Academic literature on the topic 'Hydrodynamic weather forecasting – Southern hemisphere'

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Journal articles on the topic "Hydrodynamic weather forecasting – Southern hemisphere"

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Caron, Jean-François, and Mark Buehner. "Scale-Dependent Background Error Covariance Localization: Evaluation in a Global Deterministic Weather Forecasting System." Monthly Weather Review 146, no. 5 (2018): 1367–81. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-17-0369.1.

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Abstract Scale-dependent localization (SDL) consists of applying the appropriate (i.e., different) amount of localization to different ranges of background error covariance spatial scales while simultaneously assimilating all of the available observations. The SDL method proposed by Buehner and Shlyaeva for ensemble–variational (EnVar) data assimilation was tested in a 3D-EnVar version of the Canadian operational global data assimilation system. It is shown that a horizontal-scale-dependent horizontal localization leads to implicit vertical-level-dependent, variable-dependent, and location-dep
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Villela, Rubens J. "Radio weather transmissions in the Antarctic." Polar Record 27, no. 161 (1991): 103–14. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0032247400012225.

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AbstractDuring seven summer Brazilian expeditions to the Antarctic Peninsula area the author used radio weather transmissions to collect data for synoptic analysis and operational weather forecasting. A particularly intensive effort aboard Barão de Teffé in 1989–90 yielded detailed information on frequencies, schedules, procedures and contents, which should be useful to radio-operators, meteorologists, and other Antarctic workers since official publications listing Antarctic radio transmissions are out-dated or incomplete. Radiotelegraph broadcasts particularly valuable to mariners, which may
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KULIKOVA, I. A., E. N. KRUGLOVA, and V. M. KHAN. "EVALUATION OF PRACTICAL PREDICTABILITY OF BLOCKING ANTICYCLONES USING MODERN HYDRODYNAMIC MODELS." Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya, no. 1 (January 2022): 5–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.52002/0130-2906-2022-1-5-23.

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The problem of predictability of atmospheric processes such as blocking in the Northern Hemisphere on intraseasonal timescales is considered using the operational version of the semi-Lagrangian atmosphere model for long-rahge forecasting (SL-AV) of the Hydrometcenter of Russia, as well as the U.K. Met Office coupled atmosphere-ocean model (UKMO) and the reanalysis of the European Center for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ERA5). It is shown that beyond the first forecast week, the quality of deterministic forecasts drops sharply, and the forecast error grows rapidly. The use of probabilistic f
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Gregory, Paul, Frederic Vitart, Rabi Rivett, Andrew Brown, and Yuriy Kuleshov. "Subseasonal Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones in the Southern Hemisphere Using a Dynamical Multimodel Ensemble." Weather and Forecasting 35, no. 5 (2020): 1817–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-20-0050.1.

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AbstractSubseasonal tropical cyclone forecasts from two operational forecast models are verified for the 2017/18 and 2018/19 Southern Hemisphere cyclone seasons. The forecasts are generated using the ECMWF’s Medium- and Extended-Range Ensemble Integrated Forecasting System (IFS), and the Bureau of Meteorology’s seasonal forecasting system ACCESS-S1. Results show the IFS is more skillful than ACCESS-S1, which is attributed to the IFS’s greater ensemble size, increased spatial resolution, and data assimilation schemes. Applying a lagged ensemble with ACCESS-S1 increases forecast reliability, wit
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Gonzalez, Sergi, Manuel Bañon, José V. Albero, et al. "Weather Observations of Remote Polar Areas Using an AWS Onboard a Unique Zero-Emissions Polar Vehicle." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 100, no. 10 (2019): 1891–95. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-19-0110.1.

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AbstractThe Antarctic Plateau is one of the land areas with the largest gaps in surface weather observations on Earth, gaps that are usually filled with simulations provided by climate models. However, these simulated values must be ground-validated, which is particularly difficult and costly in remote polar regions. We designed and developed a Mobile Automatic Weather Station (M-AWS) which, on board a zero-emissions polar vehicle, recorded a large set of ground measurements that could be used to evaluate numerical weather simulations in an inexpensive way during the Year of Polar Prediction S
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Riordan, Allen J. "Forecasting for a Remote Island: A Class Exercise." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 84, no. 6 (2003): 777–84. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/bams-84-6-777.

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Students enrolled in a satellite meteorology course at North Carolina State University, Raleigh, recently had an unusual opportunity to apply their forecast skills to predict wind and weather conditions for a remote site in the Southern Hemisphere. For about 40 days starting in early February 2001, students used satellite and model guidance to develop forecasts to support a research team stationed on Bouvet Island (54°26′S, 3°24′E). Internet products together with current output from NCEP's Aviation (AVN) model supported the activity. Wind forecasts were of particular interest to the Bouvet te
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Khalid, Arslaan, Andre de Souza de Lima, Felicio Cassalho, Tyler Miesse, and Celso Ferreira. "Hydrodynamic and Wave Responses During Storm Surges on the Southern Brazilian Coast: A Real-Time Forecast System." Water 12, no. 12 (2020): 3397. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w12123397.

