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1

Hurina, O., V. Krylenko, and I. Novikov. "Forecasting the Main Indicators of Insurance Companies." Modern Economics 25, no. 1 (2021): 52–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.31521/modecon.v25(2021)-08.

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Abstract. Introduction. Econometric and adaptive models make it possible to predict financial and economic indicators in the short and long term. The most common forecasting models are linear trend models, adaptive Brown, Holt, Holt-Winters, Box-Jenkins, autoregressive and other models. It has been proved that the use of adaptive forecasting models becomes especially relevant in the context of constant changes in the external environment, instability of the economic and political situation. Purpose. The purpose of this article is to substantiate the expediency of using forecasting methods when
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2

Biryukov, D., O. Rod'kina, Ruslan Vakulenko, and D. Lapaev. "Forecasting Economic Indicators of Transport Activity." Scientific Research and Development. Economics of the Firm 10, no. 3 (2021): 70–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.12737/2306-627x-2021-10-3-70-78.

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The article discusses the methodological and practical aspects of forecasting the economic indicators of the transport sector at the level of a transport company and the type of economic activity. The development of forecasting methodology at the present time is analyzed. The necessity, features and main directions of development of the forecasting methodology for the type of economic activity are revealed. The methodological basis for forecasting the development of the transport sector is investigated and characterized. A method for forecasting transportation and storage as a type of economic
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3

SHABRANSKA, N.I. "Technology of forecasting of basic indicators economic and social development at the regional level." Market Relations Development in Ukraine №6 (205) 127 (August 20, 2018): 88–96. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1400808.

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The subject of the study is the theoretical and methodological principles of forecasting the indicators of economic and social development at the regional level.  The purpose of the study is the developing model for forecasting the quantitative assessment of potentially possible outcomes of the region’s development for the forecast period, taking into account the options for external and internal conditions for development, the effectiveness of economic policies, current state and scenario conditions, resource constraints that will impose external and internal conditions for the fun
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4

Bal-Prylypko, L., O. Cherednichenko, L. Stepasyuk, and Z. Titenko. "Profit as a main factor in forecasting agricultural business development." IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 1150, no. 1 (2023): 012008. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1150/1/012008.

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Abstract The essence and role of profit in forecasting the development of agricultural production are investigated in the article. The value of profit in modern conditions as an important driving force of the economy is determined and proved. It is revealed that forecasting the development of agricultural business is a set of studies of economic activities of the enterprise using appropriate sources of information, determining available reserves, analysing the results of activities and developing the necessary measures for efficient production. The DuPont model was used to analyse the impact o
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Chupina, Zhanna, Olga Sokolnikova, Oksana Yurchenko, Elena Ryabinina, and Alena Veselko. "Fundamentals of forecasting indicators of economic activity of executive bodies for sustainable development." E3S Web of Conferences 244 (2021): 12026. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202124412026.

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Forecasting plays a significant role in organizing the economic activities of executive authorities using the example of customs authorities, since this is associated with the ongoing policy of optimizing customs payments administered by customs authorities, ensuring the economic security of the state, improving the quality of customs services and compliance with customs legislation. A wide range of forecasting methods allows them to be applied on the basis of assessing the feasibility of applying one method or another to forecast the main economic indicators of the activities of executive aut
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6

Savchyn, I. Z., and O. S. Tsareva. "Correlation of the Main Indicators of Economic Development of Regions." Business Inform 6, no. 521 (2021): 90–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.32983/2222-4459-2021-6-90-99.

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The stability of dynamics of economic phenomena in the regional economy is associated with the general level of economic development of the country. The most important studies are based on the results of the analyses of the economy of developed countries. The article formulates conclusions on the relationship between economic differentiation and economic stability, as well as between instability and economic growth. Research of regional development should be based on a comprehensive and comprehensive definition of the management object – the region. Therefore, the authors emphasize that studyi
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Stetsenko, Sergii, and Anton Moholivets. "Methodical approaches to forecasting and early detection of economic cyclicity." Ways to Improve Construction Efficiency 2, no. 47 (2021): 120–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.32347/2707-501x.2021.47(2).120-131.

