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Journal articles on the topic 'Economics. Inflation (Finance) Economic development'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 4 June 2021

Last updated: 9 February 2022

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1

Abd. Majid, M. Shabri. "Re-Examining the Finance-Growth Nexus: Empirical Evidence from Indonesia." Gadjah Mada International Journal of Business 9, no. 2 (2007): 137. http://dx.doi.org/10.22146/gamaijb.5597.

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This paper empirically examines the short- and long-run relationships between financial development and economic growth during the post-1997 financial crisis in Indonesia by employing a battery of times-series techniques, such as Autoregressive Dis-tributed Lag (ARDL) model, vector error correction model (VECM), variance decompositions (VDCs), and impulse-response functions (IRFs). Based on the ARDL (2, 0, 1, 2) model, the study finds that there exists a long-run equilibrium between economic growth and financial depth, share of investment, and inflation. In the long run, inflation is found to

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Iftikhar Ul Husnain, Muhammad. "Expenditure-Growth Nexus:Does the Source of Finance Matter? Empirical Evidence from Selected South Asian Countries." Pakistan Development Review 49, no. 4II (2010): 631–40. http://dx.doi.org/10.30541/v49i4iipp.631-640.

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Government can generate revenues to finance its expenditure in three major ways i.e., taxes, bonds and seigniorage.1 Interestingly, public expenditure financed through different sources affect growth differently. Which source of finance is less distortionary? is a question that has attracted great attention over the years. However, no consensus is available on the relative importance of the financing source. The prominent work on this issue relates to Miller and Russek (1997) who provide a detailed discussion over the relative importance of tax financed and debt financed increases in governmen

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3

Van Dinh, Doan. "Comparison of the impact of lending and inflation rates on economic growth in Vietnam and China." Banks and Bank Systems 15, no. 4 (2020): 193–203. http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/bbs.15(4).2020.16.

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Inflation and lending rates are two important macroeconomic indicators as they affect economic growth. The correlation between the inflation rate and the lending rate in Vietnam and China is analyzed to determine whether the lending rate causes inflation or not. An ordinary least square model (OLS) and a unit root test are applied to check the correlation and cointegration related to the inflation and lending rates to avoid spurious regression. The research time series data were collected from 1996 to 2017. The correlation of Vietnam’s variables is 56%, the correlation of China’s variables is

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Njindan Iyke, Bernard, and Nicholas M. Odhiambo. "Inflationary Thresholds, Financial Development and Economic Growth: New Evidence from Two West African Countries." Global Economy Journal 17, no. 2 (2017): 20160042. http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/gej-2016-0042.

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This paper examines the role of inflationary threshold effects in the finance-growth relationship for Ghana and Nigeria. Ghana and Nigeria are relatively homogenous in terms of financial development, economic growth, and inflationary history and therefore provide an acceptable choice for this empirical analysis. Due to lack of data availability, the sample spans the period 1964–2011 for Ghana and 1961–2011 for Nigeria. Using appropriately specified threshold regressions, we found inflationary thresholds in both countries during the study periods. Specifically, the inflationary threshold range

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Malik Muhammadd, Dr. Atiquzzafar Khan, and Hafiz Abdur Rehman. "Islamic Finance and Economic Growth." Islamic Banking and Finance Review 6 (December 31, 2019): 23–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.32350/ibfr.2019.06.02.

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Due to the inherent instability of the conventional financial system, the demand for Islamic finance has increased. Islamic finance is more stable because it does not rely on debt-based financing. Currently, Islamic finance is one of the fastest growing sectors of economy in the Muslim world in general and in Pakistan in particular and it plays a vital role in the real sector development. This paper investigated the impact of Islamic viz a viz conventional finance on economic growth of Pakistan. For empirical analysis, quarterly data for the period 2006Q3–2017Q4 was utilized. For Islamic finan

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Fetai, Besnik Taip. "Does financial development accelerate economic growth?" Journal of Financial Economic Policy 10, no. 3 (2018): 426–35. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jfep-11-2017-0118.

