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Dissertations / Theses on the topic 'Diversionary theory of war'

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1

Hosseinzadeh, Namdar. "Immortal Stalemate: U.S.-Iranian Relations & the Diversionary Theory of War." Master's thesis, University of Central Florida, 2013. http://digital.library.ucf.edu/cdm/ref/collection/ETD/id/5645.

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Plagued by diverging security interests, the United States and Iran have been unable to formally reestablish diplomatic relations since the Islamic Revolution of 1979. Since 1989, the political environment in Iran underwent drastic changes with the passing of Ayatollah Khomeini. For the next sixteen years Iranian presidents attempted to normalize relations with the U.S. through various political, economic and social initiatives. It appeared as though the hostile relationship between the two countries was slowly becoming friendly. With the emergence of controversial populist president, Mahmoud
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Arnold, Nathaniel M. "Targeting the Minority: A New Theory of Diversionary Violence." Wright State University / OhioLINK, 2020. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=wright1590166439219292.

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Mattsson, Linus. "Unrest as Incentive for Cooperation? : The Diversionary Peace Theory, Turkish-Syrian Relations and the Kurdish Conflict." Thesis, Uppsala universitet, Statsvetenskapliga institutionen, 2017. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-313602.

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The aim of this paper is to investigate the link between internal and external conflict of states in the field of International Relations. More specifically, it is a critique of the Diversionary War theory, which argues that political leaders can instigate foreign conflict to divert the attention from domestic issues in order to secure their political positions. This paper will test an alternative approach to the Diversionary War theory called the Diversionary Peace theory, which inverts the logic of the original theory. It argues that leaders facing domestic strife have incentives to cooperat
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Sonoski, Patrick J. "Facilitating the diversionary theory of war, the President and the media in United States Foreign Policy." Thesis, National Library of Canada = Bibliothèque nationale du Canada, 1997. http://www.collectionscanada.ca/obj/s4/f2/dsk2/ftp01/MQ28665.pdf.

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Johansson, Martin. "Storbritanniens utrikespolitik under Falklandskriget 1982 : En kvalitativ fallstudie om de brittiska beslutsfattarnas motiv och eventuellt bakomliggande sådana." Thesis, Linnéuniversitetet, Institutionen för statsvetenskap (ST), 2018. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-75551.

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When Argentina invaded the Falkland Islands in 1982, it was the beginning of a two month long war. The aim of this essay is to find alternative explanations to the Falklands war with the main question being whether there were hidden motives for Thatcher and her reactions in 1982.   The essay will focus on the period 1965-1982 in which different texts will be analyzed by applying theories. The diversionary war theory describes how state leaders can improve their political popularity by intentionally escalating a conflict. The geopolitical theory explains how a state, by investments, constructio
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Tynan, Caroline Frances. "DIVERSIONARY DISCOURSE: A HISTORICAL COMPARISON OF SAUDI INTERVENTIONS IN YEMEN." Diss., Temple University Libraries, 2019. http://cdm16002.contentdm.oclc.org/cdm/ref/collection/p245801coll10/id/571179.

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Political Science<br>Ph.D.<br>This project seeks to explain the aggressive turn in Saudi Arabia’s foreign policy after 2011, most drastically exemplified through its 2015 military intervention into Yemen. It does so through a two-case historical comparison between the Saudi interventions in Yemen in 1962 and 2015. Additionally, it compares the nature of internal regime survival strategies within the kingdom during these two distinct time periods of regional revolutionary upheaval: the Nasserist period of the late 1950s to 1960s and the time during and after the Arab uprisings in 2011. It makes
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Oakes, Amy C. "States in crisis how governments respond to domestic unrest /." Columbus, Ohio : Ohio State University, 2006. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc%5Fnum=osu1141660456.

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Krastev, Roman. "Identity Claims and Leader Survival." Thesis, University of North Texas, 2019. https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc1538711/.

