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1

Lilico, Andrew. "Limited foresight." Thesis, University College London (University of London), 2004. http://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/1383526/.

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This thesis is about multi-period problems in which the decision-maker or players cannot see far enough ahead to solve the problem completely. The thesis considers why it might be that players reason forwards at all, let alone reasoning forwards only finitely far. It shows, using finite automata, that there is a class of problems for which forwards reasoning is more efficient than backwards reasoning. It goes on to use these finite automata to solve for an optimal foresight length. It then discusses solution concepts, and applies its preferred solution concept to two problems - one macro probl
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Popper, Rafael. "21st century foresight." Thesis, University of Manchester, 2011. http://www.manchester.ac.uk/escholar/uk-ac-man-scw:151961.

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21st Century Foresight offers a comprehensive study of ‘foresight’ as an instrument of policy. It covers the development of foresight methodology, the design of foresight activities and their evaluation. The thesis is based on eleven publications collectively making significant contributions to knowledge about global foresight practices and applications in different domains (i.e. research areas and socio-economic sectors). New conceptual frameworks developed include the Foresight Diamond, the SMART Futures Jigsaw and the Methods Combination Matrix (MCM), which can be used as tools for futures
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Saritas, Ozcan. "Systems thinking for foresight." Thesis, University of Manchester, 2006. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.516738.

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Hayward, Peter C., and n/a. "From individual to social foresight." Swinburne University of Technology. Australian Graduate School of Entrepreneurship, 2005. http://adt.lib.swin.edu.au./public/adt-VSWT20061108.153623.

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To this point in time humanity has successfully responded to the challenges to its existence. A viewpoint becoming widespread is that humanity will have to respond to even greater challenges to its existence in the future. If adequate responses are not formulated to these emerging challenges then a dystopian future for humanity is a strong possibility. While experience can teach us how to act in the future it is the express intent of this research that we should not have to experience dystopia in order to learn how to prevent it. The innate human capacity for foresight has played a pivotal rol
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Hayward, Peter. "From individual to social foresight." Australasian Digital Thesis Program, 2005. http://adt.lib.swin.edu.au/public/adt-VSWT20061108.153623.

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Thesis (PhD) -- Swinburne University of Technology, Australian Graduate School of Entrepreneurship, 2005.<br>Submitted to the fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy - Australian Graduate School of Entrepreneurship, Faculty of Business and Enterprise, Swinburne University of Technology, 2005. Typescript. Includes bibliographical references (p. 294-308).
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Beeton, D. A. "Exploratory roadmapping for sector foresight." Thesis, University of Cambridge, 2007. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.596524.

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The importance of the exploratory ‘front-end’ of strategy is well established in fields such as foresight and knowledge management. However, it has received little consideration by roadmapping practioners and researchers. This thesis addresses this gap in understanding. Given the lack of previous research in this area, a grounded theory methodology is adopted, whereby a number of key concepts are identified and developed to lay the foundations for further investigation. The first of these is the concept of exploratory roadmapping, for which a new theoretical basis is advanced by making connect
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7

Amsteus, Martin. "Managerial foresight and firm performance." Doctoral thesis, Linnéuniversitetet, Ekonomihögskolan, ELNU, 2011. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-10935.

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Purpose – To specify what defines managerial foresight and to assess the association between managerial foresight and firm performance Methodology/Approach – First, previous research was reviewed and foresight was defined. Second, an instrument for measuring managerial foresight was developed. Third, an empirical case served as an illustration and as anassessment of validity. Fourth, managerial foresight was tested for association with firm performance. Findings – Foresight was specified as behavior with eight sub-components. A moderate and statistically significant positive relationship betwe
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8

Haddad, Carolina Resende. "Foresight e sistemas de inovação." reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFSC, 2016. https://repositorio.ufsc.br/xmlui/handle/123456789/168034.

