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Dissertations / Theses on the topic 'Economics – Simulation methods'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 10 December 2022

Last updated: 31 July 2025

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1

Smith, Gregory Steven. "Applications of quantitative methods in environmental economics : econometrics, simulation modelling and experiments." Thesis, University of East Anglia, 2016. https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/57421/.

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In Part I of this thesis we employ novel econometric techniques to explore elicitation anomalies in contingent valuation (CV). According to standard assumptions regarding preferences, changes in the way values are elicited in CV questions should be decision irrelevant. That responses are observed to systematically differ according to elicitation format has, therefore, called the CV method into question. One possible explanation lies in the proposition that respondents are uncertain about their preferences and that their uncertainty precipitates systematically different responses to different q

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2

Frohwerk, Sascha. "Asymmetrien in der Neuen Ökonomischen Geographie : Modelle, Simulationsmethoden und wirtschaftspolitische Diskussion." Phd thesis, Universität Potsdam, 2010. http://opus.kobv.de/ubp/volltexte/2011/4915/.

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Die Neue Ökonomische Geographie (NEG) erklärt Agglomerationen aus einem mikroökonomischen Totalmodell heraus. Zur Vereinfachung werden verschiedene Symmetrieannahmen getätigt. So wird davon ausgegangen, dass die betrachteten Regionen die gleiche Größe haben, die Ausgabenanteile für verschiedene Gütergruppen identisch sind und die Transportkosten für alle Industrieprodukte die selben sind. Eine Folge dieser Annahmen ist es, dass zwar erklärt werden kann, unter welchen Bedingungen es zur Agglomerationsbildung kommt, nicht aber wo dies geschieht. In dieser Arbeit werden drei Standardmodelle der

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3

Low, Hamish Wallace. "Simulation methods and economic analysis." Thesis, University College London (University of London), 1999. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.392495.

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4

Tiwisina, Johannes [Verfasser]. "Essays on simulation methods in economic dynamics / Johannes Tiwisina." Bielefeld : Universitätsbibliothek Bielefeld, 2016. http://d-nb.info/108148781X/34.

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5

Rozario, Jewel Augustine, and Osman Abdelkader Hamid. "A systematic approach to assess the relocation of the business centres to a logistics platform: A case study on DHL Freight AB (Sweden)." Thesis, Högskolan i Gävle, Industriell ekonomi, 2018. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:hig:diva-27244.

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The relocation of logistic companies’ from the inner centres to the logistic platforms significantly affects both the supply chain management and the urban sustainability development. Recently the concept of city logistics and intermodality has received a significant attention from both academics and decision makers. City logistics play a pivotal role to ensure the liveability of urban areas but, in parallel, urban freight transport also has a significant effect on the quality of life in the urban settings. Optimization of urban freight transportation have an important input in the context of

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6

Dillon, Krystal Renee. "A simulation-optimization method for economic efficient design of net zero energy buildings." Thesis, Georgia Institute of Technology, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/51909.

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Buildings have a significant impact on energy usage and the environment. Much of the research in architectural sustainability has centered on economically advanced countries because they consume the most energy and have the most resources. However, sustainable architecture is important in developing countries, where the energy consumption of the building sector is increasing significantly. Currently, developing countries struggle with vaccine storage because vaccines are typically warehoused in old buildings that are poorly designed and wasteful of energy. This thesis created and studied a

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McFerran, Ethna. "Health economic evaluation of alternatives to current surveillance in colorectal adenoma at risk of colorectal cancer." Thesis, Queen's University Belfast, 2018. https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.766286.

