Dissertations / Theses on the topic 'Insurance reserve'
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Chen, Huijun. "Automobile insurance claim reserve modeling." Thesis, McGill University, 2013. http://digitool.Library.McGill.CA:80/R/?func=dbin-jump-full&object_id=119758.
Full textCe mémoire décrit un modèle de prévision des coûts d'indemnisation des particuliers et l'estimation de la réserve de trésorerie du portefeuille automobile d'une grande compagnie d'assurance canadienne. Selon la nature d'une réclamation, son règlement peut comporter des frais médicaux, des frais de réadaptation, une compensation pour perte de revenus, le paiement d'avantages facultatifs, voire même une prestation pour décès. Toute combinaison de ces coûts est susceptible de se produire et leur dépendance doit être prise en compte. Une structure hiérarchique à deux niveaux est adoptée à cet effet. Un modèle logistique multinomial permet d'abord de prédire la structure decoût associée à une réclamation. La gravité des sinistres est ensuite modélisée en fonction de cette structure. Un modèle log-normal permet de prédire divers types de coûts ; des renseignements sur l'assuré, la nature du sinistre, les rapports légaux et médicaux servent de variables explicatives. Une copule de Gumbel caractérise la dépendance entre les frais médicaux, les frais de réhabilitation et la compensation pour perte de revenus. Un cadre bayésien avec échantillonnage par chaîne de Markov Monte-Carlo conduit à une estimation conjointe des paramètres du modèle de régression avec copule. Des simulations permettent de prédire le coût total d'une réclamation ou du portefeuille,ainsi que la réserve de trésorerie.
Magee, David Douglas. "Comparative analysis of neural networks and traditional actuarial methods for estimating casualty insurance reserve liability /." Digital version accessible at:, 1999. http://wwwlib.umi.com/cr/utexas/main.
Full textZimmermann, Pavel. "General Insurance Reserve Risk Modeling Based on Unaggregated Data." Doctoral thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2004. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-77092.
Full textMoerup, Casper Jacob. "Prediction of claim cost in general insurance." Master's thesis, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, 2019. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/18176.
Full textO trabalho seguinte foi realizado durante uma colocação de estágio na If Industrial P & C Insurance, em Estocolmo, na Suécia. Este relatório destaca e discute algumas das diferenças entre o seguro industrial e privado e percorre o processo de “Análise do Ano Normal”. A análise avalia os dados das reivindicações com o objetivo de projetar as perdas em um ano no futuro. A Teoria do Risco Colectivo e a Estimação da Máxima Verossimilhança são utilizadas para obter uma estimativa da gravidade das reivindicações. Além disso, as reservas são estimadas usando o método Chain-ladder. A seção final do relatório descreve uma análise de sensibilidade de um modelo para as reservas de ajuste de sinistros. Esta análise mostra o impacto da introdução de dois novos parâmetros, o que explica a parte já desenvolvida das reivindicações abertas.
The following work was carried out during an internship placement at If Industrial P&C Insurance in Stockholm, Sweden. This report highlights and discusses some of the differences between Industrial and Private insurance and walks through the “Normal Year Analysis”-procedure. The analysis assesses the claims data with the goal of projecting the losses one year into the future. Collective Risk Theory and Maximum Likelihood Estimation is used to obtain an estimate of the severity of the claims. In addition, the reserves are estimated, using the Chain-ladder method. The final section of the report describes a sensitivity analysis of a model for the Claims Adjustment Reserves. This analysis shows the impact of introducing two new parameters, which accounts for the already developed part of the open claims.
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Chan, Chi-yiu, and 陳志銚. "The application of insurance theory to power system operating reserve market." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2003. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B3124399X.
Full textYang, Lin. "Linear robust H-infinity stochastic control theory on the insurance premium-reserve processes." Thesis, University of Liverpool, 2015. http://livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk/2037227/.
Full textVeprauskaite, Elena. "Reserving, reinsurance and earnings management : evidence from the United Kingdom's property-liability insurance market." Thesis, University of Bath, 2013. https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.575508.
Full textLi, R. "Control theory for classes of nonlinear systems with application in insurance premium-reserve model." Thesis, University of Liverpool, 2017. http://livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk/3007605/.
Full textChigiji, Kudzai. "Determinants of loss reserve errors: evidence from the general insurance market in South Africa." Master's thesis, University of Cape Town, 2018. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/29083.
