Journal articles: 'Global population growth'

1

Jasny, B. R. "Global population growth continuing." Science 346, no. 6206 (2014): 204–6. http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.346.6206.204-k.

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2

Bongaarts, John. "Population Growth and Global Warming." Population and Development Review 18, no. 2 (1992): 299. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1973681.

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Cha, Yee-Min, and Scott A. Brown. "Media Clips: Global Population Explosion; U.S. Population Growth." Mathematics Teacher 105, no. 3 (2011): 170–73. http://dx.doi.org/10.5951/mathteacher.105.3.0170.

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4

Knapp, Tom, and Rajen Mookerjee. "Population growth and global CO2 emissions." Energy Policy 24, no. 1 (1996): 31–37. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0301-4215(95)00130-1.

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5

Kapitza, Sergei P. "On the theory of global population growth." Physics-Uspekhi 53, no. 12 (2010): 1287–96. http://dx.doi.org/10.3367/ufne.0180.201012g.1337.

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Kapitza, S. P. "On the theory of global population growth." Uspekhi Fizicheskih Nauk 180, no. 12 (2010): 1337. http://dx.doi.org/10.3367/ufnr.0180.201012g.1337.

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7

Pimentel, David, and Marcia Pimentel. "Population Growth, Environmental Resources and Global Food." Journal of Sustainable Forestry 9, no. 1-2 (1999): 35–44. http://dx.doi.org/10.1300/j091v09n01_03.

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8

Dochy, Frank. "Human population growth: Local dynamics-global effects." Acta Biotheoretica 43, no. 3 (1995): 241–47. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/bf00707272.

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9

Pimentel, David, and Marcia Pimentel. "Global environmental resources versus world population growth." Ecological Economics 59, no. 2 (2006): 195–98. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2005.11.034.

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10

Sardak, Sergii, Maxim Korneyev, Vladimir Dzhyndzhoian, Tatyana Fedotova, and Olha Tryfonova. "Current trends in global demographic processes." Problems and Perspectives in Management 16, no. 1 (2018): 48–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/ppm.16(1).2018.05.

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Current local and national demographic trends have deepened the existing and formed new global demographic processes that have received a new historical reasoning that requires deep scientific research taking into account the influence of the multifactorial global dimension of the modern society development. The purpose of the article is to study the development of global demographic processes and to define the causes of their occurrence, manifestations, implications and prospects for implementation in the first half of the 21st century. The authors have identified and characterized four global demographic processes, namely population growth, migration, increase of tourism, and change in population structure. It is projected that in the 30’s of the 21st century, the number and growth rates of the world population will reach the objective growth and these dynamics over the next two decades will begin to change in the direction of reducing the growth rates, which will lead to gradual stabilization, and eventually reduce the size of the world population. By the middle of the 21st century, one can observe the preservation of the growth rates of international and domestic migration, the growth of international migration flows from the South to the North and from the East to the West, the strengthening of new economically developed centers of gravity (Canada, Australia and New Zealand), the increase in migration of rural population to cities, as well as urbanization and activation of the metropolises development. The share of international tourists in comparison with the world population will be constantly increasing, and the annual growth rate of the number of international tourists will significantly depend on the world economy and may vary at the several percent level. Permanent change will occur in the age, religious-cultural and socio-economic structure of the population.

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Mountford, Andrew, and Hillel Rapoport. "Migration Policy, African Population Growth and Global Inequality." World Economy 39, no. 4 (2015): 543–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/twec.12268.

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12

Walker, Robert J. "Population Growth and its Implications for Global Security." American Journal of Economics and Sociology 75, no. 4 (2016): 980–1004. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ajes.12161.

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13

Warner, Stanley, Mark Feinstein, Raymond Coppinger, and Elisabeth Clemence. "Global Population Growth and the Demise of Nature." Environmental Values 5, no. 4 (1996): 285–301. http://dx.doi.org/10.3197/096327196776679267.

