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Dissertations / Theses on the topic 'Electricity markets'

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1

Hoang, Philip. "Essays in electricity markets /." [St. Lucia, Qld.] :, 2005. http://www.library.uq.edu.au/pdfserve.php?image=thesisabs/absthe18590.pdf.

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2

Le, Coq Chloé. "Quantity choices and market power in electricity markets." Doctoral thesis, Handelshögskolan i Stockholm, Samhällsekonomi (S), 2003. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:hhs:diva-566.

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Competitive power markets from different countries exhibit a common market design, especially because of the nature of electricity (lack of storage, inelastic load, and strong seasonal effects on multiple time scales). For example, a majority of countries have created a spot market where electricity is traded hourly. The design of the spot markets reflected an ambition of providing strong incentives for efficient and least-cost production. Subsequently, the spot market price has been considered as a reference price for other existing electricity markets such as the contract market or the real-
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3

Le, Coq Chloé. "Quantity choices and market power in electricity markets /." Stockholm : Economic Research Institute, Stockholm School of Economics (EFI), 2003. http://www.hhs.se/efi/summary/615.htm.

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4

Cubuklu, Omer. "Capacity Trading In Electricity Markets." Master's thesis, METU, 2012. http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12613988/index.pdf.

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In electricity markets, capacity cost must be determined in order to make capacity trading. In this thesis, capacity cost and the factors deriving the capacity cost are studied. First, fixed capacity cost of power plants is examined. Direct and indirect costs of fixed capacity cost are detailed with respect to different types of power plants and the impact of these factors to the capacity cost is given. Second, interconnection and system utilization costs of transmission and distribution system are considered in order to simulate energy flow from the producer to the customer. Finally, a capaci
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5

Talasli, Irem. "Stochastic Modeling Of Electricity Markets." Phd thesis, METU, 2012. http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12614034/index.pdf.

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Day-ahead spot electricity markets are the most transparent spot markets where one can find integrated supply and demand curves of the market players for each settlement period. Since it is an indicator for the market players and regulators, in this thesis we model the spot electricity prices. Logarithmic daily average spot electricity prices are modeled as a summation of a deterministic function and multi-factor stochastic process. Randomness in the spot prices is assumed to be governed by three jump processes and a Brownian motion where two of the jump processes are mean reverting. While the
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6

Ferreira, Dias Marta. "Integration of European electricity markets." Thesis, University of Warwick, 2011. http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/47365/.

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This thesis contributes to the study of the role of some identified obstacles to delay the process of liberalisation and integration of European electricity markets and to impede the achievement of its full benefits, namely increase efficiency and, ultimately, to pass on this efficiency gains to final consumers by lowering prices of electricity. Chapter 1 is a description and analysis of the progress made on European liberalisation and integration of electricity markets, identifying some of the main obstacles found on the path to achieve the Single European Market for electricity and solutions
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7

Nicholson, Emma Leah. "Essays on restructured electricity markets." Connect to Electronic Thesis (ProQuest) Connect to Electronic Thesis (CONTENTdm), 2008. http://worldcat.org/oclc/436443232/viewonline.

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8

Li, Zili. "Topics in deregulated electricity markets." Thesis, Queensland University of Technology, 2016. https://eprints.qut.edu.au/98895/1/Zili_Li_Thesis.pdf.

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The deregulation and introduction of market oriented competition has been a feature of major electricity markets worldwide in recent decades. This deregulation has given rise to a myriad of new challenges that impinge upon the decisions of market regulators, market operators and electricity generators and electricity retailers. This thesis is an investigation of three challenges in the national electricity market of Australia that have emerged in the post deregulation era. These are, respectively, forecasting load, the strategic bidding and rebidding behaviour of generators, and the effect of
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9

Harbord, David William Cameron. "Competition in decentralized electricity markets : three papers on electricity auctions." Thesis, London School of Economics and Political Science (University of London), 2005. http://etheses.lse.ac.uk/2417/.