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The purpose of this dissertation is to show a yet undiscovered link between identity claims and the survival of political leaders. Diversionary theory posits that starting foreign conflicts during domestic hardship may increase the popular approval ratings of the leader and maintain him in power. I suggest that leaders may resort to initiating identity claims as a diversionary action to stay in power. Indeed, using survival analysis, this study finds a connection between the desire of leaders to protect their ethnic kin in neighboring countries and the leaders' own popularity and survival at h
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Kreutz, Joakim. "Dismantling the Conflict Trap : Essays on Civil War Resolution and Relapse." Doctoral thesis, Uppsala universitet, Institutionen för freds- och konfliktforskning, 2012. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-172231.

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Countries that have experienced civil war suffer a greater risk for new conflict than countries with no prior history of civil war. This empirical finding has been called a conflict trap where the legacy of previous war - unsolved issues, indecisive outcomes, and destruction – leads to renewed fighting. Yet, countries like Cambodia, El Salvador, Indonesia, and Mozambique have managed to overcome decade-long conflicts without relapse. This dissertation addresses this empirical puzzle by seeking to dismantle the conflict trap and look at microlevel explanations for civil war resolution and relap
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10

Starke, Steven Charles. "Kant's Just War Theory." Scholar Commons, 2016. http://scholarcommons.usf.edu/etd/6398.

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The main thesis of my dissertation is that Kant has a just war theory, and it is universal just war theory, not a traditional just war theory. This is supported by first establishing the history of secular just war theory, specifically through a consideration of the work of Hugo Grotius, Rights of War and Peace. I take his approach, from a natural law perspective, as indicative of the just war theory tradition. I also offer a brief critique of this tradition, suggesting some issues that are endemic to these kinds of theories. From this general understanding, the version of Kant’s just war theo
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Powell, Jonathan M. "Coups and Conflict: The Paradox of Coup-Proofing." UKnowledge, 2012. http://uknowledge.uky.edu/polysci_etds/3.

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This study develops a leader-centric theory of civil-military relations that expands upon three broad areas of research. Specifically, the study suggests that leaders will evaluate multiple threats to their political survival and will ultimately implement strategy that is most likely to keep them in power. While Downs (1957) has noted such a tendency in democracies, this study expands this rationale to authoritarian regimes by focusing on the primary means of authoritarian removal: the military coup. In contrast to the state-centric nature of traditional international relations theory, this di
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Underwood, III Maj Robert E. "The Moral Reality of War: Defensive Force and Just War Theory." Digital Archive @ GSU, 2009. http://digitalarchive.gsu.edu/philosophy_theses/53.

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The permissible use of defensive force is a central tenet of the traditional legal and philosophical justification for war and its practice. Just War Theory holds a nation’s right to resist aggressive attack with defensive force as the clearest example of a just cause for war. Just War Theory also stipulates norms for warfare derived from a conception of defensive force asserted to be consistent with the moral reality of war. Recently, these aspects of Just War Theory have been criticized. David Rodin has challenged the status of national defense as an uncontroversial just cause. Jeff McMahan
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Underwood, Robert E. "The moral reality of war defensive force and just war theory /." unrestricted, 2009. http://etd.gsu.edu/theses/available/etd-04212009-201600/.

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Thesis (M.A.)--Georgia State University, 2009.<br>Title from file title page. Andrew Altman, committee chair; Sebastian Rand, Andrew J. Cohen, committee members. Description based on contents viewed July 14, 2009. Includes bibliographical references (p. 85).
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Ramanathapillai, Rajmohan. "Nonviolence, ecology and war, extending Gandhian theory." Thesis, National Library of Canada = Bibliothèque nationale du Canada, 1998. http://www.collectionscanada.ca/obj/s4/f2/dsk1/tape11/PQDD_0004/NQ42760.pdf.

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Ramanathapillai, Rajmohan. "Nonviolence, ecology and war : extending Gandhian theory /." *McMaster only, 1997.

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16

Olson, Matthew D. "Is the just war theory a valid option for Christians?" Theological Research Exchange Network (TREN), 1992. http://www.tren.com.

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Flaherty, Christopher. "A theory of war as conflict without rules." Thesis, University of St Andrews, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/10023/9438.