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Dissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Centro Tecnológico, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia de Produção, Florianópolis, 2016.<br>Made available in DSpace on 2016-09-20T04:46:45Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 339625.pdf: 10027977 bytes, checksum: c99d99f0c8aef57e7ae66ac4aaef0488 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016<br>Este trabalho objetivou propor um método que operacionalizasse a abordagem do Sistemas de Inovação (SI) para a prática de foresight. O foresight é uma das técnicas mais difundidas para fazer análises futuro orientadas e sua literatura percorreu um longo
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Petersson, Daniel, Robert Lauritzen, and Christofer Särndahl. "Foresight practices and the influence on financial performance : A qualitative study on four manufacturing companies in the business-to-business environment." Thesis, Linnéuniversitetet, Institutionen för marknadsföring (MF), 2013. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-27112.

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Background: Foresight is a vague concept with several definitions. There is barely any existing practical evidence of how it should be conducted or what effect it could have on a company’s performance. Due to the lack of research done, a study within the field was justified. Purpose: The purpose of the paper is to investigate and measure if, and how, foresight practices influence company’s financial performance. Method and theory: A theoretical framework was established in order to compile knowledge about the field. These theories were used as a basis for upcoming in-depth interviews. To make
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10

Akkerman, Lutfiye Ziba. "Vizyon 2023: Technology Foresight For Turkey." Master's thesis, METU, 2006. http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12607267/index.pdf.

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The aim of this thesis was to examine, describe and assess in detail the method, process, and outcome of the first national Turkish technology foresight study - Vizyon 2023 - and draw conclusions about its effect on the Turkish science, technology and innovation system. Technology foresight has gained widespread acceptance all over the world as a policy tool used in identifying future technologies, setting priorities, formulating science and technology policies and wiring up the national system of innovation. In this context, a review of the literature on technology foresight is undertaken and
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11

Dauncey, Alexander James. "Forestry policy : hindsight, forethough and foresight." Thesis, Bangor University, 2016. https://research.bangor.ac.uk/portal/en/theses/forestry-policy-hindsight-forethought-and-foresight(f414315c-7f32-49e0-b2ec-c470c19801dc).html.

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Before the First World War, various policy entrepreneurs unsuccessfully advocated productivist scientific afforestation in Britain. During the war, timber imports were constrained by submarine blockade. The Government set up the Forestry Commission to deliver coniferous afforestation for strategic self-sufficiency. This policy was resistant to changes in geopolitical, economic and social conditions. It produced forests ill-equipped to provide for the needs of later society. The research considers whether, in hindsight, the actors could have applied greater forethought, developed better foresig
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Sadigov, Shahin, Олексій Валентинович Люльов, Алексей Валентинович Люлев, et al. "Economic growth and public governance: foresight scenarios." Thesis, Varazdin Development and Entrepreneurship Agency and University North, 2020. https://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/83874.

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The stable social and economic development of the national economy could be achieved by developing the mechanism to solve the contradictions in the triangle: society-government-economics. In this case, the most crucial goal was synchronising and harmonisation of economics and political reforms on the target and goals. In the paper, the authors highlighted that reforming was closely connected to the foresight of political institutions impact on econo-mic development, which emphasised the features and efficiency of the national economy. The paper goal was to the foresight of economic growth, con
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Haddad, Carolina Resende. "Foresight e sistemas de inovação." reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFSC, 2016. https://repositorio.ufsc.br/xmlui/handle/123456789/162856.

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Dissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Centro Tecnológico, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia de Produção, Florianópolis, 2016.<br>Made available in DSpace on 2016-05-24T17:57:20Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 339625.pdf: 10027977 bytes, checksum: c99d99f0c8aef57e7ae66ac4aaef0488 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016<br>Este trabalho objetivou propor um método que operacionalizasse a abordagem do Sistemas de Inovação (SI) para a prática de foresight. O foresight é uma das técnicas mais difundidas para fazer análises futuro orientadas e sua literatura pe
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14

Greenstine, Andreea, and Alyona Sazonova. "A Study of How Companies Enhance Their Strategies through Foresight Procedures to Anticipate and More Appropriately Prepare for Change." Thesis, Linnéuniversitetet, Institutionen för marknadsföring (MF), 2014. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-36055.