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The analysis and generalization of theoretical preconditions of formation of the advancing economic indicators which at different times in different countries of the world are used as indicators of change of a phase of an economic cycle is carried out. Based on the analysis of literature sources, it is established that the methodology of economic forecasting of cyclicality in the scientific literature includes two main areas, namely: a) direct forecasting of the dynamics of key macroeconomic indicators based on extrapolation, correlation and regression analysis, expert surveys (consensus forec
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8

Narboy, Karimov, Khamidova Faridakhon, and Saydullaev Shakhzod. "Criteria for Classification of Economic Security Indicators." International Journal of Multicultural and Multireligious Understanding 8, no. 7 (2021): 120. http://dx.doi.org/10.18415/ijmmu.v8i7.2689.

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In modern conditions, the importance of ensuring national economic security is increasing due to the increasing multivariance and alternativeness of goal-setting and ways to achieve goals. One cannot give preference to one or another option for forecasting economic development, making investments, forming the country’s budget without assessing their socio-economic consequences in the form of criteria and indicators of security. In this paper, it is proposed to systematize indicators of economic security according to several criteria. The development of a classification of objects, phenomena an
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et al., Khodakivska. "Sustainable development of regions: Modeling the management of economic security of innovative entrepreneurship." International Journal of ADVANCED AND APPLIED SCIENCES 9, no. 3 (2022): 31–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.21833/ijaas.2022.03.004.

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The purpose of this study is to develop a methodology for assessing the level of economic security of innovative enterprises based on the use of taxonomic analysis of the main indicators of their institutional support for the optimal organization of management and forecasting the economic development of the regions of their operation. The method proposed in the article consists in assessing the system of indicators of institutional support for innovative entrepreneurship within the framework of the Institute of Human Capital, the Institute of Financial and Credit Component, the Institute for t
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10

Shevchuk, Julia, and Mykolao Denysenk. "FORECASTING HOTEL INCOME IN CURRENT UNSTABLE DEVELOPMENT SITUATIONS." ECONOMICS, FINANCE AND MANAGEMENT REVIEW, no. 3 (October 1, 2020): 20–28. http://dx.doi.org/10.36690/2674-5208-2020-3-20.

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The article describes the development of an economic-mathematical model that allows to identify the influence of factors on the formation of income of hotels and similar accommodation in Ukraine and to forecast the level of hotel industry income. To create an economic-mathematical model, the analysis of statistical data characterizing the hotel industry in Ukraine for the period from 2010 to 2019 has been carried out. To forecast the hotels income and similar accommodation for the short term, a forecast of such indicators as operating costs of hotels and similar accommodation, housing resource
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11

Кожемяко, Nikolay Kozhemyako, Кузнецов, Sergey Kuznetsov, Коньшакова, and Svetlana Konshakova. "The conceptual model of forecasting of development of the Russian forest sector." Forestry Engineering Journal 5, no. 4 (2015): 252–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.12737/17429.

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The problem of quality prediction is important and relevant to all economic systems. The quality of methodology of prognosis and possibilities of its correction depends on the scope and adequacy of decisions based on the knowledge of predictive indicators, foresight sectoral system. The article presents the author´s conceptual model of forecasting of development of the Russian forest sector based on the dominant role of demand factors and state support of innovative development of the forest sector. The authors identified a mismatch between predicted and actual knowledge of the indust
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12

Krayushkin, Maxim G. "IMPROVING THE FORECASTING OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF THE REGION." EKONOMIKA I UPRAVLENIE: PROBLEMY, RESHENIYA 4/2, no. 145 (2024): 124–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.36871/ek.up.p.r.2024.04.02.015.

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The article presents an algorithm for forecasting the socio-economic development of the region based on artificial intelligence models, a methodological approach and tools for forecasting the gross regional product, adaptive forecasts of the gross regional product of the Altai Territory, recommendations for the use of adaptive forecasts in strategic planning of the region. The purpose of the study is to develop an algorithm, a methodological approach and tools for forecasting the socio-economic development of the region based on artificial intelligence models. The study is based on official da
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13

Rayevnyeva, Olena, Iryna Aksonova, Olha Brovko, and Stanislav Filip. "Simulation of the impact of economic development on social development of the country." Development Management 18, no. 3 (2020): 37–54. http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/dm.18(3).2020.04.

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In the current conditions of development of the international and national economy, an important task of statistical research is to conduct an objective and timely assessment and modeling of the relationship between indicators of economic and social development. Based on the results of these studies, reasonable management influences of the state on the adjustment and regulation of the country’s development are accepted. The article is devoted to the study of the relationship between the main components of economic and social development of the country and the construction of a set of models fo
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14

Arkhipova, O. E., E. A. Chernogubova, and K. E. Arkhipova. "THE CONCEPT OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT. CURRENT STATE OF RESEARCH IN WORLD SCIENCE." Ecology. Economy. Informatics.System analysis and mathematical modeling of ecological and economic systems 1, no. 6 (2021): 255–64. http://dx.doi.org/10.23885/2500-395x-2021-1-6-255-264.

