Academic literature on the topic 'Gartner Hype Cycle methodology'

Purpose The Indian technical education has experienced an exponential growth since 1995. However, the technical education system was not able to sustain it and the enrollments, particularly in engineering, fell down considerably. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the growth of Indian technical education from system dynamics (SD) perspective. Design/methodology/approach Technical education is a complex system in which the outcome of a decision comes with a third order delay. SD is an appropriate tool to analyze the causal structure and behavior of complex systems. This study developed an analogy from the physics of a boomerang to do the comparative assessment of “sudden overshoot and collapse” phase in the growth of Indian technical education. Further, it compared the technical education growth with the Gartner hype cycle. The growth model of Indian technical education was developed using SD software STELLA (version 10.0). Findings The model was simulated for five different policy scenarios. The outcome of the SD analysis shows that the “goal-seeking behaviour,” which produces stable growth without hampering quality, is the best proposition amongst all scenarios considered in the study. It identifies policies which will enable long-term stability in the Indian technical education system as well as policies which will lead to perpetual instability in the system. Research limitations/implications The study conducted will encourage researchers to use SD in analyzing complex systems for sustainability and in the selection of appropriate policies. Originality/value The paper uses boomerang analogy for analyzing the growth in engineering enrollments and highlights the presence of “the boomerang effect,” a term coined by the authors for sudden overshoot and collapse behavior, in the causal structure which is injurious to the education system.

The introduction of a new technology or innovation is often accompanied by “ups and downs” in its fortunes. Gartner Inc. defined a so-called hype cycle to describe a general pattern that many innovations experience: technology trigger, peak of inflated expectations, trough of disillusionment, slope of enlightenment, and plateau of productivity. This article will compare the ongoing introduction of Open Science (OS) with the hype cycle model and speculate on the relevance of that model to OS. Lest the title of this article mislead the reader, be assured that the author believes that OS should happen and that it will happen. However, I also believe that the path to OS will be longer than many of us had hoped. I will give a brief history of the today's “semi-open” science, define what I mean by OS, define the hype cycle and where OS is now on that cycle, and finally speculate what it will take to traverse the cycle and rise to its plateau of productivity (as described by Gartner).

In this study, we propose a big data-based method for characterizing the feature distributions of multiple technologies within a specific domain. Traditional approaches, such as Gartner’s hype cycle or S-curve model, portray the developmental trajectory of individual technologies. However, these approaches are insufficient to encapsulate the aggregate characteristic distribution of multiple technologies within a specific domain. Thus, this study proposes an innovative method in terms of four proposed features, namely versatility, significance, commerciality, and disruptiveness, to characterize the technologies within a given domain. The research methodology involves that the features of technologies are quantitively portrayed using the representative keywords and volumes of returned search results from Google and Google Scholar in two-dimensional analytical spaces of technique and application. We demonstrate the applicability of this method using 452 technologies in the domain of intelligent robotics. The results of our assessment indicate that the versatility values are normally distributed, while the values of significance, commerciality, and disruptiveness follow power-law distributions, in which few technologies possess higher feature values. We also show that significant technologies are more likely to be commercialized or cause potential disruption, as such technologies have higher scores in these features. Further, we validly prove the robustness of our approach by comparing historical trends with the literature and characterizing technologies in reduced analytical spaces. Our method can be widely applied in analyzing feature distributions of technologies in different domains, and it can potentially be exploited in decisions like investment, trade, and science policy.


 Este artigo propõe uma breve cartografia de produtos jornalísticos inovadores criados especialmente para tablets, com o foco em aplicativos (apps) autóctones, mais especificamente aqueles lançados como ‘vespertinos’. O objetivo é problematizar as premissas e promessas iniciais desse novo tipo de produto e contribuir com algumas avaliações preliminares a partir dos Gradientes de Inovação. Utiliza-se o chamado Ciclo de Gartner (Gartner Hype Cycle) como uma metáfora contributiva para a compreensão dos apps autóctones para tablets, seu processo de criação, composição de conteúdos e design. Propõe-se localizar no topo do ‘Pico das Expectativas Infladas’ da Curva de Gartner o processo de criação dos apps jornalísticos ‘pioneiros’ – incluídos os ‘vespertinos’– e, com base na evolução de alguns elementos específicos e característicos do formato, busca-se avaliar o grau de maturidade dos apps analisados. No contexto, considera-se a característica de tactilidade e de outros affordances relacionados ao tablet enquanto plataforma para produção de conteúdos. Neste sentido, duas questões centrais direcionam a atenção para a problematização envolta com o fenômeno em análise: (1) Como se caracterizam os aplicativos vespertinos em termos de inovação como produto e como modelo de negócio para as organizações jornalísticas?; (2) Tendo como parâmetro a formulação dos Gradientes de Inovação, em que nível do Ciclo de Gartner de Inovações seria possível situar tais aplicativos? Os resultados revelam que os padrões de qualidade mais altos seriam alcançados após a fase da “Rampa de Consolidação” e uma vez atingido o patamar do “Planalto da Produtividade” na Curva de Gartner.
 
 
 
 This submission offers a brief mapping of innovative journalistic products created specifically for tablets. Of particular interest are in-house apps available to consumers in the evening. The aim is to problematize the potentiality and promise instituted by this new type of product and offer some introductory remarks based on the model of innovation adoption. We choose Gartner’s “Hype Cycle” as a useful metaphor in understanding task-specific tablet apps and the process by which they are created along with their content and graphics. We propose to locate at the top of the “Peak of Inflated Expectations” in Gartner’s model the process of creating pioneering apps, including the evening-specific ones. The maturity of apps is analyzed based on the evolution of specific elements and characteristics of the format. Also studied are tactility and other tablet-specific potentialities as platforms for content production. The focus will be on the problematization of two central issues: (1) how are evening apps characterized in terms of product and business model innovation for journalistic organizations? (2) by taking as a framework the concept of “Degrees of Innovation,” at what phase of Gartner’s Hype Cycle can these apps be situated? The results show that the highest standards of quality are achieved after the “Slope of Enlightenment,” as the “Plateau of Productivity” is reached.
 
 
 
 Cet submission propose une brève cartographie de produits journalistiques innovants créés spécialement pour des tablettes. Il s’intéresse particulièrement aux applications (apps) autochtones proposées aux lecteurs en soirée. L’objectif est de problématiser les potentialités et les promesses initiées par ce nouveau type de production et de contribuer par quelques remarques préliminaires à partir de la Courbe des innovations. On utilise le dénommé Hype Cycle de Gartner comme une métaphore utile à la compréhension des applications autochtones pour tablettes, leur processus de création, de fabrication de contenu et de graphisme. On propose de situer au sommet du « Pic des attentes exagérées » (Pick of Inflated Expectations) de la courbe de Gartner le processus de création des applications « pionnières », y compris celles du soir. Sur la base de l’évolution de certains éléments spécifiques et caractéristiques du format, le degré de maturité des applications est analysé. Sont étudiées la tactilité et les autres potentialités propres aux tablettes en tant que plateformes de production de contenus. Deux questions centrales ont retenu l’attention pour la problématisation : (1) comment se caractérisent les applications vespérales en termes d’innovation de produit et de modèle marchand pour les organisations journalistiques ? (2) en prenant pour paramètre la thèse des Degrés d’innovation, à quelle phase du Hype Cycle de Gartner peut-on situer ces applications? Les résultats révèlent que les normes de qualité les plus hautes sont atteintes après la « Pente d’éclaircissement » (Slope of Enlightenment) et une fois atteint le niveau du « Plateau de productivité » (Plateau of Productivity).