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Dissertations / Theses on the topic 'Futurologia'

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1

Yoshida, Nelson Daishiro. "A prospecção do futuro como suporte à busca de informações para a decisão empresarial: um estudo exploratório." Universidade de São Paulo, 2011. http://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/12/12139/tde-26102011-182315/.

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Nesta pesquisa foi estudada a prática de prospecção do futuro (estudos do futuro) como suporte à busca de informações para a decisão empresarial. Dentre os objetivos da pesquisa se encontram a busca de associações entre os métodos de prospecção e as diferentes categorias de informação, a avaliação da importância atribuída à atividade de prospecção, a identificação da frequência de uso e dos horizontes de tempo para os quais os métodos são utilizados, bem como a obtenção do grau de satisfação percebida com os resultados obtidos. A pesquisa é realizada por metodologia mista, quantitativa e quali
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2

Mamede, Pedro Henrique de Sousa Aguiar. "O lugar da prospetiva na estratégia." Master's thesis, Instituto Superior de Ciências Sociais e políticas, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/8286.

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Este trabalho visa explicar o lugar da prospetiva na estratégia, ou seja, demonstrar a relação entre duas disciplinas das ciências sociais, ambas consideradas pelos seus estudiosos como uma ciência e uma arte. Para estudar esta relação propomo-nos desobscurecer o significado de prospetiva, não só enquadrando-a nos estudos do futuro, como também explorando a sua aplicação, desde os seus primórdios, dos anos 20 do séc. XX, até aos nossos dias, nas diversas áreas em que se ocupou. Descreveremos também as diferentes escolas da prospetiva, e identificaremos as di
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3

Duhautois, Sibylle. "Un destin commun ? : études sur le futur dans les organisations internationales et formation d’une conscience globale pendant la guerre froide (1945-1989)." Thesis, Paris, Institut d'études politiques, 2017. http://www.theses.fr/2017IEPP0028/document.

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Après la Seconde Guerre mondiale, surtout à partir du début des années 1960, et jusqu’à la fin des années 1980, plusieurs projets de recherche sur le futur ont été menés par des équipes internationales avec pour objectif la promotion d’une « conscience globale », soit un sentiment d'appartenance à une communauté humaine unique partageant un destin commun. Cette thèse examine certains de ces projets, en particulier ceux qui sont menés au sein d’organisations internationales appartenant au système des Nations Unies. Elle démontre que la pratique de la prospective a été, pendant la guerre froide,
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4

Müller, Adrian. "Strategic Foresight - Prozesse strategischer Trend- und Zukunftsforschung in Unternehmen." kostenfrei, 2008. http://www.biblio.unisg.ch/www/edis.nsf/wwwDisplayIdentifier/3521.

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5

Li, Lulu, and Linda Malmström. "Crouching Tiger Hidden Success? : A Futurology of the Chinese Stock Market." Thesis, Södertörn University College, School of Business Studies, 2006. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-481.

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<p>This Master’s Degree is a futurology that aims to analyse how the Chinese stock market might develop for a period of ten years, i.e. between the years 2005-2015. Since the future never with certainty can be predicted, scenarios will be presented displaying other possible outcomes. Naturally these scenarios are built upon given assumptions which otherwise could be as many as one’s imagination allows. The thought is to present the results as an index so the reader easily can see the possible development and scenarios.</p><p>The methodology used to collect necessary data is through the classic
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Barber, Trudy Anne. "Computer fetishism and sexual futurology : exposing the impact of arousal on technologies of cyberspace." Thesis, University of Kent, 2005. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.422230.

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7

Gülker, Silke. "Evaluation und politisches Lernen diskursive Zukunftsforschung als Methode der Politikevaluation." Baden-Baden Nomos, 2007. http://d-nb.info/987918524/04.

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8

Becker, Thomas. "Potentielle Funktionen von Wissensmanagement in Öffentlichen Bibliotheken." Doctoral thesis, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Philosophische Fakultät I, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.18452/17198.

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Nach der Herleitung und Skizzierung der ‚szenariobasierten Delphi-Studie’ als Untersuchungsmethode und Präsentation des Forschungsdesigns werden Konzepte von Wissensmanagement über einen Literatur-Review in den Kontext des aktuellen Forschungsstandes gestellt. Diese Bestandsaufnahme der Gegenwart ist in erster Linie abgeleitet aus Fachveröffentlichungen zum Wissensmanagement im Allgemeinen und denen der BID-Community im Besonderen. Welche Rolle spielt Wissensmanagement gegenwärtig in der bibliothekarischen Praxis Öffentlicher Bibliotheken der im Untersuchungsfokus stehenden Nationen? Was ve
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Gülker, Silke. "Evaluation und politisches Lernen : diskursive Zukunftsforschung als Methode der Politikevaluation /." Baden-Baden : Nomos, 2008. http://d-nb.info/987918524/04.

