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Journal articles on the topic 'Market forecasts milk'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 30 May 2022

Last updated: 31 July 2025

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1

Li, Zongyu, Anmin Zuo, and Cuixia Li. "Predicting Raw Milk Price Based on Depth Time Series Features for Consumer Behavior Analysis." Sustainability 15, no. 8 (2023): 6647. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su15086647.

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The dairy industry has a long supply chain that involves dairy farmers, enterprises, consumers, and the government. The stable growth of consumer groups is the driving force for the sustainable development of the dairy industry. However, in recent years, sustainable development of the dairy industry has faced great challenges due to the constant changes in the global climate environment and the increasing uncertainty of the international economic environment. Therefore, it is essential to systematically monitor and accurately predict the consumption market of dairy products to ensure that the

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2

Baktgereyeva, A. T., G. K. Joldasbayeva, and A. R. Urkumbayeva. "Kazakhstan dairy market: guidelines for optimization." Problems of AgriMarket, no. 2 (June 30, 2024): 159–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.46666/2024-2.2708-9991.13.

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Milk plays an important role in human life as obligatory and necessary food product, containing the most valuable and easily digestible proteins, fats, carbohydrates, and minerals. The goal is to show the current state of dairy industry in Kazakhstan, factors influencing its development. The economic parameters of production of milk and dairy products, dynamics of production volumes, and the number of cattle by type of management have been studied. The methods are based on the study of domestic and analytical reviews, scientific publications, and statistical information. Results – there is a s

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Pachava, Vengalarao, Basavaprabhu Jirli, M. S. Basavaraj, Shashi Kumar R, and Siva Krishna Golla. "Forecasting Milk Production in India: Strategic Insights for Policymakers and Farmers." Indian Journal of Extension Education 61, no. 2 (2025): 14–18. https://doi.org/10.48165/ijee.2025.61203.

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India’s dairy sector plays a critical role in rural income, employment, and food security, contributing significantly to the nation’s GDP. This study forecasts India’s milk production for the period 2024–2033, using historical data from 1981–2023 obtained from the Department of Animal Husbandry and Dairying, Government of India. The study adopts ARIMA and Holt’s Exponential Smoothing models for the forecasting of milk production in India, both the models reflected strong fits, with ARIMA excelling in capturing temporal structures and Holt’s model focusing on linear trends. Performance metrics

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4

Souza, Francisca Mendonça, Brunna Aver De Paula, Daniel Knebel Baggio, Argemiro Luis Brum, and Juliana Da Fonseca Capssa Lima Sausen. "Econometric modelling of time series applied in the generation of subsidies in the milk production chain in Rio Grande do Sul." Ciência e Natura 43 (June 30, 2021): e83. http://dx.doi.org/10.5902/2179460x41221.

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The purpose of this article is to make short-term forecasting using the methodology Box Jenkins, the Johansen method and the Granger causality, and the impulse-response function between variables price and milk production in Rio Grande do Sul’s market. The monthly price series of milk and its production in Rio Grande do Sul were analysed, in the period from January 1995 to December 2017. The model that suits best, for forecasts, the data of the series of the milk price paid to the producer was an ARIMA (1, 1, 1) and production was SARIMA (1, 1, 1) (1, 1, 1)6, which provided reasonable estimate

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Черняков, М. К., and М. М. Чернякова. "Service sector: assessment of the potential of the dairy market in the region." Modern Economy Success, no. 3 (March 27, 2024): 22–29. http://dx.doi.org/10.58224/2500-3747-2024-3-22-29.

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в статье исследуются процессы обеспечения жителей высококачественным молоком и молочными продуктами, а товаропроизводителей постоянным уровнем дохода. Цель исследования состояла в оценке потенциала, задача заключалась в подготовке инициатив по перспективным направлениям развития рынка молочной продукции в регионе. Исследование состояния рынка молочной продукции проводилось на принципах статистической обработки, монографических и абстрактно-логических методов. Однако, согласно исследованию, пищевая промышленность оказалась менее подвержена санкционному давлению, чем другие сектора экономики. В

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Berentsen, P. B. M., G. W. J. Giesen, and J. A. Renkema. "Scenarios of technical and institutional change in Dutch dairy farming." Netherlands Journal of Agricultural Science 44, no. 3 (1996): 193–208. http://dx.doi.org/10.18174/njas.v44i3.545.

