Academic literature on the topic 'Geopolitical risks'

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Journal articles on the topic "Geopolitical risks"

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Zonis, Marvin. "Managing Geopolitical Risks." CFA Institute Conference Proceedings Quarterly 26, no. 3 (2009): 22–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.2469/cp.v26.n3.10.

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Mansour-Ichrakieh, Layal. "The Impact of Israeli and Saudi Arabian Geopolitical Risks on the Lebanese Financial Market." Journal of Risk and Financial Management 14, no. 3 (2021): 94. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jrfm14030094.

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Hezbollah is best defined in geopolitics as the Iranian ideology proxy that aims to grow the Persian footprint and to gain geopolitical strategic depth in the region. Its role continuously requires geopolitical conflicts, mainly against Saudi Arabia and Israel—for resistance, ideological, and geopolitical purposes. Being a state within a state, Hezbollah militia makes sovereign geopolitical decisions and forces Lebanon to pay for the consequences. This is the first economic study that empirically investigates under vector autoregression (VAR) models the dynamic causal relationship between Saud
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Grébel, Szabolcs, and Tamás Pesuth. "Geopolitical risks and the banking sector." Economy & finance 11, no. 2 (2024): 164–86. http://dx.doi.org/10.33908/ef.2024.2.3.

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Geopolitical risks have come into the foreground recently as their effects on macroeconomy are analysed. This said, the banking sector is key due to its embeddedness in the economy and because risk management is an important part of the stability of financial systems. Banking regulations have quantified different types of risks over the past decades, but several types of risks can be considered in the model side by side with economic changes. One experiences the highest number of obstacles in preparing for risks that, one the one hand, are difficult to measure and, on the other hand, occur rel
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Kim, Chaehyun, Seonmi Kim, and Eunsuh Lee. "Geopolitical Risks and Cost Stickiness." Korean Accounting Information Association 21, no. 1 (2021): 1–25. http://dx.doi.org/10.29189/kaiajfai.21.1.1.

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Rahayu, Sri, Wahyumi Ekawanti, Mohamad Nur Utomo, Yohanna Thresia Nainggolan, and Otabek Jalolov. "Sustainability Report and Company Performance: The Geopolitical Impact in Indonesia." Jurnal Aplikasi Manajemen 22, no. 4 (2024): 1038–52. https://doi.org/10.21776/ub.jam.2024.022.04.08.

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Recent global crises, such as the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict and heightened global temperatures, have emphasized the need for robust sustainability practices amid volatile geopolitical environments. This research aims to analyze the impact of geopolitical risks on companies that publish sustainability reports in relation to company performance as measured by firm value. The research sample includes 19 food and beverage companies, observed over five years (2018–2022). Data analysis is conducted using Partial Least Squares-Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) with WarpPLS version 8.0, a robu
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Kukeyeva, Fatima. "Risks and Opportunities for Central Asian Countries in the Context of New Geopolitics." Journal of Political Science: Bulletin of Yerevan University 4, no. 1(10) (2025): 11–29. https://doi.org/10.46991/jops/2025.4.10.011.

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The article analyzes the main risks and opportunities for the Central Asian countries in the context of new geopolitical transformations. In this sense, the geopolitical landscape of Central Asia in the period from 2022 to 2024 is undergoing significant changes that affect regional stability and global interaction. The article examines Central Asia in terms of strategic importance and vulnerability to external pressure, influenced by various global initiatives and changing power dynamics. The countries of the region face a number of risks, such as economic instability, dependence on external e
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Su, Chi-Wei, Khalid Khan, Muhammad Umar, and Weike Zhang. "Does renewable energy redefine geopolitical risks?" Energy Policy 158 (November 2021): 112566. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112566.

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Demiralay, Sercan, Yan Wang, and Conghui Chen. "Geopolitical risks and climate change stocks." Journal of Environmental Management 352 (February 2024): 119995. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119995.

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Wang, Yuanxin. "The Relationship Between Geopolitical Risks and Stock Market Volatility." Frontiers in Business, Economics and Management 17, no. 3 (2024): 379–85. https://doi.org/10.54097/vtxp2w40.

