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Journal articles on the topic 'Coattail effects'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 3 June 2025

Last updated: 31 July 2025

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1

Madariaga and Ozen. "Looking for two-sided coattail effects: Integrated parties and multilevel elections in the U.S." Electoral Studies 40 (July 2, 2015): 66–75. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2015.06.006.

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In the context of the American federalism, integrated parties provide the necessary coordination mechanism for state and federal politicians to be electorally successful. This argument rests on the assumption that voters are able to observe the benefits of voting a straight ticket. We test this individual level explanation by using the CCES data. Moreover, at the aggregate level, we measure the so-called ‘two-sided’ coattail effects in concurrent multilevel elections in the U.S. since 1960. By using a simultaneous equation model, we estimate the reciprocal relationship between presidential and

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2

Campbell, James E. "Presidential Coattails and Midterm Losses in State Legislative Elections." American Political Science Review 80, no. 1 (1986): 45–63. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1957083.

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The president's party consistently loses partisan control of state legislatures in midterm elections, a pattern similar to the loss of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in midterms. This study examines presidential coattails as a possible explanation of these losses. Aggregate state legislative election outcomes between 1944 and 1984 in 41 states are examined. The analysis indicates that the president's party gains seats in presidential elections in proportion to the presidential vote in a state, and subsequently loses seats in midterm elections also in proportion to the prior preside

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3

Hogan, Robert E. "Gubernatorial Coattail Effects in State Legislative Elections." Political Research Quarterly 58, no. 4 (2005): 587. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3595644.

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4

Hogan, Robert E. "Gubernatorial Coattail Effects in State Legislative Elections." Political Research Quarterly 58, no. 4 (2005): 587–97. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/106591290505800406.

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5

Golosov, Grigorii V., and Kirill Kalinin. "Presidentialism and legislative fragmentation: Beyond coattail effects." British Journal of Politics and International Relations 19, no. 1 (2016): 113–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1369148116682654.

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Using data from a nearly comprehensive set of the world’s electoral democracies, 1992–2014, this article empirically evaluates the impact of presidentialism upon legislative fragmentation. The analysis demonstrates that the impact is strong, consistent across a wide variety of political contexts, and conditioned by the type of presidential regime, the scope of presidential powers, electoral system effects, and essential party system properties. While much of the reasoning regarding the interplay between presidentialism and legislative fragmentation has been traditionally focused on short-term

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6

Niebler, Sarah, Kathleen Marchetti, and Thomas Kozdron. "Gubernatorial Elections and Coattail Effects of Women Candidates." Journal of Women, Politics & Policy 41, no. 3 (2020): 334–50. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/1554477x.2020.1805268.

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7

MEREDITH, MARC. "Exploiting Friends-and-Neighbors to Estimate Coattail Effects." American Political Science Review 107, no. 4 (2013): 742–65. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0003055413000439.

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Federalist democracies often hold concurrent elections for multiple offices. A potential consequence of simultaneously voting for multiple offices that vary with respect to scope and scale is that the personal appeal of candidates in a high-profile race may affect electoral outcomes in less salient races. In this article I estimate the magnitude of such coattail effects from governors onto other concurrently elected statewide executive officers using a unique dataset of county election returns for all statewide executive office elections in the United States from 1987 to 2010. I exploit the di

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8

Rich, Timothy S. "COATTAILS AND MIXED ELECTORAL SYSTEMS: EVIDENCE FROM TAIWAN'S 2016 ELECTION." Journal of East Asian Studies 18, no. 1 (2018): 47–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/jea.2017.25.

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AbstractTo what extent do presidential candidates influence voting in mixed member legislative elections? A sizable literature addresses presidential–legislative coattail effects in the American context, with less attention given to this interaction in non-Western democracies. Nor is the role of past voting behavior adequately assessed in the literature. Taiwan's historic 2016 election allows for an analysis of the extent in which the popularity of presidential candidates influences coattail voting in the more complex electoral environment of two-vote mixed legislative systems. Evidence finds

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9

Moraski, Bryon J. "Reverse coattail effects in undemocratic elections: an analysis of Russian locomotives." Democratization 24, no. 4 (2016): 575–93. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13510347.2016.1222373.

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10

Garmendia Madariaga, Amuitz, and H. Ege Ozen. "Looking for two-sided coattail effects: Integrated parties and multilevel elections in the U.S." Electoral Studies 40 (December 2015): 66–75. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2015.06.006.

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11

Burns, Peter F. "The Gubernatorial Coattail Hypothesis Considered: Determining the Effects of the Gubernatorial Race on the Senatorial Contest." Southeastern Political Review 27, no. 1 (2008): 151–72. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1747-1346.1999.tb00527.x.

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12

McKiernan, Katherine. "Who Gets Credit? Citizen Responses to Local Public Goods." Latin American Politics and Society 65, no. 4 (2023): 99–129. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/lap.2023.25.

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ABSTRACTIn decentralized systems, citizens struggle to identify which level of government provides local goods. This problem is particularly salient in weakly institutionalized party environments, where politicians at different levels of government are less likely to benefit from partisan coattail effects. This article asks how citizens attribute credit for local public goods. I argue that citizens have a strong tendency to attribute credit to local politicians. As a result, citizens will respond differently to credit-claiming behavior by local and national politicians. Local politicians exper

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13

Fullmer, Elliott, and Rebecca Daniel. "Invisible Coattails: Presidential Approval and Gubernatorial Elections, 1994–2014." Forum 16, no. 2 (2018): 269–87. http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/for-2018-0013.

