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Journal articles on the topic 'Error Correlation Model (ECM)'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 4 June 2021

Last updated: 17 February 2022

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1

Karunia, Nurul Yuniataqwa, and Malik Cahyadin. "FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHIKURS RUPIAH TERHADAP YEN TAHUN 1970 - 2002: ERROR CORRECTION MODEL (ECM)." Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan 6, no. 2 (2017): 187. http://dx.doi.org/10.23917/jep.v6i2.4000.

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This research aims to find out factors influencing the exchange rate of rupiah toward yen. The approach used to analyze time series data in this study is monetary approach with ECM as the chosen regression model. The year of observation was begun in 1970-2002. Based on regression which done, the result showed that there is the significant correlation between independent variable (MI,Yreal, NP1) with dependent variable (exchange rate of Rupiah fYen). The correlation happens either in long or short term.

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Suhendra, Indra. "PENGARUH FAKTOR FUNDAMENTAL, FAKTOR RESIKO, DAN EKSPEKTASI NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH (TERHADAP DOLLAR) PASCA PENERAPAN SISTEM KURS MENGAMBANG BEBAS PADA TANGGAL 14 AGUSTUS 1997 (PERIODE SEPTEMBER 1997 S.D. DESEMBER 2001)." Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan 6, no. 1 (2004): 34–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v6i1.322.

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In a free floating rate system, the exchange rate is determined directly by market forces, and is liable to fluctuate continually, to follow changing market condition. This system assumes the absence of any systematic government intervention in the foreign exchange market, so exchange rate will move freely in response to market force. It mean that exchange rate is determined by fundamentals, risk, and exchange rate (Rp/US$) expectation factor.The purpose of this research is to identify the problems of the correlation of fundamental factor (like is differences of interest rate, relative prices

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Girsang, Lisbeth, Ketut Sukiyono, and Putri Suci Asriani. "EXPORT DEMAND FOR INDONESIA'S CRUDE PALM OIL (CPO) TO PAKISTAN: APPLICATION OF ERROR CORRECTION MODEL." AGRITROPICA : Journal of Agricultural Sciences 1, no. 2 (2018): 68–77. http://dx.doi.org/10.31186/j.agritropica.1.2.68-77.

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Crude Palm Oil is one of the agricultural export commodities which become a contributor of foreign exchange which is exported to Pakistan continuously but fluctuated from the year 1973 to 2016. The purpose of this study consisted of two things; the first is to identify the factors that influence the demand for Indonesia's CPO exports to Pakistan. The second is to analyze the relationship between the production of CPO, the international and domestic price of CPO, and the exchange rate of Rupiah toward the volume of Indonesian CPO exports to Pakistan both in the long and in the short term of tim

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Cheng, Baodong, Guangyuan Qin, and Weiming Song. "Analysis of the log import market and demand elasticity in China." Forestry Chronicle 91, no. 04 (2015): 367–75. http://dx.doi.org/10.5558/tfc2015-066.

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Using country-specific data from 1992 to 2012, we estimated the demand elasticity of the log import market using the source-differentiated Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) model, the Error Correction Model (ECM), and both models in combination (ECM-AIDS), considering imports from Australia, Canada, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, New Zealand, Russia, and the United States. Regardless of which model used, the expenditure elasticity values were mostly positive, indicating a positive correlation between import volume and total import expenditure. Self-compensated price elasticity was negative, ind

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Kalogiannis, Theodoros, Md Hosen, Mohsen Sokkeh, et al. "Comparative Study on Parameter Identification Methods for Dual-Polarization Lithium-Ion Equivalent Circuit Model." Energies 12, no. 21 (2019): 4031. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en12214031.

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A lithium-ion battery cell’s electrochemical performance can be obtained through a series of standardized experiments, and the optimal operation and monitoring is performed when a model of the Li-ions is generated and adopted. With discrete-time parameter identification processes, the electrical circuit models (ECM) of the cells are derived. Over their wide range, the dual-polarization (DP) ECM is proposed to characterize two prismatic cells with different anode electrodes. In most of the studies on battery modeling, attention is paid to the accuracy comparison of the various ECMs, usually for

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Tesamaris, Andiarma, and Siti Fatimah Nurhayati. "ANALISIS KAUSALITAS ANTARA HUTANG LUAR NEGERI DENGAN DEFISIT ANGGARAN PENDAPATAN DAN BELANJA NEGARA INDONESIA TAHUN 1978 - 2003: PENDEKATAN ERROR CORRECTION MODEL (ECM)." Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan 6, no. 2 (2017): 109. http://dx.doi.org/10.23917/jep.v6i2.3996.

