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1

Ekanayake, Gemunu. "Determination of Stellar Parameters through the Use of All Available Flux Data and Model Spectral Energy Distributions." UKnowledge, 2017. http://uknowledge.uky.edu/physastron_etds/44.

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Basic stellar atmospheric parameters, such as effective temperature, surface gravity, and metallicity plays a vital role in the characterization of various stellar populations in the Milky Way. The Stellar parameters can be measured by adopting one or more observational techniques, such as spectroscopy, photometry, interferometry, etc. Finding new and innovative ways to combine these observational data to derive reliable stellar parameters and to use them to characterize some of the stellar populations in our galaxy is the main goal of this thesis. Our initial work, based on the spectroscopic and photometric data available in literature, had the objective of calibrating the stellar parameters from a range of available flux observations from far-UV to far-IR. Much effort has been made to estimate probability distributions of the stellar parameters using Bayesian inference, rather than point estimates. We applied these techniques to blue straggler stars (BSSs) in the galactic field, which are thought to be a product of mass transfer mechanism associated with binary stars. Using photometry available in SDSS and GALEX surveys we identified 85 stars with UV excess in their spectral energy distribution (SED) : indication of a hot white dwarf companion to BSS. To determine the parameter distributions (mass, temperature and age) of the WD companions, we developed algorithms that could fit binary model atmospheres to the observed SED. The WD mass distribution peaks at 0.4M , suggests the primary formation channel of field BSSs is Case-B mass transfer, i.e. when the donor star is in red giant phase of its evolution. Based on stellar evolutionary models, we estimate the lower limit of binary mass transfer efficiency β ~ 0.5. Next, we have focused on the Canis Major overdensity (CMO), a substructure located at low galactic latitude in the Milky Way, where the interstellar reddening (E(B-V )) due to dust is significantly high. In this study we estimated the reddening, metallicity distribution and kinematics of the CMO using a sample of red clump (RC) stars. The averageE(B-V)(~0.19)is consistent with that measured from Schlegel maps (Schlegal et.al. 1998). The overall metallicity and kinematic distribution is in agreement with the previous estimates of the disk stars. But the measured mean alpha element abundance is relatively larger with respect to the expected value for disk stars.
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2

Vrubel, Tomáš. "Vybrané modely determinace měnového kurzu." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2010. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-75895.

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The aim of this Master Thesis is to summarize the modern theoretical models of fundamental determination of exchange rates. The Thesis contains of Introduction, four explanatory chapters and the conclusion. The first chapter provides the definition of traditional premises (PPP, IRP, expectations) and in the end of the chapter the 5-equation model is introduced. The second chapter focuses the attention on both equilibrium (Bilson-Frenkel) and non equilibrium (Dornbusch, Frankel) monetary models. In the end of the chapter there are also briefly mentioned Hooper-Morton's and Girton-Ropers models. The third chapter brings in the risk and it is focused on portfolio models. The last chapter describes the Lyons-Evans model of market microstructure based on order flow.
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3

Silber, Marek. "Vytvoření podpůrných výukových prostředků pro kurz Moderní počítačová grafika." Master's thesis, Vysoké učení technické v Brně. Fakulta elektrotechniky a komunikačních technologií, 2015. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-220541.

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This thesis is divided into two parts, where the first part is focused on an overview and work with 3D software at Czech universities, it includes a comparison of the different programs and description of history of Blender programme which was the one chosen as support for teaching the Modern computer graphics course. The second part of the thesis is more focused on practical matters and describes the basic workings of the programme from the first start up, orientation in the different sections and the settings of the work space for the work itself. The thesis details basic transformation commands of change of location, rotation and change of scale of objects and editing commands like copying, deleting, hiding and duplication of individual objects including their theoretical descriptions. Work with lightings continues after the transformation commands including practical examples of different types of lighting. Work with materials and textures is described in the last two chapters. The goal of this thesis is to describe how to work with the Blender programme and basic work with objects and assigning individual materials and textures for objects and the lighting in a scene for people unfamiliar with the programme.
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4

Weichetová, Lenka. "Does 'News' Approach Outperform Monetary Model in Exchange Rate Determination?" Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2013. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-199745.

