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Dissertations / Theses on the topic 'Crash prediction'

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1

Fischhaber, Pamela Marie. "Development of light rail crossing specific crash prediction models." Thesis, University of Colorado at Denver, 2014. http://pqdtopen.proquest.com/#viewpdf?dispub=3621825.

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<p> Existing railroad crossing crash prediction and hazard index equations are analyzed and found to inadequately measure safety at light rail crossings. The operational characteristics of common carrier freight and commuter railroads are different enough from the operational characteristics of light rail to affect the ability of existing railroad equations to accurately predict the number of crashes that occur at light rail crossings. These operational differences require light rail specific crash prediction equations to better predict crash numbers at light rail crossings. The goal of this r
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Broussard, Nicholas. "Development of Crash Prediction Models for Transportation Planning Analysis." Thesis, University of Louisiana at Lafayette, 2016. http://pqdtopen.proquest.com/#viewpdf?dispub=10002446.

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<p> Transportation planning is a vital and necessary operation for a metropolitan area to grow. As such, and in order to receive Federal funding for transportation projects, metropolitan areas engage in transportation planning as regulated by MAP-21. One element of meeting MAP-21 requirements is addressing the safety of a region. With new requirements by MAP-21, MPOs must demonstrate some sort of performance measure showing changes in the various elements, making quantitative means of displaying these changes ever more important. </p><p> The goal of this project was to develop a model or se
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KASHAYI, NAGARAJU C. "MODELING BASE CRASH RATES FOR INTERSECTIONS." University of Cincinnati / OhioLINK, 2006. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=ucin1163775240.

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4

Kuchangi, Shamanth. "A categorical model for traffic incident likelihood estimation." Thesis, Texas A&M University, 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/4661.

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In this thesis an incident prediction model is formulated and calibrated. The primary idea of the model developed is to correlate the expected number of crashes on any section of a freeway to a set of traffic stream characteristics, so that a reliable estimation of likelihood of crashes can be provided on a real-time basis. Traffic stream variables used as explanatory variables in this model are termed as “incident precursors”. The most promising incident precursors for the model formulation for this research were determined by reviewing past research. The statistical model employed
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Bastien, C. "The prediction of kinematics and injury criteria of unbelted occupants under autonomous emergency braking." Thesis, Coventry University, 2014. http://curve.coventry.ac.uk/open/items/a75e046a-3ffb-4474-8b28-e3c19ffbb3b5/1.

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This thesis comprises a programme of work investigating the use of active human computer models and the effects of forthcoming automotive safety features on vehicle occupants; more specifically, their unbelted kinematics and sustained injuries. Since Hybrid III anthropometric crash test dummies are unable to replicate human occupant kinematics under severe braking, the thesis highlighted the need to research the most appropriate occupant computer model to simulate active safety scenarios. The first stage of the work focussed on occupant kinematics and developed unique human occupant reflex res
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Amiridis, Kiriakos. "THE USE OF 3-D HIGHWAY DIFFERENTIAL GEOMETRY IN CRASH PREDICTION MODELING." UKnowledge, 2019. https://uknowledge.uky.edu/ce_etds/85.

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The objective of this research is to evaluate and introduce a new methodology regarding rural highway safety. Current practices rely on crash prediction models that utilize specific explanatory variables, whereas the depository of knowledge for past research is the Highway Safety Manual (HSM). Most of the prediction models in the HSM identify the effect of individual geometric elements on crash occurrence and consider their combination in a multiplicative manner, where each effect is multiplied with others to determine their combined influence. The concepts of 3-dimesnional (3-D) representatio
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Lu, Jinyan. "Development of Safety Performance Functions for SafetyAnalyst Applications in Florida." FIU Digital Commons, 2013. http://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/etd/880.

