 /." Stockholm : Institute for Research in Economic History (Institutet för ekonomisk historisk forskning vid Handelshögsk.) (EHF), 2003. http://web.hhs.se/efi/summary/616.htm.
Full textProto, Eugenio. "Financial markets, stagnation and instability in less developed economies." Doctoral thesis, Universite Libre de Bruxelles, 2004. http://hdl.handle.net/2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/211076.
Full textSamek, Michal. "Komparace ochrany investora a vkladatele na českém finančním trhu." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2011. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-72004.
Full textEksi, Emrah. "The impact of the market risk of capital regulations on bank activities." Thesis, Loughborough University, 2006. https://dspace.lboro.ac.uk/2134/7837.
Full textMakwiramiti, Anthony Munyaradzi. "The implementation of the new capital accord (BASEL II) : a comparative study of South Africa, Switzerland, Brazil and the United States." Thesis, Rhodes University, 2009. http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1002717.
Full textMuzahem, Abdulla. "An empirical analysis on the practice and determinants of risk disclosure in an emerging capital market : the case of United Arab Emirates." Thesis, University of Portsmouth, 2011. https://researchportal.port.ac.uk/portal/en/theses/an-empirical-analysis-on-the-practice-and-determinants-of-risk-disclosure-in-an-emerging-capital-market-the-case-of-united-arab-emirates(2502d5eb-8871-453f-9c52-90e59dac5642).html.
Full textHirani, Pranav. "Dynamic models of credit ratings and default probabilities." Diss., Columbia, Mo. : University of Missouri-Columbia, 2007. http://hdl.handle.net/10355/5998.
Full textThe entire dissertation/thesis text is included in the research.pdf file; the official abstract appears in the short.pdf file (which also appears in the research.pdf); a non-technical general description, or public abstract, appears in the public.pdf file. Title from title screen of research.pdf file (viewed on April 17, 2008) Includes bibliographical references.
Jebavý, Jan. "Analýza dopadů globální finanční krize na kapitálové trhy a investiční bankovnictví." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2009. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-77400.
Full textLi, Yu Fei. "Legal system and market timing effect on capital structure : an international experience." Thesis, University of Macau, 2008. http://umaclib3.umac.mo/record=b1950300.
Full textSpargoli, Fabrizio. "Three essays in banking : theory and empirics." Doctoral thesis, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/10803/117854.
Full textAquesta tesi tracta sobre la inestabilitat financera i la regulació bancària. El primer capítol examina si la divulgació d'informació sobre els bancs maximitza el benestar en temps de crisi. Contràriament a la saviesa convencional, es demostra que la transparència és òptima només si els problemes dels bancs es poden resoldre de manera eficient. El segon capítol ofereix una explicació de la incapacitat observada dels participants del mercat per avaluar la solvència dels bancs en temps de crisi. Es demostra que els incentius dels bancs a subestimar les pèrdues porten a un equilibri en el qual no hi ha informació disponible al mercat en temps de crisi, i on els bancs prenen riscos excessius ex-ante. El tercer capítol, en coautoria amb Philipp Ager, proporciona una anàlisi empírica dels efectes de la liberalització sobre la competència bancària i fallides bancàries. Utilitzant la relaxació de les barreres a l'entrada dels bancs als EUA al segle XIX com a cas d'estudi, ens trobem que la liberalització augmenta l'entrada de bancs en un 11% i la fallida de bancs en un 2,6%.
Patrick, Carol A. "Short-termism : an investigation of some UK evidence." Thesis, University of Stirling, 1997. http://hdl.handle.net/1893/26689.
Full textSpringstube, Woodard R. (Woodard Rex). "Studies in Bank Contagion: Three Regulatory Events." Thesis, University of North Texas, 1998. https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc279347/.
Full textZia, Mujtaba. "Bank Capital, Efficient Market Hypothesis, and Bank Borrowing During the Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008." Thesis, University of North Texas, 2014. https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc699938/.
