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1
Stathas, Alexandros. "Numerical modeling of earthquake faults." Thesis, Ecole centrale de Nantes, 2021. http://www.theses.fr/2021ECDN0053.
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Lors d’un glissement sismique, l’énergie libérée par la décharge élastique des blocs de terre adjacente peut être séparée en trois parties principales : L’énergie qui est rayonnée à la surface de la terre (_ 5% du budget énergétique total), l’énergie de fracture pour la création de nouvelles surfaces de faille et enfin, l’énergie dissipée à l’intérieur d’une région de la faille, d’épaisseur finie, que l’on appelle le “fault gouge ". Cette région accumule la majorité du glissement sismique. Estimer correctement la largeur de fault gouge est d’une importance capitale pour calculer l’énergie dissipée pendant le séisme, le comportement frictionnel de la faille et les conditions de nucléation de la faille sous la forme d’un glissement sismique ou asismique.Dans cette thèse, approches différentes de régularisation ont été explorées pour l’estimation de la largeur de localisation de la zone de glissement principal de la faille pendant le glissement cosmique. Celles-ci comprennent l’application de la viscosité et des couplages multiphasiques dans le continuum classique de Cauchy, et l’introduction d’un continuum micromorphe de Cosserat du premier ordre. Tout d’abord, nous nous concentrons sur le rôle de la régularisation visqueuse dans le contexte des analyses dynamiques, en tant que méthode de régularisation de la localisation des déformations. Nous étudions le cas dynamique d’un continuum de Cauchy classique adoucissant à la déformation et durcissant à la vitesse de déformation. En appliquant l’analyse de stabilité de Lyapunov, nous montrons que l’introduction de la viscosité est incapable d’empêcher la localisation de la déformation sur un plan mathématique et la dépendance de du maillage des éléments finis.Nous effectuons des analyses non linéaires en utilisant le continuum de Cosserat dans le cas de grands déplacements par glissement sismique de fault gouge par rapport à sa largeur. Le continuum de Cosserat nous permet de rendre compte de l’énergie dissipée pendant un séisme et du rôle de la microstructure dans l’évolution de la friction de la faille. Nous nous concentrons sur l’influence de la vitesse de glissement sismique sur le mécanisme d’assidument frictionnel de la pressurisation thermique. Nous remarquons que l’influence des conditions aux limites dans la diffusion du fluide interstitiel à l’intérieur de fault gouge, conduit à une reprise du frottement après l’affaiblissement initial. De plus, un mode de localisation de déformation en mouvement est présent pendant le cisaillement de la couche, introduisant des oscillations dans la réponse du frottement. Ces oscillations augmentent le contenu spectral du séisme. L’introduction de la viscosité dans le mode ci-dessus, conduit à un comportement de "rate and state" sans l’introduction d’une variable interne. Nos conclusions sur le rôle de la pressurisation thermique pendant le cisaillement de fault gouge sont en accord qualitatif avec les nouveaux résultats expérimentaux disponibles. Enfin, sur la base des résultats numériques, nous étudions les hypothèses du modèle actuel de glissement sur un plan mathématique proposent à la littérature. Le rôle des conditions aux limites et du mode de localisation des déformations dans l’évolution du frottement de la faille pendant le glissement sismique. Le cas d’un domaine délimité et d’un mode de localisation de la déformation en mouvement est examiné dans le contexte d’un glissement sur un plan mathématique sous pressurisation thermique. Nos résultats étoffent le modèle original dans un contexte plus généralDuring coseismic slip, the energy released by the elastic unloading of the adjacent earth blocks can be separated in three main parts: The energy that is radiated to the earth’s surface (_ 5% of the whole energy budget), the fracture energy for the creation of new fault surfaces and finally, the energy dissipated inside a region of the fault, with finite thickness, which is called the fault gauge. This region accumulates the majority of the seismic slip. Estimating correctly the width of the fault gauge is of paramount importance in calculating the energy dissipated during the earthquake, the fault’s frictional response, and the conditions for nucleation of the fault in the form of seismic or aseismic slip.In this thesis different regularization approaches were explored for the estimation of the localization width of the fault’s principal slip zone during coseismic slip. These include the application of viscosity and multiphysical couplings in the classical Cauchy continuum, and the introduction of a first order micromorphic Cosserat continuum. First, we focus on the role of viscous regularization in the context of dynamical analyses, as a method for regularizing strain localization. We study the dynamic case for a strain softening strain-rate hardening classical Cauchy continuum, and by applying the Lyapunov stability analysis we show that introduction of viscosity is unable to prevent strain localization on a mathematical plane and mesh dependence.We perform fully non linear analyses using the Cosserat continuum under large seismic slip displacements of the fault gouge in comparison to its width. Cosserat continuum provides us with a proper account of the energy dissipated during an earthquake and the role of the microstructure in the evolution of the fault’s friction. We focus on the influence of the seismic slip velocity to the weakening mechanism of thermal pressurization. We notice that the influence of the boundary conditions in the diffusion of the pore fluid inside the fault gouge, leads to frictional strength regain after initial weakening. Furthermore, a traveling strain localization mode is present during shearing of the layer introducing oscillations in the frictional response. Such oscillations increase the spectral content of the earthquake. Introduction of viscosity in the above mode, leads to a rate and state behavior without the introduction of a specific internal state variable. Our conclusions about the role of thermal pressurization during shearing of the fault gouge, agree qualitatively with newly available experimental results.Finally, based on the numerical findings we investigate the assumptions of the current model of a slip on a mathematical plane, in particular the role of the boundary conditions and strain localization mode in the evolution of the fault’s friction during coseismic slip. The case of a bounded domain and a traveling strain localization mode are examined in the context of slip on a mathematical plane under thermal pressurization. Our results expand the original model in a more general context
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Hjörleifsdóttir, Vala Simons Mark Tromp Jeroen. "Earthquake source characterization using 3D numerical modeling /." Diss., Pasadena, Calif. : California Institute of Technology, 2007. http://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechETD:etd-03212007-170259.
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Song, Teh-Ru Alex Tromp Jeroen Helmberger Donald V. "Broadband modeling of earthquake source and mantle structures /." Diss., Pasadena, Calif. : California Institute of Technology, 2008. http://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechETD:etd-05192008-121937.
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Link, Steven B. "Predictive earthquake damage modeling for natural gas distribution infrastructure." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2018. https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/122832.
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Thesis: M.B.A., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, in conjunction with the Leaders for Global Operations Program at MIT, 2018Thesis: S.M., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Mechanical Engineering, in conjunction with the Leaders for Global Operations Program at MIT, 2018
Cataloged from PDF version of thesis.
Includes bibliographical references (pages 61-64).
The Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E) operates and maintains 48,000 miles of natural gas pipeline, serving over 4.3 million customer accounts. Along with water, electric power, and transportation services, these lifelines serve critical functions throughout multiple communities. Considering PG&E provides services in both densely populated and seismically active areas, the organization has invested extensively in modeling technology to help estimate resource needs and develop resiliency plans in the event of an earthquake. This thesis aimed to develop a damage prediction model to improve emergency response time and restoration efficiency. The machine-learning based model built upon currently used predictive algorithms, while adding features necessary to account for distribution branch lines and above-ground meter sets. Research and analysis showed factors beyond ground-motion prediction equations could be used to estimate pipeline damage and were consequently included.
Furthermore, the model incorporated real-time data acquired throughout repair and restoration efforts in order to improve the predictive performance. Historical incidents were examined in the data aggregation phase in order to develop the training set. For this paper, damage was defined as the number of leaks predicted in a given plat, as defined by PG&E's mapping services. Leaks were categorized in three separate bins, ranging from 0 leaks, 1 to 5 leaks, and 6 or greater leaks. Multiple classification algorithms were chosen and evaluated against a custom scoring metric designed to discriminate and penalize false negatives. The best results were achieved using a series of five logistic regression algorithms, executed at 2, 4, 8, 12 and 24 hours following event occurrence. Results were designed to accompany currently used seismic hazard reports in a ranked table, displaying areas with the highest to lowest probability of experiencing damage.
An additional web application was designed to query specific plats for prediction results.
by Steven B. Link.
M.B.A.
S.M.
M.B.A. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management
S.M. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Mechanical Engineering
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Lee, Wayne Y. "Numerical modeling of blast-induced liquefaction /." Diss., CLICK HERE for online access, 2006. http://contentdm.lib.byu.edu/ETD/image/etd1431.pdf.
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Lu, Jinchi. "Parallel finite element modeling of earthquake ground response and liquefaction." Connect to a 24 p. preview or request complete full text in PDF format. Access restricted to UC campuses, 2006. http://wwwlib.umi.com/cr/ucsd/fullcit?p3203984.
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Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of California, San Diego, 2006.Title from first page of PDF file (viewed April 3, 2006). Available via ProQuest Digital Dissertations. Vita. Includes bibliographical references (p. 344-359).
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Zhou, Jian Mei. "Effect of nonlinear soil modeling on ground response at Macau." Thesis, University of Macau, 2010. http://umaclib3.umac.mo/record=b2182936.
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Li, Wei. "Nonlinear effects in ground motion simulations: modeling variability, parametric uncertainty and implications in structural performance predictions." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/34658.
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While site effects are accounted for in most modern U.S. seismic design codes for building structures, there exist no standardized procedures for the computationally efficient integration of nonlinear ground response analyses in broadband ground motion simulations. In turn, the lack of a unified methodology affects the prediction accuracy of site-specific ground motion intensity measures, the evaluation of site amplification factors when broadband simulations are used for the development of hybrid attenuation relations and the estimation of inelastic structural performance when strong motion records are used as input in aseismic structural design procedures.
In this study, a set of criteria is established, which quantifies how strong nonlinear effects are anticipated to manifest at a site by investigating the empirical relation between nonlinear soil response, soil properties, and ground motion characteristics. More specifically, the modeling variability and parametric uncertainty of nonlinear soil response predictions are studied, along with the uncertainty propagation of site response analyses to the estimation of inelastic structural performance. Due to the scarcity of design level ground motion recording, the geotechnical information at 24 downhole arrays is used and the profiles are subjected to broadband ground motion synthetics.