Full textBalau, Eunice Alexandra Madeira. "Premiums and reserves in life insurance policies : the worst-case scenario and Solvency II." Master's thesis, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/7832.
Full textAs reservas de capital representam um instrumento fundamental no processo de gestão de risco das empresas de seguros, sendo utilizadas no cálculo do capital económico e regulamentar. Como o valor das reservas e dos prémios é fortemente influenciado pelos pressupostos atuariais utilizados, a escolha adequada das bases técnicas é um dos temas de principal interesse para as Companhias de Seguros e para as Entidades Reguladoras. O principal objetivo deste trabalho é o estudo de um método de construção de cenários biométricos para o cálculo de reservas e prémios, adotando uma posição conservadora em relação às bases técnicas de segunda ordem, seguindo a orientação de dois trabalhos fundamentais neste domínio, Christiansen (2010) e Milbrodt and Stracke (1997). Este cenário é determinado através da resolução de um problema de maximização da reserva prospetiva que nos permite definir as bases biométricas de primeira ordem que representam o pior caso do ponto de vista do Segurador. As apólices do ramo vida são descritas pelo modelo Markoviano de estados múltiplos, sendo as reservas prospetivas calculadas recorrendo à equação de Thiele. O novo regime de solvência da União Europeia, Solvência II, também recorre à noção de piores cenários, por forma a quantificar os requisitos de capitais no ramo vida, embora com uma definição diferente. Assim, um objetivo adicional, e também importante, deste trabalho é procurar integrar o método estudado no enquadramento estabelecido pelo projeto Solvência II.
Reserves are a fundamental tool in insurance risk management since they are used to determine the economic or regulatory capital required for insurers to remain solvent. As the values of reserves and premiums are strongly dependent on the actuarial assumptions used, the choice of the adequate elements of the technical basis is a major concern of both regulators and insurance companies. The main purpose of this work is to study a method for the construction of biometric worst-case scenarios that allow premiums and reserves to be on the safe side with respect to given confidence bands for the biometric second-order basis, following the essential works of Christiansen (2010) and Milbrodt and Stracke (1997). This scenario is obtained by solving a maximization problem for the prospective reserve that allows one to find the worst-case biometric valuation basis from the insurer's point of view. In life insurance, policies are often described by the multi-state Markov model of life contingencies and the prospective reserves computed using Thiele's equation. The new solvency regime of the European Union, Solvency II, also uses worst-case scenarios, although constructed in a different way, in order to quantify the solvency capital requirements for life insurance business. Thus, a further important purpose of this thesis is to integrate the method in study under the Solvency II framework.
Lindblad, Kalle. "How big is large? : A study of the limit for large insurance claims in case reserves." Thesis, KTH, Matematisk statistik, 2011. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kth:diva-102795.
Full textNečas, Dalibor. "Koncept životního pojištění s dobročinnou složkou." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2010. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-16971.
Full textKhoza, Bongani Terrence. "An evaluation and discussion of a deposit insurance system: Should South Africa adopt such a system?" University of Western Cape, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/11394/7581.
Full textThe research will evaluate and discuss the importance of Deposit Insurance Systems (DIS) and the necessity of having this system. Important to the evaluation is an analytical consideration of how the South African Reserve Bank (SARB), the National Treasury (NT) and other global financial bodies proposed the approach thereof. Insofar as most jurisdictions had already adopted the DIS as encouraged by the international financial institutions, the study shall determine whether it is plausible for South Africa to derive guidance in her approach taking into account the potential risks posed by the safety-net.
Pousinho, André Pereira. "Pagamentos de sinistros." Master's thesis, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/6559.
Full textEm 2013, ano internacional da estatística, é elaborada esta dissertação que relaciona o cálculo atuarial com a área da estatística. Partindo das vantagens e desvantagens de métodos como os Modelos Lineares Generalizados, é pretendido elucidar e estabelecer uma ligação entre as necessidades das empresas seguradoras e os estudos efetuados para o provisionamento da reserva para sinistros. Para a aplicação dos Modelos Lineares Generalizados no cálculo de provisões técnicas para sinistros é utilizada a distribuição Tweedie, pertencente à família de dispersão exponencial. Em estudos como este, esta distribuição apresenta uma boa flexibilidade de ajustamento aos dados, permitindo obter estimativas com melhor rigor.
