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Journal articles on the topic 'Business cycles – Research'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 10 March 2023

Last updated: 31 July 2025

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1

Funk, Mark. "Business cycles and research investment." Applied Economics 38, no. 15 (2006): 1775–82. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00036840500427098.

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2

SPYCHAŁA, Joanna. "Regional business cycles in Poland." Scientific Papers of Silesian University of Technology. Organization and Management Series 2020, no. 146 (2020): 441–54. http://dx.doi.org/10.29119/1641-3466.2020.146.31.

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Purpose: The main goal of the considerations presented hereinbelow is a presentation of the course of action as well as an analysis of crucial features of cyclical fluctuations differentiated as entities in the Polish economy as well as in all provinces in the period of the first quarter of 2005 until the second quarter of 2019 based on the rate of the sold production of industry. Design/methodology/approach: A share of the respective regions in the structure of the sold production of industry was assessed. Finally, an attempt of assessing the rate of convergence in terms of morphology of a na

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3

McCraw, Thomas K. "Schumpeter's Business Cycles as Business History." Business History Review 80, no. 2 (2006): 231–61. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0007680500035479.

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Business Cycles was Joseph Schumpeter's least successful book, measured by its professed aims and several other yardsticks. Yet the book has two vital aspects that have largely been overlooked. First, the prodigious research that went into its writing caused a significant change in Schumpeter's thinking about capitalism. It moved him to a more historical and empirical approach that shaped nearly all his subsequent work. And second, much of the book constitutes a preview of modern, rigorous business history. This article explores both of these elements—not in the spirit of rescuing a neglected

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4

Plosser, Charles I. "Understanding Real Business Cycles." Journal of Economic Perspectives 3, no. 3 (1989): 51–77. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/jep.3.3.51.

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This brief essay is intended to provide readers with an introduction to the real business cycle approach to business fluctuations. It discusses the basic real business cycle framework; economic growth and business cycles; real business cycles and the 1954–1985 U.S. economy; government policies and suboptimal equilibrium; and the real business cycle research agenda. An appendix presents a more technical summary of the basic neoclassical model presented in the paper.

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Comin, Diego, and Mark Gertler. "Medium-Term Business Cycles." American Economic Review 96, no. 3 (2006): 523–51. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.96.3.523.

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Over the postwar period, many industrialized countries have experienced significant medium-frequency oscillations between periods of robust growth versus relative stagnation. Conventional business cycle filters, however, tend to sweep these oscillations into the trend. In this paper we explore whether they may, instead, reflect a persistent response of economic activity to the high-frequency fluctuations normally associated with the cycle. We define as the medium-term cycle the sum of the high- and medium-frequency variation in the data, and then show that these kinds of fluctuations are subst

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6

Duarte, Jefferson, and Nishad Kapadia. "Davids, Goliaths, and Business Cycles." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 52, no. 6 (2017): 2429–60. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0022109017000783.

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We show that a simple, intuitive variable, Goliath versus David (GVD), reflects time variation in discount rates related to changes in aggregate business conditions. GVD is the annual change in the weight of the largest 250 firms in the aggregate stock market and is motivated by research that shows that small firms are more severely impacted than large firms by economic shocks due to differences in access to external finance. We find that GVD is the best single predictor of out-of-sample market returns among traditional predictors, predicting quarterly market returns with an out-of-sampleR2of

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Pandey, Radhika, Ila Patnaik, and Ajay Shah. "Dating business cycles in India." Indian Growth and Development Review 10, no. 1 (2017): 32–61. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/igdr-02-2017-0013.

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Purpose This paper aims to present a chronology of Indian business cycles in the post-reform period. In India, earlier, macroeconomic shocks were about droughts and oil prices. Economic reforms have led to an interplay of a market economy, financial globalisation and decisions of private firms to undertake investment and hold inventory. This has changed the working of the business cycle and has raised concerns about business-cycle stabilisation. In the backdrop of these developments, the macroeconomics research agenda requires foundations of measurement about business-cycle phenomena. One elem

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8

Ch., Paramaiah, Long Mabathoana, and I. Motelle Sephooko. "THE SYNCHRONIZATION OR DUALITY OF THE BUSINESS AND FINANCIAL CYCLES IN SMALL DEPENDENT ECONOMIES: EMPIRICAL LESSONS FROM LESOTHO." Indian Journal of Economics and Business 20, no. 2 (2021): 573–92. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5704188.