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National development in Indonesia needs the big enough number of funds. Principally, there are two kinds of the fund sources, i.e. the domestic funds and foreign funds. In fact, the number of domestic funds is often far smaller than that is needed, so forcing to search for alternative fund sources, namely, foreign loan. Foreign loan risk is big enough. The inflow of foreign loan will increase money in circulation, so that it can trigger inflation. On the other hand, it is obligation to pay in installment of the principal loan and its interest, which annually always burdens the national budget

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Megasari, Tania, and Tika Widiastuti. "Analisis Pengaruh Jangka Pendek dan Jangka Panjang Nilai Tukar dan Tingkat Imbalan SBIS Terhadap Inflasi di Indonesia Periode Januari 2009-Desember 2015." Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah Teori dan Terapan 4, no. 11 (2017): 928. http://dx.doi.org/10.20473/vol4iss201711pp928-936.

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The purpose of this research is to examine the effect of the exchange rate, and the return rate of Bank Indonesia Sharia Certificate (SBIS) on inflation in Indonesia during the period January 2009 to December 2015. The approach used in this research is quantitative research using Error Correction Model (ECM) by Eviews program 8. The data used are secondary data from the official website of Bank Indonesia. The results showed that the Exchange rate and the rate of SBIS have a significant and positive correlation against inflation in the short term and long term during the period January 2009 to

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Anderu, KEJI Sunday. "An empirical nexus between poverty and unemployment on economic growth." Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah 9, no. 1 (2021): 85–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.22437/ppd.v9i1.12005.

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The study examines the empirical nexus between poverty and unemployment on economic growth in Nigeria between 1980 and 2016. Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL), Bound cointegration testing, and Error Correction Methods (ECM) were used to investigate the link between unemployment, poverty rate, and economic growth in Nigeria. Post estimation tests such as the Jarque-Bera test, Breusch-Pagan, ARCH test, and Ramsey reset test were also adopted in order to validate the research finding. The diagnostic tests further disclosed that the estimated model follows the Ordinary Least Square technique

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Johadi, Johadi, Kresno Sarosa Pribadi, Ahmad Daerobi, and Nunung Sri Mulyani. "Economic Liberalization Impact, Fiscal Conditions, and Tax Ratio to Welfare." JEJAK 12, no. 1 (2019): 17–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.15294/jejak.v12i1.18554.

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Global economy has currently integrated and has been interdependent between the developing and developed countries. The improved integration and interdependence level is expected to improve citizens’ welfare. This study aims at testing the correlation between fiscal and trade policies and welfare in ASEAN countries + 3 countries (Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, Philippines, Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Vietnam, Myanmar, Laos + Japan, China, and Korea). It used the secondary data from World Bank, Asian Development Bank (ADB) and Economist Intelligence Unit from 1990 to 2015. The analy

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Nugraha, Muhammad Kivlan Reftreka, and Hefrizal Handra. "The Relationship between Government Debt and Social Welfare." Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan 19, no. 1 (2021): 125–34. http://dx.doi.org/10.29259/jep.v19i1.13786.

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This study aims to analyze the relationship between government debt and social welfare in Indonesia in 1980-2019. The data used in this research is secondary data using time series data. The analysis used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). The findings result from the first model show that in the short-run, additional debt-to-GDP was not significant to the poverty level and GDP per capita. Meanwhile, the long-run, additional debt-to-GDP is significant to the poverty level and GDP per capita. The results also find that in the long run additional debt-to-GDP is positively correlated with pover

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Yun, Won Cheol, and Hyun Jin An. "A Comparative Analysis of Hedging Effectiveness of Won/Dollar Futures and NDF Contracts." Journal of Derivatives and Quantitative Studies 12, no. 2 (2004): 73–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jdqs-02-2004-b0004.

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This study compares the hedging effectiveness of domestic won/dollar futures and foreign non-deferable forward (NDF) contracts. We use an ex ante analysis based on out-of-sample data. In addition, the analysis is based on the inventory hedging scenario, adopted in most of previous studies. We estimated hedge ratios by using the various method of 1 : 1 hedging, ordinary least squares (OLS), and error correction model (ECM). The hedging period is expanded to include one to twelve months‘ In every aspect, the hedging effectiveness of won/dollar futures contract turns out to be better than that of

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Omri, Anis, and Sonia Ghorbel Zouari. "International financial contagion of the US sub-prime crisis: evidence through the adjusted correlation test and non-linear Error Correction Models (ECM)." International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance 4, no. 2 (2011): 135. http://dx.doi.org/10.1504/ijmef.2011.039326.

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Shahani, Rakesh, and Aayushi. "Exploring Dynamic Linkages Between Inward FDI and India’s Economic Growth." Jindal Journal of Business Research 8, no. 2 (2019): 109–17. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/2278682119833194.