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Scenario analysis was used to assess consistent sets of future circumstances in Dutch dairy farming. The fields of interest were technical and institutional change. Technical change included improvement in fodder and milk production. Institutional change included changes in environmental policy and in market and price policy. All key factors were historically analysed and forecasts were made for the year 2005 which were grouped into 4 scenarios. The scenarios were governed by environmental policy and the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). Moderate and severe variants were distinguished for envi

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7

Schmit, Todd M., and Harry M. Kaiser. "Optimal Seasonal Allocation of Generic Dairy Advertising Expenditures." Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics 39, no. 1 (2007): 187–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1074070800022835.

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Annual seasonal advertising expenditure allocations were estimated for the national generic advertising programs for fluid milk and cheese with the use of price and advertising elasticities of demand that varied over time. Significant variation in optimal allocations existed both across products and over time, emphasizing the importance of obtaining accurate seasonal forecasts that incorporate changes in market conditions to plan future spending allocations. In the absence of such information, allocating annual budgets equally across quarters still produced positive producer welfare gains on a

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Ebadi, Esmaeil, Mehmet Balcilar, and Wasiu Are. "Assessing the Role of the Oil Market in Rising Food Prices: Strategic Implications for Food Security in Gulf Cooperation Council Countries." International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy 15, no. 1 (2024): 490–506. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.17866.

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This study examines the relationship between oil prices and food prices, with a focus on key agricultural commodities in the United States, including corn, soybeans, wheat flour, meat, and milk. Using a regime-switching cointegration approach, the research investigates both the long-term and short- term dynamics of oil’s impact on food prices. The findings indicate that oil prices exert an asymmetric influence on the food market. While oil prices play a relatively limited role in determining certain production costs, particularly for meat, compared to other economic factors, they nonetheless h

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ДУХНИЦЬКИЙ, Богдан, та Володимир ДУХНИЦЬКИЙ. "СТАН І ПРОБЛЕМИ РОЗВИТКУ ТВАРИННИЦТВА В УКРАЇНІ". Herald of Khmelnytskyi National University. Economic sciences 342, № 3(2) (2025): 102–7. https://doi.org/10.31891/2307-5740-2025-342-3(2)-16.

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The article examines dynamics of production the main groups of livestock products (meat, milk, eggs) in Ukraine from 2000 to the present. Currently, historically lowest indicators of total milk supply are observed. Special attention is paid to changes in the number of cattle, pigs and poultry for the analyzed period. The number of cattle, cows and pigs is also the smallest. The cost of production in livestock and crop cultivation is compared, with a significant advantage of the latter being noted. The participation of households in production of studied livestock products is considered. Their

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Gerasimov, Aleksey N., Evgeny I. Gromov, Yury S. Skripnichenko, Oksana P. Grigoryeva, and Victoria Yu Skripnichenko. "Models and Forecasts of the Export Potential of the Regional Economic System." REGIONOLOGY 30, no. 4 (2022): 762–82. http://dx.doi.org/10.15507/2413-1407.121.030.202204.762-782.

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Introduction. The export potential of the regional agricultural market causes great interest from both the scientific community and government agencies. Many scientific studies are devoted to the search for methods to increase the export potential in order to ensure the sustainable development of regional economic systems. The article proposes and tests the original author’s algorithm for creating a dynamic econometric model for forecasting the volumes of production, sales and exports of the main types of livestock products at the regional level. The purpose of the article is to assess the exp

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Kulyk, Anatolii B. "Forecasting the Dynamics of Stockbreeding Development Using Time Series." Business Inform 1, no. 552 (2024): 110–17. http://dx.doi.org/10.32983/2222-4459-2024-1-110-117.

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The construction of time series using historical data is one of the urgent problems of management in the agrarian sector, since the analysis and forecasting of processes related to the food security of the State, of region, and of economic entities is crucial. With the help of forecasts, businesses can adjust their production activities in such a way as to meet demand and deliver products to consumers on time. The aim of this study is to forecast the dynamics of the development of stock of cattle and cows and to determine the optimal forecasting period. For this type of analysis, statistical m

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Kulyk, Anatolii, Kateryna Fokina-Mezentseva, Oksana Piankova, Liudmyla Sierova, and Maryna Slokva. "Forecasting husbandry development using time series." Scientific Horizons 26, no. 11 (2023): 166–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.48077/scihor11.2023.166.