For the modeling variability study, the site response models are validated against available downhole array observations. The site and ground motion parameters that govern the intensity of nonlinear effects are next identified, and an empirical relationship is established, which may be used to estimate to a first approximation the error introduced in ground motion predictions if nonlinear effects are not accounted for.
The soil parameter uncertainty in site response predictions is next evaluated as a function of the same measures of soil properties and ground motion characteristics. It is shown that the effects of nonlinear soil property uncertainties on the ground-motion variability strongly depend on the seismic motion intensity, and this dependency is more pronounced for soft soil profiles. By contrast, the effects of velocity profile uncertainties are less intensity dependent and more sensitive to the velocity impedance in the near surface that governs the maximum site amplification.
Finally, a series of bilinear single degree of freedom oscillators are subjected to the synthetic ground motions computed using the alternative soil models, and evaluate the consequent variability in structural response. Results show high bias and uncertainty of the inelastic structural displacement ratio predicted using the linear site response model for periods close to the fundamental period of the soil profile. The amount of bias and the period range where the structural performance uncertainty manifests are shown to be a function of both input motion and site parameters.
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Li, Shaoyang [Verfasser]. "Geomechanical modeling of earthquake cycles in Chilean subduction zone / Shaoyang Li." Berlin : Freie Universität Berlin, 2016. http://d-nb.info/1107011671/34.
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Corradini, Marina. "Reconstruction of the earthquake rupture process through coherent teleseismic imaging and statistical modeling." Thesis, Université de Paris (2019-....), 2019. https://theses.md.univ-paris-diderot.fr/CORRADINI_Marina_va1.pdf.
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De nombreuses études ont tenté d’éclairer la complexité de la rupture sismique de grands séismes en utilisant des techniques d’imagerie cohérente telles que la back- projection (BP). Dans une étude récente, Fukahata et al. (2013) ont suggéré que, d’un point de vue théorique, l’image BP de la rupture sismique est liée au glissement ou à la vitesse de glissement sur la faille. Cependant, la relation quantitative entre les images BP et les propriétés physiques du processus de rupture reste encore peu connue. Cette thèse vise à clarifier comment les images BP du champ d’ondes rayonné peuvent être utilisées pour déduire les hétérogénéités spatiales en glissement et en vitesse de rupture le long de la faille. Nous réalisons des simulations de différents processus de rupture à l’aide d’un modèle de source linéaire. Pour chaque modèle de rupture, nous calculons les sismogrammes synthétiques à trois réseaux télésismiques et nous appliquons la technique de BP afin d’identifier les sources de rayonnement haute fréquence (HF). Cette procédure permet de comparer les images BP avec le modèle de rupture originaire et d’interpréter les émissions HF en fonction des trois paramètres cinématiques: le temps de montée, la valeur du glissement final, la vitesse de rupture. Nos résultats montrent que les pics HF extraits avec l’analyse BP sont le plus étroitement associés aux hétérogénéités spatio-temporelles de l’accélération du glissement. Nous vérifions nos observations sur deux grands séismes survenus dans la faille de Swan Islands à neuf ans d’intervalle: le séisme du 2009 (Mw 7.3) et celui du 2018 (Mw 7.5) au nord du Honduras. Les deux événements montrent une géométrie linéaire, ce qui les rend comparables à notre approche synthétique. Malgré la géométrie simple, les deux séismes sont caractérisés par un taux de glissement complexe, avec plusieurs sous-événements. Nos résultats préliminaires montrent que l’image BP des émissions HF permet d’estimer une longueur et une vitesse de rupture compatibles avec d’autres études et qu’un fort rayonnement HF pourrait correspondre aux zones de forte variabilité du taux de glissement. En conclusion, nous utilisons une méthode de réseau de neurones afin de prédire les paramètres cinématiques d’une rupture sismique à partir de son image BP. Le réseau s’appuie sur un grand nombre de processus de rupture synthétiques et leurs images BP, dans le but d’identifier le lien statistique entre le rayonnement HF et les paramètres cinématiques. Nos résultats montrent que le réseau de neurones appliqué à l’image BP du séisme est capable de prédire les valeurs du temps de montée et de la vitesse de rupture le long de la faille, ainsi que la position moyenne de l’hétérogénéité. Par contre, le réseau de neurones n’arrive pas à récupérer les valeurs du glissement final, auquel l’approche BP est relativement insensible. Notre étude permet de mieux comprendre l’écart qui existe actuellement entre la description théorique de la génération de rayonnements HF et les observations d’émissions HF obtenues par des techniques d’imagerie cohérentes, en s’appuyant aux pistes d’action possibles et en suggérant de nouvelles perspectivesMany studies have attempted to illuminate rupture complexities of large earthquakes through the use of coherent imaging techniques such as back-projection (BP). Recently, Fukahata et al. (2013) suggested that, from a theoretical point of view, the BP image of the rupture is related to the slip motion on the fault. However, the quantitative relationship between the BP images and the physical properties of the earthquake rupture process still remains unclear.Our work aims at clarifying how BP images of the radiated wavefield can be used to infer spatial heterogeneities in slip and rupture velocity along the fault. We simulate different rupture processes using a line source model. For each rupture model, we calculate synthetic seismograms at three teleseismic arrays and we apply the BP technique to identify the sources of high-frequency (HF) radiation. This procedure allows for the comparison of the BP images with the originating rupture model, and thus the interpretation of HF emissions in terms of along-fault variation of the three kinematic parameters: rise time, final slip, rupture velocity. Our results show that the HF peaks retrieved from BP analysis are most closely associated with space-time heterogeneities of slip acceleration. We verify our findings on two major earthquakes that occurred 9 years apart on the strike-slip Swan Islands fault: the Mw 7.3 2009 and the Mw 7.5 2018 North of Hondurasearthquakes. Both events followed a simple linear geometry, making them suitable for comparison with our synthetic approach. Despite the simple geometry, both slip-rate functions are complex, with several subevents. Our preliminary results show that the BP image of HF emissions allows to estimate a rupture length and velocity which are compatible with other studies and that strong HF radiation corresponds to the areas of large variability of the moment-rate function. An outstanding question is whether one can use the BP image of the earthquake to retrieve the kinematic parameters along the fault. We build on the findings obtained in the synthetic examples by training a neural network model to directly predict the kinematic parameters along the fault, given an input BP image. We train the network on a large number of different synthetic rupture processes and their BP images, with the goal of identifying the statistical link between HF radiation and rupture kinematic parameters. Our results show that the neural network applied to the BP image of the earthquake is able to predict the values of rise time and rupture velocity along the fault, as well as thecentral position of the heterogeneity, but not the absolute slip values, to which the HF BP approach is relatively insensitive. Our work sheds some light on the gap currently existing between the theoretical description of the generation of HF radiation and the observations of HF emissions obtained by coherent imaging techniques, tackling possible courses of action and suggesting new perspectives
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Foliente, Greg C. "Hysteresis modeling of wood joints and structural systems." Thesis, This resource online, 1993. http://scholar.lib.vt.edu/theses/available/etd-09292009-020259/.
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Lee, Jimin. "Earthquake site effect modeling in sedimentary basins using a 3-D indirect boundary element-fast multipole method." Diss., Online access via UMI:, 2007.
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Cáceres, Calix Diego José. "Earthquake Sources and Hazard in northern Central America." Doctoral thesis, Uppsala University, Department of Earth Sciences, 2003. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-3389.
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Northern Central America is a tectonically complex zone defined by its borders with Cocos and North America plates. The Middle America subduction zone and the strike-slip motion along the North America-Caribbean plate boundary, in that order, control most of its deformation. The interaction between the different elements of the studied area is evident from the high seismicity in the region, especially along plate boundaries. Also in the interior of the region, seismicity shows that deformation takes place, though in lesser degree. In a time window of 30 years, three earthquakes with moment magnitude larger than 7 struck northern Central America evincing the need to estimate the seismic hazard for the zone. To tackle the problem, we compiled a catalogue of hypocenters commencing in 1964, defined seismogenic sources and described the evolution of earthquake activity through a Poisson model. Probabilistic seismic hazard (PSH) calculations for the next 50 years were performed. The highest estimate of seismic hazard was obtained for the zone adjacent to the subduction zone. Because of the fundamental importance of demarcating seismogenic sources in the PSH analysis, i.e. defining the seismotectonic model, we extended the catalogue to cover 102 years for the whole northern Central America. We have studied the North America-Caribbean plate boundary in order to refine the fault representation. Different techniques were used, like that of body-waveform modeling, allowing us to limit the extent of depth of faulting to 20 km. The seismic moment tensor was used to estimate the deformation velocities on known tectonic structures, including those of the Honduras depression and borderland faults. Finally, we made use of the Coulomb stress criterion to determine the relation between earthquake occurrence and static stress changes following major earthquakes.
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Shin, HyungSuk. "Numerical modeling of a bridge system & its application for performance-based earthquake engineering /." Thesis, Connect to this title online; UW restricted, 2007. http://hdl.handle.net/1773/10146.
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Manjunath, Deepak Gomez Francisco Gustavo. "Earthquake interaction along the Sultandagi-Aksehir fault based on InSar and coulomb stress modeling." Diss., Columbia, Mo. : University of Missouri-Columbia, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/10355/5788.
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Thesis (M.S.)--University of Missouri-Columbia, 2008.The entire dissertation/thesis text is included in the research.pdf file; the official abstract appears in the short.pdf file (which also appears in the research.pdf); a non-technical general description, or public abstract, appears in the public.pdf file. Title from title screen of research.pdf file (viewed on July 8, 2009) Includes bibliographical references.
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Muthukumar, Subrahmanyam. "The application of advanced inventory techniques in urban inventory data development to earthquake risk modeling and mitigation in mid-America." Diss., Atlanta, Ga. : Georgia Institute of Technology, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/26662.
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Thesis (Ph.D)--City Planning, Georgia Institute of Technology, 2009.Committee Chair: French, Steven P.; Committee Member: Drummond, William; Committee Member: Goodno, Barry; Committee Member: McCarthy, Patrick; Committee Member: Yang, Jiawen. Part of the SMARTech Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Collection.