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The present study attempts to develop a co-integrating relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) net inflows into India and its economic growth for the calendar period 1986–2016 by taking log-transformed yearly data. The variables included in the study were per capita gross domestic product (GDP; as a measure of economic growth) and FDI net flows. Additional regressors as control variables include exports as a percentage of GDP (a proxy for trade openness) and call money rate (a proxy for financial variable). The methodology employed is autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds p

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Wen, Fazheng, Bin Duan, Chenghui Zhang, Rui Zhu, Yunlong Shang, and Junming Zhang. "High-Accuracy Parameter Identification Method for Equivalent-Circuit Models of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on the Stochastic Theory Response Reconstruction." Electronics 8, no. 8 (2019): 834. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/electronics8080834.

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The precision of battery modeling is usually determined by the identification of model parameters, which is dependent on the measured outside characteristic data of batteries. However, there is a lot of noise because of the environment noise and measurement error, leading to poor estimation accuracy of model parameters. This paper proposes a stochastic theory response reconstruction (STRR) method to reconstruct the measured battery voltage data, which can eliminate the noise interference and ensure high-precision model parameter identification. The relationship between the battery voltage and

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15

Setyowati, Eni. "FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TERHADAP DOLAR AMERIKA DENGAN MODEL KOREKSI KESALAHAN ENGLE-GRANGER (PENDEKATAN MONETER)." Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan 4, no. 2 (2017): 162. http://dx.doi.org/10.23917/jep.v4i2.4026.

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Exchange rate measures the value of a certain foreign exchange from other foreign exchange's perspective. As the condition of economic changes, the exchange rate ma change substantially. The decrease of the value of a foreign exchange is called depreciation and the increase value of a foreign exchange is called appreciation.The equilibrium exchange rate will change along with the change of demand and supply. Factors causing the change of demand and supply curve among others are the amount of money supply, relative gross domestic product (GDP) and the level of relative interest rate.The researc

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Hapsari, Anggraeni Tri, and Akhmad Syakir Kurnia. "FENOMENA KURVA J PADA NERACA PERDAGANGAN INDONESIA DENGAN ENAM NEGARA MITRA DAGANG UTAMA." JURNAL DINAMIKA EKONOMI PEMBANGUNAN 1, no. 2 (2018): 10. http://dx.doi.org/10.14710/jdep.1.2.10-27.

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Whether a J curve phenomenon exists or not on the balance of trade has been an interest for empirical investigation in international economics. The phenomenon is typically associated with the response of the balance of trade to the exchange rate dynamics. Since a country has different trade features with different trading partners, the trade balances adjustment to the exchange rate dynamics should be seen as a head to head phenomenon. This paper investigates the effect of real effective exchange rate (REER) on the bilateral trade balance between Indonesia and its six major trading partners, na

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Palmieri, Flavio, Pedro Gomis, José Esteban Ruiz, et al. "Nonlinear T-Wave Time Warping-Based Sensing Model for Non-Invasive Personalised Blood Potassium Monitoring in Hemodialysis Patients: A Pilot Study." Sensors 21, no. 8 (2021): 2710. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/s21082710.

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Background: End-stage renal disease patients undergoing hemodialysis (ESRD-HD) therapy are highly susceptible to malignant ventricular arrhythmias caused by undetected potassium concentration ([K+]) variations (Δ[K+]) out of normal ranges. Therefore, a reliable method for continuous, noninvasive monitoring of [K+] is crucial. The morphology of the T-wave in the electrocardiogram (ECG) reflects Δ[K+] and two time-warping-based T-wave morphological parameters, dw and its heart-rate corrected version dw,c, have been shown to reliably track Δ[K+] from the ECG. The aim of this study is to derive po

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18

Bose, S. Sree Niranjanaa, and A. Kandaswamy. "Elimination of Multicollinearity in Continuous Non-Invasive Blood Pressure Approximation by Information Criterion." Journal of Medical Imaging and Health Informatics 11, no. 1 (2021): 53–62. http://dx.doi.org/10.1166/jmihi.2021.3358.

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Continuous and unobtrusive method of measuring blood pressure has been gaining more attention in the healthcare community. With the application of data analysis techniques in biosignals like Electrocardiogram (ECG) and Photoplethysmogram (PPG), several predictors are obtained that correlates well with the blood pressure. But the BP approximation regression models formed using these predictors suffers from multicollinearity (higher correlation between predictors). The article proposes the use of information criterion-based model ensemble approach to reduce the effect of multicollinearity in the

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Hanif, Imran, and Pilar Gago-de Santos. "Impact of Fiscal Decentralization on Private Savings in a Developing Country." Journal of South Asian Development 12, no. 3 (2017): 259–85. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0260107917735403.