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DAULAIRE, NILS M. P. "Global Health, Population Growth, and United States Policy." Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 882, no. 1 GREAT ISSUES (1999): 192–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1749-6632.1999.tb08548.x.

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15

NISSAN, EDWARD, and REGINA CAVENY. "Regional Population Growth Rate Differences: Note." Growth and Change 19, no. 1 (1988): 67–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2257.1988.tb00463.x.

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ROGERSON, PETER A. "Geographic Perspectives on Elderly Population Growth." Growth and Change 27, no. 1 (1996): 75–95. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2257.1996.tb00897.x.

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17

KAREV, GEORGY P. "DYNAMICS OF INHOMOGENEOUS POPULATIONS AND GLOBAL DEMOGRAPHY MODELS." Journal of Biological Systems 13, no. 01 (2005): 83–104. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s0218339005001410.

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The dynamic theory of inhomogeneous populations developed during the last decade predicts several essential new dynamic regimes applicable even to the well-known, simple population models. We show that, in an inhomogeneous population with a distributed reproduction coefficient, the entire initial distribution of the coefficient should be used to investigate real population dynamics. In the general case, neither the average rate of growth nor the variance or any finite number of moments of the initial distribution is sufficient to predict the overall population growth. We developed methods for solving the heterogeneous models and explored the dynamics of the total population size together with the reproduction coefficient distribution. We show that, typically, there exists a phase of "hyper-exponential" growth that precedes the well-known exponential phase of population growth in a free regime. The developed formalism is applied to models of global demography and the problem of "population explosion" predicted by the known hyperbolic formula of world population growth. We prove here that the hyperbolic formula presents an exact solution to the Malthus model with an exponentially distributed reproduction coefficient and that "population explosion" is a corollary of certain implicit unrealistic assumptions. Alternative models of world population growth are derived; they show a notable phenomenon, a transition from protracted hyperbolical growth (the phase of "hyper-exponential" development) to the brief transitional phase of exponential growth and, subsequently, to stabilization. The model solutions are consistent with real data and produce relatively accurate forecasts.

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18

McKee, Jeffrey K., Paul W. Sciulli, C. David Fooce, and Thomas A. Waite. "Forecasting global biodiversity threats associated with human population growth." Biological Conservation 115, no. 1 (2004): 161–64. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0006-3207(03)00099-5.

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19

Meyer, William B., and B. L. Turner. "Human Population Growth and Global Land-Use/Cover Change." Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 23, no. 1 (1992): 39–61. http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev.es.23.110192.000351.

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20

Daily, G. "GLOBAL FOOD SUPPLY:Food Production, Population Growth, and the Environment." Science 281, no. 5381 (1998): 1291–92. http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.281.5381.1291.

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21

MUMFORD, STEPHEN D., and ELTON KESSEL. "Role of Abortion in Control of Global Population Growth." Clinics in Obstetrics and Gynaecology 13, no. 1 (1986): 19–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0306-3356(21)00150-3.

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22

Lanz, Bruno, Simon Dietz, and Timothy Swanson. "GLOBAL POPULATION GROWTH, TECHNOLOGY, AND MALTHUSIAN CONSTRAINTS: A QUANTITATIVE GROWTH THEORETIC PERSPECTIVE." International Economic Review 58, no. 3 (2017): 973–1006. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/iere.12242.

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23

Holzer, Thomas L., and James C. Savage. "Global Earthquake Fatalities and Population." Earthquake Spectra 29, no. 1 (2013): 155–75. http://dx.doi.org/10.1193/1.4000106.