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The thesis provides a comprehensive overview of key issues affecting practice, policy and patients, in current efforts for colorectal cancer (CRC) disease control. The global burden of CRC is expected to increase by 60% to more than 2.2 million new cases and 1.1 million deaths by 2030. CRC incidence and mortality rates vary up to 10-fold worldwide, which is thought to reflect variation in lifestyles, especially diet. Better primary prevention, and more effective early detection, in screening and surveillance, are needed to reduce the number of patients with CRC in future1. The risk factors for

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8

Duder, Sydney. "Cards, dice and lifestyles : gaming a guaranteed annual income." Thesis, McGill University, 1987. http://digitool.Library.McGill.CA:80/R/?func=dbin-jump-full&object_id=72093.

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A simulation game was designed to examine the impact of a guaranteed annual income (GAI). The sample of 158 player-objects included factory and clerical workers, high school dropouts, single mothers, and CEGEP and university social work students. To establish the validity of the game, the working and spending behaviour of players was compared with results reported for the New Jersey negative income tax experiment, and found to be similar in a number of respects. The game also simulated two features not present in the New Jersey experiment: (a) variable labour-market conditions, and (b) compari

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9

Mrdalo, Zvonimir. "A comparison of the economic efficiency of the petroleum fiscal systems under uncertainty : a Monte Carlo simulation approach." Thesis, University of Aberdeen, 2011. http://digitool.abdn.ac.uk:80/webclient/DeliveryManager?pid=189500.

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10

Curtis, J. Jeffrey. "Mixed structural models for decision making under uncertainty using stochastic system simulation and experimental economic methods : application to information security control choice." Thesis, University of Reading, 2016. http://centaur.reading.ac.uk/80444/.

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This research is concerned with whether and to what extent information security managers may be biased in their evaluation of and decision making over the quantifiable risks posed by information management systems where the circumstances may be characterized by uncertainty in both the risk inputs (e.g. system threat and vulnerability factors) and outcomes (actual efficacy of the selected security controls and the resulting system performance and associated business impacts). Although ‘quantified security’ and any associated risk management remains problematic from both a theoretical and empiri

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11

Kurth, Andrew Hamilton. "A Stochastic Simulation of the North Dakota Ethanol Production Incentive." Thesis, North Dakota State University, 2009. https://hdl.handle.net/10365/29635.

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The objective of this research is to determine the effect the North Dakota Ethanol Production Incentive has on ethanol plant survivability. This thesis uses a stochastic simulation to show the financial performance of an ethanol plant with and without subsidy support. Historical corn and ethanol prices are used to simulate market conditions a typical ethanol might face. Using the forecast prices, an ethanol plant balance sheet was created to show how a plant would perform in normal market conditions, as well as how the plant would perform with the Ethanol Production Incentive and also with alt

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12

Poole, Martin. "A technical and economic review of gas turbine cogeneration in Australia and the influence of energy prices and economic instruments." Phd thesis, Department of Chemical Engineering, 2004. http://hdl.handle.net/2123/5768.

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13

Rauktytė, Aidana. "VaR METODOLOGIJOS ANALIZĖ IR METODŲ PRAKTINIS TAIKYMAS." Master's thesis, Lithuanian Academic Libraries Network (LABT), 2010. http://vddb.laba.lt/obj/LT-eLABa-0001:E.02~2010~D_20101108_095132-99409.

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Magistro darbe nagrinėjamas šiuo metu vienas moderniausių rizikos matų – rizikos vertė (angl.Value-at-risk) Analizuojami trys pagrindiniai VaR rodiklio skaičiavimo metodai: variacijos/kovariacijos, istorinio modeliavimo ir Monte Karlo simuliacijos keliamų prielaidų, sudėtingumo ir adekvatumo požiūriais. Visų trijų metodų pagalba dabartinėmis rinkos sąlygomis atliekami empiriniai tyrimai, siekiant įvertinti rizikos vertes valiutų ir akcijų rinkose, atlikta gautų rizikos verčių palyginamoji analizė bei patikrintas naudotų metodų tikslumas. Autorės suformuluota hipotezė, kad VaR rodiklio skaičiav

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14

Marinelli, Marco Antonio. "Modelling and communicating the effects of spatial data uncertainty on spatially based decision-making." Thesis, Curtin University, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/1842.