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Background: The traditional approach of strategy emphasizes the role of planning as a main driver for success. Thus, in an environment with a low propensity for change, managers are able to predict the market evolution and therefore allocate wisely their resources in order to optimize the company's actions. However, markets are substantially more dynamic and managers are faced with higher and more complex level of uncertainty. In such climates, anticipating and understanding change is becoming increasingly relevant and top companies are not just competing in the present, but also into the fut
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15

Metcalf, Jennifer. "Preschoolers' Saving: A Behavioural Manifestation of Episodic Foresight." Thesis, Université d'Ottawa / University of Ottawa, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/10393/32006.

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The aim of this dissertation was to develop a novel behavioural method to assess young children’s capacity for episodic foresight. Specifically, I developed a marble game paradigm to assess whether 3-, 4-, and 5-year-old children would save marbles for future enjoyment. Study 1 demonstrated that preschoolers will save more spontaneously when they can draw on a recent past experience compared to when the context is completely novel. Results from study 1 also suggest that preschoolers are sensitive to the relative value of future rewards. Study 2 revealed that providing children with a verbal pr
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16

McCardle, Michael. "Market Foresight Capability: Determinants and New Product Outcomes." Doctoral diss., University of Central Florida, 2005. http://digital.library.ucf.edu/cdm/ref/collection/ETD/id/3404.

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To achieve and maintain a superior competitive position, firms must develop market sensing capability-the ability to sense events and trends in markets ahead of competitors (Day 1994a). According to Day, in firms with superior market sensing capability, "the processes for gathering, interpreting, and using market information are more systematic, thoughtful, and anticipatory than in other firms" [emphasis added]. Although Day asserted that market orientation captures the essence of a market sensing capability, researchers have suggested that market orientation, by itself, does not provide the r
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Major, Edward. "Tailoring Foresight to the needs of the SME." Thesis, Cranfield University, 1999. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.323926.

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18

Dunovský, Tomáš. "Technologický foresight: Analýza potenciálních disruptivních technologií budoucnosti v bankovnictví." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2016. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-262024.

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This Master's Thesis is focused on technological foresight in the banking industry in Europe. It includes consecutive two parts. The first one is theoretical and focuses on defining the terms necessary for the development of technological foresight, stated criteria, triggers and terms necessary for the development of analysis of potential technological problems and their solutions. The second part is practical and it includes the technological foresight, analysis of trends that will disrupt banking and introduce a vision of personal banking product of the future. A comparison of product vision
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19

Müller, Adrian. "Strategic Foresight - Prozesse strategischer Trend- und Zukunftsforschung in Unternehmen." kostenfrei, 2008. http://www.biblio.unisg.ch/www/edis.nsf/wwwDisplayIdentifier/3521.

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20

Köpernik, Kathrin [Verfasser]. "Corporate Foresight als Erfolgsfaktor für marktorientierte Unternehmen / Kathrin Köpernik." Berlin : Freie Universität Berlin, 2009. http://d-nb.info/102370983X/34.

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21

Chudoba, Phillip C. "Blinding the eyes of the Corps : foresight at last?" Thesis, Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 1992. http://hdl.handle.net/10945/23825.

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Лапшин, Віктор Васильович, Виктор Васильевич Лапшин, Viktor Vasylovych Lapshyn, et al. "Foresight for optimization of international innovation and technological cooperation." Thesis, Wydawca «Diamond trading tour», 2013. http://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/44579.

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One of the most important aspects of the application of foresight in IITC is the need for a state corresponding to an integrated policy that takes into account the selected priorities of innovation development, because the main purpose of foresight is not only to forecast technological development, but also the need to take account of future trends in planning and decision-making.
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Hayward, Peter. "Developing wisdom how foresight develops in individuals and groups." Saarbrücken VDM Verlag Dr. Müller, 2005. http://d-nb.info/988696487/04.

