Relevant bibliographies by topics / Electoral potential

Contents

  1. Journal articles
  2. Dissertations / Theses
  3. Books
  4. Book chapters
  5. Conference papers
  6. Reports

Academic literature on the topic 'Electoral potential'

Author: Grafiati
Published: 28 May 2022
Last updated: 31 July 2025

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Journal articles on the topic "Electoral potential"

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Yushkina, N. A. "Public politicians electoral potential in social media." Vestnik Universiteta, no. 1 (March 2, 2022): 188–96. http://dx.doi.org/10.26425/1816-4277-2022-1-188-196.

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The object of the study are representatives of Russian political elite and their electorate in social networks. The aim of the study is to assess the impact on the electoral potential of politicians of their online communications with their audiences. The main quantitative indicators of the presence and activity of the Russian public politicians on Facebook, Instagram and Youtube, successful interaction forms between government representatives and the society, indexes of popularity, activity, audience loyalty, as well as visual features of the accounts’ content were analysed. Feedback in the a
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KRYVOSHEIN, Vitalii. "POLLSTER APPROACH VERSUS SOCIOLOGICAL APPROACH TO CONDUCTING ELECTORAL RESEARCH." Epistemological Studies in Philosophy Social and Political Sciences 6, no. 1 (2023): 89–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.15421/342312.

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The purpose of the study is to consider the advantages and disadvantages of pollster and sociological approaches to electoral research.The article shows that conducting electoral research in modern election campaigns is carried out equally by pollster (for purely political purposes) and sociological (for scientific and sociological purposes) technologies. It has been proven that optimal results can be achieved by combining pollster and sociological approaches to electoral research. It was determined that today the organization of an effective election campaign requires equally sociologists-pol
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Preye Winston Biu, Johnson Sunday Oliha, and Ogagua Chimezie Obi. "LEVERAGING GIS FOR ENHANCED COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT IN ELECTIONS: A REVIEW OF PRACTICES, IMPACT, AND CIVIC RESPONSIBILITY." Engineering Science & Technology Journal 5, no. 2 (2024): 471–82. http://dx.doi.org/10.51594/estj.v5i2.825.

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In contemporary democracies, fostering active citizen participation in electoral processes stands as a fundamental pillar of governance. Leveraging Geographic Information Systems (GIS) has emerged as a potent tool in facilitating enhanced community engagement in elections. This review delves into a comprehensive review of practices, impact, and civic responsibility associated with the integration of GIS in electoral processes. GIS technologies offer a spatial dimension to electoral data, enabling stakeholders to visualize, analyze, and disseminate information pertinent to the voting populace.
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Mulgan, Aurelia George. "Electoral Determinants of Agrarian Power: Measuring Rural Decline in Japan." Political Studies 45, no. 5 (1997): 875–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1467-9248.00117.

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The Japanese farm sector illustrates the key measures of rural electoral influence in advanced industrialized societies and the principal causes of decline in the electoral basis of agrarian power. The political impact of the farm vote is sensitive to wider social, economic and demographic changes as well as to restructuring processes in electoral, organizational and party-political systems. In Japan's case the agricultural electorate continues to shrink along with the electoral profile of rural and semi-rural constituencies and the number of farm politicians in the Diet, although the orientat
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Dr., Y. Janardhana Reddy. "An Exploration into the Hindrance and Provocation of Electoral Reforms in India"." International Journal of Advance and Applied Research 4, no. 16 (2023): 56–60. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7939820.

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India is the most populous democracy in the world, and elections there are always free and impartial. The core of India's democratic system is evidenced by fair elections, attended by the largest electorate in the world. In order to protect the basic values of democracy, a free and fair election process with increased citizen participation is needed in this dynamic scenario. But the taint of corrupt practices eclipses the moonbeams of our electoral process. Today, the question of electoral reform arises in the context of the progressive deterioration of electoral politics and the urgent ne
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Salamon, Jeremiasz. "Specyfika głosowania podzielonego w nowozelandzkich trigger electorates. Wnioski z wyborów do Izby Reprezentantów z lat 1996–2020." Athenaeum Polskie Studia Politologiczne 82, no. 2 (2024): 191–210. https://doi.org/10.15804/athena.2024.82.11.