Full textÖgren, Anders. "Empirical studies in money, credit and banking : the Swedish credit market in transition under the silver and gold standards 1834-1913." Doctoral thesis, Handelshögskolan i Stockholm, EHFF - Stiftelsen för Ekonomisk-historisk och Företagshistorisk Forskning, 2003. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:hhs:diva-1876.
Full textDiss. Stockholm : Handelshögskolan, 2003. Sammanfattning på engelska
Bierbaumer, Daniel. "Commodity Pricing, Credit and Capital Flows: The Role of Financial Intermediaries." Doctoral thesis, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.18452/20177.
Full textThe global financial crisis has demonstrated the importance of macrofinancial linkages for asset price dynamics and business cycles. Regarding supply-side financial frictions, financial intermediaries, in particular their balance sheet and risk-bearing capacity, are considered to be pivotal. This thesis applies different classes of SVAR models and state-of-the-art identification techniques to provide empirical findings on the role of financial intermediaries in financial markets and the real economy. The first chapter studies the state-dependent trading behavior of financial intermediaries in the oil futures market and shows that intermediaries become less price-elastic and trade more according to their own demand. The findings suggest that the futures pricing of intermediaries is nonlinear which significantly raises the volatility in the market during crisis times. The second chapter demonstrates that most trader groups in commodity futures markets employ contrarian strategies. The simple SVAR model can be applied for analyzing the trading strategies of different trader groups as well as their effects for price volatility in any asset market. Chapter 3 identifies sector-specific business and household loan supply shocks in one single model and provides empirical evidence on their effects for the U.S. macroeconomy. The results show that both loan supply shocks have contributed significantly to business cycle dynamics over the sample period, with household loan supply shocks resembling classical demand shocks. The last chapter analyzes the global effects of European bank deleveraging and finds that European bank balance sheet shocks significantly affect gross capital inflows and credit growth in in advanced economies with developed financial markets, but have only minor effects on output growth.
Kourouma, Lancine. "Mesure du capital réglementaire par des modèles de risque de marché." Phd thesis, Université de Grenoble, 2012. http://tel.archives-ouvertes.fr/tel-00864121.
Full textSilva, Dora Alexandra Capelo Tomé. "Impacto do Novo Acordo de Basileia nas economias emergentes: o caso do Brasil." Master's thesis, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/3433.
Full textA aplicação do Novo Acordo dc Basileia alterará profundamente o mundo financeiro, afectando as políticas de risco das instituições financeiras, já que será da eficiência interna dessa gestão que resultarão os requisitos de capital a alocar para cobrir os riscos que as suas carteiras enfrentam. Consequentemente, a supervisão bancária torna-se mais proactiva - e não tão reactiva - na sua tarefa de salvaguardar o sistema financeiro dos fenómenos dos riscos moral e sistémico, que afectam a economia como um todo. Devido à estrutura assente cm notações dc rating encara-se a possibilidade de Basileia II agravar as condições de acesso ao crédito aos países cm desenvolvimento onde o rating é, tradicionalmente, inferior, representando, um custo de capital superior aos países que o concedem. Ao nível interno desses países, espera-se, no entanto, que, como nos demais países, os requisitos de fundos próprios diminuam ã medida que se avança para modelos mais sofisticados, capazes de captar melhor o risco da carteira das instituições. De modo a captar os pontos anteriores, o presente trabalho divide-se em 6 partes: i) introdução - focando a necessidade de existência da intermediação financeira; ii) a racionalidade económica da supervisão bancária e dos Bancos Centrais; iii) a globalização e sofisticação financeiras que justificaram a criação do Acordo de Basileia I; iv) as causas conducentes à reformulação do acordo de capitais e a estrutura do Acordo dc Basileia 11; v) os potenciais impactos, positivos e negativos, que este Novo Acordo terá nas economias emergentes, no que concerne ao seu acesso internacional ao credito; vi) a evolução recente do mercado bancário e a elaboração de um estudo prático no caso concreto do Brasil, com vista a averiguar se, internamente, as instituições financeiras brasileiras, diminuirão, efectivamente, os seus requisitos de capital, à medida que avançam para modelos internos mais complexos e sensíveis ao risco.
