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Journal articles on the topic 'Demographic dividend'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 4 June 2021

Last updated: 25 July 2025

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1

Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús, Wolfgang Lutz, and Warren Sanderson. "Is the Demographic Dividend an Education Dividend?" Demography 51, no. 1 (2013): 299–315. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13524-013-0245-x.

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2

Basil Hans, V. "India's Demographic Dividend: Opportunities and Policies." International Journal of Science and Research (IJSR) 12, no. 11 (2023): 386–91. http://dx.doi.org/10.21275/sr231024091829.

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3

Gudaganavar, Dr Nagaraj V., and Dr Rajashri S. Gudaganavar. "Demographic Dividend-Its Implications to India." Paripex - Indian Journal Of Research 3, no. 1 (2012): 46–50. http://dx.doi.org/10.15373/22501991/jan2014/13.

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4

Nayab, Durr-e. "Demographic Dividend or Demographic Threat in Pakistan?" Pakistan Development Review 47, no. 1 (2008): 1–26. http://dx.doi.org/10.30541/v47i1pp.1-26.

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Population growth and size have remained the focus of debate for centuries but the recent demographic transition in developing countries has made social scientists take note of the changing age structure of the population as well. As a result of declining population growth and consequent changes in age structure, the proportion of working-age population is increasing in most developing countries. An associated decline in the dependent age population offers a window of opportunity, referred to as the ‘demographic dividend’. Pakistan is also going through the demographic transition, and is exper

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5

Williamson, Jeffrey G. "Demographic Dividends Revisited." Asian Development Review 30, no. 2 (2013): 1–25. http://dx.doi.org/10.1162/adev_a_00013.

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This paper revisits demographic dividend issues after almost 2 decades of debate. In 1998, David Bloom and I used a convergence model to estimate the impact of demographic-transition-driven age structure effects and calculated what the literature has come to call the “demographic dividend.” These early estimates seem to be similar to those coming from more recent overlapping generation models, when properly estimated. Research has shown that the demographic dividend is not simply a labor participation rate effect, but also a growth effect. Life-cycle savings, investment deepening, foreign capi

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6

Kotschy, Rainer, Patricio Suarez Urtaza, and Uwe Sunde. "The demographic dividend is more than an education dividend." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 117, no. 42 (2020): 25982–84. http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2012286117.

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The demographic dividend has long been viewed as an important factor for economic development and provided a rationale for policies aiming at a more balanced age structure through birth control and family planning. Assessing the relative importance of age structure and increases in human capital, recent work has argued that the demographic dividend is related to education and has suggested a dominance of improving education over age structure. Here we reconsider the empirical relevance of shifts in the age distribution for development for a panel of 159 countries over the period 1950 to 2015.

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7

Desai, Sonalde. "Demographic deposit, dividend and debt." Indian Journal of Labour Economics 58, no. 2 (2015): 217–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s41027-016-0020-9.

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8

Wongboonsin, Kua, Philip Guest, and Vipan Prachuabmoh. "DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE AND THE DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDEND IN THAILAND." Asian Population Studies 1, no. 2 (2005): 245–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17441730500317493.

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9

Song, Shi Bin, Qi Song, and Tao Zhong. "China’s Human Capital and the Demographic Dividend." Applied Mechanics and Materials 58-60 (June 2011): 370–75. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amm.58-60.370.

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Demographic dividend has contributed a lot to Chinese economic growth during the past 30 years. However, in recent years, the increase of population dependency ratio, with the constant “shortage of labors”, indicates that the traditional demographic begins to fade away. How to further search for the rest of the demographic dividend and defer the disappearance of the demographic dividend becomes a significant issue. It researches province regions on the degree of utilization of existing demographic dividend, which will be instructive for the relevant economic policies of making full use of the

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10

Liao, Rui. "Research on Vietnams Demographic Dividend Period." Communications in Humanities Research 34, no. 1 (2024): 128–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.54254/2753-7064/34/20240125.

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Currently, Vietnam is in a demographic dividend period. After reaching 90 million in 2013, Vietnam's population hit the milestone of 100 million in 2023. Surpassing the mark of nearly a hundred million people represents a significant event in Vietnam's demographic history, positioning Vietnam as the fifteenth most populous country globally and among the top three in Southeast Asia. With a population nearing a hundred million, the duration of Vietnam's demographic dividend period is expected to extend until around 2042. Approximately 67% of Vietnam's population is of working age. The main chara

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11

Zhou, Jian, Jingjing Deng, Li Li, and Shuang Wang. "The Demographic Dividend or the Education Dividend? Evidence from China’s Economic Growth." Sustainability 15, no. 9 (2023): 7309. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su15097309.