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This article characterizes the impact that the alternative electoral threshold operating in the mixed electoral system for the House of Representatives has on the behaviour of a part of the electorate of the two largest New Zealand political parties. This mechanism causes some National Party and Labour Party voters, motivated by the desire to support a potential junior coalition partner in obtaining parliamentary representation, to opt for a strategic ticket-splitting, which follows a different pattern to previously described in the literature. This type of electoral behaviour is particularly
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Jensen, Thomas, and Andreas Madum. "Partisan optimism and political bargaining." Journal of Theoretical Politics 29, no. 2 (2016): 191–213. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0951629816630435.

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Partisan voters are optimistic about electoral outcomes: their estimates of the probability of electoral success for their party are substantially higher than the average among the electorate. This has large potential implications for political bargaining. Optimistic electoral expectations make costly bargaining delay look more favourable, which may induce partisans to punish their party for agreeing to a compromise rather than waiting, for example by not turning out to vote. Party decision makers should take this into account when bargaining. We set up and analyse a simple game theoretic mode
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Алексей Юрьевич, Терентьев. "THE POTENTIAL OF PROTEST VOTING IN RUSSIAN SOCIETY." STATE AND MUNICIPAL MANAGEMENT SCHOLAR NOTES 4, no. 4 (2021): 291–97. http://dx.doi.org/10.22394/2079-1690-2021-1-4-291-297.

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The article analyzes the phenomenon of protest voting – a negative form of electoral behavior, which demonstrates dissatisfaction with government policies and performance. The available data show the stable growth of negative trends in socio-economic development and subjective perception of the state of affairs in the country (since 2018), which is the basis for changes in electoral behavior. The 2018 governors’ elections showed several successful examples of rational protest voting. The persistence of negative trends in social development is a fundamental prerequisite for the expansion of ele
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Алексей Юрьевич, Терентьев. "THE POTENTIAL OF PROTEST VOTING IN RUSSIAN SOCIETY." STATE AND MUNICIPAL MANAGEMENT SCHOLAR NOTES 4, no. 4 (2021): 291–97. http://dx.doi.org/10.22394/2079-1690-2021-1-4-291-297.

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The article analyzes the phenomenon of protest voting – a negative form of electoral behavior, which demonstrates dissatisfaction with government policies and performance. The available data show the stable growth of negative trends in socio-economic development and subjective perception of the state of affairs in the country (since 2018), which is the basis for changes in electoral behavior. The 2018 governors’ elections showed several successful examples of rational protest voting. The persistence of negative trends in social development is a fundamental prerequisite for the expansion of ele
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Minaeva, L. V. "Potential of Digital Technologies in Election Campaigns." Communicology 12, no. 1 (2024): 13–27. http://dx.doi.org/10.21453/2311-3065-2024-12-1-13-27.

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Currently, the active introduction of digital technologies into the field of political communication has led to a transformation of electoral discourse structure. Big data analysis techniques are widely used at the preparation stage to identify the target electorate; at the communication stage, machine learning technology helps to pinpoint fakes and monitor the media, and neural networks create campaign content. Digital technologies enable actors in the political process to communicate with the electorate through channels independent of mainstream traditional media, densify the information env
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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Electoral potential"

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Ящинська, Г. Л. "Особливості електорального потенціалу та електоральної активності населення України". Thesis, Сумський державний університет, 2014. http://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/34749.

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За роки незалежності Україну можна охарактеризувати як державу з високою політичною активністю населення. Політична діяльність населення як складова політичної системи суспільства аналізується на основі ряду показників, найважливішими з яких є електоральний потенціал, електоральна активність та електоральні уподобання населення. При цитуванні документа, використовуйте посилання http://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/34749
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Medvedev, Russell J. "The German electoral system and its potential application to Canada." 1995. http://hdl.handle.net/1993/18998.