The application of the New Basle Accord will profoundly change the financial world, affecting the risk policies of financial institutions, with internal efficiency of the risk management procedures assuming the responsibility for allocation of capital requirements, in order to cover the risks of their portfolios. Thus, banking supervision shows a more proactive role - and no longer reactive - on its task of keeping the financial system safe from the moral hazard and systemic risk phenomena, which affect the economy as a whole. Due to the ratings based structure - that is, internal and external ratings - it is faced the possibility that Basel II can aggravate the conditions to the international access for credit for developing countries, where the rating is, traditionally, lower, representing a greater capital requirement for the lending countries. In spite of that, it is expected that, at an internal level, like other countries else, the capital requirements low while the sophistication of the risk model gains the ability to internalize the institutions' risks. In order to capture the precedent items, the present working paper is structured in 6 parts: i) introduction - focusing the need for the existence of financial intermediation; ii) the economic rational for cither the banking supervision and a Central Bank; iii) the globalization and sophistication which justify the creation of the I Basel Accord; iv) the causes which led the reformulation of the first Accord and the structure of Basel 11; v) the potential impacts that the New Accord will probably have in the emerging economies, regarding to their international access for credit; vi) the recent evolution of the banking market and a case study for Brazil, in order to check if, internally, the Brazilian financial institutions will, effectively, low their capital requirements when they take more advanced and risk sensitive internal models.
Ohnsorge, Franziska. "Self-selection, labour markets and capital markets." Thesis, National Library of Canada = Bibliothèque nationale du Canada, 2001. http://www.collectionscanada.ca/obj/s4/f2/dsk3/ftp05/NQ63648.pdf.
Full textAkhter, Md Selim. "Financial soundness and development a multi-country analysis using panel data /." View thesis, 2008. http://handle.uws.edu.au:8081/1959.7/41341.
Full textA thesis submitted to the University of Western Sydney, College of Business, School of Economics and Finance, in fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy. Includes bibliographical references.
Rahman, Nafis. "Essays on capital markets." Thesis, University of British Columbia, 2016. http://hdl.handle.net/2429/59049.
Full textBusiness, Sauder School of
Accounting, Division of
Graduate
Yu, Wayne Weifeng. "Essays on capital markets." Thesis, National Library of Canada = Bibliothèque nationale du Canada, 1997. http://www.collectionscanada.ca/obj/s4/f2/dsk3/ftp04/nq23098.pdf.
Full textMamaysky, Harry. "Essays in capital markets." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2000. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/9180.
Full textIncludes bibliographical references.
The first two chapters of this dissertation study financial asset markets which are not "frictionless." The first chapter focuses on the effects of transaction costs. The second chapter focuses on the interaction between asymmetric information and strategic behavior. The third chapter empirically assesses the informativeness of certain types of price indicators based on technical analysis. In Chapter 1 ( co-authored with Andrew Lo and Jiang Wang) we propose a dynamic equilibrium model of asset pricing and trading volume with heterogeneous investors facing fixed transactions costs. We show that even small fixed costs can give rise to large "notrade" regions for each investor's optimal trading policy and a significant illiquidity discount in asset prices. We perform a calibration exercise to illustrate the empirical relevance of our model for aggregate data. Our model also has implications for the dynamics of order flow, bid/ask spreads, market depth, the allocation of trading costs between buyer and seller, and other aspects of market microstructure, including a square-root power law between trading volume and fixed costs which we confirm using historical US stock market data from 1993 to 1997. Chapter 2 develops an equilibrium model of a dynamic asymmetric information economy. The model is solved under two circumstances: where the informed and uninformed sectors are both competitive, and where the informed sector is competitive and the uninformed sector consists of a single, strategic agent. The strategic uninformed agent, when facing the same signals as the uninformed competitive sector, manages to extract different information abo~t the state of the economy. I find that expected returns, return variability, and unexpected trading volume differ between the competitive and the