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In 2010, the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO) released a safety analysis software system known as SafetyAnalyst. SafetyAnalyst implements the empirical Bayes (EB) method, which requires the use of Safety Performance Functions (SPFs). The system is equipped with a set of national default SPFs, and the software calibrates the default SPFs to represent the agency’s safety performance. However, it is recommended that agencies generate agency-specific SPFs whenever possible. Many investigators support the view that the agency-specific SPFs represent the ag
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8

Siddiqui, Chowdhury. "Macroscopic Traffic Safety Analysis Based on Trip Generation Characteristics." Master's thesis, University of Central Florida, 2009. http://digital.library.ucf.edu/cdm/ref/collection/ETD/id/3385.

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Recent research has shown that incorporating roadway safety in transportation planning has been considered one of the active approaches to improve safety. Aggregate level analysis for predicting crash frequencies had been contemplated to be an important step in this process. As seen from the previous studies various categories of predictors at macro level (census blocks, traffic analysis zones, census tracts, wards, counties and states) have been exhausted to find appropriate correlation with crashes. This study contributes to this ongoing macro level road safety research by investigating vari
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9

Silva, Karla Cristina Rodrigues. "Assessing the transferability of crash prediction models for two lane highways in Brazil." Universidade de São Paulo, 2017. http://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/18/18144/tde-10112017-215500/.

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The present study focused on evaluating some crash prediction models for two lane highways on Brazilian conditions. Also, the transferability of models was considered, specifically by means of a comparison between Brazil, HSM and Florida. The analysis of two lane highways crash prediction models was promising when the road characteristics were well known and there was not much difference from base conditions. This conclusion was attained regarding the comparison of results for all segments, non-curved segments and curved segments, confirming that a transferred model can be used with caution. I
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Karki, Bipin. "Development of a Crash Prediction Model for Signalized T-Intersections in Queensland, Australia." Thesis, Griffith University, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10072/365442.

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Vehicle crashes at signalized intersections have long been of utmost concern to the transport authorities. Some researchers have developed crash prediction models (CPMs) for roundabouts in Queensland to establish the relationship among crashes, geometric parameters, and traffic conditions. However, to date, no CPM has been developed for the signalized intersections in Queensland. In this dissertation, two CPMs for signalized T-intersections in Queensland, Australia are developed: a CPM at intersection level and a CPM at approach level. The proposed models can be used for better control/organiz
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11

Cunningham, Ryan. "EXAMINING DYNAMIC VARIABLE SPEED LIMIT STRATEGIES FOR THE REDUCTION OF REAL-TIME CRASH RISK ON FREEWAYS." Master's thesis, University of Central Florida, 2007. http://digital.library.ucf.edu/cdm/ref/collection/ETD/id/3117.

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Recent research at the University of Central Florida involving crashes on Interstate-4 in Orlando, Florida has led to the creation of new statistical models capable of determining the crash risk on the freeway (Abdel-Aty et al., 2004; 2005, Pande and Abdel-Aty, 2006). These models are able to calculate the rear-end and lane-change crash risks along the freeway in real-time through the use of static information at various locations along the freeway as well as the real-time traffic data obtained by loop detectors. Since these models use real-time traffic data, they are capable of calculating re
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Nawathe, Piyush. "Neural Network Trees and Simulation Databases: New Approaches for Signalized Intersection Crash Classification and Prediction." Master's thesis, University of Central Florida, 2005. http://digital.library.ucf.edu/cdm/ref/collection/ETD/id/4067.

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Intersection related crashes form a significant proportion of the crashes occurring on roadways. Many organizations such as the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) and American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO) are considering intersection safety improvement as one of their top priority areas. This study contributes to the area of safety of signalized intersections by identifying the traffic and geometric characteristics that affect the different types of crashes. The first phase of this thesis was to classify the crashes occurring at signalized intersections
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Vavilikolanu, Srutha. "Crash Prediction Models on Truck-Related Crashes on Two-lane Rural Highways with Vertical Curves." University of Akron / OhioLINK, 2008. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=akron1221758522.