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Abstract: The aim of this paper is to identify the synchronization between business and financial cycles in Lesotho. When business and financial cycles are in sync, monetary policy and macro-prudential policy conduct are complementary; however, when the cycles are out of sync, the two policies conflict. This study investigates the synchronization between business and financial cycles. Therefore, this study seeks to address the key research question: Are business and financial cycles synchronized in Lesotho? Real GDP growth rates and credit-to-GDP gaps are employed to extract business and finan

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9

Stoforos, Chrysostomos, Stavros Degiannakis, Panagiotis Delis, George Filis, and Theodosios Palaskas. "Business Cycles Synchronization: Literature Review." Journal of Economic Analysis 3, no. 4 (2024): 37–48. http://dx.doi.org/10.58567/jea03040011.

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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 12.0pt;"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; font-family: 'Cambria',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">Following the seminal paper on Optimum Currency Areas (OCA) by Mundell (1961) a wealth of literature has been published on the business cycles synchronisation and its main determinants. This work provides a systematic review of this research field both at country-level synchronization and regional level. The paper aims to evaluate the contribution of the related literature&rsqu

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10

Puu, Tönu. "Order and disorder in business cycles." Annals of Operations Research 37, no. 1 (1992): 169–83. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/bf02071055.

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11

Liow, Kim Hiang. "Linkages between cross-country business cycles, cross-country stock market cycles and cross-country real estate market cycles." Journal of European Real Estate Research 9, no. 2 (2016): 123–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jerer-05-2015-0024.

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Purpose This research aims to investigate whether and to what extent the co-movements of cross-country business cycles, cross-country stock market cycles and cross-country real estate market cycles are linked across G7 from February 1990 to June 2014. Design/methodology/approach The empirical approaches include correlation analysis on Hodrick–Prescott (HP) cycles, HP cycle return spillovers effects using Diebold and Yilmaz’s (2012) spillover index methodology, as well as Croux et al.’s (2001) dynamic correlation and cohesion methodology. Findings There are fairly strong cycle-return spillover

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12

Petrenko, T. V. "LABOR AND BUSINESS CYCLES – SYSTEM VISION." Social & labor researches 54, no. 1 (2024): 8–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.34022/2658-3712-2024-54-1-8-23.

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The subject of the study is the labor crisis as a permanent phenomenon of development economics, which is updated during periods of large-scale innovative transformations. The purpose of the paper is to develop a systematic understanding of the labor crisis. The relevance of the study is due to the aggravation of the labor crisis in the context of the emerging change in the technological structure. The scientific novelty lies in the development of a systematic understanding of the labor crisis and its socio-economic consequences. The research methods are system analysis, factor analysis, metho

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13

Nuño, Galo. "Optimal research and development and the cost of business cycles." Journal of Economic Growth 16, no. 3 (2011): 257–83. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10887-011-9063-4.

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Kregždė, Arvydas. "BUSINESS CYCLES SYNCHRONISATIONS IN THE BALTIC COUNTRIES." Business, Management and Education 18, no. 1 (2020): 127–41. http://dx.doi.org/10.3846/bme.2020.12254.

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Purpose – The purpose of the paper is to investigate the level of real business cycles synchronisation between the Baltic and the Nordic countries and between the Baltic countries and the euro area. Research methodology – Wavelet analysis was employed to evaluate the level of synchronisation for different periods and time. Quarterly data from 1995 Q2 to 2019 Q4 was used. Findings – We discover the influence of several essential events in economies of the Baltic countries on the synchronisation: accession to the EU in 2004, the introduction of the euro in the Baltic countries and some external

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15

Zinser, Brian, and Gary Brunswick. "Introductory Business Textbook Revision Cycles: Are They Getting Shorter?" American Journal of Business Education (AJBE) 3, no. 12 (2010): 41–48. http://dx.doi.org/10.19030/ajbe.v3i12.963.

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The rate of textbook revision cycles is examined in light of the recent trend towards more rapid revisions (and adoptions of textbooks). The authors conduct background research to better understand the context for textbook revision cycles and the environmental forces that have been influencing what appears to be more rapid textbook revisions. A study methodology is designed, data are collected and analyzed, and the results are reported, eventually supporting the contention that textbook revision cycles are indeed becoming more frequent. The managerial implications of the findings are discussed

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16

Stolbov, M. "The Evolution of Monetary Theories of Business Cycles." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 7 (July 20, 2009): 119–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2009-7-119-131.