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This thesis consists of three self-contained papers on the analysis of electricity auctions written over a period of twelve years. The first paper models price competition in a decentralized wholesale market for electricity as a first-price, sealed-bid, multi-unit auction. In both the pure and mixed-strategy equilibria of the model, above marginal cost pricing and inefficient despatch of generating units occur. An alternative regulatory pricing rule is considered and it is shown that offering to supply at marginal cost can be induced as a dominant strategy for all firms. The second paper analy
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10

Monjoie, Léopold. "Securing Investments in Electricity Markets. Three Essays on Market Design." Electronic Thesis or Diss., Université Paris sciences et lettres, 2024. http://www.theses.fr/2024UPSLD005.

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L’électricité est au cœur du fonctionnement de notre économie moderne, par conséquent un défi majeur pour les économistes est de s'assurer d’avoir suffisamment d’investissement. Actuellement dans la plupart des pays développés, ce sont majoritairement des acteurs privés qui prennent les décisions à la fois d’investir et de consommer. C’est dans ce contexte que cette thèse s’intéresse à comprendre comment déterminer des architectures de marché permettant de donner des incitations vertueuses aux acteurs. L’objectif est alors qu’ils prennent des décisions d’investissement et de consommation effic
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11

Nguyen, Duy Huu Manh. "Analysing electricity markets with evolutionary computation." University of Western Australia. School of Electrical, Electronic and Computer Engineering, 2002. http://theses.library.uwa.edu.au/adt-WU2003.0018.

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The use of electricity in 21st century living has been firmly established throughout most of the world, correspondingly the infrastructure for production and delivery of electricity to consumers has matured and stabilised. However, due to recent technical and environmental–political developments, the electricity infrastructure worldwide is undergoing major restructuring. The forces driving this reorganisation are a complex interplay of technical, environmental, economic and political factors. The general trend of the reorganisation is a dis–aggregation of the previously integrated functions of
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12

Damsgaard, Niclas. "Deregulation and regulation of electricity markets." Doctoral thesis, Stockholm : Economic Research Institute, Stockholm School of Economics [Ekonomiska forskningsinstitutet vid Handelshögsk.] (EFI), 2003. http://www.hhs.se/efi/summary/630.htm.

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13

Kockar, Ivana. "Combined poolbilateral operation in electricity markets." Thesis, McGill University, 2003. http://digitool.Library.McGill.CA:80/R/?func=dbin-jump-full&object_id=84274.

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This thesis develops a general combined pool/bilateral electricity market model that allows for the simultaneous dispatch of both pool and bilateral trades. The latter are usually negotiated privately among the generators and loads and result in long-term agreements of the order of days to months. The bilateral contracts can be firm or non-firm but in all cases they stand for physical rather than financial obligations to generate a certain amount of power at some bus and to consume it at some other specified point in the power network. The power consumed by the loads that does not come
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14

林霙芝 and Ying-chi Lam. "Agent-based simulation of electricity markets." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 1999. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B31222882.

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15

Houllier, M. "Integration of liberalised European electricity markets." Thesis, City University London, 2014. http://openaccess.city.ac.uk/12886/.

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The aim of this thesis is to assess the integration of European electricity markets. An integrated market could help to improve security of supply, foster competition, and may also help to integrate renewables. After reviewing the literature and describing the context, three studies are reported as separate chapters, which besides the common underlying theme use novel econometric and statistical methodology for time series analysis. Chapter two examines electricity market integration in nine European spot markets between 2000 and 2013, and four forward markets between 2007 and 2012. In contras
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16

Karaduman, Ömer. "Essays on electricity and matching markets." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2020. https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/129011.

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Thesis: Ph. D., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Economics, September, 2020<br>Cataloged from student-submitted PDF of thesis.<br>Includes bibliographical references (pages 219-228).<br>This thesis contains two chapters on the Electricity Markets and a chapter on Matching Markets. In the first chapter, I study how an energy storage affects the wholesale electricity market. The transition to a low-carbon electricity system is likely to require grid-scale energy storage to smooth the variability and intermittency of renewable energy. I investigate whether private incentives f
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17

Lam, Ying-chi. "Agent-based simulation of electricity markets /." Hong Kong : University of Hong Kong, 1999. http://sunzi.lib.hku.hk/hkuto/record.jsp?B21482391.