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Olsen, Peter A. "Shear Modulus Degradation of Liquefying Sand: Quantification and Modeling." BYU ScholarsArchive, 2007. https://scholarsarchive.byu.edu/etd/1214.
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A major concern for geotechnical engineers is the ability to predict how a soil will react to large ground motions produced by earthquakes. Of all the different types of soil, liquefiable soils present some of the greatest challenges. The ability to quantify the degradation of a soil's shear modulus as it undergoes liquefaction would help engineers design more reliably and economically. This thesis uses ground motions recorded by an array of downhole accelerometers on Port Island, Japan, during the 1995 Kobe Earthquake, to quantify the shear modulus of sand as it liquefies. It has been shown that the shear modulus of sand decreases significantly as it liquefies, apparently decreasing in proportion to the increasing excess pore water pressure ratio (Ru). When completely liquefied, the shear modulus of sand (Ru = 1.0) for a relative density of 40 to 50% is approximately 15% of the high-strain modulus of the sand in its non-liquefied state, or 1% of its initial low-strain value. Presented in this thesis is an approach to modeling the shear modulus degradation of sand as it liquefies. This approach, called the "degrading shear modulus backbone curve method" reasonably predicts the hysteretic shear stress behavior of the liquefied sand. The shear stresses and ground accelerations computed using this method reasonably matches those recorded at the Port Island Downhole Array (PIDA) site. The degrading shear modulus backbone method is recommended as a possible method for conducting ground response analyses at sites with potentially liquefiable soils.
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Balendra, Surendran. "Numerical modeling of dynamic soil-pile-structure interaction." Online access for everyone, 2005. http://www.dissertations.wsu.edu/Thesis/Fall2005/s%5Fbalendra%5F120705.pdf.
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Saribekir, Gozde. "The Turkish Catastrophe Insurance Pool Claims Modeling 2000-2008 Data." Master's thesis, METU, 2013. http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12615755/index.pdf.
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After the 1999 Marmara Earthquake, social, economic and engineering studies on earthquakes became more intensive. The Turkish Catastrophe Insurance Pool (TCIP) was established after the Marmara Earthquake to share the deficit in the budget of the Government. The TCIP has become a data source for researchers, consisting of variables such as number of claims, claim amount and magnitude. In this thesis, the TCIP earthquake claims, collected between 2000 and 2008, are studied. The number of claims and claim payments (aggregate claim amount) are modeled by using Generalized Linear Models (GLM). Observed sudden jumps in claim data are represented by using the exponential kernel function. Model parameters are estimated by using the Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE). The results can be used as recommendation in the computation of expected value of the aggregate claim amounts and the premiums of the TCIP.
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Velde, Jana [Verfasser], and Dieter [Akademischer Betreuer] Dinkler. "3D Nonlocal Damage Modeling for Steel Structures under Earthquake Loading / Jana Velde ; Betreuer: D. Dinkler." Braunschweig : Technische Universität Braunschweig, 2010. http://d-nb.info/1175827347/34.
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Pezzo, Giuseppe <1983>. "InSAR deformation measurements of the earthquake cycle in transcurrent tectonic domains, analytical and analog modeling." Doctoral thesis, Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, 2012. http://amsdottorato.unibo.it/4266/.
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I applied the SBAS-DInSAR method to the Mattinata Fault (MF) (Southern Italy) and to the Doruneh Fault System (DFS) (Central Iran). In the first case, I observed limited internal deformation and determined the right lateral kinematic pattern with a compressional pattern in the northern sector of the fault. Using the Okada model I inverted the observed velocities defining a right lateral strike slip solution for the MF. Even if it fits the data within the uncertainties, the modeled slip rate of 13-15 mm yr-1 seems too high with respect to the geological record. Concerning the Western termination of DFS, SAR data confirms the main left lateral transcurrent kinematics of this fault segment, but reveal a compressional component. My analytical model fits successfully the observed data and quantifies the slip in ~4 mm yr-1 and ~2.5 mm yr-1 of pure horizontal and vertical displacement respectively. The horizontal velocity is compatible with geological record.
I applied classic SAR interferometry to the October–December 2008 Balochistan (Central Pakistan) seismic swarm; I discerned the different contributions of the three Mw > 5.7 earthquakes determining fault positions, lengths, widths, depths and slip distributions, constraining the other source parameters using different Global CMT solutions. A well constrained solution has been obtained for the 09/12/2008 aftershock, whereas I tested two possible fault solutions for the 28-29/10/08 mainshocks. It is not possible to favor one of the solutions without independent constraints derived from geological data.
Finally I approached the study of the earthquake-cycle in transcurrent tectonic domains using analog modeling, with alimentary gelatins like crust analog material. I successfully joined the study of finite deformation with the earthquake cycle study and sudden dislocation. A lot of seismic cycles were reproduced in which a characteristic earthquake is recognizable in terms of displacement, coseismic velocity and recurrence time.
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Taroni, Matteo <1984>. "Earthquake forecasting and seismic hazard analysis: some insights on the testing phase and the modeling." Doctoral thesis, Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, 2014. http://amsdottorato.unibo.it/6422/.
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This thesis is divided in three chapters. In the first chapter we analyse the results of the world forecasting experiment run by the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). We take the opportunity of this experiment to contribute to the definition of a more robust and reliable statistical procedure to evaluate earthquake forecasting models. We first present the models and the target earthquakes to be forecast. Then we explain the consistency and comparison tests that are used in CSEP experiments to evaluate the performance of the models. Introducing a methodology to create ensemble forecasting models, we show that models, when properly combined, are almost always better performing that any single model.
In the second chapter we discuss in depth one of the basic features of PSHA: the declustering of the seismicity rates. We first introduce the Cornell-McGuire method for PSHA and we present the different motivations that stand behind the need of declustering seismic catalogs. Using a theorem of the modern probability (Le Cam's theorem) we show that the declustering is not necessary to obtain a Poissonian behaviour of the exceedances that is usually considered fundamental to transform exceedance rates in exceedance probabilities in the PSHA framework. We present a method to correct PSHA for declustering, building a more realistic PSHA.
In the last chapter we explore the methods that are commonly used to take into account the epistemic uncertainty in PSHA. The most widely used method is the logic tree that stands at the basis of the most advanced seismic hazard maps. We illustrate the probabilistic structure of the logic tree, and then we show that this structure is not adequate to describe the epistemic uncertainty. We then propose a new probabilistic framework based on the ensemble modelling that properly accounts for epistemic uncertainties in PSHA.
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Yu, Jiefan. "SEISMICITY ANALYSIS THROUGH MULTITYPE STRAUSS PROCESS MODELING: A CASE STUDY OF THE 1975 MAGNITUDE 6.1 EARTHQUAKE AND ITS AFTERSHOCKS, YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK." Bowling Green State University / OhioLINK, 2012. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=bgsu1334338723.
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Schmidt, Jonathan Paul. "A Predictive Modeling Approach for Assessing Seismic Soil Liquefaction Potential Using CPT Data." DigitalCommons@CalPoly, 2019. https://digitalcommons.calpoly.edu/theses/2055.
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Soil liquefaction, or loss of strength due to excess pore water pressures generated during dynamic loading, is a main cause of damage during earthquakes. When a soil liquefies (referred to as triggering), it may lose its ability to support overlying structures, deform vertically or laterally, or cause buoyant uplift of buried utilities. Empirical liquefaction models, used to predict liquefaction potential based upon in-situ soil index property measurements and anticipated level of seismic loading, are the standard of practice for assessing liquefaction triggering. However, many current models do not incorporate predictor variable uncertainty or do so in a limited fashion. Additionally, past model creation and validation lacks the same rigor found in predictive modeling in other fields.
This study examines the details of creating and validating an empirical liquefaction model, using the existing worldwide cone penetration test liquefaction database. Our study implements a logistic regression within a Bayesian measurement error framework to incorporate uncertainty in predictor variables and allow for a probabilistic interpretation of model parameters. Our model is built using a hierarchal approach account for intra-event correlation in loading variables and differences in event sample sizes that mirrors the random/mixed effects models used in ground motion prediction equation development. The model is tested using an independent set of case histories from recent New Zealand earthquakes, and performance metrics are reported.
We found that a Bayesian measurement error model considering two predictor variables, qc,1 and CSR, decreases model uncertainty while maintaining predictive utility for new data. Two forms of model uncertainty were considered – the spread of probabilities predicted by mean values of regression coefficients (apparent uncertainty) and the standard deviations of the predictive distributions from fully probabilistic inference. Additionally, we found models considering friction ratio as a predictor variable performed worse than the two variable case and will require more data or informative priors to be adequately estimated.
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Fisher, Tsz Man. "The 1852 Banda Arc Mega-thrust Earthquake and Tsunami in Indonesia." BYU ScholarsArchive, 2014. https://scholarsarchive.byu.edu/etd/5674.
Full textAbstract:
In 1852, a five-minute long earthquake hit the Banda Arc region that was felt over most of Indonesia. It caused uplift of new islands and sent a tsunami across the Banda Sea that reached a height of 8 meters at Banda Neira and was also registered at Ambon, Saparua and other islands. Records of the 1852 earthquake at multiple locations provide the constraints needed to reconstruct the disastrous event through earthquake intensity analysis and numerical modeling of the tsunami. Using tsunami heights and arrival times as the major constraints, best fit numerical models of the tsunami were constructed using Clawpack. These models indicate that the earthquake was most likely a mega-thrust event along the Tanimbar Trough with a Mw of around 8.4. At least 10-15 meters of elastic strain energy has accumulated along the Tanimbar Through since the 1852 event, and the population in the region has increased exponentially. When another event occurs ≥ that in 1852, there will be many more people and treasure in harms way.
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Nespoli, Massimo <1988>. "Modeling earthquake-fluid interaction: shallow effects on groundwater circulation and induced seismicity in deep geothermal exploitation." Doctoral thesis, Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, 2016. http://amsdottorato.unibo.it/7530/.
Full textAbstract:
The interaction between earthquakes and crustal fluids is a very complex topic due to several mechanisms that are involved and which influence each other.