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Developing countries face a significant challenge in sustaining their demographic dividend. However, there are few existing studies that approach this issue from a macroeconomic perspective or through empirical research. This paper aims to systematically analyze the impact of the demographic dividend and education dividend on economic growth. By utilizing China’s empirical evidence and employing the System GMM method, we explore how to improve both dividends. Our main findings can be summarized into three aspects. First, the demographic dividend does not depend on population size alone but als

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12

Mr., Anand Uppar, and S. B. Nari Dr. "Correlation between Demographic Dividend and Human Development in Indian States." International Journal of Advance and Applied Research 4, no. 24 (2023): 97–102. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8242445.

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The research titled "Correlation Demographic Dividend and Human Development in India" explores the dynamic relationship between demographic dividend and human development in the context of India. The demographic dividend, characterized by a significant increase in the working-age population relative to dependents, has the potential to act as a catalyst for economic growth and development. India, with its massive and youthful population, stands at a crucial juncture where harnessing this demographic dividend could bring about transformative changes in various socio-economic indicators

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13

Paudel, Jiban. "Nepal's Demographic Dividend: Challenges and Opportunities." Terhathum Multiple Campus Research Journal 8, no. 3 (2025): 101–12. https://doi.org/10.3126/tmcrj.v8i3.80446.

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Nepal is undergoing a significant demographic transition, characterized by a burgeoning working-age population and a declining dependency ratio, commonly referred to as the demographic dividend. This research article aims to comprehensively analyze both the challenges and opportunities associated with harnessing this demographic window for sustainable socio-economic development in Nepal, drawing solely on existing secondary data. It will critically examine key demographic trends, indicators of human capital development (education and health), labor market dynamics, and the prevailing macro-eco

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14

Arnott, Robert D. "Whither Bonds, After the Demographic Dividend?" CFA Institute Conference Proceedings Quarterly 32, no. 1 (2015): 1–10. http://dx.doi.org/10.2469/cp.v32.n1.4.

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15

Drummond, Paulo, Vimal Thakoor, and Shu Yu. "Africa Rising: Harnessing the Demographic Dividend." IMF Working Papers 14, no. 143 (2014): 1. http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498379878.001.

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16

Clydesdale, Greg. "Poverty, sustainability and the demographic dividend." International Journal of Business and Emerging Markets 10, no. 1 (2018): 3. http://dx.doi.org/10.1504/ijbem.2018.090479.

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17

Clydesdale, Greg. "Poverty, Sustainability and the Demographic Dividend." International Journal of Business and Emerging Markets 10, no. 1 (2018): 3. http://dx.doi.org/10.1504/ijbem.2018.10011627.

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18

Eastwood, Robert, and Michael Lipton. "THE DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDEND: RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT." Economic Affairs 32, no. 1 (2012): 26–30. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0270.2011.02124.x.

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19

Singh, Ajit Kumar. "India’s Demographic Dividend: A Sceptical Look." Indian Journal of Human Development 10, no. 1 (2016): 10–26. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0973703016636445.

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20

O'Neill, Desmond. "The art of the demographic dividend." Lancet 377, no. 9780 (2011): 1828–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(11)60612-0.

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21

Kaur, Ushvinder, Anupama M. Hasija, Sambhawna Chaudhary, and Vaneeta Chandna. "Demographic Dividend: An Asset for India." RESEARCH REVIEW International Journal of Multidisciplinary 7, no. 1 (2022): 134–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.31305/rrijm.2022.v07.i01.020.

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Demographic dividend is the acceleration in the economic growth which is brought about as a result of a fall in fertility and mortality rate in the population of a country. This leads to a subsequent change in the age structure of the population of a country. With the decline in the birth rate, the young dependent population of the country declines in relation to the working age population. Due to an increase in the productivity of working population, the per capita income of a country rises. It is the period during which the population of the country experience the age structure that is highl

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22

Chauhan, Shekhar, and P. Arokiasamy. "India’s demographic dividend: state-wise perspective." Journal of Social and Economic Development 20, no. 1 (2018): 1–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40847-018-0061-7.

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23

Qin, Jingyi, and Qingyu Xu. "The Impact of the Digital Economy on Population Dividends in China: Based on the Dual Perspective of Quantity and Quality." Sustainability 16, no. 10 (2024): 4254. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su16104254.

