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1

Paquet, Alain. "Inflationary expectations and rationality." Economics Letters 40, no. 3 (1992): 303–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0165-1765(92)90009-n.

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2

Jung, W. S. "Inflationary expectations with heterogeneous information: ‘generational expectations’." Applied Economics 22, no. 9 (1990): 1267–75. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00036849000000045.

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3

Takemori, Shumpei, and Lioudmila Savtchenko. "Monetary Regimes and Inflationary Expectations." Japanese Economy 35, no. 4 (2008): 3–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.2753/jes1097-203x350401.

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4

Grant, Alan P., and Lloyd B. Thomas. "Inflationary expectations and rationality revisited." Economics Letters 62, no. 3 (1999): 331–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0165-1765(98)00244-4.

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5

Webley, Paul, and Russell Spears. "Economic preferences and inflationary expectations." Journal of Economic Psychology 7, no. 3 (1986): 359–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0167-4870(86)90026-7.

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6

Moazzami, Bakhtiar. "Interest rates and inflationary expectations." Journal of Banking & Finance 14, no. 6 (1990): 1163–70. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0378-4266(90)90007-o.

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7

Webley, Paul, J. Richard Eiser, and Russell Spears. "Inflationary expectations and policy preferences." Economics Letters 28, no. 3 (1988): 239–41. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0165-1765(88)90122-x.

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8

João Sicsú. "Expectativas inflacionárias no regime de metas de inflação: uma análise preliminar do caso brasileiro." Economia Aplicada 6, no. 4 (2002): 703–11. https://doi.org/10.11606/1413-8050/ea220044.

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This paper aims to show some interesting relationships between credibility-reputation economic theory and inflationary expectations - since Brazil adopted inflation target regime, in June of 1999. The main findings are, at first, that Central Bank of Brazil (CBB) has high capacity to influence inflationary expectations if it was successful in reaching its inflation target in recent years, secondly, inflationary expectations are heterogeneous when CBB has high reputation but its inflation targets are loosing credibility.
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9

Fair, Ray C. "Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior." Review of Economics and Statistics 75, no. 1 (1993): 8. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2109621.

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10

Darvish, Tikva, and Nava Kahana. "Inflationary Expectations and Consumption over Time." American Economist 34, no. 2 (1990): 85–87. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/056943459003400214.

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11

Jonung, Lars. "Uncertainty about inflationary perceptions and expectations." Journal of Economic Psychology 7, no. 3 (1986): 315–25. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0167-4870(86)90023-1.

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12

HOLDEN, K., and D. A. PEEL. "AN EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION OF INFLATIONARY EXPECTATIONS." Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 39, no. 4 (2009): 291–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0084.1977.mp39004003.x.

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13

Cukierman, Alex. "Measuring inflationary expectations: A review essay." Journal of Monetary Economics 17, no. 2 (1986): 315–24. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(86)90035-8.

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14

Musoke, Nathan, and Richard Easther. "Expectations for inflationary observables: simple or natural?" Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics 2017, no. 12 (2017): 032. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1475-7516/2017/12/032.

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15

Wahlroos, Björn, and Tom Berglund. "Stock returns, inflationary expectations and real activity." Journal of Banking & Finance 10, no. 3 (1986): 377–89. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0378-4266(86)80027-9.

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16

Roseveare, Debbie, and Campbell Millar. "Testing the rationality of manufacturers' inflationary expectations∗." New Zealand Economic Papers 22, no. 1 (1988): 3–13. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00779958809544134.

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17

Roca, Santiago, and Rodrigo Priale. "Devaluation, Inflationary Expectations and Stabilisation in Peru." Journal of Economic Studies 14, no. 1 (1987): 5–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/eb002640.

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18

Yoo, Jang H., and Hak K. Pyo. "Inflationary expectations,“endogenous money,” and economic growth." Journal of Macroeconomics 8, no. 3 (1986): 337–53. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0164-0704(86)90065-0.

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19

Leeson, Robert. "Phillips, inflationary expectations, and the unemployment‐reducing inflationary trade‐off: Reply to chappie." New Zealand Economic Papers 31, no. 1 (1997): 49–63. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00779959709544265.

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20

Klachkova, O. A. "IMPACT OF INFLATIONARY EXPECTATIONS ON LONG-RUN CONSEQUENCES OF INFLATION." Вестник Института экономики Российской академии наук, no. 1 (2024): 113–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.52180/2073-6487_2024_1_113_123.

