Academic literature on the topic 'Financial distress prediction models'
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Journal articles on the topic "Financial distress prediction models"
Ashraf, Sumaira, Elisabete G. S. Félix, and Zélia Serrasqueiro. "Do Traditional Financial Distress Prediction Models Predict the Early Warning Signs of Financial Distress?" Journal of Risk and Financial Management 12, no. 2 (April 4, 2019): 55. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jrfm12020055.
Full textChen, Jianguo, Ben R. Marshall, Jenny Zhang, and Siva Ganesh. "Financial Distress Prediction in China." Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies 09, no. 02 (June 2006): 317–36. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s0219091506000744.
Full textMitchell, M. R., R. E. Link, Li-Tze Lee, Chiang Ku Fan, Hsiang-Wen Hung, and Yu-Chun Ling. "Analysis of Financial Distress Prediction Models." Journal of Testing and Evaluation 38, no. 5 (2010): 102759. http://dx.doi.org/10.1520/jte102759.
Full textTew, You Hoo, and Enylina Nordin. "Predicting corporate financial distress using logistic regression : Malaysian evidence." Social and Management Research Journal 3, no. 1 (June 1, 2006): 123. http://dx.doi.org/10.24191/smrj.v3i1.5108.
Full textEl-ansari, Osama, and Lina Bassam. "Predicting Financial Distress for Listed MENA Firms." International Journal of Accounting and Financial Reporting 9, no. 2 (April 15, 2019): 51. http://dx.doi.org/10.5296/ijafr.v9i2.14542.
Full textMa’aji, Muhammad M., Nur Adiana Hiau Abdullah, and Karren Lee-Hwei Khaw. "Predicting Financial Distress among SMEs in Malaysia." European Scientific Journal, ESJ 14, no. 7 (March 31, 2018): 91. http://dx.doi.org/10.19044/esj.2018.v14n7p91.
Full textAhmadreza Ghasemi, Ahmadreza, Mohsen Seyghalib, and Maryam Moradi. "PREDICTION OF FINANCIAL DISTRESS, USING METAHEURISTIC MODELS." Financial and credit activity: problems of theory and practice 1, no. 24 (March 30, 2018): 238–49. http://dx.doi.org/10.18371/fcaptp.v1i24.128242.
Full textListyarini, Fitri. "ANALISIS PERBANDINGAN PREDIKSI KONDISI FINANCIAL DISTRESS DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE ALTMAN, SPRINGATE, DAN ZMIJEWSKI." Jurnal Bina Akuntansi 7, no. 1 (January 31, 2020): 1–20. http://dx.doi.org/10.52859/jba.v7i1.71.
Full textZhuang, Qian, and Lianghua Chen. "Dynamic Prediction of Financial Distress Based on Kalman Filtering." Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society 2014 (2014): 1–10. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/370280.
Full textMunawarah, Munawarah, and Keumala Hayati. "ACCURACY OF SPRINGATE, ZMIJEWSKY AND GROVER AS LOGISTIC MODELS IN FINDING FINANCIAL DIFFICULTY OF FINANCING COMPANIES." ACCRUALS 3, no. 1 (March 29, 2019): 1–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.35310/accruals.v3i1.36.
Full textDissertations / Theses on the topic "Financial distress prediction models"
Stulpinienė, Vaida. "Financial distress prediction model of family farms." Doctoral thesis, Lithuanian Academic Libraries Network (LABT), 2014. http://vddb.library.lt/obj/LT-eLABa-0001:E.02~2013~D_20140123_133545-56537.
