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Relevant bibliographies by topics / International price shocks

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Academic literature on the topic 'International price shocks'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 4 June 2021

Last updated: 10 March 2023

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Journal articles on the topic "International price shocks"

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Amiti, Mary, Oleg Itskhoki, and Jozef Konings. "International Shocks, Variable Markups, and Domestic Prices." Review of Economic Studies 86, no. 6 (2019): 2356–402. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdz005.

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Abstract How strong are strategic complementarities in price setting across firms? In this article, we provide a direct empirical estimate of firms’ price responses to changes in competitor prices. We develop a general theoretical framework and an empirical identification strategy, taking advantage of a new micro-level dataset for the Belgian manufacturing sector. We find strong evidence of strategic complementarities, with a typical firm adjusting its price with an elasticity of 0.4 in response to its competitors’ price changes and with an elasticity of 0.6 in response to its own cost shocks.

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Yovo, Koffi, and Kokou Edoh Adabe. "Asymmetry and transmission of international price shocks of cocoa and coffee in Togo." African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 17, no. 1 (2022): 80–91. http://dx.doi.org/10.53936/afjare.2022.17(1).5.

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This study assesses the mechanism of the transmission of international price shocks to producer prices of coffee and cocoa in Togo. A threshold autoregressive (TAR) model was estimated using monthly series of international and producer prices of coffee and cocoa in Togo from 1994 to 2018. The results show that there is asymmetric transmission of international price shocks to producer prices. Domestic prices respond less quickly to international price increase than decreases. The asymmetric price transmission is similar in term of the speed of adjustment for the two commodities. In order to dea

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Zhang, Xiaoyu, and Yongfu Liu. "The dynamic impact of international agricultural commodity price fluctuation on Chinese agricultural commodity prices." International Food and Agribusiness Management Review 23, no. 3 (2020): 391–409. http://dx.doi.org/10.22434/ifamr2019.0172.

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The correlation between Chinese and international commodity prices may be nonlinear because of China’s minimum agricultural commodity purchase price policy and temporary storage policy. In order to research this nonlinear dynamic correlation mechanism, we construct a nonlinear Granger causality test model and a nonlinear autoregressive distribution lag model including Chinese and international agricultural commodity (soybean, corn, rice, and wheat) price variables. Our empirical results reveal that a unidirectional causal relation exists between international and Chinese prices for soybeans an

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Engemann, Kristie M., Kevin L. Kliesen, and Michael T. Owyang. "DO OIL SHOCKS DRIVE BUSINESS CYCLES? SOME U.S. AND INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE." Macroeconomic Dynamics 15, S3 (2011): 498–517. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1365100511000216.

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Oil prices rose sharply prior to the onset of the 2007–2009 recession. Hamilton [in the Palgrave Dictionary of Macroeconomics (2008)] noted that nine of the last ten recessions in the United States were preceded by a substantial increases in the price of oil. In this paper, we consider whether oil price shocks significantly increase the probability of recessions in a number of countries. Because business cycle turning points generally are not available for other countries, we estimate the turning points together with oil's effect in a Markov-switching model with time-varying transition probabi

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Song, Changming, and Chongguang Li. "Relationship between Chinese and International Crude Oil Prices: A VEC-TARCH Approach." Mathematical Problems in Engineering 2015 (2015): 1–10. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/842406.

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Many studies focus on the impact of international crude oil price volatility on various economic variables in China with a hypothesis that international crude oil price affected Chinese crude oil price first and then other economic variables. However, there has been little research to explore whether or not international and Chinese oil market are integrated. This study aims to investigate the relationship between Chinese and international crude oil prices by VAR and VEC-TARCH models. It was found that the two crude oil markets have been integrated gradually. But the impact of external shocks

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Navarro, Peter. "Electricity price shocks and international trade." Japan and the World Economy 2, no. 3 (1990): 249–62. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0922-1425(90)90004-c.

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Jin, Changha, and Terry V. Grissom. "International Real Estate Review." International Real Estate Review 11, no. 2 (2008): 105–25. http://dx.doi.org/10.53383/100099.

