Academic literature on the topic 'Informell Statistisk Inferens'

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Journal articles on the topic "Informell Statistisk Inferens"

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Morgan, Mary S. "Narrative Inference with and without Statistics." History of Political Economy 53, no. 6 (2021): 113–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.1215/00182702-9414803.

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This article investigates the role played by narrative in drawing inferences from statistics before the adoption of formal inference regimes in economics. Two well-known, and exemplary, cases of informal inference provide the materials. Nikolai Kondratiev’s struggles to make inferences about the existence of his “long waves” from heaps of statistics in the 1920s contrast sharply with Thomas Robert Malthus’s confident account of demographic-economic oscillations made on the basis of the limited numbers available in the late eighteenth century. Comparison of their inferential reasoning, using de
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Hayati, Laila. "PEMBELAJARAN UNTUK MENGEMBANGKAN KEMAMPUAN PENALARAN INFERENSIAL STATISTIS." Paedagoria | FKIP UMMat 6, no. 1 (2018): 16. http://dx.doi.org/10.31764/paedagoria.v6i1.96.

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Abstrak: Artikel ini membahas tentang pembelajaran yang dapat digunakan untuk mengembangkan kemampuan penalaran inferensial statistis. Tujuan kognitif pembelajaran Statistika adalah untuk mengembangkan kemampuan literasi, penalaran, dan berpikir statistis. Salah satu tujuan dalam penalaran statistis adalah mengembangkan kemampuan penalaran inferensial. Model pembelajaran yang dapat digunakan untuk mengembangkan kemampuan penalaran inferensial statistis adalah model Statistical Reasoning Learning Environment (SRLE) yang didasarkan pada teori belajar konstruktivisme. Analisis didasarkan pada: 1)
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HENRIQUES, ANA, and HÉLIA OLIVEIRA. "STUDENTS’ EXPRESSIONS OF UNCERTAINTY IN MAKING INFORMAL INFERENCE WHEN ENGAGED IN A STATISTICAL INVESTIGATION USING TINKERPLOTS." STATISTICS EDUCATION RESEARCH JOURNAL 15, no. 2 (2016): 62–80. http://dx.doi.org/10.52041/serj.v15i2.241.

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This paper reports on the results of a study investigating the potential to embed Informal Statistical Inference in statistical investigations, using TinkerPlots, for assisting 8th grade students’ informal inferential reasoning to emerge, particularly their articulations of uncertainty. Data collection included students’ written work on a statistical investigation as well as audio and screen records. Results show students’ ability to draw conclusions based on data, recognizing that these are constrained by uncertainty, and to use them to make inferences. However, few students used probabilisti
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DOERR, HELEN M., ROBERT DELMAS, and KATIE MAKAR. "A MODELING APPROACH TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF STUDENTS’ INFORMAL INFERENTIAL REASONING." STATISTICS EDUCATION RESEARCH JOURNAL 16, no. 2 (2017): 86–115. http://dx.doi.org/10.52041/serj.v16i2.186.

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Teaching from an informal statistical inference perspective can address the challenge of teaching statistics in a coherent way. We argue that activities that promote model-based reasoning address two additional challenges: providing a coherent sequence of topics and promoting the application of knowledge to novel situations. We take a models and modeling perspective as a framework for designing and implementing an instructional sequence of model development tasks focused on developing primary students’ generalized models for drawing informal inferences when comparing two sets of data. This stu
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Magalhães, Marcos Nascimento. "Atividade de inferência informal para avaliar π". Revista Brasileira de Educação em Ciências e Educação Matemática 3, № 2 (2019): 550. http://dx.doi.org/10.33238/rebecem.2019.v.3.n.2.22509.

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Resumo: Inferência é a parte da Estatística que trata de previsões, para uma população, a partir das informações de uma amostra. O assunto é discutido de maneira formal em disciplinas de Estatística de cursos superiores, pois envolve conceitos matemáticos avançados. Entretanto, fazer previsões é algo presente na vida de todos e com os estudantes da Educação Básica não é diferente. É importante que os estudantes desse nível de ensino tenham oportunidade de fazer previsões, ainda que limitadas e informais, como uma experiência inicial do uso dessa parte fundamental da Estatística. Neste artigo,
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KAZAK, SIBEL, TARO FUJITA, and RUPERT WEGERIF. "STUDENTS’ INFORMAL INFERENCE ABOUT THE BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION OF “BUNNY HOPS”: A DIALOGIC PERSPECTIVE." STATISTICS EDUCATION RESEARCH JOURNAL 15, no. 2 (2016): 46–61. http://dx.doi.org/10.52041/serj.v15i2.240.