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AbstractHoping to insulate their contests from national politics, thirty-six states hold their gubernatorial elections in national midterm election years. Many scholars have assessed whether presidential evaluations nevertheless have an effect on these races, though findings have varied. We offer a new approach to examining this question, relying on underutilized state-level presidential approval data preceding 143 gubernatorial races across six national midterm election cycles. Accounting for the effects of state ideology, gubernatorial approval, campaign spending, state economic performance,

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14

Rudolph, Lukas, and Arndt Leininger. "Coattails and spillover-effects: Quasi-experimental evidence from concurrent executive and legislative elections." Electoral Studies 70 (April 2021): 102264. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2020.102264.

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15

Lowry, Robert C., James E. Alt, and Karen E. Ferree. "Fiscal Policy Outcomes and Electoral Accountability in American States." American Political Science Review 92, no. 4 (1998): 759–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2586302.

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Clear fiscal policy effects appear in American state gubernatorial and legislative elections between 1968 and 1992, independent of the effects of incumbency, coattails, term limits, and macroeconomic conditions. The results show that accountability is generally stronger following a period of unified party control than under divided government. Voter reactions to taxes and spending relative to the state economy are conditional on expectations, which differ for each party. Net of these expectations, Republican gubernatorial candidates lose votes if their party is responsible for unanticipated in

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16

Berry, William D., Michael B. Berkman, and Stuart Schneiderman. "Legislative Professionalism and Incumbent Reelection: The Development of Institutional Boundaries." American Political Science Review 94, no. 4 (2000): 859–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2586212.

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It is well established that legislators from highly professionalized bodies are more likely to win reelection than members of less professionalized legislatures. We find that the effect of professionalization on incumbent electoral success is far more pervasive. As the level of professionalism of a legislature increases, the effects of external political and economic forces (such as coattails from higher level elections and national economic conditions) on a legislator's chances for reelection diminish in strength. This implies that legislative professionalization promotes institutionalization

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17

Ames, Barry. "The Reverse Coattails Effect: Local Party Organization in the 1989 Brazilian Presidential Election." American Political Science Review 88, no. 1 (1994): 95–111. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2944884.

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Increasingly, it is said that the main determinants of electoral outcomes are class, ethnicity, and religion and that local political organizations occupy only marginal roles in national elections. I assess the effects of local party organizations in the presidential election of 1989 in Brazil. Given the long hiatus in competitive politics, the absence of any parties linked to the country's previous democratic experience, and the weakness of citizen identification with political parties, Brazil should be a textbook example of the collapse of local political organizations. The presidential cand

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18

Chubb, John E. "Institutions, the Economy, and the Dynamics of State Elections." American Political Science Review 82, no. 1 (1988): 133–54. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1958062.

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As the U.S. states develop their political institutions and take greater responsibility for their economic well-being, two concerns that have long driven research on national elections—electoral insulation and economic accountability—should become central in research on state elections. I investigate institutionalization's effects on the vulnerability of state elections to major periodic forces—coattails, turnout, and economic conditions—and how political responsibility for economic growth is apportioned between presidents and governors in state elections. The investigation relies upon dynamic

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19

Arenas, Andreu. "Coattail effects and turnout: Evidence from a quasi-experiment." Research & Politics 11, no. 1 (2024). http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/20531680241229930.

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All over the world, a very large number of elections take place concurrently with other elections for representatives in different government tiers. A crucial question for understanding electoral outcomes in those elections is the existence of electoral spillovers or coattail effects. Causal identification of coattail effects is challenging because popularity shocks typically affect parties in both concurrent elections. This paper exploits a quasi-experiment—the ban of a party in only one of the concurrent elections—to estimate coattail effects. The results show that a 1 pp decline in electora

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20

Batista, Mariana, Timothy J. Power, and Cesar Zucco. "Be careful what you wish for: Portfolio allocation, presidential popularity, and electoral payoffs to parties in multiparty presidentialism." Party Politics, April 6, 2023, 135406882311686. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/13540688231168603.

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We know little about how coalitional strategy affects the electoral fates of political parties in presidential democracy. The literature on coalitions in parliamentary systems shows a negative impact of entering government, while the coattail effects literature on presidential systems suggests some benefits. Combining elements from both approaches, we argue that there is a conditional electoral effect of joining the cabinet under coalitional presidentialism. Even considering presidentialism’s heightened attribution of responsibility to a unipersonal executive, we find that coalition parties do

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21

Vallejo, Agustín. "Choosing legislative candidates via primaries: The pivotal role of executive incumbency." Party Politics, May 10, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/13540688241251959.

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How much influence does incumbency have on the way parties nominate candidates? I address this question in the context of Argentina, examining how political parties decide on candidate nomination methods for National Deputies. I argue that holding the governorship creates an imbalanced distribution of resources within a party, leading party factions to lean toward consensus in candidate selection and reducing the likelihood of choosing a primary election. Conversely, when a party lacks the governorship, its provincial party leader may have a weaker influence in deterring primary elections. I a

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22

Eduardo, Felipe Lima, and Guilherme A. Russo. "Popularidade e indicação: condicionantes do efeito de coattail reverso." Revista de Sociologia e Política 30 (2022). http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1678-98732230e001.

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RESUMO Introdução: Estudos mostram que prefeitos impactam a votação de seus partidos nas eleições para deputado federal. Mas o que aumenta a capacidade dos prefeitos em influenciar esses resultados? E como essa influência difere quando prefeitos apoiam candidatos de outro partido? Argumentamos que a popularidade do prefeito condiciona sua capacidade de influência, o que incentiva deputados a dedicarem atenção às demandas dos prefeitos, pois necessitam o apoio dos prefeitos na busca por reeleição. Materiais e Métodos: Com pesquisas de survey, mostramos que deputados reconhecem a importância dos

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23

Erikson, Robert S. "Explaining Midterm Loss: The Tandem Effects of Withdrawn Coattails and Balancing." SSRN Electronic Journal, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1658159.

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