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1

Douglas, Sifuna, Omagwa Dr.Job, and Vincent Mutswenje Dr. "FUNDAMENTAL RISK FACTORS AND FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF INSURANCE FIRMS IN KENYA." International Journal of Management and Commerce Innovations 12, no. 1 (2024): 210–28. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13828149.

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<strong>Abstract:</strong> The financial performance of Insurance firms plays a vital role in increasing the sector's market value and leads to the economy's overall growth. There exists substantial empirical literature on fundamental risk factors and the financial performance of commercial banks and microfinance institutions. However, few studies have delved much into the relationship between fundamental risk factors and the financial performance of Insurance firms. The downward financial performance trend of the Insurance firms in Kenya is a cause for concerns among various stakeholders. The
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Benfenati, Emilio, Daniel Genah, Roberto Verro, and Paulo Mazzatorta. "Chemical Analysis, Distributed Modelling and Risk Indices. Three Fundamental Pillars in Risk Assessment." Scientific World JOURNAL 2 (2002): 1611–25. http://dx.doi.org/10.1100/tsw.2002.858.

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The Risk Assessment (RA) of pollutants from contaminated sites and landfills is a major environmental issue in Europe, due to the large number of sites and to the importance of groundwater protection. The high number of contaminants and the lack of knowledge of their environmental properties and their ecotoxicological and toxicological characteristics complicate the problem. Furthermore, this information about the chemicals has to be combined with the data relative to the territory and to the targets. We will describe the problems relative to each topic involved in the process, and we will pro
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Rezzy, Eko Caraka, Abu Bakar Sakhinah, Tahmid Muhammad, Yasin Hasbi, and Dwi Kurniawan Isma. "Neurocomputing fundamental climate analysis." TELKOMNIKA Telecommunication, Computing, Electronics and Control 17, no. 4 (2019): 1818–27. https://doi.org/10.12928/TELKOMNIKA.v17i4.11788.

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Rainfall is a natural phenomenon that needs to be studied more deeply and interesting to be analyzed. It involves numbers of human activities such as aviation, agriculture, fisheries, and also disaster risk reduction. Moreover, the characteristics of rainfall data follows seasonality, fluctuation, not normally distributed and it makes traditional time series challenging to use. Therefore, neurocomputing model can be used as an alternative to extraction information from rainfall data and give high performance also accuracy. In this paper, we give short preview about SST Anomalies in Manado, Nor
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Serrano-Monge, Esteban. "Inferences from Portfolio Theory and Efficient Market Hypothesis to the Impact of Social Media on Sovereign Debt: Colombia, Ecuador, and Peru." Journal of Risk and Financial Management 15, no. 4 (2022): 160. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15040160.

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For three countries of similar economic characteristics, I ratify previous studies of the impact of fundamental macroeconomic and foreign exchange variables influencing country risk, as captured by the Emerging Market Bond Index (EMBI). I contribute to existing research, first by calculating a proxy of risk I call endogenous risk that analyzes the quarterly variability of economic activity, and second, by calculating a variable of sentiment from Twitter activity. I gauge the impact of both on the country risk metric in addition to variables in existing research about the determinants of countr
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KOROTKIKH, Vyacheslav V. "Statistical analysis of stable fundamental anomalies in stock pricing on the Russian market." Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice 23, no. 1 (2024): 91–112. http://dx.doi.org/10.24891/ea.23.1.91.

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Subject. The article considers stable anomalies in the dynamics of stock prices on the Russian stock market, which are caused by specific characteristics of issuing companies. Objectives. The aim is to perform a cross-sectional analysis of excess returns of stock portfolios reflecting new stable fundamental anomalies of the Russian stock market. Methods. The study employs the data of accounting (financial) statements of issuers. I considered the groups of indicators related to operational efficiency, expectation of slowdown in operational efficiency, threat of insolvency (bankruptcy) of the is
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Isles, Anthony R., Catharine A. Winstanley, and Trevor Humby. "Risk taking and impulsive behaviour: fundamental discoveries, theoretical perspectives and clinical implications." Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 374, no. 1766 (2018): 20180128. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2018.0128.

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Our willingness to take risks, our ability to wait or the speed with which to make decisions are central features of our personality. However, it is now recognized that impulsive and risk-taking behaviours are not a unitary construct, and different aspects can be both psychologically and neurally dissociated. The range of neurochemicals and brain systems that govern these behaviours is extensive, and this may be a contributing factor to the phenotypic range seen in the human population. However, this variety can also be pathological as extremes in risk-taking and impulsive behaviours are chara
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Murrelle, Lenn, Christopher R. E. Coggins, Chris Gennings, et al. "Hypotheses and fundamental study design characteristics for evaluating potential reduced-risk tobacco products. Part I: Heuristic." Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology 57, no. 1 (2010): 1–10. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.yrtph.2009.12.002.

