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Journal articles on the topic 'Investment under uncertainty'

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Published: 4 June 2021
Last updated: 1 February 2022

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1

Maldoom, Daniel, Avinash K. Dixit, and Robert S. Pindyck. "Investment Under Uncertainty." Economic Journal 106, no. 436 (May 1996): 725. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2235588.

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2

Schwartz, Eduardo S., Avinash K. Dixit, and Robert S. Pindyck. "Investment Under Uncertainty." Journal of Finance 49, no. 5 (December 1994): 1924. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2329279.

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3

Davis, Graham A. "Investment under uncertainty." Resources Policy 22, no. 3 (September 1996): 218. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0301-4207(96)90018-5.

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4

Sen, Sunanda. "Investment decisions under uncertainty." Journal of Post Keynesian Economics 43, no. 2 (March 19, 2019): 267–80. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01603477.2019.1571927.

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5

Steg, Jan-Henrik. "Preemptive investment under uncertainty." Games and Economic Behavior 110 (July 2018): 90–119. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.geb.2018.03.009.

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6

DE BRUIN, KARIANNE, and ERIK ANSINK. "INVESTMENT IN FLOOD PROTECTION MEASURES UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE UNCERTAINTY." Climate Change Economics 02, no. 04 (November 2011): 321–39. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s2010007811000334.

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Recent severe river flooding in Europe has triggered debates among scientists and policy-makers on future projections of flood frequency and the need for adaptive investments, such as flood protection measures. Because there exists uncertainty about the impact of climate change on flood risk, such investments require a careful analysis of expected benefits and costs. The objective of this paper is to show how climate change uncertainty affects the decision to invest in flood protection measures. We develop a model that incorporates flexible timing of investment decisions and scientific uncertainty on the extent of climate change impact. This model allows decision-makers to cope with the uncertain impact of climate change on the frequency and damage of river flood events and minimizes the risk of under- or over-investment. One of the innovative elements of our paper is that we explicitly distinguish between structural and non-structural flood protection measures. Our results show that the effects of uncertainty on the optimal initial investment depends on the cost structure of these measures which has several important implications for flood management policy.
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7

Magni, Carlo Alberto. "Aggregate Return On Investment for investments under uncertainty." International Journal of Production Economics 165 (July 2015): 29–37. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijpe.2015.03.010.

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8

Rivoli, Pietra, and Eugene Salorio. "Foreign Direct Investment and Investment under Uncertainty." Journal of International Business Studies 27, no. 2 (June 1996): 335–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.jibs.8490138.

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9

Yan, Xi-zu, and Zhong-min Song. "The portfolio models of contained grey profit under uncertainty." Grey Systems: Theory and Application 4, no. 3 (October 28, 2014): 487–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/gs-09-2014-0035.

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Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to establish the portfolio models of contained grey profit under uncertainty, and the results are applied to solve uncertain investment problem. Design/methodology/approach – In investment problems, uncertainties may exist in model parameters and input data. For the investment problems contained grey profit and incomplete information about natural world state, according to the portfolio theory, the grey systems theory and the uncertainty decision theory, the paper puts forward portfolio models and the methods. Findings – Traditional uncertainty decision is researched for incomplete information about natural world state, in reality, investment problems are not only uncertain state information, but income are uncertain. Practical implications – Because the investment problems have been widely used in economic analysis, decision analysis and economic management, examples are provided at the end to verify its feasibility. Originality/value – The paper successfully combined the portfolio theory, the gray system theory and uncertainty decision theory and new uncertainty investment decision-making models and methods are presented.
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10

Detemple, Jerome, and Yerkin Kitapbayev. "Optimal Investment under Cost Uncertainty." Risks 6, no. 1 (January 22, 2018): 5. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/risks6010005.

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11

Huisman, Kuno J. M., and Peter M. Kort. "Strategic capacity investment under uncertainty." RAND Journal of Economics 46, no. 2 (April 23, 2015): 376–408. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1756-2171.12089.

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12

Dumitrescu, Ariadna, and Javier Gil-Bazo. "Information and investment under uncertainty." Economics Letters 148 (November 2016): 17–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2016.08.043.

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13

Huisman, Kuno J. M., and Peter M. Kort. "Strategic technology investment under uncertainty." OR Spectrum 24, no. 1 (February 1, 2002): 79–98. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s291-002-8201-0.