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Important economic and environmental decisions are routinely based on spatial/ temporal models. This thesis studies the uncertainty in the predictions of three such models caused by uncertainty propagation. This is considered important as it quantifies the sensitivity of a model’s prediction to uncertainty in other components of the model, such as the model’s inputs. Furthermore, many software packages that implement these models do not permit users to easily visualize either the uncertainty in the data inputs, the effects of the model on the magnitude of that uncertainty, or the sensitivity o

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15

Madeira, Marcelo Gomes. "Comparação de tecnicas de analise de risco aplicadas ao desenvolvimento de campos de petroleo." [s.n.], 2005. http://repositorio.unicamp.br/jspui/handle/REPOSIP/263732.

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Orientadores: Denis Jose Schiozer, Eliana L. Ligero<br>Dissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Faculdade de Engenharia Mecanica, Instituto de Geociencias<br>Made available in DSpace on 2018-08-04T09:02:20Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Madeira_MarceloGomes_M.pdf: 1487066 bytes, checksum: 39d5e48bf728f51d3c85f7d5ef207d41 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2005<br>Resumo: Os processos de tomada de decisões em campos de petróleo estão associados a grandes riscos provenientes de incertezas geológicas, econômicas e tecnológicas e altos investimentos. Nas fases de avaliação e desenvolvim

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Furlani, Luiz Gustavo Cassilatti. "Flutuações cambiais e política monetária no Brasil : evidências econométricas e de simulação." reponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFRGS, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/10183/14996.

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A literatura sobre economia monetária vem despertando interesse crescente dentro da macroeconomia. Devido aos avanços computacionais, os modelos têm se tornado cada vez mais complexos e precisos, permitindo estudar detalhadamente as relações entre as variáveis reais da economia e as variáveis nominais. Dessa forma, através de um modelo de equilíbriogeral estocástico e dinâmico (DSGE) baseado em Gali e Monacelli (2005), é proposto e estimado um modelo para a economia brasileira através de métodos bayesianos, com o intuito de avaliar se o Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) considera variações cambiai

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17

Popiolek, Nathalie. "Modèle prospectif de consommation d'énergie dans l'agriculture : le cas de la fertilisation azotée a l'horizon 2010." Grenoble 2, 1993. http://www.theses.fr/1993GRE21027.

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La premiere partie de cette these donne une vision critique des methodes de prospective disponibles. A l'issue de ce panorama est presentee la methodologie prospective choisie pour la construction du model. Cette construction constitue la deuxieme etape du travail. Le systeme "energie et fertilisation azotee" est defini, (liste des variables cles pour son evolution a l'horizon 2010, analyse de leurs relations) puis modelise en mettant l'accent sur la demande d'engrais azotes. A l'horizon 2010, celle-ci est determinee a l7aide d'un modele de programmation lineaire (aropaj) traduisant les choix

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18

Thiebaut, Sophie. "Maladies chroniques et pertes d'autonomie chez les personnes âgees : évolutions des dépenses de santé et de la prise en charge de la dépendance sous l'effet du vieillissement de la population." Thesis, Aix-Marseille 2, 2011. http://www.theses.fr/2011AIX24026.

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Fondée sur deux analyses empiriques et sur un travail de modélisation théorique, cette thèse traite de la problématique du vieillissement de la population, en France, en termes de dépenses de biens et services de santé, et en termes de prise en charge des personnes âgées dépendantes. Dans un premier chapitre, une méthode de microsimulation dynamique est mise au point afin d'évaluer l'évolution des dépenses de médicaments remboursables (en médecine de ville) sous l'effet du vieillissement de la population et de l'évolution de l'état de santé chronique des personnes âgées. Un deuxième chapitre s

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19

Горкуненко, Андрій Борисович, Андрей Борисович Горкуненко та A. B. Horkunenko. "Моделювання та методи аналізу і прогнозування циклічних економічних процесів в інформаційних системах підтримки прийняття рішень". Thesis, Тернопільський національний технічний університет ім. Івана Пулюя, 2013. http://elartu.tntu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/2033.