Some phenomena, like the alterations of springs discharge rates and fluid flow, liquefaction and changing of the water levels in phreatic wells are largely documented in the literature, but their explanation is not yet fully clear. Furthermore, these phenomena can greatly change with the rock type, the earthquake magnitude and the observation distance from the fault. Within a distance of a few fault lengths from the epicenter, an earthquake can alter both
the regional stress field and the hydraulic properties of the rocks, influencing the underground fluid distribution. In this thesis, I apply the numerical simulator TOUGH2 to represent the changes in water level of some wells after
the ML 5.9 earthquake that took place in Italy in 2012. The model shows that the wells response to the seismic event can be represented imposing a static stress change and highlights the role of the soil stratigraphy. This zone is also well known for localized methane seepages associated with anomalous soil temperatures. I simulate the process and draw some conclusions on the nature of this phenomenon and on the possible interactions with the local seismicity. Finally, I study the earthquake-fluid interaction from the opposite point of view: looking at how fluids can promote seismicity. I present the results obtained by coupling the TOUGH2 geothermal simulator with a stochastic seed model of seismicity. The coupled simulation could capture the main characteristics of the seismicity induced by the fluid injection in a seismically active area.L'interazione tra terremoti e fluidi crostali è un argomento molto complesso per via dei numerosi meccanismi che sono coinvolti e che si influenzano a vicenda. Alcuni fenomeni, come l'alterazione delle sorgenti e del flusso di fluidi, la liquefazione e il cambiamento del livello d'acqua nei pozzi freatici, sono largamente documentati in letteratura, tuttavia la loro spiegazione non è ancora del tutto chiara. Oltretutto, questi fenomeni possono cambiare sensibilmente in base al tipo di roccia, alla magnitudo del terremoto e alla distanza dalla faglia. Entro una distanza di poche lunghezze di faglia dall'epicentro, un terremoto può modificare sia il campo di sforzo regionale che le proprietà idrauliche della roccia, influenzando la distribuzione dei fluidi nel sottosuolo. In questa tesi utilizzo il simulatore numerico TOUGH2 per rappresentare la variazione del livello d'acqua di alcuni pozzi successivamente al terremoto di magnitudo ML5.9 che avvenne in Italia nel 2012. Il modello mostra che la risposta dei pozzi al terremoto può essere rappresentata imponendo una variazione di stress statico ed evidenzia l'importanza della stratigrafia del sottosuolo. Questa zona è ben nota anche per emissioni di metano localizzate, associate a riscaldamenti anomali del sottosuolo. In questa tesi presento delle simulazioni per rappresentare questo processo e traggo alcune conclusioni circa la natura di questo fenomeno e sulle sue possibili interazioni con la sismicità locale. In ultimo, studio la relazione tra fluidi e terremoto dal punto di vista opposto: come I fluidi possono facilitare la sismicità. Presento i risultati ottenuti accoppiando il simulatore geotermico TOUGH2 con un modello sismico, stocastico, a “seed”. La simulazione accoppiata è in grado di catturare le caratteristiche principali della sismicità indotta dall'iniezione di fluidi in un'area sismicamente attiva.
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Fasola, Shannon Lee. "Investigating Earthquake Swarms for Clues of the Driving Mechanisms." Miami University / OhioLINK, 2020. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=miami160518998894246.
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Rodriguez, Osmar. "BRIDGE DESIGN FOR EARTHQUAKE FAULT CROSSINGS - SYNTHESIS OF DESIGN ISSUES AND STRATEGIES." DigitalCommons@CalPoly, 2012. https://digitalcommons.calpoly.edu/theses/701.
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This research evaluates the seismic demands for a three-span curved bridge crossing fault-rupture zones. Two approximate procedures which have been proved adequate for ordinary straight bridges crossing fault-rupture zones, i.e., the fault-rupture response spectrum analysis (FR-RSA) procedure and the fault-rupture linear static analysis (FR-LSA) procedure, were considered in this investigation. These two procedures estimate the seismic demands by superposing the peak values of quasi-static and dynamic bridge responses. The peak quasi-static response in both methods is computed by nonlinear static analysis of the bridge under the ground displacement offset associated with fault-rupture. In FR-RSA and FR-LSA, the peak dynamic responses are respectively estimated from combination of the peak modal responses using the complete-quadratic-combination rule and the linear static analysis of the bridge under appropriate equivalent seismic forces. The results from the two approximate procedures were compared to those obtained from the nonlinear response history analysis (RHA) which is more rigorous but may be too onerous for seismic demand evaluation. It is shown that the FR-RSA and FR-LSA procedures which require less modeling and analysis efforts provide reasonable seismic demand estimates for practical applications.
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Gil, Edward Matthew. "Computational Modeling of Glass Curtain Wall Systems to Support Fragility Curve Development." Thesis, Virginia Tech, 2019. http://hdl.handle.net/10919/94051.
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With the increased push towards performance-based engineering (PBE) design, there is a need to understand and design more resilient building envelopes when subjected to natural hazards. Since architectural glass curtain walls (CW) have become a popular façade type, it is important to understand how these CW systems behave under extreme loading, including the relationship between damage states and loading conditions. This study subjects 3D computational models of glass CW systems to in- and out-of-plane loading simulations, which can represent the effects of earthquake or hurricane events. The analytical results obtained were used to support fragility curve development which could aid in multi-hazard PBE design of CWs.
A 3D finite element (FE) model of a single panel CW unit was generated including explicit modeling of the CW components and component interactions such as aluminum-to-rubber constraints, rubber-to-glass and glass-to-frame contact interactions, and semi-rigid transom-mullion connections. In lieu of modeling the screws, an equivalent clamping load was applied with magnitude based on small-scale experimental test results corresponding to the required screw torque. This FE modeling approach was validated against both an in-plane racking displacement test and out-of-plane wind pressure test from the literature to show the model could capture in-plane and out-of-plane behavior effectively.
Different configurations of a one story, multi-panel CW model were generated and subjected to in- and out-of-plane simulations to understand CW behavior at a scale that is hard to test experimentally. The structural damage states the FE model could analyze included: 1) initial glass-to-frame contact; 2) glass/frame breach; 3) initial glass cracking; 4) steel anchor yielding; and 5) aluminum mullion yielding. These were linked to other non-structural damage states related to the CW's moisture, air, and thermal performance. Analytical results were converted into demand parameters corresponding to damage states using an established derivation method within the FEMA P-58 seismic fragility guidelines. Fragility curves were then generated and compared to the single panel fragility curves derived experimentally within the FEMA P-58 study. The fragility curves within the seismic guidelines were determined to be more conservative since they are based on single panel CWs. These fragility curves do not consider: the effects of multiple glass panels with varying aspect ratios; the possible component interactions/responses that may affect the extent of damages; and the continuity of the CW framing members across multiple panels.
Finally, a fragility dispersion study was completed to observe the effects of implementing the Derivation method or the Actual Demand Data method prescribed by FEMA P-58, which differ on how they account for different levels of uncertainty and dispersion in the fragility curves based on analytical results. It was concluded that an alternative fragility parameter derivation method should be implemented for fragility curves based on analytical models, since this may affect how conservative the analytically based fragility curves become at a certain probability of failure level.Master of Science
Performance-based engineering (PBE) can allow engineers and building owners to design a building envelope for specific performance objectives and strength/serviceability levels, in addition to the minimum design loads expected. These envelope systems benefit from PBE as it improves their resiliency and performance during natural multi-hazard events (i.e. earthquakes and hurricanes). A useful PBE tool engineers may utilize to estimate the damages an envelope system may sustain during an event is the fragility curve. Fragility curves allow engineers to estimate the probability of reaching a damage state (i.e. glass cracking, or glass fallout) given a specified magnitude of an engineering demand parameter (i.e. an interstory drift ratio during an earthquake). These fragility curves are typically derived from the results of extensive experimental testing of the envelope system. However, computational simulations can also be utilized as they are a viable option in current fragility curve development frameworks. As it’s popularity amongst owners and architects was evident, the architectural glass curtain wall (CW) was the specific building envelope system studied herein. Glass CWs would benefit from implementing PBE as they are very susceptible to damages during earthquakes and hurricanes. Therefore, the goal of this computational research study was to develop fragility curves based on the analytical results obtained from the computational simulation of glass CW systems, which could aid in multi-hazard PBE design of CWs. As v opposed to utilizing limited, small experimental data sets, these simulations can help to improve the accuracy and decrease the uncertainties in the data required for fragility curve development. To complete the numerical simulations, 3D finite element (FE) models of a glass CW system were generated and validated against experimental tests. 11 multi-panel CW system configurations were then modeled to analyze their effect on the glass CW’s performance during in-plane and out-of-plane loading simulations. These parametric configurations included changes to the: equivalent clamping load, glass thickness, and glass-to-frame clearance. Fragility curves were then generated and compared to the single panel CW fragility curves derived experimentally within the FEMA P-58 Seismic Fragility Curve Development study. The fragility curves within FEMA P-58 were determined to be more conservative since they are based on single panel CWs. These fragility curves do not consider: the effects of multiple glass panels with varying aspect ratios; the possible component interactions/responses that may affect the extent of damages; and the continuity of the CW framing members across multiple panels. Finally, a fragility dispersion study was completed to observe the effects of implementing different levels of uncertainty and dispersion in the fragility curves based on analytical results.
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Zöller, Gert. "Critical states of seismicity : modeling and data analysis." Thesis, Universität Potsdam, 2005. http://opus.kobv.de/ubp/volltexte/2006/742/.
