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Journal articles on the topic 'Disaster modelling'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 7 September 2024

Last updated: 31 July 2025

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1

Mishra, Vinaytosh, and Mohita G. Sharma. "Understanding Humanitarian Supply Chain Through Causal Modelling." South Asian Journal of Business and Management Cases 9, no. 3 (2020): 317–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/2277977920958084.

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Research Questions: Does being in the social welfare slow-onset disaster quadrant help in garnering resources during the sudden disaster? Theory: Humanitarian supply chain has been traditionally explained as a system involved in mobilizing people, resources, skills and knowledge for disaster relief operations. The established classification of disasters includes natural and man-made disasters. These are further classified into sudden- and slow-onset disasters. Social welfare supply chains happen to be a distinctive type of humanitarian supply chain working in slow-onset disasters such as pover

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Takeichi, Naohiro, Takeshi Katagiri, Harumi Yoneda, Shusaku Inoue, and Yusuke Shintani. "Virtual Reality approaches for evacuation simulation of various disasters." Collective Dynamics 5 (August 12, 2020): A93. http://dx.doi.org/10.17815/cd.2020.93.

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This paper presents a virtual reality (VR) system of evacuation in the cases of various disasters. We considered a combination of disasters under realistic scenarios. Disaster simulations by numerical models were imported into the VR system to express a realistic situation. Not only disaster experts but also designers and non-professionals are able to share realistic experiences for escape from the disasters. This system is useful for performance-based design, planning of escape, disaster prevention, evacuation drill etc. The VR system consists of Building Information Modelling, physical simul

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Zhang, Fushen, Shaobo Zhong, Simin Yao, Chaolin Wang, and Quanyi Huang. "Ontology-based representation of meteorological disaster system and its application in emergency management." Kybernetes 45, no. 5 (2016): 798–814. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/k-10-2014-0205.

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Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to make research on causing mechanism of meteorological disaster as well as the components of meteorological disaster system and their semantic relationships. It has important practical significance due to the urgent need of further providing support for pre-assessment of influences of disastrous weather/climate events and promoting the level of emergency management. Design/methodology/approach – This paper analyses the occurrence regulations and components of meteorological disasters and proposes the concept of meta-action. Ontology modelling method is a

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Hastings, I. M., and U. D’Alessandro. "Modelling a Predictable Disaster:." Parasitology Today 16, no. 8 (2000): 340–47. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0169-4758(00)01707-5.

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Hassan, Mohamad Ghozali, Che AzlanTaib, Muslim Akanmu, and Afif Ahmarofi. "A Theoretical Review on the Preventive Measures to Landslide Disaster Occurrences in Penang State, Malaysia." Journal of Social Sciences Research, SPI6 (December 25, 2018): 753–59. http://dx.doi.org/10.32861/jssr.spi6.753.759.

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Based on the frequently unanticipated occurrences of natural landslide disaster across Malaysia, it can be seen that Malaysia is still not fully prepared for occurrences of natural landslide disaster. The lack of predictive and warning systems for the disaster in the country is creating panic and apprehension among citizens alongside with both economic and property losses. The general objectives of this research are: to identify the meteorological factors that cause landslide natural disaster occurrences in Malaysia and to suggest a predictive model for landslide disaster occurrence in Malaysi

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Ajulo, Oluwadunsin, Ishmael Adams, Ali Asgary, Patrick Tang, and Jason Von-Meding. "Modelling the Roles of Community-Based Organisations in Post-Disaster Transformative Adaptation." GeoHazards 3, no. 2 (2022): 178–98. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/geohazards3020010.