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Penn, Elizabeth Maggie Katz Jonathan N. Palfrey Thomas R. "Cooperation and social choice : how foresight can induce fairness /." Diss., Pasadena, Calif. : California Institute of Technology, 2003. http://resolver.caltech.edu/CaltechETD:etd-06022003-112100.

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Bertolo, Elisabetta <1986&gt. "Il ruolo del Foresight nella creazione della visione strategica." Master's Degree Thesis, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/10579/2059.

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Obiettivo principale di Know-Us è l‘incremento della competitività delle PMI nei settori strategici dell’area Italia-Slovenia, incremento reso possibile dalla creazione di una regione di co-operazione della conoscenza che permetta di avviare percorsi di innovazione. Know-us ha puntato all’individuazione dei settori più significativi e, potenzialmente più rilevanti, per lo sviluppo di innovazione strategica, superando le problematiche delle PMI. Problematiche dichiarate nel Programma per la Cooperazione Transfrontaliera Italia – Slovenia 2007-2013 e individuate in una insufficiente capitalizza
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Overland, Erik Ferdinand [Verfasser]. "Foresight management or futures research, or both? / Erik Ferdinand Overland." Berlin : Freie Universität Berlin, 2015. http://d-nb.info/1075190762/34.

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Meyer-Brötz, Fabian [Verfasser]. "A bibliometric technique for quantitative technology foresight / Fabian Meyer-Brötz." Ulm : Universität Ulm, 2019. http://d-nb.info/1178527964/34.

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Shoemate, Justin. "Creating a national mitigation grant evaluation tool| Foresight and resilience." Thesis, California State University, Long Beach, 2015. http://pqdtopen.proquest.com/#viewpdf?dispub=1600081.

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<p> In recent years, emergency managers have recognized the importance of building and sustaining resilience in communities. U.S. disaster preparedness has long been centered at the local and state municipality level. However, there has been an increase in federal policy and grant funding to better prepare communities. These federal initiatives may actually be prohibitive when the money runs out. This funding discontinuity can impede progress toward creating resilient and prepared communities. The relationship between existing hazards and dynamic issues showcase the need for refining future ap
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Sakarya, Basak. "From Delphi To Scenario By Using Cluster Analysis: Turkish Foresight Case." Master's thesis, METU, 2007. http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/3/12608424/index.pdf.

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In this thesis, the technologies that appeared to be strategic according to the Vision 2023 Technology Foresight Project were examined in terms of how they might form up technology clusters. This thesis aims to identify technology clusters in terms of common knowledge base and to use these clusters in future scenarios as a foresight tool. In this study, Vision 2023 Delphi survey respondents&rsquo<br>intersecting expertise levels in different fields were accepted as indicators of common knowledge base in these fields and technology clusters were formed up in this direction. In order to attain t
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Skulimowski, Andrzej M. J. "The Role of Creativity in Cooperative Foresight Activities in Living Labs." Saechsische Landesbibliothek- Staats- und Universitaetsbibliothek Dresden, 2012. http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bsz:14-qucosa-100911.

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This paper presents the cooperative modelling methodology used in the Information Society foresight carried out within the research project SCETIST. The class of models here presented used the concept of group decision creativity that has been elaborated for the use in a Living Lab. The trends and scenarios are discussed and refined during cooperative activities, finally verified using the simulation of a hybrid system consisting of qualitative information processing, and a discretetime- control system with a discrete-event component.
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Tsolakidis, Stefanos K. "Foresight of aerospace and defence technologies in Greece up to 2020." Thesis, Middlesex University, 2006. http://eprints.mdx.ac.uk/13552/.

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Technology Foresight exammes the future of the Greek economy and in particular what the contribution of science and technology is to this. Greek Technology Foresight started in October 2001 as a programme co-financed by the European Union and the target was to create a functional view after two decades. The main purpose of this project is the identification of cost-effective Aerospace and Defence Technologies for Greece in the year 2020. Firstly, the capacity and capability of Greek industries and the research environment are examined in conjunction with the products demanded by Armed Forces.
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Mercuri, Kimberly. "An investigation of episodic foresight ability in users of illicit substances." Thesis, Australian Catholic University, 2015. https://acuresearchbank.acu.edu.au/download/7bfe4ff4c6a6e19c52a9aff67820661e1d99c3da0e8e796d1111ad4308163e8f/3877463/201501_Kimberly_Mercuri_Thesis_Final.pdf.