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This paper applies the Hodrck-Prescott (HP) filter to forecast short-term residential real estate prices under cyclical movements. We separate the trend component from the cyclical component. We show that each regional residential market reacts not only to previous price movements, but also that these regional markets react to previous shocks under Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) modeling. Using the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index, we compare our forecast to index values from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Housing Futures and Options. Our study identifies possibl

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Rao, D. Tripati, and Saurabh Goyal. "Global Commodity and Oil Price Movements, Macroeconomic Performance and Challenges for an Emerging Economy: The Indian Experience." Global Business Review 19, no. 3 (2018): 650–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0972150917713885.

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Commodity and oil price fluctuations have significant bearing on domestic macroeconomic performance and macroeconomic policymaking of an emerging economy. The article explores the impact of non-energy commodity and oil price fluctuations on output, inflation and real exchange rate (RER) in India; and commodity and oil constituting sizeable imports. The empirical analysis carried out through vector error correction model (VECM) for the post-liberalization period 1991–2014 clearly points out that commodity and oil price shocks have a significant impact on the variation in output and prices accou

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Güntner, Jochen H. F. "HOW DO INTERNATIONAL STOCK MARKETS RESPOND TO OIL DEMAND AND SUPPLY SHOCKS?" Macroeconomic Dynamics 18, no. 8 (2013): 1657–82. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1365100513000084.

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Building on Kilian and Park's (2009) structural VAR analysis of the effects of oil demand and supply shocks on the U.S. stock market, this paper focuses on the differences and commonalities of stock price responses in oil exporting and importing economies in 1974–2011. Structural oil price shocks add to our understanding of the 2008 stock market crash. I find that unexpected reductions in world oil supply do not affect stock returns in any of six OECD countries. Although an increase in global aggregate demand consistently raises oil prices and cumulative real stock returns, the effect is more

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Li, Ping, Jie Li, and Ziyi Zhang. "The Dynamic Impact of Structural Oil Price Shocks on the Macroeconomy." Journal of Systems Science and Information 9, no. 5 (2021): 469–97. http://dx.doi.org/10.21078/jssi-2021-469-29.

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Abstract In this paper, we apply the structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model to decompose the international oil price shock into oil supply shocks, aggregate demand shocks and oil-specific demand shocks, and then use the DCC-GARCH model to analyse the dynamic correlations between these three kinds of oil price shocks and the macroeconomic variables of several oil importing and exporting countries. To quantify the intensity of the effect of oil shocks on these variables, we propose a measure, conditional expectation (CoE), to capture the percent change of the economic variable under oil p

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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "International price shocks"

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Chang, Pang-hua Kevin. "Commodity price shocks and international finance." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1989. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/31012.

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Kapoor, Aanchal. "The Economic Impact of Oil Price Shocks on Emerging Markets." Scholarship @ Claremont, 2011. http://scholarship.claremont.edu/cmc_theses/139.

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Recent spikes in oil prices have thrown light on how economic activity in emerging markets may be impacted by oil price shocks. This paper conducts an empirical analysis of the effect of oil price shocks on emerging markets. It tests for the existence of an asymmetrical relationship between oil prices and economic activity using a model developed by James Hamilton. It also assesses the impact of structural shocks to the real price of oil on output as proposed by Lutz Kilian. While our models find no consistent pattern within emerging markets, they do suggest that oil price shocks have a greate

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BELLU', LORENZO GIOVANNI. "Shocks dei prezzi internazionali e sviluppo: un approccio di equilibrio generale con applicazioni al Burkina Faso." Doctoral thesis, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/10280/1112.

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Questa tesi, strutturata in tre documenti autonomi ma logicamente connessi, si propone di analizzare alcuni problemi, idee e prospettive relativi allo sviluppo. In particolare, il primo documento “Sviluppo e paradigmi di sviluppo: un’analisi delle visioni prevalenti” fornisce un quadro comparativo dei principali modelli di sviluppo adottati da diversi paesi (visione, azioni specifiche e processi di attuazione) e ne evidenzia specificità, analogie e differenze. Il secondo documento: “Analisi d’impatto delle politiche de degli shocks dei prezzi internazionali: Modelli CGE per un paese non indust

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BELLU', LORENZO GIOVANNI. "Shocks dei prezzi internazionali e sviluppo: un approccio di equilibrio generale con applicazioni al Burkina Faso." Doctoral thesis, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/10280/1112.