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14

Asano, Takao, and Akihisa Shibata. "Natural capital investment under knightian uncertainty." Environment and Development Economics 19, no. 5 (January 2, 2014): 529–47. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1355770x13000661.

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AbstractIn this paper, we develop a simple two-period model of natural capital investment under Knightian uncertainty and analyze the effects of changes in the degree of ambiguity on the optimal natural capital investment. We find that the degree of Knightian uncertainty affects a government's natural capital investment. Moreover, we find that the direction of the effect of the Knightian uncertainty depends on the nature of uncertainty, that is, on whether the uncertainty is about the future level of natural capital or about the return from saving.
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15

Zhang, Honghui. "Uncertainty, Incentive and Over/Under-Investment." Open Journal of Business and Management 05, no. 03 (2017): 450–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/ojbm.2017.53038.

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16

Grimalyuk, A. V., I. Y. Kvach, and O. V. Boiko. "INVESTMENT MODEL OF DEVELOPMENT UNDER UNCERTAINTY." Economic innovations 19, no. 1(63) (April 24, 2017): 82–89. http://dx.doi.org/10.31520/ei.2017.19.1(63).82-89.

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Uncertainty today is becoming a major factor hampering investment and economic development in Ukraine. Meanwhile, economic theory actually replaces the immeasurable uncertainty with measurable risk, assuming knowledge of probabilities. More complete consideration of the uncertainty factor can become the theoretical basis for the development of entirely other practical recommendations for economic policy at the national and regional levels. Therefore, the purpose of the article is to reveal the possibility of more fully taking into account the uncertainty factor in economic theory and to justify, from these theoretical positions, an alternative approach to managing the process of economic development. The essence of the problem lies in the fact that investment requires a surplus profit, designed to compensate for the uncertainty of investment expectations. Only in the case of such expected compensation, the investment project is able to become the limit, closing, and therefore, the one that determines the total investment. Compensatory superprofit is the most important regulator of economic growth, since investing in a business project occurs only when at least one entrepreneur expects such profits from him. Without it, monetary capital will remain in the banks, and economic development can stop. An important conclusion about the merits of the proposed investment system is that it can be involved not only at the national level, but also at the regional or even city levels. This model is well aligned with other variants of institutional reforms proposed in the literature, for example, with the proposal to create agencies for regional development. Thus, the practical conclusion is the possibility of using the system of redistribution of uncertainty in the specific conditions of the modern Ukrainian economy.
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17

Pawlina, Grzegorz, and Peter M. Kort. "Investment under uncertainty and policy change." Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 29, no. 7 (July 2005): 1193–209. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2004.07.002.

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18

Odening, Martin, Oliver Mußhoff, Norbert Hirschauer, and Alfons Balmann. "Investment under uncertainty—Does competition matter?" Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 31, no. 3 (March 2007): 994–1014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2006.03.005.

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19

Koch, Nicolas, Wolf Heinrich Reuter, Sabine Fuss, and Godefroy Grosjean. "Permits vs. offsets under investment uncertainty." Resource and Energy Economics 49 (August 2017): 33–47. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.reseneeco.2017.03.006.

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20

Baldursson, Fridrik M. "Irreversible investment under uncertainty in oligopoly." Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 22, no. 4 (April 1998): 627–44. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0165-1889(97)00070-5.

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21

Polborn, Mattias. "Investment under Uncertainty in Dynamic Conflicts." Review of Economic Studies 73, no. 2 (April 2006): 505–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-937x.2006.0385.x.

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22

Nguyen Huu, Adrien. "Investment under uncertainty, competition and regulation." Journal of Dynamics & Games 1, no. 4 (2014): 579–98. http://dx.doi.org/10.3934/jdg.2014.1.579.

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23

Eberly, Janice C., and Jan A. Van Mieghem. "Multi-factor Dynamic Investment under Uncertainty." Journal of Economic Theory 75, no. 2 (August 1997): 345–87. http://dx.doi.org/10.1006/jeth.1996.2281.

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24

Lombardi, Domenico. "Business Investment under Uncertainty and Irreversibility." Oxonomics 4, no. 1 (June 2009): 25–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-5209.2009.00029.x.

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25

Tsekrekos, Andrianos E. "Investment under economic and implementation uncertainty." R&D Management 31, no. 2 (April 2001): 127–35. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1467-9310.00203.

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26

Gamba, Andrea, Gordon A. Sick, and Carmen Aranda León. "Investment under Uncertainty, Debt and Taxes." Economic Notes 37, no. 1 (February 2008): 31–58. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0300.2008.00193.x.