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The occurrence of earthquakes is characterized by a high degree of
spatiotemporal complexity. Although numerous patterns, e.g. fore- and aftershock sequences, are well-known, the underlying mechanisms are not observable and thus not understood. Because the recurrence times of large earthquakes are usually decades or centuries, the number of such events in corresponding data sets is too small to draw conclusions with reasonable statistical significance. Therefore, the present study combines both, numerical modeling and analysis of real data in order to unveil the relationships between physical mechanisms and observational quantities. The key hypothesis is the validity of the so-called "critical point concept" for earthquakes, which assumes large earthquakes to occur as phase transitions in a spatially extended many-particle system, similar to percolation models. New concepts are developed to detect critical states in simulated and in natural data sets. The results indicate that important features of seismicity like the frequency-size distribution and the temporal clustering of earthquakes depend on frictional and structural fault parameters. In particular, the degree of quenched spatial disorder (the "roughness") of a fault zone determines whether large earthquakes occur quasiperiodically or more clustered. This illustrates the power of numerical models in order to identify regions in parameter space, which are relevant for natural seismicity. The critical point concept is verified for both, synthetic and natural seismicity, in terms of a critical state which precedes a large earthquake: a gradual roughening of the (unobservable) stress field leads to a scale-free (observable) frequency-size distribution. Furthermore, the growth of the spatial correlation length and the acceleration of the seismic energy release prior to large events is found. The predictive power of these precursors is, however, limited. Instead of forecasting time, location, and magnitude of individual events, a contribution to a broad multiparameter approach is encouraging.Das Auftreten von Erdbeben zeichnet sich durch eine hohe raumzeitliche Komplexität aus. Obwohl zahlreiche Muster, wie Vor- und Nachbeben bekannt sind, weiß man wenig über die zugrundeliegenden Mechanismen, da diese sich direkter Beobachtung entziehen. Die Zeit zwischen zwei starken Erdbeben in einer seismisch aktiven Region beträgt Jahrzehnte bis Jahrhunderte. Folglich ist die Anzahl solcher Ereignisse in einem Datensatz gering und es ist kaum möglich, allein aus Beobachtungsdaten statistisch signifikante Aussagen über deren Eigenschaften abzuleiten. Die vorliegende Arbeit nutzt daher numerische Modellierungen einer Verwerfungszone in Verbindung mit Datenanalyse, um die Beziehung zwischen physikalischen Mechanismen und beobachteter Seismizität zu studieren. Die zentrale Hypothese ist die Gültigkeit des sogenannten "kritischen Punkt Konzeptes" für Seismizität, d.h. starke Erdbeben werden als Phasenübergänge in einem räumlich ausgedehnten Vielteilchensystem betrachtet, ähnlich wie in Modellen aus der statistischen Physik (z.B. Perkolationsmodelle). Es werden praktische Konzepte entwickelt, die es ermöglichen, kritische Zustände in simulierten und in beobachteten Daten sichtbar zu machen. Die Resultate zeigen, dass wesentliche Eigenschaften von Seismizität, etwa die Magnitudenverteilung und das raumzeitliche Clustern von Erdbeben, durch Reibungs- und Bruchparameter bestimmt werden. Insbesondere der Grad räumlicher Unordnung (die "Rauhheit") einer Verwerfungszone hat Einfluss darauf, ob starke Erdbeben quasiperiodisch oder eher zufällig auftreten. Dieser Befund zeigt auf, wie numerische Modelle genutzt werden können, um den Parameterraum für reale Verwerfungen einzugrenzen. Das kritische Punkt Konzept kann in synthetischer und in beobachteter Seismizität verifiziert werden. Dies artikuliert sich auch in Vorläuferphänomenen vor großen Erdbeben: Die Aufrauhung des (unbeobachtbaren) Spannungsfeldes führt zu einer Skalenfreiheit der (beobachtbaren) Größenverteilung; die räumliche Korrelationslänge wächst und die seismische Energiefreisetzung wird beschleunigt. Ein starkes Erdbeben kann in einem zusammenhängenden Bruch oder in einem unterbrochenen Bruch (Vorbeben und Hauptbeben) stattfinden. Die beobachtbaren Vorläufer besitzen eine begrenzte Prognosekraft für die Auftretenswahrscheinlichkeit starker Erdbeben - eine präzise Vorhersage von Ort, Zeit, und Stärke eines nahenden Erdbebens ist allerdings nicht möglich. Die genannten Parameter erscheinen eher vielversprechend als Beitrag zu einem umfassenden Multiparameteransatz für eine verbesserte zeitabhängige Gefährdungsabschätzung.
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Arlikatti, Sudha S. "Modeling household adoption of earthquake hazard adjustments: a longitudinal panel study of Southern California and Western Washington residents." Texas A&M University, 2006. http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/4235.
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This research, aimed at advancing the theory of environmental hazard adjustment processes
by contrasting households from three cities in a high seismic hazard area with households from
three other cities in a moderate seismic hazard area. It identified seven types of stakeholders
namely, the risk area residents and their families (primary group), the news media, employers,
and friends (secondary group), and federal, state, and local governments (tertiary group), and
explained why they are relevant to the adoption of seismic hazard adjustments. It also addressed
three key attributesâ knowledge, trustworthiness, and responsibility for protectionâÂÂascribed to
these multiple stakeholders and the relationships of these stakeholder attributes with risk
perception, hazard intrusiveness, hazard experience, gender, resource adequacy, fatalism and
hazard adjustment adoption. It was specifically concerned with the effects of nested interactions
due to trust and power differentials among the seven stakeholders, with the self reported
adoption of 16 earthquake protective measures at two points in time (1997 and 1999).
Some of the key findings indicate that risk perception, gender, fatalism, city activity in
earthquake management and demographic characteristics did not significantly predict hazard
adjustment adoption. However, all stakeholder characteristics had significant positive correlations with risk perception and hazard adjustment, implying a peripheral route for social
influence. Hazard intrusiveness, hazard experience, and stakeholder knowledge, trustworthiness,
and responsibility affected the increased adoption of hazard adjustments by households.
Particularly important are the peer groupsâ (employers, friends and family) knowledge,
trustworthiness and responsibility.
These findings suggest, hazard managers cannot count only on the federal, state, and
local government advisories put out through the news media to affect community decisions and
thereby householdsâ decisions to take protective actions. Instead, hazard managers need to shift
focus and work through peer group networks such as service organizations, industry groups,
trade unions, neighborhood organizations, community emergency response teams, faith-based
organizations, and educational institutions to increase the knowledge, trustworthiness and
responsibility of all in the peer group. This will assure higher household hazard adjustment
adoption levels, thus facilitating a reduction in post disaster losses and recovery time.
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Chen, Chin-Hung. "Modeling and Observational Studies of Plasma Density Anomalies and Earthquake-triggered Disturbances in the Mid-latitude Ionosphere." 京都大学 (Kyoto University), 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/2433/157786.
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Butler, Austin. "GREAT EARTHQUAKE PRODUCTION SENSITIVITY TO DOWNDIP LIMIT OF SEISMOGENIC ZONE DETERMINATION USING 2.5D FINITE DIFFERENCE COMPUTER MODELING." OpenSIUC, 2018. https://opensiuc.lib.siu.edu/theses/2453.
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The occurrence of great earthquakes, larger than magnitude 8.5 Mw, do not occur at every subduction zone. In this study, we set out to determine if one cause of this is due to the downdip limit of some seismogenic zones not being sufficiently deep to allow for rupture large enough for a great earthquake. We built a model of a megathrust seismogenic zone in Matlab and simulated earthquakes on the interplate boundary. Several versions of the model were run to test our hypothesis that a shallower downdip limit would suppress larger earthquakes than a deeper downdip limit. We also tested versions simulating the subduction of seafloor topography such as seamounts with differing values of friction. The results from the modeling show that a shallower downdip limit, and therefore a narrower seismogenic zone, likely does in fact limit the largest magnitude earthquake possible at a subduction zone. Findings from the variable friction models show that regions of high friction tend to stifle rupture propagation while regions of low friction can either inhibit or promote further rupture propagation. These conclusions help explain several observations at specific subduction zones, such as the observed lack of large events at Tonga and the interaction of rupture and subducted topography in Java.
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Muldashev, Iskander [Verfasser], Michael [Akademischer Betreuer] Weber, Stephan Vladimir [Akademischer Betreuer] Sobolev, and Volker [Akademischer Betreuer] John. "Modeling of the great earthquake seismic cycles / Iskander Muldashev ; Michael H. Weber, Stephan Vladimir Sobolev, Volker John." Potsdam : Universität Potsdam, 2017. http://d-nb.info/1218402474/34.
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Muldashev, Iskander [Verfasser], Michael H. [Akademischer Betreuer] Weber, Stephan Vladimir [Akademischer Betreuer] Sobolev, and Volker [Akademischer Betreuer] John. "Modeling of the great earthquake seismic cycles / Iskander Muldashev ; Michael H. Weber, Stephan Vladimir Sobolev, Volker John." Potsdam : Universität Potsdam, 2017. http://d-nb.info/1218402474/34.
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Liu, Yung-Chun. "Tectonics of Saturn's Moon Titan AND Tsunami Modeling of the 1629 Mega-thrust Earthquake in Eastern Indonesia." BYU ScholarsArchive, 2014. https://scholarsarchive.byu.edu/etd/5731.