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In this paper we propose a dynamic general equilibrium model on the basis of Sidrausky's model, which takes into account the process of formation of inflationary expectations by consumers and firms. As a result of the model analysis we obtain that higher expected inflation rate leads to the lower output per employee. The article also provides a comparative characteristics of the impact of the monetary policy on the long-term equilibrium, depending on the formation of inflationary expectations of economic agents and the policy of setting the Central Bank's key rate.
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21

Gottlieb, Daniel, Rafi Melnick, and Sylvia Piterman. "Inflationary Expectations in Israel: A Multiple Indicators Approach." Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 3, no. 2 (1985): 112. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1391863.

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22

Gottlieb, Daniel, Rafi Melnick, and Sylvia Piterman. "Inflationary Expectations in Israel: A Multiple Indicators Approach." Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 3, no. 2 (1985): 112–17. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07350015.1985.10509438.

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23

Levin, Jay H. "Inflationary Expectations, Variable Output, and Exchange-Rate Dynamics." Review of International Economics 4, no. 1 (1996): 40–53. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9396.1996.tb00082.x.

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24

Bhuiyan, Rokon. "Inflationary expectations and monetary policy: evidence from Bangladesh." Empirical Economics 44, no. 3 (2012): 1155–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00181-012-0595-z.

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25

Barth, James R., and Michael D. Bradley. "On interest rates, inflationary expectations and tax rates." Journal of Banking & Finance 12, no. 2 (1988): 215–20. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0378-4266(88)90036-2.

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26

Loría Díaz de Guzmán, Eduardo Gilberto, Gustavo Javier Valdez Bonecchi, and Mario Alberto Robles Juárez. "Pricing Process in Mexico: New Evidence on the Inflation Dynamics." Ecos de Economía 25, no. 52 (2022): 4–25. http://dx.doi.org/10.17230/ecos.2021.52.1.

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We analyze the inflation dynamics in Mexico during inflation targeting period by a GMM estimate of the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve in its open and closed economy versions. We update and discuss previous results and expand the capacity of this tool to analyze inflationary dynamics by incorporating the exchange rate on labor costs. We find: a) robust evidence of adaptive and rational expectations; b) incorporating the exchange rate improves the inflation fit; c) this version of the Phillips Curve has strengthened since Great Recession, and e) expectations formation process changes during
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27

BOOTH, ALAN. "INFLATION, EXPECTATIONS, AND THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF CONSERVATIVE BRITAIN, 1951–1964." Historical Journal 43, no. 3 (2000): 827–47. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0018246x00001357.

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Analysis of policy after 1945 has been profoundly shaped by the idea of a post-war settlement, which is increasingly viewed as inherently inflationary. For much of the period 1951–64, British economic policy was centrally focused on reducing inflation. The extension of sterling's convertibility in the mid-1950s forced British policy-makers to be sensitive to overseas perceptions of British policy and performance. At the beginning of the Conservative government's period in office, monetary policy was believed to be the most effective instrument to control inflation, but its limitations slowly b
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28

Arefiev, Serhii, Iryna Miahkykh, Samira Piletska, and Iryna Sopilko. "Inflation processes as determinants of development of the economic activity subjects: economic and legal aspects." SHS Web of Conferences 67 (2019): 04001. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/shsconf/20196704001.

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Today, inflation takes one of the leading places among the factors that give rise to social and economic destabilization. The purpose of the study is to determine the nature of inflation and its impact on the real sector of the economy, as well as factors that it generates in the process of distributing and redistributing financial resources and justifying measures to offset the negative effects of inflationary impact on the Ukrainian economy. The authors used the following methods of research: systematic approach, theoretical and empirical methods of scientific knowledge. The essence of infla
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29

Salomon, Marcelo F. "Regime Switches, Biased Expectations, and the Brazilian Inflationary Experience." Review of Development Economics 7, no. 2 (2003): 294–310. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1467-9361.00192.

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30

Hudson, John, and Richard Lark. "A polychotomous probit measure and analysis of inflationary expectations." Journal of Macroeconomics 11, no. 2 (1989): 269–80. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0164-0704(89)90042-6.

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31

Koedijk, Kees G., Clemens J. M. Kool, and Tjerk R. P. J. Kroes. "Changes in world real interest rates and inflationary expectations." Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv 130, no. 4 (1994): 712–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/bf02707533.

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32

Reichenstein, William, and J. Walter Elliott. "A comparison of models of long-term inflationary expectations." Journal of Monetary Economics 19, no. 3 (1987): 405–25. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(87)90006-7.

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33

Walter Elliot, J., and William Reichenstein. "A monetary approach to measuring long-run inflationary expectations." Journal of Economics and Business 39, no. 4 (1987): 327–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0148-6195(87)90026-9.

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34

Ellison, Martin, Sang Seok Lee, and Kevin Hjortshøj O’Rourke. "The Ends of 27 Big Depressions." American Economic Review 114, no. 1 (2024): 134–68. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.20221479.