strategic economies. Furthermore, this difference depends on the degree of informational asymmetry between the two sectors. In the strategic economy, less surplus is lost due to informational arbitrage by the informed sector. Interestingly, the presence of asymmetric information allows even the competitive uninformed agents to gain surplus from allocational trade. Finally, I examine the incentives of agents to become better informed, and find that sometimes both competitive and strategic agents are better off under worse information. Technical analysis, also known as "charting," has been a part of financial practice for many decades, but this discipline has not received the same level of academic scrutiny and acceptance as more traditional approaches such as fundamental analysis. One of the main obstacles is the highly subjective nature of technical analysis-the presence of geometric shapes in historical price charts is often in the eyes of the, beholder. In Chapter 3 ( co-authored with Andrew Lo and Jiang Wang), we propose a systematic and automatic approach to technical pattern recognition using nonparametric kernel regression, and apply this method to a large number of U.S. stocks from 1962 to 1996 to evaluate the effectiveness of technical analysis. By comparing the unconditional empirical distribution of daily stock returns to the conditional distribution-conditioned on specific technical indicators such as head-and shoulders or double-bottoms-we find that over the 31-year sample period, several technical indicators do provide incremental information and may have some practical value.
by Harry Mamaysky.
Ph.D.
Papanikolaou, Dimitris Ph D. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. "Essays in capital markets." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2007. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/42335.
Full textIncludes bibliographical references (p. 153-161).
In the first chapter, I provide evidence that investment-specific technological change is a source of systematic risk. In contrast to neutral productivity shocks, the economy needs to invest to realize the benefits of innovations in investment technology. A positive shock to investment technology is followed by a reallocation of resources from consumption to investment, leading to a negative price of risk. A portfolio of stocks that produce investment goods minus stocks that produce consumption goods (IMC) proxies for the shock and is a priced risk factor. The value of assets in place minus growth opportunities falls after positive shocks to investment technology, which suggests an explanation for the value puzzle. I formalize these insights in a dynamic general equilibrium model with two sectors of production. The model's implications are supported by the data. The IMC portfolio earns a negative premium, predicts investment and consumption in a manner consistent with the theory, and helps price the value cross section. In the second chapter, based on joint work with Igor Makarov, we use heteroscedasticity of stock returns as an identification tool to isolate four robust factors in the U.S. industry returns. The first factor can be viewed as a proxy for economy wide demand shocks. The second factor is a portfolio of stocks producing investment goods minus stocks producing consumption goods (IMC). The third factor differentiates between cyclical vs. non-cyclical stocks. Finally, the fourth factor is consistent with a proxy for shocks to input good prices. The extracted factors are shown to be important in explaining the cross-section of expected returns. Unlike the CAPM or the Fama and French three factor model, they successfully price the cross-section of 48 industry portfolios and do a good job at explaining the 25 Fama and French size and book-to-market portfolios.
(cont.) The fourth ("input") factor is found to be a robust predictor of the value-weighted market portfolio. In the third chapter, based on joint work with Jiro Kondo, we propose a new foundation for the limits to arbitrage based on financial relationships between arbitrageurs and banks. Financially constrained arbitrageurs may choose to seek additional financing from banks who can understand their strategies. However, a hold-up problem arises because banks cannot commit to provide capital and have the financial technology to profit from the strategies themselves. Wary of this, arbitrageurs will choose to stay constrained and limit their correction of mispricing unless banks have sufficient reputational capital. Using the framework of stochastic repeated games, we show that this form of limited arbitrage arises when mispricing is largest and becomes more substantial as the degree of competition between banks intensifies and arbitrageur wealth increases.
by Dimitris Papanikolaou.
Ph.D.
Makarov, Igor 1976. "Essays in capital markets." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/36288.