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18

Spiridonova, Olga. "Three essays on European electricity markets." Doctoral thesis, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.18452/20613.

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Diese Dissertation untersucht Fragen, die sich mit dem Einfluss der Übertragungskapazitäten und der Erzeugung erneuerbarer Energien auf dem Strommarkt befassen. Die Arbeit besteht aus drei eigenständigen Aufsätze, die für die politische Debatte einen Beitrag leisten. Das erste Kapitel konzentriert sich auf ein Netzwerk mit strategischen Unternehmen, die die Stromflüsse zu ihrem Vorteil manipulieren können. Dieses Kapitel gehört zur Forschungsliteratur, die Strommärkte als Gleichgewichtsprobleme mit Gleichgewichtseinschränkungen darstellt. In diesem Rahmen vergleiche ich mehrere Strategien zu
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19

Pham, Thao. "Market power in power markets in Europe : the Cases in French and German woholesale electricity markets." Thesis, Paris 9, 2015. http://www.theses.fr/2015PA090019/document.

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Les deux derniers siècles ont connu une révolution exceptionnelle dans l'organisation des marchés électriques dans le monde entier. Ainsi, traditionnellement organisé autour de monopoles verticalement intégrés et soumis à la régulation, le secteur électrique connait un processus de réforme et évolue vers une organisation décentralisée qui favorise les mécanismes du marché. Le passage des tarifs régulés à des prix du marché, compte tenu des structures concentrées et les caractéristiques particulières de l'industrie électrique, accroît la possibilité que certaines entreprises puissent manipuler
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20

Nanduri, Vishnuteja. "Auction performance evaluation in deregulated electricity markets." [Tampa, Fla.] : University of South Florida, 2005. http://purl.fcla.edu/fcla/etd/SFE0001105.

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21

Pettersen, Erling. "Managing End-user Flexibility in Electricity Markets." Doctoral thesis, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Department of Industrial Economics and Technology Management, 2004. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:no:ntnu:diva-373.

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<p>Over the past couple of decades, electricity markets across the world have been deregulated. When the electricity systems were being developed, governments exercised extensive control over the industry to ensure reliable services. Today, most of the basic investments have been carried out, and more and more countries have chosen to let market mechanisms regulate the electricity systems. Different countries have, however, approached the deregulation in different ways. While production of electricity is subject to competition in all deregulated markets, there are differences as to how the who
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22

Khazaei, Javad. "Mechanism design for electricity markets under uncertainty." Thesis, University of Auckland, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/2292/18995.

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In this thesis, we investigate the effects of the electricity market clearing mechanisms on the cost of integrating intermittent resources such as wind. We present a linear supply function equilibrium model of a conventional two settlement electricity market clearing mechanism. We then provide examples of markets for which large-scale wind integration can increase steady state cost of generation and decrease expected social welfare. These counter-intuitive examples lead us to analyse in depth mechanisms that appear to efficiently cater for uncertainty. Recently an alternative so-called
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23

Pape, Andrew. "Implementing sustainable energy in competitive electricity markets." Thesis, National Library of Canada = Bibliothèque nationale du Canada, 1997. http://www.collectionscanada.ca/obj/s4/f2/dsk2/ftp04/mq24221.pdf.

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24

Molina-Escobar, Alberto. "Filtering and parameter estimation for electricity markets." Thesis, University of British Columbia, 2009. http://hdl.handle.net/2429/21736.

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The growing complexity of energy markets requires the introduction of in creasingly sophisticated tools for the analysis of market structures and for the modeling of the dynamics of spot market and forward prices. In order for market participants to use these markets in an efficient way, it is important to employ good mathematical models of these markets. This has proved to be particularly difficult for electricity, where markets are complex, and ex hibit a number of unique features, mainly due to the problems involved in storing electricity. In this thesis we propose three models for electric
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25

Falcey, Jonathan M. "Electricity Markets, Smart Grids and Smart Buildings." Thesis, University of Denver, 2013. http://pqdtopen.proquest.com/#viewpdf?dispub=1536975.