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The article is devoted to the review of domestic and foreign studies of methods and models that characterize the sustainable development of territories. An overview of the main trends in the development of the concept of sustainable development is given. The necessity of instrumental assessment, retrospective analysis and forecasting of the ongoing processes is substantiated by the formation of appropriate indicators and quantitative indicators. A comprehensive risk assessment strategy based on the matrix approach mechanism includes an assessment of the main indicator classes, each of which co
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15

GRACHEVA, Mariya V., and Sergei P. AUKUTSIONEK. "Business surveys as a mirror of the economy: Germany and Russia." Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice 21, no. 1 (2022): 23–34. http://dx.doi.org/10.24891/ea.21.1.23.

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Subject. The article addresses the business surveys conducted by the departments of the leading research institutes of Germany and Russia. Objectives. The aim is to investigate the specifics of survey statistics of the German IFO Institute for Economic Research and the Russian Economic Barometer, based on the analysis of relationship between surveys and forecasting, database parameters and main survey indicators. Methods. The study employs the methods of logical and statistical analysis. Results. We consider the main characteristics of respondent databases, the issues of using survey indicator
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16

Tovstyk, Ruslan, and Serhii Ivanov. "Development of a System of Models Fore Forecasting the Impact of the Introduction of Industrial Revolution Technologies on Sustainable Development Goals Achievements." Journal of Lifestyle and SDGs Review 5, no. 1 (2025): e03574. https://doi.org/10.47172/2965-730x.sdgsreview.v5.n01.pe03574.

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Objective: The objective of this study is to develop mathematical models for predicting the impact of indicators of the size of industrial revolution technology markets on the main economic indicators of the United States of America and China to support the achievement of the sustainable development goals (SDG). Theoretical Framework: Technologies of industrial revolution have a strong influence on economic development and the achievement of sustainable development. So, to achieve the SDG, research of forecasting and analyzing the impact of implementing technologies of the industrial revolutio
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17

Ulanchuk, V., E. Zharun, N. Korotieiev, A. Nepochatenko, and S. Sokoliuk. "Econometric approaches to forecasting financial support of socio-economic development of the region." Collected Works of Uman National University of Horticulture 2, no. 99 (2021): 163–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.31395/2415-8240-2021-99-2-163-171.

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In the given article it is noted that the level of forecasting of processes of social development is determined by the efficiency of planning and management of economy and other spheres. Social and economic forecasting of basic trends of social development allows use of special calculation and logic methods, giving the opportunity to determine parameters of functioning of separate elements of productive forces in their interrelation and interdependence. At the current stage of regional development of the state, the forecasting of the management of social-economic processes in the region is urg
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18

Frenkel, A. A., B. I. Tikhomirov, Y. V. Sergienko, and A. A. Surkov. "Business Activity and Economic Growth: An Economic and Statistical Study." Voprosy statistiki 27, no. 6 (2020): 66–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.34023/2313-6383-2020-27-6-66-78.

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This publication reflects the results of the author’s research on improving the domestic statistical and methodological tools used in the analysis and forecasting of the Russian economy. In this regard, the main features of the formation and application of the Business Activity Index for basic spheres of the economy of the Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences (hereinafter, the index of business activity) are shown and substantiations of its individual advantages are given in comparison with the index of output of goods and services for the basic types of economic activitie
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19

Yu, Ying Hong. "Development Model of Engineering Manufacturing and its Application." Advanced Materials Research 1006-1007 (August 2014): 386–89. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amr.1006-1007.386.

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In recent years, with the continuous improvement of production capacity, manufacturing industry restructuring and achieved great results, significantly increased the proportion of high-tech industries, some traditional industries has continued to decline. Manufacturing is the material basis of our national economy and the main industry, which largely determines the level of development of comprehensive national strength. This has brought great difficulties to the economic modeling and forecasting system. This paper presents an improved modeling and forecasting methods, recombinant methods by i
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20

Cherviak, Anna. "Mathematical forecasting models in the financial institutions’ economic security system." Економіка і регіон/ Economics and region, no. 2(81) (July 9, 2021): 81–85. https://doi.org/10.26906/eir.2021.2(81).2355.