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Cowie, Chadwick R. J. "Validity and potential: dual-citizenship and the Indigenous vote in Canada's federal electoral process." 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/1993/22226.

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This thesis seeks to explore the idea of Indigenous participation in Canada’s federal electoral system and whether such involvement can wield positive change to the Canadian/Indigenous relationship. The analysis presented throughout this thesis highlights the development of a tarnished Canadian/Indigenous relationship as well as the debate surrounding the belonging of Indigenous peoples in relation to the Canadian state and their own Indigenous nations. Additionally, this thesis demonstrates that Indigenous peoples voting in Canada’s electoral system do not hinder Indigenous sovereignty, but m
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Ke, Chong. "Infrastructure, Participation and Legal Reforms: An Analysis of the Politics and Potentials of Village Elections in China." Thesis, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/1828/4732.

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Inspired by critiques of controlled elections under “single-party rule,” this dissertation explores the performance, implications and potentials of China’s village elections. It first reviews the most important studies on the progress of China’s grassroots democracy and then analyzes the social-political background of village self-management which to date has been neglected in the academic literature. Based on empirical studies conducted in Sichuan, this dissertation investigates the roles and attitudes of various participatory groups in village elections and in the course of electoral reforms
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Books on the topic "Electoral potential"

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Juneja, Prathm. Artificial Intelligence for Electoral Management. International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.31752/idea.2024.31.

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As artificial intelligence (AI), including its potential role in influencing elections, has become an increasingly important topic, electoral management bodies have to develop plans to respond to and, in some cases, use AI to maintain free, fair and secure elections. AI is a rapidly evolving category of technologies that are largely unregulated, and very little research has been conducted so far concerning its potential impact on elections. This Report is aimed at supporting electoral management bodies and other relevant parties in developing a broad understanding of the opportunities, challen
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Ouedraogo, Idrissa, and Rasmané Ouedraogo. Gender Equality and Electoral Violence in Africa: Unlocking the Peacemaking Potential of Women. International Monetary Fund, 2019.

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Ouedraogo, Idrissa, and Rasmané Ouedraogo. Gender Equality and Electoral Violence in Africa: Unlocking the Peacemaking Potential of Women. International Monetary Fund, 2019.

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Ouedraogo, Idrissa, and Rasmané Ouedraogo. Gender Equality and Electoral Violence in Africa: Unlocking the Peacemaking Potential of Women. International Monetary Fund, 2019.

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Foley, Edward B. Presidential Elections and Majority Rule: The Rise, Demise, and Potential Restoration of the Jeffersonian Electoral College. Oxford University Press, Incorporated, 2021.

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Presidential Elections and Majority Rule: The Rise, Demise, and Potential Restoration of the Jeffersonian Electoral College. Oxford University Press, Incorporated, 2020.

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Arzheimer, Kai. Explaining Electoral Support for the Radical Right. Edited by Jens Rydgren. Oxford University Press, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190274559.013.8.

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The literature on the radical right’s electorate offers a plethora of potential explanations as to why people vote for the radical right. This chapter organizes the presumptive causes of right-wing voting along the lines of the familiar micro-meso-macro scheme, focusing both on a number of landmark studies and on some of the latest research. In doing so, it weighs the evidence in favor of and against some prominent hypotheses about the conditions for radical right party success, including the pure-protest hypothesis, the charismatic-leader hypothesis, and the silent-counterrevolution hypothesi
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Crisp, Brian F., Patrick Cunha Silva, Santiago Olivella, and Guillermo Rosas. Electoral System Incentives for Interparty and Intraparty Politics. Oxford University PressOxford, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1093/9780198956587.001.0001.