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Krenz, Shannon, Anastasios P. Angelopoulos, and Ernst-Arndt Reinecke. "Fundamental Study of the Operational Characteristics of Recombination Catalysts for Hydrogen Risk Mitigation at Low Temperatures." Hydrogen 6, no. 2 (2025): 32. https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrogen6020032.

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International projects study the safety aspects of the storage and long-distance transportation of liquid hydrogen at large scales. Catalytic recombiners, which are today key elements of hydrogen risk mitigation in nuclear power plants, could become an efficient safety device to prevent flammable gas mixtures after liquid hydrogen leakages in closed rooms. This study tackles fundamental questions about the operational behavior of typical recombiner catalysts related to the conditions of the start-up and the termination of the catalytic reaction. For this purpose, small-scale catalyst sheets wi
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Li, Jing Rong, and Chun Juan Fu. "Research on Statistic Characteristics of Fluctuations in China Stock Market." Advanced Materials Research 433-440 (January 2012): 5975–79. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amr.433-440.5975.

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It is well known that the psychology of market participants have important influences on stock market price trend, but information on this level is far from detail for market participants. When facing different stocks to determine their investment configurations, market participants join the irrational behavior on considerations of stock market price trend; will surely help him choose to invest better or more effective risk management. As the start of a new exploratory study, the paper based on statistic regression model as the main tools, selected several plates with significant fundamental d
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10

DasGupta, Ranjan, and Rashmi Singh. "Antecedents of Firm’s Risk-play – A Structural Equation Modeling Approach in an Emerging Market Context." Australasian Business, Accounting & Finance Journal 15, no. 2 (2021): 56–82. http://dx.doi.org/10.14453/aabfj.v15i2.5.

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Firm-risk and managerial risk-taking though distinct are used interchangeably in empirical literature. Here, we identify these two distinctly by examining different proxies for them. We use income stream uncertainty and accounting beta to proxy firm-risk, and market risk and capital intensity ratio represent managerial risk-taking. Once defined, our objective is to find the antecedents of both these by using the most advanced structural equation modelling (SEM) approach from created constructs of performance, psychological, corporate governance, shareholding patterns, fundamental valuation and
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Dasgupta, Ranjan, and Rashmi Singh. "Antecedents of Firm’s Risk-play – A Structural Equation Modeling Approach in an Emerging Market Context." Australasian Business, Accounting and Finance Journal 15, no. 3 (2021): 67–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.14453/aabfj.v15i3.5.

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Firm-risk and managerial risk-taking though distinct are used interchangeably in empirical literature. Here, we identify these two distinctly by examining different proxies for them. We use income stream uncertainty and accounting beta to proxy firm-risk, and market risk and capital intensity ratio represent managerial risk-taking. Once defined, our objective is to find the antecedents of both these by using the most advanced structural equation modelling (SEM) approach from created constructs of performance, psychological, corporate governance, shareholding patterns, fundamental valuation and
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Al Rahahleh, Naseem, M. Ishaq Bhatti, and Faridah Najuna Misman. "Developments in Risk Management in Islamic Finance: A Review." Journal of Risk and Financial Management 12, no. 1 (2019): 37. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jrfm12010037.

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The purpose of this study is to review recent developments pertaining to risk management in Islamic banking and finance literature. The study explores the fundamental features of risks associated with Islamic banks (IBs) as compared to those associated with conventional banks (CBs) in order to determine the extent to which IBs engage in effective risk mitigation. The study includes a consideration of the major studies in which the fundamental features of Islamic banks and finance (IBF) and the main characteristics of risk management in IBs are analyzed in comparison with those of CBs. Specific
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Guan, Yifan. "Research on Short-Circuit Failure Characteristics of SiC MOSFETs." Theoretical and Natural Science 79, no. 1 (2025): 48–53. https://doi.org/10.54254/2753-8818/2025.19938.

