Relevant bibliographies by topics / Improbable events

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  1. Journal articles
  2. Dissertations / Theses
  3. Books
  4. Book chapters
  5. Conference papers

Academic literature on the topic 'Improbable events'

Author: Grafiati
Published: 4 June 2021
Last updated: 1 February 2022

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Journal articles on the topic "Improbable events"

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Kleinert, H. "Fractional field equations for highly improbable events." Journal of Physics: Conference Series 442 (June 10, 2013): 012019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/442/1/012019.

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Fuentemilla, Lluís, David Cucurell, Josep Marco-Pallarés, Marc Guitart-Masip, Joaquín Morís, and Antoni Rodríguez-Fornells. "Electrophysiological correlates of anticipating improbable but desired events." NeuroImage 78 (September 2013): 135–44. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.neuroimage.2013.03.062.

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Lampel, Joseph, Jamal Shamsie, and Zur Shapira. "Experiencing the Improbable: Rare Events and Organizational Learning." Organization Science 20, no. 5 (2009): 835–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/orsc.1090.0479.

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Fink, A. M., and L. Bass. "The likely antecedents of improbable events: optimal search strategies." Journal of the Australian Mathematical Society. Series B. Applied Mathematics 34, no. 3 (1993): 257–73. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0334270000008882.

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AbstractWe use the “Brownian Bridge” of Schrödinger to model a statistical search problem in which the initial and final distributions of a random motion are given. We raise the question of how to use this information to optimally reconstruct a likely past event.
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Weisberg, Deena Skolnick, and David M. Sobel. "Young children discriminate improbable from impossible events in fiction." Cognitive Development 27, no. 1 (2012): 90–98. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cogdev.2011.08.001.

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Katz, Jonathan. "Why There Is Something: The Anthropic Principle and Improbable Events." Dialogue 27, no. 1 (1988): 111–20. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s001221730001951x.

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The Anthropic Principle, in use by physicists, astronomers, and cosmologists, is currently under consideration by philosophers. This principle, in its various forms, appeals to man's existence as a constraint on our determination of natural laws and natural constants, as a principle of prediction, and, in its strongest form, as a principle of explanation which sanctions an argument for the universe being a product of design. What I shall endeavour to show here is (1) how this principle, in its various forms, is used in furthering our understanding of cosmology, and (2) why this principle canno
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Woolley, Jacqueline D., and Chelsea A. Cornelius. "Wondering how: Children’s and adults’ explanations for mundane, improbable, and extraordinary events." Psychonomic Bulletin & Review 24, no. 5 (2017): 1586–96. http://dx.doi.org/10.3758/s13423-016-1127-1.

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Shtulman, Andrew, and Susan Carey. "Improbable or Impossible? How Children Reason About the Possibility of Extraordinary Events." Child Development 78, no. 3 (2007): 1015–32. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8624.2007.01047.x.

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Stoutenburg, Gregory. "THE EPISTEMIC ANALYSIS OF LUCK." Episteme 12, no. 3 (2015): 319–34. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/epi.2014.35.

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AbstractDuncan Pritchard has argued that luck is fundamentally a modal notion: an event is lucky when it occurs in the actual world, but does not occur in more than half of the relevant nearby possible worlds. Jennifer Lackey has provided counterexamples to accounts which, like Pritchard's, only allow for the existence of improbable lucky events. Neil Levy has responded to Lackey by offering a modal account of luck which attempts to respect the intuition that some lucky events occur in more than half of the relevant nearby possible worlds. But his account rejects that events which are as likel
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Shaw, Eric H. "Eric H. Shaw: reflections on an improbable academic career." Journal of Historical Research in Marketing 11, no. 1 (2019): 12–34. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jhrm-12-2018-0061.