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Chapter 1-2:The Cassini RADAR mapper has imaged elevated blocks and mountains on Titan we term ‘ridges’. Two unresolved problems regarding Titan's surface are still debated: what is the origin of its ridges and was there tectonic activity on Titan? To understand the processes that produced the ridges, in this study, (1) we analyze the distribution and orientation of ridges through systematic geomorphologic mapping and (2) we compare the location of the ridges to a new global topographic map to explore the correlation between elevation and ridges and the implications for Titan's surface evolution. Globally, the orientation of ridges is nearly E-W and the ridges are more common near the equator than at the poles, which suggests a tectonic origin for most of the ridges on Titan. In addition, the ridges are found to preferentially lie at higher-than-average elevations near the equator. We conclude the most reasonable formation scenario for Titan's ridges is that contractional tectonism built the ridges and thickened the icy lithosphere, causing regional uplift. The combination of global and regional tectonic events, likely contractional in nature, plus enhanced fluvial erosion and sedimentation near the poles, would have contributed to shaping Titan's tectonic landforms and surface morphology to what we see today. However, contractional structures (i.e. thrusts and folds) require large stresses (8~10 MPa), the sources of which probably do not exist on Titan. Liquid hydrocarbons in Titan's near subsurface must play a role similar to that of water on Earth and lead to fluid overpressures, which enable contractional deformation at smaller stresses (< 1MPa) by significantly reducing the shear strength of materials. We show that crustal conditions with enhanced pore fluid pressures on Titan favor the formation of thrust faults and related folds, in a contractional stress field. The production of folds, as on Earth, is facilitated by the presence of crustal liquids to weaken the crust. These hydrocarbon fluids have played a key role in Titan's tectonic evolutionary history, leaving it the only icy body on which strong evidence for contractional tectonism exists. Chapter 3: Arthur Wichmann's ‘Earthquakes of the Indian Archipelago’ documents several large earthquakes and tsunami throughout the Banda Arc region that can be interpreted as mega-thrust events. However, the source regions of these events are not known. One of the largest and well-documented events in the catalog is the great earthquake and tsunami affecting the Banda islands on 1 August 1629. It caused severe damage from a 15-meter tsunami that arrived at the Banda Islands about a half hour after violent shaking stopped. The earthquake was also recorded 230 km away in Ambon, but no tsunami is mentioned. This event was followed by at least 9 years of uncommonly frequent seismic activity in the region that tapered off with time, which can be interpreted as aftershocks. The combination of these observations indicates that the earthquake was most likely a mega-thrust event. We use an inverse modeling approach to numerically reconstruct the tsunami, which constrains the likely location and magnitude of the 1629 earthquake. Only linear numerical models are applied due to the low-resolution of bathymetry in the Banda Islands and Ambon. Therefore, we apply various wave amplification factors (1.5 to 4) derived from simulations of recent, well-constrained tsunami to bracket the upper and lower limits of earthquake moment magnitudes for the event. The closest major earthquake sources to the Banda Islands are the Tanimbar and Seram Troughs of the Banda subduction/collision zone. Other source regions are too far away for such a short arrival time of the tsunami after shaking. Moment magnitudes predicted by the models in order to produce a 15 m tsunami are Mw of 9.8 to 9.2 on the Tanimbar Trough and Mw 8.8 to 8.2 on the Seram Trough. The arrival times of these waves are 58 minutes for Tanimbar Trough and 30 minutes for Seram Trough. The model also predicts 5 meters run-up for Ambon from a Tanimbar Trough source, which is inconsistent with the historical records. Ambon is mostly shielded from a wave generated by a Seram Trough Source.We conclude that the most likely source of the 1629 mega-thrust earthquake is the Seram Trough. Only one earthquake > Mw 8.0 is recorded instrumentally from the eastern Indonesia region although high rates of strain (50-80 mm/a) are measured across the Seram section of the Banda subduction zone. Enough strain has already accumulated since the last major historical event to produce an earthquake of similar size to the 1629 event. Due to the rapid population growth in coastal areas in this region, it is imperative that the most vulnerable coastal areas prepare accordingly.
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Girsang, Christian Hariady. "A Numerical Investigation of the Seismic Response of the Aggregate Pier Foundation System." Thesis, Virginia Tech, 2001. http://hdl.handle.net/10919/36363.
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The response of an aggregate pier foundation system during seismic loading was investigated. The factors and phenomena governing the performance of the aggregate pier and the improved ground were identified and clarified. The key factors affecting the performance of the aggregate pier include soil density, stiffness modulus, and drainage capacity. The improved ground is influenced by soil stratification, soil properties, pore pressure dissipation, and earthquake time history.
Comprehensive numerical modeling using FLAC were performed. The focus of the study in this research was divided into three parts: the studies of the ground acceleration, the excess pore water pressure ratio and the shear stress in soil matrix generated during seismic loading. Two earthquake time histories scaled to different peak acceleration were used in the numerical modeling: the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake (pga = 0.45g) and the 1988 Saguenay earthquake (pga = 0.05g).
The main results of the simulation showed the following effects of aggregate pier on liquefiable soil deposits: 1) The aggregate pier amplifies the peak horizontal acceleration on the ground surface (amax), 2) The aggregate pier reduces the liquefaction potential up to depth where it is installed, 3) Pore pressures are generally lower for soils reinforced with aggregate pier than unreinforced soils except for very strong earthquake, 4) The maximum shear stresses in soil are much smaller for reinforced soils than unreinforced soils.
The excess pore water pressure ratio and the shear stress in the soil matrix calculated by FLAC were generally lower than those predicted by available procedures.Master of Science
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Shirzaei, Manoochehr. "Crustal deformation source monitoring using advanced InSAR time series and time dependent inverse modeling." Phd thesis, Universität Potsdam, 2010. http://opus.kobv.de/ubp/volltexte/2011/5077/.
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Crustal deformation can be the result of volcanic and tectonic activity such as fault dislocation and magma intrusion. The crustal deformation may precede and/or succeed the earthquake occurrence and eruption. Mitigating the associated hazard, continuous monitoring of the crustal deformation accordingly has become an important task for geo-observatories and fast response systems. Due to highly non-linear behavior of the crustal deformation fields in time and space, which are not always measurable using conventional geodetic methods (e.g., Leveling), innovative techniques of monitoring and analysis are required.
In this thesis I describe novel methods to improve the ability for precise and accurate mapping the spatiotemporal surface deformation field using multi acquisitions of satellite radar data. Furthermore, to better understand the source of such spatiotemporal deformation fields, I present novel static and time dependent model inversion approaches. Almost any interferograms include areas where the signal decorrelates and is distorted by atmospheric delay. In this thesis I detail new analysis methods to reduce the limitations of conventional InSAR, by combining the benefits of advanced InSAR methods such as the permanent scatterer InSAR (PSI) and the small baseline subsets (SBAS) with a wavelet based data filtering scheme. This novel InSAR time series methodology is applied, for instance, to monitor the non-linear deformation processes at Hawaii Island. The radar phase change at Hawaii is found to be due to intrusions, eruptions, earthquakes and flank movement processes and superimposed by significant environmental artifacts (e.g., atmospheric). The deformation field, I obtained using the new InSAR analysis method, is in good agreement with continuous GPS data. This provides an accurate spatiotemporal deformation field at Hawaii, which allows time dependent source modeling.
Conventional source modeling methods usually deal with static deformation field, while retrieving the dynamics of the source requires more sophisticated time dependent optimization approaches. This problem I address by combining Monte Carlo based optimization approaches with a Kalman Filter, which provides the model parameters of the deformation source consistent in time. I found there are numerous deformation sources at Hawaii Island which are spatiotemporally interacting, such as volcano inflation is associated to changes in the rifting behavior, and temporally linked to silent earthquakes.
I applied these new methods to other tectonic and volcanic terrains, most of which revealing the importance of associated or coupled deformation sources. The findings are 1) the relation between deep and shallow hydrothermal and magmatic sources underneath the Campi Flegrei volcano, 2) gravity-driven deformation at Damavand volcano, 3) fault interaction associated with the 2010 Haiti earthquake, 4) independent block wise flank motion at the Hilina Fault system, Kilauea, and 5) interaction between salt diapir and the 2005 Qeshm earthquake in southern Iran.
This thesis, written in cumulative form including 9 manuscripts published or under review in peer reviewed journals, improves the techniques for InSAR time series analysis and source modeling and shows the mutual dependence between adjacent deformation sources. These findings allow more realistic estimation of the hazard associated with complex volcanic and tectonic systems.Oberflächendeformationen können eine Folge von vulkanischen und tektonischen Aktivitäten sein, wie etwa Plattenverschiebungen oder Magmaintrusion. Die Deformation der Erdkruste kann einem Erdbeben oder einem Vulkanausbruch vorausgehen und/oder folgen. Um damit drohende Gefahren für den Menschen zu verringern, ist die kontinuierliche Beobachtung von Krustendeformationen eine wichtige Aufgabe für Erdobservatorien und Fast-Responce-Systems geworden. Auf Grund des starken nicht-linearen Verhaltens von Oberflächendeformationsgebiet in Zeit und Raum, die mit konventionellen Methoden nicht immer erfasst werden (z.B., Nivellements), sind innovative Beobachtungs- und Analysetechniken erforderlich. In dieser Dissertation beschreibe ich Methoden, welche durch Mehrfachbeobachtungen der Erdoberfläche nit satellitengestützem Radar eine präzise und akkurate Abbildung der raumzeitlichen Oberflächendeformationen ermöglichen. Um die Bildung und Entwicklung von solchen raumzeitlichen Deformationsgebieten besser zu verstehen, zeige ich weiterhin neuartige Ansätze zur statischen und zeitabhängigen Modellinversion. Radar-Interferogramme weisen häufig Gebiete auf, in denen das Phasensignal dekorreliert und durch atmosphärische Laufzeitverzögerung verzerrt ist. In dieser Arbeit beschreibe ich wie Probleme des konventionellen InSAR überwunden werden können, indem fortgeschrittene InSAR-Methoden, wie das Permanent Scatterer InSAR (PSI) und Small Baseline Subsets (SBAS), mit einer Wavelet-basierten Datenfilterung verknüpft werden. Diese neuartige Analyse von InSAR Zeitreihen wird angewendet, um zum Beispiel nicht-lineare Deformationsprozesse auf Hawaii zu überwachen. Radar-Phasenänderungen, gemessen auf der Pazifikinsel, beruhen auf Magmaintrusion, Vulkaneruption, Erdbeben und Flankenbewegungsprozessen, welche durch signifikante Artefakte (z.B. atmosphärische) überlagert werden. Mit Hilfe der neuen InSAR-Analyse wurde ein Deformationsgebiet ermittelt, welches eine gute Übereinstimmung mit kontinuierlich gemessenen GPS-Daten aufweist. Auf der Grundlage eines solchen, mit hoher Genauigkeit gemessenen, raumzeitlichen Deformationsgebiets wird für Hawaii eine zeitabhängige Modellierung der Deformationsquelle ermöglicht. Konventionelle Methoden zur Modellierung von Deformationsquellen arbeiten normalerweise mit statischen Daten der Deformationsgebiete. Doch um die Dynamik einer Deformationsquelle zu untersuchen, sind hoch entwickelte zeitabhängige Optimierungsansätze notwendig. Dieses Problem bin ich durch eine Kombination von Monte-Carlo-basierten Optimierungsansätzen mit Kalman-Filtern angegangen, womit zeitlich konsistente Modellparameter der Deformationquelle gefunden werden. Ich fand auf der Insel Hawaii mehrere, raumzeitlich interagierende Deformationsquellen, etwa Vulkaninflation verknüpft mit Kluftbildungen und Veränderungen in bestehenden Klüften sowie zeitliche Korrelationen mit stillen Erdbeben. Ich wendete die neuen Methoden auf weitere tektonisch und vulkanisch aktive Gebiete an, wo häufig die eine Interaktion der Deformationsquellen nachgewiesen werden konnte und ihrer bedeutung untersucht wurde. Die untersuchten Gebiete und Deformationsquellen sind 1) tiefe und oberflächliche hydrothermale und magmatische Quellen unterhalb des Campi Flegrei Vulkans, 2) gravitationsbedingte Deformationen am Damawand Vulkan, 3) Störungsdynamik in Verbindung mit dem Haiti Beben im Jahr 2010, 4) unabhängige blockweise Flankenbewegung an der Hilina Störungszone, und 5) der Einfluss eines Salzdiapirs auf das Qeshm Erdbeben im Süd-Iran im Jahr 2005. Diese Dissertation, geschrieben als kumulative Arbeit von neun Manuskripten, welche entweder veröffentlicht oder derzeit in Begutachtung bei ‘peer-review’ Zeitschriften sind, technische Verbesserungen zur Analyse von InSAR Zeitreihen vor sowie zur Modellierung von Deformationsquellen. Sie zeigt die gegenseitige Beeinflussung von benachbarten Deformationsquellen, und sie ermöglicht, realistischere Einschätzungen von Naturgefahren, die von komplexen vulkanischen und tektonischen Systemen ausgehen.