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27

Chirinko, Robert S. "Investment under uncertainty: A review essay." Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 20, no. 9-10 (September 1996): 1801–8. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0165-1889(95)00922-1.

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28

Lu, Chia-Chi, Weifeng Hung, Jyh-Jian Sheu, and Pai-Ta Shih. "Investment with network externality under uncertainty." Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting 36, no. 4 (June 22, 2010): 555–64. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11156-010-0189-9.

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29

Bolton, Patrick, Neng Wang, and Jinqiang Yang. "Investment under uncertainty with financial constraints." Journal of Economic Theory 184 (November 2019): 104912. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jet.2019.06.008.

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30

Kauffman, Robert J., Jun Liu, and Dan Ma. "Technology investment decision-making under uncertainty." Information Technology and Management 16, no. 2 (January 7, 2015): 153–72. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10799-014-0212-2.

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31

Chevalier-Roignant, Benoît, Christoph M. Flath, Arnd Huchzermeier, and Lenos Trigeorgis. "Strategic investment under uncertainty: A synthesis." European Journal of Operational Research 215, no. 3 (December 2011): 639–50. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2011.05.038.

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32

Aryeetey, Ernest. "Private investment under uncertainty in Ghana." World Development 22, no. 8 (August 1994): 1211–21. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0305-750x(94)90087-6.

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33

Chamberlain, Trevor W. "Firm Liquidity and Investment under Uncertainty." International Advances in Economic Research 13, no. 3 (May 24, 2007): 397–98. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11294-007-9098-7.

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34

Mauer, David C., and Steven H. Ott. "Investment under Uncertainty: The Case of Replacement Investment Decisions." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 30, no. 4 (December 1995): 581. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2331278.

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35

Mazzoccoli, Alessandro, and Maurizio Naldi. "Optimal Investment in Cyber-Security under Cyber Insurance for a Multi-Branch Firm." Risks 9, no. 1 (January 12, 2021): 24. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/risks9010024.

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Investments in security and cyber-insurance are two cyber-risk management strategies that can be employed together to optimize the overall security expense. In this paper, we provide a closed form for the optimal investment under a full set of insurance liability scenarios (full liability, limited liability, and limited liability with deductibles) when we consider a multi-branch firm with correlated vulnerability. The insurance component results to be the major expense. It ends up being the only recommended approach (i.e., setting zero investments in security) when the intrinsic vulnerability is either very low or very high. We also study the robustness of the investment choices when our knowledge of vulnerability and correlation is uncertain, concluding that the uncertainty induced on investment by either uncertain correlation or uncertain vulnerability is not significant.
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36

Kinias, Ioannis, Ioannis Tsakalos, and Nikolaos Konstantopoulos. "Investment evaluation in renewable projects under uncertainty, using real options analysis: the case of wind power industry." Investment Management and Financial Innovations 14, no. 1 (March 31, 2017): 96–103. http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.14(1).2017.10.

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Investment analysis is a crucial process for any investment’s success. This process can be supported by both the discounted cash flow analysis and the real options analysis. Many researchers have point out restrictions for the first one, in cases of uncertainty in the entrepreneurial environment. The main types of uncertainty, concerning the wind energy sector, include uncertainties related to the price of electriticity by RES, the public policy regulatory policies, the demand, the initial capital costs, the technological progress, the weather conditions, the political and economical situations and generally the RES market structure. In this paper, we try to find the optimal investment strategy in a liberalized global electricity market, where the price of electricity is uncertain while the other parameters are configured separately in each country. The authors consider about the factors of the time for investment and the electricity’s price level, in wind energy by using the real options theory. The authors select a variety of data for the wind energy industry from different countries in several continents, and also create a model for the investment analysis in this entrepreneurial sector.
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37

Song, Sangcheol. "Uncertainty, Absorptive Capacity, and Real Option Value of International Investment: An Examination of Prior Experience." Journal of International Business and Economy 14, no. 1 (July 1, 2013): 71–86. http://dx.doi.org/10.51240/jibe.2013.1.4.