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Purpose This study aims to empirically explore whether there is causality and in which direction, i.e. whether financial development generates economic growth or whether financial development merely follows economic growth in transition European countries, including Russian Federation and Turkey, during 1998-2015. Design/methodology/approach The study uses different techniques such as pooled OLS, fixed and random effects and the Hausman–Taylor model with instrumental variables. Findings The regression results show a positive relationship between financial development indicators and real GDP pe

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Kemal, A. R., Abdul Qayyum Abdul Qayyum, and Muhammad Nadim Hanif. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: Evidence from a Heterogeneous Panel of High Income Countries." LAHORE JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS 12, no. 1 (2007): 1–34. http://dx.doi.org/10.35536/lje.2007.v12.i1.a1.

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This paper examines the empirical relationship between financial development and economic growth for high income countries. The study focuses on both indirect finance and direct finance, separately as well as jointly. Applying the methodology of Nair-Reichert and Weinhold (2001) for causality analysis in heterogeneous panel data, two sets of results are reported. First, the evidence regarding the relationship between financial development and economic growth from a contemporaneous non-dynamic fixed effects panel estimation is mixed. Negative and statistically significant estimates of the coeff

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Paul, Wina, Rachmad Faudji, and Hasan Bisri. "Cash Waqf Linked Sukuk Alternative Development of Sustainable Islamic Economic Development Sustainable Development Goals (SDG's)." International Journal of Nusantara Islam 9, no. 1 (2021): 134–48. http://dx.doi.org/10.15575/ijni.v9i1.12215.

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Economic development itself is defined as a continuous process that has the aim of increasing a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and per capita income of a country's population in the long term which has an impact on various aspects, both economic, social, and science and technology. The purpose of economic development in Indonesia is not only to increase per capita income but also to accelerate economic growth. Technological advances as a result of this development will also improve the quality of human resources, improve community welfare, reduce inequality, and reduce unemployment. Th

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Boujelbène, Thouraya, Khoutem Ben Jedidia, and Kamel Helali. "Threshold effects of inflation on the financial development-economic growth nexus in Tunisia." International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance 14, no. 5 (2021): 1. http://dx.doi.org/10.1504/ijmef.2021.10040342.

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10

ABBOTT, PHILIP, and FINN TARP. "GLOBALIZATION CRISES, TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT IN VIETNAM." Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy 03, no. 01 (2012): 1240006. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s1793993312400066.

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Vietnam has been among the most successful East Asian economies, especially in weathering the external shocks of recent globalization crises. Examination of economic performance and policy responses shows rising dependence on foreign finance around each crisis, and actions by the government to counteract that dependence and bolster the domestic economy while continuing to restructure the economy toward greater emphasis on the private sector. Growth, employment and poverty alleviation have been maintained at the expense of renewed inflation, larger budget deficits, and currency depreciation. Th

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Yang, Dali L. "Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation." Developing Economies 47, no. 3 (2009): 367–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1746-1049.2009.00090_1.x.

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12

Honningdal Grytten, Ola, and Viktoriia Koilo. "Financial instability, institutional development and economic crisis in Eastern Europe." Investment Management and Financial Innovations 16, no. 3 (2019): 167–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.16(3).2019.16.

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This paper sheds light on the financial crisis of 2008–2010 in eleven emerging Eastern European economies (EE11): Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Bulgaria, Georgia, Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Moldova, Romania, Tajikistan and Ukraine. The aim is twofold. In the first place it seeks to find out if the financial instability hypothesis, as put forward by Minsky and Kindleberger, is a valid explanatory factor for the crisis. Secondly, it tries to map if general institutional frameworks of these countries were developed in order to stand against the factors leading into the financial crisis.To a

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Lyulyov, Oleksii. "Impact of state finance on macroeconomic stability of Ukraine." Public and Municipal Finance 6, no. 3 (2017): 17–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/pmf.06(3).2017.02.

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According to reports data of the International Institute of Management Development (IMD) and World Economic Forum (WEF), contries’ competitiveness tendencies were defined: rate of global competitiveness index remains lower than the rate, achieved before the global financial and economic crisis, non-linear distribution of benefits from economic growth between EU countries, Ukrainian rating falling by macroeconomic stability by 21 points in 2017 in comparison with 2018. It is not unexpected that realization of countries’ policy concerning their competitiveness growth requires some cost. Thus, au

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Ngoc Bui, Toan, and Thu-Trang Thi Doan. "The impact of stock market development on economic growth: A GMM approach." Investment Management and Financial Innovations 18, no. 3 (2021): 74–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.18(3).2021.07.