In 2013, the international year of statistics, this paper is developed to connect the actuarial calculation with the field of statistics. Starting with the advantages and disadvantages of methods like the Generalized Linear Models, it is intended to clarify and establish a link between the needs of insurance companies and studies carried out for the provisioning of claims outstanding reserve. The Tweedie distribution belongs to the family from exponential dispersion and it is used for the implementation of Generalized Linear Models in the calculation of claims technical provisions. In researches like these, this distribution has a good flexibility in the adjustment to data, allowing us to get estimations with better accuracy.
Cassa, Ivy. "Natureza jurídica da reserva matemática nos planos de previdência privada aberta." Universidade de São Paulo, 2014. http://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/2/2132/tde-11022015-135457/.
Full textThe present work aims to study the legal nature of \"account balance\" (herein referred as \"mathematical reserves\") that the participant holds during the accumulation phase of a variable contribution retirement plan. The subject was developed according to Insurance Law, by confronting the legal and technical elements of private insurance contracts with retirement plan contracts, and considering the evolution of retirement plans and insurance products in the context of bancassurance. Given the lack of specific literature on this subject in Brazil, this study was conducted with the support of Comparative Law.
Vild, Jiří. "Technické rezervy v neživotním pojištění." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2010. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-19197.
Full textSklenářová, Markéta. "Jednotné sazby pojistného životního pojištění pro muže a ženy." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2010. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-198838.
Full textŠpilínková, Magda. "Finanční analýza komerční pojišťovny." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2010. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-75859.
Full textMácová, Petra. "Výkaz zisku a ztráty v sektoru pojišťoven v ČR." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2013. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-200187.
Full textLisková, Kateřina. "Finanční analýza pojišťovny Allianz." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2009. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-9636.
Full textГайдабрус, Богдан Володимирович, Богдан Владимирович Гайдабрус, Bohdan Volodymyrovych Haidabrus, and О. А. Чуприй. "Информационные технологии управления страховыми ресурсами проектов энергетического машиностроения." Thesis, Сумский государственный университет, 2014. http://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/39174.
Full textKuang, Di. "The chain ladder method and its extensions for forecasting reserves in general insurance." Thesis, University of Oxford, 2008. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.531972.
Full textEgelius, Eric, and Anna Methander. "Evaluation of the Variance in the Premium Provision Estimate : Handling Inhomogeneous and Decreasing Risk in Premium Provision Purposes." Thesis, Umeå universitet, Institutionen för matematik och matematisk statistik, 2021. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-184554.
Full textKostnader som uppkommer på grund av skador inom skadeförsäkring är stokasiska och en förusättning för att kunna bedriva ett framgångsrikt försäkringsbolag är att kunna prediktera risk och framtida kostnader. Utifrån ett såväl försäkrings- som reglatoriskt perspektiv är det av stor vikt att ha en gedigen förståelse av både precisionen och känsligheten i de skattade estimaten. Denna uppsats syftar till att ta fram ett alternativt tillvägagångssätt till hur kostnader relaterade till framtiden ska predikteras, med fokus på att utvärdera variationen i estimaten, vid fallet av en inhomogen och avtagande risk. Tillvägagångssättet bygger på en uppdelning mellan antalet skador och kostnaden för skador, vilka modelleras separat för att sedan kombineras och ge en totalkostnadsfördelning för den avsedda tidsperioden. De historiska kostnaderna modelleras utifrån ett parametriskt- och ett ickeparametriskt tillvägagångssätt. Skadefrekvensen modelleras med hjälp av bland annat samplingsmetoden bootstrap samt genom användandet av scenarier. Uppsatsen görs i samarbete med skadeförsäkringsbolaget, Anticimex Försäkringar, vilka har bidragit med data och expertkunskap inom det aktuariella området. Arbetets resultat visar att det föreslagna tillvägagångssättet är en framgångsrik strategi för att utvärdera de första två momenten av de predikterade totalkostnadsfördelningarna, även vid fallet av en inhomogen och avtagande risk.
Šimánek, Petr. "Životní pojištění jako spořící nástroj v ČR a jeho porovnání s vybranými produkty podobného charakteru." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2012. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-166000.
Full textПохилько, Світлана Василівна, Светлана Васильевна Похилько, Svitlana Vasylivna Pokhylko, and Т. Ю. Стьоба. "Управління дохідністю страхових організацій." Thesis, Сумський державний університет, 2019. https://essuir.sumdu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/77574.
Full textVaniš, Tomáš. "Finanční analýza pojišťovny Slavie." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2012. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-136254.