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The system of economic security is considered a complex combination of short-term and long-term control systems. The necessity of interaction and simultaneous functioning of these two systems for ensuring adequate and operative assessment of the institution `s activity is characterized. The paper examines the need of using forecasting methods to ensure control and monitoring of financial institutions` economic security. The role of forecasting in the system of ensuring stable activity of the institution is determined. The advantages of introducing forecasting into the stability control system
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21

Metoshop, Iryna. "Forecasting a city's socio-economic development on the example of Ivano-Frankivsk." Ekonomìka ì prognozuvannâ 2022, no. 2 (2022): 74–92. http://dx.doi.org/10.15407/eip2022.02.074.

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development, evaluating its level on the basis of a selected system of indicators on the example of Ivano-Frankivsk, and outlines the main directions its socio-economic development. Despite the significant amount of research in this area, the complexity and scale of current problems, and the need for territorial development of Ukraine justify the need for methodological tools to determine the level of change and the main directions of socio-economic development. To study changes in the socio-economic development of cities, it is recommended to use the method of integrated assessment, as this a
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22

Metoshop, Iryna. "Forecastıng a city’s socıo-economıc development on the example of Ivano-Frankivsk." Economy and forecasting 2022, no. 2 (2022): 65–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.15407/econforecast2022.02.065.

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The article proposes an algorithm for assessing and forecasting a city's socio-economic development, evaluating its level on the basis of a selected system of indicators on the example of Ivano-Frankivsk, and outlines the main directions its socio-economic development. Despite the significant amount of research in this area, the complexity and scale of current problems, and the need for territorial development of Ukraine justify the need for methodological tools to determine the level of change and the main directions of socio-economic development. To study changes in the socio-economic develo
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23

Polynev, Andrey. "Development of a Methodological Approach to Medium-Term Forecasting of the Regional Economic Growth Based on the Decomposition of Macro-Forecast Indicators for Russia." Regionalnaya ekonomika. Yug Rossii, no. 1 (May 2020): 63–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.15688/re.volsu.2020.1.6.

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The article presents a methodological approach to the development of a medium-term forecast of GRP growth rates in regions (subjects of the Russian Federation and Federal districts) in the context of the main types of economic activity based on the decomposition of macroeconomic forecast indicators for Russia. The key factors that have a significant impact on the dynamics of the current regional economic growth, including macroeconomic, territorial and external ones, should be taken into account in forecasts of regional development. The author mentions examples of domestic practices of scienti
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24

Krolivetskaya, Valeriya, and Eduard Krolivetsky. "Forecasting the effectiveness and economic security of organizations, branches of the national economy." E3S Web of Conferences 135 (2019): 04032. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/201913504032.

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The article reveals the essence and functional purpose of forecasting economic and social results, efficiency, economic security of organizations and sectoral components of the national economy, the relationship of the main economic characteristics and economic security, justifies the feasibility of using economic and mathematical methods of forecasting to ensure economic security, accuracy and significance of forecast estimates. The article reveals the composition of generalizing indicators of correlation characterizing for the medium and long-term development of sectoral and local components
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25

Кладченко, Ірина. "ПРОГНОЗУВАННЯ ТРАЄКТОРІЇ НАЦІОНАЛЬНОГО ЕКОНОМІЧНОГО РОЗВИТКУ МЕТОДАМИ ГАРМОНІЙНОГО І СПЕКТРАЛЬНОГО АНАЛІЗУ". Economical 1, № 1(22) (2020): 115–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.31474/1680-0044-2020-1(22)-115-131.

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Improving of the methodological tools for the national economies behavior’s forecasting in the context of increasing the validity and analytical characteristics of state economic strategies in conditions of high volatility, lack of trend stability and non-stationary dynamics of external and internal socio-economic processes by implementing interdisciplinary methods of Fourier analysis and their adaptation to the specifics of the socio-economic systems’ functioning and development. Methodology. The forecasting’s targeting as an important independent stage in the process of analytical assessment
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26

Sharipov, A., А. Kereeva, and B. Gussenov. "ACCOUNTING FOR THE MAIN COMPONENTS OF THE ECONOMY." Statistika, učet i audit 81, no. 2 (2021): 10–16. http://dx.doi.org/10.51579/1563-2415.2021-2.02.