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This study investigated the impact of stock market development (SMD) on economic growth (EG) among emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) in Asia. The data sample includes eight Asian EMDEs (China, Indonesia, India, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam) from 2008 to 2019. These countries share several similarities, so this ensures reliability of the results. Regarding the analysis, the generalized method of moments (GMM) is used for the estimation. The results show that SMD exerts a positive impact on EG. This finding confirms the importance of SMD in improvin

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Islam, SMA. "Financial repression and economic distortions to the stage of economic growth and agricultural development in Bangladesh." Journal of the Bangladesh Agricultural University 6, no. 2 (2010): 437–48. http://dx.doi.org/10.3329/jbau.v6i2.4845.

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Financial repression in a developing country is not new to us. The government may take policy for financial repression due to easy collection of inflation tax to the stage of economic development. This study is concerned to find the positive relationship between financial development and economic growth and productivity in the economy of Bangladesh. The research concluded that the financial repression has a negative relationship to the economic growth and productivity but the financial development is positively to relate the economic growth and productivity in the economy of Bangladesh. This s

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Yıldırım, Seda, Durmus Cagrı Yıldırım, and Pelin Diboglu. "Does Sukuk market development promote economic growth?" PSU Research Review 4, no. 3 (2020): 209–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/prr-03-2020-0011.

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Purpose This paper aims to explain the relationship between sukuk market and economic growth. In this context, the study investigates the impact of sukuk market development on economic growth for nine countries (Brunei, Indonesia, Jordan, Kuwait, Malaysia, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkey) which have Islamic finance and banking system. Design/methodology/approach The study analyzed the data of nine countries as Brunei, Indonesia, Jordan, Kuwait, Malaysia, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkey for periods between 2014Q1 and 2017Q4. As a part of gross domestic product, total sukuk

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Kagochi, John. "Inflation and financial sector development in Sub-Saharan African countries." Journal of Economic Studies 46, no. 4 (2019): 798–811. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jes-10-2017-0310.

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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the link between inflation and the financial sector performance in Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries. Design/methodology/approach The study analyzes the relationship between inflation and the financial sector performance for selected 22 Sub-Saharan countries from 1980 to 2013. The study used panel data and the dynamic panel generalized method of moments econometric method. The study concentrates on the link between inflation and the development of the banking sector. Findings The findings suggest that inflation does not promote financial sector

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Pradhan, Rudra P., B. Mak Arvin, Neville R. Norman, and Yasuyuki Nishigaki. "Does banking sector development affect economic growth and inflation? A panel cointegration and causality approach." Applied Financial Economics 24, no. 7 (2014): 465–80. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09603107.2014.881968.

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19

Memon, Mohammad Salih, Dr Asad RazaAbdi, and Mr Sarmad Rahat. "Role of Monetary Policy in Economic Development of Pakistan." INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT & INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY 10, no. 2 (2014): 1866–72. http://dx.doi.org/10.24297/ijmit.v10i2.644.

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The aim of conducting this study was to look at the position of monetary assets in the perspective of economic development, data was collected from the ministry of finance government of Pakistan, and State Bank of Pakistan from (2000-01 to 2009-10) and linear regression was applied through SPSS 16 and concluded the position of imports and exports, that increase in exports will be the reason for increase in monetary assets of the country and same as increase in imports will also be the reason of increase in monetary assets in the shape of taxation, consumer price index is affecting negatively o

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20

Mishra, Bikash Ranjan, and Pabitra Kumar Jena. "Bilateral FDI flows in four major Asian economies: a gravity model analysis." Journal of Economic Studies 46, no. 1 (2019): 71–89. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jes-07-2017-0169.