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The article deals with the most influential monetary theories of business cycles, ranging from R. Hawtrey and F. Hayeks descriptive models based on credit cycles to the financial accelerator concept worked out by B. Bernanke. The prerequisites, methodology and conclusions of the theories are analyzed in the context of broad research programs of scientific schools and economists who elaborated these concepts. The competition and convergence between conflicting monetary theories of business cycles are also described.

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17

Qu, Zhengxu. "A Review about the Business Cycle and Stock Market." Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences 124, no. 1 (2024): 17–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.54254/2754-1169/2024.17720.

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This study reviews extensive research examining the relationship between business cycles and stock market returns. It explores both the impact of business cycles on stock market volatility and the predictive power of stock markets regarding business cycles. Existing theories and empirical studies have provided significant insights, yet a notable gap exists in understanding stocks' differential sensitivity to economic fluctuations across various industries. This review highlights the need for future research to adopt a more granular approach, considering industry-specific responses and utilizin

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18

Suzuki, Motoshi. "Political Business Cycles in the Public Mind." American Political Science Review 86, no. 4 (1992): 989–96. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1964350.

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Numerous studies have sought to discover political business cycles in macroeconomic variables. Although voters' subjective economic expectations have been shown to influence their electoral decisions, no existing research has attempted to uncover cyclical patterns in citizens' economic expectations. Using survey data, I seek to determine whether expectations shift to benefit the incumbent president's electoral interest. The analyses show that the percentage of the public predicting an economic upturn increases before a presidential election. One explanation for the findings is that voters migh

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19

Li, Jiawei. "Research on the Comovement of Business Cycles and International Economic Policy Coordination." International Business & Economics Studies 6, no. 4 (2024): p341. http://dx.doi.org/10.22158/ibes.v6n4p341.

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With the acceleration of globalization, the co-movement of economic cycles and the coordination of international economic policies have become an important topic in economic research. The economic cycle is an inevitable fluctuation in economic activities, usually characterized by alternating expansion and contraction, and these fluctuations not only affect the economic conditions of a single country, but also have a profound impact on the international level. The purpose of this paper is to explore the performance of business cycle coordination and its impact on international economic policy c

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20

Rafferty, Matthew. "Do Business Cycles Alter the Composition of Research and Development Expenditures?" Contemporary Economic Policy 21, no. 3 (2003): 394–405. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/cep/byg020.

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21

Tombs, Steve. "Research Note: Safety, Statistics and Business Cycles: A Response to Nichols." Sociological Review 40, no. 1 (1992): 132–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-954x.1992.tb02948.x.

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This article considers three criticisms made by Nichols of my article on ‘industrial injuries in British manufacturing’. First, I argue that, notwithstanding recognised problems with data which include ‘minor’ accidents, this should not be rejected. I then question the reliability of the alternative data used by Nichols, namely that related to fatalities in British manufacturing. Second, I show that Nichols' claim that accident rates were increasing rather than decreasing in the years 1975–1979 can only be sustained if one shifts the years within which the trend is considered, and ignores othe

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22

Lambert, Susan, and Marco Montemari. "Business Model Research: From Concepts to Theories." International Journal of Business and Management 12, no. 11 (2017): 41. http://dx.doi.org/10.5539/ijbm.v12n11p41.

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The purpose of this paper is threefold. Firstly, it provides business model researchers with a structured analysis of the research that is required to enable business model theories to be developed. A schema for analyzing existing research and for discerning the research required to move towards business model theory building is proposed. The importance of conceptual research along with deductive and inductive empirical research is emphasized. Secondly, the extant business model literature is analyzed according to the research schema to highlight current gaps in the research and the progress b

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23

Bramson, Michael, and Victor Zarnowitz. "Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators and Forecasting." Journal of the Operational Research Society 44, no. 11 (1993): 1162. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2583878.

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24

Bramson, Michael. "Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators and Forecasting." Journal of the Operational Research Society 44, no. 11 (1993): 1162–63. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/jors.1993.189.

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25

Beck, Krzysztof. "Application of filters to analysis of business cycles and business cycle synchronization of Poland with European countries." Wiadomości Statystyczne. The Polish Statistician 62, no. 10 (2017): 5–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.5604/01.3001.0014.1053.

