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1

DEMİREL, Esin, and Şevket Işıl AKGÜL. "Comparative Analysis of Fragile Fives with Panel VAR Models." International Journal of Contemporary Economics and Administrative Sciences 13, no. 1 (2023): 263–95. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8335600.

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This study aims to show the similarities and differences between the <em>fragile five classifications</em>, which include countries that are quite different from each other, and to show whether there is a need for a different classification of fragile five, econometrically. In this context, the data set consists of <em>old fragile five</em> and <em>new fragile five</em> classifications. Seven independent variables that are thought to affect the gross domestic product of the countries have been determined. The data are annual for the period 2001-2018. Panel data analysis and Panel vector autore
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Cai, Kailhao. "IMF-Supported Programs in Low-Income Countries: Fragile versus Non-Fragile States." IMF Working Papers 2024, no. 221 (2024): 1. http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9798400289866.001.

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3

Harttgen, Kenneth, and Stephan Klasen. "Do Fragile Countries Experience Worse MDG Progress?" Journal of Development Studies 49, no. 1 (2013): 134–59. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2012.713471.

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KOVACI, Süreyya, and Süleyman ŞEN. "Central Bank Policies of Fragile Five Countries in the Covid-19 Process." Journal of Yaşar University 17, no. 68 (2022): 838–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.19168/jyasar.1002021.

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The Covid-19 pandemic has been a trouble and deeply affected the economic conditions of countries. Economy administrators and particularly central banks have been tested seriously in this period. In this period, one of the essential tasks of central banks is to provide the need of liquidity of markets. However, the main objective of Central Banks is price stability. Monetary policies should be applied sensitively by central banks, especially in crisis periods. While liquidity needs of markets taking place, central banks intervene and effort to support declining liquidity. This study examined c
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Goldstone, Jack A., Monty G. Marshall, and Hilton Root. "Demographic growth in dangerous places: Concentrating conflict risks." International Area Studies Review 17, no. 2 (2014): 120–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/2233865914535596.

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If one merely counts countries becoming democratic, progress in the international system looks impressive. However, more relevant for future stability is whether countries—whether democratic or not—are fragile, having ineffective and/or illegitimate governments. Moreover, the size of fragile countries, not merely their number, will be important for the future. Recent data shows that fertility has stalled at very high levels in many fragile states, including several of the largest, creating a situation in which almost all the growth in the world’s future labor force in coming decades will occur
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Cheng, Po-Keng. "Fragile by Design." International Journal of Applied Behavioral Economics 5, no. 1 (2016): 48–52. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/ijabe.2016010103.

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This paper provides review for which demonstrates the links between politics and banking. In addition to the perspective in , several recent studies relating to financial crisis are also introduced here. Issues about illiquidity, insolvency, credit boom, accuracy of credit rating, and neglected risk are discussed. Banking system is the bridge connecting households and sectors in the economy, where the design of the banking system has significant influence on the developments of countries.
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Kwon, Huck-ju, Suyeon Lee, and Ye Eun Ha. "Policy analysis of Korea’s development cooperation with sub-Saharan Africa: a focus on fragile states." International Development Planning Review ahead-of-print (October 1, 2021): 1–25. http://dx.doi.org/10.3828/idpr.2021.23.

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It has been ten years since the New Deal for Engagement in Fragile States was endorsed by the global community. The government of South Korea set out development initiatives to put fragile states at the top of its development agenda and substantially increased its bilateral aid to them. This study analyses the policy orientations of South Korea’s aid to fragile states by exploring the determinants of Korea’s official development assistance to forty-eight sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries over the period 2010-2019 with reference to the top ten OECD donors to SSA countries as a group. The stud
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De Tray, Dennis N. "Improving Governance in Developing Countries, Especially in Fragile States." European Journal of Development Studies 1, no. 3 (2021): 15–25. http://dx.doi.org/10.24018/ejdevelop.2021.1.3.34.