Full textParengtas finansinio išsekimo prognozavimo modelis tiesiogiai skirtas ūkininkui, kuris panaudodamas savo ūkio finansinę informaciją, galėtų diagnozuoti ūkio finansinę būklę ir iš anksto numatyti finansinio išsekimo grėsmę. Disertacijoje nustatytos ir įvardintos ūkininkų ūkių charakteristikos, kurioms esant ūkiai turi didesnes grėsmes finansiškai išsekti, yra gairės ūkininkų ūkiams, kurie ketina atidžiau stebėti savo veiklą ir kontroliuoti finansinę būklę. Tyrimo tikslas – ištyrus finansinio išsekimo sampratą, identifikavus finansinę būklę sąlygojančius veiksnius, indikatorius ir prognozavimo modelius, metodologiškai pagrįsti ir parengti ūkininkų ūkių finansinio išsekimo prognozavimo modelį.
Mselmi, Nada. "Financial distress prediction and equity pricing models : Theory and empirical evidence in France." Thesis, Orléans, 2017. http://www.theses.fr/2017ORLE0502.
Full textThis thesis focuses on financial distress and its impact on stock returns. The main goal of this dissertation is: (i) to predict the financial distress of French small and medium-sized firms using a number of techniques namely Logit model, Artificial Neural Networks, Support Vector Machine techniques, and Partial Least Squares, and (ii) to identify the systematic risk factors of financial distress that can explain stock returns, in addition to those of Fama and French (1993) such as the momentum, the relative distress, the liquidity, and the Value-at-Risk in the French stock market. This study has been concretized in two parts. The first part, composed of 2 chapters, wonders about the main indicators that can discriminate between distressed and non-distressed French small and medium-sized firms one and two years before default. It mobilizes different prediction techniques and leads to the empirical results that are the subject of the analysis. The second part, composed also of 2 chapters, investigates the explanatory power of Fama and French (1993) model augmented by a number of risk factors, as well as alternative models in the French context. The tests also focus on the systematic nature of the additional or alternative risk factors, explaining the stock returns. The obtained empirical results are analyzed and propose managerial implications to decision makers
Omar, Mohd Azmi. "The sensitivity of distress prediction models to the nonnormality of bounded and unbounded financial ratios : an application in Malaysia." Thesis, Bangor University, 1994. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.239854.
Full textMalíková, Pavlína. "Finanční analýza společnosti Metrostav a.s." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2009. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-76786.
Full textSova, Lukáš. "Predpoveď finančnej tiesne podniku pomocou bankrotných a bonitných modelov." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2013. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-193213.
Full textJan, Yitzung, and 詹益宗. "Comparison Between Financial Distress Prediction Models." Thesis, 2006. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/86423538258426182202.
Full text國立交通大學
財務金融研究所
94
Based on the data of Taiwan corporations trading in TSE and OTC, this study used financial accounting variables and market variables to construct financial distress prediction models, such as Logit model, MDA model and discrete-time hazard model. With such methodology, I examined whether the added-in market variables could enhance the model’s discrimination ability and predicting capability or not, furthermore, I compared the accuracy of three statistical models. This study classified the variables into four categories, which are financial accounting variable group, financial accounting variable plus market variable group, market variable group and Shumway’s variable group, separately. The methods used in analyzing the models’ prediction accuracy are the default probability table, misclassification table, ROC curve and AUC, and EMC. The empirical results showed that the best model to discriminate in-sample data is Logit model composed of financial accounting variable plus market variable group; however, the best model to predict out-sample data is composed by financial accounting variable plus market variable group and Shumway’s variable group, but there are no difference between three statistical models in predicting capabilities. In summary, adding market variables does really enhance discrimination ability of in-sample data, but it doesn’t obviously enhance the prediction ability of out-sample data. Moreover, it is better to use financial distress prediction models alternatively in judging the tendency of the out-sample default firms.
Hung, Min-Yu, and 洪旻郁. "When Will Financial Distress Prediction Models Fail?" Thesis, 2009. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/60003156094196645699.