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In the globalized economic system, geopolitical conflicts are increasingly prominent as an important factor affecting stock market volatility. This essay delve into deeply explore the complex relationship between geopolitical risks and stock market volatility, and comprehensively analyze this area from a macro perspective through the combination of theory and empirical methods. First, this essay defines geopolitical risks systematically and explores various sources. Further, this essay analyzes the broad impact of geopolitical risks on the global economy and economic financial system. With reg
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Doborjginidze, Suzana. "The Inflationary Effect of Geopolitical Risks and Economic Growth." Modern Issues of Medicine and Management 29, no. 1 (2025): 1–8. https://doi.org/10.56580/geomedi54.

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In recent years, geopolitical risks have become a major factor influencing the dynamics of the global economy and trade. Unfavorable geopolitical events in global markets become the catalyst for significant fluctuations, which leads to a decrease in economic activity, affects inflation, which can lead to price changes. Geopolitical risks and inflation are interconnected. Geopolitical tensions can affect the state of the economy, macroeconomic indicators and lead to an increase in inflation. During geopolitical risks, investors believe that the country is unstable and begin to withdraw their as
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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Geopolitical risks"

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Atabong, Fossung Gerard, and Vovas Vasileios Chatzis. "Impact of Geopolitical Risk on U.S. equities in the Information Technology & Communication Services Sectors." Thesis, Blekinge Tekniska Högskola, Institutionen för industriell ekonomi, 2020. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:bth-19859.

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Mohamed, Metwally Abdelmoneim Bahyeldin. "Risk based management control logics meet geopolitics : a case study from Egypt." Thesis, University of Glasgow, 2017. http://theses.gla.ac.uk/7983/.

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This thesis concerns the introduction of a Western idea of risk management to a peripheral control system as it examines the unintended consequences of re-embedding Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) in an Egyptian insurance company. It traces how ERM was introduced, constructed, modified, and re-defined over time, causing institutional complexity, heterogenic practices, and identity crisis. It ultimately seeks to understand how a new form of management control was made operable amidst local resistance. The research involved intensive fieldwork with in-depth interviews, direct observations, and
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Kostitsyna, Ksenia. "Energetická bezpečnost EU a vztahy s Ruskem." Doctoral thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2009. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-199390.

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The main objective of this dissertation is to research the interconnectivity of energy security of the European Union and its relations with Russia. Achieving this goal entails an analysis of the current situation in the EU energy security in the context of its import dependence on Russian energy sources and an outline of the future development of strategic partnership between the EU and Russia in the energy field. The dissertation is divided into five logically arranged chapters. The first chapter provides the theoretical background, the concept of the energy security and methodological resea
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Nakhjavani, Arya. "Geo-Political Risk-Augmented Capital Asset Pricing Model and the Effect on Long-Term Stock Market Returns." Scholarship @ Claremont, 2018. http://scholarship.claremont.edu/cmc_theses/1764.

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This paper examines the capital - asset pricing model (CAPM) which has been extended with a factor for geo-political risk. I use monthly stock return data for all stocks listed on a major US exchange from January 1990 to December 2016 and utilize a Fama-Macbeth Regression with Newey-West standard errors to test the geo-political augmented Sharpe-Lintner CAPM. The paper first determines if increased sensitivity to geopolitical risk lead s to lower average returns and second assesses if geo-political risk as an explanatory variable is a significant enough to expose a failure of the CAPM to captu
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Andre, Camille. "Bolloré Transport & Logistics face au risque géopolitique au Sahel central (janvier 2013-mai 2021) : analyse spatiale, quantitative et des jeux d’acteurs : l’apport de la méthode géopolitique à la compréhension des contextes d’opération dégradés." Electronic Thesis or Diss., Paris 8, 2021. http://www.theses.fr/2021PA080074.