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The aim of this paper is to present the importance of business cycle synchronization between Poland and other European countries. The Hodrick- Prescott and Christiano-Fitzgerald filters were used in the research. They were applied to extract cyclical components from quarterly time series of real GDP of 33 European countries basing on the Eurostat’s quarterly data on nominal GDP and price level in the years 2002—2016. The application of filters proved that, in case of some countries (e.g. Greece), the economic crisis led not only to a drop of GDP but also to a break in the trend. Moreover, the

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26

Huang, Yiping, Shiyu Xu, Changhua Yu, Haofeng Du, and Harry Xiaoying Wu. "Production Networks and Business Cycles in China." China Finance and Economic Review 14, no. 1 (2025): 3–22. https://doi.org/10.1515/cfer-2025-0001.

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Abstract Business cycles are often regarded as aggregate phenomena. However, against the backdrop of rapid structural transformation in Chinese economy, they are also influenced by cyclical changes in various sectors and the evolution of the economic network structure. From the perspective of production networks, this paper analyzes the causes of business cycles in China. Firstly, a theoretical model is constructed to discuss the impact of structural characteristics and transformation processes of production networks on the relationship between sectoral shocks and economic fluctuations. Subseq

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Beck, John H. "Voting Cycles in Business Curriculum Reform, a Note." American Economist 41, no. 1 (1997): 83–88. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/056943459704100109.

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The theoretical potential for voting cycles is well known, but the empirical frequency of its occurrence is still a topic for research. This paper presents a case study of the occurrence of voting cycles in business school curriculum reform. Three separate decisions are analyzed: (1) addition of a service requirement, (2) additions to the business core, and (3) changes in the nature of majors/“concentrations.” A voting cycle was found in (2) but not (1) or (3). This result is consistent with theoretical analyses finding that cycles are more likely when there are more alternatives to be conside

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Dr., Murillo Dias, Luiz Gustavo Vivanco Dr., and Teixeira Elson. "A SYSTEMATIC LITERATURE REVIEW ON BUSINESS CYCLES AND MICROECONOMICS." GPH-International Journal of Applied Science 07, no. 01 (2024): 18–33. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10566369.

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<strong>Over the past 150 years, business cycles have been extensively studied. However, there needs to be more research comparing the field's evolution since 1900 with microeconomics, which would provide a broader perspective on both fields. We reviewed more than 7.5 million citations and more than three thousand publications on Google Scholar and Scopus databases through a systematic literature review. The evidence suggests a gradual increase in citations over the decades, with a significant discontinuity in the 2020s due to the coronavirus pandemic. This pandemic has dramatically affected a

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29

Liu, Ningbo. "Assessing the Potential Impact of Large Language Models on Labor Markets and Business Cycles in China: A Preliminary Study." South Asian Journal of Social Studies and Economics 18, no. 4 (2023): 1–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.9734/sajsse/2023/v18i4661.

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Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly being used in various fields, including labor markets and business cycles. In this paper, we examine the impact potential of LLMs in labor markets and business cycles in China through a qualitative case study. We first provide background information on LLMs and labor markets and business cycles in China, and then review the relevant literature. Next, we describe the methodology of our study, including the data collection process and data analysis techniques. We present the findings of our case study and identify themes and patterns related to the i

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Οικονόμου, Γιώργος, and Μανώλης Ασημακόπουλος. "Regions and business cycles’ synchronization: Aspects, trends and perspectives." Region & Periphery, no. 3 (May 1, 2013): 11. http://dx.doi.org/10.12681/rp.18897.

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Τhe proposed article aims to capture the potential of the Greek Regions, in terms of their contribution to the national product, and to present the regional business cycles of the country as well. The key research question is the investigation of the existence of synchronization between regional business cycles on the one hand with the national cycle and the corresponding Attica’s cycle on the other, over a certain period of time (1970 to 2010). While the key challenge of regional policy is the regional convergence and the balanced regional development, there is evidence based on the regional

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31

Olkhov, Victor. "Economic and Financial Transactions Govern Business Cycles." ACRN Journal of Finance and Risk Perspectives 8, no. 1 (2019): 1–20. http://dx.doi.org/10.35944/jofrp.2019.8.1.001.

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Problem/Relevance - This paper presents new description of the business cycles that for decades remain as relevant and important economic problem. Research Objective/Questions - We propose that econometrics can provide sufficient data for assessments of risk ratings for almost all economic agents. We use risk ratings as coordinates of agents and show that the business cycles are consequences of collective change of risk coordinates of agents and their financial variables. Methodology - We aggregate similar financial variables of agents and define macro variables as functions on economic space.