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PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to examine the determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) flows from some leading developed countries (the USA, Japan, Germany, the Netherlands, the UK and France) into major four Asian economies (China, Korea, India and Singapore).Design/methodology/approachUsing one basic and four augmented versions of gravity model technique, the authors tried to examine the determinants of bilateral FDI flows in four major Asian economies. The study used World Development Indicators, CEPII, KOF and Heritage Foundation data for period 2001–2012.FindingsThe results re

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Lipovina-Bozovic, Milena. "A comparison of the VAR model and the PC factor model in forecasting inflation in Montenegro." Ekonomski anali 58, no. 198 (2013): 115–35. http://dx.doi.org/10.2298/eka1398115l.

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Montenegro started using the euro in 2002 and regained independence in 2006. Its main economic partners are European countries, yet inflation movements in Montenegro do not coincide with consumer price fluctuations in the eurozone. Trying to develop a useful forecasting model for Montenegrin inflation, we compare the results of a three-variable vector autoregression (VAR) model, and a principle component (PC) factor model starting with twelve variables. The estimation period is January 2001 to December 2012, and the control months are the first six months of 2013. The results show that in fore

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Ho, Sin-Yu, and Nicholas M. Odhiambo. "The macroeconomic drivers of stock market development: evidence from Hong Kong." Journal of Financial Economic Policy 12, no. 2 (2019): 185–207. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jfep-11-2018-0163.

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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the macroeconomic drivers of stock market development in Hong Kong during the period 1992Q4-2016Q3. Specifically, it investigates the impact of banking sector development, economic growth, inflation rate, exchange rate, trade openness and stock market liquidity on stock market development. Design/methodology/approach This paper uses quarterly time-series data covering the period 1992Q4-2016Q3, which have been obtained from various reliable sources. The study uses the autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing procedure to identify both the lon

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Haider, Adnan, Musleh ud Din Musleh ud Din, and Ejaz Ghani. "Consequences of Political Instability, Governance and Bureaucratic Corruption on Inflation and Growth: The Case of Pakistan." Pakistan Development Review 50, no. 4II (2011): 773–807. http://dx.doi.org/10.30541/v50i4iipp.773-807.

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This paper presents a theoretical model with micro-foundations that captures some important features of Pakistan‘s economy which have emerged in sixty-four years of its history. A comparison of Pakistan‘s economic performance during different regimes shows that macroeconomic fundamentals tend to show an improvement during the autocratic regimes as compared with those prevailing during democratic regimes. In particular, periods of autocratic regimes are typically characterised by low inflation, robust growth and low level of bureaucratic corruption due to better governance. In contrast, the eco

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Dornbusch, Rudiger, and Stanley Fischer. "Moderate Inflation." World Bank Economic Review 7, no. 1 (1993): 1–44. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/wber/7.1.1.

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Lu, Shyi-Min. "Global Outlook for 2018: Economy, Finance, and Monetary, with a Particular Case Study of Taiwan." International Journal of Economics and Finance 10, no. 3 (2018): 133. http://dx.doi.org/10.5539/ijef.v10n3p133.

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In October 2017, IMF President Christine Lagarde declared that the GDP growth of world’s economies in the first half of 2017 was up to the broadest recovery since 2010. So far, the strength of global economic growth has been enhancing. The interest rates and inflation are still at a low level. The global economy has risen from the bottom in 2016 to reach its peak since 2011. As for the degree of economic development, the emerging markets grew fastest, followed by the developing countries, while the advanced economies grew moderately at an average rate around 2%. Manufacturing PMI in major coun

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Uchenna Okoye, Lawrence, Alexander Ehimare Omankhanlen, Uchechukwu Emena Okorie, Johnson I. Okoh, and Ado Ahmed. "Persistence of fiscal deficits in Nigeria: examining the issues." Investment Management and Financial Innovations 16, no. 4 (2019): 98–109. http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.16(4).2019.09.

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Due to a huge financing gap in many developing nations, governments use budget deficit to facilitate growth and development. However, deficit financing deepens the economic woes of these economies, leaving them in a vicious cycle of deficits. In Nigeria, for instance, fiscal deficits cause country’s bad performance and ranking both in global growth and development indicators. Thus, the use of fiscal deficit to enhance economic performance has proved to be futile and also has left bad economic consequences. Based on the econometric method of Autoregressive Distributed Lag, this study examines h

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Bojanic, Antonio N. "A Markov-Switching Model of Inflation in Bolivia." Economies 9, no. 1 (2021): 37. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/economies9010037.