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Le Sahel central connaît depuis la chute du Mali en 2012 d’importantes problématiques sécuritaires. Après s’être accaparé la rébellion touarègue nord-malienne, les groupes armés djihadistes ont été contraints à la clandestinité par l’intervention extérieure française dès janvier 2013. Ces événements de 2012-2013 interviennent dans un contexte géopolitique et politique déjà complexe où de nombreux types d’acteurs évoluent (djihadistes, narcotrafiquants, groupes armés touaregs, milices d'auto-défense, civils, politiques …), chacun avec leurs stratégies propres et leurs représentations. Cette thè
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Chang, Chen-Hao, and 張宸豪. "Geopolitical Risk Analysis of the Belt and Road Initiative." Thesis, 2018. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/p3685z.

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碩士<br>國立政治大學<br>國家安全與大陸研究碩士在職專班<br>106<br>The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is one of the most important economic strategies of Mainland China in the twenty first century. Facing globalization, the current strategy of pursuing high economic growth rate is challenged by transformation, over production, increased energy demand and the imbalance of regional development, etc. Therefore, there is an urgent demand for structural reform in China's economy. For the purpose of maintaining the momentum of economic growth, BRI has advantages of being more open and increased interconnection with countrie
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王致律. "Geopolitical Risk and Stock Returns: Evidence from the North Korea Nuclear and Missile Tests." Thesis, 2018. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/a4wma8.

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碩士<br>逢甲大學<br>財務金融學系<br>106<br>Based on 2017 missile and nuclear tests by North Korea, this study examines the relationship between geopolitical events and stock returns of four neighboring markets, including South Korea, Japan, Taiwan and China. Using the event study methods, this paper discusses whether the North Korean military tests have a negative effect on the above four stock markets. This study also discusses whether missile and nuclear tests have a greater impact on related markets: that is, the North Korean military tests are expected to have greater impact on the South Korean and Ja
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Flaviano, Jules Lecadre. "Global supply chains, globalization and geopolitics: the smartphone in the post-pandemic world." Master's thesis, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/10362/123712.

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This paper studies the management of global supply chain (GSCs) risks in the smartphone industry, given recent globalisation trends and geopolitical disruptions. The paper discusses a Supply Chain Risk Management(SCRM) model-based on a seminal contribution to this field’s literature and used throughout as a benchmark-before applying it to selected smartphone case studies. The disruptions studied paint a picture of underlying trends in globalisation that have accelerated, and to which GSCs will have to adapt, traditional risks being more likely to occur and cause more damages, in an incre
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Eiras, Ruben Maciel Correia Ribeiro. "Política de segurança energética: o potencial da cooperação estratégica entre Portugal e Brasil no período 2008-2012." Doctoral thesis, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/10071/13716.

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A exploração e produção (E&P) de recursos energéticos intensa possibilitaram níveis de desenvolvimento social elevados. Contudo, são raros os países com auto-suficiência energética. A desigualdade da distribuição geográfica dos recursos energéticos vitais conduz também a uma desigual distribuição do poder sobre a sua extracção, transformação e distribuição, levando esta situação a uma interdependência complexa na economia global, na qual a evolução da «geopolítica mundial» impacta a segurança dos fluxos energéticos nos mercados internacionais. Por isso, a segurança energética tem vindo a
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Books on the topic "Geopolitical risks"

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Procházka, David, ed. Financial Markets and Corporate Reporting under Geopolitical Risks. Springer Nature Switzerland, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-62998-3.

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Melega, Anatol. Geopolitical Risks in Financial Reporting and Transfer Pricing. Springer Nature Switzerland, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-76600-8.

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Park, Sang Chul, and Yun-Chen Lai, eds. Geopolitical Risks in Europe and the Indo-Pacific Region. Springer Nature Singapore, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-96-1840-8.

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Bashkin, Vladimir N., and Olga Р. Trubitsina. Geoecological and Geopolitical Risks for the Oil and Gas Industry in the Arctic. Springer International Publishing, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-95910-4.

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Dibb, Paul. The future balance of power in East Asia: What are the geopolitical risks? Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, ANU, 2008.

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Tyernovaya, Lyudmila. Gastronomic geopolitics. INFRA-M Academic Publishing LLC., 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.12737/999872.