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This thesis aims to contribute in the field of exchange rate determination. Firstly, it sums results of previous studies (theoretical as well as empirical ones). Consequently, it investigates two approaches to exchange rate determination, and compares their theoretical and empirical performance. Firstly, monetary model is introduced, and secondly 'news' model is presented. Since 'news' model incorporates rational expectations and considers interest rate endogenous, it is expected to give better results in comparison with monetary model. Six exchange rates were chosen for the empirical analysis. They are analyzed in period July 2000 -- June 2012. As expected, 'news' model outperforms monetary model. However, since the volatility of exchange rate is much bigger in reality than both of the models are able to explain, neither of the models can be considered as satisfactory. It is the same result which has been presented in older studies that investigated these models.
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5

Dror, Marika. "Forecasting of exchange rates." Doctoral thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2010. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-202335.

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The thesis investigates different exchange rate models and their forecasting performance. The work takes previous literature overview and summarize their findings. Despite the significant amount of papers which were done on the topic of exchange rate forecast, basically none of them cannot find an appropriate model which would outperform a forecast of a simple random walk in every horizon or for any currency pair. However, there are some positive findings in specific cases (e.g. for specific pair or for specific time horizon). The study provides up-to-date analysis of four exchange rates (USD/CZK, USD/ILS, USD/GBP and USD/EUR) for the period of time from January 2000 to August 2013 and analyse forecasting performance of seven exchange rate models (uncovered interest rate parity model, purchasing power parity model, monetary model, monetary model with error correction, Taylor rule model, hidden Markov model and ESTAR model). Although, the results are in advantage of Taylor rule model, especially for the exchange rate of USD/CZK, I cannot prove that the forecasting performance is significantly better than the random walk model. Except of the overall analysis, the work suppose instabilities in the time. Stock and Watson (2003) found that the forecast predictability is not stable over time. As a consequence, the econometric model can give us better forecast than random walk process at some period of time, however at other period, the forecasting ability can be worse than random walk. Based on Fluctuation test of Giacomini and Rossi (2010a) every model is analysed how the out-of-sample forecast ability changes over time.
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6

Sommer, Josef. "Analýza predikční schopnosti vybraných fundamentálních modelů měnového kurzu na základě statistických metod." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2014. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-264299.

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This diploma thesis evaluates out-of-sample predictive ability of exchange rate models. The first part of the thesis summarizes existing empirical findings about exchange rate predictability and describes exchange rate models chosen to be evaluated. The second part of the thesis evaluates predictive ability of purchasing power parity, uncovered interest parity, monetary model and Taylor rule model. The exchange rate models are evaluated on CZK/EUR and CZK/USD currency pairs. The analysis is made using quarterly data from 1999 to 2013, while 2009 to 2013 period is reserved for forecast evaluation. The predictive ability of exchange rate models is evaluated in one quarter, one year and three years horizons. The exchange rate models are specified in first differences and estimated by ordinary least squares method. The forecasts are made using rolling regression. The exchange rate models are evaluated using RMSE, Theil's U, CW test and direction of change criterion. The diploma thesis concludes with description of own empirical findings.
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7

Hartmeyer, Simon [Verfasser], Wolfgang Akademischer Betreuer] Kurz, and Ekkehard [Akademischer Betreuer] [Fehling. "Ein Modell zur Beschreibung des Querkrafttragverhaltens von Stahlverbunddecken aus Leicht- und Normalbeton / Simon Hartmeyer. Betreuer: Wolfgang Kurz ; Ekkehard Fehling." Kaiserslautern : Technische Universität Kaiserslautern, 2014. http://d-nb.info/1059391139/34.

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Brabcová, Kateřina. "Model e-learningu pro e-commerce." Master's thesis, Vysoké učení technické v Brně. Fakulta podnikatelská, 2011. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-223130.