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How did countries recover from the Great Depression? In this paper, we explore the argument that leaving the gold standard helped by boosting inflationary expectations, lowering real interest rates, and stimulating interest-sensitive expenditures. We do so for a sample of 27 countries, using modern nowcasting methods and a new data-set containing more than 230,000 monthly and quarterly observations for over 1,500 variables. In those cases where the departure from gold happened on well-defined dates, inflationary expectations clearly rose in the wake of departure. Instrumental variable, differe
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35

Korkishko, Grigory. "Estimation of Aggregate Expectations of Economic Agents by Using Derivatives." Administrative Consulting 97, no. 1 (2017): 218–25. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14959092.

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Macroeconomic theories based on expectations of economic agents appeared at the end of the last century. There are various ways of defining these expectations, and in this paper we propose to estimate the economic expectations on the basis of official data about transactions in derivative financial instruments.Using data of trades on the Moscow stock exchange were analyzed arbitrage strategy spot-futures and futures-futures for the purpose of estimating inflation expectations of investors. To assess suggestions about the stability of the economy were considered options
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36

Kulumbekova, T. E. "INFLATION AND INFLATION EXPECTATIONS IN MODERN CONDITIONS." EKONOMIKA I UPRAVLENIE: PROBLEMY, RESHENIYA 4, no. 12 (2021): 4–11. http://dx.doi.org/10.36871/ek.up.p.r.2021.12.04.001.

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The article examines the prerequisites for the emergence of inflation and inflationary expecta-tions, and tools for their minimization on the example of two federal districts - the Southern and North Cauca-sian Federal Districts and one subject of each of these districts (North Ossetia-Alania and the Republic of Crimea). The parameters of inflation and the main indicators, as well as their impact on inflation and inflation expectations are given.
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37

HARASHIMA, Taiji. "A THEORY OF DEFLATION: CAN EXPECTATIONS BE INFLUENCED BY A CENTRAL BANK?" Theoretical and Practical Research in the Economic Fields 7, no. 2 (2016): 98. http://dx.doi.org/10.14505/tpref.v7.2(14).02.

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This paper examines how to reverse deflation to inflation. Once deflation takes root, it is not easy to reverse because of the zero lower bound in nominal interest rates. My model indicates that there are two steady states where both inflation/deflation (i.e., changes in prices) and real activity (i.e., quantities) remain unchanged: that is, there are inflationary and deflationary steady states. The model indicates that, to switch a deflationary steady state to an inflationary steady state, a central bank needs to influence the time preference rates of the government and the representative hou
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38

Abaidoo, Rexford. "Expectations, uncertainty and risk premium." Journal of Financial Economic Policy 9, no. 3 (2017): 338–52. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/jfep-12-2016-0096.

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Purpose This study aims to examine short- and long-run effects of specific macroeconomic conditions on risk premium estimates on lending. Design/methodology/approach Empirical estimates are based on error correction and autoregressive distributed lag models. Findings The results suggest that, in the short run, inflation expectations, recession expectations and actual inflationary conditions tend to have a significant impact on risk premium estimates; in the long run, however, only inflation expectations and recession expectations are significant in risk premium estimates on lending. Originalit
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39

Menguy, Séverine. "Why the European Central Bank lacked efficacy to fight against the recent surge in inflation." Forum for Economic and Financial Studies 2, no. 3 (2024): 1626. https://doi.org/10.59400/fefs1626.

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The paper focuses on the determinants of the surge in inflation between 2021 and 2023 and on the efficacy of monetary policy in fighting against these inflationary tensions. The main role of the European Central Bank is to ensure that inflation expectations remain anchored to a clear target. An active monetary policy can also stabilize future expected inflationary tensions or demand shocks. However, a simple theoretical model can explain the incapacity of European monetary policy to fight against the supply-side factors of inflation in the post-COVID period: inflationary tensions inherited fro
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40

Banerjee, Ashok, Ayush Kanodia, and Partha Ray. "Deciphering Indian inflationary expectations through text mining: an exploratory approach." Indian Economic Review 56, no. 1 (2021): 49–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s41775-021-00106-9.

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41

Darrat, Ali F. "Inflationary Expectations and Interest Rates A'La Patinkin's General Equilibrium Model." American Economist 29, no. 2 (1985): 55–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/056943458502900209.

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42

Solarz, Jan K. "The government stabilization programme and inflationary expectations in a society." Scandinavian Journal of Management 8, no. 3 (1992): 167–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0956-5221(92)90025-a.

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43

Smith, Gregor W. "“Inflationary Expectations and the Demand for Money: The Greek Experience”." Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit und Kapital 18, no. 4 (1985): 527–28. http://dx.doi.org/10.3790/ccm.18.4.527.

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44

Kolomiets, A. "Inflation And Bank Percentin Contemporary Russian Economy." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 12 (December 20, 2014): 101–15. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2014-12-101-115.