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14

Knecht, Casey Scott. "Crash Prediction Modeling for Curved Segments of Rural Two-Lane Two-Way Highways in Utah." BYU ScholarsArchive, 2014. https://scholarsarchive.byu.edu/etd/4352.

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This thesis contains the results of the development of crash prediction models for curved segments of rural two-lane two-way highways in the state of Utah. The modeling effort included the calibration of the predictive model found in the Highway Safety Manual (HSM) as well as the development of Utah-specific models developed using negative binomial regression. The data for these models came from randomly sampled curved segments in Utah, with crash data coming from years 2008-2012. The total number of randomly sampled curved segments was 1,495. The HSM predictive model for rural two-lane two
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Dhindsa, Albinder. "EVALUATING RAMP METERING AND VARIABLE SPEED LIMITS TO REDUCE CRASH POTENTIAL ON CONGESTED FREEWAYS USING MICRO-SIMULATION." Master's thesis, University of Central Florida, 2005. http://digital.library.ucf.edu/cdm/ref/collection/ETD/id/3018.

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Recent research at UCF into defining surrogate measures for identifying crash prone conditions on freeways has led to the introduction of several statistical models which can flag such conditions with a good degree of accuracy. Outputs from these models have the potential to be used as real-time safety measures on freeways. They may also act as the basis for the evaluation of several intervention strategies that might help in the mitigation of risk of crashes. Ramp Metering and Variable Speed Limits are two approaches which have the potential of becoming effective implementation strategies for
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Roshandel, Saman. "Impact of real-time traffic characteristics on freeway crash occurrence : systematic review and meta-analysis." Thesis, Queensland University of Technology, 2014. https://eprints.qut.edu.au/79151/2/Saman_Roshandel_Thesis.pdf.

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A systematic literature review and a comprehensive meta-analysis that combines the findings from existing studies, was conducted in this thesis to analyse the impact of traffic characteristics on crash occurrence. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to investigate the quality, publication bias and outlier bias of the various studies, and the time intervals used to measure traffic characteristics were considered. Based on this comprehensive and systematic review, and the results of the subsequent meta-analysis, major issues in study design, traffic and crash data, and model development and eval
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Koorey, Glen. "Incorporating Safety into Rural Highway Design." Thesis, University of Canterbury. Civil and Natural Resources Engineering, 2009. http://hdl.handle.net/10092/3102.

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The objectives of this research were to explore ways to assess the safety performance of (predominantly two-lane) rural highways in New Zealand (NZ) and in particular identify driver/road/environmental factors affecting crashes on rural curves. Following a wide-ranging literature review, the Interactive Highway Safety Design Model (IHSDM) was identified as worthy of further investigation for adaptation to use in NZ. To help with this investigation, a comprehensive database was developed of road, traffic, crash and environmental data for all NZ State Highways, divided into variable-length road
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Dilmore, Jeremy Harvey. "IMPLEMENTATION STRATEGIES FOR REAL-TIME TRAFFIC SAFETY IMPROVEMENTS ON URBAN FREEWAYS." Master's thesis, University of Central Florida, 2005. http://digital.library.ucf.edu/cdm/ref/collection/ETD/id/3254.

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This research evaluates Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) implementation strategies to improve the safety of a freeway once a potential of a crash is detected. Among these strategies are Variable Speed Limit (VSL) and ramp metering. VSL are ITS devices that are commonly used to calm traffic in an attempt to relieve congestion and enhance throughput. With proper use, VSL can be more cost effective than adding more lanes. In addition to maximizing the capacity of a roadway, a different aspect of VSL can be realized by the potential of improving traffic safety. Through the use of multiple m
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Cridelich, Carine caroline. "Influence of retraint systems during an automobile crash : prediction of injuries for frontal impact sled tests based on biomechanical data mining." Thesis, Besançon, 2015. http://www.theses.fr/2015BESA2009.

