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Dissertations / Theses on the topic 'Flash floods forecasting'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 3 June 2025

Last updated: 31 July 2025

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1

Hatter, Elizabeth. "Using radar and hydrologic data to improve forecasts of flash floods in Missouri /." free to MU campus, to others for purchase, 2004. http://wwwlib.umi.com/cr/mo/fullcit?p1422929.

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2

Michaud, Jene Diane. "RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELING OF FLASH FLOODS IN SEMI-ARID WATERSHEDS." Department of Hydrology and Water Resources, University of Arizona (Tucson, AZ), 1992. http://hdl.handle.net/10150/614156.

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Flash floods caused by localized thunderstorms are a natural hazard of the semi -arid Southwest, and many communities have responded by installing ALERT flood forecasting systems. This study explored a rainfall- runoff modeling approach thought to be appropriate for forecasting in such watersheds. The kinematic model KINEROS was evaluated because it is a distributed model developed specifically for desert regions, and can be applied to basins without historic data. This study examined the accuracy of KINEROS under data constraints that are typical of semi -arid ALERT watersheds. The mo

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3

Artigue, Guillaume. "Prévision des crues éclair par réseaux de neurones : généralisation aux bassins non jaugés." Thesis, Montpellier 2, 2012. http://www.theses.fr/2012MON20188/document.

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Dans les régions méditerranéennes françaises, des épisodes pluvieux diluviens se produisent régulièrement et provoquent des crues très rapides et volumineuses que l'on appelle crues éclair. Elles font fréquemment de nombreuses victimes et peuvent, sur un seul évènement, coûter plus d'un milliard d'euros. Face à cette problématique, les pouvoirs publics mettent en place des parades parmi lesquelles la prévision hydrologique tient une place essentielle.C'est dans ce contexte que le projet BVNE (Bassin Versant Numérique Expérimental) a été initié par le SCHAPI (Service Central d'Hydrométéorologie

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4

Zevin, Susan Faye 1949. "A probabilistic approach to flash flood forecasting." Diss., The University of Arizona, 1986. http://hdl.handle.net/10150/191119.

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A major area targeted for hydrometeorological forecast service improvements is in flash flood forecasting. Verification data show that general public service products of flash flood forecasts do not provide enough lead time in order for the public to make effective response. Sophisticated users of flash flood forecasts could use forecast probabilities of flash flooding in order to make decisions in preparation for the predicted event. To this end, a systematic probabilistic approach to flash flood forecasting is presented. The work first describes a deterministic system which serves as a conce

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5

Keefer, Timothy Orrin, and Timothy Orrin Keefer. "Likelihood development for a probabilistic flash flood forecasting model." Thesis, The University of Arizona, 1993. http://hdl.handle.net/10150/192077.

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An empirical method is developed for constructing likelihood functions required in a Bayesian probabilistic flash flood forecasting model using data on objective quantitative precipitation forecasts and their verification. Likelihoods based on categorical and probabilistic forecast information for several forecast periods, seasons, and locations are shown and compared. Data record length, forecast information type and magnitude, grid area, and discretized interval size are shown to affect probabilistic differentiation of amounts of potential rainfall. Use of these likelihoods in Bayes' Theorem

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6

Yatheendradas, Soni. "Flash Flood Forecasting for the Semi-Arid Southwestern United States." Diss., The University of Arizona, 2007. http://hdl.handle.net/10150/195244.

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Flash flooding in the semi-arid United States poses a significant danger to life and property. One effective way to mitigate flood risk is by implementing a rainfall-runoff model in a real-time forecast and warning system. This study investigated the feasibility of using the mechanistic, distributed semi-arid rainfall-runoff model KINEROS2 driven by high resolution radar rainfall input estimates obtained from the NEXRAD WSR-88D DHR reflectivity measurements in such a system. The original procedural paradigm-based KINEROS2 Fortran 77 code with space-time looping was recoded into an object-orien

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7

Brong, Brian S. "A study of flash flood potential in western Nevada and eastern California to enhance flash flood forecasting and awareness." abstract and full text PDF (free order & download UNR users only), 2005. http://0-gateway.proquest.com.innopac.library.unr.edu/openurl?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:dissertation&res_dat=xri:pqdiss&rft_dat=xri:pqdiss:1433282.