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SiC MOSFETs face short-circuit issues in practical applications. When a short circuit occurs in a SiC MOSFET, the high current density causes rapid heat generation, leading to a short short-circuit withstand time. This, in turn, increases the risk of device damage or even the burnout of the entire electrical equipment. To ensure the safe and reliable operation of SiC MOSFETs in electrical systems, research on their fundamental characteristics, short-circuit behavior, and protective driving mechanisms is crucial. This paper investigates two short-circuit failure modes and the factors influencin
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Bimbinov, Arseniy A. "Criminal-legal characteristics of putting at risk of HIV infection." Law Нerald of Dagestan State University 43, no. 3 (2022): 130–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.21779/2224-0241-2022-43-3-130-138.

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The article is devoted to the criminal-legal characteristics of the crime provided for in part 1 of Article 122 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation. The socio-legal basis for the introduction of criminal liability for putting at risk of HIV infection has been established. Based on the analysis of the current legislation, materials of judicial and investigative practice, legal and medical documentary sources, taking into account the fundamental categories of criminal law, the characteristics of the object, the objective side, the subjective side and the subject of the crime are deter
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Romero, Ximena Carolina, Uriel Montserrat, Alexandra Porras-Ramírez, et al. "Epidemiological characteristics of hypertensive disorders during pregnancy in a high-risk population." Revista Brasileira de Saúde Materno Infantil 22, no. 3 (2022): 497–505. http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1806-9304202200030004.

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Abstract Objectives: the aim is to determine the prevalence of hypertensive disorders and to describe the sociodemographic aspects and risk factors for preeclampsia, gestational hypertension and intrauterine growth restriction. Methods: a descriptive cross-sectional study. Maternal characteristics, history from the first prenatal visit and outcomes were obtained. The prevalence and percentages were calculated and described. Results: the prevalence of hypertensive disorders was 12.7%, preeclampsia was 8.0%, followed by gestational hypertension at 4.7%. Of the preeclampsia, 54.8% were severe and
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Amri, Adil El, Rachid Boutti, Salah Oulfarsi, Florence Rodhain, and Brahim Bouzahir. "Carbon financial markets underlying climate risk management, pricing and forecasting: Fundamental analysis." Financial Markets, Institutions and Risks 4, no. 4 (2020): 31–44. http://dx.doi.org/10.21272/fmir.4(4).31-44.2020.

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Climate Change (CC) is a major issue of our century. Controlling the constraints of Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions through transformation into opportunities, in an organization to increase industrial production, has become a necessity. The main reason for this adoption was the effectiveness of energy management and responsible linkages that are being developed to determine the issues and opportunities of carbon finance for organizations. Through analysis of the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) and the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), this article presents and demonstrates a v
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Ruano, Gualberto. "Fundamental Considerations for GeneticallyGuided Pain Management with Opioids Based on CYP2D6 and OPRM1 Polymorphisms." January 2018 1, no. 21;1 (2018): E611—E621. http://dx.doi.org/10.36076/ppj.2018.6.e611.

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Background: A major challenge for effective pharmacotherapy in pain management is to provide the drug best suited to the patient’s innate characteristics. Objective: The article illustrates pharmacogenetic principles to optimize treatments for patients and increase the likelihood of pain relief without dependence. Genetic variances are particularly relevant to opioid drugs used in pain control, and can now be harvested for predictive clinical decision support. Study Design: Clinically actionable polymorphisms in CYP2D6 (cytochrome p450 2D6) and OPRM1 (μ1 opioid receptor), the most important ge
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Nagata, Makoto, Masuhiro Beppu, Hiroyoshi Ichino, and Ryo Matsuzawa. "A fundamental investigation of reinforced concrete beams subjected to close-in explosion." International Journal of Protective Structures 9, no. 2 (2017): 174–98. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/2041419617716483.

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This study investigates a reinforced concrete beam subjected to a close-in explosion. In a series of tests, the scaled distance was varied from 0.045 m/kg1/3 (contact) to 0.30 m/kg1/3. The measurement parameters were failure state, pressure distribution, residual displacement at the center of the beam, and reaction force. The experimental results showed that the pressure waveform closer to the center of the reinforced concrete beam had considerable peak pressure and a sharp rise-time. Moreover, the loading duration at the ends of the beam was increased as compared to that at the center. The in
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19

Santria, K. A., and Sivaranjani G. "Acoustic Characteristics of Cry in Infants with Hyperbilirubinemia - A Preliminary Study." International Journal of Health Sciences and Research 14, no. 8 (2024): 302–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.52403/ijhsr.20240834.