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The Bolivian inflation process is analyzed utilizing a time-varying univariate and multivariate Markov-switching model (TMS). With monthly data and, beginning in the late 1930s, inflation is accurately described by a univariate TMS. The intercept for the high-inflation regime is significantly higher than for the low-inflation regime and the actual inflation rate mirrors the smoothing probabilities of the Markov process. Additionally, the predicted duration of each regime closely fits the periods when the country experienced low and inordinate high inflation rates. From a long-run perspective a

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Malik, ShahzadShabbir. "THE ROLE OF FORMAL ACADEMICIAN IN PROMOTION OF MICRO-FINANCE." International Journal of Research -GRANTHAALAYAH 4, no. 5 (2016): 35–50. http://dx.doi.org/10.29121/granthaalayah.v4.i5.2016.2672.

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Microfinance is no panacea for the alleviation of poverty in the world. The environment influences its development. Legal frameworks, monitors and supervisors, its institutions and last but not least its customers with all their commitment play a major role for the success. Due to informational asymmetries, traditional financial markets are limited or fail to include poor households. Microfinance is able to overcome these imperfections and was developed especially for poor people suffering from financial exclusion and often dependent on informal sources such as exploitative moneylenders. The d

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Hsing, Yu, and Wen-jen Hsieh. "Is Real Depreciation or Rising Government Debt Contractionary in India? A Simultaneous-Equation Model." Global Economy Journal 17, no. 2 (2017): 20170010. http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/gej-2017-0010.

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Based on a sample during 1978–2014, this paper finds that India’s real GDP has a positive relationship with real depreciation during 1978–2002, the government debt/GDP ratio, the real stock price, the growth rate of U.S. real GDP, and a negative relationship with real depreciation during 2003–2014, the real lending rate and the expected inflation rate. Therefore, the stage of economic development may play an important role in deciding whether real depreciation or real appreciation may promote economic growth.

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Ibhagui, Oyakhilome. "How does foreign direct investment affect growth in sub-Saharan Africa? New evidence from threshold analysis." Journal of Economic Studies 47, no. 1 (2020): 149–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jes-06-2018-0198.

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PurposeThe threshold regression framework is used to examine the effect of foreign direct investment on growth in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The growth literature is awash with divergent evidence on the role of foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic growth. Although the FDI–growth nexus has been studied in diverse ways, very few studies have examined the relationship within the framework of threshold analysis. Furthermore, even where this framework has been adopted, none of the previous studies has comprehensively examined the FDI–growth nexus in the broader SSA. In this paper, within the

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Keho, Yaya. "Effect of Financial Development on Economic Growth: Does Inflation Matter? Time Series Evidence from the UEMOA Countries." International Economic Journal 24, no. 3 (2010): 343–55. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10168730903502416.

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Bilquees, Faiz, and Shahnaz Rauf. "Income Velocity and per Capita Income in Pakistan: 1974-75 to 1991-92." Pakistan Development Review 33, no. 4II (1994): 985–95. http://dx.doi.org/10.30541/v33i4iipp.985-995.

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The purpose of this paper is to bring to light the effects of velocity on monetary policy during the process of development. The stated hypothesis is that if velocity declines as per-capita income increases, the monetary authorities can issue more money to finance economic growth with low rates of inflation. This short paper attempts to test the hypothesis in the post 1974 period for the present Pakistan over the period 1974-75 to 1991-92. This period corresponds to the official division of all the financial and other statistics between East and West Pakistan. The financial developments and th

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Goodhart, C., and C. Xu. "The Rise of China as an Economic Power." National Institute Economic Review 155 (February 1996): 56–80. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/002795019615500104.