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Modern global earthquake fatalities can be separated into two components: (1) fatalities from an approximately constant annual background rate that is independent of world population growth and (2) fatalities caused by earthquakes with large human death tolls, the frequency of which is dependent on world population. Earthquakes with death tolls greater than 100,000 (and 50,000) have increased with world population and obey a nonstationary Poisson distribution with rate proportional to population. We predict that the number of earthquakes with death tolls greater than 100,000 (50,000) will increase in the 21st century to 8.7±3.3 (20.5±4.3) from 4 (7) observed in the 20th century if world population reaches 10.1 billion in 2100. Combining fatalities caused by the background rate with fatalities caused by catastrophic earthquakes ( >100,000 fatalities) indicates global fatalities in the 21st century will be 2.57±0.64 million if the average post-1900 death toll for catastrophic earthquakes (193,000) is assumed.

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24

Sherman, Dianne. "Institutions:Zero Population Growth." Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development 35, no. 9 (1993): 43–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00139157.1993.9929128.

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25

Dumont, E. "Estimated impact of global population growth on future wilderness extent." Earth System Dynamics Discussions 3, no. 1 (2012): 433–52. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esdd-3-433-2012.

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Abstract. Wilderness areas in the world are threatened by the environmental impacts of the growing global human population. This study estimates the impact of birth rate on the future surface area of biodiverse wilderness and on the proportion of this area without major extinctions. The following four drivers are considered: human population growth (1), agricultural efficiency (2), groundwater drawdown by irrigation (3), and non-agricultural space used by humans (buildings, gardens, roads, etc.) (4). This study indicates that the surface area of biodiverse unmanaged land will reduce with about 5.4% between 2012 and 2050. Further, it indicates that the biodiverse land without major extinctions will reduce with about 10.5%. These percentages are based on a commonly used population trajectory which assumes that birth rates across the globe will reduce in a similar way as has occurred in the past in many developed countries. Future birth rate is however very uncertain. Plausible future birth rates lower than the expected rates lead to much smaller reductions in surface area of biodiverse unmanaged land (0.7% as opposed to 5.4%), and a reduction in the biodiverse land without major extinctions of about 5.6% (as opposed to 10.5%). This indicates that birth rate is an important factor influencing the quality and quantity of wilderness remaining in the future.

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26

Dyson, Tim. "Population Growth and Food Production: Recent Global and Regional Trends." Population and Development Review 20, no. 2 (1994): 397. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2137524.

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27

Jayaraman, K. S. "Science academies call for global goal of zero population growth." Nature 366, no. 6450 (1993): 3. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/366003a0.

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28

Syms, P. R. "Does OR have a role in global population growth strategy?" Journal of the Operational Research Society 62, no. 5 (2011): 929–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/jors.2010.129.

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29

Vorosmarty, C. J. "Global Water Resources: Vulnerability from Climate Change and Population Growth." Science 289, no. 5477 (2000): 284–88. http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.289.5477.284.

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30

Dutta, Prajit K., and Roy Radner. "Population growth and technological change in a global warming model." Economic Theory 29, no. 2 (2005): 251–70. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00199-005-0056-4.

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31

Giang, Dang Vu, and Dinh Cong Huong. "Extinction, persistence and global stability in models of population growth." Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications 308, no. 1 (2005): 195–207. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmaa.2004.11.027.

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32

Pimentel, David. "Global warming, population growth, and natural resources for food production." Society & Natural Resources 4, no. 4 (1991): 347–63. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/08941929109380766.

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33

Korobeinikov, Andrei, and Leonid Shaikhet. "Global asymptotic properties of a stochastic model of population growth." Applied Mathematics Letters 121 (November 2021): 107429. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aml.2021.107429.

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34

Lutz, Wolfgang. "Population: The Dynamics of Change." Outlook on Agriculture 22, no. 4 (1993): 211–19. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/003072709302200402.

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Global population growth is generally considered to be one of the major driving forces of global change. Population changes, however, follow their own dynamics and can be influenced only marginally in the short run. This paper outlines the basic structure of these dynamics, including the important momentum of population growth. It also presents alternative population projections that show that in the long run much depends on fertility trends in the near future, and that a successful curbing of population growth will result in very rapid and significant population aging.