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The overall objective of this research project was to investigate the cognitive ability of episodic foresight in various drug-using populations. Episodic foresight refers to the uniquely human ability to mentally project the self into the future and pre-experience an event. The first study (in press) was designed to address an identified gap in our understanding of episodic foresight in long-term opiate users. A group of long term opiate users (n = 48) and a group of matched controls (n = 48) were compared on episodic foresight, and the contribution of memory and executive function to this abi
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33

Claesson, Jonas, and Christoffer Axell. "Tales of Foresight : En kvalitativ studie om berättelser kring futuristers arbetsmetoder." Thesis, Mälardalens högskola, Akademin för ekonomi, samhälle och teknik, 2020. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-48109.

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Titel:            Tales of Foresight – En kvalitativ studie om berättelser kring futuristers arbetsmetoder   Nivå:            Avancerad, Magister   Författare:   Christoffer Axell,            Jonas Claesson                            (87/05/09)                     (95/01/12)      Handledare: Klara Regnö   Examinator: Johan Grindbergs   Datum: 2020-06-03   Insitution:    Akademin för Ekonomi, Samhälle och Teknik, Mälardalens Högskola   Syfte:            Syftet med studien är att skapa en djupare förståelse för hur futurister beskriver sina arbetsmetoder inom framtidsstudier.   Frågeställning:  
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Amanatidou, Efthymia. "Assessing the contribution of foresight to a more participatory knowledge society." Thesis, University of Manchester, 2012. https://www.research.manchester.ac.uk/portal/en/theses/assessing-the-contribution-of-foresight-to-a-more-participatory-knowledge-society(3ca17d0b-921b-4d9c-a452-c97e82c4db69).html.

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Foresight has been increasingly acknowledged as a valuable policy-making process. It has evolved from informing policies about key technological fields that would be of outmost importance in the future to (re)orienting and opening up policies towards societal needs. The wide application of foresight would benefit from a common evaluation and assessment framework that hardly exists today. This would facilitate the identification of good practices irrespective of case-specific objectives while it would also allow for benchmarking and coordination of policies for socio-economic development. Such
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Barroso, Marcos André Rosendo. "Trend tracking approaches : a critical overview and possible integration between internal and external environment." Master's thesis, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, 2019. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/19798.

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Mestrado em Gestão de Sistemas de Informação<br>Esta dissertação discute a relação entre as tendências, o ambiente interno da organização e como se preparar para o futuro que está por vir. Ela apresenta as definições mais aceites da área de foresight, propõe um esquema teórico baseado no VUCA, STEEP e sua aplicação em uma organização real do setor da banca. O objetivo é ajudar as organizações a perceber seu ambiente e alinhar da melhor forma as ações para um futuro incerto.<br>This thesis discusses the relation between the trends, the organization?s internal environment and how to prepare for
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Calisir, Ibrahim. "Analyzing Foresight Studies In Converging Technologies Studies Of Eu, Usa And Turkey." Master's thesis, METU, 2007. http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12607941/index.pdf.

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The aim of this study is to examine the situation of converging technologies - nano technology, biotechnology, information technologies, and cognitive science - in Turkish foresight study and to analyze situation of Turkey. The research on convergence in Turkish foresight is carried out in the first foresight study of Turkey, Vision2023 consisting of Delphi Report, Panel Reports and Strategy Reports. All of these reports are investigated thoroughly to find out the statements about the converging technologies to have an insight what Turkey is planning to do in the following years. Additionally
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BABAHEIDARI, PERSHENG, and GEER HANS DE. "Corporate foresight in Sweden : A quantitative comparison between Swedish and European companies." Thesis, KTH, Skolan för industriell teknik och management (ITM), 2017. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-223887.