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<p> A smart grid is an electricity network that accommodates two-way power flows, and utilizes two-way communications and increased measurement, in order to provide more information to customers and aid in the development of a more efficient electricity market. The current electrical network is outdated and has many shortcomings relating to power flows, inefficient electricity markets, generation/supply balance, a lack of information for the consumer and insufficient consumer interaction with electricity markets. Many of these challenges can be addressed with a smart grid, but there remain s
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26

Legbedji, Alexis Motto. "Price schedules coordination for electricity pool markets." Thesis, McGill University, 2001. http://digitool.Library.McGill.CA:80/R/?func=dbin-jump-full&object_id=38456.

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We consider the optimal coordination of a class of mathematical programs with equilibrium constraints, which is formally interpreted as a resource-allocation problem. Many decomposition techniques were proposed to circumvent the difficulty of solving large systems with limited computer resources. The considerable improvement in computer architecture has allowed the solution of large-scale problems with increasing speed. Consequently, interest in decomposition techniques has waned. Nonetheless, there is an important class of applications for which decomposition techniques will still be relevant
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27

Maiorano, Annalisa. "Modelling and analysis of oligopolistic electricity markets." Thesis, Brunel University, 2001. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.367886.

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28

Petoussis, Andreas G. "Supply function equilibrium analysis for electricity markets." Thesis, University of Warwick, 2009. http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/1054/.

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The research presented in this Thesis investigates the strategic behaviour of generating firms in bid-based electricity pool markets and the effects of control methods and network features on the electricity market outcome by utilising the AC network model to represent the electric grid. A market equilibrium algorithm has been implemented to represent the bi-level market problem for social welfare maximization from the system operator and utility assets optimisation from the strategic market participants, based on the primal-dual interior point method. The strategic interactions in the market
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29

Xu, Li. "Financial and computational models in electricity markets." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/51849.

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This dissertation is dedicated to study the design and utilization of financial contracts and pricing mechanisms for managing the demand/price risks in electricity markets and the price risks in carbon emission markets from different perspectives. We address the issues pertaining to the efficient computational algorithms for pricing complex financial options which include many structured energy financial contracts and the design of economic mechanisms for managing the risks associated with increasing penetration of renewable energy resources and with trading emission allowance permits in the r
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30

Wagner, Michael R. (Michael Robert) 1978. "Hedging optimization algorithms for deregulated electricity markets." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2001. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/16778.

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Thesis (M.Eng.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, 2001.<br>Includes bibliographical references (p. 83-84).<br>This electronic version was submitted by the student author. The certified thesis is available in the Institute Archives and Special Collections.<br>Recent trends in many U.S. states are to deregulate their electric power industry and markets with the desire to provide a more consumer-friendly environment than under regulation. However, deregulation also creates uncertainty and risk. It is this risk that we wish to address an
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31

Martyr, Randall. "Optimal prediction games in local electricity markets." Thesis, University of Manchester, 2015. https://www.research.manchester.ac.uk/portal/en/theses/optimal-prediction-games-in-local-electricity-markets(976e566d-e942-444a-9ee0-df17f46188d4).html.

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Local electricity markets can be defined broadly as 'future electricity market designs involving domestic customers, demand-side response and energy storage'. Like current deregulated electricity markets, these localised derivations present specific stochastic optimisation problems in which the dynamic and random nature of the market is intertwined with the physical needs of its participants. Moreover, the types of contracts and constraints in this setting are such that 'games' naturally emerge between the agents. Advanced modelling techniques beyond classical mathematical finance are therefor
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32

Fanone, Enzo. "Three Essays on Modelling of Electricity Markets." Doctoral thesis, Università degli studi di Trieste, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/10077/7424.