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Theoretical understandings of war have been dominated by the thought of Clausewitz for a number of decades. His thought is valid in many respects, but for various reasons it is open to misinterpretation and misunderstanding; furthermore, a number of his observations (particularly on the prevalence of chance and uncertainty in war) are not fully explored and substantiated theoretically. This thesis is an attempt to present and elucidate a new theoretical understanding of war's nature which complements Clausewitz's theories and addresses these concerns: this is the understanding of war as a form
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Malmgren, Victor. "The Reconceptualized War : A critical analysis of the new war theory through a case study of the Yemen War." Thesis, Linköpings universitet, Institutionen för ekonomisk och industriell utveckling, 2021. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-177680.

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The much-debated new war theory suggest that a new type of organized violence has developed during the last decades of the twentieth century. These new wars occur during an era of globalization and differ from old wars concerning four factors: the goals, the actors, the finance, and the methods. One of these new wars is the war in Yemen (2015-), a country divided and war torn, suffering the world's largest humanitarian crisis. The study aims to critically analyse the application of the new war theory through a qualitative singular case study of Yemen. The analysis shows that an understanding c
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19

Fairbrother, Mark E. "The intersection of just war theory, Romans 13:4, the Arab-Israeli War of 1967, and pre-emptive war." Online full text .pdf document, available to Fuller patrons only, 2003. http://www.tren.com.

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Francioso, Monica. "Narrative theory and the theory of novelists in post-war Italy : 1956-2000." Thesis, Royal Holloway, University of London, 2005. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.425371.

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Prudnyk, Iuliia. "“Injection of war” : disentangling the Donbas war. A case study informed by Actor-Network Theory." Thesis, Försvarshögskolan, 2018. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:fhs:diva-8425.

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The following thesis presents an empirical investigation of hybrid war in eastern Ukraine, drawing on the insights from Actor- Network Theory and New Type Wars theory. Taking a different route in studying a complex phenomenon of hybrid war, this study focuses on the social-material networks which constitute the hybrid war. This thesis aims to identify the actors and analyse their interactions at different stages of war. Actor-Network Theory will be used in this research to ask the questions, what role do the non-human actors play in hybrid warfare in eastern Ukraine, and how do they affect the
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Malone, Naomi. "From Just War To Just Peace: Re-Visioning Just War Theory From A Feminist Perspective." [Tampa, Fla.] : University of South Florida, 2004. http://purl.fcla.edu/fcla/etd/SFE0000339.

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Larsson, Amanda. "Not Just War, But A Just War : Individual rights versus the collective good in just cause for war." Thesis, Uppsala universitet, Filosofiska institutionen, 2021. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-433324.

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El, Berr Luisa. "Regime Survival during the Arab Spring: : A Case study of how the Moroccan leader addressed the popular discontent during and after the Arab Spring in 2011." Thesis, Linnéuniversitetet, Institutionen för samhällsstudier (SS), 2017. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-67923.

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The Arab Spring, the protests that spread through the Arab world, led to very different outcomes in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. That some regimes survived during the Arab Spring and some experienced regime-change has been explained through political, economic and social perspectives. This desk-study investigates how the Moroccan government addressed popular discontent during and after the Arab spring in 2011. In order to examine the case study through a new theoretical angle, this research applies the Theory of Policy Substitutability by Amy Oakes (2012) to the chosen case
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Waldman, Thomas. "War, Clausewitz, and the Trinity." Thesis, University of Warwick, 2009. http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/2048/.

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Today, the ideas of Carl von Clausewitz are employed almost ubiquitously in strategic studies, military history, and defence literature, sometimes at length, at others only in passing. Certain of his central insights have suffered distorting representations in recent years. This study is an attempt to analyse Clausewitz’s central theoretical device for understanding war – the ‘remarkable trinity’ of politics, chance, and passion. It aims to present a more accurate conception and one which is truer to Clausewitz’s intentions. It seeks to achieve this through an in-depth analysis and reinterpret
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Markwell, D. J. "John Maynard Keynes and international relations : idealism, economic paths to war and peace, and post-war reconstruction." Thesis, University of Oxford, 1995. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.296061.

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Kirkpatrick, Erika Marie. "Photography, the State, and War: Mapping the Contemporary War Photography Landscape." Thesis, Université d'Ottawa / University of Ottawa, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/10393/35723.