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Building time series models based on historical data is a pressing challenge in the agricultural sector. This is essential, as analysing and predicting processes related to the food security of the state, region, and business entities are of paramount importance in management. With the help of forecasts, enterprises can adjust their production activities in such a way as to satisfy demand and deliver products to consumers on time. The research aims to predict the trends in the growth of cattle and cow populations and identify the most suitable forecasting timeframe. Statistical methods related

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Ivanova, Miroslava, and Lilko Dospatliev. "Effects of Diesel Price on Changes in Agricultural Commodity Prices in Bulgaria." Mathematics 11, no. 3 (2023): 559. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/math11030559.

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The aim of this article is to supply the first empirical research inspecting how changes in diesel prices influence the prices of four agricultural commodities in Bulgaria. For this purpose, using a VECM and monthly agricultural commodity prices between January 2011 and July 2022, we estimated short-run and long-run changes in producer and retail prices of cow’s milk, chicken eggs, greenhouse tomatoes and cucumbers due to the change in average monthly diesel prices. The Granger causality test indicates that diesel prices cannot be used to forecast the behavior of producer and retail prices in

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14

Beard, KT. "Efficiency of index selection for dairy cattle using economic weights for major milk constituents." Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 39, no. 2 (1988): 273. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/ar9880273.

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A breeding objective (aggregate genotype) for dairy cattle based on returns, net of feed costs, from yield of fat, protein and carrier (the non-fat, non-protein component of the milk) was developed. Returns were estimated using a forecast of the future Australian dairy market structure, and feed costs were estimated from the metabolizable energy required to produce each of three milk components.The effects of erors in forecasting future conditions on economic weights and efficiency of index selection of sires were examined.Economic weights varied widely when subject to errors in the price of m

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15

Peña, Victor Alberto, and Alina Gómez-Mejía. "Effect of heuristic anchoring and adjustment, and optimism bias, in stock market forecasts." Revista Finanzas y Política Económica 11, no. 2 (2020): 389–409. http://dx.doi.org/10.14718/revfinanzpolitecon.2019.11.2.10.

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Stock market forecasting is an important and challenging process that influences investment decisions. This paper presents an experimental design that aims to measure the influence of the anchoring and adjustment heuristic and optimism bias in these forecasts. The study was conducted using information from the S&P MILA Pacific Alliance Select financial index; this was presented to 670 students from the cities of Concepción (Chile), Cali (Colombia), and Lima (Peru). Data was collected and presented through an instrument that asked participants to make a forecast judgment of the said financi

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16

Rakhman, M., and D. Hryzo. "Analysis of Ukraine's milk and dairy products market." 101, no. 101 (December 30, 2021): 59–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.26565/2311-2379-2021-101-06.

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To date, Ukraine's dairy and milk-processing industry has a number of problems that hinder its effective development. Producers of milk and dairy products are trying to move away from Soviet-era standards and adopt new European technologies. To date, the dairy industry is one of the leading sectors of the economy, which provides the population with food and is a component of food security of the state, which makes this work urgent. The article analyzes the state of the dairy products market in Ukraine for the period from 2016 to 2020. The paper presents the dynamics and forecast of the values

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17

Váryová, Ivana, Zuzana Poláková, Iveta Košovská, Alexandra Ferenczi Vaňová, and Renáta Krajčírová. "Analysis of development of raw cow milk prices in the conditions of the Slovak Republic." Potravinarstvo Slovak Journal of Food Sciences 13, no. 1 (2019): 906–14. http://dx.doi.org/10.5219/1196.

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The paper is focused on the evaluation of the price development of raw cow milk in the Slovak Republic. The aim of the paper is to analyse the development of average prices of the raw Q class cow´s milk in 2006 – 2018 and to forecast the trend of these prices by June 2019. Monthly data from the Market Report of Milk and Dairy Products issued by the Agricultural Information Department – ATIS, as part of the Agricultural Paying Agency, were the base of our information resource. These data were analyzed by using the statistical software called SAS. Box-Jenkins methodology was used to model the fu

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Shahab, Shariat Torbaghan, Madani Mehdi, Sels Peter, et al. "Designing day-ahead multi-carrier markets for flexibility: Models and clearing algorithms." Applied Energy 285 (March 1, 2021): 116390. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.116390.