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In this article, we provide empirical evidence on the long-run relationship between fiscal decentralization and private savings in a developing country. We take into consideration the particular impact of fiscal decentralization on private savings and investment as vehicles for fostering growth in Pakistan over a period of almost four decades (1972–2010). Additionally, we use the same dataset to capture the short-run dynamics between these variables. We find a significant and positive correlation between fiscal decentralization and private savings in Pakistan during the period in question. To

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Feldmann, Kira, Michael Scheuerer, and Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir. "Spatial Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts for Temperature Using Nonhomogeneous Gaussian Regression." Monthly Weather Review 143, no. 3 (2015): 955–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-14-00210.1.

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Abstract Statistical postprocessing techniques are commonly used to improve the skill of ensembles from numerical weather forecasts. This paper considers spatial extensions of the well-established nonhomogeneous Gaussian regression (NGR) postprocessing technique for surface temperature and a recent modification thereof in which the local climatology is included in the regression model to permit locally adaptive postprocessing. In a comparative study employing 21-h forecasts from the Consortium for Small Scale Modelling ensemble predictive system over Germany (COSMO-DE), two approaches for mode

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Shao, Jiang, Ping Shi, Sijung Hu, Yang Liu, and Hongliu Yu. "An Optimization Study of Estimating Blood Pressure Models Based on Pulse Arrival Time for Continuous Monitoring." Journal of Healthcare Engineering 2020 (February 10, 2020): 1–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/1078251.

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Continuous blood pressure (BP) monitoring has a significant meaning for the prevention and early diagnosis of cardiovascular disease. However, under different calibration methods, it is difficult to determine which model is better for estimating BP. This study was firstly designed to reveal a better BP estimation model by evaluating and optimizing different BP models under a justified and uniform criterion, i.e., the advanced point-to-point pairing method (PTP). Here, the physical trial in this study caused the BP increase largely. In addition, the PPG and ECG signals were collected while the

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Song, Kwangsub, Tae-Jun Park, and Joon-Hyuk Chang. "Novel Data Augmentation Employing Multivariate Gaussian Distribution for Neural Network-Based Blood Pressure Estimation." Applied Sciences 11, no. 9 (2021): 3923. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/app11093923.

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In this paper, we propose a novel data augmentation technique employing multivariate Gaussian distribution (DA-MGD) for neural network (NN)-based blood pressure (BP) estimation, which incorporates the relationship between the features in a multi-dimensional feature vector to describe the correlated real-valued random variables successfully. To verify the proposed algorithm against the conventional algorithm, we compare the results in terms of mean error (ME) with standard deviation and Pearson correlation using 110 subjects contributed to the database (DB) which includes the systolic BP (SBP),

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Respatiadi, Hizkia, and Hana Nabila. "POLICY OPTIONS TO LOWER RICE PRICES IN INDONESIA." Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan 12, no. 1 (2018): 95–116. http://dx.doi.org/10.30908/bilp.v12i1.262.

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Di Indonesia, harga beras membuat 28 juta masyarakat pra-sejahtera menghabiskan nyaris separuh penghasilannya. Menanggapi hal ini, pemerintah menerapkan Harga Eceran Tertinggi (HET) dan menugaskan Badan Urusan Logistik (Bulog) untuk menstabilkan harga beras. Sebagai salah satu perwujudan tugasnya, Bulog ditunjuk menjadi importir tunggal beras. Kajian ini menganalisis efektiitas HET, kinerja Bulog sebagai importir beras, dan korelasi antara harga beras di Indonesia dan pasar internasional. Makalah ini mengusulkan opsi kebijakan untuk menurunkan harga beras dengan menggarisbawahi potensi perdaga

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Shahani, Rakesh, and Kamya Raghuvansi. "Carbon Dioxide Emissions and Economic Growth: A Bivariate Co-integration Analysis for Two Emerging Markets of India and China." Vision: The Journal of Business Perspective 24, no. 1 (2019): 9–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0972262919855806.

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The article investigates the co-integrating relation between carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and economic growth of India and China: the two emerging markets of Asia. The article also tries to test the functional form of EKC as applicable to India and China. The study takes annual data for the 55 year period from 1960–2014 and the variables included are GDP per capita (a proxy for economic growth) and CO2 emissions per capita (a proxy for the environmental degradation). The co-integrating relation has been tested using Johansen (1988) co-integration test which is supplemented with VAR-VECM Mode

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Liu, Hongbo, Hanho Kim, Shuanglu Liang, and Oh-Sang Kwon. "Export Diversification and Ecological Footprint: A Comparative Study on EKC Theory among Korea, Japan, and China." Sustainability 10, no. 10 (2018): 3657. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su10103657.