Full textGuimarães, Sérgio Rangel. "Fundamentação técnica e atuarial dos seguros de vida : um estudo comparativo entre o seguro de vida individual e o seguro de vida em grupo no Brasil." reponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFRGS, 2003. http://hdl.handle.net/10183/3227.
Full textThe insurance industry is a relatively young economic activity; its bases are found in the industrial revolution. The development of such industry occurred in a very intense way in the last century, when the activity started being placed in the area of management of risks. The insurance companies that work in this business environment base the whole pricing process of their products on rigid technical and actuarial bases. The present work aims at studying these questions, focusing on the life insurance, with emphasis on the death coverage. The research intends to explore and compare two distinct modalities of insurance that are offered to the market: the individual life insurance and the group life insurance. Even though they offer similar coverage, they must fulfill requirements and different technical principles ruled by the institutions which are responsible for their management.
Lahodná, Veronika. "Probelamtika zdanění v pojišťovnictví." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2013. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-191485.
Full textYucal, Elif. "Profitability study of the annuities of EY-Insurance." Master's thesis, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/11279.
Full textEste trabalho procura analisar a rentabilidade obtida com a venda de anuidades e produtos anuais renováveis, na seguradora Vida onde decorreu o estágio. As questões relacionadas com os desvios observados na mortalidade e a necessidade de encontrar um modelo de sobrevivência mais ajustado à experiência da companhia foram aspetos de crucial importância. Procurou assim encontrar-se bases técnicas mais adequadas para o cálculo de prémios e reservas, tanto para os produtos já em comercialização, como para novos produtos que venham a ser lançados, pois também a taxa de juro e as despesas foram afloradas, ainda que brevemente. Por motivos de confidencialidade de dados, procedeu-se a uma distorção dos valores reais. Isto não teve obviamente qualquer consequência do ponto de vista das metodologias e técnicas aplicadas no estudo. Estavam disponíveis dados para um período de quatro anos, na sua maioria relativos a rendas imediatas e rendas imediatas reversíveis. Com base nisso, foi possível detetar que a tábua de mortalidade mais adequada será 108.95% da GKF95, o que talvez permita eliminar a maior parte dos desvios. Em complemento, foi ainda feita uma análise de sensibilidade, com diferentes cenários, para se estudar o efeito sobre o nível das reservas das diferentes possibilidades consideradas. Um exercício final de profit testing revelou que as responsabilidades continuam insuficientemente cobertas, pelo que trabalho adicional é necessário para resolver o problema.
This study aims to evaluate the profitability of the life annuities in the insurance company where the internship took place by concentrating on finding the best mortality table for the company portfolio to quote the price for the new annuity businesses and reserving for the ones already sold. The project is based on real data that was intentionally transformed for the purpose of this text because of confidentiality reasons. The distortion conceals reality in an appropriate manner and has obviously no effects on the methodologies applied. Data concerns immediate and immediate reversible life annuities for four years, since these products comprise the most significant part of the company population of policy holders. The best mortality table for this data is 108.95% of GKF95 table, by least square fitting. In order to forecast the future mortality, the Gompertz-Makeham mortality model was applied and there were no systematic evolution through time for the future mortality. A Sensitivity analysis was performed to show the effects of different scenarios on mathematical reserving. Finally, a profit testing revealed that the technical bases for the annuities are not enough to cover the liabilities. 108.95% of GKF 95 table can be assumed as the initial table and 104.29% of GKF 95 table can be assumed to hold extra reserve, in order to guarantee an adequate mathematical reserve.
Dosedělová, Radka. "Finanční analýza pojišťovny Kooperativa." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2009. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-15495.
Full textŠištíková, Markéta. "Výpočet pojistného a zajistného v rámci životního pojištění." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2013. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-198197.
Full textKnotková, Miroslava. "Problematika finančního umístění v komerčních pojišťovnách dle české úpravy a dle IFRS." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2009. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-16523.
Full textCosta, Jorge Andrade. "O valor preditivo do resultado líquido contábil, dos accruals e do fluxo de caixa operacional das empresas do mercado segurador brasileiro." Universidade de São Paulo, 2015. http://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/12/12136/tde-08062015-163820/.