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Rapti, Ioanna. "Numerical modeling of liquefaction-induced failure of geostructures subjected to earthquakes." Thesis, Université Paris-Saclay (ComUE), 2016. http://www.theses.fr/2016SACLC025.
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L'importance croissante de l'évaluation de la performance des structures soumis au chargement sismique souligne la nécessité d'estimer le risque de liquéfaction. Dans ce scénario extrême de la liquéfaction du sol, des conséquences dévastatrices sont observées, par exemple des tassements excessifs et des instabilités de pentes. Dans le cadre de cette thèse, la réponse dynamique et l'interaction d'un système ouvrage en terre-fondation sont étudiées, afin de déterminer quantitativement le mécanisme de ruine dû à la liquéfaction du sol de la fondation. Par ailleurs, les chargements sismiques peuvent induire dans les ouvrages en terre un mode de rupture générant des bandes de cisaillement. Une étude de sensibilité aux maillages a donc été engagée pour quantifier la dépendance des résultats de l'analyse dynamique. Par conséquent, l'utilisation d'une méthode de régularisation est évaluée au cours des analyses dynamiques. Le logiciel open-source Code_Aster, basé sur la méthode des Eléments Finis et développé par EDF R&D, est utilisé pour les simulations numériques, tandis que le comportement du sol est représenté par le modèle de comportement de l'ECP, développé à CentraleSupélec. En premier lieu, un modèle simplifié de propagation 1D des ondes SH dans une colonne de sol avec comportement hydromécanique couplé non linéaire a été simulé. L'effet des caractéristiques du signal sismique et de la perméabilité du sol sur la liquéfaction est évalué. Le signal sismique d'entrée est un élément important pour l'apparition de la liquéfaction, puisque la durée du choc principal peut conduire à de fortes non linéarités et à un état de liquéfaction étendu. En outre, quand une variation de perméabilité en fonction de l'état de liquéfaction est considérée, des changements significatifs sont observés pendant la phase de dissipation de la surpression interstitielle de l'eau et au comportement du matériau. En revanche, ces changements ne suivent pas une tendance unique. Puis, l'effet d'une méthode de régularisation avec cinématique enrichie, appelée premier gradient de dilatation, sur la propagation des ondes SH est étudié au travers d'une solution analytique. Des problèmes à la réponse dynamique du sol sont observés et discutés quand cette méthode de régularisation est appliquée. Ensuite, un modèle 2D d'un déblai est simulé et sa réponse dynamique est évaluée en conditions sèches, complètement drainées et hydromécanique couplées. Deux critères sont utilisés pour définir le début de la rupture de la structure. Le travail du second ordre est utilisé pour décrire l'instabilité locale à des instants spécifiques du mouvement sismique, tandis que l'estimation d'un facteur de sécurité locale est proposée prenant en compte la résistance résiduelle du sol. En ce qui concerne le mode de ruine, l'effet de la surpression interstitielle de l'eau est de grande importance, puisqu'un déblai stable en conditions sèches et complètement drainées, devient instable lors de l'analyse couplée à cause de la liquéfaction de la fondation. Enfin, un système digue-fondation est simulé et l'influence de la perméabilité du sol, la profondeur de la couche liquéfiable, ainsi que, les caractéristiques du séisme sur la ruine induite par la liquéfaction du sol est évaluée. Pour ce modèle de digue, le niveau de dommages est fortement lié à la fois à l'apparition de la liquéfaction dans la fondation et la dissipation de la surpression d'eau. Une surface d'effondrement circulaire est générée à l'intérieur de la couche du sol liquéfié et se propage vers la crête dans les deux côtés de la digue. Pourtant, lorsque la couche liquéfiée est située en profondeur, la digue n'est pas affectée par la liquéfaction de la fondation pour ce cas particulier de chargement. Ce travail de recherche se concentre sur une étude de cas de référence pour l'évaluation sismique des ouvrages en terre soumis à un séisme et fournit des méthodes et outils de calculs numériques performants accessibles aux ingénieursThe increasing importance of performance-based earthquake engineering analysis points out the necessity to assess quantitatively the risk of liquefaction. In this extreme scenario of soil liquefaction, devastating consequences are observed, e.g. excessive settlements, lateral spreading and slope instability. The present PhD thesis discusses the global dynamic response and interaction of an earth structure-foundation system, so as to determine quantitatively the collapse mechanism due to foundation’s soil liquefaction. As shear band generation is a potential earthquake-induced failure mode in such structures, the FE mesh dependency of results of dynamic analyses is thoroughly investigated and an existing regularization method is evaluated. The open-source FE software developed by EDF R&D, called Code_Aster is used for the numerical simulations, while soil behavior is represented by the ECP constitutive model, developed at CentraleSupélec. Starting from a simplified model of 1D SH wave propagation in a soil column with coupled hydromechanical nonlinear behavior, the effect of seismic hazard and soil’s permeability on liquefaction is assessed. Input ground motion is a key component for soil liquefaction apparition, as long duration of mainshock can lead to important nonlinearity and extended soil liquefaction. Moreover, when a variation of permeability as function of liquefaction state is considered, changes in the dissipation phase of excess pore water pressure and material behavior are observed, which do not follow a single trend. The effect of a regularization method with enhanced kinematics approach, called first gradient of dilation model, on 1D SH wave propagation is studied through an analytical solution. Deficiencies of the use of this regularization method are observed and discussed, e.g. spurious waves apparition in the soil’s seismic response. Next, a 2D embankment-type model is simulated and its dynamic response is evaluated in dry, fully drained and coupled hydromechanical conditions. Two criteria are used to define the onset of the structure’s collapse. The second order work is used to describe the local instability at specific instants of the ground motion, while the estimation of a local safety factor is proposed by calculating soil’s residual strength. Concerning the failure mode, the effect of excess pore water pressure is of great importance, as an otherwise stable structure-foundation system in dry and fully drained conditions becomes unstable during coupled analysis. Finally, a levee- foundation system is simulated and the influence of soil’s permeability, depth of the liquefiable layer, as well as, characteristics of input ground motion on the liquefaction-induced failure is evaluated. For the current levee model, its induced damage level (i.e. settlements and deformations) is strongly related to both liquefaction apparition and dissipation of excess pore water pressure on the foundation. A circular collapse surface is generated inside the liquefied region and extends towards the crest in both sides of the levee. Even so, when the liquefied layer is situated in depth, no effect on the levee response is found. This research work can be considered as a reference case study for seismic assessment of embankment-type structures subjected to earthquake and provides a high-performance computational framework accessible to engineers
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Meservy, Travis Hatch. "Reliability of FEQDrain for Modeling Performance of Sand Treated with Large-Diameter Prefabricated Drains for Liquefaction Mitigation." BYU ScholarsArchive, 2017. https://scholarsarchive.byu.edu/etd/7234.
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Finite element modeling of laminar shear box testing that consisted of loose sand treated with large diameter prefabricated vertical drains (PVDs), was performed. The objective of the modeling was to evaluate the reliability of the computer program FEQDrain for predicting excess pore pressure ratios (Ru) at sites treated with prefabricated drains. FEQDrain was found to be capable of successfully modeling measured excess pore pressure ratio time histories from the laminar shear box experiment, as long as an appropriate combination of €˜number of equivalent cycles<'> and €˜shaking duration<'> was chosen, and sensitive parameters were in the range of measured values. Hydraulic conductivity, soil compressibility, and cycles to liquefaction are sensitive parameters and govern the computed Ru values.Modeling shows that the loading rate in the laminar shear box (15 cycles at 2 Hz) likely induced higher Ru values than would be expected in a typical earthquake event with a longer duration. The longer duration allows the drains to dissipate pore pressures and prevent liquefaction. The number of equivalent cycles and duration of shaking combinations recommended for various moment magnitudes in the FEQDrain user manual predict lower, but similar Ru versus time curves. Thus, suggesting that PVDs would be equally effective for any size earthquake. However, drains are most effective at preventing liquefaction when earthquake ground motions are long and uniform, rather than short and intense.Results from models in this study compare favorably with those from computer modeling performed by Howell et al. (2014). The individual hydraulic conductivity and compressibility values were different they were somewhat compensating. Similar Ru values can be modeled with different combinations of these parameters.Based on computer analyses, wick drains and 2€ diameter PVDs were found to be relatively ineffective for preventing liquefaction. However, 3€ diameter PVDs are fairly effective but can be overwhelmed during intense shaking. In contrast, 4€ diameter and larger PVDs are significantly more effective.