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In the twenty years since the Cultural Revolution, China has maintained fast real growth. This occurred despite China having similar problems to other transitional economies, e.g. loss-making State Owned Enterprises (SOEs), eroding fiscal revenues and inflation, (Section 3).Although China initially adopted the Soviet central planning model, after the 1950s break Chinese planning changed towards a regionally-based system with local planning (Section 2). In contrast to the centrally-based, functionally-specialised (U-form or unitary structure) Soviet model, the Chinese economy is organised on a

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Wardhono, Adhitya, M. Abd Nasir, Ciplis Gema Qori’ah, and Yulia Indrawati. "Movement of Inflation and New Keynesian Phillips Curve in ASEAN." Economies 9, no. 1 (2021): 34. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/economies9010034.

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The development of the theory of dynamic inflation begins by linking wage inflation and unemployment. In further developments, factor of expectation is classified into inflation model. The study used inflation data is important for ASEAN, because ASEAN is one of the strengths of the international economy. This study analyzes the dynamics of inflation in the ASEAN using framework the New-Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) model. The data used is the quarterly panel data from 5 ASEAN members in the period 2005.QI–2018.QIV. The study of this dynamic inflation applies quarter to quarter inflation dat

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Tahir, Muhammad, Ahmad Ali Jan, Syed Quaid Ali Shah, et al. "Foreign inflows and economic growth in Pakistan: some new insights." Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies 13, no. 3 (2020): 97–113. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jcefts-01-2020-0005.

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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to explore the contending role of important external inflows on the economic growth of Pakistan economy. The main purpose behind focusing on Pakistan is that it is receiving significant inflows from different international sources such as International Monetary Fund, World Bank and Asian Development Bank. Design/methodology/approach The study adopted the autoregressive distributed lag cointegration approach for the purpose of exploring the long-run cointegrating relationship among the variables. As Pakistan Government had been implementing some major libera

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Degner, Jeffery. "Family Formation, Fertility, and Failure: A Literature Review on Price Increases and Their Impact on the Family Institution." AERC Papers and Proceedings 2019 22, no. 2 (2019): 218–41. http://dx.doi.org/10.35297/qjae.010012.

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Inflation not only debases the value of currency by lowering purchasing power. It also serves to erode the quantity and quality of marriages while creating distortions in the decision-making processes of those hoping to form marriages and to have children. Furthermore, a loss of purchasing power helps to create relational tension for married couples, contributing to increasing divorce rates throughout the globe. As for the formation of families via marriage, the literature surrounding inflation and the family shows that price increases in higher education and housing both limit the number of f

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Chalamwong, Yongyuth. "The Impact of the Crisis on Migration in Thailand." Asian and Pacific Migration Journal 7, no. 2-3 (1998): 297–312. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/011719689800700209.

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Thailand's current economic crisis resulted from the bursting of the bubble economy that developed from a combination of excessive speculation and liberalization of the finance system. Not only is Thailand expected to post a negative 5.5 percent economic growth and 9.4 percent inflation by the end of 1998, but it will also experience a reversal of rural-urban migration trends. The Thai government is stepping up enforcement against illegal foreign workers and is seeking help from neighboring states in facilitating the reintegration of their workers. At the same time the government targets to se

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Olamide, Ebenezer Gbenga, and Andrew Maredza. "A dynamic regression panel approach to the determinants of monetary policy and economic growth." African Journal of Economic and Management Studies 10, no. 3 (2019): 385–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ajems-10-2018-0302.

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Purpose Empirically, the purpose of this paper is to investigate policy variables that determine monetary policy and economic growth of some selected countries within the economic bloc of Southern Africa Development Community (SADC). The selected countries are Botswana, Democratic Republic of Congo, Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa, Swaziland, Zambia and Zimbabwe. Design/methodology/approach Annual time series data for a panel of 11 Southern African countries spanning 1980–2015 were employed in the study. The major instrument of estimation is the dynamic regressio

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Korhonen, Iikka, and Maria Ritola. "An Empirical Note on the Success of Forecasting Economic Developments in Major Emerging Markets." Asian Economic Papers 13, no. 1 (2014): 131–54. http://dx.doi.org/10.1162/asep_a_00260.