Full textThe main objective of this dissertation was to verify if the accounting variables: earnings, accruals and operating cash flows (FCOs) have the capacity to predict operating cash flows of the companies of the Brazilian insurance market regulated by SUSEP. Additionally, was checked which of the 3 (three) accounting variables was most efficient in the forecast and if the accruals can help to increase the predictive ability of FCOs. 2.876 financial statements were analyzed that were released by 200 companies for the semiannual period beginning on June 30, 2005 and ended December 31, 2013. The database is original. The companies were separated by 5 (five) segments (insurers, reinsurers, capitalization companies, not for profit open private pension entities (EAPCs) and life and pension companies), according to their specificities. Descriptive analysis and panel data analysis were performed to verify relationship between the variables. It was noticed that the cash inflows and outflows from financial investments companies (redemptions and applications) are allocated in the Statements of Cash Flows (DFC) as operating activities and not as investing. Due to this fact, the statistical procedures applied at the FCOs were also applied at modified operating cash flows (MODs), which include the reclassification of movement of financial investments of operating activities for the investing activities of DFC. The purpose to also test the MOD was to verify if it is more appropriate than the currently released (FCO) and if there is any improvement in their predictive ability. The results of FCOs forecasts show that the following accounting variables have the ability to predict FCOs of the subsequent period, in each segment: (a) the 3 (three) variables in the life and pension companies and insurers; (b) the earnings and the FCO in reinsurers; (c) the earnings in capitalization companies; and (d) none of the accounting variables in EAPCs. The results show only in life and pension companies the accruals increment the predictive ability of FCO. As the most efficient predictor, the results show that the earnings was more efficient for reinsurers and the capitalization companies and accruals were more efficient in insurance and in life and pension companies. The results of MODs show, for each segment: (a) which variables have the ability to predict MOD in the subsequent period; (b) which variable was more efficient to predict MOD; and (c) if the accruals increment the predictive ability of MOD. It follows that, although different results between the segments, the accounting variables have predictive ability, confirming understanding of the FASB and IASB that the accounting information is relevant, because it can make a difference in the decisions made by users. Additionally it is the understanding of the author of this dissertation that the cash inflows and outflows from financial investments of these companies should be allocated in investing activities of DFC.
Vaňková, Markéta. "Finanční analýza Hasičské vzájemné pojišťovny." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2009. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-18816.
Full textLemos, Alice Loureiro Leocádio Botelho de. "A study on Thiele's Differential Equation." Master's thesis, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/7975.
Full textThorvald Nicolai Thiele foi um importante investigador dinamarquês. Entre os seus contributos, destaca-se em particular o facto de ter provado que para um seguro de vida inteira com benefício de valor 1, emitido sobre uma pessoa e pago imediatamente após a morte, as reservas prospetivas satisfazem uma equação diferencial linear: a chamada equação diferencial de Thiele. De um modo mais geral, as equações diferenciais de Thiele são um sistema diferencial linear de equações que descrevem a dinâmica das reservas nos seguros de vida e pensões em tempo contínuo. Este texto tem como principal objetivo rever de forma tão completa quanto possível as contribuições relacionadas com a equação de Thiele que foram surgindo ao longo do tempo, dando assim o presente estado de arte deste relevante tópico. Começando por fazer uma revisão breve do essencial da matemática atuarial avança depois para a derivação da equação de Thiele, considerando os dois modelos de mortalidade, o clássico e o de múltiplos estados, sobre uma pessoa e sobre várias pessoas. Algumas ilustrações, para vários tipos de contrato, são seguidamente introduzidas. Dos desenvolvimentos conhecidos, dá-se especial destaque às generalizações da equação diferencial que incluem um processo estocástico de pagamentos e um processo de difusão para a taxa de juro. Apresenta-se também o uso da equação como ferramenta para o desenvolvimento de produtos de seguro de vida e descreve-se uma generalização da equação diferencial para uma carteira fechada de seguros. A última parte do trabalho faz um resumo de outros contributos relacionados com a equação.
Thiele's differential equation has a long history, dating back to an unpublished note of Thiele, 1875. Thorvald Nicolai Thiele was a Danish researcher who worked as an actuary, astronomer, mathematician and statistician. He proved that for a whole life assurance of a single individual with benefit of amount 1, payable immediately on death, the prospective reserve satisfies a certain linear differential equation, which is extremely useful for the understanding of reality: Thiele's differential equation. In a more general framework, Thiele's differential equations for the prospective reserve are a linear system of differential equations describing the dynamics of reserves in life and pension insurance in continuous time. This text has the main purpose of reviewing in a comprehensive way the contributions related to Thiele's equation that appeared over time, presenting the status of the art on this important topic. A revision of life insurance mathematics is first and then Thiele?s differential equation is derived under the classical and multiple state model of human mortality for one life and for multiple lives After this, some illustrations are presented under different types of contracts. Following the developments in the literature, more general differential equations are obtained, including a stochastic payment process and a diffusion process for interest rate. The technique of using Thiele's differential equation as a tool for life insurance product development and the generalization of the equation for a closed insurance portfolio are also discussed. Finally, other developments are summarised.