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Objective: The study delves into the use of infant cry as a powerful tool for understanding infants' physiological neurological and emotional states. Its primary objective is to compare the acoustic characteristics of cries in Healthy full-term infants and full-term infants with Hyperbilirubinemia. Materials and method:A total of 30 infants took part in the study, with 15 being full-term infants with Hyperbilirubinemia and 15 Healthy full-term infants. Cry samples were recorded and meticulously analyzed using PRAAT software to measure Fundamental frequency measures, Frequency perturbation meas
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20

Espindola, Sayra, Juan L. Parra, and Ella Vázquez-Domínguez. "Fundamental niche unfilling and potential invasion risk of the slider turtle Trachemys scripta." PeerJ 7 (October 17, 2019): e7923. http://dx.doi.org/10.7717/peerj.7923.

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Background How species colonize new environments is still a fundamental question in ecology and evolution, assessable by evaluating range characteristics of invasive species. Here we propose a model approach to evaluate environmental conditions and species features to predict niche changes in non-equilibrium contexts. It incorporates potentially range-limiting processes (fundamental niche), hence allowing for better predictions of range shifts, differentiation of analog and non-analog conditions between the native and non-native (invaded) ranges, and identification of environmental conditions
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Yao, Zhi Tong, Wen Yi Yuan, Zheng Miao Xie, and Jun Hong Tang. "Non-Metallic Materials from Waste Printed Circuit Boards (PCBs): Characteristics, Environmental Risk and Recycling." Applied Mechanics and Materials 768 (June 2015): 576–87. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/amm.768.576.

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Printed circuit boards (PCBs) are the typical and fundamental components of almost all electric and electronic equipments. The mechanical and physical treatment of PCBs generates a large amount of non-metallic materials and thus there is an urgent need to develop alternative treatment methods for them. In this study, the characteristics and environmental risk of non-metallic materials were analyzed. The current recycling methods were investigated as well. The results showed that their chemical components were distinct for the glass fiber/epoxy laminated boards and paper/phenolic laminated boar
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Kong, Xiangrui, Yuexia Sun, Louise B. Weschler, and Jan Sundell. "Dampness problems in Tianjin dwellings: A cross-sectional study of associations with building characteristics and lifestyles." Indoor and Built Environment 28, no. 1 (2018): 132–44. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1420326x18756169.

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This study investigated the association of building characteristics and occupant behaviours with building dampness indicators. Data were from a cross-sectional study in urban Tianjin and rural Cangzhou, China, from 2013 to 2014. We studied two fundamental types of Chinese dwellings: bungalows typical of rural locales and apartments in low- and high-rise buildings typical of urban settings. Occupants of bungalows reported more dampness indicators than apartment dwellers. Risk factors for one or more dampness indicators included natural ventilation without fans, older dwellings and coal stove or
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Chestnov, Il'ya. "Secure in «risk society»." Vestnik of the St. Petersburg University of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Russia 2020, no. 2 (2020): 65–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.35750/2071-8284-2020-2-65-71.

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This article is about secure issues. Secure as the object of research is considered in the historical and socio-cultural context. Theoretical representation and secure issues in “risk society” is the object of research. The post-classical methodology used by the author assumes the analysis of security in the historical and socio-cultural context. This context is a post-modern society characterized by risk and uncertainty. In this regard, the author suggests reviewing the established ideas about security. Security includes two dimensions – objective and mental (mental, subjective), which comple
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Yim, Hui-Rang, Hyun Ju Yun, and Jee Hye Lee. "An Investigation on Korean Adolescents’ Dietary Consumption: Focused on Sociodemographic Characteristics, Physical Health, and Mental Health." International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 18, no. 18 (2021): 9773. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18189773.

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The promotion of healthful dietary intake in adolescents is an important public health concern, as obesity is on the rise among adolescents. The current study aimed to determine the association between sociodemographic characteristics and dietary intake (breakfast, vegetables, milk, fruits, fast food, carbohydrate beverages, and caffeine beverages) and to examine the influences of physical and mental health on dietary intake. A nationally representative sample of 187,622 adolescents who attended middle and high schools and participated in the Korean Youth Risk Behavior Survey (2015, 2017, and
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Evseenkova, E. V. "The Risk Factors of Auto-Destructive Behavior in Adolescents." Bulletin of Kemerovo State University 21, no. 1 (2019): 74–86. http://dx.doi.org/10.21603/2078-8975-2019-21-1-74-86.

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The research features modern domestic and foreign fundamental approaches to self-destructive behavior and suicidal risk. The author adduces the data on the structure of suicidal risk, its affective, cognitive, and behavioral characteristics. The paper also describes the concept of increasing potential risk factors and predicates presented by M. D. Rudd, as well as an analysis of the theory of suicidal barometer developed by K. M. Harris, J. J. Syu, O. D. Lello, Y. L. Chew, C. H. Willcox, and R. H. Ho. It also features situational and personal factors of suicidal risk, both potential and actual
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Cheng, Ping, and Stephen E. Roulac. "International Real Estate Review." International Real Estate Review 10, no. 2 (2007): 23–41. http://dx.doi.org/10.53383/100082.