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This study examines the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis by adopting a country’s ecological footprint as an indicator of environmental degradation in three East Asian countries: Japan, Korea, and China. During the development process, countries intend to balance between stabilizing export demand and maintaining sustainable economic improvement in the context of deteriorating global warming and climate change. The Environmental Kuznets Curve (henceforth, EKC) was originally developed to estimate the correlation between environment condition and economic development. In this paper, w

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Iskandar, Azwar. "DOES LESS CORRUPTION REDUCE INCOME INEQUALITY IN INDONESIA?" Jurnal Tata Kelola & Akuntabilitas Keuangan Negara 4, no. 2 (2018): 167. http://dx.doi.org/10.28986/jtaken.v4i2.193.

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It is widely believed that corruption is a cause of income inequality and a barrier to successful its eradication. It undermines the efforts of developing countries, including Indonesia to alleviate income inequality. It is also argued that the increased inequality caused by corruption worsens the position of the poorest people in a society as it reduces public resources available for social spen-ding of government. In addition, corruption might have a negative impact on the quality and quantity of public services, such as education and health services. This study designed to know the long run

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Shao, Jiang, Ping Shi, and Sijung Hu. "A Unified Calibration Paradigm for a Better Cuffless Blood Pressure Estimation with Modes of Elastic Tube and Vascular Elasticity." Journal of Sensors 2021 (April 12, 2021): 1–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/8868083.

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Although two modes of elastic tube (ET) and vascular elasticity (VE) have been well explored for cuffless continuous blood pressure (BP) monitoring estimation, the initial calibration with these two models could be derived from different mathematical mechanisms for BP estimation. The study is aimed at evaluating the performance of VE and ET models by means of an advanced point-to-point (aPTP) pairing calibration. The cuff BPs were only taken up while the signals of PPG and ECG were synchronously acquired from individual subjects. Two popular VE models together with one representative ET model

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Awal, Md Abdul, Sheikh Shanawaz Mostafa, Mohiuddin Ahmad, et al. "Design and Optimization of ECG Modeling for Generating Different Cardiac Dysrhythmias." Sensors 21, no. 5 (2021): 1638. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/s21051638.

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The electrocardiogram (ECG) has significant clinical importance for analyzing most cardiovascular diseases. ECGs beat morphologies, beat durations, and amplitudes vary from subject to subject and diseases to diseases. Therefore, ECG morphology-based modeling has long-standing research interests. This work aims to develop a simplified ECG model based on a minimum number of parameters that could correctly represent ECG morphology in different cardiac dysrhythmias. A simple mathematical model based on the sum of two Gaussian functions is proposed. However, fitting more than one Gaussian function

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Schuhen, Nina. "Order of operation for multi-stage post-processing of ensemble wind forecast trajectories." Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 27, no. 1 (2020): 35–49. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/npg-27-35-2020.

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Abstract. With numerical weather prediction ensembles unable to produce sufficiently calibrated forecasts, statistical post-processing is needed to correct deterministic and probabilistic biases. Over the past decades, a number of methods addressing this issue have been proposed, with ensemble model output statistics (EMOS) and Bayesian model averaging (BMA) among the most popular. They are able to produce skillful deterministic and probabilistic forecasts for a wide range of applications. These methods are usually applied to the newest model run as soon as it has finished, before the entire f

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Feng, Aijing, Meina Zhang, Kenneth A. Sudduth, Earl D. Vories, and Jianfeng Zhou. "Cotton Yield Estimation from UAV-Based Plant Height." Transactions of the ASABE 62, no. 2 (2019): 393–404. http://dx.doi.org/10.13031/trans.13067.

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Abstract. Accurate estimation of crop yield before harvest, especially in early growth stages, is important for farmers and researchers to optimize field management and evaluate crop performance. However, existing in-field methods for estimating crop yield are not efficient. The goal of this research was to evaluate the performance of a UAV-based remote sensing system with a low-cost RGB camera to estimate cotton yield based on plant height. The UAV system acquired images at 50 m above ground level over a cotton field at the first flower growth stage. Waypoints and flight speed were selected t

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Azwar, Azwar Azwar, and Rahmaluddin Saragih. "DOES CORRUPTION AFFECT POVERTY IN INDONESIA?" Jurnal BPPK : Badan Pendidikan dan Pelatihan Keuangan 11, no. 1 (2018): 1–14. http://dx.doi.org/10.48108/jurnalbppk.v11i1.175.