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This thesis consists of three essays in capital markets. The first essay presents a dynamic asset pricing model with heterogeneously informed agents. Unlike previous research, the general case where differential information leads to the problem of "forecasting the forecasts of others" and to non-trivial dynamics of higher order expectations is studied. In particular, it is proved that the model does not admit a finite number of state variables. A comparison of equilibria characterized by identical fundamentals but different information structure shows that the distribution of information has substantial impact on equilibrium prices and returns. In the second essay we explore several sources of serial correlation in returns of hedge funds and other alternative investments. We show that the most likely explanation is illiquidity exposure, i.e., investments in securities that are not actively traded and for which market prices are not always readily available. For portfolios of illiquid securities, reported returns will tend to be smoother than true economic returns, which will understate volatility and increase risk-adjusted performance measures such as the Sharpe ratio. We propose an econometric model of illiquidity exposure and develop estimators for the smoothing profile as well as a smoothing-adjusted Sharpe ratio.
(cont.) For a sample of 908 hedge funds drawn from the TASS database, we show that our estimated smoothing coefficients vary considerably across hedge-fund style categories and may be a useful proxy for quantifying illiquidity exposure. In the third essay our objective is to study analytically the effect of borrowing constraints on asset returns. We explicitly characterize the equilibrium for an exchange economy with two agents who differ in their risk aversion and are prohibited from borrowing. In a representative-agenlt economly with CR.RA preferences, the Sharpe ratio of equity returns and the risk-free rate are linked by the risk aversion parameter. We show that allowing for preference hetterogeneity an(l imposing borrowing constraints breaks this link. We find that anll economy with borrowing constraints exhibits simultaneously a relatively high Sharpe ratio of stock returns and a relatively low risk-free interest rate, compared to both representative-agent and unconstrained heterogeneous-agent economies.
by Igor Makarov.
Ph.D.
Chan, Wesley S. (Wesley Sherwin) 1974. "Essays in capital markets." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2002. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/28248.
Full textIncludes bibliographical references (p. 136-141).
(cont.) Slow information diffusion can cause return momentum. Institutions are thought to be more informed than individuals, and should eliminate return predictability. However, higher institutional ownership is associated with more momentum. Therefore, institutions either herd on returns or can have information before individuals. I find evidence of the latter. However, the effects are economically small, suggesting that aggregate data obscures differences between institutions. I divide institutions by trading aggressiveness. Aggressive institutions are more responsive to recent returns, and a strategy mimicking their trades generates even better performance. This confirms that some investors are more informed than others, but do not eliminate return predictability.
This thesis consists of three chapters, each about a separate aspect of how investors respond to information in equity markets. The first chapter concerns news and stock returns. Using a comprehensive database of headlines about individual companies, I examine monthly returns following public news. I compare them to stocks with similar returns, but no identifiable public news. There is a difference between the two sets. I find strong drift after bad news. Investors seem to react slowly to this information. I also find reversal after extreme price movements unaccompanied by public news. The separate patterns appear even after adjustments for risk exposure and other effects. They are, however, mainly seen in smaller, more illiquid stocks. These findings support some integrated theories of investor over- and underreaction. The second chapter is joint work with Richard Frankel and S. P. Kothari. Models based on psychology can explain momentum and reversal in stock returns, but may be overfitted to data. We examine a typical basis for these models, representativeness, in which individuals predict the future based on how closely past outcomes fit certain categories. We use accounting performance to mimic possible investor-defined categories for firm performance. We test the idea that investors predictably bias their expectations about future operations by using these categories. We find little evidence that the sequence or trend of past accounting performance is related to future returns, and is therefore unlikely to bias investor expectations. The third chapter concerns how informational advantage differs between institutional investors.
by Wesley S. Chan.
Ph.D.
Sodini, Paolo 1968. "Essays in capital markets." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2001. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/35489.