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The world is increasingly aware that climate change could eventually destroy the earth as we know it – but over decades if not centuries. Fragile states – the poorest and weakest developing countries – should be of the same order of concern to the international community as global warming, and their downside is likely to be much more immediate. Fragility cost the world more than USD 13 trillion in 2015 [1], and research suggests that fragility is predicted to get worse in the coming decade (op. cit.), underscoring that the international development community needs to rethink the way it works i
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Dushku, Elona. "Evidence on household financial fragility in Western Balkan countries before COVID-19." Ekonomski anali 68, no. 239 (2023): 7–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.2298/eka2339007d.

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This paper seeks to investigate household financial fragility in Western Balkan countries using household-level data from the third wave of the Life in Transition Survey . We used the ability of households to cope with an unexpected expenditure shock as a measure of household financial fragility and analysed how sociodemographics and economic characteristics are related to the probability of households being financially fragile. Understanding household financial fragility in Western Balkan countries is important to properly address policy challenges in terms of household welfare and financial
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10

Gülcü, Yunus. "Examining The Impact of Inflation on Financial Development in The Fragile Five Economies with Asymmetric Cointegration Tests." Sosyoekonomi 32, no. 61 (2024): 37–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2024.03.03.

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This study examines the relationship between inflation and financial development indicators for the Fragile Five countries between 1981 and 2021. The study analysed the relationship between symmetric and asymmetric distributed lag regression models. Inflation appears to have a negative impact on financial development in countries other than Brazil and India. The results prove that the most extended correction process was experienced in India, and the shortest was experienced in Indonesia among the Fragile Five countries. Research results emphasise that high inflation negatively affects financi
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Özsalman, Emre, Ömer Faruk Derindağ, and Tayfur Bayat. "Pollution Haven, Pollution Halo, or Pollution Hell? The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on CO2 Emission and Temperature Rise in Fragile Five Countries." Akademik Araştırmalar ve Çalışmalar Dergisi (AKAD) 17, no. 32 (2025): 134–49. https://doi.org/10.20990/kilisiibfakademik.1634138.

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Purpose: The purpose of this study is to investigate how foreign direct investment (FDI) affects the environmental quality of the Fragile Five countries, with a particular emphasis on how it may transfer ecologically damaging sectors to host countries. The link between FDI inflow, CO2 emissions, and temperature rise in the selected countries between 1970 and 2021 is specifically examined. Design/methodology: The Panel Fourier Granger Causality Test is used in the study to examine the causative relationships among temperature rise, CO2 emissions, and FDI. In order to effectively approximate the
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Rahmadan, Yanuar. "Peran G20 dalam Pemulihan Ekonomi Global Pasca Covid-19." Resolusi: Jurnal Sosial Politik 7, no. 2 (2024): 107–25. https://doi.org/10.32699/resolusi.v7i2.8195.

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Covid-19 pandemic has caused countries to experience economic downturn, especially countries that are categorized as vulnerable and fragile. The G20, as one of the intergovernmental forums, was encouraged by the International Monetary Fund and World Bank to take part in the economic recovery effort. The Debt Service Suspension Initiative program (DSSI) is taken, aimed at countries that are categorized as vulnerable and fragile. DSSI is aimed to provide debt relief to ease financial burden from the countries during the Covid-19 pandemic. This research uses a qualitative research method, explori
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BAYKAL, Muhammet Melikşah, and Erdem TURGAN. "Macroeconomic Effects of Foreign Direct Investments on Fragile Five Countries." İstanbul Gelişim Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 9, no. 1 (2022): 153–65. http://dx.doi.org/10.17336/igusbd.766173.

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14

KUTLU, Melih, and Diler TÜRKOĞLU. "Volatility Interaction Between VIX (Fear Index) and Fragile Five Countries." Aksaray Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 15, no. 2 (2023): 125–36. http://dx.doi.org/10.52791/aksarayiibd.1146489.