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Questa tesi, strutturata in tre documenti autonomi ma logicamente connessi, si propone di analizzare alcuni problemi, idee e prospettive relativi allo sviluppo. In particolare, il primo documento “Sviluppo e paradigmi di sviluppo: un’analisi delle visioni prevalenti” fornisce un quadro comparativo dei principali modelli di sviluppo adottati da diversi paesi (visione, azioni specifiche e processi di attuazione) e ne evidenzia specificità, analogie e differenze. Il secondo documento: “Analisi d’impatto delle politiche de degli shocks dei prezzi internazionali: Modelli CGE per un paese non indust

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Lee, Seung Jae. "Determinants of real exchange rate : with emphasis on productivity shocks /." free to MU campus, to others for purchase, 2000. http://wwwlib.umi.com/cr/mo/fullcit?p9999299.

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Yeh, Fang-Yu, and 葉芳瑜. "Effects of International Energy Price Shocks on Macroeconomic Activities in Taiwan." Thesis, 2010. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/77129710015749965072.

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博士<br>國立交通大學<br>經營管理研究所<br>98<br>Taiwan is an island with limited domestic energy resources and its imported energy ratio is over 99.32%. As international energy prices keep rising, the impacts of this on Taiwan’s economic activities have been an important issue of research. This paper applies a linear and asymmetric model to estimate the effects of international energy price shocks (including oil, coal, and natural gas prices) on Taiwan’s macroeconomic activity (such as industrial production, stock price, interest rate, unemployment rate, imports and exports). We apply a multivariate thres

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Liao, Hsien-Pin, and 廖顯彬. "International Energy Shocks, Biomass Energy Policies and the Dynamics of Agricultural Prices － Floating Exchange Rate Regime." Thesis, 2010. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/87770370687195572444.

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Tu, Yu-Lun, and 杜宇倫. "International Energy Shocks, Biomass Energy Policies and the Dynamics of Agricultural Prices --- Fixed Exchange Rate Regime." Thesis, 2010. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/40036041497456385905.

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Shih-Jieh, Hung, and 洪世杰. "The Research of Industrial Export Prices Reaction Coefficents under the International Exchange Rate Shock of East Asia Financial Crisis." Thesis, 1999. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/73409191154158902184.

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Books on the topic "International price shocks"

1

Klaus, Matthies, and Reszat Beate, eds. Oil and the international economy: Lessons from two price shocks. Transaction Publishers, 1989.

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Rigobón, Roberto. On the measurement of the international propagation of shocks. National Bureau of Economic Research, 1999.

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Chari, V. V. Monetary shocks and real exchange rates in sticky price models of international business cycles. National Bureau of Economic Research, 1997.

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McCarthy, F. Desmond. Economic shocks and the global environment. International Economics Dept., World Bank, 1992.

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Neary, J. Peter. External shocks, policy response and economic performance. London School of Economics,Centre for Economic Performance, 1994.

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Neary, J. Peter. External shocks, policy response and economic performance. University College Dublin, Department of Political Economy, 1993.

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Kent, Christopher J. The response of the current account to terms of trade shocks: Persistence matters. International Monetary Fund, European I and Research Department, 2003.

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Kanovsky, Eliyahu. Another oil shock in the 1990's?: A dissenting view. Washington Institute for Near East Policy, 1987.

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Learning from adversity: Policy responses to two oil shocks. International Finance Section, Dept. of Economics, Princeton University, 1985.

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Pinskaya, Milyausha, Nikolay Milogolov, Kermen Cagan-Mandzhieva, and Tat'yana Loginova. Current trends in the development of international taxation. INFRA-M Academic Publishing LLC., 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.12737/1111362.

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The monograph is devoted to current trends in international taxation, aimed at developing a methodology for countering the erosion of the tax base, as well as practical issues of its application in modern Russia and abroad. The results of the BEPS Project initiated by the G20 member countries under the leadership of the OECD were evaluated. The analysis of the Russian rules for determining transfer prices for intangible assets in the light of the OECD recommendations issued under the BEPS Project is carried out. The article summarizes the legal approaches to countering the abuse of Double Taxa

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Book chapters on the topic "International price shocks"

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de Bandt, Olivier, Karim Barhoumi, and Catherine Bruneau. "The International Transmission of House Price Shocks." In Housing Markets in Europe. Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-15340-2_7.