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La sécurité automobile est l’une des principales considérations lors de l’achat d’un véhicule. Avant d’ être commercialisée, une voiture doit répondre aux normes de sécurité du pays, ce qui conduit au développement de systèmes de retenue tels que les airbags et ceintures de sécurité. De plus, des ratings comme EURO NCAP et US NCAP permettent d’évaluer de manière indépendante la sécurité de la voiture. Des essais catapultes sont entre autres effectués pour confirmer le niveau de protection du véhicule et les résultats sont généralement basés sur des valeurs de référence des dommages corporels d
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Kauper, Benjamin, and Karl-Kuno Kunze. "Modellierung von Aktienkursen im Lichte der Komplexitätsforschung." Universität Potsdam, 2011. http://opus.kobv.de/ubp/volltexte/2011/5228/.

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This paper offers empirical evidence on the power of Sornette et al's [2001] model of bubbles and crashes regarding the German stock market between 1960 and 2009. We identify relevant time periods and describe them with the function given by Sornette et al's model. Our results show some evidence in predicting crashes with the understanding of logarithmic periodic structures that are hidden in the stock price trajectories. It was shown that for the DAX most of the relevant parameters determining the shape of the logarithmic periodic structures are lying in the expected interval researched by So
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Gomes, Monique Martins. "Spatial crash prediction models: an evaluation of the impacts of enriched information on model performance and the suitability of different spatial modeling approaches." Universidade de São Paulo, 2018. http://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/18/18144/tde-18022019-112104/.

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The unavailability of crash-related data has been a long lasting challenge in Brazil. In addition to the poor implementation and follow-up of road safety strategies, this drawback has hampered the development of studies that could contribute to national goals toward road safety. In contrast, developed countries have built their effective strategies on solid data basis, therefore, investing a considerable time and money in obtaining and creating pertinent information. In this research, we aim to assess the potential impacts of supplementary data on spatial model performance and the suitability
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Silva, Karla Cristina Rodrigues. "Aplicação do modelo de previsão de acidentes do HSM em rodovias de pista simples do Estado de São Paulo." Universidade de São Paulo, 2012. http://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/18/18144/tde-15022012-172539/.

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Nesta dissertação é feita uma avaliação dos resultados da aplicação do modelo de previsão de acidentes apresentado no Highway Safety Manual - HSM, publicado pela American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO) no ano de 2010, para o caso de trechos de rodovia de pista simples localizados no interior do estado de São Paulo. São analisados o método original do HSM, o método do HSM calibrado para os trechos de rodovias estudados e o método empírico de Bayes. Os resultados apresentados pelo método original do HSM são bastante distintos dos valores reais observados, o qu
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Arndt, Owen Kingsley. "Relationship between unsignalised intersection geometry and accident rates." Thesis, Queensland University of Technology, 2004. https://eprints.qut.edu.au/15815/1/Owen_Arndt_Thesis.pdf.

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The aim of this research is to determine the effect of unsignalised intersection geometry on the rates of the various types of accidents occurring at unsignalised intersections. A literature review has identified that there is little consistency between the results of previous studies. Some studies found that particular parameters had an opposite effect to what was expected. With this in mind, the research identified reasons for these results and developed two basic approaches to mitigate some of the problems with multi-factor type studies. These approaches are 'maximise the efficiency of
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Arndt, Owen Kingsley. "Relationship Between Unsignalised Intersection Geometry and Accident Rates." Queensland University of Technology, 2004. http://eprints.qut.edu.au/15815/.

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The aim of this research is to determine the effect of unsignalised intersection geometry on the rates of the various types of accidents occurring at unsignalised intersections. A literature review has identified that there is little consistency between the results of previous studies. Some studies found that particular parameters had an opposite effect to what was expected. With this in mind, the research identified reasons for these results and developed two basic approaches to mitigate some of the problems with multi-factor type studies. These approaches are 'maximise the efficiency of
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Borda, Jorge Victor Quiñones. "Log periodic analysis of critical crashes in the portuguese stock market." Master's thesis, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/11082.