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Abstract Electoral systems are sets of formal rules that create incentives for strategic behavior on the part of voters, (pre-) candidates, party elites, and elected representatives. When combining the values taken by component rules into a system, the number of possible combinations is quite large, meaning that specific systems have the potential to provide precise, targeted incentives that govern relationships between political parties and within parties’ intraparty politics. Using novel computational tools and a comprehensive and updated dataset on electoral systems, this book develops prec
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Hicks, William D., and Daniel A. Smith. State Campaigns and Elections. Edited by Donald P. Haider-Markel. Oxford University Press, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199579679.013.004.

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This chapter examines the literature on state campaigns and elections. Throughout the chapter the authors focus on a central question that frequently animates the study of campaigns and elections in the American states: do political institutions enhance or stymie voter turnout and electoral competition? They begin by considering studies that examine how electoral laws in general may affect voter turnout, electoral competition, and party and candidate strategies. They then assess whether more stringent campaign contribution limits and clean election laws might provide a greater incentive for po
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Golder, Sona N., Ignacio Lago, André Blais, Elisabeth Gidengil, and Thomas Gschwend. Mobilization in Multi-Level Systems. Oxford University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198791539.003.0004.

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Existing accounts of multi-level elections focus on voters rather than on political parties, but the multi-level arrangement also affects party strategies. Party elites base their voter mobilization strategies in part on the features of each electoral arena, and make decisions about how to allocate their resources across these arenas accordingly. Small parties, in particular, focus their mobilization efforts on electoral arenas in which the electoral rules are more permissive, so that the parties have a better chance of winning seats. This chapter shows that larger or more nationalized parties
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Book chapters on the topic "Electoral potential"

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Carrizosa, Andrés. "The Potential Causes of Legislative Stability." In Springer Series in Electoral Politics. Springer International Publishing, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-18625-7_2.

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Rodrigues, Fabiana Alves. "Fighting Criminal Corruption in Brazil: Its Potential Effects on the Electoral Arena." In Political Corruption and Organizational Crime. Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-34374-3_6.

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Breda, Tiziano. "Fighting Crime and Preserving Democracy in Latin America." In United Nations University Series on Regionalism. Springer Nature Switzerland, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-68475-3_4.

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AbstractThis academic article examines the expansion of Nayib Bukele’s popular crackdown on gangs throughout Latin America and its potential risks to democratic setbacks. While Bukele’s approach has garnered widespread attention for its effectiveness in reducing gang-related violence, questions arise regarding its implications for democracy. This article evaluates whether Bukele’s tactics have been an electoral game changer in the region by analysing the experiences of Latin American countries, particularly focusing on the 2023 elections where candidates proposing similar anti-gang strategies
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Judina, Darja, and Olga Tsybina. "Assessing Electoral Potential by Interest Groups in Social Media in the Context of Russian Political System." In Networks in the Global World VI. Springer International Publishing, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-29408-2_11.

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Roy, Anupama. "Universal Suffrage, Inequalities, Welfare, and the ‘Gendered Voter’ in India: 1917 to the Present." In Suffrage, Capital, and Welfare. Springer Nature Switzerland, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-69864-4_11.

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AbstractUniversal franchise is integral to citizenship’s promise of equality. Since they introduced the principle of collective bargaining, historically, political rights were handed down ‘cautiously,’ denying political personhood to large sections of people. The struggle for universal suffrage in India can be traced to the claims of the colonised to equality and self-determination. The adoption of universal franchise by the Constituent Assembly of India in November 1949, established political equality in a single moment of rupture. Yet, the insertion of voters in the electoral roll as individ
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Lijphart, Arend. "Four Other Potential Explanations." In Electoral Systems and Party Systems. Oxford University Press, 1994. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198273479.003.0006.

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Rozhkova, Liliya V. "Electoral Potential of Modern Youth." In V Readings in memory of V.T. Lisovsky: Materials of Readings (Moscow, December 17, 2021). Federal Center of Theoretical and Applied Sociology of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russian Federation, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.19181/konf.978-5-89697-370-6.2021.20.