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Murphy, Ryan H. "Economic freedom variables endogenous to business cycles." Journal of Financial Economic Policy 12, no. 1 (2019): 65–75. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jfep-01-2019-0030.

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Purpose A large empirical literature has found positive effects of economic freedom on economic outcomes, such as output and per capita growth. However, several variables in the index are very likely to decline in conjunction with recessions. The purpose of this paper is to determine whether, in the absence of these variable, whether the positive relationship between economic freedom and economic output remains. Design/methodology/approach This paper makes use of a dynamic panel to compare the performance of economic freedom with and without variables endogenous to business cycles, which perta

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Dinan, Atika, Haryo Kuncoro W., and Dicky Iranto. "Analisis Perdagangan Internasional Terhadap Siklus Bisnis di ASEAN-5 Periode 1999-2014." Jurnal Pendidikan Ekonomi Dan Bisnis (JPEB) 5, no. 2 (2017): 126–37. http://dx.doi.org/10.21009/jpeb.005.2.1.

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This research is aimed to analyze the effects of International Trade to Business Cycle in ASEAN-5. The data used in this research are the panel data in period of 1999 â€“ 2014 and in five country in ASEAN (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand). The The technique of data analysis in this research is Bayesian Vector Autoregressive (BVAR). Based on BVAR, the output has indicated the Openness to Trade and dummy Crisis are positively and significantly affected business cycles in ASEAN-5, and Intra Industry Trade is not affected to business cycles in ASEAN-5.

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Škare, Marinko, and Małgorzata Porada-Rochoń. "THE SYNCHRONISATION BETWEEN FINANCIAL AND BUSINESS CYCLES: A CROSS SPECTRAL ANALYSIS VIEW." Technological and Economic Development of Economy 26, no. 4 (2020): 907–19. http://dx.doi.org/10.3846/tede.2020.12567.

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Our study bridges the gap between in previous research on the synchronization between financial and business cycles over a long period. Using the data for the UK from 1270 to 2016 we analyze the synchronization between financial and business cycles using spectral Granger causality (Breitung & Candelon, 2006). Our paper brings several important findings to the discussion on the financial and business cycle link. Our paper is the first one (to the best of our knowledge) that use data over a long period spanning several centuries. We use spectral analysis and advanced spectral analysis (SSA)

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Giffary, Muhammad Firas Anandito, and Erry Andhaniwati. "The Influence of Educational Background, Accounting Knowledge and Business Size on the Implementation of the Accounting Cycle in MSMEs in South Tangerang City (Study in East Jakarta District)." Small Business Accounting Management and Entrepreneurship Review 3, no. 2 (2024): 10–17. http://dx.doi.org/10.61656/sbamer.v3i2.120.

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This study aims to obtain evidence that educational background affects the application of accounting cycles in SMEs , accounting knowledge affects the application of accounting cycles in SMEs, and business size influences the implementation of accounting cycles in SMEs in East Jakarta Subdistrict. This research uses quantitative research method. Data collection techniques in this study using questionnaires. The data analysis technique in this study uses Partial Least Square (PLS) method using SmartPLS version 3 software. Based on the results of the data analysis obtained results that there is

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Skare, Marinko, and Małgorzata Porada-Rochoń. "Tracking financial cycles in ten transitional economies 2005–2018 using singular spectrum analysis (SSA) techniques." Equilibrium 14, no. 1 (2019): 7–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.24136/eq.2019.001.

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Research background: Financial cycles are behind many deep financial crises and it closely connects them with the business cycles, showing long memory properties and effects. Being closely connected with the business cycles, we must first explore the true nature of the financial cycles to understand the nature of the business cycles. Financial cycles are real, they have long memory properties and long-lasting effects on the economy. Purpose of the article: This study investigates the use of (SSA) in tracking and monitoring financial cycles focusing on ten (10) transitional economies 2005

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Espinosa, Víctor I., Miguel A. Alonso-Neira, and Jesús Huerta de Soto. "The central banking system paradox." Economics & Sociology 16, no. 4 (2023): 56–72. http://dx.doi.org/10.14254/2071-789x.2023/16-4/3.