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Mestrado em Ciências Empresariais<br>O estudo de fenómenos críticos que se originaram nas ciências naturais e encontraram muitos campos de aplicação foi estendido nos últimos anos aos campos da economia de finanças, fornecendo aos investigadores novas abordagens para problemas conhecidos, nomeadamente aos que estão relacionados com a gestão de risco, a previsão, o estudo de bolhas financeiras e crashes, e muitos outros tipos de problemas que envolvem sistemas com criticalidade auto-organizada. A teoria de singularidades de tempo oscilatório auto-similares é apresentada, uma metodologia práti
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Nigicser, David. "Predictive vehicle motion control for post-crash scenarios." Thesis, KTH, Reglerteknik, 2017. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-214389.

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The aim of the project is to design an active safety system forpassenger vehicles for mitigating secondary collisions after an initialimpact. The control objective is to minimize the lateral deviationfrom the known original path while achieving a safe heading angle afterthe initial collision. A hierarchical controller structure is proposed:the higher layer is formulated as a linear time varying model predictivecontroller that denes the virtual control moment input; the lowerlayer deploys a rule-based controller that realizes the requested moment.The designed control system is then tested and v
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Gagne, Amanda R. "Evaluation of Utility Pole Placement and the Impact on Crash Rates." Digital WPI, 2008. https://digitalcommons.wpi.edu/etd-theses/526.

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Each year in the United States over 1,000 fatalities occur as a result of collisions with utility poles. In addition, approximately 40% of utility pole crashes result in a non-fatal injury. Moreover, with over 88 million utility poles lining United States highways, it is not feasible to immediately remedy all poles that are potentially unsafe. Utility poles which pose a danger to motorists can, however, be identified and addressed over time in a structured, methodical manner. The goal of this project was to develop a method to identify and prioritize high risk utility poles that are good can
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Hoang-Thy, Nhac-Vu. "Contribution à une meilleure compréhension du devenir des blessés de la route : évaluation des conséquences à un an dans une cohorte ESPARR." Phd thesis, Université Claude Bernard - Lyon I, 2012. http://tel.archives-ouvertes.fr/tel-01071748.

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Contexte : il est possible qu'une victime subisse de multiples conséquences d'accident de la route,conséquences pouvant retentir durablement sur sa vie. Cependant, peu d'études permettent de connaitre leprofil du blessé grave ainsi que les facteurs prédictifs de son devenir. De plus, il existe peu d'outilsprédictifs servant à prédire les conséquences post-accidentelles. L'objectif de la thèse est de caractériserces conséquences, de chercher les éléments pronostiques de gravité des conséquences un an aprèsl'accident et de donner une évaluation, à partir de données réelles, de la qualité de préd
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Khattar, Vanshaj. "Threat Assessment and Proactive Decision-Making for Crash Avoidance in Autonomous Vehicles." Thesis, Virginia Tech, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/10919/103470.

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Threat assessment and reliable motion-prediction of surrounding vehicles are some of the major challenges encountered in autonomous vehicles' safe decision-making. Predicting a threat in advance can give an autonomous vehicle enough time to avoid crashes or near crash situations. Most vehicles on roads are human-driven, making it challenging to predict their intentions and movements due to inherent uncertainty in their behaviors. Moreover, different driver behaviors pose different kinds of threats. Various driver behavior predictive models have been proposed in the literature for motion predic
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Katta, Vanishravan. "Development of Crash Severity Model for Predicting Risk Factors in Work Zones for Ohio." University of Toledo / OhioLINK, 2013. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=toledo1384556981.

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Shew, Cameron Hunter. "TRANSFERABILITY AND ROBUSTNESS OF PREDICTIVE MODELS TO PROACTIVELY ASSESS REAL-TIME FREEWAY CRASH RISK." DigitalCommons@CalPoly, 2012. https://digitalcommons.calpoly.edu/theses/863.