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Dubina, Albina Sh. "Electoral Potential of Modern Youth." In V Readings in memory of V.T. Lisovsky: Materials of Readings (Moscow, December 17, 2021). Federal Center of Theoretical and Applied Sociology of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russian Federation, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.19181/konf.978-5-89697-370-6.2021.12.

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Edwards, George C. "The Electoral College and Political Equality." In Why the Electoral College Is Bad for America. Yale University Press, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.12987/yale/9780300243888.003.0003.

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This chapter argues that the electoral college does not provide a straightforward process for selecting the president. Instead, the process can be extraordinarily complex and has the potential to undo the people's will at many points in the long journey from the selection of electors to counting their votes in Congress. Congress may find it difficult to choose justly between competing slates of electors. It is even possible, although highly unlikely, that a state legislature could take the choice of the electors away from the people altogether. Yet the chapter contends that the electoral colle
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Akıncı, Özden Sevgi. "Unlocking Potential." In Advances in Finance, Accounting, and Economics. IGI Global, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/979-8-3693-5508-4.ch002.

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Focusing on the International Monetary Fund, the study underscores the profound impact of the international institutions on the global economy and the interconnected nature of their operations. It emphasizes overcoming common barriers to reform, such as disparities in representation and decision-making power, to promote more inclusive and effective governance. Reform of the international institutions is essential to prevent or mitigate global crises and to promote equitable and sustainable development worldwide. A comprehensive literature review was conducted, followed by data interpretation t
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Conference papers on the topic "Electoral potential"

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Neacsu, Razvan-Gabriel, and Adrian Otovescu. "THE EVOLUTION OF POLITICAL COMMUNICATION IN THE DIGITAL TECHNOLOGY ERA: A CONTENT ANALYSIS OF ONLINE POLITICAL DISCOURSE." In 11th SWS International Scientific Conferences on SOCIAL SCIENCES - ISCSS 2024. SGEM WORLD SCIENCE, 2024. https://doi.org/10.35603/sws.iscss.2024/s01.13.

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The research will employ a content analysis methodology to examine a sample of 50 articles from various online sources, including news websites, political blogs, and social media posts. The articles will be selected based on their relevance to political communication and their potential impact on public opinion. The analysis will focus on identifying the dominant themes, rhetorical strategies, and persuasive techniques used in the selected articles. The study will develop a coding scheme to systematically categorize and analyze the content of the articles. The coding scheme will include variab
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Vasconcelos, Alexandre Meira de, Luciane Cristina Carvalho, Marcelo Ribeiro Silva, and Marcos Rafael Coelho. "Disinformation in electoral processes and the credibility of voting systems." In V Seven International Multidisciplinary Congress. Seven Congress, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.56238/sevenvmulti2024-018.

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Misinformation in electoral processes affects the credibility of voting systems and public trust in democratic institutions. The systematic review showed that the spread of disinformation and trust in electoral systems are interconnected, with consequences for political polarization and electoral participation. Digital platforms play a crucial role in the spread of disinformation, requiring effective combat strategies. Proactive and transparent institutional communication is essential to inform and educate voters. The review also identified gaps in the literature, such as the need for studies
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Casero-Ripolles, Andreu, Susana Miquel-Segarra, and Laura Alonso-Munoz. "The dialogic potential of Twitter in electoral campaign. The case of PSOE and Podemos in Spain." In 2016 11th Iberian Conference on Information Systems and Technologies (CISTI). IEEE, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/cisti.2016.7521592.

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Dagen, Tomislav, and Marijana Majnarić. "PARLIAMENTARY ELECTORAL LEGISLATION – LAW vis á vis JUSTNESS OF ELECTORAL LEGISLATION IN THE REPUBLIC OF CROATIA IN THE PAST 20 YEARS." In EU 2021 – The future of the EU in and after the pandemic. Faculty of Law, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.25234/eclic/18302.