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Bu çalışmada kırılgan beşli ülkeler ile VIX endeksi arasında asimetrik getiri ve volatilite yayılımı araştırılmıştır. Kırılgan ülkelerin kırılganlıkları makroekonomik faktörler nedeniyle oluşmaktadır ve bu örtük volatiliteye neden olmaktadır. Örtük volatilite yatırımcı duyarlılığını ve gelecekteki nakit akışlarını yansıttığı için makroekonomik şoklardan ve temettü politikalarından etkilenmektedir. BİST 100 (Türkiye), BOVESPA-BVSP (Brezilya), IDX (Endonezya), JSE(Güney Afrika), NIFTY50(Hindistan) ve VIX endekslerinin 2014 ve 2021 tarihleri arası haftalık kapanış verileri DCC GARCH yöntemi ile t
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15

Parshyna, Olena A., Marharyta Yu Parshyna, Tetiana V. Chumak, and Ljudmila I. Yarmolenko. "TRENDS IN GLOBAL TRANSFORMATIONS OF COUNTRIES IN THE CONTEXT OF THEIR DEVELOPMENT AND ENSURING NATIONAL SECURITY." Academy Review 1, no. 62 (2025): 286–98. https://doi.org/10.32342/3041-2137-2025-1-62-20.

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World development at the current stage is accompanied by complex integration processes and global transformations. In recent years, there has been a steady trend of growing transnational threats and international conflicts, which has a negative impact on the key characteristics of states’ ability to ensure sustainable development in the face of worsening global security problems. The purpose of the article is to identify trends in the global transformations of countries in the context of their development and assurance of national security. Studies have been conducted on defining and quantifyi
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Szalma, Ivett, Hana Hašková, Livia Oláh, and Judit Takács. "Fragile Pronatalism and Reproductive Futures in European Post‐Socialist Contexts." Social Inclusion 10, no. 3 (2022): 82–86. http://dx.doi.org/10.17645/si.v10i3.6128.

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This editorial seeks to define fragile pronatalism by highlighting why pronatalism in the examined Central and Eastern European post‐socialist countries should be considered fragile. Moreover, it aims to map desirable future changes in fertility policies in the region. Following a brief presentation of the articles contained in this thematic issue, our concluding thoughts complete this editorial.
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Javidiar, Arsya, and Irwan Adi Ekaputra. "The Dynamics of Exchange Rate and Stock Return Before and After the Fed Policy Normalization: Evidence from Fragile Five Countries." International Journal of Business Studies 3, no. 2 (2019): 54–63. http://dx.doi.org/10.32924/ijbs.v3i2.63.

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Abstract: This research aims to examine the correlation between exchange rate and stock price return in each fragile five countries; Indonesia, Brazil, India, Turkey and South Africa. Using daily data, we investigate and then divide it into two periods; before Fed funds rate normalization (2013-2015) and after normalization (2016-2018), to find out whether the Fed funds rate hike caused a difference in the correlation between the two variables in each fragile five country. The methods used for this analysis are granger causality test and Vector Autoregression (VAR) using Eviews 9 program. Furt
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Hiilamo, Heikki, and Stanton Glantz. "Limited implementation of the framework convention on tobacco control’s tobacco tax provision: global comparison." BMJ Open 8, no. 10 (2018): e021340. http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2017-021340.

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ObjectiveTo quantify changes in tobacco tax rates and cigarette affordability after countries ratified the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC) using with the WHO MPOWER standards.MethodsWe used logistic regression to assess the association of FCTC ratification with adoption of at least 50% and 75% (high) of retail price tobacco tax rates for the most sold brands in countries, accounting for years since ratification and other covariates. We also compared cigarette affordability in 2014 with 1999.ResultsBy 2014, 44% of high-income countries had taxes above 75% of retail value comp
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19

AYHAN, Fatih, Feyza BALAN, and Yüksel Akay UNVAN. "A PANEL ANALYSIS FOR DETERMINING THE VARIABLES AFFECT FDI INFLOWS TOWARDS FRAGILE FIVE COUNTRIES." Business & Management Studies: An International Journal 8, no. 1 (2020): 519–40. http://dx.doi.org/10.15295/bmij.v8i1.1264.

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Globalization is increasing since the mid-1990s. Along with the globalization, increased international trade caused the foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows for economies. Economists often emphasize that FDI contributes developing countries to confront the international competition by boosting their economy, increasing productivity and export capacity. This paper aims to investigate the factors that affect the FDI flows towards the Fragile Five countries (Turkey, Brazil, India, Indonesia, South Africa) for 1994-2017 through panel data analysis. The results from the panel ordinary least squa
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20

Eryılmaz, Serkan, Feyyaz Zeren, and Tayfun Yılmaz. "Testing the Adaptive Market Hypothesis for Fragile Five Countries: Time-Varying KSS Unit Root Test Application." International Journal of Business and Economic Studies 7, no. 1 (2025): 70–80. https://doi.org/10.54821/uiecd.1568223.