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This paper examines the relationship between return predictability and REIT characteristics. We build a multifactor model based on a set of firm-specific factors that include (1) Risk factors; (2) Liquidity factors; (3) Expensiveness; (4) Profitability; and (5) Return history. Our model demonstrates the capability of predicting the “winners” and the “losers,” with fairly high consistency. Given the large return differences uncovered by the model, and the fundamental characteristics of the “winners” versus the “losers,” it is unlikely that strong results are artifacts of a biased methodology.
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Zhou, Yan, and Jin Yu Wei. "Risk Analysis and Evacuation Research on Crowded Students for Colleges and Universities' Emergencies." Key Engineering Materials 439-440 (June 2010): 766–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/kem.439-440.766.

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This paper analyzes psychological and behavioral characteristics of the crowd when unexpected events happen, and combined with psychological factors, using methods of safety analysis, from the perspective of people, objects and management, analyzes causes of group accidents. Then, based on analysis above, this paper establishes a risk model, analyzes factors which affect evacuation time and risk of crowded students and finds out fundamental causes. Finally, using methods of safety management and safety education, from three aspects of hardware facilities, emergency evacuation management, and d
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Yanli, Ye, Wang Tian Mei, and Li Cong. "Analysis of Characteristics of Endometrial Carcinoma in Peri- and Postmenopausal Women with Abnormal Uterine Bleeding." BioMed Research International 2024 (February 24, 2024): 1–7. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2024/6509171.

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Objective. To analyze the menstrual characteristics of endometrial carcinoma and investigate whether abnormal uterine bleeding in the perimenopausal period differs from postmenopausal bleeding. Methods. We conducted a retrospective analysis of 928 cases of endometrial carcinoma in patients admitted from January 2016 to December 2022. We gathered fundamental clinical data and analyzed distinct clinical risk factors between the perimenopausal and postmenopausal groups. Furthermore, we computed the statistical variances in menarche, regular menstrual cycles, and the duration of abnormal uterine b
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CUTINI, MAURIZIO, ROBERTO DEBOLI, ANGELA CALVO, CHRISTIAN PRETI, MASSIMO BRAMBILLA, and CARLO BISAGLIA. "Ground Soil Input Characteristics Determining Agricultural Tractor Dynamics." Applied Engineering in Agriculture 33, no. 4 (2017): 509–19. http://dx.doi.org/10.13031/aea.11979.

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Abstract. Whole body vibrations are among the risk factors for professional diseases in agricultural operators: it is therefore fundamental to study vibration source dynamics to improve vehicle comfort and safety. This study analyses the forces acting on the tires of one tractor operated in 29 different settings both on a standard “ISO 5008” test track and three terrain surfaces. For each setting, the accelerations acquired at the tractor hubs were reproduced on a four-poster test bench and the vertical displacement of the actuators reproducing the test track was obtained for each surface. Sub
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Sutarso, Yudi, Larasati Ayu Sekarsari, Ersa Annisatul Hidayati, Hane Andariksa, and Meytita Zafira Putri. "Understanding the attributes of digital wallet customers: Segmentation based on perceived risk during the Covid-19 pandemic." Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis 25, no. 2 (2022): 381–400. http://dx.doi.org/10.24914/jeb.v25i2.5676.

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This research emphasizes the importance of digital wallet customer segmentation, mainly based on customer risk perceptions during the Covid-19 pandemic. The fundamental contribution of the study was to explain the concept of perceived risk in a digital wallet, also to confirm risk factors in digital wallets, and identify segments based on perceived risk factors. The respondents are 270 digital wallet users of OVO, Gopay, and Dana obtained in Surabaya, Indonesia, during the Covid-19 pandemic, which was taken using the purposive sampling technique. The multiple analysis data were carried out usi
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Rosli, Naida, and Zaidi Mohamad. "AVOIDING VS. ACCEPTING RISK: EVALUATING THE RISK MANAGEMENT OF A MOSQUE CONSTRUCTION IN KUALA LUMPUR." Journal of Architecture, Planning and Construction Management 15, no. 1 (2025): 40–58. https://doi.org/10.31436/japcm.v15i1.913.