Full text臺灣大學
財務金融學研究所
98
he thesis investigates reasons behind failed distressed prediction models. Since variables of models reflect the current status of a company’s operating and financing situation. The quality of inputted information is quite influential for an effective distressed model. We compare our defined best accounting and market distressed forecasting models under five hypotheses to see the relative performance of both models. Our defined best accounting and market distressed prediction models have reached statistical significant in forecasting default. Particularly, the market model gets extra information after adjusting industry effect. On the other hand, accounting distressed forecasting model failed when the management has higher incentive and capability to manipulate information. Moreover, for small firms, the accounting model fails because of high information asymmetry. Nevertheless, market model fails when liquidity is too high and investors are too optimistic toward growth stocks. The thesis provides some empirical reasons for failed distressed prediction models. It also provides some references for people who will use these forecasting results in the future.
Sera, Roxana. "Financial distress prediction for portuguese SMEs." Master's thesis, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/1822/69982.
Full textIn Portugal, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) represent 99.9% of the total number of companies and are key generators of employment and contributors to the country`s economy. Given their key role and the fact that their main source of funding comes from financial institutions, it is vital that they have easy access to diversified financing instruments as well as the capacity of presenting their activity and results in an efficient way in order to gain access to them. In this context, a way of interpreting the information available about a company in a clear, concise and efficient manner is through the application of an accounting - based financial distress model. The analysis provided by such an instrument is beneficial to both financial institutions, that can use the results in order to understand the general situation of the company, and to the company`s management, who can foresee and prevent eventual financial problems. The objective of this study is to identify the main financial ratios that are relevant in order to discriminate between financially distressed and healthy companies and estimate financial distress prediction models based on them then use the estimated parameters to predict the probability of financial distress in Portuguese SMEs. In order to obtain a more balanced data set of companies the propensity score method, with matching of one-to-one as well as one-to-many, was applied. The model estimation was made with insolvent companies` data from one year prior to insolvency. Validation tests were performed on data samples for one, two and three years before insolvency, as well as for years one to three in a joint data set and also for the entire set of insolvent companies available, up to six years prior to insolvency. The five variables found to be the best predictors of insolvency are Current Assets to Total Assets, Operating Cash Flow to Total Assets, Operating Cash Flow to Debt, Retained Earnings to Total Assets and Equity to Debt. The overall forecasting accuracy of the final model was of over 85%, by which we conclude that the model could be successfully applied to the Portuguese market, in the context of the SMEs.
Em Portugal, as Pequenas e Médias Empresas (PMEs) representam 99.9% do número total de empresas e são um fator chave para a geração de emprego, com uma contribuição elevada para a economia geral do país. Considerando o papel estratégico desempenhado e o fato de que a maior fonte de recursos para as PMEs são as instituições financeiras, é fundamental que essas tenham tanto facilidade de acesso à instrumentos financeiros diversificados, quanto a possibilidade de apresentar a sua atividade e resultados obtidos de uma maneira adequada que lhes garante acesso a esses instrumentos. Nesse contexto, a aplicação de um modelo de previsão de insolvência baseado na análise de rácios financeiros é uma maneira de interpretar a informação disponível sobre uma empresa de uma forma clara, concisa e eficiente. A análise facilitada por tal instrumento beneficia tanto as instituições financeiras, que podem interpretar os resultados obtidos para melhor entender a situação geral da empresa, quanto os gestores da empresa, para quais facilita a detecção e prevenção de eventuais problemas financeiros. O objetivo deste estudo é identificar os principais rácios financeiros relevantes para distinguir entre empresas em dificuldades financeiras e empresas saudáveis, estimar com base neles um modelo de previsão de insolvência e utilizar os parámetros estimados para previsão de dificuldades financeiras nas PMEs portuguesas. Para obter uma amostra mais equilibrada de empresas foi aplicado o método Propensity Score Matching, com pareamentos de um-para-um e um-para-muitos. O modelo foi estimado com base nos dados financeiros de empresas insolventes de um ano antes da insolvência. Testes de validação foram feitos em amostras de um, dois e três anos antes da insolvência, amostra de um a três anos antes da falência, bem como no inteiro conjunto de empresas com dados disponíveis, até seis anos antes da insolvência. As cinco variáveis que mostraram melhor capacidade de previsão da insolvência são: Ativo Corrente/ Total do Ativo, Fluxo de Caixa Operacional/ Total do Ativo, Fluxo de Caixa Operacional/ Total do Ativo, Resultados Transitados/ Total do Ativo e Patrimônio Líquido/ Total do Passivo. A capacidade total preditiva do modelo é acima de 85%, o que leva à conclusão de que o modelo pode ser aplicado ao mercado Português, no contexto das PMEs.