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The thesis summarizes the possible ways of using the Internet to implement e commerce within the meaning of trade in education. The work deals with the forms of computer-assisted teaching methods, summarizes the applicable software tools, web portals and educational applications, focusing on the creation and dissemination of study materials, and complete learning management systems.
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9

Raschke, Kristin. "Grundlagenuntersuchungen zur Prozess- und Struktursimulation von Phenolharzformmassen mit Kurz- und Langglasfaserverstärkung." Doctoral thesis, Universitätsbibliothek Chemnitz, 2017. http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bsz:ch1-qucosa-229327.

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Thermisch und mechanisch hoch beanspruchte Bauteile im Automobil erfordern den Einsatz hochbeständiger Werkstoffe, bei gleichzeitig niedrigen Materialkosten und effizienter Verarbeitung. Rieselfähige Phenolharzformmassen zeichnen dabei eine Werkstoffklasse aus, die aufgrund ihres Eigenschaftsprofils neue Anwendungsbereiche für einen polymeren Werkstoffeinsatz ermöglichen können. Im Rahmen der vorliegenden Arbeit werden im Hinblick auf eine Bauteilentwicklung mithilfe der integrativen Simulation die Grundlagen einer ganzheitlichen Simulationskette der Prozess- und Struktursimulation von rieselfähigen Phenolharzen mit Kurz- und Langglasfaserverstärkung erarbeitet. Das auf Basis umfangreicher Prozessuntersuchungen abgeleitete Strömungsverhalten kann mithilfe des Block-/Scherströmungsmodells beschrieben werden. Die Ergebnisse der Mikrostrukturanalyse zeigen jedoch eine Orientierungsdynamik der Fasern, welche zum gegenwärtigen Zeitpunkt mithilfe der empirischen Modelle der klassischen Spritzgießsolver nicht abgebildet werden kann. Die mikromechanische Materialmodellierung erfolgt entsprechend an der experimentell ermittelten Mikrostruktur, welche die Berücksichtigung von Faserbündelungen und -krümmungen in der mechanischen Strukturanalyse erlaubt. Das abgeleitete elastoplastische Materialmodell wird zur Vorhersage des Ermüdungsverhaltens unter harmonischer und nichtharmonischer Schwingbeanspruchung um ein zyklisches Versagensmodell erweitert, welches eine mittellast- und temperaturunabhängige Berechnung unter Berücksichtigung der Anisotropie ermöglicht. Die Validierung der statischen und schwingenden Beanspruchung erfolgt an einer einfachen Probestabgeometrie sowie einem Strukturbauteil, einem PKW-Motorträger
Thermally and mechanically highly stressed automotive components require the use of highly resistant materials, with low material costs and efficient processing. Phenolic resin molding compounds represent a class of materials, which can open up new applications for a polymeric material use due to their property profile. In the present work, the fundamentals of a simulation chain of fluid mechanical and structural simulation of phenolic resins with short and long glass fiber reinforcement are developed, with a view to component development using integrative simulation. Based on extensive process investigations the derived flow behavior can be described using the block/ shear flow model. However, the results of microstructure analysis show a dynamic of fiber orientation, which can not be predicted at the present time using the empirical models of classical injection molding simulation. Accordingly, the micromechanical modeling is carried out at the experimentally determined microstructure. That allows the inclusion of fiber bundling and bending in the mechanical structure analysis. The derived elastoplastic material model is extended by a fatigue failure model to predict the fatigue behavior under harmonic and non-harmonic cyclic stress which allows a calculation taking into account the anisotropy, the stress ratio and the temperature. The validation of the static stress and fatigue is performed both on a simple test bar geometry and a structural component, an automotive engine bracket
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10

Drdlová, Světlana. "Model vzdělávání uživatelů v oblasti IT." Master's thesis, Vysoké učení technické v Brně. Fakulta podnikatelská, 2014. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-224621.

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This thesis deals with entry knowledge and overall IT education company situation analysis. Based on the analysis, I created an education plan or a model that has goal to enhance training effectiveness as well as to improve information technology know-how and use within the company in order to increase the company profit and at the same time help employees in their professional growth and thus enhance their loyalty and personal satisfaction.
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11

Havrlant, David. "Analýza vývoje cenové konvergence ČR k EU." Doctoral thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2006. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-77050.