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Babaheidari, Persheng, and Geer Hans De. "Corporate foresight in Sweden : A quantitative comparison between Swedish and European companies." Thesis, KTH, Skolan för industriell teknik och management (ITM), 2017. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-210576.

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Studies show that the average lifespan of large companies is decreasing and that companies of today face a higher degree of market-saturation caused by globalization. In order for companies to stay alive, they need to scan for trends outside their business scope, which can be done by adopting corporate foresight. This thesis investigates the uniqueness of corporate foresight in large Swedish companies when compared to a European sample. The focus lies on measuring differences with regards to need, capabilities and maturity of corporate foresight. This thesis establishes that there is an ever-g
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Hanson, Laura K. "Episodic Foresight in Typically-Developing Children and Children with Autism Spectrum Disorder." Thèse, Université d'Ottawa / University of Ottawa, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/10393/26094.

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The capacity to mentally project the self into the future or, what has recently been termed “episodic foresight” is an emerging topic of study in developmental psychology. The aim of this dissertation was to review available research on this topic and explore its development in two groups of children: typically-developing preschoolers and children with autism spectrum disorder (ASD). This dissertation had two main goals. The first goal was to explore whether tasks thought to measure episodic foresight in children are related and whether, as has been hypothesized, they were related to theory of
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Baloch, Fariha. "Tag anti-collision algorithms for active and passive RFID networks with foresight." Diss., Wichita State University, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10057/10931.

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In the world where initiatives to automate jobs are becoming a norm, it is no surprise that the interest in radio frequency identification (RFID) networks has grown exponentially. With RFID technology, organizations around the world can reduce their workforce and grow their businesses. However, this technology is not yet at a maturity point. For example, in order for a cart full of groceries to go through an unmanned checkout lane, it is crucial that all of the tagged items are read and processed with 100% reliability. Also, the time to process items needs to be fast enough so that customers c
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SANTOS, ANDREA BELFORT DE ANDRADE. "AN INTEGRATIVE MODEL FOR MULTIPLE STRATEGIES FORMULATION: THE CONTRIBUITION OF STRATEGIC FORESIGHT." PONTIFÍCIA UNIVERSIDADE CATÓLICA DO RIO DE JANEIRO, 2011. http://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/Busca_etds.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=17787@1.

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Para lidar com os graus cada vez mais elevados de dinamismo e complexidade do ambiente empresarial, com altos níveis inerentes de incerteza, as organizações têm desenvolvido processos de planejamento baseados na análise prospectiva, trazendo para a discussão estratégica um pensamento plural sobre o futuro. No entanto, na hora de formular as estratégias e definir os comprometimentos da empresa, essa diversidade, explorada na análise de cenários, é negligenciada e o processo de planejamento desenrola-se como se o mundo caminhasse em uma direção única. Para isso, contribui o distanciamento entre
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Hung, Shirley Kon-Jean. "Managing uncertainty : foresight and flexibility in cryptography and voice over IP policy." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/49679.

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Thesis (Ph. D.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Political Science, 2008.<br>"February 2008."<br>Includes bibliographical references (p. 235-248).<br>This main question in this dissertation is under what conditions government agencies show foresight in formulating strategies for managing emerging technologies. A secondary question is when they are capable of adaptation. Conventional wisdom and most organization theory literature suggest that organizations are reactive rather than proactive, reluctant to change, and responsive only to threats to their core mission or autonomy. T
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Alvarenga, Rogrigues Antonio Manuel. "Possibility and wish : the interactions between scenarios and visions in foresight processes." Lyon 3, 2010. https://scd-resnum.univ-lyon3.fr/in/theses/2010_in_alvarenga_a.pdf.