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Mokhtarzadeh, Fatemeh. "A global vector autoregression model for softwood lumber trade." In International trade in forest products: lumber trade disputes, models and examples. CABI, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1079/9781789248234.0174.

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Abstract A novel econometric approach is developed in this chapter, namely, the Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) model. It provides a comprehensive framework for analyzing the country-level impacts of various domestic, foreign, and/or global shocks on softwood lumber trade. The GVAR approach is applied to Canada-U.S. trade in softwood lumber and used to analyze the effect of external shocks on Canadian lumber prices. Findings indicate that Canada's export prices are positively correlated to U.S. housing starts and real GDP. Further, using impulse response functions, it is used to examine the effects on regional lumber export prices in Canada of: (1) a change in U.S. housing starts; (2) a reduction in U.S. GDP by one standard deviation; (3) a COVID-19 induced decline in U.S. GDP (of three standard deviations); (4) an increase in global oil prices; and, in the Appendix, (5) an increase in the long-term interest rate. Price impacts vary a great deal by Canadian region depending on the type of shock, with the propagation mechanism in Alberta significantly different from that in other regions. For example, with an oil price shock and because Alberta is a major exporter of oil, the lumber export price remains high even as the shock dissipates over time.

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Mokhtarzadeh, Fatemeh. "A global vector autoregression model for softwood lumber trade." In International trade in forest products: lumber trade disputes, models and examples. CABI, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1079/9781789248234.0008.

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Abstract A novel econometric approach is developed in this chapter, namely, the Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) model. It provides a comprehensive framework for analyzing the country-level impacts of various domestic, foreign, and/or global shocks on softwood lumber trade. The GVAR approach is applied to Canada-U.S. trade in softwood lumber and used to analyze the effect of external shocks on Canadian lumber prices. Findings indicate that Canada's export prices are positively correlated to U.S. housing starts and real GDP. Further, using impulse response functions, it is used to examine the effects on regional lumber export prices in Canada of: (1) a change in U.S. housing starts; (2) a reduction in U.S. GDP by one standard deviation; (3) a COVID-19 induced decline in U.S. GDP (of three standard deviations); (4) an increase in global oil prices; and, in the Appendix, (5) an increase in the long-term interest rate. Price impacts vary a great deal by Canadian region depending on the type of shock, with the propagation mechanism in Alberta significantly different from that in other regions. For example, with an oil price shock and because Alberta is a major exporter of oil, the lumber export price remains high even as the shock dissipates over time.

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Zhou, Song, and Dong Wang. "The Macroeconomic and Financial Effects of Oil Price Shocks." In Proceedings of the Eighth International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management. Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-55182-6_50.

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Furuya, Kaku. "Regulation, Quality Adjustment, and Relative Price Changes: The Case of the Yen Appreciation Shock of 1985." In Positive and Normative Analysis in International Economics. Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230348202_14.

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Wu, Hong-ru. "Trading Volume Movement Versus Price Change: The Volume Shock Around Earning Announcement in Chinese Stock Market." In The 19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management. Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-38442-4_36.

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Atu, Nurul Nazurah, Imbarine Bujang, and Norlida Jaafar. "Shock and Volatility Transmission Between Oil Prices and Stock Returns: Case of Oil-Importing and Oil-Exporting Countries." In Proceedings of the 2nd Advances in Business Research International Conference. Springer Singapore, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-6053-3_11.

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Ziadie, Haritz Ghozi, Meilita Tryana Sembiring, and Beby Karina Fauzeea Sembiring. "Marketing Mix Strategy Using SWOT Analysis to Increase Market Share in PT Smartfren Telecom Tbk North Sumatera Area." In Proceedings of the 19th International Symposium on Management (INSYMA 2022). Atlantis Press International BV, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.2991/978-94-6463-008-4_116.