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The demographic dividend plays an important role in promoting sustainable development in China. Here, we ask the question of how to use the digital economy to coordinate the “one body and two sides” of the demographic dividend. This study empirically examines the impact of digital economic development on the demographic dividend in a multidimensional way based on the panel data from 30 provincial-level administrative regions in China from 2011 to 2020. The study results show that (1) the digital economy significantly promotes the demographic quality dividend but exhibits a suppressive effect o

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24

Miao, Zhenghao. "The Impact of the Demographic Dividend on the Economy." BCP Business & Management 45 (April 27, 2023): 153–58. http://dx.doi.org/10.54691/bcpbm.v45i.4877.

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Demographic dividend means abundant labor supply, huge potential domestic consumption market and abundant financial support for a country's economic development. However, with the passage of time, the demographic dividend will continue to change. This paper takes China as an example to study the impact of demographic dividend changes on economic development. At present, China is gradually entering an aging society, and the window period for the release of the demographic dividend has begun to close, which means that the benefits brought by the demographic dividend to China's economic developme

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25

Cai, Fang. "Demographic transition, demographic dividend, and Lewis turning point in China." China Economic Journal 3, no. 2 (2010): 107–19. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17538963.2010.511899.

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26

Narayana, Muttur R. "Do economic inequalities impact demographic dividend: Evidence from India." Population and Economics 6, no. 1 (2022): 80–108. http://dx.doi.org/10.3897/popecon.5.e76490.

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The paper offers a new explanation and prediction of empirical relationship between income and consumption inequalities and demographic dividend. The framework for the analysis is a modified National Transfer Accounts (NTA)-based modelling of the first demographic dividend with inequality-adjusted or inequality-discounted economic support ratio (ESR). The model is tested for India by calculating the inequality-adjusted demographic dividend (or the growth rate of ESR) for the period 2005-2050. The results show that income inequality is not higher than consumption one for all ages and these age-

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27

Narayana, Muttur R. "Do economic inequalities impact demographic dividend: Evidence from India." Population and Economics 6, no. (1) (2022): 80–108. https://doi.org/10.3897/popecon.5.e76490.

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The paper offers a new explanation and prediction of empirical relationship between income and consumption inequalities and demographic dividend. The framework for the analysis is a modified National Transfer Accounts (NTA)-based modelling of the first demographic dividend with inequality-adjusted or inequality-discounted economic support ratio (ESR). The model is tested for India by calculating the inequality-adjusted demographic dividend (or the growth rate of ESR) for the period 2005-2050. The results show that income inequality is not higher than consumption one for all ages and these age-

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28

Rajagukguk, Wilson. "What is the share of population to the agro-industrial economy? A measure of demographic dividend in Indonesia." E3S Web of Conferences 175 (2020): 13035. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202017513035.

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This study aims to measure the share of population to economic growth, demographic dividend, in Indonesia. The analysis employed the Cobb-Douglas model. The data came from the Indonesia’s National Account in 1970–2015, divided into two time spans (1970–1992 and 1993–2015). The dependent variable is the gross domestic product at current prices. The independent variables are investment, population, and employment opportunity. The demographic dividend is defined as the difference in the share of population between the first time span and second time span. It was found that the magnitude of demogr

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29

Poncet, Sandra. "Cai Fang, China’s Economic Growth Prospects: From Demographic Dividend To Reform Dividend,." China Perspectives 2017, no. 2 (2017): 78–79. http://dx.doi.org/10.4000/chinaperspectives.7367.

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30

Yang, Juan, Genchuan Bai, Dinghua Ou, Xuesong Gao, Bing Li, and Changquan Wang. "Impact of the Demographic Dividend on Urban Land Use Efficiency." Land 13, no. 12 (2024): 2000. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/land13122000.

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The demographic transition that accompanies the urbanization transformation has a key impact on land use efficiency. This study applies the PVAR, SDM, and threshold models to investigate the influence of China’s demographic dividend composition on urban land use efficiency, aiming to provide guidance for the strategic management and allocation of demographic resources, thereby optimizing urban land resource utilization. The key findings are as follows: (1) Spatial effects reveal that the scale and structural dividends of the population size dividend significantly inhibit urban land use efficie

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31

Lutz, Wolfgang, Jesus Crespo Cuaresma, Endale Kebede, Alexia Prskawetz, Warren C. Sanderson, and Erich Striessnig. "Education rather than age structure brings demographic dividend." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116, no. 26 (2019): 12798–803. http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1820362116.