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This dissertation explores the ways in which media, visuality, and politics intersect through an analysis of contemporary war photography. In so doing, it seeks to uncover how war photography as a social practice works to produce, perform and construct the State. Furthermore, it argues that this productive and performative power works to constrain the conditions of possibility for geopolitics. The central argument of this project is that contemporary war photography reifies a view of the international in which the liberal, democratic West is pitted against the barbaric Islamic world in a ‘civi
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Wilkie, Margaret. "Parents of War: A Grounded Theory Study of the Experience of Parenting Through the War Experience." Diss., NSUWorks, 2018. https://nsuworks.nova.edu/shss_dcar_etd/116.

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This study focuses on experiences of refugee parents who have experienced war and displacement. There is a lack of academic research in the area of parenting and war, and this study hopes to begin to fill that gap. Research that is based on personal experiences is the ultimate guide to forming policy and programs that meet real needs. This study employed Grounded Theory methodology and in-depth interviewing to explore the questions of how parents manage to meet their own needs, the needs of their children, and overall cope with the experiences of war and displacement. Through intense analysis
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Arnold, Anthony John. "The state, war and industry : the effects of the First World War on the profitability of British industry." Thesis, London School of Economics and Political Science (University of London), 1995. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.294288.

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Militarism and war have had important, but poorly-understood effects on economic development. The intention of this thesis is to add to our knowledge of these processes by analysing the effects of the First World War on the profitabiity of British industry. War is an act of state policy and the thesis considers the role of the state and its relationship with the economy and its major interest groups in general terms before examining the changes in this relationship that were brought about by the First World War. The state can act by means of compulsion or through institutionalised social negot
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Cobley, Roderick. "Theory and policy : the impact of international relations theory on the foreign policy of the United States during the Gulf Crisis of 1990." Thesis, University of Ulster, 2003. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.289705.

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Arnoni, Kiersten Lynn. "War Markets: The Neoliberal Theory and The United States Military." Ohio University Art and Sciences Honors Theses / OhioLINK, 2011. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=ouashonors1305558754.

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Chang, Cheng-Yun. "The Chinese tradition of righteous war and China’s decisions for war between 1950 and 1979." Diss., Kansas State University, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/2097/15549.

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Doctor of Philosophy<br>Department of Security Studies Program<br>David Graff<br>This dissertation engages the question of what role the Chinese Righteous War Tradition (CRWT) played in the process of Chinese decision-making regarding the decisions to go to war during the period from 1950 to 1979. It asks whether, in their decision-making, the Chinese leaders identified “just cause” through a frame of reference provided by the CRWT; it asks further under what circumstances the identified “just cause” may have exerted influence upon their decision for war. This dissertation presents the first e
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Liebenberg, Frederick Sybert. "A proposed theory of war economies and supporting policy framework for dismantling war economies in Sub-Saharan Africa." Thesis, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/10948/3235.

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Utilising the Grounded Theory Research Method, this study identified a range of open, axial and selective codes, through a literature review, which resulted in the formulation of a proposed theory of how war economies are formed and maintained. Based on the theoretical proposition of the proposed theory, a policy framework for dismantling such war economies was also developed and presented. The proposed theory of war economies essentially argues that war economies are formed in post-colonial sub-Saharan Africa because of the existence of an artificial state. The existence of an artificial stat
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Nagy, Michael Lewis. "The Democratic Peace Theory and Biopolitics." Thesis, Virginia Tech, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/10919/78249.

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The purpose of this thesis is to inquire into the hard decisions that democracies are making in the 21st century in the context of working to spreading democracy and maintaining peace through foreign policy. Ever since the American-led invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq after the 9/11 terror attacks, democratic peace theorists have been pushed further to the sidelines as their theory has been put to the test and struggled to stand up to the challenges of political realities in contemporary world politics. The idea that the diffusion of democracy would help build a Kantian world peace would seem
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Stitt, Orrin G. "The soldier's dilemma using decision theory to explain American War crimes /." Monterey, Calif. : Naval Postgraduate School, 2007. http://bosun.nps.edu/uhtbin/hyperion-image.exe/07Dec%5FStitt%5FMBA.pdf.