Chen, Ying, and 陳穎. "Foreign Exchange Valuation Reserve of Insurance Company." Thesis, 2019. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/2s53hb.
Full text國立政治大學
風險管理與保險學系
107
The purpose of this paper is to analyze the volatility of surplus when using foreign exchange valuation reserve system. By using Monte-Carol method to simulate foreign exchange rate and setting different hedging cost ratio and exposure ratio, this paper measures the distribution of surplus with and without the system. The result shows, the volatility of surplus with the system is lower than that without system in every portfolio of hedging cost ratio and exposure ratio in each year. Meanwhile, the higher the fixed deposit ratio and additional deposit/withdraw ratio is, the more the scope of the volatility of surplus could decrease. Moreover, the result also indicates that using the system may help reduce hedging cost. When focusing on the same hedging cost ratio, the surplus with the system could be the same as the surplus without the system, but with more exposure ratio. However, the higher the hedging cost ratio is, the less the degree of exposure may be increased when using the system.
SIE, Ya-wun, and 謝雅雯. "Stochastic Reserve For Participating Whole Life Insurance Policies." Thesis, 2008. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/09015296768009037192.
Full text逢甲大學
統計與精算所
96
This paper discusses methods for calculating stochastic reserves for participating whole life policies. Two dynamic processes, the equity performance and the yield curve, are adopted to model the financial risk factors stochastically. A cash flow model is established by including actuarial assumptions, for instance, dividend payment, mortality, lapse, commissions and expenses. This study demonstrates how to determine different CTE-level stochastic reserves under stochastic interest rate and cash flow models. In order to find the suitable CTE-level, the difference of stochastic reserves between cash surrender value and statutory reserve is compared. Furthermore, CTE-65 is recommended for calculating stochastic reserve competently.
LIU, NAI-YU, and 劉乃瑜. "Investment Evaluation Framework of Military Personnel Insurance Reserve." Thesis, 2018. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/ppb5m9.
Full text國防大學
財務管理學系
106
In recent years, military insurance has faced a crisis of bankruptcy. Therefore, it is an urgent task for military insurance to seek a investment targets that can increase revenue. Mutual funds have developed rapidly and have played an important role in the financial market. To assist fund managers in performance management and to help investors select outstanding performance mutual funds, this study employs a two-stage network data envelopment analysis model to evaluate the decision-making quality and capital magnet efficiencies of 155 equity mutual funds which is registered in Taiwan over the period 2007-2016. In addition, this study also combines different efficiency combinations with cluster analysis and multidimensional scaling to discuss the competitive advantage of mutual funds. The empirical results show that the mutual funds environment is highly competition, though fund managers had already improved their decision quality but capital magnet efficiency still decline. By using benchmark analysis, this paper finds out that there are 10 mutual funds perform outstanding in decision-making quality and capital magnet efficiencies which can provide practical suggestions to investors. Finally, this study construct a market competition matrix to help fund managers and military insurance improve their operating performance, resource allocation, and portfolio.
Lee, Cheng-Yi, and 李政益. "Fair Value in Policy Reserve of Life Insurance." Thesis, 2008. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/468876.
Full text東吳大學
商用數學系
96
The trends of insurance supervision and accounting develop toward “Fair- Value” and “Total Balance Sheet Approach”, to increase the transparency of insurance contract, for stockholder ,supervisor ,and policyholder ,the information of business operation is available. While the fair value of liability in insurance contract ,to insurance corporation, is the foundation of valuation and solvency. No matter Solvency II in EU or IAIS, develop a globe framework actively with the core of fair value, and the concept of economic capital (EC). The purpose of this paper is using direct method for the fair value of reserve in life insurance , adopting the definition of fair value ,and assuming that risk-fee rate is SETAR model.
Huang, Shun-Chi, and 黃舜琪. "The Impacts of Reserve for Stability on Life Insurance in Taiwan—Asset Valuation Reserve & Foreign Exchange Valuation Reserve." Thesis, 2010. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/55244333618589529591.