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In this study, the validity of the Adaptive Market Hypothesis (AMH) for the Fragile Five countries (India, Brazil, Indonesia, Turkey, and South Africa) was investigated through daily data for the period 01.09.2013-30.06.2024. As a result of the time-varying KSS unit root test developed by Kapetanios, Shin and Snell (2003), it was found that the periodic weak form of market efficiency is valid for the Fragile Five countries and the AMH was confirmed for these markets. Therefore, it is understood that the random walk hypothesis is periodically valid and investors who use technical analysis metho
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Yildirtan, Assoc Prof Dina Çakmur, and Lecturer Esengül Salihoğlu. "Panel Data Analysis of Exchange Rate for Fragile Five." European Journal of Multidisciplinary Studies 5, no. 1 (2017): 264. http://dx.doi.org/10.26417/ejms.v5i1.p264-278.

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After the Bretteon Woods System, as a result of the preffering especially the flexible exchange rate systems of developed countries the exchange rate risk has emerged. The transfer for the flexible exchange systems in the majority of developing countries started with the financial liberalization in the 1990’s. In this period, the progress of information technology and globalization have rendered exchange rate policies and exchange rates a priority for countries and exchange rates have become effective on macroeconomic indicators. In this study was examined exchange rate behaviour of Morgan Sta
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Koç Yurtkur, Asuman, and Bersu Bahtiyar. "The Relationship Between Energy Consumption, Economic Growth, Inflation and Trade Openness: An Analysis for Fragile Five Countries." International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478) 6, no. 6 (2017): 21–41. http://dx.doi.org/10.20525/ijrbs.v6i6.785.

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Energy is one of the most important dynamics of economic growth all over the world. Specially developing countries are in need of much more enery to provide economic growth. In this study, the relationship between energy consumption, economic growth, inflation and trade openness is exaimined by using structural VAR model for fragile five countries which have similar characteristics in terms of macroeconomic indicators. The analysis carried out with annual data that contains 1971-2013 period for fragile countries which contains of Turkey, South Africa, India, Indonesia and Brazil. According to
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Bandžović, Sead. "The phenomenon of fragile states: Bosnia and Herzegovina." Historijski pogledi 4, no. 6 (2021): 338–55. http://dx.doi.org/10.52259/historijskipogledi.2021.4.6.338.

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The three key conditions for the existence of a state, according to the theory of state and law, are geographical territory, population and organized political power in that area. However, during the twentieth century in some African and Asian countries, due to various political, economic and other factors, problems began to appear in performance of their basic functions: ensuring public order and peace, providing health services, education. Modern science has introduced the term failed states to describe such countries. This scientific phenomenon has been the subject of numerous researches, a
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Mbarga, Dr Dieudonne. "Unlocking Climate Finance for Fragile Countries: Structural Barriers and Strategic Prospects." Cross-Currents: An International Peer-Reviewed Journal on Humanities & Social Sciences 11, no. 06 (2025): 125–29. https://doi.org/10.36344/ccijhss.2025.v11i06.002.

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This paper offers a critical and constructive analysis of the structural and conjunctural challenges hindering the access of developing countries - particularly those in sub-Saharan Africa - to international climate financing. It highlights systemic blockages (institutional, technical, geopolitical) and persistent imbalances between promises and realities, while formulating concrete recommendations for more equitable, sustainable and effective access to these resources. The aim is to contribute to a reform of climate financing mechanisms in favour of real climate justice and inclusive sustaina
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Kim, Bo Kyung. "Mutual Accountability in Fragile States." Global Governance: A Review of Multilateralism and International Organizations 28, no. 4 (2022): 534–61. http://dx.doi.org/10.1163/19426720-02804006.