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8

Terti, Galateia. "Forecasting of flash-flood human impacts integrating the social vulnerability dynamics." Thesis, Université Grenoble Alpes (ComUE), 2017. http://www.theses.fr/2017GREAU004/document.

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Au XXIe siècle, la prévision de l'aléa hydrométéorologique et des impacts associés aux crues rapides demeurent un défi pour les prévisionnistes et les services de secours. Les mesures structurelles et / ou les avancées des systèmes de prévision hydrologique ne garantissent pas, à elles seules, la réduction des décès lors de ces phénomènes d'inondation rapide. La littérature souligne la nécessité d'intégrer d'autres facteurs, liés aux processus de vulnérabilité sociaux et comportementaux, afin de mieux prendre en compte les risques encourus par les populations lors de ces épisodes extrêmes. Cet

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9

Lincoln, W. Scott. "A modeling approach for operational flash flood forecasting for small-scale watersheds in central Iowa." [Ames, Iowa : Iowa State University], 2009. http://gateway.proquest.com/openurl?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:dissertation&res_dat=xri:pqdiss&rft_dat=xri:pqdiss:1468110.

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10

Khajehei, Sepideh. "From Probabilistic Socio-Economic Vulnerability to an Integrated Framework for Flash Flood Prediction." PDXScholar, 2018. https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/open_access_etds/4666.

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Flash flood is among the most hazardous natural disasters, and it can cause severe damages to the environment and human life. Flash floods are mainly caused by intense rainfall and due to their rapid onset (within six hours of rainfall), very limited opportunity can be left for effective response. Understanding the socio-economic characteristics involving natural hazards potential, vulnerability, and resilience is necessary to address the damages to economy and casualties from extreme natural hazards. The vulnerability to flash floods is dependent on both biophysical and socio-economic factors

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11

Norbiato, Daniele. "Regional analysis of flooding and flash flooding." Doctoral thesis, Università degli studi di Padova, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/11577/3425502.

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Improving the capacity to make predictions in ungauged basins is one of most difficult challenge for the scientific community (see for example the current initiative Prediction Ungaged Basins (PUB) launched by the International Association of Hydrological Sciences, IAHS). Whatever hydrological models are used, in view of the tremendous spatio-temporal heterogeneity of climatic and landscape properties, extrapolation of information, or knowledge, from gauged to ungauged basins remains fraught with considerable difficulties and uncertainties, especially in the light of the generally poor underst

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12

Rodgers, William N. "Land Cover Change and its Impacts on a Flash Flood-Producing Rain Event in Eastern Kentucky." TopSCHOLAR®, 2014. http://digitalcommons.wku.edu/theses/1363.

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Eastern Kentucky is a 35-county region that is a part of the Cumberland Plateau of the Appalachian Mountains. With mountaintop removal and associated land cover change (LCC) (primarily deforestation), it is hypothesized that there would be changes in various atmospheric boundary layer parameters and precipitation. In this research, we have conducted sensitivity experiments of atmospheric response of a significant flash flood-producing rainfall event by modifying land cover and topography. These reflect recent LCC, including mountaintop removal (MTR). We have used the Weather Research and Forec

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13

Peredo, Ramirez Daniela. "Quels gains d’une modélisation hydrologique adaptée et d’une approche d’ensemble pour la prévision des crues rapides ?" Electronic Thesis or Diss., Sorbonne université, 2021. http://www.theses.fr/2021SORUS058.

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La prévision de crues joue un rôle fondamental dans l’anticipation et la mise en œuvre de mesures visant à protéger les personnes et les biens. L’objectif de cette thèse est d’examiner notre capacité à améliorer la simulation et la prévision d’événements majeurs de crues soudaines en France. Premièrement, nous examinons les limites de l’approche globale de modélisation hydrologique et la contribution du modèle hydrologique semi-distribué GRSD, à maillage fin et au pas de temps horaire, à la simulation d’évènements majeurs de crue. Nous proposons une modification de la structure de ce modèle af

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14

Benjamin, Michael Richard. "The use of radar and hydrological models for flash flood evaluation and prediction." Thesis, 2016. http://hdl.handle.net/10539/21077.