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The study explores the development of 11-year-old students’ informal inference about random bunny hops through student talk and use of computer simulation tools. Our aim in this paper is to draw on dialogic theory to explain how students make shifts in perspective, from intuition-based reasoning to more powerful, formal ways of using probabilistic ideas. Findings from the study suggest that dialogic talk facilitated students’ reasoning as it was supported by the use of simulation tools available in the software. It appears that the interaction of using simulation tools, talk between students,
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MANOR BRAHAM, HANA, and DANI BEN-ZVI. "STUDENTS’ EMERGENT ARTICULATIONS OF STATISTICAL MODELS AND MODELING IN MAKING INFORMAL STATISTICAL INFERENCES." STATISTICS EDUCATION RESEARCH JOURNAL 16, no. 2 (2017): 116–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.52041/serj.v16i2.187.

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A fundamental aspect of statistical inference is representation of real-world data using statistical models. This article analyzes students’ articulations of statistical models and modeling during their first steps in making informal statistical inferences. An integrated modeling approach (IMA) was designed and implemented to help students understand the relationship between sample and population, as well as reasoning with models and modeling. We explore the articulations of a pair of primary school students, who had previously participated in the Connections Project exploratory data analysis
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DOLOR, JASON, and JENNIFER NOLL. "USING GUIDED REINVENTION TO DEVELOP TEACHERS’ UNDERSTANDING OF HYPOTHESIS TESTING CONCEPTS." STATISTICS EDUCATION RESEARCH JOURNAL 14, no. 1 (2015): 60–89. http://dx.doi.org/10.52041/serj.v14i1.269.

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Statistics education reform efforts emphasize the importance of informal inference in the learning of statistics. Research suggests statistics teachers experience similar difficulties understanding statistical inference concepts as students and how teacher knowledge can impact student learning. This study investigates how teachers reinvented an informal hypothesis test for categorical data through the framework of guided reinvention. We describe how notions of variability help bridge the development from informal to formal understandings of empirical sampling distributions and procedures for c
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Rosenman, Evan T. R., and Art B. Owen. "Designing experiments informed by observational studies." Journal of Causal Inference 9, no. 1 (2021): 147–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/jci-2021-0010.

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Abstract The increasing availability of passively observed data has yielded a growing interest in “data fusion” methods, which involve merging data from observational and experimental sources to draw causal conclusions. Such methods often require a precarious tradeoff between the unknown bias in the observational dataset and the often-large variance in the experimental dataset. We propose an alternative approach, which avoids this tradeoff: rather than using observational data for inference, we use it to design a more efficient experiment. We consider the case of a stratified experiment with a
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KAZAK, SIBEL, and DAVE PRATT. "PRE-SERVICE MATHEMATICS TEACHERS’ USE OF PROBABILITY MODELS IN MAKING INFORMAL INFERENCES ABOUT A CHANCE GAME." STATISTICS EDUCATION RESEARCH JOURNAL 16, no. 2 (2017): 287–304. http://dx.doi.org/10.52041/serj.v16i2.193.

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This study considers probability models as tools for both making informal statistical inferences and building stronger conceptual connections between data and chance topics in teaching statistics. In this paper, we aim to explore pre-service mathematics teachers’ use of probability models for a chance game, where the sum of two dice matters in winning the game. We report on an interview with a group of three pre-service teachers as they engaged in predicting and conducting experiments and computer simulations as an attempt to develop a winning strategy. This paper focuses on how the participan
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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Informell Statistisk Inferens"

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Blomberg, Per. "Informell Statistisk Inferens i modelleringssituationer : En studie om utveckling av ett ramverk för att analysera hur elever uttrycker inferenser." Licentiate thesis, Linnéuniversitetet, Institutionen för matematikdidaktik (MD), 2015. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:lnu:diva-45572.

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Syftet med denna studie är att bidra med ökad kunskap om lärande och undervisning i informell statistisk inferens. I studien användes en kvalitativ forskningsstrategi inriktad mot prövning och generering av teorier med inspiration av grounded theory. Studiens kunskapsfokus är riktad mot karakterisering av statistiska processer och begrepp där system av begreppsramverk om informell statistisk inferens och modellering utgör en central del av forskningen. För att erhålla adekvat empiri utformades en undervisningssituation där elever engagerades med att planera och genomföra en undersökning. Studi
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Sundberg, Simon. "Hur kommer ISI och IIR till uttryck under aktiviteten: svarta lådan? : En explorativ fallstudie hos en gymnasieklass på IB-programmet." Thesis, Linköpings universitet, Analys och didaktik, 2021. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-176639.

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Informell statistisk inferens ses som ett sätt att undervisa statistik i framtiden för att ge elever möjlighet att utveckla de  statistiska förmågor som krävs i en teknologiskt utvecklad värld. Informella statistiska inferenser handlar om att ge eleverna möjlighet att engagera sig i statistiska diskussioner och problemområden utan att ha den bakomliggande formel statistiska kunskap som krävs för att göra statistiskt säkerställda påståenden. Informella inferentiella resonemang ses som de resonemang som förs av elever, på ett informellt vis, för att i slutändan göra dessa informella inferenser.
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Schumacher, Johannes. "Time Series Analysis informed by Dynamical Systems Theory." Doctoral thesis, 2015. https://repositorium.ub.uni-osnabrueck.de/handle/urn:nbn:de:gbv:700-2015061113245.