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Disasters result where hazards and vulnerabilities intersect. The concept of vulnerability itself is mainly a social construct and the extent to which this can be overcome while transforming disaster-prone systems has often been emphasised in the critical hazard literature. However, the extent to which community-based organisations contribute to post-disaster transformation at the community level remains unexamined. This paper is aimed at examining the extent of the role of community-based organisations (CBOs) in the transformative adaptation of post-earthquake Lyttelton. Quantitative data was

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Rezaldi, Muhammad Yudhi, RABIAH ABDUL KADIR, Mohamad Taha Ijab, and Apip Apip. "Aesthetics 3D Geovisualization For Flood Disaster Based on XYZ Coordinate." Journal of Applied Research and Technology 21, no. 4 (2023): 688–706. http://dx.doi.org/10.22201/icat.24486736e.2023.21.4.1706.

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Geovisualization can convert spatial and non-spatial data into an accurate visualization of flood modelling but less realistic. Contrarily, Multimedia can produce realistic visualizations by applying aesthetic parameters, but not based on data, inaccurate. This research successfully combined both Geovisualization and Multimedia that created an accurate and realistic visualization of flood modelling. An experimental methodology was used for the flood transformation data through geovisualization technique and carried out the 3D mapping objects through photogrammetry by using drones. Both modelli

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Nukavarapu, Nivedita, and Surya Durbha. "STOCHASTIC COLOURED PETRINET BASED HEALTHCARE INFRASTRUCTURE INTERDEPENDENCY MODEL." ISPRS - International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences XLI-B8 (June 22, 2016): 223–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/isprs-archives-xli-b8-223-2016.

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The Healthcare Critical Infrastructure (HCI) protects all sectors of the society from hazards such as terrorism, infectious disease outbreaks, and natural disasters. HCI plays a significant role in response and recovery across all other sectors in the event of a natural or manmade disaster. However, for its continuity of operations and service delivery HCI is dependent on other interdependent Critical Infrastructures (CI) such as Communications, Electric Supply, Emergency Services, Transportation Systems, and Water Supply System. During a mass casualty due to disasters such as floods, a major

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Nukavarapu, Nivedita, and Surya Durbha. "STOCHASTIC COLOURED PETRINET BASED HEALTHCARE INFRASTRUCTURE INTERDEPENDENCY MODEL." ISPRS - International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences XLI-B8 (June 22, 2016): 223–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/isprsarchives-xli-b8-223-2016.

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The Healthcare Critical Infrastructure (HCI) protects all sectors of the society from hazards such as terrorism, infectious disease outbreaks, and natural disasters. HCI plays a significant role in response and recovery across all other sectors in the event of a natural or manmade disaster. However, for its continuity of operations and service delivery HCI is dependent on other interdependent Critical Infrastructures (CI) such as Communications, Electric Supply, Emergency Services, Transportation Systems, and Water Supply System. During a mass casualty due to disasters such as floods, a major

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Beaulac, Leah, Breanne Langlois, Katherine Berry, and Elena Naumova. "Natural Disaster and Migration Trends in Flood Prone Agricultural Areas of Indonesia." Current Developments in Nutrition 6, Supplement_1 (2022): 72. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/cdn/nzac050.002.

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Abstract Objectives Sudden onset severe natural disasters are more closely associated with climate related migration than slower onset disasters in Indonesia. This analysis examines whether severe flooding was related to migration in the five years prior to the 5th wave of the Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS), and whether there were differences between agricultural versus non-agricultural households. Methods We present descriptive statistics of the subset of the population that reported having experienced natural disaster (3,183 (19%) households) in wave five of IFLS. Analysis is ongoing a

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KURWAKUMIRE, Edward, Shelter KUZHAZHA, and Paul MUCHECHETERE. "Informal cadastres as enabling tools for disaster risk management." European Journal of Geography 12, no. 2 (2021): 52–73. http://dx.doi.org/10.48088/ejg.e.kur.12.2.052.073.

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Disaster Risk Management requires up-to-date land information availed through the cadastre. Informal settlements are often located in disaster prone areas. Having up-to-date land information about these informal settlements is one step towards disaster preparedness and building community resilience in the highway towards sustainable development. This study designs conceptual models using unified modelling language (UML) for an informal cadastre for recording land information pertinent to disaster risk management based on a South African case study. The results demonstrate that land tenure rela

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Wang, Zhi-Lan, Jing Wang, and Jin-Song Wang. "Risk Assessment of Agricultural Drought Disaster in Southern China." Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society 2015 (2015): 1–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/172919.