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"Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Business Administration from the Naval Postgraduate School, December 2007."<br>Advisor(s): Franck, Raymond ; Gates, Bill ; Coughlan, Pete. "December 2007." "MBA professional report"--Cover. Description based on title screen as viewed on January 10, 2008. Includes bibliographical references (p. 49-50). Also available in print.
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Patti, Dario Maimone Ansaldo. "War and football : three essays on conflict theory and its applications." Thesis, University of Essex, 2009. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.495786.

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Coe, Andrew. "Economic Origins of War and Peace." Thesis, Harvard University, 2012. http://dissertations.umi.com/gsas.harvard:10633.

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Why do wars happen, and what do societies fight over? Why are international relations sometimes fearful and aggressive and other times harmonious? I show that these questions can be fruitfully explored by importing some basic economic theory into the existing bargaining theory of war. A separate essay analyzes the interactions between the United States and countries that may be pursuing nuclear weapons. "Costly Peace: A New Rationalist Explanation for War" posits a new explanation for war: sometimes peace is more costly (in the sense of leaving both sides worse off in expectation) than war. Th
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Templin, Carl S. "Dismantling the War Machine: The Existential Foundations of Peace." University of Toledo / OhioLINK, 2010. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=toledo1289962133.

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Nasri, Carl-Christian. "Intervention? Yes, it’s Just War : Analyzing the possibilities of justifying a U.S. intervention according to the Just War Theory." Thesis, Uppsala universitet, Statsvetenskapliga institutionen, 2019. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-384704.

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This study will focus on examining the probabilities of justifying military interventions. In order to conduct this study, the U.S. will be the subject of interest. The paper will discuss and analyze the case of justifying an intervention by the U.S. in Syria. The analysis will be based on the Just War Theory by the medieval philosopher Thomas Aquinas. To be able to conduct this study, official statements by the US government will be used to understand their reasoning concerning the subject. Mainly, statements will from the current and former heads of state, the American presidents, be analyze
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Zhukov, Yuri Maximovich. "A Theory of Indiscriminate Violence." Thesis, Harvard University, 2014. http://dissertations.umi.com/gsas.harvard:11507.

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This dissertation addresses a simple puzzle: why do governments use indiscriminate violence against civilians? To deter a population from rebelling, a government should make rebellion costlier than the alternatives. Yet indiscriminate violence can make neutrality costlier than rebellion. With the help of mathematical modeling, archival data and micro-comparative evidence from dozens of armed conflicts, I show that indiscriminate violence makes civilians less likely to remain neutral, but not necessarily more likely to support the opponent. There is a threshold level of violence, beyond which i
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Adiseshiah, Sian Helen. "Theory, politics and cultural practice in the plays of Caryl Churchill." Thesis, Online version, 2003. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?did=1&uin=uk.bl.ethos.274420.

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Rossi, Catharine. "Crafting modern design in Italy : from post-War to postmodernism." Thesis, Royal College of Art, 2012. http://researchonline.rca.ac.uk/1162/.

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The years between 1945 and the early 1980s are the most celebrated in Italy’s design history. From the rhetoric of reconstruction to the postmodern provocations of the Memphis design collective, Italy’s architects played a vital role in shaping the country’s encounter with post-war modernity. Yet as often as this story has been told, it is incomplete. Craft was vital to the realisation of post-war Italian design, and an area of intense creativity in its own right, and yet has been marginalised and excluded in design historiography.
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Schwartz, Thomas Joseph. "A theory and model for the planning of land combat." Thesis, Monterey, California : Naval Postgraduate School, 1990. http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA238309.