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Risk management is a critical component in ensuring the successful delivery of construction projects, especially in the public sector, where resources, regulations, and stakeholder interests must be carefully balanced. This study examines the practical application of the Garis Panduan Pengurusan Risiko Bagi Projek Kerajaan (Guidelines on Risk Management for Government Projects) through a case study of a mosque construction project in Kuala Lumpur, focusing on two fundamental risk response strategies: avoidance and acceptance of risk. This study examines how risk can be identified, classified,
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Mednikov, B. V., V. I. Mednikov, and S. V. Mednikov. "Mechanism of Enterprise Risk Sustenance in Commodity Market." Issues of Risk Analysis 17, no. 5 (2020): 80–93. http://dx.doi.org/10.32686/1812-5220-2020-17-5-80-93.

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The article aims to find quantitative characteristics of the mechanism of enterprise risk sustenance from the point of view of rivalry between commodity market participants. Our analysis of publications revealed the root cause of the lack of known enterprise control systems, including the “Industry-4”technology: this is the lack of their activities formalization and the lack of resources’ quantity for such a description. The method of this mechanism and rivalry quantitative description based on previously devised enterprise model and published data on the market participants’ activities; using
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Xu, Cheng, Qiangwei Li, Zhaowei Qu, and Sheng Jin. "Predicting Free Flow Speed and Crash Risk of Bicycle Traffic Flow Using Artificial Neural Network Models." Mathematical Problems in Engineering 2015 (2015): 1–11. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/212050.

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Free flow speed is a fundamental measure of traffic performance and has been found to affect the severity of crash risk. However, the previous studies lack analysis and modelling of impact factors on bicycles’ free flow speed. The main focus of this study is to develop multilayer back propagation artificial neural network (BPANN) models for the prediction of free flow speed and crash risk on the separated bicycle path. Four different models with considering different combinations of input variables (e.g., path width, traffic condition, bicycle type, and cyclists’ characteristics) were develope
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Zhang, Zheming. "Analysis of Periodic and Seasonal Characteristics in Time Series: Taking the Dow Jones Industrial Average as an Example." Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences 84, no. 1 (2024): 149–62. http://dx.doi.org/10.54254/2754-1169/84/20240803.

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The objective of this research is to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) with a focus on identifying cyclical and seasonal patterns observed in long-term time series data. In order to accurately predict future market trends, this research employs a combination of fundamental and advanced forecasting techniques, including mean, naive, snaive, drift, Holt, Holt-Winters, and ARIMA models. Furthermore, the research explores the impact of return ratios on market investment opportunities. Customized portfolio optimization strategies are developed based on the
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Alam, Nafis, Muhammad Bhatti, and James T. F. Wong. "AssessingSukukdefaults using value-at-risk techniques." Managerial Finance 44, no. 6 (2018): 665–87. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/mf-05-2018-0218.

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PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to investigate the default characteristics of Sukuk issues by corporate firms in Malaysia using value-at-risk (VaR) techniques over a period of 16 years from 2000 to 2015 and across nine economic sectors.Design/methodology/approachThe paper employs non-parametric and Monte Carlo simulations to estimate Sukuk defaults.FindingsThe authors analyses revealed that the VaR predictions were fairly consistent with the ratings provided by credit rating agencies, despite the limited tradability of Sukuk in the secondary market. The study was able to demonstrate that S
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Chen, Yufan. "Application of GARCH Model in the Field of Finance." Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences 124, no. 1 (2024): 38–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.54254/2754-1169/2024.17736.

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This paper reviews the fundamental principles, mathematical formulation, advantages, and disadvantages of the GARCH model and its extensive applications in finance. Initially, this paper introduces the mathematical structure and fundamental properties of the GARCH model and analyzes the advantages and disadvantages of the model in practical applications. Furthermore, this paper applies the GARCH model in financial market forecasting, risk management, and asset pricing, illustrating these through specific cases. In particular, the GARCH model is employed to forecast the volatility of the electr
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Cheng, Hui, Zijun Mai, Yanzhi Li, and Songbai Cheng. "Fundamental experiment study on the fragmentation characteristics of molten lead jet direct contact with water." Nuclear Engineering and Design 386 (January 2022): 111560. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.nucengdes.2021.111560.

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Fomin, G. P., I. V. Sukhorukova, D. A. Maksimov, and I. F. Aleshina. "FORMATION OF INDICATORS, CRITERIA, MEASURES AND RISK ASSESSMENT SCALES." SOFT MEASUREMENTS AND COMPUTING 3, no. 52 (2022): 5–10. http://dx.doi.org/10.36871/2618-9976.2022.03.001.