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The thesis is composed of three chapters. The first chapter proposes that financial innovation induces endogenous changes in the composition of market participants, which can both increase the interest rate and reduce the risk premia earned on pre-existing assets. We consider an exchange economy with endogenous participation. Competitive investors can freely borrow and lend, but must pay a fixed entry cost to invest in risky assets. Security prices and the participation structure are jointly determined in equilibrium. We show existence and constrained optimality of equilibrium under general conditions, and then specialize to a CARA-normal framework with finitely many risk factors. The model reconciles a number of features that have characterized financial markets in the past three decades: substantial financial innovation; a sharp increase in investor participation; improved risk management practices; an increase in interest rates; and a reduction in the risk premium. In the second chapter, we study the effect of margin constraints on volatility and welfare in an intertemporal financial economy. We find that margin requirements do not necessarily reduce market volatility and can generate non-monotonic redistributive effects. The setup allows for full flexibility in setting margin requirements and is well suited to address regulatory issues. We study in detail two types of margin rules. The uniform rule, in which margin constraints are constant over time and states, and the practitioners' rule of tightening margin constraints in bear markets and relaxing them in bull market.
(cont.) The results are compared with the first best rule in which margin requirements are chosen just to prevent default. In the third chapter, we consider a framework with mean-variance investors that face margin and no short-selling constraints and can default on their pre-existing leveraged positions. Margin calls and portfolio rebalancing create spillover-contagion effects across markets. A negative shock in one specific asset can reduce prices of even uncorrelated assets with unchanged fundamentals. We test this result across different forms of margin contracts typically used in practice. Margin constraints can also generate a self-reinforcing mechanism that amplifies price movements and create discontinuity in the price schedule.
by Paolo Sodini.
Ph.D.
Kogan, Leonid 1974. "Essays in capital markets." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1999. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/28212.
Full textIncludes bibliographical references (p. 231-237).
This thesis consists of three essays in capital markets. In the first essay, given a European derivative security with an arbitrary payoff function and a corresponding set of underlying securities on which the derivative security is based, we solve the optimal-replication problem: find a self-financing dynamic portfolio strategy-involving only the underlying securities-that most closely approximates the payoff function at maturity. By applying stochastic dynamic programming to the minimization of a mean-squared- error loss function under Markov state-dynamics, we derive recursive expressions for the optimal-replication strategy that are readily implemented in practice. The approximation error or ... of the optimal-replication strategy is also given recursively and may be used to quantify the "degree" of market incompleteness. To investigate the practical significance of these c-arbitrage strategies, we consider several numerical examples including path-dependent options and options on assets with stochastic volatility and jumps. In the second essay we study the tracking error, resulting from the discrete-time application of continuous-time delta-hedging procedures for European options. We characterize the asymptotic distribution of the tracking error as the number of discrete time periods increases, and its joint distribution with other assets. We introduce the notion of temporal granularity of the continuous time stochastic model that enables us to characterize the degree to which discrete time approximations of continuous time models track the payoff of the option. We derive closed form expressions for the granularity for a put or call option on a stock that follows a geometric Brownian motion and a mean-reverting process. These expressions offer insight into the tracking error involved in applying continuous-time delta hedging in discrete time. We also introduce alternative measures of the tracking error and analyze their properties. The third essay presents a general equilibrium model of financial asset prices with irreversible real investment. The focus is on the effects of the irreversibility of real investment on financial asset prices. The model shows how this irreversibility leads to time variation in volatility and systematic risk of stock returns. Changes in these variables are driven by real economic activity, in particular, by firms' investment decisions. Thus, systematic risk of stock returns and their volatility are affected by economy-wide and industry-specific shocks. Firm-specific variables, particularly market-to-book ratios, are linked to real activity and contain information about the dynamic behavior of stock returns. The model of this paper also provides a framework for analyzing futures prices. A comparison between the economy with irreversible investment and an identical economy without the irreversibility shows that all of these results should be attributed to the irreversibility of real investment.
by Leonid Kogan.
Ph.D.
Holmberg, Ulf. "Essays on credit markets and banking." Doctoral thesis, Umeå universitet, Nationalekonomi, 2012. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-53494.
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