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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to describe the author’s serendipitous career and provide some lessons that might be of value to those pursuing the academic mission: teaching, research and service. Design/methodology/approach The method involves primary sources; mainly the author’s CV to jog recall of events and dates, some of his articles and the teachings and writings of many others that influenced or inspired various aspects of the author’s career. Findings The author’s experiences affirm that to achieve any degree of success in the professoriate, in addition to having some talent it i
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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Improbable events"

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Stockbridge, Germaine Maria. "Crafting coincidence : the rhetoric of improbable events." Thesis, University of York, 2017. http://etheses.whiterose.ac.uk/18847/.

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This study develops a sociological approach to the study of coincidence. It uses real-life, textual accounts of coincidences sourced from the Cambridge Coincidence Collection to examine the ways in which events are constructed as coincidences and as non-coincidences in discourse. This is a direct departure from previous research in the field of coincidence studies, which has predominantly focused on ontological questions of coincidence. The aim of this study was to identify rhetorical devices people use in coincidence accounts. It draws on a broadly discourse analytical approach, examining the
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Kennon, Denzil. "Improbable circumstances strategic framework." Thesis, Stellenbosch : University of Stellenbosch, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/3000.

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Thesis (MScEng (Industrial Engineering))--University of Stellenbosch, 2010.<br>ENGLISH SUMMARY: The research documents the development of a conceptual framework, the improbable circumstances strategic (ICS) framework, which guides organisations in the preparation for improbable circumstances. Four fields include: strategic management, innovation, systems thinking and complexity theories (black swans). The black swan principle was introduced with its applicability to the 2008 economic crisis. The black swan is an event which is retrospective in its predictability, highly improbable and carries
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Books on the topic "Improbable events"

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Searching for Whitopia: An improbable journey to the heart of white America. Hyperion, 2009.

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Seigel, Michael. Improbable Events: Murder at Ellenton Hall. iUniverse, Inc., 2005.

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Improbable Events: Murder at Ellenton Hall. iUniverse, Inc., 2005.

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Shapiro, Larry. The Miracle Myth. Columbia University Press, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.7312/columbia/9780231178402.001.0001.

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There are many who believe Moses parted the Red Sea and Jesus came back from the dead. Others are certain that exorcisms occur, ghosts haunt attics, and the blessed can cure the terminally ill. Though miracles are immensely improbable, people have embraced them for millennia, seeing in them proof of a supernatural world that resists scientific explanation. Helping us to think more critically about our belief in the improbable, The Miracle Myth casts a skeptical eye on attempts to justify belief in the supernatural, laying bare the fallacies that such attempts commit. Through arguments and acce
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Swinburne, Richard. The Argument from Colors and Flavors. Oxford University Press, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780190842215.003.0018.

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A physical event is one to which no one person has privileged access (by experiencing it), and a mental event is one to which its subject has privileged access. Mental events include conscious events; brain events are physical events. A fundamental physical theory has few physical laws. But mental events include many different unanalyzable sensations, and innumerable different “propositional” events. So if mind-brain connections are lawlike, there will be innumerable independent psychophysical laws. It is improbable that such a vast number of laws would have come into existence by chance; but
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Bryan, Daniel, and Craig Tello. Yes: My Improbable Journey to the Main Event of WrestleMania. St. Martin's Griffin, 2016.

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Bryan, Daniel, Craig Tello, and Peter Berkrot. Yes: My Improbable Journey to the Main Event of WrestleMania. Macmillan Audio, 2015.

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Bryan, Daniel. Yes!: My Improbable Journey to the Main Event of WrestleMania. Penguin Random House, 2015.

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Bryan, Daniel. Yes!: My improbable journey to the main event of WrestleMania. 2015.

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Yes!: My Improbable Journey to the Main Event of Wrestlemania. Penguin Random House, 2016.

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Book chapters on the topic "Improbable events"

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Plath, P. J., and J. Schwietering. "Improbable Events in Deterministically Growing Patterns." In Beiträge zur Graphischen Datenverarbeitung. Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1992. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-95678-2_13.