Wen, Tsou Hui, and 鄒惠雯. "Financial Distress Prediction Model." Thesis, 2013. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/13836405838104904375.
Full text健行科技大學
國際企業管理研究所
101
In this study, logical construct financial distress logistic regression model for the study period from 2007 to 2011, the Hong Kong enterprises as the research object, assess Hong Kong''s corporate financial variables on the early warning model predictive ability; empirical results show that the financial ratio variables debt and total asset turnover ratio greater impact on the enterprise; insufficient if the company''s profitability, debt ratio is higher, but will cause cash flow problems of the situation, the enterprise is the higher the likelihood that the financial crisis. In this study, Logica logistic regression model prediction accuracy, the closer point in time of financial distress, the higher the predictive ability of the model overall accuracy rate of 76.6%.
XIE, MEI-SHUANG, and 謝美霜. "The study of sample designing in financial distress prediction models." Thesis, 1992. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/85829856569285848926.
Full textBooks on the topic "Financial distress prediction models"
Almeida, Heitor. The risk-adjusted cost of financial distress. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2005.
Find full textAlmeida, Heitor. The risk-adjusted cost of financial distress. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2005.
Find full textLin, Feng Yu. A data mining approach to the prediction of financial distress. [S.l: The Author], 2004.
Find full textRamaswamy, Srichander. One-step prediction of financial time series. Basle, Switzerland: Bank for International Settlements, Monetary and Economic Dept., 1998.
Find full textOgawa, Kazuo. Financial distress and employment: The Japanese case in the 90s. Cambridge, Mass: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2003.
Find full textAndrade, Gregor. How costly is financial (not economic) distress?: Evidence from highly leveraged transactions that became distressed. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1997.
Find full textE, Weinstein David, and National Bureau of Economic Research., eds. The myth of the patient Japanese: Corporate myopia and financial distress in Japan and the US. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1996.
Find full textBerg, Andrew. Are currency crises predictable?: A test. [Washington, D.C.]: International Monetary Fund, Research Department, 1998.
Find full textApplication of quantitative techniques for the prediction of bank acquisition targets. Singapore: World Scientific, 2006.
Find full textPasiouras, Fotios. Application of quantitative techniques for the prediction of bank acquisition targets. Singapore: World Scientific, 2005.
Find full textBook chapters on the topic "Financial distress prediction models"
Camska, Dagmar. "Industry Specifics of Models Predicting Financial Distress." In Contributions to Statistics, 113–23. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-56219-9_8.
Full textYeh, Ming-Feng, Chia-Ting Chang, and Min-Shyang Leu. "Financial Distress Prediction Model via GreyART Network and Grey Model." In Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering, 91–100. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-12990-2_11.
Full textGarcía, Vicente, Ana I. Marqués, L. Cleofas-Sánchez, and José Salvador Sánchez. "Model Selection for Financial Distress Prediction by Aggregating TOPSIS and PROMETHEE Rankings." In Lecture Notes in Computer Science, 524–35. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-32034-2_44.
Full textPozzoli, Matteo, and Francesco Paolone. "The Models of Financial Distress." In Corporate Financial Distress, 11–28. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-67355-4_3.
Full textAgostini, Marisa. "The Role of Going Concern Evaluation in Both Prediction and Explanation of Corporate Financial Distress: Concluding Remarks and Future Trends." In Corporate Financial Distress, 119–26. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-78500-4_5.
Full textAlaminos, David, Sergio M. Fernández, Francisca García, and Manuel A. Fernández. "Data Mining for Municipal Financial Distress Prediction." In Advances in Data Mining. Applications and Theoretical Aspects, 296–308. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-95786-9_23.