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The relationship between population changes and economic growth has been debated since Malthus. Initially focusing on population growth, the notion of demographic dividend has shifted the attention to changes in age structures with an assumed window of opportunity that opens when falling birth rates lead to a relatively higher proportion of the working-age population. This has become the dominant paradigm in the field of population and development, and an advocacy tool for highlighting the benefits of family planning and fertility decline. While this view acknowledges that the dividend can onl

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32

Odimegwu, Clifford O., and Emmanuel O. Olamijuwon. "Potentials for demographic dividend and rapid economic growth in Mali: What policy scenario would yield the greatest dividend?" Population Horizons 15, no. 1 (2018): 7–15. http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/pophzn-2018-0002.

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Abstract The demographic changes occurring in Mali, evident in high fertility but declining mortality rates have raised optimism about the prospects of reaping demographic dividend. However, it remains unclear how soon and what policy scenario would yield the largest demographic dividend in the country. We used a demographic-economic model “DemDiv” to assess the prospects of reaping a demographic dividend in Mali by 2050. We illuminate this further by examining the cost and implications of different combination of education, family planning and economic policies. The results show that by incre

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33

Islam, Sirajul, and Prodip Chandra Roy. "Impact of Demographic Dividend on Economic Growth: Bangladesh Perspective." International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation XI, no. II (2024): 95–123. http://dx.doi.org/10.51244/ijrsi.2024.1102009.

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In Bangladesh the window of opportunity has emerged since the 1979s will not last long and will not be repeated in the near future. It reaches its peak in the 2020s and will remain open until the 2035s. The demographic dividend is not given in automatic. This demographic dividend needs to be managed efficiently to capitalized better and sustained economic growth. This study attempts to estimate the contribution of the first demographic dividend on the growth rate of real GDP per capita in Bangladesh from 1991 to 2019 and provides empirical evidence concerning the net growth benefits derived fr

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34

Bloom, David E., and Michael Kuhn. "Africa’s Prospects for Enjoying a Demographic Dividend." Institut für Demographie - VID 1 (2021): 1–17. http://dx.doi.org/10.1553/0x003cd022.

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35

Misra, Roli. "Impact of Demographic Dividend on Economic Growth." International Studies 52, no. 1-4 (2015): 99–117. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0020881717714685.

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36

Bloom, David E., Michael Kuhn, and Klaus Prettner. "AFRICA'S PROSPECTS FOR ENJOYING A DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDEND." Journal of Demographic Economics 83, no. 1 (2017): 63–76. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/dem.2016.19.

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Abstract:We assess Africa's prospects for enjoying a demographic dividend. While fertility rates and dependency ratios in Africa remain high, they have started to decline. According to UN projections, they will fall further in the coming decades such that by the mid-21st century, the ratio of the working age to dependent population will be greater than in Asia, Europe, and Northern America. This projection suggests Africa has considerable potential to enjoy a demographic dividend. Whether and when it actually materializes, and also its magnitude, hinges on policies and institutions in key real

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37

Gonand, Frédéric, and Pierre-André Jouvet. "The “second dividend” and the demographic structure." Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 72 (July 2015): 71–97. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2015.04.007.

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38

Omoju, Oluwasola E., and Terfa W. Abraham. "Youth bulge and demographic dividend in Nigeria." African Population Studies 27, no. 2 (2014): 352. http://dx.doi.org/10.11564/27-2-480.

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39

Oosthuizen, Morné J. "Bonus or mirage? South Africa’s demographic dividend." Journal of the Economics of Ageing 5 (April 2015): 14–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jeoa.2014.08.007.

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40

Fala, Alexandru. "The first and second demographic dividends in Moldova." Economy and Sociology, no. 2 (February 2023): 22–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.36004/nier.es.2022.2-02.

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Moldova is going through a phase of intense demographic changes and is facing two major challenges: population decline and ageing, which significantly influence economic growth opportunities. The economic burden increase on the working-age population is one of the main concerns associated with demographic ageing. In this context, studying the impact of demographic changes on economic dynamics is of interest to academia and policymakers. Relatively new theoretical approaches −the first and the second demographic dividend concepts and the "economic life cycle" theory were used. The papers of for

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41

Yasir, Iram. "Capitalizing the Demographic dividend of Pakistan-future prospects." Isra Medical Journal 15, no. 2 (2023): 45–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.55282/imj.ed64.

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Demographic dividend refers to the economic growth and development resulting from a change in the age structure of a country’s population.1 Rapid growth in a country occurs as a consequence of declining fertility, facilitated by low child and infant mortality. A country with younger people and lessoning fertility reaps a ‘demographic dividend’ by increasing productivity and decreasing dependency. With low dependency ratio, governments and people can redirect resources for investments in education, healthcare, and infrastructure, creating a virtuous cycle of development, as better education and

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42

Wang, Zhi Li. "The Researches on the Decline of the Demographic Dividend and Human Capital Investment." Applied Mechanics and Materials 687-691 (November 2014): 4654–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amm.687-691.4654.