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The price level convergence of the transition economies towards the reference economies is linked to the relative price of nontradables, which is explained by the total factor productivity differentials in tradable and nontradable sector. Basic concept is offered by the Balassa Samuelson model and its modifications. Testable equations are derived from these models, and the panel data approach is applied for their estimation. The results indicate faster growth of the relative price of nontradables in transition economies as succession of higher growth rate of the total factor productivity in tradable sector. Hence estimated models confirm the price level convergence of transition economies towards the reference economies. The analyses of price dynamics of the complementary field, i. e. of the tradables, follows, and the basic concept is represented by the rational bubble hypothesis. The stress is putted on the impact of the word prices on the price levels of the Czech Republic. After a cointegration analysis of the time series is carried out, the influence of the word prices of tradable commodities is estimated within a vector error correction model and regression analysis. This cost factors analysis is afterwards related to the export dynamics of the Czech Republic, and models suitable for quantitative analysis of export dynamics as well as its prediction based on vector error correction model and regression analysis are evaluated. Their forecasting ability is assessed within a simulation of ex-post forecasts and a root mean squared error. The aim is to consider the relationship between the price levels and the export dynamics, for the relation of both variables evaluated within the Granger causality seems to be less straightforward then the standard export equations suggest, and the estimated equations confirm significant influence of the export dynamics on the price level.
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12

Vollmar, Patrick [Verfasser], Heinrich H. D. [Akademischer Betreuer] Meyer, Bernhard [Akademischer Betreuer] Hemmer, and Alexander [Akademischer Betreuer] Kurz. "Biopsychological interactions in autoimmune models of CNS inflammation / Patrick Vollmar. Gutachter: Heinrich H. D. Meyer ; Bernhard Hemmer ; Alexander Kurz. Betreuer: Heinrich H. D. Meyer ; Bernhard Hemmer." München : Universitätsbibliothek der TU München, 2011. http://d-nb.info/1016035071/34.

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13

Antoš, Josef. "Možnosti předvídání vývoje měnového kurzu v mezinárodním podnikání." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2012. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-199796.

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The diploma thesis deals with currency market analysis. There are three main types of analysis: fundamental, technical and psychological analysis. Each of these methods contains explanation of logic, on which the method is based, its advantages, disadvantages and specific examples of this analysis. Neural networks are furher explained in technical analysis. The practical part of the diploma thesis builds on knowledge of technical analysis and tests functionality of the neural networks in the environment of currency markets. The model is calibrated first and then it is used to predict the development of major currency pairs. The prediction is carried out on a monthly chart for December 2013.
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14

Trunečka, Tomáš. "Fundamentální analýza." Master's thesis, Vysoké učení technické v Brně. Fakulta podnikatelská, 2010. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-222460.

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The diploma thesis is dealing with a fundamental analysis. The first part of diploma thesis presents the methods and procedures of analysis. It evaluates their advantages and disadvantages. The practical part of diploma thesis is dealing with an application of fundamental analysis in assessment of financial position of concrete joint stock company ČEZ. The top of my survey is estimated a formulation of instrinsinic share value and a recommendation for shares of ČEZ.
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15

Mertlík, Jakub. "Valuation and Hedging of Foreign Exchange Barrier Options." Doctoral thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2004. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-77859.

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The main aim of this thesis is in analyzing and empirically testing the various valuation models and hedging schemes of foreign exchange barrier options and their robustness with respect to changing of market conditions. The purpose of the main empirical section is to get a detailed understanding of the static and dynamic performance of the analyzed models for the barrier options payoff mainly in the extreme market conditions, where we performed a benchmarking of the various hedging schemes. As a by-product, we analyzed the accomplishment of some of the model assumptions in real world setting, and the model dependency of the barrier options.
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Plate, Paul [Verfasser], Roel van de [Akademischer Betreuer] Krol, Roel van de [Gutachter] Krol, and Philipp [Gutachter] Kurz. "Model-system studies on manganese oxide-based water oxidation catalysts made with atomic layer deposition / Paul Plate ; Gutachter: Roel van de Krol, Philipp Kurz ; Betreuer: Roel van de Krol." Berlin : Technische Universität Berlin, 2019. http://d-nb.info/1189206412/34.