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The conventions of monetary theory assume the central banking system (CBS) as the starting point for achieving the stability and efficiency of the financial system. This paper stresses the stability-efficiency thesis based on the Austrian business cycle theory (ABCT). It argues that the stability-efficiency thesis under CBS poses a paradox for two main reasons. First, central banks' interest rate handling causes business cycles, yielding the intertemporal discoordination of the money and goods markets. Second, a central bank's lender-of-last-resort role is an incentive to call for further inte

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Mian, Atif, and Amir Sufi. "Finance and Business Cycles: The Credit-Driven Household Demand Channel." Journal of Economic Perspectives 32, no. 3 (2018): 31–58. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/jep.32.3.31.

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What is the role of the financial sector in explaining business cycles? This question is as old as the field of macroeconomics, and an extensive body of research conducted since the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 has offered new answers. The specific idea put forward in this article is that expansions in credit supply, operating primarily through household demand, have been an important driver of business cycles. We call this the credit-driven household demand channel. While this channel helps explain the recent global recession, it also describes economic cycles in many countries over the pa

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Suguri Motoki, Fabio Yoshio, and Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutierrez. "Firm Performance and Business Cycles: Implications for Managerial Accountability." Applied Finance and Accounting 1, no. 1 (2015): 47. http://dx.doi.org/10.11114/afa.v1i1.647.

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This study explores the relationship between firm performance and business cycles. These cycles are deviations from the trend of an economy-wide variable, in our case, GDP. Using a sample of Brazilian listed firms and accounting measures of performance, we find a generally positive contemporaneous relationship between the cycle and firm performance. Results also indicate that different industries show distinct relationships. This research presents a novel approach by linking firm performance from several industries to business cycles, indicating that managerial effort may be less determinant o

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Timmers, Charlotte, Ellen Verbiest, Sam Ottoy, and Julie Marin. "Integrating Temporal Dimensions in Circularity of the Built Environment Analysis of Two Flemish Industrial Parks." Sustainability 16, no. 24 (2024): 11053. https://doi.org/10.3390/su162411053.

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This manuscript explores how incorporating temporal dimensions into built environment research can promote a more circular society, adding societal improvements to efficiency-driven measures closing waste or material cycles. The current circularity approaches in industrial environments mainly focus on short-term innovations reducing resource extraction and waste, overlooking long-term circularity potentials of natural resource management such as living soils as a basis for all life. This study addresses this gap by investigating, analyzing, and drawing interplays between regenerative soil cycl

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Luo, Hong Wei, and Xiao Shuang Yuan. "The Research of Synchronization of China-US Economic Cycle." Advanced Materials Research 282-283 (July 2011): 295–98. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amr.282-283.295.

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The process of integration in the global economy driven by foreign business cycle fluctuations on China's economy has become increasingly evident. United States as the world's largest economy, the world economy has a significant impact, while the United States is China's most important trading partner, the most important foreign export market. From the close trade links between the two countries on the run, U.S. economic growth has an important role in China's economic development. Articles by examined the 1979-2010 China-US previous years, the operation of law of economic cycles and volatilit

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Carlston, Benjamin. "Can stock market liquidity and volatility predict business cycles?" Studies in Economics and Finance 35, no. 1 (2018): 81–96. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/sef-05-2016-0131.

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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to predict real gross domestic product (GDP) growth and business cycles by using information from both liquidity and volatility measures. Design/methodology/approach The paper estimates liquidity and volatility measures from over 5,000 NYSE rms and extracts a common factor, which the paper calls uncertainty. In-sample and out-of-sample forecasting tests are used to determine the ability of the uncertainty factor to predict growth in real GDP, industrial production, consumer price index, real consumption and changes in real investment. Findings The paper fin

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Tebekin, A. V., and A. V. Khoreva. "Accounting for the Influence of the Superposition of Cycles of Economic Activity in the Transformation of Management Institutions in Modern Conditions." Governance and Politics 2, no. 1 (2023): 8–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.24833/2782-7062-2023-2-1-8-32.

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The article deals with the problem of the influence of many factors and conditions on the processes of transformation of management institutions expected in the short term (2020s). The aim of the presented work is to study the influence of cyclic patterns of technical, technological, economic, social and political development of society on the processes of transformation of management institutions. As research methods, the work uses the tools of TESP-analysis of the impact on the transformation of management institutions of short-term business cycles by J. Kitchin, business cycles by K. Zhugly

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Jędruchniewicz, Andrzej, Jan-Philipp Huchtemann, Philipp Welter, Eike Nordmeyer, Achim Spiller, and Dominic Lemken. "Business Cycle in Agriculture in Poland." German Journal of Agricultural Economics 69, no. 3 (2020): 219–30. http://dx.doi.org/10.30430/69.2020.3.219-230.