Full text臺灣大學
財務金融學研究所
98
As time goes by, the supervision mechanism of life insurance has been involving for years in the United States of America and the Europe which have their own systems and developments. As the Europe has deeply focused on their supervision mechanism of life insurance, Solvency II, we have to adjust ours which follows the supervisory concept from America. We should concentrate on not only the trend of involving international accounting principles but also the reasonability of the logic of the supervision mechanism. Adapting the concepts of asset valuation reserve form America and foreign exchange valuation reserve from Japan in order to support the short-term volatility from security-related assets and foreign exchange, we hope to meet the goals which are to moderate the surplus and to steady operation of life insurance companies. Besides, this study would like to bring up the suggestion of the supervision mechanism of life insurance in Taiwan. In order to observing the volatility of key items, such as surplus, we establish one structured dynamic model including asset model, allocation model, liability model to simulate TSEC weighted index, 1- month Fed fund rate, and generate the simulated balance sheet with 360 months. The result said that the mechanisms of asset valuation reserve and foreign exchange reserve do smooth the volatility of surplus, income statement, gains or losses in security-related asset and exchange. However, if we would like to find an acceptable smoothing effect, the items of reserving rates should be adjusted to match each other.
Wang, Sheng-Yuan, and 王聖元. "The Effects of Portfolio Insurance applied to Entire Reserve." Thesis, 2009. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/56794132503193184479.
Full text淡江大學
財務金融學系碩士在職專班
97
The issue of retirement, whether in society or economy, is increasing to be a huge problem with the trends of economic developing and population aging. How Government and individuals can do for preparing sufficient retire reserves with retire policies, benefit policies and personal retire plans will be both the government and individuals must to face to seriously. The major purpose of pension is to ensure the retired person keep the daily life. Measuring how much reserve must be prepared and planning how to use modern financial tools to meet the financial goal are importantly core subjects. The common consensus of retire reserves includes the social insurances, corporate pensions and personal preparing. We will discuss the present labor retire policies and generalize some recommendations based on this subject and labor pension policy. These recommendations focus on how to apply the portfolio insurance policy for preparing retire reserves and evaluate their effects. These recommendations will be the reference for individual retirement preparation at this stage.
Lin, Pei Shin, and 林佩欣. "Loss Reserve Manipulation in the P/L Insurance Industry." Thesis, 2007. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/55752951783018304884.
Full text國立暨南國際大學
財務金融學系
95
Previous researches have shown that P/L insurers may manipulate their loss reserves for various purposes, including income smoothing, taxes minimization, as well as rates regulation. However, some major legal amendments of solvency regulation and the enactment of risk based capital requirement in 1994 have driven the P/L insurance industry to takes some actions in response. One of the typical examples is that insurers often amend their loss reserves in order to meet regulatory requirement which is never considered by previous studies. In this study, we investigate how risk-based capital requirement may affect the loss reserves manipulation by P/L insurers. Besides, we also examine whether IBNR reserves are the sources of claim manipulation. Instead of traditional method of conditional mean model, we employ conditional quantile regression in this study because it is a more robust method when the distribution of loss reserving error is found to be highly skewed. Our evidence find the main manipulate motivation of loss reserving error is relate to tax minimization under traditional mean model. However, we discover that the principal motives of loss reserving error for upper quantiles are earning smooth and tax minimization, and for lower quantiles is related to solvency regulation by using quantile regression method. Finally, our evidence shows that both IBNR and case reserves are the sources of claim manipulation whether we utilize ordinary least square or quantile regression method.
Wu, Chia-Chi, and 吳家琦. "A Study of Stochastic Reserve for Increasing Whole Life Insurance." Thesis, 2008. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/36261569023588628180.
Full text逢甲大學
統計與精算所
96
The purpose of this paper is to discuss the relationships among stochastic reserves, cash surrender values, policy values and statutory reserves for Taiwan and to observe the pattern of stochastic reserves that are calculated by different Conditional tail expectation (CTE) risk level for increasing whole life policy. In recent years, insurance products have been designed to be more complex than in the past. Traditional methods for determining reserves for policies can not be applied to some products. Therefore, using Principle-based Approach (PBA) to calculate reserves for those products may be more adequate than using the current method. This paper takes increasing whole life insurance as an example to produce its stochastic reserves under the PBA and the statutory reserves for Taiwan. This paper generates cash flow model and uses simulation to project the future income from investment of the increasing whole life insurance. The 10,000 scenarios of U.S Treasury yield curve, generated by the American Academy of Actuaries, are used in the determination of the path of interest rate movements of the cash flow model. The final conclusion of this paper is that the statutory reserve is sufficient for increasing whole life insurance. Therefore, there is no necessary to use the stochastic reserves.