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In this paper we assess the rationality and goodness-of-fit of macroeconomic forecasts for 21 large emerging market countries during the past two decades. We find that in some countries forecasts have not been rational in the sense that they seem to have a systematic bias. We also find that for both GDP growth and inflation the forecast errors are larger for more volatile economies. For some countries GDP and inflation forecast errors have positive correlation, which is consistent with New Keynesian macromodels, whereas for other countries this is not the case. Our results suggest that relying

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Josifidis, Kosta, Emilija Beker-Pucar, Sladjana Srdic, and Gabriela Ivan. "Inflation targeting in advanced vs. emerging economies before and after the crisis." Panoeconomicus 61, no. 1 (2014): 79–106. http://dx.doi.org/10.2298/pan1401079j.

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Emerging economies have specificities which distance them compared to advanced economies in practicing inflation targeting (IT) monetary regime. One of the main differences in performing IT in advanced compared to emerging economies is ?fear of floating? problem in emerging group. However, on the road from exchange rate (ER) as a nominal anchor to IT, differences between advanced and emerging economies concerning ?fear of floating? have been more or less narrowed. In this paper we are concentrated to selected aspects of ER pass-through to prices and output, as well as (in)direct monetary polic

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Smirnov, V. V. "Considerations on national interests in financial flows of global social and economic entities." Finance and Credit 26, no. 5 (2020): 1017–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.24891/fc.26.5.1017.

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Subject. The article investigates financial flows. Objectives. The study is to determine directions of financial flows in global social and economic entities. Methods. I rely upon the systems approach and methods of descriptive statistics. Results. The article illustrates the importance of national interests in financial flows of global social and economic entities. I emphasize that finance is a factor determining the importance of national interests. Finance mirrors the national development and opportunities of a social and economic entity to protect its sovereignty. Sustainable development s

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Katusiime, Lorna. "Mobile Money Use: The Impact of Macroeconomic Policy and Regulation." Economies 9, no. 2 (2021): 51. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/economies9020051.

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This paper examines the effects of macroeconomic policy and regulatory environment on mobile money usage. Specifically, we develop an autoregressive distributed lag model to investigate the effect of key macroeconomic variables and mobile money tax on mobile money usage in Uganda. Using monthly data spanning the period March 2009 to September 2020, we find that in the short run, mobile money usage is positively affected by inflation while financial innovation, exchange rate, interest rates and mobile money tax negatively affect mobile money usage in Uganda. In the long run, mobile money usage

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Roncaglia de Carvalho, André. "A SECOND-GENERATION STRUCTURALIST TRANSFORMATION PROBLEM: THE RISE OF THE INERTIAL INFLATION HYPOTHESIS." Journal of the History of Economic Thought 41, no. 1 (2019): 47–75. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1053837218000391.

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The paper analyzes the rise of the Latin American-based inertial inflation theory. Starting in the 1950s, various traditions in economics purported to explain the concept of “inflation inertia.” Contributions ranging from Celso Furtado and Mário Henrique Simonsen to James Tobin anticipated key aspects of what later became the inertial inflation hypothesis, building it into either mathematical or conceptual frameworks compatible with the then contemporaneous macroeconomic theory. In doing so, they bridged the analytical gap with the North American developments while maintaining the key features

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Glaziev, Sergei. "Transformation of the Soviet Economy: Economic Reforms and Structural Crisis." National Institute Economic Review 138 (November 1991): 97–108. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/002795019113800109.

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This article analyses the current problems of the Soviet economy's reform process. The process of transition to a market economy in the Soviet Union, where an extreme degree of monopoly prevails, has been characterised by declining production and accelerating inflation. The rapid growth of the market sector in the situation of highly distorted and heavily regulated prices, dominance of state enterprises, and unclear property rights, leads to the concentration of entrepreneurial activity mainly in speculative operations involving the redistribution of state property, to the deterioration of the

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Ndubuaku, Victor, Victor Inim, Udo Emmanuel Samuel, Idamoyibo Hwerien Rosemary, and Abner Ishaku Prince. "Financial Development on Employment Rate in Nigeria." Research in World Economy 12, no. 1 (2021): 267. http://dx.doi.org/10.5430/rwe.v12n1p267.