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Shapiro, Larry. "Justifying Belief in Improbable Events." In The Miracle Myth. Columbia University Press, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.7312/columbia/9780231178402.003.0004.

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Miracles are supposed to be extraordinarily rare. But a mathematical result shows that the rarer a phenomenon, the more reliable any testimony regarding its occurrence must be in order for us to be justified in believing it. This means that testimony on behalf of miracles must be especially good if it is to be accepted as true.
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"4. Justifying Belief in Improbable Events." In The Miracle Myth. Columbia University Press, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.7312/shap17840-005.

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Elliott, Andrew C. A. "Isn’t That a Coincidence?" In What are the Chances of That? Oxford University Press, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198869023.003.0005.

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Coincidences are often so striking that they tempt us into trying to find meaning in what is random. But because any coincidence is only observed after the fact, they are subject to hindsight bias, and are very difficult to properly analyse in a rigorous way. Jung and Koestler embraced the idea of synchronicity, an idea that is now discredited. This chapter presents an approach to analysing coincidences, and concludes with the idea of the law of very large numbers, which says that, given enough opportunities, even the most improbable events will eventually happen.
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Smithies, Declan. "Luminosity." In The Epistemic Role of Consciousness. Oxford University Press, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780199917662.003.0011.

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Chapter 11 defends the thesis that some phenomenal and epistemic conditions are luminous in the sense that you’re always in a position to know whether or not they obtain. Section 11.1 draws a distinction between epistemic and doxastic senses of luminosity and argues that some conditions are epistemically luminous even if none are doxastically luminous. Section 11.2 uses this distinction in solving Ernest Sosa’s version of the problem of the speckled hen. The same distinction is applied to Timothy Williamson’s anti-luminosity argument in section 11.3, his argument against epistemic iteration principles in section 11.4, and his argument for improbable knowing in section 11.5. Section 11.6 concludes by explaining why this defense of luminosity is not merely a pointless compromise.
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Einboden, Jeffrey. "“Conquest is Close”." In Jefferson's Muslim Fugitives. Oxford University Press, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780190844479.003.0013.

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This chapter focuses on Ira P. Nash, who wrote a letter to President Jefferson about two Muslim fugitives in western Kentucky. The unusual aspects of Nash’s career and character made him an apt conduit that could link two Muslims jailed in Kentucky with Thomas Jefferson, wielding power as the President in D.C. There was another quirk in Nash’s personality, however, that may have prompted him to intervene in this improbable story—a quirk he shared with the President. Among his many oddities was Nash’s fascination with encoded identities and words difficult to decipher. Like Jefferson, Nash was a devotee of “the secret art of writing,” and like the President, Nash was adept too at retaining his own anonymity, enciphering even his own family’s name.
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Gorman, Sara E., and Jack M. Gorman. "Risk Perception and Probability." In Denying to the Grave. Oxford University Press, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197547458.003.0007.

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This chapter studies the psychology of risk perception, starting with an overview of classic risk perception theory. When it comes to health, people are intolerant of risks of harm that feel uncontrollable while they are perfectly content to accept risks that they perceive are within their control, even if these perceptions are incorrect. These dangerous health misperceptions fall under the psychological category called “uncontrollable risk.” The chapter assesses the question of why many statistically improbable risks seem much more relevant to people than statistically probable ones. It then looks at some of the heuristics and biases that affect risk perception. People’s brains are not designed for linear risk perception even though that is how the world really is. Recognizing this is a crucial step in correcting mistakes when making health decisions and in planning interventions to help people make those decisions on a scientific basis.
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Knust, Jennifer, and Tommy Wasserman. "Was the Pericope Adulterae Suppressed?" In To Cast the First Stone. Princeton University Press, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.23943/princeton/9780691169880.003.0005.