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Risk assessment of drought disaster is necessary for the sustained agriculture development under the background of global climate change, and, meanwhile, it is an urgent scientific issue needed to be solved in agricultural risk assessment discipline. In this paper, collecting the areas covered by drought disasters, areas affected by drought disasters, areas with no harvest by drought disasters, areas planted, and yield per unit area data, agricultural drought disasters losses of the southern five provinces in China were calculated. The best probability density function was obtained according t

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Abu Bakar, Noor Akma, Noridayu Mah Hashim, Afrig Aminuddin, Siti Aishah Zakaria, and Mazlina Abdul Majid. "Towards Effective Evacuation Procedures in Disaster Management (Dm): Simulation Modelling and Governance Strategies." Journal of Governance and Integrity 6, no. 1 (2023): 483–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.15282/jgi.6.1.2023.9159.

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Natural catastrophes and disasters may cause the destruction of infrastructure and personal property. In order to reduce the effects of such tragedies, the effectiveness of the evacuation procedures is essential. Effective evacuation procedures, however, also depend on governance issues in addition to technical aspects like infrastructure and communication. This paper intends to review on how governance, and evacuation protocols relate to emergency preparedness and disaster management (DM). Thus, this study explores the use of agent-based and social force theory in developing evacuation simula

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Musliman, I. A., and L. Yohnny. "Modelling airborne dispersion for disaster management." Journal of Physics: Conference Series 852 (May 2017): 012026. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/852/1/012026.

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Kamara, Joseph K., Berhe W. Sahle, Kingsley E. Agho, and Andre M. N. Renzaho. "Governments’ Policy Response to Drought in Eswatini and Lesotho: A Systematic Review of the Characteristics, Comprehensiveness, and Quality of Existing Policies to Improve Community Resilience to Drought Hazards." Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society 2020 (February 26, 2020): 1–17. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/3294614.

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The southern African kingdoms of Eswatini and Lesotho experience recurrent drought-induced disasters. Policies have been enacted, but no attempt has been made to synthesise the effects on disaster resilience. This review analyses the characteristics, quality, and comprehensiveness of drought-resilience policies in Eswatini and Lesotho. We have systematically reviewed public policies that shape responses to disaster resilience published between 1 January 1980 and 30 June 2019. A combination of keywords was used to search electronic bibliographic databases, multidisciplinary databases, key organ

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Su, Benyu, Zhixiong Li, Rongyao Li, Rongfu Rao, and Jingcun Yu. "Exploration Disaster Source of Mine Water by Electromagnetic Radiation." Elektronika ir Elektrotechnika 26, no. 5 (2020): 16–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.5755/j01.eie.26.5.25960.

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geological hazard in deep underground mining. Before the rock mass explosion, electromagnetic energy will radiate outward during the deformation and rupture of the coal rocks. Hence, it is possible to use the electromagnetic radiation to predict geological disasters in coal mines. A challenging task using the active source electromagnetic survey technique is to detect geological anomalies, such as disaster water sources and geological structures. To this end, this paper proposes a new electromagnetic radiation solution based on the forward and inversion theory to detect geological anomalies in

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Cao, Xiaoqin, Ziming Liu, Chenlin Hu, Xiaolong Song, Jonathan Atuquaye Quaye, and Ning Lu. "Three-Dimensional Geological Modelling in Earth Science Research: An In-Depth Review and Perspective Analysis." Minerals 14, no. 7 (2024): 686. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/min14070686.