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Робота виконана в Тернопільському національному технічному університеті імені Івана Пулюя Міністерства освіти і науки України. Захист відбувся у 2013 р. на засіданні спеціалізованої вченої ради К58.052.01 у Тернопільському національному технічному університеті імені Івана Пулюя за адресою: 46001, м. Тернопіль, вул. Руська, буд. 56, корп. 2, ауд. 79. З дисертацією можна ознайомитися в науково-технічній бібліотеці Тернопільського національного технічного університету імені Івана Пулюя за адресою: 46001, м. Тернопіль, вул. Руська, 56.<br>Дисертацію присвячено розробленню математичних модел

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20

Pérgola, Gabriel Campos. "Seguro contra risco de downside de uma carteira: uma proposta híbrida frequentista-Bayesiana com uso de derivativos." reponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/10438/10468.

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Submitted by Gabriel Campos Pérgola (gabrielpergola@gmail.com) on 2013-02-04T12:56:43Z No. of bitstreams: 1 DissertationGabrielPergola2013.pdf: 521205 bytes, checksum: 85369078a82b0d5cc02f8248961e9214 (MD5)<br>Rejected by Suzinei Teles Garcia Garcia (suzinei.garcia@fgv.br), reason: Prezado Gabriel, Não recebemos os arquivo em PDF. Att. Suzi 3799-7876 on 2013-02-05T18:53:00Z (GMT)<br>Submitted by Gabriel Campos Pérgola (gabrielpergola@gmail.com) on 2013-02-05T19:00:17Z No. of bitstreams: 2 DissertationGabrielPergola2013.pdf: 521205 bytes, checksum: 85369078a82b0d5cc02f8248961e9214 (M

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Bilha, Vitor Meira. "Análise do processo de retificação interna aplicado à fabricação de bicos injetores diesel." Universidade Tecnológica Federal do Paraná, 2015. http://repositorio.utfpr.edu.br/jspui/handle/1/1889.

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A utilização mais eficiente dos recursos naturais tem levado a indústria a aumentar a eficiência dos produtos manufaturados. Veículos de transporte Diesel estão incluídos neste cenário. Nos motores Diesel, um componente importante do sistema de injeção é o bico injetor. Uma legislação recente no Brasil introduziu limites de emissões EURO5. Estes novos parâmetros tiveram impacto no projeto do bico injetor com tolerâncias sendo reduzidas, em especial na área da sede do corpo do bico injetor, alterando o parâmetro funcional de pressão de abertura do produto. Neste cenário, o impacto desta superfí

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22

Puigoriol, Forcada Josep Maria. "Una metodología para caracterización elastoplástica cuasi-estática simplificada de materiales termoplásticos inyectados en proceso industrial para simulación estructural." Doctoral thesis, Universitat Ramon Llull, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/10803/121469.

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En la present investigació es planteja una metodologia de caracterització de materials per alimentar el model constitutiu elastoplàstic de Von Mises amb enduriment isotròpic, per obtenir una millor resposta en simulacions computacionals estàtiques (CAE) de peces fabricades amb termoplàstics. Aquesta estratègia de caracterització ha de resultar simple pel que fa a aplicació, per a facilitar l’ús en l’exercici habitual d’indústria. Es presenten els models constitutius usualment utilitzats en el sector industrial per donar resposta a problemes de no linealitat de material en estàtica, per aquest

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23

Beisler, Matthias Werner. "Modelling of input data uncertainty based on random set theory for evaluation of the financial feasibility for hydropower projects." Doctoral thesis, Technische Universitaet Bergakademie Freiberg Universitaetsbibliothek "Georgius Agricola", 2011. http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bsz:105-qucosa-71564.