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Considering that experience develops a firm’s absorptive capacity, this paper examines the moderating effects of firms’ prior experience with high uncertainty and international investments on the real options value of subsequent and similar investments under uncertainty. In addition to the firm’s real option investments, we propose that consideration for a firm’s capability to perceive and respond to exogenous uncertainty and future opportunities would lead to a better understanding of the value of real options under uncertainty. Differential absorptive capacity based on prior experience with similar type of uncertainty and investment leads to heterogeneous value of subsequent uncertainty and investment.
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38

Wang, Cong, Zongbao Zou, and Shidao Geng. "Green Technology Investment in a Decentralized Supply Chain under Demand Uncertainty." Sustainability 13, no. 7 (March 27, 2021): 3752. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su13073752.

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Green technology investment is an important factor that influences the sustainability and performance of the supply chain. In this paper, we use the game-theoretic approach, which is quite suitable to operation decision research, to model a supply chain consisting of one supplier and one retailer and discuss who should invest in green technology in a decentralized supply chain under demand uncertainty. An important result we found is that the retailer has a stronger investment motivation and higher investment efficiency compared to the supplier. The retailer also tends to invest in green technology himself when customers are not so sensitive to the product’s retail price. We analyze the supply chain sustainability, and find that high levels of green technology investments are not always necessarily good for environmental sustainability, it depends on the environmental impact’s sensitivity to green technology. Lastly, a joint investment mechanism is designed to induce the retailer to join in the green technology investment when he has no investment intention, and that realizes a Pareto improvement of the supply chain. Based on the results, we recommend designing more incentive mechanisms to induce the retailers to join in the green technology investment according to supply chain conditions.
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39

Huang, Jinwu. "Optimal Investment under Price and Wage Uncertainty." Journal of Mathematical Finance 03, no. 01 (2013): 138–44. http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/jmf.2013.31013.

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40

Yilmaz, Fatih. "Conditional investment policy under uncertainty and irreversibility." European Journal of Operational Research 132, no. 3 (August 2001): 681–86. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0377-2217(00)00172-7.

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41

Sun, Yao, and Mark A. Turnquist. "Investment in Transportation Network Capacity under Uncertainty." Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board 2039, no. 1 (January 2007): 67–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.3141/2039-08.

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42

Dobbs, Ian M. "Replacement Investment: Optimal Economic Life Under Uncertainty." Journal of Business Finance Accounting 31, no. 5-6 (June 2004): 729–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.0306-686x.2004.00555.x.

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43

Jackson, Cath, and Allison Orr. "Investment decision-making under economic policy uncertainty." Journal of Property Research 36, no. 2 (March 19, 2019): 153–85. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09599916.2019.1590454.

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44

Pennings, Enrico. "Taxes and stimuli of investment under uncertainty." European Economic Review 44, no. 2 (February 2000): 383–91. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0014-2921(98)00078-6.

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45

Dotsis, George, Vasiliki Makropoulou, and Raphael Nicholas Markellos. "Investment under uncertainty and volatility estimation risk." Applied Economics Letters 19, no. 2 (June 6, 2011): 133–37. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2011.570697.

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46

Novy-Marx, Robert. "An Equilibrium Model of Investment Under Uncertainty." Review of Financial Studies 20, no. 5 (January 29, 2007): 1461–502. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/revfin/hhm013.

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47

Sundaresan, Suresh, and Neng Wang. "Investment under Uncertainty with Strategic Debt Service." American Economic Review 97, no. 2 (April 1, 2007): 256–61. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.97.2.256.

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48

Trifunovic, Dejan. "Investment choice under uncertainty: A review essay." Ekonomski anali 50, no. 167 (2005): 141–70. http://dx.doi.org/10.2298/eka0567141t.

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An investment opportunity whose return is perfectly predictable, hardly exists at all. Instead, investor makes his decisions under conditions of uncertainty. Theory of expected utility is the main analytical tool for description of choice under uncertainty. Critics of the theory contend that individuals have bounded rationality and that the theory of expected utility is not correct. When agents are faced with risky decisions they behave differently, conditional on their attitude towards risk. They can be risk loving, risk averse or risk neutral. In order to make an investment decision it is necessary to compare probability distribution functions of returns. Investment decision making is much simpler if one uses expected values and variances instead of probability distribution functions.
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49

Jeanneret, Alexandre. "International Firm Investment under Exchange Rate Uncertainty*." Review of Finance 20, no. 5 (November 10, 2015): 2015–48. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfv054.

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50

Heumesser, Christine, Sabine Fuss, Jana Szolgayová, Franziska Strauss, and Erwin Schmid. "Investment in Irrigation Systems under Precipitation Uncertainty." Water Resources Management 26, no. 11 (July 25, 2012): 3113–37. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11269-012-0053-x.

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