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33

Wu, Zhiyong. "Stratum Electricity Markets: Toward Multi-temporal Distributed Risk Management for Sustainable Electricity Provision." Research Showcase @ CMU, 2012. http://repository.cmu.edu/dissertations/89.

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Motivated by the overall challenge of ensuring long-term sustainable electricity service, we view this challenge as a long-term decision making problem under uncertainties. We start by recognizing that, independent of the industry organization, the uncertainties are enormous and often exogenous to the energy service providers. They are multi-dimensional and are result of fundamental drivers, ranging from the supply side, through the demand side, to the regulatory and policy sides. The basic contribution of this thesis comes from the recognition that long-term investments for ensuring reliable
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34

Zachmann, Georg. "Empirical Evidence for Inefficiencies in European Electricity Markets." Doctoral thesis, Saechsische Landesbibliothek- Staats- und Universitaetsbibliothek Dresden, 2009. http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bsz:14-qucosa-24857.

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This dissertation applies a variety of quantitative methods to European electricity market data to enable us to detect, understand, and eventually mitigate market imperfections. The empirical data indicate that market power and barriers to cross-border trade partially explain today’s market failures. Briefly, the five key findings of this dissertation are: First, we observe a decoupling between German electricity prices and fuel cost, even though British electricity prices are largely explained by short-run cost factors. Second, we demonstrate that rising prices of European Union emission allo
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35

Huang, Qingqing Ph D. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. "Efficiency-risk tradeoffs in dynamic oligopoly markets : with application to electricity markets." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/82397.

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Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, 2013.<br>Cataloged from PDF version of thesis.<br>Includes bibliographical references (p. 87-90).<br>In an abstract framework, we examine how a tradeoff between efficiency and risk arises in different dynamic oligopolistic markets. We consider a scenario where there is a reliable resource provider and agents which enter and exit the market following a random process. Self-interested and fully rational agents can both produce and consume the resource. They dynamically update their load sc
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36

Rubin, Ofir D. "Equilibrium pricing in electricity markets with wind power." [Ames, Iowa : Iowa State University], 2010. http://gateway.proquest.com/openurl?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:dissertation&res_dat=xri:pqdiss&rft_dat=xri:pqdiss:3403856.

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37

Kristiansen, Tarjei. "Risk Management in Electricity Markets Emphasizing Transmission Congestion." Doctoral thesis, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Department of Electrical Power Engineering, 2004. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:no:ntnu:diva-1827.

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<p>This thesis analyzes transmission pricing, transmission congestion risks and their associated hedging instruments as well as mechanisms for stimulating investments in transmission expansion. An example of risk management in the case of a hydropower producer is included.</p><p>After liberalization and restructuring of electricity markets, risk management has become important. In particular the thesis analyzes risks due to transmission congestion both in the short- and long-term (investments) for market players such as generators, loads, traders, independent system operators and merchant inve
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38

Weigt, Hannes. "Modeling Competition and Investment in Liberalized Electricity Markets." Doctoral thesis, Saechsische Landesbibliothek- Staats- und Universitaetsbibliothek Dresden, 2009. http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bsz:14-qucosa-24711.

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In this thesis current questions regarding the functionality of liberalized electricity markets are studied addressing different topics of interest in two main directions: market power and competition policy on electricity wholesale markets, and network investments and incentive regulation. The former is studied based on the case of the German electricity market with respect to ex-post market power analysis and ex-ante remedy development. First an optimization model is designed to obtain the competitive benchmark which can be compared to the observed market outcomes between 2004 and 2006. In a
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39

Xia, Zhendong. "Pricing and Risk Management in Competitive Electricity Markets." Diss., Georgia Institute of Technology, 2005. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/7528.