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The article discusses the architecture of the formation of indicators, criteria, measures and risk assessment scales necessary in risk management systems based on the fundamental axioms of management theory and the principles of risk theory to build a risk management structure. As the most effective modeling method, it is proposed to use a hybrid one using the advantages of both formal and informal methods and models in building an adaptive risk management system in enterprises on a bottomup basis. To remove the emerging contradictions of indicative risk indicators, it is proposed to use a mul
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39

Guthrie, Graeme. "Regulating Infrastructure: The Impact on Risk and Investment." Journal of Economic Literature 44, no. 4 (2006): 925–72. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/jel.44.4.925.

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The last thirty years have witnessed a fundamental change in the regulation of infrastructure industries. Whereas firms were subject to rate of return regulation and protected from entry in the past, they now face various forms of incentive regulation, competition is actively promoted by many regulators, and both regulators and the firms they regulate must often confront rapid technological progress. This paper surveys the literature on the investment implications of different regulatory schemes, highlighting the relevance of modern investment theory, which puts risk and intertemporal issues,
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Spross, Johan, Håkan Stille, Fredrik Johansson, and Arild Palmstrøm. "Principles of Risk-Based Rock Engineering Design." Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering 53, no. 3 (2019): 1129–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00603-019-01962-x.

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Abstract In comparison with other types of construction, the development of rock engineering design codes has been slow. Codes must, however, be developed with relevant discipline-specific characteristics in mind. This paper, therefore, presents a generic design framework for rock engineering. The framework is based on the presumption that rock engineering design must be viewed as decision-making under uncertainty, which makes the design process subject to general risk management principles, as risk is defined as “effect of uncertainties on objectives” (ISO 31000). Thus, rock engineering desig
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Yang, Baozhong, and C. Steve Suh. "On the Characteristics of Bifurcation and Nonlinear Dynamic Response." Journal of Vibration and Acoustics 126, no. 4 (2004): 574–79. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/1.1805007.

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Spectral analysis has been widely applied to the detection of bifurcation and the determination of the extent to which dynamic instability and chaotic responses develop. However, because spectral analysis employs stationary sinusoids in representing time-varying signals of inherent nonlinearity, the use of Fourier domain methodologies would inexorably risk misinterpreting the true characteristics and obscuring the underlying physics of the nonlinear system being investigated. The fact that the amplitude and frequency of all the individual spectral component of a nonlinear, nonstationary dynami
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Foufopoulos, Johannes, Yilun Zhao, Kinsey M. Brock, Panayiotis Pafilis, and Efstratios D. Valakos. "Predation Risk, and Not Shelter or Food Availability, as the Main Determinant of Reproduction Investment in Island Lizards." Animals 13, no. 23 (2023): 3689. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ani13233689.

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Reproductive investment, including the number of offspring produced, is one of the fundamental characteristics of a species. It is particularly important for island vertebrates, which face a disproportionate number of threats to their survival, because it predicts, among other things, a species’ resilience to environmental disruption. Taxa producing more offspring recover more quickly from environmental perturbations and survive environmental change better. However, ecologists do not understand which primary drivers shape a species’ reproductive investment well. Here, we compare the reproducti
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KOROTKIKH, Vyacheslav V. "Corporate fraud, inertia and market conditions in explaining the differences in the exchange characteristics of bonds in the Russian market." Finance and Credit 29, no. 12 (2023): 2813–40. http://dx.doi.org/10.24891/fc.29.12.2813.

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Subject. This article deals with the empirical tests of asset pricing models with Russian bonds. Objectives. The article aims to analyze risk factor sensitivities for bond portfolios using asset pricing models with prominent factors and newly proposed risk factors, based on bond market fundamental anomalies, and identify term structure of factor loadings through hidden bond market states corresponding to business cycle stages. Methods. We used the Hidden Markov Model to recover the sequence of bond market states based on spread of ten-year minus three-month government bond yields. Results. The
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Trifonov, Yu V., and E. A. Fomina. "Development of Risk Assessment Tools for Enterprises." Issues of Risk Analysis 18, no. 5 (2021): 38–47. http://dx.doi.org/10.32686/1812-5220-2021-18-5-38-47.