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This chapter addresses the possibility that the pericope adulterae was deleted rather than interpolated. Contemporary scholars have often suggested that the unusual history of the pericope adulterae can best be explained by its seemingly radical content. In a world where adultery on the part of women was heavily censured, this story may have pushed the limits of Christian mercy too far, especially since the earliest Christians were often accused of sexual misconduct. In addition, the woman showed no apparent signs of repentance. Nevertheless, outright deletion or intentional suppression are both highly improbable: scribes and scholars were trained never to delete, even when they doubted the authenticity of a given passage, and the widespread affection for stories about adulterous women across the ancient world belies the thesis that this story was censored.
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"A Comparative Study on Data Mining for Improbable Yet Critical Fatal Event of Car Accidents Using Sequential Covering Algorithm." In Intelligent Engineering Systems through Artificial Neural Networks, Volume 16. ASME Press, 2006. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/1.802566.paper100.

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Tyrrell, Toby. "The Puzzle of Life’s Long Persistence." In On Gaia. Princeton University Press, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.23943/princeton/9780691121581.003.0009.

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This chapter looks at two separate viewpoints which can be used as a foundation for the consideration of what long-term life persistence means for the evaluation of Gaia. As part of describing one view, it explains why atmospheric CO2 is susceptible to rapid change. As a consequence, the Earth could, in theory, quite easily have shifted to a state of freezing cold or of boiling heat within only a short interval of geologic time. In either case, if the shift was extreme enough, life can be expected to have been completely and irrevocably extinguished. That such a shift never took place, that all life never perished even once over such an immensity of time, seems an improbable outcome. The second view is based on the so-called anthropic principle. In contrast, it cautions that, given that humans are here, life must necessarily have survived.
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Conference papers on the topic "Improbable events"

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Yang, Suwen, and Mark R. Greenstreet. "Simulating Improbable Events." In 2007 44th ACM/IEEE Design Automation Conference. IEEE, 2007. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/dac.2007.375143.

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Yang, Suwen, and Mark R. Greenstreet. "Simulating improbable events." In the 44th annual conference. ACM Press, 2007. http://dx.doi.org/10.1145/1278480.1278518.

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G. Verdenius, J. "Probable and improbable results in probabilistic correlation of biostratigraphic events." In 55th EAEG Meeting. European Association of Geoscientists & Engineers, 1993. http://dx.doi.org/10.3997/2214-4609.201411828.

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Di Sisto, Paolo, and Daniele Benericetti. "Risk Assessment of Gas Turbines Rotors That Have Exceeded Their Design End of Life." In ASME Turbo Expo 2015: Turbine Technical Conference and Exposition. American Society of Mechanical Engineers, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/gt2015-42865.

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The paper will describe the main outcomes of a risk assessment performed by General Electric O&amp;G (GE O&amp;G) in 2013 on a large number of gas turbine rotors that had exceeded their design end of life (EOL). The assessment involves a large number of medium frames (e.g. MS3002J, MS5002C) plus small industrial gas turbines (e.g. MS1002, PGT10). The design end of life is the lifespan inside which the risk of uncontained failure is expected to be improbable and this means the failure has a probability of occurrence of 0.12 total events or less during the life of five hundred gas turbines opera
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Nanstad, Randy K., B. Richard Bass, Thomas M. Rosseel, John G. Merkle, and Mikhail A. Sokolov. "Heavy-Section Steel Technology and Irradiation Programs: Retrospective and Prospective Views." In ASME 2007 Pressure Vessels and Piping Conference. ASMEDC, 2007. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/pvp2007-26677.

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In 1965, the Atomic Energy Commission (AEC), at the advice of the Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards (ACRS), initiated the process that resulted in the establishment of the Heavy Section Steel Technology (HSST) Program at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). Dr. Spencer H. Bush of Battelle Northwest Laboratory, the man being honored by this symposium, representing the ACRS, was one of the Staff Advisors for the program and helped to guide its technical direction. In 1989, the Heavy-Section Steel Irradiation (HSSI) Program, formerly the HSST task on irradiation effects, was formed as a s
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