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10

Опанасюк, Валентина Володимирівна, Валентина Владимировна Опанасюк та Valentyna Volodymyrivna Opanasiuk. "Суспільство майбутнього без наук про суспільство: короткі футурологічні міркування". Thesis, Сумський державний університет, 2015. http://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/40540.

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Кожен громадянин має право на вільний розвиток особистості. Особистість несе відповідальність перед суспільством, якщо держава забезпечує її вільний і всебічний розвиток (Конституція України, ст. 23). Забезпечуючи всебічний, а не винятково професійно орієнтований розвиток, держава разом із тим забезпечує відповідальність особистості перед суспільством і державою. І навпаки, якщо розвиток особистості обмежений технічною, індивідуалістською чи якоюсь іншою вузько орієнтованою позицією, не варто чекати відповідальності особистості перед іншими людьми, а відтак, дотримання прав і свобод людини та
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11

Amegatsevi, Kokou Sename. "L'éthique du futur et le défi des technologies du vivant." Thesis, Université Laval, 2013. http://www.theses.ulaval.ca/2013/30255/30255.pdf.

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Ce travail vise à mettre en avant une éthique du futur à l’ère des technologies du vivant à partir de la biologie philosophique de Hans Jonas en passant au crible a priori les fondements des technosciences. Jonas estime que le problème n’est pas la technique elle-même qui soit en cause mais l’identité qu’elle accorde à l’homme dans cette logique instrumentale envahissante, en d’autres termes, le matérialisme réductionniste. Le problème aussi n’est pas les effets visibles inquiétants et désastreux de la technique mais l’ontologie qu’elle inspire. Outre les manifestations réelles de destruction
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12

Nielsen, Jane K. "Museum communication : learning, interaction and experience." Thesis, University of St Andrews, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10023/5770.

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'Museum Communication: Learning, Interaction and Experience' is a study of how museums have evolved and handled their communication approaches at both theoretical and practical levels. It discusses questions like; how has museum communication developed? What influences do these developments have on museology and its related disciplines? How will museum communication develop in the future? These are questions closely connected with essential concepts of learning, interaction, participation and experience, which will be discussed throughout the thesis. Learning and exhibition theories will be co
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Ohlhoff, Maren, Mehdi Mozuni, and Gerhard Glatzel. "Szenarien Machen Mögliche Zukünfte Erlebbar: Szenen eines Forschungsvorhabens." Thelem Universitätsverlag & Buchhandlung GmbH & Co. KG, 2021. https://tud.qucosa.de/id/qucosa%3A75876.

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In diesem Beitrag diskutieren wir die Szenariotechnik als partizipatives Instrument zum Umgang mit komplexen, nichtlinearen Systemen. Exemplarisch berichten wir über ein transdisziplinär angelegtes Projekt zur Transformation der Landwirtschaft. Anhand dessen skizzieren wir folgend den Nutzen der Szenariotechnik als auch die Notwendigkeit eines integrativen und inklusiven Vorgehens, um der Komplexität und der damit verbundenen Unsicherheit zur Modellierung zukünftiger Systeme zu begegnen. Das damit eng verbundene Verständnis von nachhaltiger Entwicklung als Zielformulierung verstehen wir als st
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14

Vásquez, Calahorrano Miguel. "Modelo de competencias para el comunicador “estratega sustentable” en el marco de la responsabilidad social corporativa." Doctoral thesis, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, 2016. http://hdl.handle.net/10803/385730.

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The study proposes a new model of skills for the organizational communicator, a professional specialized in the social area and in projects of Corporate Social Responsibility, which will be called a Strategist on Communicator on Sustainable Communication. It begins with an analysis of the impact of corn m uni cation in order to change the energy matrix in terms of the productive matrix of strategic sectors in Ecuador. Then, the epistemological basis of knowledge of communication seeks to describe the professionalization of the organizational communicator, including proposals generated from the
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15

Santos, Rafaela Patrícia Morais dos. "Previsões macroeconómicas : ciência ou futurologia?" Master's thesis, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.14/33973.

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As previsões macroeconómicas desempenham um papel fulcral enquanto suporte de tomada de decisão de política fiscal/orçamental. Estas previsões são alvo de uma extensa análise na literatura. A presente dissertação, foca-se na avaliação da qualidade das previsões macroeconómicas realizadas para Portugal entre 2006 e 2016. São consideradas as previsões a um ano, feitas pelo Ministério das Finanças, FMI, CE e OCDE para o PIB e suas componentes. A qualidade das previsões é avaliada, tendo em conta algumas estatísticas descritivas como o erro previsional, erro médio, erro médio absoluto e desvio pad
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16

Luz, Darlyson Antonio Torres da. "Ordem pública na prisão preventiva: da “futurologia” à banalização." Master's thesis, 2019. http://hdl.handle.net/10284/7749.