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This thesis describes the development and evaluation of real-time crash risk assessment models for four freeway corridors, US-101 NB (northbound) and SB (southbound) as well as I-880 NB and SB. Crash data for these freeway segments for the 16-month period from January 2010 through April 2011 are used to link historical crash occurrences with real-time traffic patterns observed through loop detector data. The analysis techniques adopted for this study are logistic regression and classification trees, which are one of the most common data mining tools. The crash risk assessment models are develo
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Noxon, Nikola John Linn. "A MODEL PREDICTIVE CONTROL APPROACH TO ROLL STABILITY OF A SCALED CRASH AVOIDANCE VEHICLE." DigitalCommons@CalPoly, 2012. https://digitalcommons.calpoly.edu/theses/783.

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In this paper, a roll stability controller (RSC) is presented based on an eight degree of freedom dynamic vehicle model. The controller is designed for and tested on a scaled vehicle performing obstacle avoidance maneuvers on a populated test track. A rapidly-exploring random tree (RRT) algorithm is used for the vehicle to execute a trajectory around an obstacle, and examines the geographic, non-homonymic, and dynamic constraints to maneuver around the obstacle. A model predictive controller (MPC) uses information about the vehicle state and, based on a weighted performance measure, generates
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Lourenço, Nuno F. S. "Predictive Finite Element Method for axial crush of composite tubes." Thesis, University of Nottingham, 2002. http://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/13003/.

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This thesis describes the development of a predictive Finite Element methodology for the crush behaviour and specific energy absorption of composite material tubes. Numerical studies were undertaken based on experimental data for the following composite materials: Continuous filament random mat (CoFRM) Glass/Polyester 6-ply laminate Braided Carbon/Vinylester o 2-ply, 3-ply, and 4-ply tubes o 0/+30°/-30°, 0/+45°/-45°, and 0/+60°/-60° fibre architectures The modelling approach consists of treating intralaminar and interlaminar behaviour of the composite separately. An existing finite element mat
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Roberts, Matthew Lowell. "Development of a Finite Element Model for Predicting the Impact Energy Absorbing Performance of a Composite Structure." DigitalCommons@CalPoly, 2014. https://digitalcommons.calpoly.edu/theses/1272.

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Because of their high strength-to-weight ratio, Fiber Reinforced Composite (FRC) materials are well suited for use in high performance racing applications where weight must be kept to a minimum. Formula SAE (FSAE) race cars are designed and built by college students, roughly following the model of a scaled down Formula One car. Strict regulations are placed on specific components of the car in the interest of equalizing competition and ensuring the safety of the drivers. Students are required to construct a survival cell (the chassis), which can resist large amounts of energy in the event of a
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O'Leary, Owen Luck. "A model for recovery : predicting the location of human remains on WWII bombardment and cargo aircraft crash sites." Thesis, University of Glasgow, 2014. http://theses.gla.ac.uk/5222/.

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The United States government makes a solemn promise to the men and women of the armed forces that if they fall on the field of battle their remains will be returned home. Americans demand that this occur in order for the individual to be properly honored. This commitment and corresponding expectation applies to both current and past conflicts. The Joint Prisoner of War/Missing in Action Accounting Command (JPAC) is responsible for locating, recovering, and identifying the approximately 90,000 American military personnel who remain missing from the beginning of World War II through to the end o
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Misailidis, Nikiforos. "Understanding and predicting alcohol yield from wheat." Thesis, University of Manchester, 2010. https://www.research.manchester.ac.uk/portal/en/theses/understanding-and-predicting-alcohol-yield-from-wheat(845cbadd-5825-488e-94e7-160c60b2ef0d).html.

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Bioethanol is a promising renewable biofuel and wheat is currently the main candidate asthe feedstock for its production in the UK context. The quality of the numerous varieties ofwheat developed in the past by plant breeders has been well examined in terms of bread, biscuitand pasta producing industries. In general, the end-use quality determination of wheat in termsof alcohol yield is less investigated. This work focused on understanding and predicting thealcohol yield from wheat according to its physical, physicochemical and chemicalcharacteristics. The research ran alongside the GREEN Grai
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Issing, Matthias Michael. "Telematik und Telemedizin zur Verbesserung der präklinischen Notfallversorgung nach Straßenverkehrsunfällen." Doctoral thesis, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Medizinische Fakultät - Universitätsklinikum Charité, 2006. http://dx.doi.org/10.18452/15475.