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Abstract The study reported in this article aimed to find the extent to which the mutual accountability mechanism is applicable in fragile states where state capacity and legitimacy are insufficient. Donors provide foreign aid to fragile states even when there is no firm-standing counterpart to be held accountable. This is done to meet short-term development needs that are heavily focused on humanitarian relief. Based on an examination of the discursive evolution of fragility and donors’ categorization of fragile states based on the capacity-legitimacy configuration, this found that developmen
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Öztunç Kaymak, Öznur, Yiğit Kaymak, Çağatay Mirgen, Süleyman Emir, and Halis Can Koyuncuoğlu. "Credit default swaps prediction by using an FTS-ANN model." Mathematical Modelling and Numerical Simulation with Applications 4, no. 5-Special Issue: ICAME'24 (2024): 187–206. https://doi.org/10.53391/mmnsa.1523426.

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Credit Default Swap (CDS) is a derivative instrument that serves as insurance against the credit risk of countries or firms. Especially, since the 2008 global crisis, it has received much attention as a risk indicator in financial markets. Given the role played by CDS prices in determining the creditworthiness of banks, corporations or countries, even in predicting financial crisis, it is clear that there has been a need for models that can produce results close to real values due to the nonlinear and chaotic nature of CDS prices in fragile economies. In this study, Türkiye is analyzed as a fr
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Stach, Łukasz. "The Fragility of the Philippines in the Context of Increasing China-U.S. Rivalry in the Western Pacific." Philippine Political Science Journal 43, no. 3 (2022): 263–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.1163/2165025x-bja10038.

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Abstract The situation in Southeast Asia is of concern not only to the countries in the region, but also to the world’s great powers. The growing economic and military power of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and its rivalry with the United States (U.S.) are perceived as disruption of the regional status quo. Smaller Southeast Asian states try to secure their position in the changing international environment. These countries include the Philippines, which faces many internal and external security threats. The situation is worsened by the fact that the Philippines is considered by scholar
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Koolaee, Elaheh, and Ziba Akbari. "Fragile State in Iraq and Women Security." Contemporary Review of the Middle East 4, no. 3 (2017): 235–53. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/2347798917711294.

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After the Cold War and the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, the term “fragile states” has gained increasing prominence in security debates and the international community turned its attention to how to deal with such countries. These security concerns originate from several factors: emphasis on building peace and security, spread of this idea that development and security are related, and the principle that the stability of state plays an influential role in its development. The term “fragile state” refers to weak states that are vulnerable to internal and external threats and have a p
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Zhou, Geng-Jian, Qiao-Xu Qin, Wei-Zhou Lin, and Yuan-Biao Zhang. "Fragile States Index Considering Climate Factors." Journal of Management and Sustainability 8, no. 3 (2018): 74. http://dx.doi.org/10.5539/jms.v8n3p74.

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Over the past few decades, the Earth’s climate has undergone conspicuous changes, some of which have a profound impact on social and governmental systems. The purpose of this paper is to establish a model for measuring national fragile and the impact of climate change on a country. For this purpose, we first define the Fragile States Index (FSI) to measure the fragility of a country based on population, crime rate and education, which are the three aspects that most countries or regions will focus on. Second, we use the FSI to illustrate how climate change affects the Democratic Republic of th
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Turgut, Ecem, and Okyay Ucan. "The Relationship between Financial Development and Economic Growth in Five Fragile Countries." European Scientific Journal, ESJ 19, no. 39 (2023): 1. http://dx.doi.org/10.19044/esj.2023.v19n39p1.

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This study aimed to analyze the causality relationship between financial development and economic growth by using the data of the five fragile countries for the period 1980 to 2018. In this direction, the cross-section dependency is examined, and it is concluded that the cross-section is independent. Then, by performing the Delta homogeneity test, it is aimed to understand whether other countries are affected at the same level without a change occurring in any of the countries considered, and heterogeneity has been reached. Subsequently, the unit root test determines that the variables are sta
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Al-qalawi, Usama, Anas AlQudah, Ahmad A. Alwaked, and Arqam Abdul Razzaq Al-Rabbaie. "The efficiency of defense-augmented production function for G20 countries: An analysis of the relationship with Country Fragile Index." International Journal of Innovative Research and Scientific Studies 8, no. 2 (2025): 4054–64. https://doi.org/10.53894/ijirss.v8i2.6230.