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The more diverse and rich a person's life is, the more areas of activity, different sides of reality he comes into contact with. People get a lot of resources from them, but at the same time each such sphere has its own vulnerability and is able to create threats to the security of people, societies and States. Most dangerous of all are the threats that affect the vital basis of human existence. These include threats to food security. They have long gone beyond biological or medical limits and received a truly geopolitical scope. &#x0D; The monograph shows how these threats were born and grew,
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Mironov, A., and S. Zubarev. Interaction of law enforcement agencies to ensure national security. INFRA-M Academic Publishing LLC., 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.12737/1860938.

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The monograph examines the main directions of the organization and legal regulation of the interaction of law enforcement agencies in the activities to ensure the national security of the Russian state. Special attention is paid to the important characteristics of the constituent elements of national security, theoretical and methodological aspects of the formation of the mechanism of interaction of law enforcement agencies to ensure state and public security and law and order, as well as the analysis of improving the effectiveness of the practical activities of law enforcement agencies in the
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Podbiralina, Galina, and Valeriya Romashkina. Business development in the Asia-Pacific region. INFRA-M Academic Publishing LLC., 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.12737/1978003.

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The textbook systematizes the theoretical and practical material of business development in the rapidly developing Asia-Pacific region. The authors assess the current trends in business development, which vary in size and nature of economic activity. The main purpose of the textbook is to form students' holistic understanding of the activities of various categories of business in the countries of the Asia—Pacific region, as well as the ability to analyze the performance of the business sector and draw informed conclusions about its effectiveness. Special attention is paid to the possible prosp
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Nwogugu, Michael I. C. Geopolitical Risk, Sustainability and “Cross-Border Spillovers” in Emerging Markets, Volume I. Springer International Publishing, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-71415-4.

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Nwogugu, Michael I. C. Geopolitical Risk, Sustainability and “Cross-Border Spillovers” in Emerging Markets, Volume II. Springer International Publishing, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-71419-2.

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Book chapters on the topic "Geopolitical risks"

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Leitner, Johannes. "Managing Geopolitical Risks." In The Routledge Handbook of Political Risk. Routledge, 2025. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003456117-38.

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Radošević, Dubravko. "Geopolitical Risks and Unconventional RMB Internationalization: A Reappraisal." In China and Globalization. Springer Nature Singapore, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-97-2558-8_10.

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Zapp, Mike. "Universities, Sustainable Development and the ‘Knowledge Turn’ in Global Governance – Causes, Mechanisms and Risks." In Geopolitical Transformations in Higher Education. Springer International Publishing, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-94415-5_9.

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Lis-Plesińska, Aleksandra, Nathalie Ortar, Rafał Szymanowski, Marek W. Jaskólski, Aleksandra Parteka, and Christine Buisson. "Improving Social Justice, Environmental Integrity, and Geopolitical Resilience in EU Electric Mobility Transition." In Strengthening European Mobility Policy. Springer Nature Switzerland, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-67936-0_4.

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AbstractWe recommend improving social justice, environmental integrity, and geopolitical resilience in electric mobility transition. To achieve this policy recommendation, we propose the following: (1) Increase societal acceptance and justice of climate policies by engaging local stakeholders; (2) Prioritize sustainable mobility practices over replacement of internal combustion engine vehicle (ICEV) with battery electric vehicle (BEV); (3) Base resilience of global value and supply chains on a diversified network of suppliers and a balanced structure of domestic and foreign content of economic
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Ignatyeva, Irina, Boris Isaev, and Konstantin Losev. "Geopolitical, Geo-Economic Risks and National Security of Russia." In Springer Geography. Springer International Publishing, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-58263-0_22.

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Istomin, Eugene, Vera Golosovskaya, Ekaterina Rumyantseva, Oleg Shevchuk, and Yaroslav Petrov. "Decision Aid Digitalization in Geopolitical Risks Management for Maritime Logistics." In XIV International Scientific Conference “INTERAGROMASH 2021". Springer International Publishing, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-81619-3_80.

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Wi, Sung-lac. "North Korean Nuclear Issue: Where We Stand and What Needs to Be Done for East Asian Security?" In Geopolitical Risks in Europe and the Indo-Pacific Region. Springer Nature Singapore, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-96-1840-8_5.