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Die Überlebenswahrscheinlichkeit der Unfallopfer nach Straßenverkehrsunfällen hängt von der Zeitspanne vom Unfall bis zur ersten suffizienten Hilfeleistung (therapiefreies Intervall) sowie von der Qualität der Erstversorgung ab. Das therapiefreie Intervall kann durch automatische Notrufsysteme (ACN) und suffiziente Laienhilfe verkürzt werden. In dieser Dissertation werden (1) Modelle zur Prognose der Verletzungsschwere von Fahrzeuginsassen für den Einsatz in erweiterten automatischen Notrufsystemen (AACN) entwickelt und (2) Anforderungen an Telemedizinsysteme zur Unterstützung von Laien bei d
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Chen, Hongyun. "Comparison of Safety Performance by Design Types at Freeway Diverge Areas and Exit Ramp Sections." Scholar Commons, 2010. http://scholarcommons.usf.edu/etd/3470.

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The primary objective of the study is to evaluate the safety performance of different freeway exit types used in current practical designs. More specific, the research objectives include the following two parts: 1) to compare the safety performance of different design types at freeway diverge areas and exit ramp sections; and 2) to identify the impact factors contributing to the crashes happening at these two specific segments. The study area includes four subjects, the freeway widely-spaced diverge areas; the freeway closely-spaced diverge areas; the left-side off-ramps and the exit ramp sect
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Poromaa, Erik Ragnar. "Crushing Candy Crush : Predicting Human Success Rate in a Mobile Game using Monte-Carlo Tree Search." Thesis, KTH, Skolan för datavetenskap och kommunikation (CSC), 2017. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-206595.

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The purpose of this thesis is to evaluate the possibility of predicting difficulty, measured in average human success rate (AHSR), across game levels of a mobile game using a general AI algorithm. We implemented and tested a simulation based bot using MCTS for Candy. Our results indicate that AHSR can be predicted accurately using MCTS, which in turn suggests that our bot could be used to streamline game level development. Our work is relevant to the field of AI, especially the subfields of MCTS and single-player stochastic games as Candy, with its diverse set of features, proved an excellent
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Saha, Dibakar. "Improved Criteria for Estimating Calibration Factors for Highway Safety Manual (HSM) Applications." FIU Digital Commons, 2014. http://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/etd/1701.

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The Highway Safety Manual (HSM) estimates roadway safety performance based on predictive models that were calibrated using national data. Calibration factors are then used to adjust these predictive models to local conditions for local applications. The HSM recommends that local calibration factors be estimated using 30 to 50 randomly selected sites that experienced at least a total of 100 crashes per year. It also recommends that the factors be updated every two to three years, preferably on an annual basis. However, these recommendations are primarily based on expert opinions rather than dat
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Prabu, Avinash. "Crash Prediction and Collision Avoidance using Hidden Markov Model." Thesis, 2019. http://hdl.handle.net/1805/19882.

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Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis (IUPUI)<br>Automotive technology has grown from strength to strength in the recent years. The main focus of research in the near past and the immediate future are autonomous vehicles. Autonomous vehicles range from level 1 to level 5, depending on the percentage of machine intervention while driving. To make a smooth transition from human driving and machine intervention, the prediction of human driving behavior is critical. This thesis is a subset of driving behavior prediction. The objective of this thesis is to predict the possibility of cra
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42

Kiattikomol, Vasin. "Freeway crash prediction models for long-range urban transportation planning." 2005. http://etd.utk.edu/2005/KiattikomolVasin.pdf.