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This study investigates the efficiency of defense-augmented production in G20 countries and its relationship with the Fragile Index, assessing the impact of defense spending on production efficiency. This study utilizes Stochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA) and panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models, analyzing a panel dataset covering 2006 to 2021. Key variables include GDP, labor, capital, defense spending, and the Fragile Index for G20 countries. The study demonstrates a positive correlation between production inefficiency and country fragility. Countries with higher levels of fragi
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Abbas, Hafiz Syed Mohsin, Xiaodong Xu, Chunxia Sun, Saif Ullah, and Muhammad Ahsan Ali Raza. "Impact of Domestic and Transboundary Conflicts on Militarization." Open Military Studies 1, no. 1 (2020): 24–35. http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/openms-2020-0102.

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AbstractSecurity issues are the global concern nowadays, which triggers government spending on military equipment and supply chain. This paper analyzes the global perspective of cohesion indicators on Militarization by using 177 countries panel data from the Years 2011-2018 based on middle/lower and high-income groups. By applied OLS and Fixed Effect modelling, we explored the idea that Group Grievance and Population Growth Rate have a significant impact on Militarization in both income groups worldwide. However, middle/lower income group’s Militarization is more fragile than high-income group
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FANTCHO, Joseph Emmanuel, and Patrick Konin N'GOUAN. "SHOCKS ON PUBLIC SPENDING AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN FRAGILE STATES." JOURNAL OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS AND FINANCE 3 (2022): 331–48. http://dx.doi.org/10.47509/jdef.2022.v03i02.05.

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This paper focuses on fragile States, and look deeply how shocks on public spending affect private production, economic growth and households' welfare. The paper provides an explanation of a source of growth and technological progress in unstable countries. The increasing of public expenditures enhances the private production and households' consumption. One innovation of this paper is in the way to introduce shocks into economy. In fragile States, shocks are random variables that follow a Bernoulli process, which appear on public spending and affect the rest of economy.
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Olenski, Jozef. "Role of official statistics in fragile countries, regions and sectors of economy." Statistical Journal of the IAOS 33, no. 4 (2017): 833–49. http://dx.doi.org/10.3233/sji-170371.

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Klein, Oliver. "Transnational Networks of Pork Production: Fragile Linkages between Germany and CEE Countries." European Spatial Research and Policy 25, no. 1 (2018): 93–111. http://dx.doi.org/10.18778/1231-1952.25.1.06.

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The intention of this paper is to explore the internationalization efforts of German pork producers towards Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) with a special focus on recent dynamics, market development strategies and policy conditions. The added-value potentials offered by CEE countries have become increasingly lucrative for the German pork industry, particularly as the domestic market currently shows a certain degree of saturation in terms of consumption. The results of this study which is mainly based on qualitative interviews with selected pork producers from North-West Germany reveal that t
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Fukuchi, Takao. "Technological retard in small least developed countries ? small is beautiful but fragile?" Journal of Evolutionary Economics 5, no. 3 (1995): 297–312. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/bf01198309.

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youssef, abeer mohamed abdel razek, and Feras Mohamed Fares Shehada. "Escalating Risks of the Israel Conflict on Gaza and Affected Fragile Countries." International Journal of Advanced Research on Law and Governance 6, no. 2 (2024): 67–84. https://doi.org/10.21608/ijarlg.2025.386944.1098.

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38

Ravenhill, John. "Adjustment with Growth: a Fragile Consensus." Journal of Modern African Studies 26, no. 2 (1988): 179–210. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0022278x00010430.

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Six years of intense debate have produced a measure of agreement on a solution for Africa's malaise. This is captured by the latest catchphrase of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, ‘Adjustment with Growth’, which implicitly acknowledge past errors by African governments – or, minimally, that a continuation of previous policies is no longer tenable in a changed external environment. An emphasis on ‘growth’ recognises that ‘adjustment’ must encompass more than ‘stabilisation’, that the continent needs additional externally-provided financial resources on concessional terms if i
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Kose, Ayhan, Franziska Ohnsorge, Kersten Stamm, and Naotaka Sugawara. "GOVERNMENT DEBT HAS DECLINED BUT DON’T CELEBRATE YET." Social Science and Law Journal of Policy Review and Development Strategies 10, no. 1 (2023): 25–30. http://dx.doi.org/10.48028/iiprds/ssljprds.v10.i1.03.