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In the last twenty years, through the democratic development of the Republic of Croatia, the problem of modernizing parliamentary electoral legislation and the need and desire to create a better and fairer electoral system as a whole, which will bring the Republic of Croatia into European integration and the map of Western democracies comes “to the surface”. In order for the implementation of the political desire to join Western democracies and bring the Republic of Croatia closer to the European Union realize its full potential, the electoral system was changed in 1999, and since then seven e
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Solej, Rastislav, Kristián Kalamen, and Vladimír Hojdík. "Populism and marginalized communities: how politicians in Slovakia abused poverty during election." In 14th International Scientific Conference „Business and Management 2024“. Vilnius Gediminas Technical University, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.3846/bm.2024.1299.

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Based on a 2019 study carried out by the Government Commissioner for the Roma community, the Roma community in Slovakia makes up approximately 8% of population. Marginalized groups are often targets of exploitation by fraudsters and usurers from their own community not only in Slovakia. At the institutional level, majorities face prejudice based on their ethnicity. People in these excluded communities often live-in conditions reminiscent of the past century, facing restricted access to basic hygiene and education. The Roma population in Slovakia constitutes a great potential and can be a drivi
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Caballero, Michael. "Predicting the 2020 US Presidential Election with Twitter." In 2nd International Conference on Soft Computing, Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning (SAIM 2021). AIRCC Publishing Corporation, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.5121/csit.2021.111006.

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One major sub-domain in the subject of polling public opinion with social media data is electoral prediction. Electoral prediction utilizing social media data potentially would significantly affect campaign strategies, complementing traditional polling methods and providing cheaper polling in real-time. First, this paper explores past successful methods from research for analysis and prediction of the 2020 US Presidential Election using Twitter data. Then, this research proposes a new method for electoral prediction which combines sentiment, from NLP on the text of tweets, and structural data
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Reports on the topic "Electoral potential"

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Seddon Wallack, Jessica, Alejandro Gaviria, Ugo Panizza, and Ernesto H. Stein. Political Particularism around the World. Inter-American Development Bank, 2002. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0010800.

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This paper presents a new dataset on electoral systems and outlines its potential uses in further research exploring the connections between electoral systems and economic outcomes. The dataset provides indicators of the degree to which individual politicians can further their careers by appealing to narrow geographic constituencies on the one hand, or party constituencies on the other.
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Yilmaz, Ihsan, Whisnu Triwibowo, Hasnan Bachtiar, and Greg Barton. Competing Populisms, Digital Technologies and the 2024 Elections in Indonesia. European Center for Populism Studies (ECPS), 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.55271/pp0029.

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The upcoming parliamentary and presidential elections in Indonesia on 14 February 2024 are poised to involve over 200 million citizens out of a total population of 285 million. Among these eligible voters, approximately 115 million belong to the millennial or Gen Z demographic. Within this electoral landscape, the presidential race features a diverse array of candidates, where populism plays a significant, albeit not the dominant, role in shaping the campaigns and agendas of three key contenders. This study aims to explore the relationship between various forms of competing populisms and their
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Marcos-Marne, Hugo. Euroscepticism and Populism on Europhilic Soil: The 2024 European Parliament Elections in Spain. European Center for Populism Studies (ECPS), 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.55271/rp0084.

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This chapter deals with the association between radicalism, populism and Euroscepticism in the context of the 2024 European elections. It first examines the electoral platforms of leading political parties and shows that Eurosceptic ideas, while not highly prevalent, are more common among forces of the radical right. It also suggests that, as second-order theories expect, national issues dominated the electoral campaign for the European Parliament (EP) in Spain. Second, public opinion data is used to describe the general state of attitudes towards the EU and their association with voting for d
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Haider, Huma. Fostering a Democratic Culture: Lessons for the Eastern Neighbourhood. Institute of Development Studies, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.19088/k4d.2022.131.