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Dissertation Submitted for the degree of Master of Science in Geography at the University of the Witwatersrand FEBRUARY 08, 2016<br>A flash flood is a flood which occurs within 6 hours from the start of a particular rainfall event. The ability to accurately evaluate and forecast flash floods could help in mitigating their harmful effects by helping communities plan their settlements outside of high risk areas and by providing information for the formulation and implementation of early warning systems. The overall aim of the study is to evaluate the use of RADAR data and hydrological models fo

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15

Poolman, Eugene Rene. "A probabilistic impact-focussed early warning system for flash floods in support of disaster management in South Africa." Thesis, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/2263/44331.

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The development of the Severe Weather Impact Forecasting System (SWIFS) for flash flood hazards in South Africa is described in this thesis. Impact forecasting addresses the need to move from forecasting weather conditions to forecasting the consequential impact of these conditions on people and their livelihoods. SWIFS aims to guide disaster managers to take early action to minimise the adverse effects of flash floods focussing on hotspots where the largest impact is expected. The first component of SWIFS produced an 18-hour probabilistic outlook of potential occurrence of flash floods.

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16

Wright, Christopher J. (Christopher John). "Flash flooding in an urban environment : causes, effects, potential damages and possible remedies, with particular reference to Keswick Creek in the inner suburbs of Adelaide." 2001. http://web4.library.adelaide.edu.au/theses/09ENS/09ensw948.pdf.

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17

Zevin, Susan Faye. "A probabilistic approach to flash flood forecasting." 1986. http://etd.library.arizona.edu/etd/GetFileServlet?file=file:///data1/pdf/etd/azu_e9791_1986_601_sip1_w.pdf&type=application/pdf.

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18

Keefer, Timothy Orrin. "Likelihood development for a probabilistic flash flood forecasting model." 1993. http://etd.library.arizona.edu/etd/GetFileServlet?file=file:///data1/pdf/etd/azu_e9791_1993_265_sip1_w.pdf&type=application/pdf.

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19

Sinclair, Scott. "Spatio-temporal rainfall estimation and nowcasting for flash flood forecasting." Thesis, 2007. http://hdl.handle.net/10413/2247.

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Floods cannot be prevented, but their devastating effects can be minimized if advance warning of the event is available. The South African Disaster Management Act (Act 57 of 2002) advocates a paradigm shift from the current "bucket and blanket brigade" response-based mind set to one where disaster prevention or mitigation are the preferred options. It is in the context of mitigating the effects of floods that the development and implementation of a reli able flood forecasting system has major significance. In the case of flash floods, a few hours lead time can afford disaster managers the oppo

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20

Liu, Wei-lun, and 劉維倫. "Improvement of Flash Flood Forecasting Model in Danshuei River System." Thesis, 2008. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/81730047619931298410.

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碩士<br>國立聯合大學<br>土木與防災工程學系碩士班<br>96<br>In the past, people always thought that the use of structural measures will be able to resist the forces of nature, but after several years of experiences in typhoon pointed out that even if people completed a sound engineering measures, but can not completely eliminate the typhoon bring to the disaster. Therefore, its resistance and unable to resist the phenomena of nature, natural phenomenon not conform to the contingency measures to take positive, people will consider the measures with the ideals of non-structural measures to reduce the flood brought ab

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21

Huff, William Edward 1988. "Advanced Technology for Railway Hydraulic Hazard Forecasting." Thesis, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/148254.

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Railroad bridges and culverts in the United States are often subject to extreme floods, which have been known to washout sections of track and ultimately lead to derailments. The potential for these events is particularly high in the western U.S. due to the lack of data, inadequate radar coverage, and the high spatial and temporal variability of storm events and terrain. In this work, a hydrologic model is developed that is capable of effectively describing the rainfall-runoff relationship of extreme thunderstorms in arid and semi-arid regions. The model was calibrated and validated using dat

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