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Thesis (Ph. D.) -- University of Tennessee, Knoxville, 2005.<br>Title from title page screen (viewed on September 1, 2005). Thesis advisor: Arun Chatterjee. Document formatted into pages (xiv, 127 p. : ill. (some col.)). Vita. Includes bibliographical references (p. 119-126).
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Hsu, Hsing-hao, and 徐星豪. "An Application of Hilbert-Huang Transform: Stock Market Crash Prediction." Thesis, 2015. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/86653115402168030885.

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碩士<br>國立中山大學<br>財務管理學系研究所<br>103<br>In this paper, we forecast stock market crashes by innovative EEMD-based neural network approach with stock market indices. The concept of EMD is to decompose nonlinear and nonstationary time series signal for obtaining instantaneous frequency data. In order to predict stock crashes for early-warning proposes, this study uses Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition to decompose historical prices into several frequency component and a residual trend, and then take these components as inputs in neural network. The result of our research shows that the prediction
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Yueh-TzuLu and 呂悅慈. "Real-time Freeway Crash Prediction Using Conditional Logistic Regression Models." Thesis, 2018. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/dmuqrd.

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Kuo, Li-Fan, and 郭力帆. "TAIEX Crash Prediction based on JLS Model with Genetic Algorithm." Thesis, 2019. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/7r8bgv.

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碩士<br>國立政治大學<br>金融學系<br>107<br>This paper analyzes and predicts TAIEX crash events from 2005 to 2018 with JLS model, and increases the predictability by modifying JLS model by including economic factors. After we use the genetic algorithm to optimize the model with economic factors, the result shows that the predictability to a crash and fitting ability are both significantly increased. When analyzing the correlation between error days and stock price features, we find that the length of a period and the growth rate of a stock price are both correlated with the error days. We also find that mo
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"A study of the Hong Kong stock market crash in October 1987. Part II. Share valuation and crash prediction." Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1989. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5886029.

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Nayak, Swagat Chandan. "Accident analysis and development of crash prediction model of mid size city." Thesis, 2014. http://ethesis.nitrkl.ac.in/5534/1/110CE0047-3.pdf.

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Accident analysis studies aim at the identification of high rate accident location, safety deficient areas and the accidents prone zones within Rourkela city, using GIS. For this purpose the road accident data for seven consecutive years, pertaining to Rourkela city has to be used. Accident particulars like year, location, type of vehicle involved, are included in GIS database. The buffer function available in the spatial analyst extension of Arc GIS software was to be applied to identify the accident prone areas in Rourkela. The road geometry will be measured in accident prone location to fin
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Nayak, Swagat Chandan. "Accident analysis and development of crash prediction model of mid size city." Thesis, 2014. http://ethesis.nitrkl.ac.in/5536/1/110CE0047-3.pdf.

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Accident analysis studies aim at the identification of high rate accident location, safety deficient areas and the accidents prone zones within Rourkela city, using GIS. For this purpose the road accident data for seven consecutive years, pertaining to Rourkela city has to be used. Accident particulars like year, location, type of vehicle involved, are included in GIS database. The buffer function available in the spatial analyst extension of Arc GIS software was to be applied to identify the accident prone areas in Rourkela. The road geometry will be measured in accident prone location to fin
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Ma, Jianming 1972. "Bayesian multivariate poisson-lognormal regression for crash prediction on rural two-lane highways." 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/2152/13068.

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Wu, Hui doctor of civil engineering. "A framework for developing road risk indices using quantile regression based crash prediction model." Thesis, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/2152/ETD-UT-2011-08-4096.

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Safety reviews of existing roads are becoming a popular practice of many agencies nationally and internationally. Knowing road safety information is of great importance to both policymakers in addressing safety concerns and travelers in managing their trips. There have been various efforts in developing methodologies to measure and assess road safety in an effective manner. However, the existing research and practices are still constrained by their subjective and reactive nature. The goal of this research is to develop a framework of Road Risk Indices (RRIs) to assess road risks of existing hi
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