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The economic system is a complex social organism undergoing a constant process of metamorphosis. The conceptual framework of political economy captures the compo-nents of this system, its interaction with the socio-political superstructure, as well as its inherent contradictions. The article examines the laws of system development and their impact on econom-ic growth. It is revealed that the laws of development are the foundation on which the theoretical foundations of economic analysis are implemented and the assessment, diagnosis and forecasting of organizations' development is carried out.
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27

Kartanaitė, Inga, Bohdan Kovalov, Oleksandr Kubatko, and Rytis Krušinskas. "Financial modeling trends for production companies in the context of Industry 4.0." Investment Management and Financial Innovations 18, no. 1 (2021): 270–84. http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.18(1).2021.23.

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Over the years, technological progress has accelerated highly, and the speed, flexibility, human error reduction, and the ability to manage the process in real time have become more critical and required production companies to adapt production and business models according to the needs. The demand for real-time decision support systems adapted to these raising business needs is continuously growing. Nevertheless, businesses usually face challenges in identifying new indicators, data sources, and appropriate financial modeling methods to analyze them. This paper aims to define and summarize th
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28

Hala, Liliia. "RESULTS OF ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF THE MAIN FINANCIAL INDICATORS OF THE HEALTH INSURANCE MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN UKRAINE." EUREKA: Health Sciences 6 (November 30, 2019): 72–82. http://dx.doi.org/10.21303/2504-5679.2019.001061.

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In recent years Ukraine against the background of systemic crisis trying to reform socially-oriented areas of society, including voluntary health insurance, which must combine market and social burdens. Under these conditions, an important scientific and practical research is forecasting financial indicators of domestic insurance companies. Aim. Conducting analysis and forecasting of the basic indicators that characterize the financial state of development of the domestic health insurance market. Materials and methods. Research materials were selected from the official websites of the National
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Liliia, Hala. "RESULTS OF ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF THE MAIN FINANCIAL INDICATORS OF THE HEALTH INSURANCE MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN UKRAINE." EUREKA: Health Sciences 6 (November 30, 2019): 72–82. https://doi.org/10.21303/2504-5679.2019.001061.

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In recent years Ukraine against the background of systemic crisis trying to reform socially-oriented areas of society, including voluntary health insurance, which must combine market and social burdens. Under these conditions, an important scientific and practical research is forecasting financial indicators of domestic insurance companies. <strong>Aim.&nbsp;</strong>Conducting analysis and forecasting of the basic indicators that characterize the financial state of development of the domestic health insurance market. <strong>Materials and methods.&nbsp;</strong>Research materials were selecte
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30

KITOVA, O. V. ­. "TOPICAL ISSUES OF THE DIGITAL STATE DEVELOPMENT IN RUSSIA." Scientific Works of the Free Economic Society of Russia 230, no. 4 (2021): 211–16. http://dx.doi.org/10.38197/2072-2060-2021-230-4-211-216.

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The important aspects of building a digital state are considered. The structure of a digital state and its main services, an automated system of strategic planning and program-targeted management of the Russian economy are proposed. As the core of such a system, an automated system of planned calculations is proposed for the development and adjustment of long-term, medium-term and current (annual) plans, including a digital service for scenario forecasting of socio-economic indicators of the Russian Federation, developed at the Plekhanov Russian University of Economics under the guidance of th
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31

Е.В., Кочеткова. "Тенденции развития антропоморфной робототехники". Концепции, № 1(41) (10 жовтня 2022): 39–52. http://dx.doi.org/10.34705/ko.2022.42.15.006.

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В работе рассмотрены некоторые технико-экономические показатели и основные этапы развития антропоморфных роботов, а также проанализированы основные тенденции развития рынка антропоморфной робототехники. In this paper, we discussed the main stages in humanoid robotics development, analyzed the set of technical and economic indicators for humanoid robots technology, and described the leading tendencies in humanoid robots market. Key words: humanoid robot, anthropomorphic robot, humanoid robot market, technical indicator, robotics technology forecasting.
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32

Xia, Shaoliang, Zhen Wu, and Qingqing Song. "Scenarios Driving Economic Forecasts: Choosing Econometrics or Machine Learning." Journal of Economic Theory and Business Management 1, no. 2 (2024): 7–26. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10927145.