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Corruption is likely to increase poverty because it reduces the potential income earning of the poor. Therefore, eradicating corruption is a crucial issue in the poverty reduction process. This study is set out to investigate and analyze the short and long-run relationship between corruption and poverty. It uses secondary data from World Bank and Transparency International then Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and dynamic Error Correction Model (ECM), focuses on capability poverty using headcount poverty index during year 1995-2017. The results of study indicated that corruption have posi

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Utama, Wahyudi P., Albert P. C. Chan, Hafiz Zahoor, Ran Gao, and Dwifitra Y. Jumas. "Making decision toward overseas construction projects." Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management 26, no. 2 (2019): 285–302. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ecam-01-2018-0016.

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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to introduce a decision support aid for deciding an overseas construction project (OCP) using an adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). Design/methodology/approach This study presents an ANFIS approach as a decision support aid for assessment of OCPs. The processing data were derived from 110 simulation cases of OCPs. In total, 21 international factors observed from a Delphi survey were determined as assessment variables to examine the cases. The experts were involved to evaluate and judge whether the company should Go or Not Go for an OCP, based on

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Habanabakize, Thomas, and Daniel F. Meyer. "An Investigation of the Dynamic Effect of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Interest Rates on GDP in South Africa." Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies 10, no. 5(J) (2018): 29–37. http://dx.doi.org/10.22610/jebs.v10i5(j).2495.

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Economic growth in South Africa has been in the â€œdoldrumsâ€ for the past decade. If well managed, foreign direct investment (FDI) and repo rate (interest rate) could have a positive impact and assist in rapid economic growth so urgently needed in South Africa. FDI has been a driving force for growth in many developing economies. Not enough has been done to attract FDI in South Africa. The country has enormous ability and capacity to attract FDI inflows and to have the advantages from it. A quantitative research approach was used to analyse the association amongst the variables which include

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Wang, Haibo, Naiqi Jiang, Ting Pan, Haiqing Si, Yao Li, and Wenjing Zou. "Cognitive Load Identification of Pilots Based on Physiological-Psychological Characteristics in Complex Environments." Journal of Advanced Transportation 2020 (November 12, 2020): 1–16. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/5640784.

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Cognitive load is generated by pilots in the process of information cognition about aircraft control, and it is closely related to flight safety. Cognitive load is the physiological and psychological need that a pilot produces when completing a mission. Therefore, it is meaningful to study the dynamic identification of the cognitive load of the pilot under the complex human-aircraft-environment interaction. In this paper, the airfield traffic pattern flight simulation experiment was designed and used to obtain the ECG physiological and NASA-TLX psychological data. The wavelet transform preproc

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Lai, Baoying, and Nathan Lael Joseph. "Pricing-to-Market Using EGARCH-Error Correction Model." International Journal of Strategic Decision Sciences 3, no. 1 (2012): 1–59. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/jsds.2012010101.

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In this paper, the authors use an exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (EGARCH) error-correction model (ECM), that is, EGARCH-ECM, to estimate the pass-through effects of foreign exchange (FX) rates and producers’ prices for 20 U.K. export sectors. The long-run adjustment of export prices to FX rates and producers’ prices is within the range of -1.02% (for the Textiles sector) and -17.22% (for the Meat sector). The contemporaneous pricing-to-market (PTM) coefficient is within the range of -72.84% (for the Fuels sector) and -8.05% (for the Textiles sector). Short-r

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Santos, Angelo Gabrielle. "Forecasting residential electricity demand in the Philippines using an error correction model." Philippine Review of Economics 57, no. 1 (2021): 121–51. http://dx.doi.org/10.37907/6erp0202j.

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This study uses an Error Correction Model (ECM) to forecast residential electricity demand in the Philippines using household final consumption expenditure, residential electricity price, and temperature as explanatory variables. Results show that there is a long-run relationship between household final consumption expenditure and residential electricity demand. Estimates from the ECM are consistent with economic theory, and the model passed standard diagnostic and parameter stability tests. Forecast performance based on within-sample and out-of-sample forecasts of the ECM is also shown to be

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Saragih, Ansheila Yunian, and Lavlimattria Esya. "PENGARUH KINERJA MAKROEKONOMI TERHADAP DANA PIHAK KETIGA BANK SYARIAH INDONESIA." Media Ekonomi 24, no. 2 (2016): 151. http://dx.doi.org/10.25105/me.v24i2.3801.

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<p><em>This study Aimed to analyze the influence of GDP, SBIS and inflation on third-party funds (DPK), in the short term and long term in the period quarterely 2008: 1 until 2014: 4. The variables used are third party funds (DPK), Gross Domestic Product (GDP), inflation, and Bank Indonesia Certificates Sharia (SBIS). Mmethodology used is a method of Error Correction Model (ECM). Before the test of Error Correction Model (ECM), the models must pass the prerequisite test unit root, integration and Co integration. The results showed the models Prerequisites Error Correction Model (EC

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Anwar, A. I., Kurniaty, N. R. S. Wulandari, and R. Fitrianti. "Application of Error Correction Model (ECM) in stabilizing financial inclusion." IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 473 (May 14, 2020): 012117. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/473/1/012117.