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Aboelsoud, Rasha Samy Elsayed [Verfasser], and Joachim [Akademischer Betreuer] Kurtz. "RNA interference (RNAi) as a tool for testing the role of heat shock protein 90 (HSP90) as an evolutionary capacitor in the model insect Tribolium castaneum (Coleoptera: Tenebrionidae) / Rasha Samy Elsayed Aboelsoud ; Betreuer: Joachim Kurtz." Münster : Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Münster, 2018. http://d-nb.info/1171312911/34.

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18

Hájek, Petr. "Možnosti využití netradičních kvantitativních metod při předpovídání finančních krizí." Doctoral thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2007. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-2340.

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Práce je rozdělena na tři části. V teoretické části práce jsou přiblíženy významné krize za posledních několik set let, typologie krizí, selhání finančních trhů dle P. Krugmana, generační modely, cenové bubliny, souvislost kapitálových toků a dluhového problému, nákaza, prevence před krizemi a jejich management. V druhé části jsou v rámci popisu současného stavu bádání v oblasti predikce finančních krizí citovány desítky studií. Jejich výsledky jsou následně porovnány. Pozornost je také věnována definici finanční krize. Ve třetí části je provedena aplikace metody Latent Semantic Indexing (LSI) na úlohu predikce finančních krizí. Testovanou hypotézou je předpoklad, že akciové trhy dokáží během jednoho čtvrtletí (64 pozorování akciového trhu) reflektovat budoucí vývoj v měnové politice (během dalších 128 pozorování). Tato hypotéza byla na vzorku 39 zemí, intervalu let 1985 - 2007 a interpretace vývoje úrokových sazeb a měnového kurzu domácí měny vůči USD v disertační práci potvrzena. Uvedená metoda LSI a její studovaná aplikace na akciovém trhu, přestože dokázala nalézt několik krizí i přesně na den, je vhodná spíše pro specifikaci a analýzu křehkých období, kdy ke krizi může dojít, než přímo k předpovídání krizí.
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Macháček, Marek. "Analýza vývoje měnového kurzu na základě koncepce nekryté úrokové parity." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2017. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-359731.

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The aim of this diploma thesis is based on the empirical analysis to identify the relationship between the exchange rate and the interest rates in selected countries and verify the validity of the uncovered interest rate parity. In the first part, the author deals with basic theoretical and exchange rate determinants from a fundamental analysis point of view, which attempts to explain the causality between these two variables. The actual analysis was performed at three levels on monthly time series from 2010 to 2016. Graphical analysis was selected as the first stage of the analysis, also including verification of the validity of the Fisher International Effect. Later, regression and vector autoregressive analysis followed. However, the conclusions of the individual empirical parts show that the exchange rate is determined by many factors, not only by the interest rate differential, as assumed the theory of uncovered interest rate parity. These results are also related to the low quality of the estimated models. Uncovered interest rate parity has been confirmed in very few cases, but none of the monitored currency pairs has been validated at all three levels of empirical analysis at the same time. The work offers valuable insight into the trend appreciation or depreciation of the exchange rates at the positive interest rate differential in the selected period.
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Kuru, Ismail [Verfasser], Tim C. [Akademischer Betreuer] Lüth, Hannes [Gutachter] Maier, Tim C. [Gutachter] Lüth, and Werner [Gutachter] Hemmert. "A New Postoperative Adjustable Middle Ear Prosthesis: Design and Validation Aided by a New 3D Printed Functional Middle Ear Model / Ismail Kuru ; Gutachter: Hannes Maier, Tim C. Lüth, Werner Hemmert ; Betreuer: Tim C. Lüth." München : Universitätsbibliothek der TU München, 2019. http://d-nb.info/1194162789/34.