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35

Maxwell, Bruce D., John C. Zasada, and Steven R. Radosevich. "Simulation of salmonberry and thimbleberry population establishment and growth." Canadian Journal of Forest Research 23, no. 10 (1993): 2194–203. http://dx.doi.org/10.1139/x93-272.

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A salmonberry (Rubusspectabilis Pursh) and thimbleberry (Rubusparviflorus Nutt.) population simulation model was developed and compared with field observations for verification and validation. The species-specific influence of different phenological stages (early spring bud break, early summer fruit set, and fall senescence), different environments (at different sites), and intraspecific density on demographic processes was incorporated into the model. The model predicts the number of individuals in different life-history stages at three phenological stages during a growing season. Simulations were most accurate when compared with low genet density planted populations. Salmonberry populations on a moist site were most accurately simulated. Thimbleberry simulation accuracy was reduced by poor prediction of sprout densities. Salmonberry and thimbleberry population response to an application of glyphosate was simulated and compared with observed canopy cover for 3 years following application. The simulated response was accurate for the 1st year following application, but did not account for continued canopy cover in the observed populations. Salmonberry canopy cover and mean ramet height in response to manual cutting at three phenological stages was also simulated. The model simulations indicated that the most prolonged reduction in salmonberry cover followed cutting at the reproductive stage of growth.

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36

Panigoro, Hasan S., and Emli Rahmi. "Global stability of a fractional-order logistic growth model with infectious disease." Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM) 1, no. 2 (2020): 49–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.34312/jjbm.v1i2.8135.

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Infectious disease has an influence on the density of a population. In this paper, a fractional-order logistic growth model with infectious disease is formulated. The population grows logistically and divided into two compartments i.e. susceptible and infected populations. We start by investigating the existence, uniqueness, non-negativity, and boundedness of solutions. Furthermore, we show that the model has three equilibrium points namely the population extinction point, the disease-free point, and the endemic point. The population extinction point is always a saddle point while others are conditionally asymptotically stable. For the non-trivial equilibrium points, we successfully show that the local and global asymptotic stability have the similar properties. Especially, when the endemic point exists, it is always globally asymptotically stable. We also show the existence of forward bifurcation in our model. We portray some numerical simulations consist of the phase portraits, time series, and a bifurcation diagram to validate the analytical findings.

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BOUZINAB, A., and O. ARINO. "AN AGE-DEPENDENT TWO-SEX POPULATION GROWTH." Journal of Biological Systems 02, no. 01 (1994): 13–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s0218339094000039.

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In this paper, we deal with equations for a two-sex population growth with age-dependence. We assume that births are produced by random interactions between males and females. The model yields a coupled system of two variables. Global existence and uniqueness are proved. The existence of solutions growing exponentially is shown. Finally, the asymptotic behavior of the solution is investigated (in a particular case).

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38

Heider, Bastian. "What drives urban population growth and shrinkage in postsocialist East Germany?" Growth and Change 50, no. 4 (2019): 1460–86. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/grow.12337.

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39

Álvarez‐Díaz, Marcos, Béatrice D’Hombres, Lewis Dijkstra, Claudia Ghisetti, and Nicola Pontarollo. "Unveiling the local determinants of population growth in the European Union." Growth and Change 52, no. 1 (2021): 150–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/grow.12469.

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40

Sulis, Elena, Gianluigi Bacchetta, Donatella Cogoni, and Giuseppe Fenu. "From global to local scale: where is the best for conservation purpose?" Biodiversity and Conservation 30, no. 1 (2020): 183–200. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10531-020-02085-4.