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This study examines the development trajectory and current trends of three-dimensional (3D) geological modelling. In recent years, due to the rising global energy demand and the increasing frequency of regional geological disasters, significant progress has been made in this field. The purpose of this study is to clarify the potential complexity of 3D geological modelling, identify persistent challenges, and propose potential avenues for improvement. The main objectives include simplifying the modelling process, improving model accuracy, integrating different data sources, and quantitatively e

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Martha, Taufik, Purnawan Purnawan, and Hendra Gunawan. "PEMODELAN DAN PREDIKSI KEBUTUHAN LOGISTIK PASCA BENCANA DI SUMATERA BARAT." Rang Teknik Journal 4, no. 1 (2021): 188–98. http://dx.doi.org/10.31869/rtj.v4i1.2292.

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Sumatera is one if the areas that is located in the high land. Geographically, it is lied in the volcanic high land that is formed by Bukit barisan Mountain range Sumatera Barat which is rich in natural resources. But unfortunately, due ti its location, West Sumatera has also potentials to various natural disasters like earth quake, tsunami, landslide, land movement, flood and fire if compared to other areas as mentioned in National Action Plan for Disaster Risk Reduction 2012. There have been many preventive actions that have been done by the government. However, those actions are not accompa

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Anuar, Wadi Khalid, Lai Soon Lee, Stefan Pickl, and Hsin-Vonn Seow. "Vehicle Routing Optimisation in Humanitarian Operations: A Survey on Modelling and Optimisation Approaches." Applied Sciences 11, no. 2 (2021): 667. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/app11020667.

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The growing field of humanitarian operations is driven by frequent events of disasters seen in the world today. Within this field, Operations Research (OR) plays a critical role in alleviating the suffering of victims that are impacted by disasters. This paper focuses on the branch of a well-known OR problem, known as the Vehicle Routing Problem (VRP), within the selected scope of humanitarian operations. A total of 123 papers of the last decade are reviewed and classified under the humanitarian operations of supply and delivery, evacuation as well as rescue operations. Besides specific disast

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Une, Hiroshi, and Takayuki Nakano. "Role of Geospatial Information for Disaster Risk Management as Exemplified in Recent Large Earthquakes in Japan." Advances in Cartography and GIScience of the ICA 1 (July 3, 2019): 1–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/ica-adv-1-21-2019.

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<p><strong>Abstract.</strong> Geographic location is one of the most fundamental and indispensable information elements for us to work on disasters. For example, in the case of the Tohoku Earthquake in 2011, aerial photos taken immediately after the earthquake greatly improved the information sharing among different government offices and facilitated the rescue and recovery operations, and maps prepared after the disasters have been assisting the rapid reconstruction of the affected local communities. In addition, in the case of the Kumamoto Earthquake in 2016, up-to-date geo

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Gregory, Geoff. "Natural disaster." Bulletin of the New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering 31, no. 2 (1998): 122–27. http://dx.doi.org/10.5459/bnzsee.31.2.122-127.

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The theme of the seminar, panel discussion and open forum, organised by the EQC and the Insurance Council, was Natural Disaster: Finding, managing, and sharing people and information. Emphasis was placed on the recovery and reconstruction phases, beginning about 10 days after the disaster occurred. To provide a focus for discussion, the scenario chosen was the Great Wellington Earthquake, for which fairly detailed modelling has been done, most notably for the Wellington after the Quake Conference, 1995. (1) The seminar was, in fact, a follow-up to that conference, at which various recommendati

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Ulinnuha, R. R., and Jumadi. "3D modelling of tsunami disaster in Pacitan Regency, East Java, using Arcgis." IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 1462, no. 1 (2025): 012014. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1462/1/012014.

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Abstract Tsunamis are large ocean waves caused by many things, such as earthquakes, plate motion, volcanic eruptions on the ocean floor, and the collision of space objects. Tsunamis are unpredictable disasters that cause massive damage and kill thousands of people in a matter of seconds. Pacitan Regency is one of the areas in southern Java that is vulnerable to tsunamis and earthquakes because it is located near major global plates such as the Indo-Australian Plate and the Eurasian Plate. However, there is not much discussion on tsunami modelling for Pacitan regency, in contrast to other south

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Karami, Amir, Vishal Shah, Reza Vaezi, and Amit Bansal. "Twitter speaks: A case of national disaster situational awareness." Journal of Information Science 46, no. 3 (2019): 313–24. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0165551519828620.