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Enverga, Manuel R. "European Digital Diplomacy and the Sino-Philippine Territorial Disputes in the South China Sea." In Geopolitical Risks in Europe and the Indo-Pacific Region. Springer Nature Singapore, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-96-1840-8_4.

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Shin, Chueiling. "Small States, Shared Visions: The Role of Geopolitical Culture in Taiwan-Lithuania Relations (2021–2024)." In Geopolitical Risks in Europe and the Indo-Pacific Region. Springer Nature Singapore, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-96-1840-8_3.

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Sumrahadi, Abdullah. "Navigating the Indo-Pacific Chessboard: Indonesia’s Strategic Positioning in the Belt and Road Initiative Era." In Geopolitical Risks in Europe and the Indo-Pacific Region. Springer Nature Singapore, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-96-1840-8_7.

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Conference papers on the topic "Geopolitical risks"

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Yang, Songting, Xudong Liu, Rulang Wang, and Zonghu Liao. "Exploring How Geopolitical Risks Shape Crude Oil Price Dynamics." In 2024 8th Asian Conference on Artificial Intelligence Technology (ACAIT). IEEE, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1109/acait63902.2024.11022255.

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Lengyel Almos, Krisztina Eva, and Joel Angel Bravo Anduaga. "INTEGRATION OF CHATGPT AND DIGITAL ECONOMIC ATLASES FOR GEOPOLITICAL ANALYSIS AND FUTURE RISK ASSESSMENT." In 17th annual International Conference of Education, Research and Innovation. IATED, 2024. https://doi.org/10.21125/iceri.2024.2617.

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Neacșu, Marius-Cristian, Maria-Ioana Andrei, Danie Zgură, and Denisa Țăranu. "Cryptocurrencies” Phenomenon and Geopolitical Risks." In New Trends in Sustainable Business and Consumption. Editura ASE, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.24818/basiq/2022/08/100.

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Goltsov, A. G. "Risks of transformations in the world geopolitical order." In CURRENT ISSUES OF THE WORLD ECONOMY, INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC RELATIONS AND INTERNATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS AMIDST THE FORMATION OF A NEW WORLD ORDER AND POLARIZATION OF THE WORLD. Volume 1. Baltija Publishing, 2025. https://doi.org/10.30525/978-9934-26-534-1-24.

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"GEOPOLITICAL RISK AND THE EFFECTS ON COMPANIES’ FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE." In XIII TRADITIONAL SCIENTIFIC CONFERENCE NEW ECONOMY 2025. Oikos Institute – Research Center, Bijeljina, Bosnia and Herzegovina, 2025. https://doi.org/10.61432/cpne0301155s.

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The global environment is increasingly unstable. Recent Middle East conflicts and the ongoing war in Eastern Europe pose geopolitical risks that disrupt resource prices, supply chains and markets, affecting businesses and individuals alike. The goal of this study is to analyse if there is a relationship between these geopolitical risks and the fluctuations of a company’s financial performance. This is done through a test of five ratio-specific hypotheses using a yearly panel GLS model for 40 NASDAQ firms, for the period 2017–2024. The results in this study found that there are rare occasions o
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Tymchuk, Svitlana, Liudmyla Neshchadym, and Iryna Kyryliuk. "Innovations in tour operations as a response to geopolitical challenges in creating transcordon routes." In Economic Security in the Context of Systemic Transformations, 3rd Edition. Academy of Economic Studies of Moldova, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.53486/escst2023.24.

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This article examines the innovative strategies employed by tour operating companies in response to geopolitical challenges, particularly focusing on the creation of transborder routes. In a world marked by geopolitical transformations, the tourism industry faces diverse risks that necessitate adaptive measures from tour operators. The study assesses the risks linked to transborder tourist routes and investigates the proactive role of tour operators in mitigating these challenges. Geopolitical factors, such as political and economic instability, terrorism threats, diplomatic disputes, migratio
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Minenkova, Vera, Vera Minenkova, Tatiana Volkova, et al. "CURRENT TOURISM TRENDS ON THE BLACK SEA COAST." In Managing risks to coastal regions and communities in a changing world. Academus Publishing, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.31519/conferencearticle_5b1b941d077190.33263283.