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Akaki, Toshifumi. "Numerical analysis of earthquakes and internal erosion during gas production from hydrate-bearing sediments." 京都大学 (Kyoto University), 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/2433/225549.
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Zakharova, Olga [Verfasser], and Sebastian [Akademischer Betreuer] Hainzl. "Analysis and modeling of transient earthquake patterns and their dependence on local stress regimes / Olga Zakharova ; Betreuer: Sebastian Hainzl." Potsdam : Universität Potsdam, 2016. http://d-nb.info/1219077429/34.
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Beskardes, Gungor Didem. "Geophysical Imaging of Earth Processes: Electromagnetic Induction in Rough Geologic Media, and Back-Projection Imaging of Earthquake Aftershocks." Diss., Virginia Tech, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/10919/77891.
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This dissertation focuses on two different types of responses of Earth; that is, seismic and electromagnetic, and aims to better understand Earth processes at a wider range of scales than those conventional approaches offer.
Electromagnetic responses resulting from the subsurface diffusion of applied electromagnetic fields through heterogeneous geoelectrical structures are utilized to characterize the underlying geology. Geology exhibits multiscale hierarchical structure which brought about by almost all geological processes operating across multiple length scales and the relationship between multiscale electrical properties of underlying geology and the observed electromagnetic response has not yet been fully understood. To quantify this relationship, the electromagnetic responses of textured and spatially correlated, stochastic geologic media are herein presented. The modelling results demonstrate that the resulting electromagnetic responses present a power law distribution, rather than a smooth response polluted with random, incoherent noise as commonly assumed; moreover, they are examples of fractional Brownian motion. Furthermore, the results indicate that the fractal behavior of electromagnetic responses is correlated with the degree of the spatial correlation, the contrasts in ground electrical conductivity, and the preferred orientation of small-scale heterogeneity. In addition, these inferences are also supported by the observed electromagnetic responses from a fault zone comprising different lithological units and varying wavelengths of geologic heterogeneity.
Seismic signals generated by aftershocks are generally recorded by local aftershock networks consisted of insufficient number of stations which result in strongly spatially-aliased aftershock data. This limits aftershock detections and locations at smaller magnitudes. Following the 23 August 2011 Mineral, Virginia earthquake, to drastically reduce spatial aliasing, a temporary dense array (AIDA) consisting of ~200 stations at 200-400 m spacing was deployed near the epicenter to record the 12 days of the aftershocks. The backprojection imaging method is applied to the entire AIDA dataset to detect and locate aftershocks. The method takes advantage of staking of many seismograms and improves the signal-to-noise ratio for detection. The catalog obtained from the co-deployed, unusually large temporal traditional network of 36 stations enabled a quantitative comparison. The aftershock catalog derived from the dense AIDA array and the backprojection indicates event detection an order of magnitude smaller including events as small as M–1.8. The catalog is complete to magnitude –1.0 while the traditional network catalog was complete to M–0.27 for the same time period. The AIDA backprojection catalog indicate the same major patterns of seismicity in the epicentral region, but additional details are revealed indicating a more complex fault zone and a new shallow cluster. The b-value or the temporal decay constant were not changed by inclusion of the small events; however, they are different for two completeness periods and are different at shallow depth than greater depth.Ph. D.
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Torberntsson, Kim, and Vidar Stiernström. "A High Order Finite Difference Method for Simulating Earthquake Sequences in a Poroelastic Medium." Thesis, Uppsala universitet, Avdelningen för beräkningsvetenskap, 2016. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-298414.
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Induced seismicity (earthquakes caused by injection or extraction of fluids in Earth's subsurface) is a major, new hazard in the United States, the Netherlands, and other countries, with vast economic consequences if not properly managed. Addressing this problem requires development of predictive simulations of how fluid-saturated solids containing frictional faults respond to fluid injection/extraction. Here we present a numerical method for linear poroelasticity with rate-and-state friction faults. A numerical method for approximating the fully coupled linear poroelastic equations is derived using the summation-by-parts-simultaneous-approximation-term (SBP-SAT) framework. Well-posedness is shown for a set of physical boundary conditions in 1D and in 2D. The SBP-SAT technique is used to discretize the governing equations and show semi-discrete stability and the correctness of the implementation is verified by rigorous convergence tests using the method of manufactured solutions, which shows that the expected convergence rates are obtained for a problem with spatially variable material parameters. Mandel's problem and a line source problem are studied, where simulation results and convergence studies show satisfactory numerical properties. Furthermore, two problem setups involving fault dynamics and slip on faults triggered by fluid injection are studied, where the simulation results show that fluid injection can trigger earthquakes, having implications for induced seismicity. In addition, the results show that the scheme used for solving the fully coupled problem, captures dynamics that would not be seen in an uncoupled model. Future improvements involve imposing Dirichlet boundary conditions using a different technique, extending the scheme to handle curvilinear coordinates and three spatial dimensions, as well as improving the high-performance code and extending the study of the fault dynamics.
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BAJEK, Robert Pawel. "Development of Evaluation Methods for Community-based Participatory Risk Management-with a Focus on Social Earthquake Resilience." 京都大学 (Kyoto University), 2007. http://hdl.handle.net/2433/49138.
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学位授与大学：京都大学 ; 取得学位: 博士(工学) ; 学位授与年月日: 2007-09-25 ; 学位の種類: 新制・課程博士 ; 学位記番号: 工博第2848号 ; 請求記号: 新制/工/1419 ; 整理番号: 25533Kyoto University (京都大学)
0048
新制・課程博士
博士(工学)
甲第13377号
工博第2848号
新制||工||1419(附属図書館)
25533
UT51-2007-Q778
京都大学大学院工学研究科都市社会工学専攻
(主査)教授 岡田 憲夫, 教授 中川 大, 教授 多々納 裕一
学位規則第4条第1項該当
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Gregg, Patricia Michelle Marie. "The dynamics of oceanic transform faults : constraints from geophysical, geochemical, and geodynamical modeling." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/45779.
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Thesis (Ph. D.)--Joint Program in Oceanography (Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences; and the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution), 2008.Includes bibliographical references.
Segmentation and crustal accretion at oceanic transform fault systems are investigated through a combination of geophysical data analysis and geodynamical and geochemical modeling. Chapter 1 examines the effect of fault segmentation on the maximum predicted earthquake magnitude of an oceanic transform fault system. Results of thermal modeling suggest that fault segmentation by intra- transform spreading centers (ITSC) drastically reduces the available brittle area of a transform fault and thus limits the available earthquake rupture area. Coulomb stress models suggest that long ITSCs will prohibit static stress interaction between segments of a transform system and further limit the maximum possible magnitude of a given transform fault earthquake. In Chapter 2, gravity anomalies from a global set of oceanic transform fault systems are investigated. Surprisingly, negative residual mantle Bouguer gravity anomalies are found within fast-slipping transform fault domains. These gravity observations suggest a mass deficit within fast-slipping transform faults, which may result from porosity variations, mantle serpentinization, and/or crustal thickness variations. Two-dimensional forward modeling and the correlation of the negative gravity anomalies to bathymetric highs indicate crustal thickness excesses in these locations. Finally, in Chapter 3, mantle thermal and melting models for a visco-plastic rheology are developed to investigate the process of mantle melting and crustal accretion at ITSCs within segmented transform faults, and are applied to the Siqueiros transform fault system. Models in which melt migrates into the transform fault domain from a large region of the mantle best explain the gravity-derived crustal thickness variations observed at the Siqueiros transform. Furthermore, a mantle potential temperature of 1350⁰C and fractional crystallization at depths of 9 - 15.5 km best explain the major element composition variation observed at the Siqueiros transform.
by Patricia Michelle Marie Gregg.
Ph.D.
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Lee, Wayne Yeung. "Numerical Modeling of Blast-Induced Liquefaction." BYU ScholarsArchive, 2006. https://scholarsarchive.byu.edu/etd/524.
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A research study has been conducted to simulate liquefaction in saturated sandy soil induced by nearby controlled blasts. The purpose of the study is to help quantify soil characteristics under multiple and consecutive high-magnitude shock environments similar to those produced by large earthquakes. The simulation procedure involved the modeling of a three-dimensional half-space soil region with pre-defined, embedded, and strategically located explosive charges to be detonated at specific time intervals. LS-DYNA, a commercially available finite element hydrocode, was the solver used to simulate the event. A new geo-material model developed under the direction of the U.S. Federal Highway Administration was applied to evaluate the liquefaction potential of saturated sandy soil subjected to sequential blast environments. Additional procedural enhancements were integrated into the analysis process to represent volumetric effects of the saturated soil's transition from solid to liquid during the liquefaction process. Explosive charge detonation and pressure development characteristics were modeled using proven and accepted modeling techniques. As explosive charges were detonated in a pre-defined order, development of pore water pressure, volumetric (compressive) strains, shear strains, and particle accelerations were carefully computed and monitored using custom developed MathCad and C/C++ routines. Results of the study were compared against blast-test data gathered at the Fraser River Delta region of Vancouver, British Columbia in May of 2005 to validate and verify the modeling procedure's ability to simulate and predict blast-induced liquefaction events. Reasonable correlations between predicted and measured data were observed from the study.
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Yotsui, Saki. "Fatality Modeling of Tsunami Disaster Taking into Account Geographical Factors and Demographic Components." Kyoto University, 2018. http://hdl.handle.net/2433/232442.
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Kagawa, Takao. "Study on surface and buried earthquake source modeling and 3-D velocity structure estimation for high-precision evaluation of strong ground motion." 京都大学 (Kyoto University), 2004. http://hdl.handle.net/2433/147888.
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Steinberg, Andreas [Verfasser], Henriette [Akademischer Betreuer] Sudhaus, and Wolfgang [Gutachter] Rabbel. "Improved modeling of segmented earthquake rupture informed by enhanced signal analysis of seismic and geodetic observations / Andreas Steinberg ; Gutachter: Wolfgang Rabbel ; Betreuer: Henriette Sudhaus." Kiel : Universitätsbibliothek Kiel, 2021. http://d-nb.info/1236572122/34.
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