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AbstractThe need for communication technology, especially internet data services, cannot be separated from people’s lives. Almost all people now have internet data services to meet their internet access needs. However, the public is faced with many choices of internet data services offered by cellular network operators, one of which is Smartfren. PT Smartfren Telecom, Tbk, provides a wide selection of attractive data services and adapts to the needs of the community in order to increase the number of new customers and retain old customers. PT Smartfren Telecom, Tbk uses a 4P marketing mix strategy (Product, Price, People, Promotion) to increase and retain its customers. However, Smartfren is still inferior to other provider competitors, where Telkomsel has a market share value of 49.47%, XL 29.79%, Tri 16.49%, Indosat 10.64%, and Smartfren 5.85%. This shows that although there is a growth in customers every year, the market share (users) is still lagging behind other competitors. This study aims to increase market share using SWOT analysis. This study applied the 4P marketing mix theory and SWOT analysis to examine the issues raised. Data were collected by conducting interviews and direct observation. The results of this research will later show a marketing strategy to increase and retain the number of Smartfren customers.

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Kuhlmann, Sabine, Isabella Proeller, Dieter Schimanke, and Jan Ziekow. "German Public Administration: Background and Key Issues." In Public Administration in Germany. Springer International Publishing, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-53697-8_1.

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AbstractThe international community of public administration and administrative sciences shows a great interest in the basic features of the German administrative system. The German public administration with its formative decentralisation (called: administrative federalism) is regarded as a prime example of multilevel governance and strong local self-government. Furthermore, over the past decades, the traditional profile of the German administrative system has significantly been reshaped and remoulded through reforms, processes of modernisation and the transformation process in East Germany. Studies on the German administrative system should focus especially on key institutional features of public administration; changing relationships between public administration, society and the private sector; administrative reforms at different levels of the federal system; and new challenges and modernisation approaches, such as digitalisation, open government and better regulation. The publication is following this structure in four parts with 22 chapters.

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Curry, Helen Anne. "Data, Duplication, and Decentralisation: Gene Bank Management in the 1980s and 1990s." In Towards Responsible Plant Data Linkage: Data Challenges for Agricultural Research and Development. Springer International Publishing, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-13276-6_9.

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AbstractIn the 1970s, the number of accessions held in national and international seed and gene banks increased steadily. This growth, initially a source of pride, was recognised as a liability by the 1980s. Too many accessions lacked the basic information necessary for researchers to access and use samples knowledgably. Many gene banks came under scrutiny for poor management practices and several found themselves accused of mishandling a ‘global patrimony’ entrusted to their care. In this paper, I explore one response to these concerns that attracted attention from many in the germplasm conservation community: creating linked, standardised databases of collections. Calls for more and better data about accessions often emphasised that these data would make collections easier to use and therefore more valued. Here I take a close look at the early history of data collation and standardisation as a means of ‘rationalising’ collections, a motivation that was not advertised as prominently. This historical example shows the infrastructures developed to facilitate data exchange in the context of seed and gene banking to have been tied up with both mundane imperatives to cut costs and lofty goals of building political bridges—in addition to the often-repeated ambition of making plant breeding more efficient.

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Conference papers on the topic "International price shocks"

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Ng, Zhan Jian, and Siok Kun Sek. "Spillover effects of oil price shocks across stock markets." In INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON QUANTITATIVE SCIENCES AND ITS APPLICATIONS (ICOQSIA 2014): Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Quantitative Sciences and Its Applications. AIP Publishing LLC, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.4903607.

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Zhang, Li, Liang Zhang, Keli Xiao, and Qi Liu. "Forecasting price shocks with social attention and sentiment analysis." In 2016 IEEE/ACM International Conference on Advances in Social Networks Analysis and Mining (ASONAM). IEEE, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/asonam.2016.7752291.

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Li, Ting. "The Impact of Oil Price Shocks on Stock Markets." In Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Economy, Judicature, Administration and Humanitarian Projects (JAHP 2019). Atlantis Press, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.2991/jahp-19.2019.58.

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Zhi-hong, Jian, Li Shuang, and Zheng Jun-yao. "Impact of oil price shocks on China's economy: A DSGE-based analysis." In 2010 International Conference on Management Science and Engineering (ICMSE). IEEE, 2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/icmse.2010.5719986.