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Economic forecasting is an in-depth understanding of the laws of economic operation. It is based on historical facts and past data to make possible inferences about future economic trends and development trends in related fields. Since the main operating rules of economic activities are different and contain randomness, economic forecast is not a deterministic forecast, but a possibility forecast. Therefore, there are various economic forecasting methods, and different forecasting methods are suitable for different application scenarios. This paper aims to explore the applicability of economet
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Koshova, Svitlana, Igor Britchenko, and Maksym Bezpartochnyi. "Economic and mathematical models for forecasting the development of the space industry." VUZF Review 6, no. 4 (2021): 33–41. http://dx.doi.org/10.38188/2534-9228.21.4.04.

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The article examines a problem relevant to the national security of the state, the possibility of applying economic and mathematical models to predict the prospects for the development of the space industry. In modern conditions the, space industry is seen as the basis for innovative development and economic security of the state, which is the driving force of economic development.&#x0D; After all, in order to sustainably develop the economy and achieve the indicators planned by the government, it is necessary to have a clear idea of the mechanisms and function of the system as a whole and its
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34

Kanashayev, D. Ye, G. B. Sakhanova, and A. Ye Yesbolova. "Mathematical methods for evaluating innovative activity at carpet industry enterprises." Bulletin of "Turan" University, no. 3 (October 11, 2022): 235–47. http://dx.doi.org/10.46914/1562-2959-2022-1-3-235-247.

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The article examines the rationale and mathematical methods for assessing the innovative activities of carpet manufacturers in order to determine the impact on the economic efficiency of the enterprise. Along with the legislative framework of digitalization of the Republic of Kazakhstan, the article highlights the current state of digitalization in the country. The article also provides financial and operational indicators of the country’s largest carpet manufacturing enterprise. In particular, the author examines the main indicators of the company from the opening of production to the present
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Zhdan, G. V., and T. V. Sumskaya. "Directions for improving methodological recommendations for the elaboration of strategies for socio-economic development of municipalities of the Russian Federation." Vestnik NSUEM, no. 3 (October 16, 2022): 48–64. http://dx.doi.org/10.34020/2073-6495-2022-3-048-064.

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The article analyzes the current methodological recommendations for the development of strategies for the socio-economic development of municipalities in the Russian Federation, and suggests ways to improve the methodological recommendations. The conditionality of the scenario conditions of development by the conducted strategic analysis of external and internal factors of development is shown. The relationship is reflected on the example of scenario conditions for the development of the municipality – the city of Berdsk, Novosibirsk Region. It is shown that the use of models for forecasting c
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Byastinova, L. M., A. A. Kychkin, E. R. Filippov, and M. D. Byastinova. "Features of compiling economic and mathematical models when calculating the efficiency of land use." Vestnik of North-Eastern Federal University Series "Economics Sociology Culturology, no. 1 (March 29, 2024): 63–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.25587/2587-8778-2024-1-63-71.

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This article examines the state of land use and increasing its efficiency in agriculture of the Sakha Republic (Yakutia). Land use is one of the key factors in the efficiency of the agricultural sector, an integral part of its development; therefore, the development and application of new approaches to planning and forecasting the main indicators of agriculture are becoming relevant and in demand. A brief analysis reveals low agricultural development and an insufficient share of land suitable for agriculture in the northernmost region of the country. This emphasizes the urgency of the problem
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37

Huseynova, Arzu, Ophelya Mazanova, Simuzar Mammadova, Saadat Majidova, Afaq Aslanova, and Samira Rustamova. "Analysis of the Relationship Between the Economic Confidence Index and GDP Growth in Azerbaijan." WSEAS TRANSACTIONS ON BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS 19 (March 18, 2022): 867–75. http://dx.doi.org/10.37394/23207.2022.19.75.

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The paper focuses on the economic policy in Azerbaijan directed to eliminate the results of the Covid-19 pandemic and the return of the country’s economy to purposeful structural reforms to ensure productivity and economic growth gradually. Today, the main goal is to direct economic policy to eliminate the results of the Covid-19 pandemic. To analyze short-term economic indicators is important to control economic development in real-time to make operational decisions and to give decision-makers early signals of turning points in economic activity. Monitoring of processes that occurred in the r
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ARZU, HUSEYNOVA1 OPHELYA MAZANOVA2 SIMUZAR MAMMADOVA3 SAADAT MAJIDOVA4 AFAQ ASLANOVA3 SAMIRA RUSTAMOVA3. "Analysis of the Relationship between the Economic Confidence Index and Gross Domestic Product Growth in Azerbaijan." WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on BUSINESS and ECONOMICS 19 (August 12, 2023): 867–75. https://doi.org/10.37394/23207.2022.19.75.