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Minenkova, Vera, Vera Minenkova, Tatiana Volkova, et al. "CURRENT TOURISM TRENDS ON THE BLACK SEA COAST." In Managing risks to coastal regions and communities in a changing world. Academus Publishing, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.21610/conferencearticle_58b431574cc4a.

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Gomes, Orlando. "Global Risks and the Theory of Economic Growth." In Eighth International Scientific-Business Conference LIMEN Leadership, Innovation, Management and Economics: Integrated Politics of Research. Association of Economists and Managers of the Balkans, Belgrade, Serbia, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.31410/limen.s.p.2022.1.

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Although global risks may be sorted into different categories – economic, environmental, geopolitical, societal, and technological – they are strongly intertwined and they tend to reinforce one another, easily transforming a localized problem into a perfect storm capable of deeply af­fecting all economic sectors and all aspects of people’s lives. This short es­say undertakes a systematic and integrated discussion of global risks in the context of economic growth theory. A standard endogenous growth (SEG) model is adapted and reconfigured into a global risk endogenous growth (GREG) model.
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Adejola, Adenike, and Wumi Iledare. "Climate Change and the Rising Geopolitics of LNG." In SPE Nigeria Annual International Conference and Exhibition. SPE, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.2118/208241-ms.

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Abstract In the 21st century, the nexus between climate change and the global gas industry is more resilient. Gas is now preferred to gasoline in mitigating the effects of climate change and key global gas players and new entrants’ race for a higher global market share. To sustain continuous profit on gas investments, sustainable and strategic energy business models are being developed albeit with unintended or intended geopolitical consequences. This paper highlights the probable geopolitical risks, their likely impacts, and regional risk mitigation strategies necessary for sustaining the gro
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Reports on the topic "Geopolitical risks"

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Alonso-Alvarez, Irma, Marina Diakonova, and Javier J. Pérez. Rethinking GPR: The sources of geopolitical risk. Banco de España, 2025. https://doi.org/10.53479/39685.

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Geopolitical risks and tensions are nowadays regularly presented by policymakers and analysts as key conditioning factors of economic activity in both the short and the medium-run. Widely accepted operational measures of geopolitical risks tend to be based on counting the number of newspaper articles related to adverse geopolitical events, in particular following the ground-breaking paper of Caldara and Iacoviello (2022) in which they build their Geopolitical Risk (GPR) indexes. In this paper we propose one avenue to make further progress in the measurement of such risks. We provide a decompos
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Talebian, Sara, Frida Lager, and Katy Harris. Solutions for managing food security risks in a rapidly changing geopolitical landscape. Stockholm Environment Institute, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.51414/sei2024.044.

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The authors adopt a geopolitical lens to better understand policy responses to food insecurities under reversal of global integration and weakening multilateralism. They specifically focus on transboundary climate risks to food production and trade: how climate impacts on agriculture can generate cascading effects through international trade and global supply chains to catalyse risks to countries worldwide.
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Erkamo, Sanna, Karoliina Pilli-Sihvola, Atte Harjanne, and Heikki Tuomenvirta. Climate Security and Finland – A Review on Security Implications of Climate Change from the Finnish Perspective. Finnish Meteorological Institute, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.35614/isbn.9789523361362.

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This report describes the effects of climate change for Finland from the view of comprehensive security. The report examines both direct and indirect climate security risks as well as transition risks related to climate change mitigation. The report is based on previous research and expert interviews. Direct security risks refer to the immediate risks caused by the changing nature of natural hazards. These include the risks to critical infrastructure and energy systems, the logistics system, health and food security. Indirect security risks relate to the potential economic, political and geopo
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Carlos, Jean Clarisse, and Deryk Matthew Baladjay. Building Resilient Critical Industries for the Philippines in a Shifting Geopolitical Landscape. Philippine Institute for Development Studies, 2025. https://doi.org/10.62986/pn2025.04.