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Cette thèse se concentre sur la relation difficile mais riche entre les scénarios et les visions dans les processus de prospective. Grâce à une analyse fondée sur quatre études de cas, sur une recherche documentaire approfondie et sur l'expérience personnelle, elle vise à mettre en lumière ce que nous appellerons la "boîte noire", soit le lieu où les interactions entre ces deux instruments se produisent. Soutenue par une approche constructiviste, elle explore les champs théoriques des scénarios et des visions, élargissant de façon sélective l’analyse aux concepts de "possibilité" et "volonté".
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Ebner, Noam, Lorianne D. Mitchell, Jennifer D. Parlamis, and C. Peifer. "Hindsight-Insight-Foresight: Different Formats of Teaching Negotiation and Conflict Management Online." Digital Commons @ East Tennessee State University, 2014. https://dc.etsu.edu/etsu-works/8315.

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Velasco, Martinez Guillermo. "Understanding the generation of research and innovation policy advice with foresight processes." Thesis, University of Manchester, 2017. https://www.research.manchester.ac.uk/portal/en/theses/understanding-the-generation-of-research-and-innovation-policy-advice-with-foresight-processes(cbfdf17f-64a4-44fb-b36a-5ad312f66d31).html.

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The study of foresight methodology has traditionally focused on the anticipation and development of future scenarios. It is somewhat surprising that, despite the impact that the advice generated with foresight may have had on Research and Innovation(R&I) policy action, the analysis of the process whereby foresight actually creates policy recommendations has so far been ignored in the literature. This thesis explores this process, trying to identify those elements that have a greater influence in the final advice characteristics. The research draws on the study of two European cases, which are
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Battistella, Cinzia. "L'organizzazione per il corporate foresight: evidenza da casi studio multipli nel settore delle telecomunicazioni." Doctoral thesis, Università degli studi di Padova, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/11577/3427540.

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Men and organizations always tried to imagine their future. In 424 BC, Herodotus claimed the importance of vision and planning for the future: “Nothing stays the same, and those who do not want to grow, will soon be overtaken by those that want it! If you do not plan for the future in a realistic way, the alternative looks terribly bleak.” How we imagine our technological, economic and social future? How does the market move? What are the tastes of consumers? What will happen in the next 5-10 years? How do we develop scenarios into new products or services? If you want to steer through th
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Forrest, Carroll Jay. "A System-Based, Qualitative Inference Method of Heuristics for Foresight and Futures Studies." Thesis, Leeds Beckett University, 2009. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.521143.

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Cobbledick, Michael. "The role of foresight in adaptive organising : coping with change and creating advantage." Thesis, Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/18190.

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Thesis (MPhil))--Stellenbosch University, 2010.<br>It is broadly accepted that our post-modern society is characterised by unprecedented levels of change, coupled with increasing complexity and uncertainty. In this context, the ability to successfully anticipate and adapt to changing circumstances is crucial for an organisation‟s survival and prosperity. Long-standing traditional models of organising, managing and knowing, as well as many contemporary formulations, are found to be inadequate in dealing with the challenges of high-velocity change. This study conducts a conceptual review of the
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Yang, Wan-Yu, and 楊婉妤. "Foresight as Framing." Thesis, 2014. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/10570595231119974641.

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碩士<br>國立清華大學<br>科技管理研究所<br>102<br>This study draws on the framing strategy to identify how the actors engage with organizational level of the political strategy making process. The country policy can success is depends on whether foresight can bring positive effect on economy and society. The aim of foresight is to explore the process of long-term future development on science, technology, economy and society systematically; besides, the purpose of foresight is to find out the technology field where is most possible to produce greatest economic and social benefits. Through framing theory to bu
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Katz, J. Sylvan, and Sally Stewart. "Science Foresight Project." 2002. http://hdl.handle.net/10150/105768.

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The aim of the Science Foresight Project was to design and assess a simple, objective and cost-effective technique to gather information about emerging short and long-term research developments, primarily in the physical and engineering sciences. International experts were objectively chosen using co-citation patterns in scientific and technical literature, and were invited to submit their predictions about emerging developments in their research fields. They were questioned about how the effects of various factors and driving forces might affect their predictions. The cost and time required t
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