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The paper focuses on the economic policy in Azerbaijan directed to eliminate the results of the Covid-19 pandemic and the return of the country&#39;s economy to purposeful structural reforms to ensure productivity and economic growth gradually. Today, the main goal is to direct economic policy to eliminate the results of the Covid-19 pandemic. To analyze short-term economic indicators is important to control economic development in real-time to make operational decisions and to give decision-makers early signals of turning points in economic activity. Monitoring of processes that occurred in t
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39

Илюхин, А. А., and С. В. Илюхина. "INSURANCE MARKET ECONOMICS: KEY INDICATORS’ MODELING." Human Progress 8, no. 3 (2022): 6. http://dx.doi.org/10.34709/im.183.6.

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Страховой рынок формирует защиту имущественных интересов экономических агентов и является фактором социальной стабильности общества. Сбалансированное развитие страхового рынка, основанное на моделировании и прогнозировании, обеспечивает устойчивое развития экономики. Для оптимизации экономики страхового рынка предпринята попытка разработки моделей прогнозирования его основных показателей на примере рынка страхования крупного промышленного региона (Свердловской области). Исследована гипотеза наличия взаимосвязи ключевых показателей страхового рынка личного страхования с заработной платой занято
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Kurilo, Anna E., and Pavel V. Druzhinin. "Socio-economic development scenarios of the White Sea regions." Север и рынок: формирование экономического порядка, no. 3-3021 (September 30, 2021): 52–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.37614/2220-802x.3.2021.73.004.

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In the process of creating a national system of strategic planning and within the framework of normative economics, the scenario approach provides opportunities for constructing goals and directions of socio-economic territories development. Being a planning tool the scenario approach allows forming the directions of regional development. These processes take particular relevance for the regions of our country that are the parts of the Arctic zone, especially in increased interest and attention to these territories resources from other external agents. The main aim of this paper is to elaborat
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POSHYVALOVA, Olena, and Polina PROSHKINA. "Statistical analysis of the social and economic development of Ukrainian regions." Economics. Finances. Law, no. 11 (November 20, 2020): 15–18. http://dx.doi.org/10.37634/efp.2020.11.3.

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The issue of the country's socio-economic development and analysis of its dynamics arises within the context of the transition to a market economy. The aim of the research is to consider the state of socio-economic development of the regions of Ukraine on the basis of the generalized multicriteria indicator, cluster analysis, as well as the multidimensional nonlinear regression model. To trace the presence of differentiation in the socio-economic development of the regions of Ukraine is especially important. The analysis implemented in the Thesis covers the widest range of indicators of the so
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Ірина, Олександрівна Климчук. "Financial aspects of economic component of forecasting and development of education institutions in ukraine." ScienceRise: Pedagogical Education, no. 6(33) (November 30, 2019): 11–15. https://doi.org/10.15587/2519-4984.2019.185139.

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A literary analysis of the economic issues of the education system development has been carried out, in particular from the classics of the economic theory of the development of &quot;human capital&quot; to the modern concepts of development of the educational branch. The conceptual analysis of the system of improvement of budgetary and extra-budgetary financing of educational institutions in Ukraine, in particular the specifics and various mechanisms of raising funds, namely internal sources of financing - state funding (budget) and external sources of financing (non-state financing). The ana
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43

Pirogova, Oksana, Vladimir Plotnikov, and Andrey Prolubnikov. "The model of system predicting with the use of dynamic arrangement schemes." SHS Web of Conferences 44 (2018): 00071. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/shsconf/20184400071.

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The basic problems are considered in the paper connected with solving the problems of forecasting development of enterprises in the conditions of growth of volumes and intensity of information flows in consequence of digitalization of economic processes. The aspects of using a cost approach and also life cycle models of enterprises in the tasks of building the system of planning and predicting activity are considered. An approach to forecasting development of an enterprise on the basis of a dynamic model of the cost growth is proposed by the authors. As the main general indicator fundamental c
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44

Kolontaievskyi, O., and D. Shapovalenko. "USE OF FORECASTING AND MODELING METHODS FOR OPTIMIZATION OF HOTEL, RESTAURANT AND TOURIST BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT MANAGEMENT." Series: Economic science 5, no. 172 (2022): 41–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.33042/2522-1809-2022-5-172-41-46.