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Marchisio, Emiliano. "PRICE INCREASES DURING THE PANDEMIA AND EU COMPETITION LAW." In International Jean Monnet Module Conference of EU and Comparative Competition Law Issues "Competition Law (in Pandemic Times): Challenges and Reforms. Faculty of Law, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.25234/eclic/18819.

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The debate about the “just price” has ancient origin and returns forcefully to the scene when, in the event of crises of various kinds, there is a rapid and significant increase in prices of given goods or services. In this article it is examined the problem of whether price increases of such a nature could, or should, be considered illicit under EU competition law. The central part of the article reviews different theories on what a “just price” should be and focuses on the idea that a price is “just” when it functions as index of relative scarcity in free markets. It is claimed that such a f

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Javanshir, Nima, Pauli Hiltunen, and Sanna Syri. "Is Electrified Low-Carbon District Heating Able to Manage Electricity Price Shocks?" In 2022 18th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM). IEEE, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/eem54602.2022.9921029.

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Dias, Rui, Hortense Santos, Paula Heliodoro, Cristina Vasco, and Paulo Alexandre. "WTI OIL SHOCKS IN EASTERN EUROPEAN STOCK MARKETS: A VAR APPROACH." In 5th International Scientific Conference – EMAN 2021 – Economics and Management: How to Cope With Disrupted Times. Association of Economists and Managers of the Balkans, Belgrade, Serbia, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.31410/eman.2021.71.

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The 2020 Russia-Saudi Oil Price War was an economic war triggered in March 2020 by Saudi Arabia in response to Russia’s refusal to reduce oil production to keep oil prices at a moderate level. In view of these events, this study aims to analyze oil shocks (WTI) in the eastern European stock markets, namely the stock indices of Hungary (BUX), Croatia (CROBE), Russia (MOEX), Czech Republic (PRAGUE), Slovakia (SAX 16), Slovenia (SBI TOP), Bulgaria (SOFIX), from September 2019 to January 2021. The results show mostly structural breakdowns in March 2020, while the VAR Granger Causality/Block Exogen

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Rahma, Elsiddig, Noel Perera, and Kian Tan. "OIL PRICE SHOCKS AND THEIRS CONSEQUENCES ON SUDAN’S GDP GROWTH AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATES." In 21st International Academic Conference, Miami. International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.20472/iac.2016.021.033.

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Ding, Qing, and Yucan Liu. "Momentum or reversal after price shocks: The impact of information on stock returns." In 2013 10th International Conference on Service Systems and Service Management (ICSSSM). IEEE, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/icsssm.2013.6602542.

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"Impact of positive and negative price shocks on investment portfolios in selected Asian markets." In 23rd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2019). Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.36334/modsim.2019.e3.abidin2.

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Reports on the topic "International price shocks"

1

Chari, V., Patrick Kehoe, and Ellen McGrattan. Monetary Shocks and Real Exchange Rates in Sticky Price Models of International Business Cycles. National Bureau of Economic Research, 1997. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w5876.

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McCulloch, Neil, Davide Natalini, Naomi Hossain, and Patricia Justino. An Exploration of the Association Between Fuel Subsidies and Fuel Riots. Institute of Development Studies, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.19088/ids.2021.058.

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Between 2005 and 2018, 41 countries had at least one riot directly associated with popular demand for fuel. We make use of a new international data set on fuel riots to explore the effects of fuel prices and price regimes on fuel riots. In line with prior expectations, we find that large domestic fuel price shocks – often linked to international price shocks – are a key driver of riots. In addition, we report a novel result: fuel riots are closely associated with domestic price regimes. Countries that maintain fixed price regimes – notably net energy exporters – tend to have large fuel subsidi

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Parra-Cely, Sergio, and Wladimir Zanoni. The Labor Market Worsening Effects of a Resource Bust: Evidence from the Crude Oil Price Shock in Ecuador. Inter-American Development Bank, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0004291.

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To assess the effects of an oil price bust on individual labor market outcomes, we leverage the 2015 exogenous decline in international oil prices with geographical variation in oil-dependency in Ecuador. To account for propagation mechanisms, we also test the causal effect of the oil price bust on public transfers to local autonomous governments. Reduced form results suggest a moderate oil price pass-through channel on wages and nonlabor earnings but not on labor supply and participation. Public transfers play an amplification role, as a one percentage point decrease in these funds implies wo

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Amiti, Mary, Oleg Itskhoki, and Jozef Konings. International Shocks and Domestic Prices: How Large Are Strategic Complementarities? National Bureau of Economic Research, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w22119.