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Mensah, Isaac, Theophilus Adjei-Kumi, and Gabriel Nani. "Duration determination for rural roads using the principal component analysis and artificial neural network." Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management 23, no. 5 (2016): 638–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ecam-09-2015-0148.

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Purpose Determining the duration for road construction projects represents a problem for construction professionals in Ghana. The purpose of this paper is to develop an artificial neural network (ANN) model for determining the duration for rural bituminous surfaced road projects. Design/methodology/approach Data for 22 completed bituminous surfaced road projects from the Department of Feeder Roads (rural road agency) were collected and analyzed using the principal component analysis (PCA) and ANN techniques. The data collected were final payment certificates which contained payment bill of qua

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Afrizal, Afrizal. "Analisis Inflasi di Indonesia (Suatu Pendekatan Model Dinamik)." Jurnal Ekonomi Bisnis dan Kewirausahaan 7, no. 2 (2018): 85. http://dx.doi.org/10.26418/jebik.v7i2.24199.

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This study aims to determine the magnitude of the effect of the money supply, the exchange rate of rupiah (exchange rate) and the interest rate on inflation in Indonesia during the period 2000.12016.4. The analysis tools used for this research data are: unit root test, integration degree test, cointegration test, error correction model / ECM. The results showed that all staioner research data at level 1 (first difference) based on cointegration test showed that the variables observed in this study co-integration or have long-term relationship. The ECM model used is valid, as indicated by the e

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Ranto, Suryo Refli. "Pengaruh Jangka Pendek Dan Jangka Panjang Variabel Makro Ekonomi Terhadap Ihsg Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Dengan Pendekatan Error Correction Model (ECM)." Jurnal Derivat: Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika 6, no. 1 (2019): 12–24. http://dx.doi.org/10.31316/j.derivat.v6i1.332.

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Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji secara empiris pengaruh jangka pendek dan jangka panjang dari Inflasi, Jumlah Uang Berjalan, Kurs, Tingkat Bunga Bank Indonesia, Harga Minyak Dunia (WTI) dan Net Ekspor terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) dengan metode Error Correction Model (ECM) yang diolah dengan eviews 6.0. Selama periode pengamatan yaitu tahun 2000-2012 terjadi hubungan antara variabel makro dengan pergerakan IHSG di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI). Hasil uji ECM memperlihatkan Inflasi, kurs dan harga minyak dunia berpengaruh signifakan terhadap IHSG pada jangka pendek sedangkan p

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Ramadhani, Zulfa Nur Fajri, Siskarossa Ika Oktora, and Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications IJSA. "DETERMINAN TRANSAKSI NONTUNAI DI INDONESIA DENGAN PENDEKATAN ERROR CORRECTION MECHANISM (ECM) MODEL." Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications 3, no. 1 (2019): 62–77. http://dx.doi.org/10.29244/ijsa.v3i1.190.

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Consumption is an activity that must be done by everyone. In order to consume something, a transaction is needed to get the goods or services desired. One kind of transaction that is used by many people nowadays is non-cash transaction. Since Bank Indonesia established Gerakan Nasional Non Tunai (GNNT) in August 2014, the value of non-cash transactions exceeds the value of cash transactions. It happenned because people prefer non-cash to cash transaction which is easier, safer, more practical, and more economical. Besides, an increase in non-cash transactions can also be influenced by other fa

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Fatmawati, Sri, and Algifari Algifari. "EFEK FISHER DI INDONESIA: PENDEKATAN CO-INTEGRATION DAN ERROR CORRECTION MODEL (ECM)." Jurnal Riset Manajemen dan Bisnis 9, no. 1 (2015): 51. http://dx.doi.org/10.21460/jrmb.2014.91.225.

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The aim of this research is to examine the existence of Fisher Effect for Indonesian Economy, by regressing interest rate on rate of inflation in period 1980-2011. With co-integration and error correction technique, the results indicate that an increases of one percent in inflation rate lead to increase in interest rate at 0,13 percent in short-run and at 0,95 percent in longrun. This research can’t confirm the existence of Fisher Effect in Indonesian Economy in short-run, but this effect exists in long-run. Keywords: Fisher Effect, Interest Rate, Inflation Rate, Co-integration, Error Correcti

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Ji, Deng-Yuan, Cheng-Few Lee, and Hsiao-Yin Chen. "Forecast Performance of the Taiwan Weighted Stock Index." Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies 18, no. 03 (2015): 1550017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s0219091515500174.