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The purpose of the article is to determine directions for the use of forecasting and modeling methods to optimize management of the development of the hotel and restaurant business. Types and methods of forecasting are listed. Classifications of forecasting methods were studied and their main groups were listed. The advantages and disadvantages of forecasting and modeling methods that are most commonly used in practice are analyzed. It was determined that the advantage of expert forecasting methods is relative simplicity for any situations, including in conditions of incomplete information. It
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Быкова, М. Л. "Features of rural development: modeling and forecasting of the main results." Regional and Branch Economy, no. 2 (April 30, 2024): 10–17. http://dx.doi.org/10.47576/2949-1916.2024.2.2.001.

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В статье рассматриваются особенности развития сельских территорий в современных условиях. Анализ сельскохозяйственной отрасли позволил сформулировать вывод об исключительной важности данного вида экономической деятельности в социально-экономическом росте территорий, поскольку развитие сельского хозяйства определяет уровень продуктовой безопасности государства. Рассмотрены изменения в базовых отраслях специализации сельского хозяйства, а также исследована важность инновационной составляющей в развитии отрасли. Проанализирована помесячная динамика изменения оборота по данному виду деятельности с
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Zavgorodniy, Konstantin. "The main patterns of economic development in conditions of global instability." Ukrainian Journal of Applied Economics and Technology 8, no. 2 (2023): 241–47. http://dx.doi.org/10.36887/2415-8453-2023-2-35.

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With global instability and constant changes on the world stage, forming national economic activity becomes a critical task for every country. Favorable economic environment and fair opportunities for all citizens are the basis of stable development and inclusive growth. Embarking on this path, the country faces numerous challenges, such as the changing geopolitical situation, economic turbulence, social inequalities, and other factors that affect its economy. The purpose of the article is to research the main patterns of economic development in conditions of global instability. Modeling patte
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Bykova, Adel, and Oleksii Halieiev. "DETERMINING THE SYSTEM OF INDICATORS OF MACROECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF UKRAINE IN THE POST-WAR PERIOD." Economic scope, no. 198 (March 10, 2025): 148–55. https://doi.org/10.30838/ep.198.148-155.

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The article examines the need to define a system of indicators of Ukraine's macroeconomic development in the postwar period. It is recognized that macroeconomic indicators are the basis for building strategies that can not only restore the post-war Ukrainian economy, but also ensure its sustainable hybrid development. The main macroeconomic indicators of Ukraine are considered. It is established that macroeconomic stability in the postwar period is the basis for effective economic reforms. The forecast macroeconomic indicators of economic and social development of Ukraine for the period 2025-2
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48

Olentsevich, V. A., T. G. Konovalova, and I. I. Izotova. "Automatic technical systems for forecasting the safety level of traffic trains." Journal of Physics: Conference Series 2176, no. 1 (2022): 012040. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2176/1/012040.

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Abstract The need to strengthen the role of JSC Russian Railways in the processes of ensuring transport accessibility of the main energy deposits and energy platforms, including on the Arctic, Sakhalin and Caspian shelves. The industrial development of the Arctic involves the intensive exploitation of hydrocarbon resources, the extraction of biological resources and, as a consequence, the development of transport and transport infrastructure. The possibility of further economic growth in the northern territories is determined by such sustainability criteria as the economic growth of territoria
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Pyrov, P. V., O. B. Butusov, and O. P. Nikoforova. "The dependence of the demographic situation of migration flow showed by the example of the three simulated countries with different social and economic indicators." Izvestiya MGTU MAMI 6, no. 2-4 (2012): 308–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.17816/2074-0530-68495.

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The authors developed the mathematical and computer models to simulate migration flows between countries. The main control parameters of the model are the following socio-economic indicators: levels of health care, education and environment, as well as the level of technological development. The model can be offered for monitoring, forecasting and management of migration flows.
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Byastinova, L. M. "The use of Multifactor Regression Models in Forecasting in the Agricultural Sector of Yakutia." Vestnik of North-Eastern Federal University Series "Economics Sociology Culturology, no. 4 (December 20, 2023): 102–10. http://dx.doi.org/10.25587/2587-8778-2023-4-102-110.

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Under the constantly changing economic conditions of management, ensuring food security in the country, as well as in the regions becomes especially relevant. Agriculture is the only industry that is able to bring countries into a state of complete self-sufficiency, which is clearly indicated in the Doctrine of Food Security of Russia. With this in mind, the intensification of agricultural sectors, through the introduction of new technologies and improving the quality of land use is a particularly topical challenge. In this regard, the state faces the issues of the development of the industry
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