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Amid geopolitical uncertainties, it is imperative for the Philippines to reassess its definition of critical industries to ensure economic resilience and national security. This Policy Note observes that the current definition of critical industries, primarily outlined in the Public Service Act of 2022, is limited to public utilities. The authors recommend expanding this definition to include emerging sectors such as renewable energy and digital technologies. By doing so, the Philippines can better address vulnerabilities and strengthen its industries. Additionally, the authors suggest leverag
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Bremberg, Niklas, and Simone Bunse. Climate, Peace and Security in a Changing Geopolitical Context: Next Steps for the European Union. Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.55163/lkcg6004.

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This policy brief analyses current initiatives and ways forward to address the nexus between climate change, peace and security within the European Union’s (EU) foreign, security and defence policies. Considering Sweden’s reputation and credibility in advancing international cooperation on climate security and in light of the 2023 Swedish presidency of the Council of the EU, there is an opportunity to address the current lack of alignment between the climate and conflict-sensitizing work of the European External Action Service (EEAS) and the climate adaptation and mitigation work of the Europe
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Ali, Saleem, Miriam Aczel, and Kaveh Madani. Building a Global Minerals Trust for a Just Green Transition. United Nations University Institute for Water, Environment and Health (UNU INWEH), 2025. https://doi.org/10.53328/inr25sal004.

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"Today, more than 70% of global production for key critical minerals is concentrated in just a few countries, raising serious concerns about supply security, market volatility, and geopolitical risk. Achieving a just and sustainable energy transition hinges on fair and reliable access to critical minerals—materials key for low-carbon technologies. However, global supply chains remain environmentally damaging and vulnerable to geopolitical tensions, creating systemic risks for both climate and economic goals. • A Global Minerals Trust offers a new multilateral model to promote responsible stewa
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Vuksanovic, Vuk. The Spillover Effect: The Gaza Conflict and Potential Ramifications to the Western Balkans. Belgrade Centre for Security Policy (BCSP), 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.55042/wfpm5307.

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This report outlines potential security and geopolitical risks for the Western Balkans stemming from the war in Gaza. While none of these security challenges are inevitable, they are possible. Depending on whether the conflict in Gaza continues in its current form or whether it escalates in intensity and number of the belligerents, there are at least three potential ramifications for the Western Balkans. The first concerns the potential radicalisation in the local Muslim communities involving anti-Semitism and acts of violence that could disrupt harmony between local religious communities. The
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Eszterhai, Viktor, and Péter Goreczky. To Decouple or not to Decouple? How to Address China’s Dominance in the European EV Battery Supply Chain. Külügyi és Külgazdasági Intézet, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.47683/kkielemzesek.ke-2022.61.

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Geopolitical tensions between Western countries and China are prompting the European Union to attempt to reduce China’s economic exposure. This poses a particularly serious challenge to the Hungarian government, whose economic policy cornerstone is to create a manufacturing base for the interconnected European and Asian electric car value chains. This paper seeks to answer the question how the European Union can realistically attempt to reduce the European electric car industry’s dependence on China by exploring mergers in the European electric car industry and the Chinese battery industry. Th
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Clark, Helen. Environment of Peace. Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.55163/fwdp2737.

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The SIPRI Lecture is an annual event focusing on major themes in peace and security. The event provides a platform for prominent global thought leaders who share the values underpinning SIPRI and its research. The fourth SIPRI Lecture, which was held in a hybrid format on 23 May 2022, was delivered by HE Helen Clark and focused on the theme ‘Environment of Peace’. The lecture presented the findings of the SIPRI report Environment of Peace: Security in a New Era of Risk. In her address, Clark pointed out that the climate crisis looms ever larger, the world is off track to meet the Sustainable D
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Gamboa-Estrada, Fredy, and José Vicente Romero. Geopolitical Risk and Emerging Markets Sovereign Risk Premia. Banco de la República, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.32468/be.1282.

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This study examines the determinants of sovereign risk, focusing on the impact of geopolitical risk in emerging market economies (EMEs) sovereign risk metrics. Using local projection techniques, we evaluate the effects of geopolitical risk on credit default swaps (CDS) and EMBI indices in EMEs, including the recent war between Ukraine and Russia. Our findings highlight the significance of considering geopolitical risk when analyzing risk premiums for emerging markets. Notably, we find that the impact of geopolitical risk shocks on CDS is higher than the effect on EMBI spread dynamics. Furtherm
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