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In recent years, we have been faced with a series of natural disasters causing a tremendous amount of financial, environmental and human losses. The unpredictable nature of natural disasters behaviour makes it hard to have a comprehensive situational awareness (SA) to support disaster management. Using opinion surveys is a traditional approach to analyse public concerns during natural disasters; however, this approach is limited, expensive and time-consuming. Luckily, the advent of social media has provided scholars with an alternative means of analysing public concerns. Social media enable us

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Mohapatra, Tapaswini, and Shailendra K. Mandal. "Statistical Framework to enhance Disaster Resilience: An Empirical Cyclone Disaster Assessment Model." Disaster Advances 17, no. 9 (2024): 16–24. http://dx.doi.org/10.25303/179da016024.

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This research study delves into the critical dimension of social resilience within communities vulnerable to disasters, with a specific focus on the coastal areas of India. The study, conducted in cyclone-affected regions of Puri, emphasizes the significance of social resilience in effective disaster management. Through the analysis of 210 samples, we present a framework grounded in the exploration of bonding, bridging and linking social capital. While prior research acknowledges the need of social capital in enhancing resilience, this study contributes by quantitatively examining these relati

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Iovine, Giulio, Michael Sheridan, Johannes Huebl, Manuel Pastor, Christoph Aubrecht, and Stefan Scheer. "Innovative modelling approaches for disaster risk reduction." Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C 49 (January 2012): 1–2. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pce.2012.08.004.

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Andrade, Ermeson, Ricardo Lima, and Júlio Mendonça. "Evaluating and modelling solutions for disaster recovery." International Journal of Grid and Utility Computing 11, no. 5 (2020): 683. http://dx.doi.org/10.1504/ijguc.2020.10030947.

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Mendonça, Júlio, Ricardo Lima, and Ermeson Andrade. "Evaluating and modelling solutions for disaster recovery." International Journal of Grid and Utility Computing 11, no. 5 (2020): 683. http://dx.doi.org/10.1504/ijguc.2020.110055.

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Burkart, Christian, Pamela C. Nolz, and Walter J. Gutjahr. "Modelling beneficiaries’ choice in disaster relief logistics." Annals of Operations Research 256, no. 1 (2016): 41–61. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10479-015-2097-9.

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Nugrahani, Meiga, and Purnama Budi Santosa. "Drought Hazard Modelling of Klaten Regency Central Java Using AHP and TOPSIS Method." IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 936, no. 1 (2021): 012043. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/936/1/012043.

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Abstract According to information of areas at high risk of drought provided by Central Java disaster risk assessment in 2016 - 2020, Klaten Regency is in the top ten at high risk of drought in Central Java. Drought is an annual disaster in this region, which usually occurs during the dry season. The impact of the drought has caused some areas to experience a lack of clean water. For the purpose of disaster mitigation in anticipating and minimizing drought disasters losses, it is necessary to analyze the level of drought with a decision-making system by comparing two methods, namely the AHP wit

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Chybowska, Dorota, Leszek Chybowski, Jarosław Myśków, and Jerzy Manerowski. "Identification of the Most Important Events to the Occurrence of a Disaster Using Maritime Examples." Sustainability 15, no. 13 (2023): 10613. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su151310613.

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Previous studies on maritime disasters have noted the importance of searching for their causal factors in the analysis of different types of vessels and various regions where accidents have occurred. The main objective of the study that this article presents was to develop a new approach to modelling and causal analysis of the course of maritime disasters in order to provide a holistic evaluation of this phenomenon. The novel approach adopted to support the thesis combined event network analysis and fault tree analysis (used in functional analysis for modelling the structures of systems) in th

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Santillan, J. R., J. T. Marqueso, M. Makinano-Santillan, and J. L. Serviano. "BEYOND FLOOD HAZARD MAPS: DETAILED FLOOD CHARACTERIZATION WITH REMOTE SENSING, GIS AND 2D MODELLING." ISPRS - International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences XLII-4/W1 (September 30, 2016): 315–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/isprs-archives-xlii-4-w1-315-2016.