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The design of hydropower projects requires a comprehensive planning process in order to achieve the objective to maximise exploitation of the existing hydropower potential as well as future revenues of the plant. For this purpose and to satisfy approval requirements for a complex hydropower development, it is imperative at planning stage, that the conceptual development contemplates a wide range of influencing design factors and ensures appropriate consideration of all related aspects. Since the majority of technical and economical parameters that are required for detailed and final design can

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24

Forneron, Jean-Jacques Mitchell. "Essays on Simulation-Based Estimation." Thesis, 2018. https://doi.org/10.7916/D8PZ6RXC.

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Complex nonlinear dynamic models with an intractable likelihood or moments are increasingly common in economics. A popular approach to estimating these models is to match informative sample moments with simulated moments from a fully parameterized model using SMM or Indirect Inference. This dissertation consists of three chapters exploring different aspects of such simulation-based estimation methods. The following chapters are presented in the order in which they were written during my thesis. Chapter 1, written with Serena Ng, provides an overview of existing frequentist and Bayesian s

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25

Michael, Beeler. "The Use of Simulation Methods to Understand and Control Pandemic Influenza." Thesis, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/1807/33335.

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This thesis investigates several uses of simulation methods to understand and control pandemic influenza in urban settings. An agent-based simulation, which models pandemic spread in a large metropolitan area, is used for two main purposes: to identify the shape of the distribution of pandemic outcomes, and to test for the presence of complex relationships between public health policy responses and underlying pandemic characteristics. The usefulness of pandemic simulation as a tool for assessing the cost-effectiveness of vaccination programs is critically evaluated through a rigorous compariso

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26

Mohsen, Fadi. "Internetbasierte Lehr-/Lernmethoden für die wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Hochschulausbildung." Doctoral thesis, 2002. http://hdl.handle.net/11858/00-1735-0000-000D-F265-A.

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Parandvash, G. Hossein. "On the incorporation of nonnumeric information into the estimation of economic relationships in the presence of multicollinearity." Thesis, 1987. http://hdl.handle.net/1957/26851.

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Oh, Young-Soo. "Optimal fiscal policy for the provision of local public services : some simulation results for the case of elementary education in Korea." Thesis, 1990. http://hdl.handle.net/10125/9625.

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Robinson, Robert Howard. "An economic model of an open pit mine." Thesis, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/10539/18256.

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"A prototype of collaborative virtual geographic environments to facilitate air pollution simulation." Thesis, 2009. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b6074966.

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Air pollution simulation has several components, including data preparation, atmospheric circulation and air pollution dispersion modelling and computation, visualization of the model computation results, analysis and model evaluation. Of these components, only atmospheric circulation and air pollution dispersion modelling and computation are mature, while the other components are weak to a greater or lesser extent. To address these weaknesses, this thesis proposes to integrate the data, modelling and analysis into a multi-dimension, virtual geographically referenced environment. In addition,

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31

Okeke, Tobenna. "Simulation and Economic Screening of Improved Oil Recovery Methods with Emphasis on Injection Profile Control Including Waterflooding, Polymer Flooding and a Thermally Activated Deep Diverting Gel." Thesis, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/ETD-TAMU-2012-05-10765.

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The large volume of water produced during the extraction of oil presents a significant problem due to the high cost of disposal in an environmentally friendly manner. On average, an estimated seven barrels of water is produced per barrel of oil in the US alone and the associated treatment and disposal cost is an estimated $5-10 billion. Besides making oil-water separation more complex, produced water also causes problems such as corrosion in the wellbore, decline in production rate and ultimate recovery of hydrocarbons and premature well or field abandonment. Water production can be more pr

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Gomes, Diogo Filipe Meireles. "A comparative evaluation of VaR models using Monte Carlo simulations." Master's thesis, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/10071/21164.