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The law of population growth tells us that the demographic dividend could not last indefinitely. When the Lewis turning point comes, the Demographic Dividend will absolutely dwindle away. To maintain growth without the advantages of cheap labor, the Chinese economy must focus on the human capital investment, namely we must invest in human capital to create another demographic dividend with high quality to replace the previous demographic dividend with quantity.

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43

Yao, Zuchan, and Zhihua Lian. "Research on the Influencing Factors of the Entrepreneurial Intention of People Returning from Urban to Rural Areas: The Views of New Development Concept." SHS Web of Conferences 151 (2022): 01029. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/shsconf/202215101029.

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This paper focuses on the entrepreneurial intention for “people returning from urban to rural areas “, the research selects three towns with different economic levels in Liancheng County of Fujian Province of China. Through field visits, in-depth interviews and questionnaires, it deeply explores the reasons, experiences, difficulties and contributions to rural construction of “ people returning from urban to rural areas “, and systematically understands the new demographic dividend caused by “ people returning from urban to rural areas “ in combination with the local policy environment and the

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44

Omoruyi, Ehizuelen Michael Mitchell. "Harnessing the Demographic Dividend in Africa Through Lessons From East Asia's Experience." Journal of Comparative Asian Development 18, no. 2 (2021): 1–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/jcad.20210701.oa1.

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Notably, East Asian Economies successfully capitalized on shifts in their age structures to gain a boost in economic productivity, a phenomenon known as the demographic dividend. Nowadays, despite the hitherto sluggish pace of Africa’s transition, experts remain optimistic that similar transformation in Africa may lead to faster development in coming decades. The paper attempts to answer the following three questions: (i) Can natural resource development help African economies harness its demographic dividend? (ii) as China forty years long, demographic dividend draws to an end, China is activ

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45

Gupta, Divyanjali. "DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDEND OR DEMOGRAPHIC DISASTER: COMPARISON WITH CHINA AND LESSONS FOR INDIA." International Journal of Advanced Research 11, no. 06 (2023): 812–20. http://dx.doi.org/10.21474/ijar01/17130.

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India 2023 has overtaken China in terms of population. It is the only economy in the world which is going through a demographic dividend. From the 1980s onwards, China took full advantage of the independent workforce and developed a range of products that effectively and efficiently used this valuable resource. It is Indias turn now to take advantage and this, it could do by encouraging labour-intensive technologyin small manufacturing enterprises and self-employment.

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46

Hilbig, Michael, Elke Loichinger, and Bernhard Köppen. "“It makes the buzz” – putting the demographic dividend under scrutiny." Geographica Helvetica 77, no. 1 (2022): 141–51. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gh-77-141-2022.

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Abstract. We contribute to this theme issue on “(Re)Thinking population geography” with a critical engagement with the concept of the demographic dividend (DD). We put the DD – a concept based on interactions between demography, development and policy making – under scrutiny and investigate in particular whether a demographization of politics, a criticism concerning political decision-making based on a reductionist use of demographic data, as described by Barlösius (2007) and Schultz (2019), is happening. Our findings, based on literature analysis and interviews with experts working in the fie

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47

Kazbekova, Zarina. "Impact of the demographic dividend on economic growth." Population and Economics 2, no. 4 (2018): 85–135. http://dx.doi.org/10.3897/popecon.2.e36061.

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In the context of the working-age population decline in the Russian Federation, the study of the influence of the dynamics of the share of the working -age population on economic growth is of particular interest. The main purpose of the article is to assess the contribution of the first demographic dividend to the GDP per capita growth rate in Russia betwеen 1997 and 2015. The main methods used by the author of this work are statistical analysis and econometric modeling based on Rosstat data. According to the results obtained in the course of this study, the first demographic dividend provided

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48

Rentería, Elisenda, Guadalupe Souto, Iván Mejía-Guevara, and Concepció Patxot. "The Effect of Education on the Demographic Dividend." Population and Development Review 42, no. 4 (2016): 651–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/padr.12017.

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49

Mody, Ashoka, and Shekhar Aiyar. "The Demographic Dividend: Evidence From the Indian States." IMF Working Papers 11, no. 38 (2011): 1. http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455217885.001.

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50

Ghosh, Saibal. "Estimating the demographic dividend: Evidence from Indian states." Journal of Population Ageing 9, no. 3 (2015): 249–62. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12062-015-9136-9.

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