Full textSun, Jie, and Xiao-Feng Hui. "Financial Distress Prediction Based on Similarity Weighted Voting CBR." In Advanced Data Mining and Applications, 947–58. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2006. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/11811305_103.
Full textChen, Ning, Armando S. Vieira, João Duarte, Bernardete Ribeiro, and João C. Neves. "Cost-Sensitive Learning Vector Quantization for Financial Distress Prediction." In Progress in Artificial Intelligence, 374–85. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2009. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-04686-5_31.
Full textBriggs, William M. "Testing, Prediction, and Cause in Econometric Models." In Econometrics for Financial Applications, 3–19. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-73150-6_1.
Full textChou, Tsung-Nan. "A Practical Grafting Model Based Explainable AI for Predicting Corporate Financial Distress." In Business Information Systems Workshops, 5–15. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-36691-9_1.
Full textConference papers on the topic "Financial distress prediction models"
Guo-ming, Qian, Feng Yuan, and Zhou Ling. "Financial Distress Prediction Models of China's Listed Companies." In 2007 International Conference on Management Science and Engineering. IEEE, 2007. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/icmse.2007.4422105.
Full textZheng, Qin, and Jiang Yanhui. "Financial Distress Prediction Based on Decision Tree Models." In 2007 IEEE International Conference on Service Operations and Logistics, and Informatics. IEEE, 2007. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/soli.2007.4383925.
Full textRibeiro, Bernardete, Catarina Silva, Armando Vieira, A. Gaspar-Cunha, and Joao C. das Neves. "Financial distress model prediction using SVM+." In 2010 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN). IEEE, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ijcnn.2010.5596729.
Full textDurica, Marek, and Lucia Svabova. "MDA FINANCIAL DISTRESS PREDICTION MODEL FOR HUNGARIAN COMPANIES." In 5th International Scientific Conference ERAZ - Knowledge Based Sustainable Development. Association of Economists and Managers of the Balkans, Belgrade, Serbia, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.31410/eraz.s.p.2019.199.
Full textGeng, Zhaoyuan, Lan Tan, Xiaoli Gao, Yining Ma, Lufeng Feng, and Jiaying Zhu. "Financial Distress Prediction Models of Listed Companies by Using Non-Financial Determinants in Bayesian Criterion." In 2011 International Conference on Management and Service Science (MASS 2011). IEEE, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/icmss.2011.5998341.
Full textDurica, Marek, Peter Adamko, and Katarina Valaskova. "MDA financial distress prediction model for selected Balkan countries." In 2nd International Scientific Conference - Economics and Management: How to Cope With Disrupted Times. Association of Economists and Managers of the Balkans, Belgrade, Serbia; Faculty of Management Koper, Slovenia; Doba Business School - Maribor, Slovenia; Integrated Business Faculty - Skopje, Macedonia; Faculty of Management - Zajecar, Serbia, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.31410/eman.2018.969.
Full textZi-nan, Chang, Ge Jun, and Chen Ai-ping. "Research and Application of the Bayesian financial distress prediction model." In 2011 International Conference on E-Business and E-Government (ICEE). IEEE, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/icebeg.2011.5884522.
Full textYuzhu, Hao, Li Zengxin, and Huo Zaiqiang. "Financial Distress Prediction Model of Small and Medium-sized Listed Companies." In 2011 International Conference on Information Management, Innovation Management and Industrial Engineering (ICIII). IEEE, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/iciii.2011.50.
Full textZhuang, Qian, and Liang-hua Chen. "Research on financial distress prediction model based on Kalman filtering theory." In 2012 First National Conference for Engineering Sciences (FNCES). IEEE, 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/nces.2012.6543485.
Full textZhuang, Qian, and Liang-hua Chen. "Research on Financial Distress Prediction Model Based on Kalman Filtering Theory." In 2013 Conference on Education Technology and Management Science. Paris, France: Atlantis Press, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.2991/icetms.2013.304.
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