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Vargas-Herrera, Hernando, Juan Jose Ospina-Tejeiro, Carlos Alfonso Huertas-Campos, et al. Monetary Policy Report - April de 2021. Banco de la República de Colombia, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.32468/inf-pol-mont-eng.tr2-2021.

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1.1 Macroeconomic summary Economic recovery has consistently outperformed the technical staff’s expectations following a steep decline in activity in the second quarter of 2020. At the same time, total and core inflation rates have fallen and remain at low levels, suggesting that a significant element of the reactivation of Colombia’s economy has been related to recovery in potential GDP. This would support the technical staff’s diagnosis of weak aggregate demand and ample excess capacity. The most recently available data on 2020 growth suggests a contraction in economic activity of 6.8%, lowe

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Ama Pokuaa, Fenny, Aba Obrumah Crentsil, Christian Kwaku Osei, and Felix Ankomah Asante. Fiscal and Public Health Impact of a Change in Tobacco Excise Taxes in Ghana. Institute of Development Studies (IDS), 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.19088/ictd.2020.003.

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This working paper predicts the fiscal and public health outcomes from a change in the excise tax structure for cigarettes in Ghana. More than 5,000 people are killed by diseases caused by tobacco every year in Ghana (Tobacco Atlas 2018). Currently the country has a unitary tax administration approach, with a uniform ad valorem tax structure on all excisable products, including tobacco. However, the ECOWAS directive on tobacco control, in line with the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (WHO 2003), recommends a simple tax structure – using a mixed excise system with a minimum specific

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Monetary Policy Report - July de 2021. Banco de la República, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.32468/inf-pol-mont-eng.tr3-2021.

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Macroeconomic summary The Colombian economy sustained numerous shocks in the second quarter, pri¬marily related to costs and supply. The majority of these shocks were unantic¬ipated or proved more persistent than expected, interrupting the recovery in economic activity observed at the beginning of the year and pushing overall inflation above the target. Core inflation (excluding food and regulated items) increased but remained low, in line with the technical staff’s expectations. A third wave of the pandemic, which became more severe and prolonged than the previous outbreak, began in early Apr

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Monetary Policy Report - July 2022. Banco de la República, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.32468/inf-pol-mont-eng.tr3-2022.

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In the second quarter, annual inflation (9.67%), the technical staff’s projections and its expectations continued to increase, remaining above the target. International cost shocks, accentuated by Russia's invasion of Ukraine, have been more persistent than projected, thus contributing to higher inflation. The effects of indexation, higher than estimated excess demand, a tighter labor market, inflation expectations that continue to rise and currently exceed 3%, and the exchange rate pressures add to those described above. High core inflation measures as well as in the producer price index (PPI

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Monetary Policy Report - October 2022. Banco de la República Colombia, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.32468/inf-pol-mont-eng.tr4-2022.

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1.1 Macroeconomic summary In September, headline inflation (11.4% annually) and the average of core inflation indicators (8.6% annually) continued on a rising trend, and higher increases than expected were recorded. Forecasts increased again, and inflation expectations remained above 3%. Inflationary surprises in the third quarter were significant and widespread, and they are the result of several shocks. On the one hand, international cost and price shocks, which have mainly affected goods and foods, continue to exert upwards pressure on national inflation. In addition to these external suppl

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Monetary Policy Report - October 2021. Banco de la República, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.32468/inf-pol-mont-eng.tr4-2021.

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Macroeconomic summary Economic activity has recovered faster than projected, and output is now expected to return to pre-pandemic levels earlier than anticipated. Economic growth projections for 2021 and 2022 have been revised upward, though significant downward bias remains. (Graph 1.1). Colombia’s economy returned to recovery in the third quarter after significant supply shocks and a third wave of COVID-19 in the second. Negative shocks affecting mobility and output were absent in the third quarter, and some indicators of economic activity suggest that the rate of recovery in demand, primari

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