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Flooding is considered to be one of the most destructive among many natural disasters such that understanding floods and assessing the risks associated to it are becoming more important nowadays. In the Philippines, Remote Sensing (RS) and Geographic Information System (GIS) are two main technologies used in the nationwide modelling and mapping of flood hazards. Although the currently available high resolution flood hazard maps have become very valuable, their use for flood preparedness and mitigation can be maximized by enhancing the layers of information these maps portrays. In this paper, w

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Zhu, Xiaoxiao, Shuhua Zhang, and Bingjun Li. "Prediction of Continuous Rain Disaster in Henan Province Based on Markov Model." Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society 2020 (September 12, 2020): 1–6. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/7519215.

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Continuous rain disasters occur frequently, which seriously affect maize yield. However, the research on predicting continuous rain disasters is very limited. Taking the maize in Henan Province as an example, the Markov model is used to predict the occurrence of continuous rain in the middle growth and late growth stages (flowering and filling stages) of 13 cities in Henan Province. The results showed that the maize in Henan Province would suffer from continuous rain disaster in 2020 and 2021. Finally, combined with the prediction results, policy recommendations for maize growth in Henan Provi

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Kaine, Geoff, and Vic Wright. "Regulator Theory, Natural Hazards, and Climate Change." Sustainability 17, no. 7 (2025): 2979. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17072979.

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Climate change is increasing variability in environmental conditions and the frequency and severity of natural hazards such as hurricanes, floods, and wildfires. In this paper, we use general systems theory to describe how disaster management systems are composed of four types of system regulators (aggregation, passive, error control, and anticipation) that are deployed to provide protection from natural hazards. We argue that climate change, by changing causal relationships in the environment and thereby reducing the predictability of related hazards and altering exposure to them, is likely t

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Une, Hiroshi, and Takayuki Nakano. "Recent innovation of geospatial information technology to support disaster risk management and responses." Proceedings of the ICA 1 (May 16, 2018): 1–4. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/ica-proc-1-117-2018.

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Geographic location is one of the most fundamental and indispensable information elements in the field of disaster response and prevention. For example, in the case of the Tohoku Earthquake in 2011, aerial photos taken immediately after the earthquake greatly improved information sharing among different government offices and facilitated rescue and recovery operations, and maps prepared after the disaster assisted in the rapid reconstruction of affected local communities. Thanks to the recent development of geospatial information technology, this information has become more essential for disas

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Kunreuther, Howard, and Louis Miller. "Insurance versus Disaster Relief: An Analysis of Interactive Modelling for Disaster Policy Planning." Public Administration Review 45 (January 1985): 147. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3135009.

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Alexander, David. "Information technology in real-time for monitoring and managing natural disasters." Progress in Physical Geography: Earth and Environment 15, no. 3 (1991): 238–60. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/030913339101500302.

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This paper considers the rôle of information technology in forecasting, monitoring and managing disasters in real-time (i.e., by analysis of data as soon as they are collected). First, the advantages and pitfalls of a technological approach to natural hazards are discussed, then the general nature of real-time technology is described. There follows a review of the appropriate techniques of monitoring the physical impacts of earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, tsunamis, floods and landslides. Next the rôle of information technology in disaster management is assessed, with emphasis on telecommunica

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Venkatesan, S., A. Rajabifard, N. T. K. Lam, E. F. Gad, H. M. Goldsworthy, and G. Griffin. "A Syncretic Approach Towards a Meta-Integrative Platform for Effective Disaster Management." International Journal of Geotechnical Earthquake Engineering 5, no. 1 (2014): 58–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/ijgee.2014010104.