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This thesis investigates time series analysis tools for prediction, as well as detection and characterization of dependencies, informed by dynamical systems theory. Emphasis is placed on the role of delays with respect to information processing in dynamical systems, as well as with respect to their effect in causal interactions between systems. The three main features that characterize this work are, first, the assumption that time series are measurements of complex deterministic systems. As a result, functional mappings for statistical models in all methods are justified by concepts from dyna
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Books on the topic "Informell Statistisk Inferens"

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Donovan, Therese, and Ruth M. Mickey. Bayesian Statistics for Beginners. Oxford University Press, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198841296.001.0001.

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Bayesian Statistics for Beginners is an entry-level book on Bayesian statistics. It is like no other math book you’ve read. It is written for readers who do not have advanced degrees in mathematics and who may struggle with mathematical notation, yet need to understand the basics of Bayesian inference for scientific investigations. Intended as a “quick read,” the entire book is written as an informal, humorous conversation between the reader and writer—a natural way to present material for those new to Bayesian inference. The most impressive feature of the book is the sheer length of the journ
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Book chapters on the topic "Informell Statistisk Inferens"

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Noll, Jennifer, Mulugeta Gebresenbet, and Erin Demorest Glover. "A Modeling and Simulation Approach to Informal Inference: Successes and Challenges." In The Teaching and Learning of Statistics. Springer International Publishing, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-23470-0_19.

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Ivezi, Željko, Andrew J. Connolly, Jacob T. VanderPlas, et al. "Bayesian Statistical Inference." In Statistics, Data Mining, and Machine Learning in Astronomy. Princeton University Press, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.23943/princeton/9780691151687.003.0005.

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This chapter introduces the most important aspects of Bayesian statistical inference and techniques for performing such calculations in practice. It first reviews the basic steps in Bayesian inference in early sections of the chapter, and then illustrates them with several examples in sections that follow. Numerical techniques for solving complex problems are next discussed, and the final section provides a summary of pros and cons for classical and Bayesian method. It argues that most users of Bayesian estimation methods are likely to use a mix of Bayesian and frequentist tools. The reverse is also true—frequentist data analysts, even if they stay formally within the frequentist framework, are often influenced by “Bayesian thinking,” referring to “priors” and “posteriors.” The most advisable position is to know both paradigms well, in order to make informed judgments about which tools to apply in which situations.
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Kleanthous, Irene, and Maria Meletiou-Mavrotheris. "Early Statistical Reasoning." In K-12 STEM Education. IGI Global, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/978-1-5225-3832-5.ch018.

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This paper explores the potential of dynamic statistics software for supporting the early teaching and learning of statistical and probabilistic concepts integrated within the mathematics curriculum. It shares the experiences from a case study that implemented a data-driven approach to mathematics instruction using the dynamic data-visualization software InspireData©, an educational package specifically designed to meet the learning needs of students in the middle and high school grades (Grades 4-12). The authors report on how a group of fourteen (n=14) Grade 4 (about 9-year-old) students used the affordances provided by the dynamic learning environment to gather, analyze, and interpret data, and to draw data-based conclusions and inferences. Findings from the study support the view that mathematics instruction can promote the development of learners' statistical reasoning at an early age, through an informal, data-based approach. They also suggest that the use of dynamic statistics software has the potential to enhance statistics instruction by scaffolding and extending young students' stochastical and mathematical reasoning.
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Keen II, Larry D., Liangsuo Ma, and Antonio Abbate. "Epidemiology of Cannabis Use Disorder." In Substance Use Disorders. Oxford University Press, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/med/9780190920197.003.0002.

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Cannabis use continues to be a public health concern and has become a major clinical and nonclinical research construct in numerous fields for numerous reasons. First, the slight alterations in the criteria for cannabis use disorder (CUD) diagnosis required validation and prevalence statistics. Second, the shift in social perceptions of cannabis use and its legalization by various states have led to significant increases in cannabis use, abuse, and individuals meeting the criteria for CUD. Additionally, understanding the psychological and neural mechanisms associated with CUD will allow for innovative and tailored intervention and treatment methods for those suffering from the condition. This chapter provides a brief overview of the central, peripheral, and autonomic processes associated with CUD. It then considers the current treatments for CUD that are informed by pharmacological and epidemiological information. Finally, the authors contrast CUD with cardiovascular dysfunction, providing inferences for CUD as a potential contributor to the leading cause of death: cardiovascular disease.
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