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Coastal flooding is a global phenomenon that results in severe economic losses, threatens lives, and impacts coastal communities worldwide. While recent developments in real-time flood forecasting systems provide crucial information to support coastal communities during coastal disasters, there remains a challenge to implement such systems in data-poor regions. This study demonstrates an operational real-time coupled surge wave guidance system for the coastal areas of Southern Brazil. This system is based on the recently developed integrated flood (iFLOOD) model, which utilizes the coupled hyd
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Sapucci, Luiz F., Dirceu L. Herdies, and Renata W. B. Mendonça. "The Inclusion of IWV Estimates from AIRS/AMSU and SSM/I Sensors into the CPTEC/INPE Global Data Assimilation System." Monthly Weather Review 141, no. 1 (2013): 93–111. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-10-05061.1.

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Abstract Water vapor plays a crucial role in atmospheric processes and its distribution is associated with cloud-cover fraction and rainfall. The inclusion of integrated water vapor (IWV) estimates in numerical weather prediction improves the vertical structure of the humidity analysis and consequently contributes to obtaining a more realistic atmospheric state. Currently, satellite remote sensing is the most important source of humidity measurements in the Southern Hemisphere, providing information with good horizontal resolution and global coverage. In this study, the inclusion of IWV retrie
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Gonzalez, Sergi, Alfons Callado, Mauricia Martínez та Benito Elvira. "The AEMET-<i>γ</i>SREPS over the Antarctic Peninsula and the impact of kilometric-resolution EPS on logistic activities on the continent". Advances in Science and Research 17 (8 жовтня 2020): 209–17. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/asr-17-209-2020.

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Abstract. Kilometric-resolution Ensemble Prediction Systems (EPSs) will be the new state-of-the-art forecasting tools for short-range prediction in the following decade. Their value will be even greater in Antarctica due to the increasingly demanding weather forecasts for logistic services. During the 2018–2019 austral summer (1 December–31 March), coinciding with the Southern Hemisphere Special Observation Period of the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP), the 2.5 km AEMET-γSREPS was operationally integrated over the Antarctic Peninsula. In particular, the Antarctic version of γSREPS comes up wit
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Mihalikova, M., and S. Kirkwood. "Tropopause fold occurrence rates over the Antarctic station Troll (72° S, 2.5° E)." Annales Geophysicae 31, no. 4 (2013): 591–98. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/angeo-31-591-2013.

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Abstract. One of the important mechanisms of stratosphere–troposphere exchange, which brings ozone-rich stratospheric air to low altitudes in extratropical regions, is transport related to tropopause folds. The climatology of folds has been studied at high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere with the help of radars and global models. Global models supply information about fold occurrence rates at high latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere as well, but so far comparisons with direct measurements are rare. The Moveable Atmospheric Radar for Antarctica (MARA), a 54.5 MHz wind-profiler radar, has
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Book chapters on the topic "Hydrodynamic weather forecasting – Southern hemisphere"

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Rana, Vaishali I., Azazkhan I. Pathan, Dhruvesh P. Patel, Prasit G. Agnihotri, and Samir B. Patel. "Flood Assessment Using Hydrodynamic HEC-RAS Modelling." In Artificial Intelligence of Things for Weather Forecasting and Climatic Behavioral Analysis. IGI Global, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/978-1-6684-3981-4.ch011.

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River flooding causes several human and financial casualties, and hence, it is necessary to perform research studies and implement subsequent actions consistent with the nature of the river. To minimize flood damage, floodplain zoning is a prominent non-structural measure in planning the areas surrounding the river. The present study uses HEC-RAS Version 5 to develop a flood model for the Chandan River, situated in the southern part of Balaghat district. The Digital Elevation Model (DEM) used for this analysis is 30m open source CartoDEM V-3 R1. The peak floods of 1990, 2002, and 2006 are taken into consideration. The river reach is divided into 48 cross sections, and a one-dimensional steady flow analysis is performed on HEC-RAS to assess the flood. The depths observed in the floods of 1990, 2005, and 2006 are 5.99 m, 3.2 m, and 3.49 m, respectively. The coefficient of correlation (R2) is obtained as 0.954 which shows the consistency and accuracy of the model. This study can help governing bodies to plan the city and attenuate the losses caused by floods in the Chandan River.
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