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Havránek, Dalibor. "Fundamentální analýza vybraných akcií na českém kapitálovém trhu." Master's thesis, Vysoké učení technické v Brně. Fakulta podnikatelská, 2009. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-222013.

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The subject of this dissertation is to do a fundamental analysis based on chosen shares on the czech capital market. The chosen corporations are Telefonica O2 Czech Republic, a.s. and ČEZ, a.s. In this dissertation I have set the share value, the prediction of the progression of dividends and the amount of ratio index. Further I have made a recommendation for future investors and the timing of their commerce.
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Kubeš, Tomáš. "Posouzení technických, ekonomických a personálních aspektů e-vzdělávání v LS SAP v ČSOB." Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2008. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-9158.

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This book focuses on an evaluation of technical, economical, and personal aspects of e-learning deployment in a theoretical plane and in the specific environment of the bank ČSOB, a. s. The thesis begins by an introduction of the term e-learning and a brief description of main properties and characteristics of this new trend in a field of not only corporate education. Special attention is devoted to an assessment of business benefits and cots of education; every aspect is analyzed and compared both for the classical brick and mortar classroom instructor led education and for the e-learning. The thesis introduces two mathematical models for assessing an effectiveness of e-learning deployment. Theoretical concepts are applied to data from a real course which was run in one of the main Czech banks ČSOB, a. s. Last part briefly examines the concepts and benefits of SCORM standard package and its support in the SAP LS 600 system.
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Seth, Kofi Adu. "Relantionship between Inflation and Exchange Rate in Ghana." Master's thesis, 2019. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-429267.

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This thesis was aimed at investigating the volatility and relationship between inflation rates and exchange rates in Ghana. The data for the study was obtained from the World Data Bank, the Bank of Ghana, and the Ghana Statistical Service. It covered a period from 1980 to 2016. The main variables were the real exchange rate and inflation. The software used to run the data was Stata. The study employed Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model. The VAR model was chosen by reason that the data set were integrated but not cointegrated. The study result shows that in the short-run, a percentage change in the variability of the real exchange rate induces 54% change in the variability of inflation rate. Again, a percentage change in the variability of real exchange rate induces 90% change in the variability of real exchange rate.
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Owusu, Maxwell Nuamah. "Determinants of foreign direct investment in Ghana." Master's thesis, 2019. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-428940.

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The flow of foreign direct investment (FDI) is seen as an important source for achieving greater and faster economic growth, particularly in the emerging market economies and other developing countries. This study will examine the factors that induce foreign investors to operate in Ghana. This will take into consideration the significant influence between the dependent variable (FDI) and the observed explanatory variables ((GDPgrowth, inflation, exchange rate, trade openness and natural resources from 1975 – 2016) and (government stability and corruption from 1984 – 2016)). The study uses ordinary least square (OLS) and ARDL regression model to examine the influence between FDI and the proposed explanatory variables that are anticipated to determine FDI inflows into Ghana. The unit root test shows that only GDP and inflation were stationary at the ordinary level while other variables were stationary when we combined the variables as one. In order to solve the problem of spuriousness and the consequent of the determinant of FDI, FDI was used as a dependent variable over other variables considered. The result of the OLS regression model show that GDP growth, exchange rate, natural resources and government stability have positive influence on FDI while inflation, trade openness and corruption have negative influence on FDI but only exchange rate and natural resources said to be statistically significant. Result of ARDL was divided into two part. Variables that ranges from 1975 – 2016 were used as an explanatory variable for the first part while all the variables including government stability and corruption were used as second part. The result for ARDL regression model shows that all the variables from 1975 – 2016 are statistically significant while the second part shows that only inflation, exchange rate, trade openness and government stability are statistically significant. The uniqueness of this research after using ARDL regression model and OLS regression model is that the two models show that there is statistical significant influence between FDI and the independent variables (GDP, natural resources, trade openness, inflation, exchange rate, government stability and corruption).
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Hamm-Eder, Silke [Verfasser]. "Synthese von Kurz- und Langzeitgedächtnisspanne : experimentelle Überprüfung eines mathematischen Modells / vorgelegt von Silke Hamm." 2001. http://d-nb.info/968399231/34.