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Political culture is the values, beliefs, and emotions that members of a society express about the political regime and their role in it (Pickering, 2022, p. 5). Norms, values, attitudes and practices considered integral to a “culture of democracy”, according to the Council of Europe, include: a commitment to public deliberation, discussion, and the free expression of opinions; a commitment to electoral rules; the rule of law; and the protection of minority rights; peaceful conflict resolution. The consolidation of democracy involves not only institutional change, but also instilling a democra
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Bottura, Beatrice, Paris O’Keeffe-Johnston, Pinelopi Gkampeta, et al. Anticipating the Trump Effect: Strengthening the EU Pact on Migration and Asylum Amid Populist Pressures. European Center for Populism Studies (ECPS), 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.55271/pop0001.

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This policy paper explores the potential impact of the 2024 U.S. presidential election on EU politics, particularly the EU Pact on Migration and Asylum. Through horizon scanning, it highlights that a Trump victory could boost Euroscepticism and restrictive migration policies in the EU, especially among Trump’s European allies. Conversely, a Trump loss may lead to events akin to the 2021 Capitol attack, undermining trust in electoral processes in both the U.S. and EU. The paper suggests introducing regular in-depth country reviews (ICRs) to create tailored migration strategies, fostering greate
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Stein, Ernesto H., Mariano Tommasi, and Carlos Scartascini. Political Institutions, State Capabilities and Public Policy: International Evidence. Inter-American Development Bank, 2008. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0010903.

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This paper introduces preliminary evidence from a cross-country database of policy characteristics and potential uses of that database. While most databases have emphasized either the content of policies (e.g., size of government deficits) or countries formal institutions (e.g., political regime, electoral system), the variables in this database reflect the policymaking capabilities of different polities. The paper attempts to explain these policy characteristics as depending on the workings of political institutions, using a logic emphasizing intertemporal political compromise. The paper also
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Eslava, Marcela, and Marcela Meléndez Arjona. Politics, Policies and the Dynamics of Aggregate Productivity in Colombia. Inter-American Development Bank, 2009. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0010735.

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This paper describes private actors' involvement in Colombia's policymaking process. While more transparent and formal channels are used to discuss horizontal policies, they are also less effective. The adoption of targeted policies, however, follows a faster track and depends more on political power than on those policies¿ potential as engines for productivity growth. Data on policies and political characteristics across sector-region units are used to further characterize the different groups¿ weight in policymaking, and the effect of the implied unbalance on aggregate productivity. Electora
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Schuster, Christian. Strategies to Professionalize the Civil Service: Lessons from the Dominican Republic. Inter-American Development Bank, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0010594.

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Drawing on a case study of recent reforms in the Dominican Republic, this technical note derives lessons about strategies to professionalize the civil service. As in other countries with less professionalized civil services, the Dominican Republic's political economy is biased against reform: promises of public employment tend to be important to successful electoral mobilization. Nonetheless, passage of a new public service law and its partial implementation were achieved. The case study finds that the construction of a broad societal coalition demanding reform may account for this puzzle. For
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Vlaicu, Razvan. Inequality Persistence and Policymaking Constraints: Explaining Regional Data Patterns. Inter-American Development Bank, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0012973.

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In well-functioning democracies, the policymaking process should in principle respond to persistent economic inequality with corrective policies. This process is set in motion through majority demands for redistributive taxation and spending that elected representatives eventually supply through policies designed to alleviate inequality. Policymaking constraints on both the demand side and the supply side have, however, considerably limited the extent of redistributive policies in Latin America. This paper explores recent data patterns from national and micro data to provide several potential
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Havlík, Vlastimil, and Alena Kluknavská. The Race of Populists: The 2024 EP Elections in the Czech Republic. European Center for Populism Studies (ECPS), 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.55271/rp0066.

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The chapter analyses the performance of populist political parties in the 2024 EP election in the Czech Republic. The election ended with a significant increase in support for several populist parties: Action of Dissatisfied Citizens, Freedom and Direct Democracy and the Oath and Motorists. All populist parties used radical-right rhetoric before the election, expressing different levels of criticism of the European Union, strong anti-immigration attitudes and negative attitudes toward the Green Deal. The preliminary data show that the electoral support for the populists was based on a higher l
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