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Growth and inflation have unexpectedly helped lower government debt-to-GDP ratios in many countries since early 2021. However, government debt is still elevated and fragile in its composition, and the magic of growth and inflation is unlikely to last long. To reduce debt in a lasting manner, growth-boosting reforms and, in some countries, debt relief are needed.
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Ajibo, Collins Chikodili. "Foreign Investment in Fragile and Conflict-Affected Situations: Opportunities, Challenges and Prospects." Global Trade and Customs Journal 19, Issue 9 (2024): 605–13. http://dx.doi.org/10.54648/gtcj2024069.

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African countries remain stubbornly plagued by fragility and conflict-affected conditions. Out of thirty-seven countries categorized as fragile and conflict-affected states, African countries are nineteen in number representing about 51% of the total states. The remaining African countries that are excluded in this list do not fare better in institutional and social fragility index, nor are they delivering enduring peace and sustainable development to their populace. The African Union (AU)’s approval of the Phase II of the African Continental Free Trade Area Agreement (AfCFTA) constitutes a pr
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Maulina, Mega, Madona Yunita Wijaya, and Nina Fitriyati. "PERBANDINGAN METODE BACKWARD DAN FORWARD PADA SELEKSI MIXED-EFFECTS MODEL." Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika 5, no. 1 (2024): 62–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.46306/lb.v5i1.495.

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In the era of globalization, concerns about the stability and vulnerability of nations have become a primary focus in the field of international relations research. One of the indicators measuring a country’s vulnerability is the Fragile State Index. This research discusses the analysis of Fragile State Index in Southeast Asian countries using panel data observed from 2010 to 2021, focusing on economic impacts. The factors involved include Gross Domestic Product, General Government Net Lending/Borrowing, Inflation, and Life Expectancy. A mixed-effects model is employed to examine the influence
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Berezkina, O. A., and I. V. Rozmainsky. "Dynamics of Financial Fragility in Hong Kong’s Non-Financial Private Companies and the Business Cycle." AlterEconomics 21, no. 3 (2024): 474–96. http://dx.doi.org/10.31063/altereconomics/2024.21-3.3.

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This article examines the financial instability hypothesis in Hong Kong's contemporary economy, investigating whether the proportion of financially fragile firms rises during cyclical upswings as economic crises approach. Two criteria developed by Mulligan and Nishi were used to assess financial fragility in the private sector from 2006 to 2022. The Mulligan criterion was applied to 94 leading firms by capitalization, while the Nishi criterion was applied to the top 99 firms. Findings indicate that, prior to the Great Recession, the share of financially fragile firms—characterized by speculati
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Bocharova, Yu H., T. A. Fedotova, Yu B. Lyzhnyk, Yu O. Boiko, and O. V. Ishchenko. "FORECASTING VOLUMES OF FDI OF COUNTRIES BASED ON INDICATORS OF THEIR INVESTMENT ATTRACTIVENESS." Visnyk of Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade named after Mykhailo Tugan-Baranovsky, no. 2 (77) (2022): 73–83. http://dx.doi.org/10.33274/2079-4819-2022-77-2-73-83.

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Objective. The objective of the article is the analysis of the state and features of the development of special economic zones in the world.. Methods. The following methods and techniques of cognition are applied in the research process: theoretical generalization and comparison, analysis and synthesis, induction and deduction, grouping, correlation-regression analysis, clustering. Results. It is determined that among the wide list of indicators of investment attractiveness, the following indicators are most often used and are the most authoritative ones: Doing business Index, The Global Compe
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Koehler, Gabriele, and Nicholas Mathers. "Forum Introduction: Dynamics of social protection in fragile contexts: Nepal and Myanmar." Global Social Policy 17, no. 3 (2017): 347–52. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1468018117729914.