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Disaster management is widely recognised as a complex task. Despite well-established techniques, each disaster continues to frustrate the government and the community. A number of issues and challenges have been reported in the literature following a disaster. These include: a lack of awareness, authoritative support and direction, preparation and planning; ineffective response, ineffective communications and miscommunications, inadequate recovery and policy vacuum besides many other factors. Developing effective disaster management strategies to combat the known issues should also consider em

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Geekiyanage, Devindi, Terrence Fernando, and Kaushal Keraminiyage. "Modelling Interrelationships of the Factors Impeding Community Engagement in Risk-Sensitive Urban Planning: Evidence from Sri Lanka." Sustainability 15, no. 20 (2023): 14662. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su152014662.

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During the last two decades, global disasters have impacted over 5.2 billion people, with economic losses exceeding USD 2.97 trillion. This underscores the critical need for inclusive risk-sensitive urban planning (RSUP) that integrates community insights. Community-based disaster risk reduction (CBDRR) has demonstrated a potential reduction of up to 40% in mortality rates during disasters and cost savings in disaster response and recovery. However, research has shown that only 20% felt they are involved in decisions related to neighborhood planning, despite communities’ lived experience in su

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Labib, Ashraf, M. Reza Abdi, Sara Hadleigh-Dunn, and Morteza Yazdani. "Evidence-based models to support humanitarian operations and crisis management." Decision Making: Applications in Management and Engineering 5, no. 1 (2022): 113–34. http://dx.doi.org/10.31181/dmame030222100y.

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Term humanitarian operation (HO) is a concept extracted from the need to perform supply chain operations in special, risky, and critical events. Understanding and implementing operations under such conditions is a strategic responsibility. Due to its importance, we design a framework for organizational learning from major incidents through root cause analysis. The case studies contain a purely industrial disaster at Bhopal and a mixed industrial-natural disaster at Fukushima. An approach is proposed for organizational safety by incorporating techniques related to root cause analysis applied to

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Buzna, Lubos, Karsten Peters, and Dirk Helbing. "Modelling the dynamics of disaster spreading in networks." Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 363, no. 1 (2006): 132–40. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2006.01.059.

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Mishra, Deepa, Sameer Kumar, and Elkafi Hassini. "Current trends in disaster management simulation modelling research." Annals of Operations Research 283, no. 1-2 (2018): 1387–411. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10479-018-2985-x.

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Jonsson, Marijane Luistro, and Markus Jonsson. "Cooperation in the face of disaster." PLOS ONE 20, no. 4 (2025): e0318891. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0318891.

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As calamities and health crises are expected to recur and become more frequent, we rely more on cooperation to prevent similar situations and to cope with their aftermaths. However, it is not clear if, how and why people cooperate in uncertain situations where losses can result from inadequate cooperation. Through theoretical modelling, experiments and simulations, we show the behavioural patterns driving cooperation in a stochastic environment. Specifically, by introducing stochastic shocks to a threshold public goods game where one can randomly incur losses when group contributions are below

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Setiadi, Ade, Sulaiman Sulaiman, and Fifit Alfiah. "Disaster Victim Service Application at the Social Services of Tangerang District." CCIT Journal 15, no. 2 (2022): 179–90. http://dx.doi.org/10.33050/ccit.v15i2.2119.

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The social service of Tangerang District is a government institution that caters to the social welfare problem and one of the services that will be discussed is the service of disaster victims in the district of Tangerang that have not been computerised so that the running system is less efficient. The process of service that is still having difficulty due to the collection of disaster victims is still far from the word accurate and to get the service should often visit the office so it takes a lot of wasted time. Since the system is running less efficiently, a Disaster Victim Service Applicat

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Koks, Elco E., Lorenzo Carrera, Olaf Jonkeren, et al. "Regional disaster impact analysis: comparing input–output and computable general equilibrium models." Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 16, no. 8 (2016): 1911–24. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-1911-2016.

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Abstract. A variety of models have been applied to assess the economic losses of disasters, of which the most common ones are input–output (IO) and computable general equilibrium (CGE) models. In addition, an increasing number of scholars have developed hybrid approaches: one that combines both or either of them in combination with noneconomic methods. While both IO and CGE models are widely used, they are mainly compared on theoretical grounds. Few studies have compared disaster impacts of different model types in a systematic way and for the same geographical area, using similar input data.