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There is an intrinsic value in higher integration of multi-carrier energy systems (especially gas and electricity), to increase operational flexibility in the electricity system and to improve allocation of resources in gas and electricity networks. The integration of different energy carrier markets is challenging due to the existence of physical and economic dependencies between the different energy carriers. We propose in this paper an integrated day-ahead multi-carrier gas, electricity and heat market clearing which includes new types of orders and constraints on these orders to represent

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19

Sanders, Dwight R., and Mark R. Manfredo. "Forecast Encompassing as the Necessary Condition to Reject Futures Market Efficiency: Fluid Milk Futures." American Journal of Agricultural Economics 87, no. 3 (2005): 610–20. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8276.2005.00751.x.

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20

Bochko, Оlena, Nataliia Kosar, Nataliia Kuzo, Olena Zarichna, Nataliya Hryniv, and Yuliia Savchenko. "DETERMINANTS OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF ECONOMIC PROCESSES IN THE DAIRY MARKET OF UKRAINE." Financial and credit activity problems of theory and practice 5, no. 52 (2023): 402–12. http://dx.doi.org/10.55643/fcaptp.5.52.2023.4146.

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The article analyzes economic phenomena and processes in the dairy market of Ukraine and identifies the main factors affecting them. Based on constructing an equations system, the existence of direct and inverse relationships between the determining factors of the development of the dairy market of Ukraine was established. Determining factors were checked for multicollinearity. A dependence equation was calculated for the volumes of retail turnover of milk and dairy products based on such influencing factors as average monthly salary, consumer price index, and the volume of milk product import

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21

Krylatykh, E. N., and E. Yu Frolova. "Forecast Estimates of Milk Market Development and Business Needs in Information Support of Investment Decisions." Economy of agricultural and processing enterprises, no. 10 (2019): 6–10. http://dx.doi.org/10.31442/0235-2494-2019-0-10-6-10.

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Солдатова, Л. И., and Ю. И. Шмидт. "Cheese market in the Kostroma region and development of a forecast for the production of processed cheese." Экономика и предпринимательство, no. 10(123) (November 15, 2020): 300–305. http://dx.doi.org/10.34925/eip.2020.123.10.054.

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В рационе питания современного человека сыры занимают одно из ведущих мест. Ассортимент их весьма велик, однако, значительная часть продукции импортируется. В условиях дефицита сыропригодного молока потенциал импортозамещения в сыродельной отрасли прежде всего связан с ресурсосбережением и рациональным использованием молочного сырья. Среди огромного разнообразия сыров весьма перспективной с точки зрения высокой пищевой и биологической ценности, эффективности использования составных частей сырья, возможности организации производства продукта на действующих молокоперерабатывающих предприятиях и

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Mickiewicz, Bartosz, and Katsiaryna Volkava. "Global consumer trends for sustainable milk and dairy production." VUZF Review 7, no. 2 (2022): 183–92. http://dx.doi.org/10.38188/2534-9228.22.2.19.

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World production of milk and dairy products is characterized by stable growth dynamics. It has been established that the quality of incoming raw materials, the specialization and organization of the technological process, as well as the peculiarities of the functioning of the food market have a great influence on the creation of sustainable production of milk and dairy products. Herewith, the development of the market for milk and dairy products is influenced by global consumer trends, such as the growing attention to health care, passion for sports, an active lifestyle and healthy eating. Thi

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AZ Zahra, Nabila Khairunnisa, Nur Shabrina Darayani, and Novita Yuliani. "Strategi Bersaing antara Produk Susu Ultramilk dan Cimory Menggunakan Teknik Analisis Game Theory dan Marcov Chain." Industrika : Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Industri 8, no. 4 (2024): 1003–10. https://doi.org/10.37090/indstrk.v8i4.1501.

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The competition in the Ultramilk milk market is becoming increasingly fierce due to strong competition from various competitors in the dairy processing industry, including brands like Cimory that are becoming more popular among consumers. This research aims to understand how brand switching occurs among Cimory and Ultramilk packaged milk consumers and to identify effective marketing strategies to retain customers. The methods used in processing the research data involve Markov Chain and Game Theory. The research was conducted by distributing questionnaires to Industrial Engineering students of

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Lírio, Gilvete Wolf, Danton Pierret, Vanusa Beatriz Hackenhaar Pierret, Adriano Mendonça Souza, and Wesley Vieira da Silva. "Análise e previsão da série recebimento e produção de leite da usina escola de laticínios da Universidade Federal de Santa Maria - RS." Ciência e Natura 25, no. 25 (2003): 23. http://dx.doi.org/10.5902/2179460x27234.