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Segundo dados fornecidos pelo Banco Nacional de Monitoramento das Prisões, dos 803.280 presos cadastrados até junho de 2019 no Brasil, 41,48% são presos cautelares, ou seja, 333.205 apenados ainda não foram submetidos a julgamento. Sendo assim, o objetivo principal desse trabalho foi analisar se o uso reiterado da suposta garantia da ordem pública para justificar a decretação/manutenção da prisão preventiva no Brasil, especialmente no que concerne à probabilidade de reiteração criminosa, estaria gerando uma banalização do instituto nas cortes judiciais do país. Desse modo, por meio de um estud
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17

Vaňková, Petra. "Scénáře budoucího vývoje Manětínska." Master's thesis, 2015. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-340266.

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Thesis is focused on one specific territory - Manětínsko and deals with the possibility of creating credible scenarios of its future development. Although our future will always remain hidden is important to consider its direction that we can expect, especially in today's world, where nature and environment are endangered on a global scale. Human society also stands on fragile basis/foundations and must face the economic and other crises. Therefore, it is important to think ahead about possible future development at all levels (local, regional and global) and to try to avoid events that could
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18

Helkala, Saara Emilia. "I´ll write you a note: why writing by hand be relevant for the future?" Master's thesis, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.26/20098.

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My research question in this study was How writing by hand will be relevant in the future. In this research, I studied the history of handwriting and the significant changes in written communication throughout history, to be able to understand the possible changes coming in the near future. Since I was interested in different aspects of handwriting, I chose to interview a Neuroscientist, Early Education Expert & Teacher and a Type designer, in order to understand my topic on a deeper level. This research is especially relevant in this time, because digitalization is having a big impact on ho
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19

LIAO, XIANG-YU, and 廖翔郁. "Research on Property Management Industry Change and Development Strategy-Application of Futurology." Thesis, 2019. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/8d35qu.

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碩士<br>逢甲大學<br>土地管理學系<br>107<br>Taiwan's property industry has experienced rapid urban development and continued urbanization. People's life style has changed. In the demographic structure change, the younger ones and the aging have impacted the property industry. Climate change has also caused threats to the urban environment, facing various external factors. Challenges, how to look at the future development and operation of the property industry from the changes in the external environment, must be pre-adjusted and prevented in the future. Therefore, this study reviews the development of the
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20

Wu, Jiing, and 吳璟. "A Study of Alvin Toffler ''s futurological knowledge discourse and Its Implications for Education." Thesis, 2005. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/74665102840413778248.

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博士<br>國立高雄師範大學<br>教育學系<br>93<br>Alvin Toffler (1928~) was one of the typical figures of futurology in twentieth century. He combined properly futurology with postmodern knowledge discourse and made it become a unique theory —futurological knowledge discourse. The purpose of this study is to explore Toffler’s view on subject and it’s implication on education. In order to understand his theoretical framework thoroughly, this study begins with a brief sketch of his background and the intellectual climate in America. Secondly, it is to explain the main content of Toffler ''s futurologic
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21

Venzin, Markus. "Crafting the future : strategic conversations in the knowledge economy /." 1997. http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&doc_number=007842483&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA.

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22

Montes, Gabriel Axel. "Unraveling the self: from bodily self-consciousness to artificial general intelligence." Thesis, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/1959.13/1421956.

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Research Doctorate - Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)<br>The subjective sense of having a self is commonly assumed to be static and anchored to the physical body. This presumption strongly preconditions how neuroscientists, philosophers, and computer scientists conceive of mind and attempt to engineer ‘intelligence’. The present thesis expounds on how the brain constructs reality through mechanisms of bodily self-consciousness (BSC) and the free-energy principle (FEP), and, notably, how this process can be manipulated and enhanced. This work shows how BSC can be manipulated endogenously-through self
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23

KUČEROVÁ, Radka. "POSTMODERNÍ KULTURA: Proměny postojů, hodnot a vzorců chování v postmoderní společnosti." Master's thesis, 2010. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-52928.

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The paper aims at giving analytic picture of postmodern culture in its various demonstrations in mass society and in its influence upon man{\crq}s individuality and their lifestyle.The beginning of the paper deals with terminology and with description of the western culture development. The main part of the paper analyses (gradual compilation) main works of important authors with various views and approaches (G. Lipovetsky, M. Maffesoli, Z. Bauman). An interesting contribution to this topic represents futurological vision of A. and H. Tofflers spouses, who describe mankind development and crea
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