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Thesis (M.S. in Operations Research)--Naval Postgraduate School, September 1990.<br>Thesis Advisor(s): Caldwell, William J. ; Johnson, Laura D. Second Reader: Whitaker, Lyn R. "September 1990." Description based on title screen as viewed on December 18, 2009. DTIC Descriptor(s): Test And Evaluation, Data Bases, Warfare, Land Warfare, Maximum Likelihood Estimation, Theory, Coherence, Planning, War Games, Battles, Corps Level Organizations. DTIC Identifier(s): Army Operations, War Games, Land Combat Operations, Theses, Army Planning, Data Bases, Mathematical Models. Author(s) subject terms: Land
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Hagemann, Michael Eric. "Shadows, faces and echoes of an African war: The Rhodesian bush war through the eyes of Chas Lotter – soldier poet." University of the Western Cape, 2016. http://hdl.handle.net/11394/5474.

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Philosophiae Doctor - PhD<br>Poetry that is rooted in that most extreme of human experiences, war, continues to grip the public imagination. When the poetry under scrutiny comes from the "losing side" in a colonial war of liberation, important moral and ethical questions arise. In this thesis, I examine the published and unpublished works of Chas Lotter, a soldier who fought in the Rhodesian Army during the Zimbabwean liberation war (1965- 1980). In investigating Lotter's artistic record of this war, I propose that a powerful, socially embedded Rhodesian national mythology was a catalyst for a
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Lazar, Seth. "War and associative duties." Thesis, University of Oxford, 2009. http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:476611b8-6b9a-4aaf-a756-e7bae3420d90.

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Combatants in war inflict untold devastation. They lay waste the environment, destroy cultural heritage, wound, maim, and kill. Most importantly, they kill. These deeds would be, in any other context, paradigmatically unjust. This thesis asks whether they can be justi-fied. There are two possible approaches: first, deny that killing in war is in fact unjust; sec-ond, argue that the injustice is overridden by weightier moral reasons. In Part I, I reject the view that principles of self-defence can render killing in war just. I argue that the most plausible theories of self-defence are hardest t
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Brewer, Joshua J. "Iraq, Reconsidered." Scholarship @ Claremont, 2012. http://scholarship.claremont.edu/pitzer_theses/27.

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This paper sets itself upon analyzing the Iraq War of 2003 through the lens of modern Just War Theory. We will begin with a curt summary of Iraq’s history, focusing particularly on its determinedly odious leader, Saddam Hussein. Thereon, we will be analyzing a pro-war security argument, the aim of which is to assess the threat of Hussein’s weaponry ambitions and what that threat meant to the world. Next, we will be going over the tenets of Just War Theory itself, tracing its history from Rome to the modern doorstep, and applying the security argument to its dictum. Afterwards, we move into the
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Son, Changwan. "Just war and nuclear weapons : just war theory and its application to the Korean nuclear weapons issue in Korean Christianity." Thesis, University of Edinburgh, 2009. http://hdl.handle.net/1842/4515.

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This thesis is primarily an application of the Christian tradition of Just War to the problems arising from the basing of US nuclear weapons in South Korea and the development of nuclear weapons by the regime in the North. The Christian theology of Just War has developed over the last two thousand years, adapting as first Christianity became the state religion of the Roman Empire, through the break down of any enforceable norms in Europe‘s 'Dark Ages‘, to the emergence of the concept of the modern nation state at the end of the Thirty Years Wars in 1648. Throughout these shifts, two issues hav
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Kauffman, Rudi D. "The Outcomes of Just War: An Empirical Study of the Outcomes Associated with Adherence to Just War Theory, 1960-2000." University of Cincinnati / OhioLINK, 2012. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=ucin1342105770.

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Fritz, Allison J. "An analysis of nature-human conflicts in light of just war theory." Laramie, Wyo. : University of Wyoming, 2007. http://proquest.umi.com/pqdweb?did=1313914291&sid=1&Fmt=2&clientId=18949&RQT=309&VName=PQD.

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Lovell, Neal T. "Theater level operations other than war modeling : applications of decision making theory." Thesis, Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 1994. http://hdl.handle.net/10945/28601.

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Abstract:
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited<br>This paper presents an automated model for generating courses of action in support of an Operations Other Than War (OOTW) simulation. The model simulates the decision making of a theater level staff in the OOTW humanitarian assistance mission environment. The model uses probabilistic forecasting models and Bayesian techniques to predict what the state of a region in the theater will be some time in the future. Decision tree structures and the forecasting module are used to solve the decision making problem using expected utility. The mo
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