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Electricity prices in competitive markets are extremely volatile with salient features such as mean-reversion and jumps and spikes. Modeling electricity spot prices is essential for asset and project valuation as well as risk management. I introduce the mean-reversion feature into a classical variance gamma model to model the electricity price dynamics as a mean-reverting variance gamma (MRVG) process. Derivative pricing formulae are derived through transform analysis and model parameters are estimated by the generalized method of moments and the Markov Chain Monte Carlo method. A real option
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40

Sturluson, Jon Thor. "Topics in the industrial organization of electricity markets." Doctoral thesis, Stockholm : Economic Research Institute, Stockholm School of Economics [Ekonomiska forskningsinstitutet vid Handelshögsk.] (EFI), 2003. http://www.hhs.se/efi/summary/614.htm.

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41

Davis, Clay D. "Competitive electricity markets and the case of California." Manhattan, Kan. : Kansas State University, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/2097/784.

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42

Liu, Min, and 劉敏. "Energy allocation with risk management in electricity markets." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2004. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B29335978.

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43

Figueroa, Marcelo Gustavo. "Modelling electricity markets : swing options and hybrid models." Thesis, Birkbeck (University of London), 2007. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.439778.

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44

Concettini, Silvia. "Competition in electricity markets : retailers, generators and technologies." Thesis, Paris 10, 2015. http://www.theses.fr/2015PA100033/document.

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Cette thèse vise à répondre à trois questions soulevées par la vague de réformes dans les secteurs de l’électricité: est-ce que la libéralisation de la fourniture d’électricité a atteint ses objectifs dans l’Union Européenne ? Comment les producteurs qui utilisent des sources renouvelables et non renouvelables se font concurrence dans le marché libéralisé ? Quel est l’'impact de l’augmentation de la production d’électricité à partir de sources renouvelables sur la congestion du réseau et sur les différences de prix zonaux en Italie ? Le premier chapitre fournit une évaluation à mi-terme de la
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45

Aketi, Venkata Sesha Praneeth. "Prices in Wholesale Electricity Markets and Demand Response." The Ohio State University, 2014. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1388765872.

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46

Fezzi, Carlo <1980&gt. "Econometric models for the analysis of electricity markets." Doctoral thesis, Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, 2007. http://amsdottorato.unibo.it/433/1/tesi_dottorato_carlofezzi.pdf.

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47

Fezzi, Carlo <1980&gt. "Econometric models for the analysis of electricity markets." Doctoral thesis, Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, 2007. http://amsdottorato.unibo.it/433/.

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48

Mazzi, Nicolò. "Optimal offering and operating strategies in electricity markets." Doctoral thesis, Università degli studi di Padova, 2018. http://hdl.handle.net/11577/3422428.

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In recent years the power sector has experienced a significant growth of the deployment of renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar power. This brings new challenges to the optimal operation and management of power systems. The output of these stochastic sources can only be predicted with limited accuracy, leading to real-time deviations from their contracted schedule. Therefore, such stochastic sources need to be operated differently than conventional generation units, such as gas- or coal-fired plants. The operation of conventional production units may also be strongly affected by th
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49

Concettini, S. "COMPETITION IN ELECTRICITY MARKETS: RETAILERS, GENERATORS AND TECHNOLOGIES." Doctoral thesis, Università degli Studi di Milano, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/2434/267395.

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The objective of this thesis is to answer to three questions raised by the wave of reform in electricity industries: has retail liberalization achieved its objectives in European Union? How traditional and renewable generators compete in a liberalized market? What is the impact on congestion and zonal price differences of increased production from renewable intermittent sources in Italy? The first chapter provides a mid-term evaluation of liberalization of electricity retailing in Europe. We propose a comprehensive theory on retail liberalization and test its consistency with the practice in E
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50

Hu, Linlin. "A novel hybrid technique for short-term electricity price forecasting in deregulated electricity markets." Thesis, Brunel University, 2010. http://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/4498.

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Short-term electricity price forecasting is now crucial practice in deregulated electricity markets, as it forms the basis for maximizing the profits of the market participants. In this thesis, short-term electricity prices are forecast using three different predictor schemes, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and a hybrid scheme, respectively. ANNs are the very popular and successful tools for practical forecasting. In this thesis, a hidden-layered feed-forward neural network with back-propagation has been adopted for detailed comparison with other forecasting mo
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