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AbstractDemographic analysis of plant populations represents an essential conservation tool allowing to identify the population trends both at global and at the local level. In this study, the population dynamics of Helianthemum caput-felis (Cistaceae) was investigated at the local level by monitoring six populations distributed in Sardinia, Balearic Islands and Ibero-Levantine coast (Alicante). Demographic data for each population were analysed by performing Integral Projection Models (IPMs). Our results showed that, although the local trend of the main basic demographic functions was similar, vital rates and demographic dynamics varied among populations indicating high variability. In fact, asymptotic growth rate in Spanish populations widely varied both between years and populations (some populations growth, decline or strongly decline), while Sardinian populations showed greater equilibrium or a slight increase. Also, the typical pattern of a long-lived species was not supported by the results at the local scale. These results indicated that different populations of the same species can present extremely different population dynamics and support the belief that, for conservation needs, local studies are more informative than global ones: the conservation status of H. caput-felis could notably vary at a small spatial scale and, accordingly, the conservation efforts must be planned at the population level and supported by local analysis.

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41

Diah Ayu Permatasari and Noam Lazuardy. "Challenges to Global Security: Population Health." Jurnal Kajian Ilmiah 20, no. 3 (2020): 225–30. http://dx.doi.org/10.31599/jki.v20i3.340.

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Abstract  Population health is one of the some challenging in global security. This trend poses new challenges and opportunities for global public health, which is centrally concerned with identifying and addressing threats to the health of vulnerable populations worldwide. Rapid population growth has to be controlled by amount and equalization by demographic. Demographic policy no doubt lies within the national jurisdiction of sovereign states. The resolution of demographic policy has to be resolved between countries. All the countries have a role to play in setting goals, and with the cooperation with WHO and WTO. Multilateral cooperation are needed to create global security to promote health for its population globally.  Keywords: Population, Health, Cooperation, Multilateral  Abstrak  Kesehatan penduduk adalah salah satu dari berbagai tantangan dalam keamanan global. Tren tersebut menghadirikan tantangan dan peluang baru bagi kesehatan masyarakat global, yang secara menyeluruh berkaitan dengan identifikasi dan penanganan ancaman terhadap kesehatan populasi yang rentan di seluruh dunia. Pertumbuhan penduduk yang cepat harus dikendalikan oleh jumlah dan pemerataan demografis. Kebijakan demografis tidak diragukan lagi terletak pada yurisdiksi nasional masing – masing negara. Resolusi kebijakan demografis harus diselesaikan antar negara. Semua negara memiliki peran untuk dilakukan dalam menetapkan tujua dengan bekerja sama dengan WHO dan WTO. Kerja sama multilateral diperlukan untuk menciptakan keamanan global guna meningkatkan kesehatan penduduksecara global.  Kata kunci: Populasi, Kesehatan, Kerja Sama, Multilateral

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42

KOUTOU, Ousmane, Boureima SANGARE, and Abou Bakari DIABATE. "Mathematical analysis of mosquito population global dynamics using delayed-logistic growth." Malaya Journal of Matematik 8, no. 4 (2020): 1898–905. http://dx.doi.org/10.26637/mjm0804/0094.

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43

Stott, R. "Global health cannot be achieved without efforts to curb population growth." BMJ 343, oct31 1 (2011): d7003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.d7003.

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44

Goldewijk, Kees Klein. "Three Centuries of Global Population Growth: A Spatial Referenced Population (Density) Database for 1700?2000." Population and Environment 26, no. 4 (2005): 343–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11111-005-3346-7.

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45

Lutz, Wolfgang, and Ren Qiang. "Determinants of human population growth." Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences 357, no. 1425 (2002): 1197–210. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2002.1121.

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The 20th century has seen unprecedented growth of the human population on this planet. While at the beginning of the century the Earth had an estimated 1.6 billion inhabitants, this number grew to 6.1 billion by the end of the century, and further significant growth is a near certainty. This paper tries to summarize what factors lie behind this extraordinary expansion of the human population and what population growth we can expect for the future. It discusses the concept of demographic transition and the preconditions for a lasting secular fertility decline. Recent fertility declines in all parts of the world now make it likely that human population growth will come to an end over the course of this century, but in parts of the developing world significant population growth is still to be expected over the coming decades. The slowing of population growth through declining birth rates, together with still increasing life expectancy, will result in a strong ageing of population age structure. Finally, this paper presents a global level systematic analysis of the relationship between population density on the one hand, and growth and fertility rates on the other. This analysis indicates that in addition to the well–studied social and economic determinants, population density also presents a significant factor for the levels and trends of human birth rates.