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This study examines financial development on employment rate in Nigeria on the premise of goal 8 of the sustainable development goals (SDGs). Using the ARDL model and annualized time-series data from 1999-2019. Findings revealed a positive and statistically significant impact of financial development on employment rate. Supporting the Phillips curve of an inverse nexus between inflation rate and unemployment rate. The findings contravene Okun’s law of a negative relationship between economic growth and unemployment rate. The study recommences a policy framework to influence the operational and

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Victor, Vijay, Joshy Joseph Karakunnel, Swetha Loganathan, and Daniel Francois Meyer. "From a Recession to the COVID-19 Pandemic: Inflation–Unemployment Comparison between the UK and India." Economies 9, no. 2 (2021): 73. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/economies9020073.

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The recession in India and the UK peaked in 2017 due to the implications of new policy initiatives. The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic at the beginning of 2020 intensified the crisis, causing a drastic decline in aggregate demand and output. India and the UK have resorted to monetary and fiscal stimulus packages to face the economic crisis. This study investigated the inflation–unemployment dynamics during the recession and COVID-19 times in India and the UK. Using a generalized additive model (GAM), the results of this study revealed that the recession had given way to stagflation in India

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Thach, Nguyen Ngoc, Nguyen Van Bao, Dinh Tran Ngoc Huy, et al. "Measuring the Volatility of Market Risk of Vietnam Banking Industry After the Low Inflation Period 2015–2017." Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies 23, no. 04 (2020): 2050029. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s0219091520500290.

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The Vietnam economy has gained lots of achievements after the financial crisis 2007–2011, until it reached a low inflation rate of 0.6% in 2015. This paper measures the volatility of market risk in Vietnam banking industry after this period (2015–2017). The main reason is the vital role of the bank system in Vietnam in the economic development and growth in recent years always goes with risk potential and risk control policies. This research paper aims to figure out the increase or decrease in the market risk of Vietnam banking firms during the post-low inflation period 2015–2017. First, by us

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Uzum, Paul, Ailemen Ochei Ikpefan, Alexander Ehimare Omankhanlen, Jeremiah Ogaga Ejemeyovwi, and Benjamin Ighodalo Ehikioya. "Enabling stock market development in Africa: A review of the macroeconomic drivers." Investment Management and Financial Innovations 18, no. 1 (2021): 357–64. http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.18(1).2021.29.

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Africa has underdeveloped stock markets that have failed to meet the continent’s capital needs, such as rapid economic growth. This research analyzes the key drivers of stock market development in Africa from a macroeconomic perspective. The study examines several macroeconomic variables, including credit to the private sector, foreign direct investment, external reserves, money supply, external trade, per capita GDP, inflation, and lending rate to explain stock market development in Africa. The study builds a panel data consisting of eight African countries from 1994 to 2018 and applies the p

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Aye Sudarto. "PERTUMBUHAN DAN PERKEMBANGAN EKONOMI MAKRO SYARIAH DI INDONESIA." At Taajir : Jurnal Ekonomi, Bisnis dan Keuangan Syariah 1, no. 1 (2019): 59–76. http://dx.doi.org/10.47902/attaajir.v1i1.28.

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Abstract Macroeconomics that play an important role can often have a serious impact on a country's growth. We can mention one by one what is part of the macro economy that affects the national economy are low economic growth, poverty and unemployment, inflation, low rupiah exchange rate, energy crisis, state budget deficit, and imbalance of trade balance and payments become adult national economic problems this. In view of the growth, development, opportunities and challenges of sharia macroeconomics in Indonesia, it is important that we first understand the economic system adopted by In

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Vértesy, László. "Macroeconomic Legal Trends in the EU11 Countries." Public Governance, Administration and Finances Law Review 3, no. 1 (2018): 94–108. http://dx.doi.org/10.53116/pgaflr.2018.1.9.

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This contribution deals with the macroeconomic legal trends in the Eastern member states of the European Union, so called EU11: Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia. The paper discusses the development from the 1990s to nowadays, emphasizing the initial changes and the consolidation after the financial crisis. Therefore, the fiscal policy bears a major attention: fiscal and budgetary stability, government debts, fiscal controls (auditing and independent fiscal councils), for a more comprehensive overview, some ports

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