葉韋宏. "The Empirical Analysis of Life Insurance Premium Reserve Estimation Models." Thesis, 2004. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/93164948531216141776.
Full textHuang, Yinghua, and 黃英華. "New Long-term Fire Insurance Premium and Unearned Premium Reserve Research." Thesis, 1996. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/29399566346844803031.
Full textHu, Ming-Yi, and 胡明憶. "The Study on Foreign Exchange Valuation Reserve for Life Insurance Companies." Thesis, 2016. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/11835647651543539223.
Full text國立中央大學
財務金融學系
104
Since Financial Supervisory Commission in Taiwan has gradually broadened the limit on percentage of investment in foreign countries, insurance companies increase their capital in foreign diversified investments in order that the return can be higher than the actuarial assumption of interest rate. However, these investment behaviors expose the exchange risk, and it is important for insurance companies to establish the exchange rate risk management. To avoid the fluctuation of income and value of companies by the exchange rate, in addition to hedging, insurance companies can amortize the foreign exchange valuation reserve in case of the appreciation of New Taiwan dollars. In this thesis, ten-year U.S. treasury yield is modeled by the interest model developed by American Academy of Actuaries (AAA), the S&P500 index is modeled by the equity model developed by the Casualty Actuarial Society and the Society of Actuaries (CAS-SoA) and the exchange rate is modeled by the Brownian motion . The stochastic cash flow testing shows that the assets’ scenarios offered by Taiwan Insurance Institute (TII) are more optimistic than AAA and CAS-SoA model, so the CTE65 (conditional tail expectation) of TII is highest. Besides, the amortization of foreign exchange valuation reserve need to be accorded with the amount of foreign investment and its risk so that the system of the reserve can be put into effect.
Zhuang, Bei-Fen, and 莊蓓芬. "Loss reserve management in Property and Casualty insurance: an analysis of demutualization." Thesis, 2012. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/36791337596971243754.
Full text國立雲林科技大學
財務金融系碩士班
100
This article examining why mutual insurers to demutualization and investigates what are the benefit certain mutual insurers undergo this organizational structure change. This article focus on how the loss reserve management affect the probability of demutualization and how manager manipulates loss reserve. By examining the company’s financial ratios to know the insurance company’s operating conditions and loss reserves’ difference between the pre-demutualization and post-demutualization. Determinants of the demutualization decision are search through logistic regression, data from 175 U.S. property-liability insurance company. In the year before conversion, we find (1) manager over-estimates loss reserves to reduce value allocated to policyholders, support for the wealth expropriation hypothesis. (2) we also find the financial constrain of mutuals increase the chance of demutualization, support the access to capital hypothesis.
Li, Meei Rong, and 李美容. "A Study on the Unearned Premium Reserve of Long-term Fire Insurance." Thesis, 1994. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/36619776083829023035.
Full textWang, Wen-Yao. "Essays on Banking Crises and Deposit Insurance." 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/ETD-TAMU-2932.
Full textSu, Shiao-Ting, and 蘇小婷. "Executive Compensation and Loss Reserve Manipulation in the Property and Liability Insurance Industry." Thesis, 2008. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/71701623198173654370.
Full text國立中正大學
財務金融所
96
The equity-based compensations induce an incentive to manipulate loss reserves for maximizing manager’s self-interested benefit. We analyze whether the equity-based compensations raise the problem of manager’s self-interested benefit by manage loss reserves. The first purpose in this study investigates the relationship between compensation structure of insurance firm’s executive and behavior of loss reserves manipulation. Second, we examine the CEOs’ manipulation actions to proposal the manager’s self-interested hypothesis. Final, we look into whether the manager’s self-interested effect dominates the income smooth and tax shield benefits. In addition, we construct the incentive power ratio. The optimal incentive power ratio expresses that the amount of equity-based compensation should be limited when managers already have substantial in-the-money option holdings. Empirical results show that the action of exercising options affects the insurers’ behaviors in dealing with loss reserves accruals. Managers estimate loss reserves downward when they are going to exercising their options. However, we can’t identify that the incentive index effect is existence. In the end, we investigate if managers’ self -interested motives and earning smooth effect is coexist, nevertheless, empirical results can not support our hypothesis.