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Quantile regression models emerges as an alternative Value-at-Risk (VaR) methodology that does not require any specific distribution assumption. This dissertation describes and tests a recent quantile regression VaR model that introduces a nontrivial transformation enabling the use of Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) volatility models, proposed by Zheng et al. (2018). His study has shown that this approach to the conditional quantile estimation for a GARCH(1,1) model provides promising results. We test this new model against a group of benchmarks composed

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Magagula, Sibusiso Vusi. "Jump-diffusion based-simulated expected shortfall (SES) method of correcting value-at-risk (VaR) under-prediction tendencies in stressed economic climate." Diss., 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10500/18801.

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Value-at-Risk (VaR) model fails to predict financial risk accurately especially during financial crises. This is mainly due to the model’s inability to calibrate new market information and the fact that the risk measure is characterised by poor tail risk quantification. An alternative approach which comprises of the Expected Shortfall measure and the Lognormal Jump-Diffusion (LJD) model has been developed to address the aforementioned shortcomings of VaR. This model is called the Simulated-Expected-Shortfall (SES) model. The Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) approach is used in determining

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Sulistyawati, Endah. "An agent-based simulation of land-use in a swidden agricultural landscape of the Kantu' in Kalimantan, Indonesia." Phd thesis, 2001. http://hdl.handle.net/1885/146045.

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Marashi, Amir. "Predictive modelling for health and health-care utilisation : an observational study for Australians aged 45 and up." Thesis, 2019. http://hdl.handle.net/1959.7/uws:53066.

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The burden of chronic disease is growing at a fast pace, leading to poor quality of life and high healthcare expenditures in a large portion of the Australian population. Much of the burden is borne by hospitals, and therefore there is an ever-increasing interest in preventative interventions that can keep people out of hospitals and healthier for longer periods. There is a wide range of potential interventions that may be able to achieve this goal, and policy makers need to decide which one should be funded and implemented. This task is difficult for two reasons: first it is often not clear w

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Nelson, Mark E. "An analysis of calving season strategies." 1986. http://hdl.handle.net/2097/22123.

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(8800949), Patrick N. Maier. "A Bioeconomic Model of Indoor Pacific Whiteleg Shrimp (Litopenaeus Vannamei) Farms With Low-Cost Salt Mixtures." Thesis, 2020.

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Using a bioeconomic model and stochastic simulation to assess the economic viability of small-scale, recirculating shrimp farms in the Midwestern U.S. A series of stress tests were implemented on key input variables including survival rate, selling price, electricity usage, discount rate and the cost of added salt. The key output variable is the Net Present Value of the operation. <div><br></div><div><br></div>

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Correia, Jorge Filipe Almeida. "A decision support tool for retail product assortment." Master's thesis, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/10071/4293.

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Classificação JEL: C63 – Técnicas computacionais, Simulação. C81 – Metodologia para recolha, estimação e organização de dados microeconómicos; Análise de dados.<br>A gestão de uma gama de produtos é uma das áreas mais importantes para o retalho e para os gestores de categoria. A criação de uma gama de produtos exige a análise de um vasto número de artigos e variáveis. Daqui resulta a necessidade de criar uma ferramenta informática que auxilie o gestor na criação de gamas de produtos. Assim, foi desenvolvido um modelo de simulação com base num problema de programação não linear inteira mista

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Beisler, Matthias Werner. "Modelling of input data uncertainty based on random set theory for evaluation of the financial feasibility for hydropower projects." Doctoral thesis, 2010. https://tubaf.qucosa.de/id/qucosa%3A22775.

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The design of hydropower projects requires a comprehensive planning process in order to achieve the objective to maximise exploitation of the existing hydropower potential as well as future revenues of the plant. For this purpose and to satisfy approval requirements for a complex hydropower development, it is imperative at planning stage, that the conceptual development contemplates a wide range of influencing design factors and ensures appropriate consideration of all related aspects. Since the majority of technical and economical parameters that are required for detailed and final design can

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