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This research introduces the following to establish a Taiwan Weighted stock index (TAIEX) prediction model: intervention analysis integrated into the ARIMA–GARCH model, error correction model (ECM), intervention analysis integrated into the transfer function model, the simple average combination forecasting model, and the minimum error combination forecasting model. The results show that intervention analysis integrated into the transfer function model yields a more accurate prediction model than ECM and intervention analysis integrated into the ARIMA–GARCH model. The minimum error combination

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Breitung, Jörg, and Christian Wulff. "Non-linear Error Correction and the Efficient Market Hypothesis: The Case of German Dual-Class Shares." German Economic Review 2, no. 4 (2001): 419–34. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1468-0475.00047.

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Abstract The efficient market hypothesis implies that (risk-adjusted) asset prices cannot be cointegrated. On the other hand, arbitrage processes prevent prices of fundamentally related assets from drifting too far away. An attractive model that reconciles these two conflicting facts is the non-linear error correction mechanism (ECM). Such a process tolerates small deviations from the long-run relationship. For more substantial deviations, an effective adjustment process pushes the diverging prices towards their fundamental relationship. In this paper parametric and non-parametric techniques a

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Sutthichaimethee, Jindamas, and Kuskana Kubaha. "Forecasting Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Thailand’s Construction Sector by Enriching the LS-ARIMAXi-ECM Model." Sustainability 10, no. 10 (2018): 3593. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su10103593.

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The Thailand Development Policy focuses on the simultaneous growth of the economy, society, and environment. Long-term goals have been set to improve economic and social well-being. At the same time, these aim to reduce the emission of CO2 in the future, especially in the construction sector, which is deemed important in terms of national development and is a high generator of greenhouse gas. In order to achieve national sustainable development, policy formulation and planning is becoming necessary and requires a tool to undertake such a formulation. The tool is none other than the forecasting

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Reddy, M. S., V. K. Jain, and G. K. Lal. "Tool Design for ECM: Correction Factor Method." Journal of Engineering for Industry 110, no. 2 (1988): 111–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/1.3187858.

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A simple model for tool (cathode) design for plane parallel electrochemical machining and electrochemical drilling has been proposed. Assuming the initial tool shape to be complementary to required work shape, the desirable and predicted anode profiles have been compared and the error between them has been evaluated. Using this error, the correction factor has been calculated to modify the tool shape. This procedure is repeated till the designed tool can produce an anode profile within the prescribed tolerance limits. Using this technique, tools for tapered, flat, exponential, parabolic, and n

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Saputra, Defrizal, Hasdi Aimon, and Melti Roza Adry. "ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI UTANG LUAR NEGERI DI INDONESIA." Jurnal Ecogen 1, no. 3 (2019): 482. http://dx.doi.org/10.24036/jmpe.v1i3.4989.

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This study aims to determine and analyze the factors that influence foreign debt in Indonesia with variables that effect economic growth, inflation, and foreign interest rates. This type of research is associative descriptive research, where the data used is secondary data from 1970 to 2017 obtained from institutions and related institutions, which are analyzed using the Error Correction Model (ECM) method. This study initially used the Ordinary Lest Square (OLS) method to see long-term, and used ECM because it wanted to see short-term at the same time. The findings of this study indicate that

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Yuliadi, Imamudin. "ANALISIS NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH DAN IMPLIKASINYA PADA PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA: PENDEKATAN ERROR CORRECTION MODEL (ECM)." Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan 8, no. 2 (2007): 146. http://dx.doi.org/10.23917/jep.v8i2.1038.

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The changing of exchange rate is due to interaction between economic factors and non-economic factors. The aim of this research is to analyse some factors that affect exchange rate and their implications on Indonesian economy. Analytical method used in this research is explanatory method is to test hypothesis about simultaneous relationship among variables that research by developing the characteristics of verificative research by doing some testing at every step of research. We used secon-dary data taken from BI, BPS, World Bank and IFS. We used error correction model (ECM) to analysis betwee

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Putri, Claudia TeziaJanuarita, and Regina Niken Wilantari. "DETERMINAN ALIRAN FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT DI INDONESIA (PENDEKATAN MODEL DUNNING)." Media Trend 11, no. 2 (2016): 141. http://dx.doi.org/10.21107/mediatrend.v11i2.1541.

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<p><em>Traffic capital across countries is one of investment opportunities from domestic and abroad to stimulate the economic growth of developing countries</em><em>. Compared to other forms of capital, Foreign Direct Investment is the flow of capital is long-term and relatively not as vulnerable to economic shocks. The aim of this study is to see the performance of FDI movement as a capital inflow in Indonesia and to explores whether factors that affect FDI using Dunning’s ecletic model. </em><em>This study focused on two basic analysis, descriptive analysi

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