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Lu, Lin, Liguo Yang, and Xiaochun Luo. "Graph Evaluation and Review Technique for Emergency Logistics Distribution in Complex Environment." Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society 2021 (April 3, 2021): 1–10. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6698910.

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Emergency logistics is one of the important measures to solve the unconventional sudden disaster. The research on the distribution design of emergency logistics project has an important supporting role for the whole emergency rescue system. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze and plan the emergency logistics project scientifically in order to better serve the emergency rescue system. In view of the defect that the current emergency logistics model cannot completely describe the whole emergency logistics process, this paper proposes a new emergency logistics distribution model by using GERT r

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Huang, Chongfu. "Differences between Disaster Prediction and Risk Assessment in Natural Disasters." Human and Ecological Risk Assessment: An International Journal 17, no. 3 (2011): 542–53. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10807039.2011.571069.

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Syaputra, T. A., and A. D. Rarasati. "A conceptual framework for implementing lean construction and building information modeling (BIM) in post-disaster housing reconstruction projects." IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 1173, no. 1 (2023): 012065. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1173/1/012065.

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Abstract The occurrence of natural disasters in Indonesia every year results in massive damage to people’s homes. It requires a fast and appropriate post-disaster housing reconstruction (PDHR) strategy. The building firm or contractor is among the most significant contributors; in post-disaster conditions, the contractor has to work in a project environment that is much more complicated than conventional projects, and this often results in poor contractor performance. An approach to improve contractor performance is the application of Lean Construction. In line with this linking, the function

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Karso, A. Junaedi, Rudi Hardi, and Abdul Samad Baryalai. "Transforming Social Capital to Strengthen Local Government Resilience in Hazard-Prone Areas." Journal of Contemporary Governance and Public Policy 6, no. 1 (2025): 55–80. https://doi.org/10.46507/jcgpp.v6i1.677.

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This study examines the transformation of social capital in strengthening local government resilience to natural disaster risks in Gowa, Indonesia—an area highly vulnerable to multiple natural hazards. Employing a quantitative research design, the study utilises Structural Equation Modelling (SEM) via Partial Least Squares (PLS-SEM) to conduct regression analysis. Data were collected through a structured survey involving 150 respondents from 15 institutions, including government agencies, private sector actors, non-governmental organisations (NGOs), and disaster response volunteers. The survey

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Yuan, Jiayue. "The Role of Applied Mathematics in Typhoon Hazard Assessment: From Statistical Models to Risk Prediction." Theoretical and Natural Science 79, no. 1 (2025): 1–5. https://doi.org/10.54254/2753-8818/2025.20012.

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Typhoons, as tropical cyclones occurring in the western Pacific, are one of the most destructive natural disasters, often causing severe impacts on coastal areas. With the gradual increase in typhoon intensity, predicting typhoon paths and their strengths is crucial to mitigate their threat to human lives and economic infrastructure. In recent years, the importance of applied mathematics, especially statistical modelling, in typhoon hazard assessment has become increasingly prominent. This paper discusses the application of statistical models such as extreme value theory, time series analysis

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Michal Titko, Jan Havko, and Jana Studena. "Modelling Resilience of the Transport Critical Infrastructure Using Influence Diagrams." Communications - Scientific letters of the University of Zilina 22, no. 1 (2020): 102–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.26552/com.c.2020.1.102-118.

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The article discusses the possible impact of disasters on functionality of the transport critical infrastructure elements by overcoming their resilience. The aim of the article is to provide an appropriate approach to the resilience measurement through understanding of this close relationship. It was achieved by using combination of (1) a decisiontheoretical approach based on Influence Diagrams, which was used as a tool to model functionality disruption level of transportation network elements after disaster impact and (2) the time decomposition of the functionality disruption duration of thes

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