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Th e purpose of this article is to develop tools for assessing the risks of enterprises, used both to assess the current activities of enterprises and during the implementation of investment proj-ects. It is supposed to be used both as the main risk assessment tool, for example, for small and medium-sized enterprises, and as an additional tool, mainly for large enterprises, for making a preliminary decision on the feasibility of the project. Th e developed tools include a comprehen-sive risk assessment system, which provides a fundamental basis for calculations, and a soft ware product that si
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AMGHAR, Ahmed, Abdelkader SBAI, and Omar MOUADILI. "Methodological Approach for Classifying the Severity of Natural Risks on Paved Roads: The Case of Northeastern Morocco." European Modern Studies Journal 8, no. 3 (2024): 196–205. http://dx.doi.org/10.59573/emsj.8(3).2024.15.

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Natural hazards are classified according to their severity based on their impact on various human activities (economic, infrastructure, development, etc.…). A natural event only becomes a threat when associated with "Mortgages" measurable in terms of damages, whether material or human losses. Among the natural phenomena of interest in northeastern Morocco, natural hazards threatening paved roads are notable. The natural and human characteristics of the area, as well as the potential interactions among them in terms of exploitation, adaptation, and mobility, are the fundamental drivers of these
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Navaneethan, M., K. Premalatha, K. Sowmya, and M. R. Priyadharshini. "Influence of earthquake characteristics on natural frequency and period of soil column for different subsoils in the Chennai region." Disaster Advances 15, no. 12 (2022): 42–53. http://dx.doi.org/10.25303/1512da042053.

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An earthquake is one of the critical natural disasters that causes a massive impact on life and property in the areas it occurs. From the past earthquake patterns, the increase in the number of earthquakes in southern peninsular India can be observed. The increasing number of earthquakes is one of the critical reasons for shifting Chennai from zone II (least active) to zone III (moderately active) by the Bureau of Indian Standards. The soil column's natural frequency and time period are the key parameters for seismic design and construction. Furthermore, compared to shear wave velocity, the fu
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Гокоев, А. С. "CONCEPTUAL CHARACTERISTICS OF THE ECONOMIC CATEGORY "RISK" IN THE FINANCIAL SPHERE." Финансовые Исследования 25, no. 1 (2024): 27–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.54220/finis.1991-0525.2024.82.1.002.

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Введение. Волатильность финансовой сферы является фундаментальным аспектом современного развития банковского сектора, что актуализирует междисциплинарную направленность исследований содержательных и функциональных характеристик экономической категории «риск». Данная статья исследует концептуальные аспекты экономической категории «риск» в контексте финансовой деятельности. Материалы и методы. Материалы исследования включают в себя различные концепции исследования экономической категории «риск». Методология исследования включает набор научных инструментов, характерных для общенаучного метода поз
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Shyshka, Іhor, and Sholpan Shalbayeva. "Strategy Selection of Healthcare Sector Development and Risk Management of its Implementation." Economics. Ecology. Socium 7, no. 3 (2023): 77–90. http://dx.doi.org/10.31520/2616-7107/2023.7.3-7.

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Introduction. The topic of this study is the necessity to implement all stages of strategic planning for health sphere development, such as analysis of the internal and external environment, selection of a specific strategy for further development, and identification and management of risks associated with the implementation of the chosen strategy.&#x0D; Aim and tasks. The purpose of the study is to justify a comprehensive strategy for health sphere development based on the results of SWOT analysis, the characteristics of its main components, the identification of fundamental and specific risk
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Gupta, Sumeet. "FUNDAMENTAL & TECHNICAL ANAYSIS OF CRUDE OIL PRICES." Journal of Global Economy 17, no. 1 (2021): 3–20. http://dx.doi.org/10.1956/jge.v17i1.617.

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The human mind is not as good at processing large amounts of information as we might like. Psychologists have shown that human beings are only able to juggle small numbers of related and often conflicting pieces of information without making judgment errors. As a result, individuals faced with the vast amounts of information available to support investment decisions often find themselves swamped by the enormity of the task; unable to see the wood from the trees. Technical analysis is a field of financial markets research that works to address the above problem by focusing on a single, commonly
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Cleaveland, S., M. K. Laurenson, and L. H. Taylor. "Diseases of humans and their domestic mammals: pathogen characteristics, host range and the risk of emergence." Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences 356, no. 1411 (2001): 991–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2001.0889.

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Pathogens that can be transmitted between different host species are of fundamental interest and importance from public health, conservation and economic perspectives, yet systematic quantification of these pathogens is lacking. Here, pathogen characteristics, host range and risk factors determining disease emergence were analysed by constructing a database of disease–causing pathogens of humans and domestic mammals. The database consisted of 1415 pathogens causing disease in humans, 616 in livestock and 374 in domestic carnivores. Multihost pathogens were very prevalent among human pathogens
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