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This article explores some of the shared dimensions of fragility experienced by Myanmar and Nepal to illuminate the challenging contexts in which social protection policies and programmes have taken shape. Both countries have adopted a universalist, rights-based vision in their approaches to social protection, with social pensions and child benefits at the forefront of social protection programming. At the same time, both countries are employing incremental strategies to overcome political, social, and administrative obstacles, while demonstrating that fiscal space is available. The politics o
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Kangal, Nalan, and İlhan Eroğlu. "Does The Economy Of Freedom Effect Macroeconomic Performance In A Broken Economy? Empirical Evidence." Uluslararası Sosyal ve Ekonomik Çalışmalar Dergisi 5, no. 2 (2024): 235–47. https://doi.org/10.62001/gsijses.1586762.

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The aim of this study is to provide evidence on whether the liberal economy has a significant impact on selected groups of countries (the 10 Freest Countries and the Fragile Five Countries). The study investigates the macroeconomic impact of economic freedom on price stability based on the consumer price index and Gross Domestic Product per capita. According to the results of the analysis using Panel data analysis for the years 2005-2020, the findings reveal that economic freedoms positively affect economic growth but do not have the expected effect on price stability. These results confirm th
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Cummins, Victoria. "Langley, Mexico And The United States - The Fragile Relationship." Teaching History: A Journal of Methods 17, no. 2 (1992): 98–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.33043/th.17.2.98-99.

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This brief volume focuses not so much on Mexican-United States relations since World War II as on the evolving interrelationship between the two countries and its effects on bilateral issues. Langley finds former Arizona Governor Bruce Babbitt's statement that "Mexico and the United States are united by geography and divided by history" summarizes the common interpretation of the basis for United States-Mexican relations.
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TEMİZ, Mehmet, and Gökhan KONAT. "Financial Convergence Test with Fourier Panel KPSS Stationarity Test: Findings from Fragile Five Countries." Fiscaoeconomia 7, no. 1 (2023): 737–54. http://dx.doi.org/10.25295/fsecon.1148791.

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Financial development is an important component of economic development. In particular, it is very important for developing countries to converge to developed countries in terms of financial development level. In this study, the convergence of the financial development indicators of the Fragile Five Countries to the average of the indicators of the four selected countries (USA, England, Australia and Japan) in the top ten in terms of financial development level for the period 1980-2020 is tested. In addition, stochastic convergence based on relative financial indicator figures, that is, conver
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ÇİĞDEM, Gülgün, and Merve ALTAYLAR. "COINTEGRATION EVIDENCES FROM THE NEW FRAGILE FIVE." Journal of Life Economics 7, no. 3 (2020): 269–82. http://dx.doi.org/10.15637/jlecon.7.020.

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Purpose of this study is to test the association between savings and current account deficit of the “New Fragile Five” falling into critical cycle. 1994-2019 period annual national savings, current account balance and external debt have been analyzed within the framework of panel data analysis. At the modeling stage of the research focused on the cointegration relationship. Panel cointegration tests with structural breaks based on LM were used. To examine the unique economic structures of countries, heterogeneous estimating techniques were employed. The research has four important findings; i.
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Samy, Yiagadeesen, and David Carment. "Aid Targeting to Fragile and Conflict-Affected States and Implications for Aid Effectiveness." Politics and Governance 7, no. 2 (2019): 93–102. http://dx.doi.org/10.17645/pag.v7i2.1852.

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While significant amounts of foreign aid have been allocated to the group of so-called fragile and conflict-affected states in recent years, it is not clear whether that aid is targeted to where it is most needed. This article extends recent work by Carment and Samy (2017, in press), and focuses on aid targeting in fragile states by using the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy fragility index together with sectoral aid flows from the OECD Creditor Reporting System. Specifically, it considers six country-cases from a three-fold typology of states and evaluates the performance of these countr
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Joanna Garlińska-Bielawska and Małgorzata Janicka. "Fragile States in African Economic Communities as Exemplified by the Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa (CEMAC) – Investment Issues." Politeja 15, no. 56 (2019): 231–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.12797/politeja.15.2018.56.13.

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The region of Central Africa is abundant in both fragile states and economic communities. According to the theory of international economic integration, in the long term such integration processes should stimulate not only short-term trade effects but also long-term investment effects. The article aims to answer the question whether and how membership of an economic community by a fragile state influences the occurrence of dynamic integration effects. The examination is based on the example of the Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa (CEMAC). The article uses an analytical and des
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