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Considering statistical data which characterize dynamics of money supply, inflation and rates of bank percent in the Russian Federation, the author states the lack of expressed dependence of monthly indicators of change of inflation and bank percent on increase or decrease in growth rates of M2. According to the author, inflationary expectations of economic subjects and households are generated, first of all, by institutional uncertainty, characteristic for the system of economic and social relations, which has developed in the Russian Federation, and also by more rapid growth of production co
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45

KHOKHYCH, Dmytro. "Inflation in China during the economic reforms of the 1980s: causes and effects." Fìnansi Ukraïni 2021, no. 3 (2021): 114–28. http://dx.doi.org/10.33763/finukr2021.03.114.

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The article studies the development of inflationary processes in China in the period of 1979-1989, their causes and effects. In particular, based on the analysis of statistical data, it is established that inflation in China is manifested in price and non-price forms, and also has a pronounced directive nature. This means that even excessive public investment can cause inflation. Two ways of reforming the fixed price system are considered: 1) simultaneous weakening of all prices 2) gradual weakening of prices, their slow adjustment towards the market. The relationship between inflation and mac
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46

Vagnozzi, Sunny, and Abraham Loeb. "The Challenge of Ruling Out Inflation via the Primordial Graviton Background." Astrophysical Journal Letters 939, no. 2 (2022): L22. http://dx.doi.org/10.3847/2041-8213/ac9b0e.

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Abstract Recent debates around the testability of the inflationary paradigm raise the question of how to model-independently discriminate it from competing scenarios. We argue that a detection of the cosmic graviton background (CGB), the relic radiation from gravitons decoupling around Planck time, would rule out the inflationary paradigm, as realistic inflationary models would dilute the CGB to an unobservable level. The CGB contribution to the effective number of relativistic species, ΔN eff,g ≈ 0.054, is well within the reach of next-generation cosmological probes. We argue that detecting t
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47

Polyakova, Ekaterina, та Yulia Vymyatnina. "Formation of economic agents’ inflationary expectations and central bank policy effectiveness: Еxperimental approach". St Petersburg University Journal of Economic Studies 37, № 3 (2021): 442–73. http://dx.doi.org/10.21638/spbu05.2021.304.

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Expectations of heterogeneous economic agents play a pivotal role in modern macroeconomic theory. Since the standard assumption about a representative fully rational agent and his/her ability to form model-consistent expectations of the underlying process governing real economic outcomes is subject to well-grounded criticism, laboratory experiments are an important tool for gaining new knowledge about the formation of individual expectations. This paper provides an overview of the results of learning-to-forecast experiments based on the New Keynesian model that allow to identify specificities
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48

Abaidoo, Rexford, and Hod Anyigba. "Bank performance variability and strands of inflationary conditions." European Journal of Management and Business Economics 29, no. 3 (2020): 235–53. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ejmbe-09-2018-0100.

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PurposeThis study seeks to examine the extent to which strands of inflationary related conditions (inflation expectations, inflation uncertainty and realized inflation); macroeconomic uncertainty and the likelihood of recessionary conditions influence performance indicators in the US banking sector over a specified time period.Design/methodology/approachThe study adopts seemingly unrelated regression model (SUR) advanced by Zellner (1962) in its examination of how specific strands of inflationary conditions, and other adverse macroeconomic conditions influence performance dynamics in the US ba
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49

Coibion, Olivier, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Mauricio Ulate. "Is Inflation Just Around the Corner? The Phillips Curve and Global Inflationary Pressures." AEA Papers and Proceedings 109 (May 1, 2019): 465–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/pandp.20191055.

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Tightening labor markets in the United States and other advanced economies suggest inflation should be on the rise, yet it remains subdued. Is the Phillips curve broken? We bring together surveys of household or firm expectations for 18 countries to estimate an expectations-augmented Phillips curve. We find strong evidence of a Phillips curve relationship: the Phillips curve is alive and well. The fact that inflation remains well below inflation expectations, both in the United States and abroad, suggests that there remains significant slack in labor markets.
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50

Ken, Miyajima. "How Well Do Inflation Expectations Predict Outturns in Emerging Economies: South Africa' Case." Empirical Economics Letters 22, no. 9 (2023): 181–88. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10044947.

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<strong>Abstract</strong>: As inflationary pressure has risen, focus on inflation expectations has strengthened, but some may have taken comfort from the stable long-term inflation expectations. We add to the literature by assessing predictive power of inflation expectations by type of agent, its variation over time, and the role of long-term expectations, using South Africa's data. Inflation expectations one year ahead are a reasonable predictor of outturns, particularly those of analysts. Their predictive power has strengthened over the decade, likely as monetary policy credibility has stren
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