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The main objective of the study was to characterize the business cycle and its particular phases in Polish agriculture and compare with the features of the cycle occurring in theory. The research for the years 2001-2015 which was based on annual real changes in final output allowed to identify three full cycles in Polish agriculture: 1) 2001-2006; 2) 2007-2010; 3) 2011-2015. The analysis of fluctuations showed that all cycles lasted from 4 to 6 years. Growth phases took from 2 to 4 years, and all downward ones lasted 2 years. The amplitudes of these phases were similar. There were both turning

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Bidabad, Bijan. "USA Income Distribution Counter-Business-Cyclical Trend." American Finance & Banking Review 4, no. 2 (2019): 11–26. http://dx.doi.org/10.46281/amfbr.v4i2.346.

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In this paper, the L1 norm of continuous functions and corresponding continuous estimation of regression parameters are defined. The continuous L1 norm estimation problems of linear one and two parameters models are solved. We proceed to use the functional form and parameters of the probability distribution function of income to exactly determine the L1 norm approximation of the corresponding Lorenz curve of the statistical population under consideration. U.S. economic data used to estimate income distribution. An interesting finding of these calculations is that the distribution of income obe

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Rosyidah, Eva, and Khusniati Rofiah. "Etika Bisnis Islam: Pendekatan Siklus Ekonomi dan Praktik Bisnis Syariah dalam Ekspansi Waralaba Industri Retail." Jurnal Syntax Admiration 5, no. 5 (2024): 1438–54. http://dx.doi.org/10.46799/jsa.v5i5.1129.

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In this era of globalization, franchise expansion has become one of the main strategies for the growth of the retail industry. However, in a business context governed by Islamic principles, the concept of business ethics becomes increasingly relevant. This article explores the role of Islamic Business Ethics in the context of franchise expansion in the retail industry, with a focus on economic cycles and sharia business practices. Through a literature review, this article describes how Islamic business ethical values can direct franchise expansion steps, manage risks in fluctuating economic cy

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Lestari, Etty Puji. "INTENSITAS PERDAGANGAN DAN KESELARASAN SIKLUS BISNIS DI ASEAN-4 DAN UNI EROPA *." Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan 12, no. 2 (2011): 163. http://dx.doi.org/10.23917/jep.v12i2.191.

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The main objective of this research is to empirically analyze how the business cycle of ASEAN-4 (namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Philippines) economies are influenced by increased trade with European Union especially Netherland and Germany. Increased trade can lead business cycles across trading partners to be patterned in either direction, towards convergence or divergence. We used regression and vectorautoregression (VAR) methods for this research. Regression methods is based panel data whereas VAR is based on the time series analysis. There are four variables, which are business c

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List, Dennis. "Action research cycles for multiple futures perspectives." Futures 38, no. 6 (2006): 673–84. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2005.10.001.

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Rozmahel, Petr, and Nikola Najman. "Continuing integration in Europe? Some empirical evidence on European industrial production cycle." Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis 60, no. 7 (2012): 233–42. http://dx.doi.org/10.11118/actaun201260070233.

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The paper deals with assessing the common trends in business cycle similarity and convergence in Europe. The main goal of the paper is to identify common cyclical co-movements and trends in convergence among the European countries so that the emerging European business cycle could be identified. Concerning the factors of business cycle, the research question of the paper is based on assumption that the integration effects are so dominant to bring the European cycle into existence. Also a potential influence of the global crisis on European and world business cycles is examined in the paper. Th

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Sazanova, S. L. "Economic cycles and crises and their impact on Russian business." Entrepreneur’s Guide 16, no. 3 (2023): 117–24. http://dx.doi.org/10.24182/2073-9885-2023-16-3-117-124.

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Economic cycles have been the subject of economic research for more than 200 years, and in the modern world this problem has not lost its relevance. The article reveals the heuristic potential of institutional economic theory and the Russian school of economics in the study of cyclical fluctuations in the economy. Modern economic crises and cycles require Russian businesses to use methods and tools that are adequate to the state of the Russian economy and global economic trends. The greatest potential in the formation and implementation of strategic management in Russian companies is project m

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