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46

Amano, Tatsuya, Brody Sandel, Heidi Eager, et al. "Global distribution and drivers of language extinction risk." Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 281, no. 1793 (2014): 20141574. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2014.1574.

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Many of the world's languages face serious risk of extinction. Efforts to prevent this cultural loss are severely constrained by a poor understanding of the geographical patterns and drivers of extinction risk. We quantify the global distribution of language extinction risk—represented by small range and speaker population sizes and rapid declines in the number of speakers—and identify the underlying environmental and socioeconomic drivers. We show that both small range and speaker population sizes are associated with rapid declines in speaker numbers, causing 25% of existing languages to be threatened based on criteria used for species. Language range and population sizes are small in tropical and arctic regions, particularly in areas with high rainfall, high topographic heterogeneity and/or rapidly growing human populations. By contrast, recent speaker declines have mainly occurred at high latitudes and are strongly linked to high economic growth. Threatened languages are numerous in the tropics, the Himalayas and northwestern North America. These results indicate that small-population languages remaining in economically developed regions are seriously threatened by continued speaker declines. However, risks of future language losses are especially high in the tropics and in the Himalayas, as these regions harbour many small-population languages and are undergoing rapid economic growth.

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47

Peterson, E. Wesley F. "The Role of Population in Economic Growth." SAGE Open 7, no. 4 (2017): 215824401773609. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/2158244017736094.

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The relationship between population growth and economic growth is controversial. This article draws on historical data to chart the links between population growth, growth in per capita output, and overall economic growth over the past 200 years. Low population growth in high-income countries is likely to create social and economic problems while high population growth in low-income countries may slow their development. International migration could help to adjust these imbalances but is opposed by many. Drawing on economic analyses of inequality, it appears that lower population growth and limited migration may contribute to increased national and global economic inequality.

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48

Preston, Samuel H. "Population Growth and Economic Development." Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development 28, no. 2 (1986): 6–10. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00139157.1986.9929874.

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49

Sullivan, Thomas P. "Influence of forest herbicide on snowshoe hare population dynamics: reproduction, growth, and survival." Canadian Journal of Forest Research 26, no. 1 (1996): 112–19. http://dx.doi.org/10.1139/x26-012.

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This study was designed to assess the influence of forest applications of glyphosate herbicide on reproduction, growth, and survival in snowshoe hare (Lepusamericanus Erxleben) populations in control (reference) and treatment habitats near Prince George, B.C. Proportion of adult hares in breeding condition and number of successful pregnancies showed no consistent differences between control and treatment populations. Recruitment of hares was generally similar except for significantly more juvenile females entering the control than treatment population at one study area. At a second study area, total recruitment was significantly higher in the treatment than control population for both sexes in 1990 and for adult females in 1991, the 2 post-treatment years. There was little difference in survival of hares between control and treatment populations. Lack of significant differences in mean body mass and growth rates suggested that this herbicide treatment had little or no effect on metabolic or general physiological processes in the development of young hares. Similar profiles of body mass distribution between control and treatment populations indicated that comparable levels of biomass of hares were available as prey for predators. Use of this forest herbicide did not measurably affect demographic parameters of snowshoe hare populations.

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50

Merkens, Jan-Ludolf, Daniel Lincke, Jochen Hinkel, Sally Brown, and Athanasios Thomas Vafeidis. "Regionalisation of population growth projections in coastal exposure analysis." Climatic Change 151, no. 3-4 (2018): 413–26. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2334-8.

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Journal articles on the topic 'Global population growth'

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