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Březinová, Kateřina. "The Effects of CNB´s Foreign Exchange Interventions on Manufacturing Production." Master's thesis, 2017. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-431297.

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Žák, Petr. "Předpovídání směnného kurzu v České republice s použitím nelinárních prahových modelů." Master's thesis, 2017. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-267735.

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The aim of this thesis is to analyze the performance of nonlinear threshold models in forecasting the exchange rate of Czech koruna against EUR. Data for this study were obtained from Statistical Data Warehouse of European Central Bank (ECB) website, from Czech National Bank (CNB) Board decisions minutes and from the press releases of Governing Council of ECB. The data set was split into two periods - from 1999 until November, 2013 when CNB started to use interventions and from November, 2013 until April, 2016. Models used in the thesis are Self-Exciting Threshold Auto Regressive (SETAR) models with one and two thresholds and two Threshold Auto Regres- sive (TAR) models with different threshold variables - meetings of CNB Board as dummy variable and average volatility over recent periods. The forecasting results indicate that SETAR models did not outperform Random Walk in any period. TAR models offered promising results in the period before interventions and surprisingly failed in the period during interventions. This study supports the general belief of exchange rates being difficult to forecast and that it holds in case of Czech koruna as well. JEL Classification F12, F21, F23 H25, H71, H87 Keywords forecasting, exchange rate, time series, nonlin- earity, SETAR, TAR Author's e-mail zaka.one@gmail.com...
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28

BLAŽKOVÁ, Martina. "Dynamika programu zážitkových kurzů: modelovaná vs. skutečná dramaturgie." Master's thesis, 2017. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-317848.

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This thesis is oriented to The Intensity of Experience and its role in The Dramaturgy of Experiential Courses. The main concepts: The Intensity of Experience and The Dynamics of Experience, are described in the theoretical part. At first, the author defines the concept of The Intensity of Experience, furthermore she describes diferences between The Intensity and Dynamics of Experience in order to implement both concepts into the context of Experiential Education. The second chapter is aimed at Experiential Courses, their background and history, principles of Experiential Education and Dramaturgy of Experiential Education Courses. The main part of the thesis is the third chapter, which is devoted to quantitative-qualitative research. This research is focused on The Intensity of Experience evaluated by the participants, which the author further compares with The Intensity of Experience intended by instructors. The research results indicate differences between The Intensity of Experience intended by the instructor and The Intensity of Experience that participants felt after courses.
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29

UHLÍŘOVÁ, Žaneta. "Matematické modelování kurzu koruny." Master's thesis, 2015. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-188107.

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This thesis is focused on mathematical modelling of exchange rate CZK/USD in 1991 - 2014. Time series was divided into 5 parts. First Box-Jenkins methodology models were examined, especially ARIMA model. Unfortunately, the model could not be used because none of the time series showed correlation. The time series is considered as a white noise. The data appear to be completely random and unpredictable. The time series have not constant variance neither normal distribution and therefore GARCH volatility model was used as the second model. It is better not to divide time series when using model of volatility. Volatility model contributes to more accurate prediction than the standard deviation. Results were calculated in RStudio software and MS Excel.
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30

Krupa, Mikuláš. "Hospodářská změna v Rusku: závislost na ropě." Master's thesis, 2019. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-392750.

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This thesis concentrates on the case of Russian economy and assessment of its dependence on oil. Russia is often cited as an example of country suffering from resource curse as its natural wealth forms significant share of country's exports and revenues. Thesis will first concentrate on factors determining current state of Russian economy. Presence of the symptoms of Dutch disease in the Russian economy will be studied using the Vector error correction model (VECM) applied on the real effective exchange rate of country (REER). Thesis will also contain an assessment of Russian institutional environment to check for other symptoms of resource curse theory. Analysis of latest federal budget will be used to evaluate the sustainability of Russian federal finances. The thesis is concluded by discussion of results and possible paths of future development of Russian economy.
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