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The world globalization bring to the market and to thebusiness class a great phase of adaptation and search for newtechnologies to guaranty the quality of its products. The statistics isa useful tool to help to maintain the quality in a process or service.This way is possible to reduce costs and maintain the clients satisfied.The main purpose of this paper is to analyze the relationship between the milk received and the milk processed in the Usina de Laticínios de Santa Maria to forecast the next value. The data were daily collected since may/2002 till jul/2002 in a total of 83 observations, a

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Dmytriieva, Viktoria. "TRENDS OF FLUCTUATION IN AVERAGE PRICES OF DAIRY PRODUCTS IN UKRAINE IN 2003-2023." ECONOMIC BULLETIN OF THE DNIPROVSK STATE TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY, no. 2(9) (December 26, 2024): 23–33. https://doi.org/10.31319/2709-2879.2024iss2(9).318831pp23-33.

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Dairy products in Ukraine are in a high demand among the population of all age groups. Milk production is a source of useful nutrients that support vital processes in humans. According to the official statistics, the long-term decrease in milk production in farms is due to the decrease in the number of dairy cattle that is lasting from year to year. At the same time, our country has access to foreign markets and is effectively developing the domestic one. It is worth noting that the internal market has its own peculiarities. It is the main task to understand what the specific features are of t

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Meteleva, Marina, and Anna Sytenko. "The Definition of Reserves to Increase Milk Production on the Basis of Forecast Supply Balances." Visegrad Journal on Bioeconomy and Sustainable Development 3, no. 2 (2014): 64–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/vjbsd-2014-0012.

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Abstract Dairy animal industry is one of the leading industries of animal production and an important line of many agricultural enterprises activity of the Belgorod region. In essence, its efficiency and competitiveness depend on many certain features of the regional market. The research object is dairy industry in the Belgorod region. The aim of the research was to study the state of the dairy cattle in the Belgorod region and to identify the major reserves of milk production increase on the basis of expected resource balances. The research is connected with the definition of the used branch

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Kosar, Nataliia, Nataliia Kuzo, Jacek Binda, Nataliya Hayvanovych, and Nataliya Pytulyak. "Modeling of the factors influencing the dairy market in Ukraine." Agricultural and Resource Economics: International Scientific E-Journal 8, no. 3 (2022): 42–59. http://dx.doi.org/10.51599/are.2022.08.03.03.

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Purpose. The present article aims to identify main determinants influencing development of demand at the dairy market in Ukraine (the average volume of milk consumption per capita), to evaluate their impact on the demand, to assess dependencies between the factors and the partial elasticity coefficients for their further use in forecasting. Methodology / approach. In the research, the authors used information from the State Statistics Service of Ukraine concerning dynamics of the volume of milk consumption per capita and supply of milk to processing enterprises in Ukraine, as well as dyn

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Al-Dahaan, Noor Sabah Hameed, Hussein Hadi Abdulameer, and Mohammed Faez Hasan. "Forecasting the Price Behavior of the Iraq Stock Market Index Using Multilayer Artificial Neural Networks." European Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Finance Research 13, no. 7 (2025): 1–13. https://doi.org/10.37745/ejaafr.2013/vol13n7113.

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This paper explores multilayer artificial neural networks (ANNs) for predicting the price trend of the years of Iraqi Stock Market Index (ISX60). In an unstable economy and a politically unstable country such as Iraq, traditional forecasting techniques, such as ARIMA and linear models, fail to reflect the intricate and non-linear behavior of the market. The ANN model was constructed based on daily observations of the ISX60 index value and trading volume. The proposed model obtained a high R² of 0.92 and was better than classical models in terms of accuracy and error reduction. The forecast fin

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Maximov, Anatoly Fedorovich. "FACTORS AND FORECAST OF DEVELOPMENT OF AGRICULTURAL CONSUMER COOPERATION IN THE MARKET OF MILK AND DAIRY PRODUCTS." Economy, labor, management in agriculture, no. 10 (2019): 117–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.33938/1910-117.

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Kovaleva, Irina V. "DEVELOPMENT OF FOREIGN ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES OF THE INDUSTRY SECTOR OF THE REGION." Vestnik of Kazan State Agrarian University 18, no. 2 (2023): 160–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.12737/2073-0462-2023-160-167.

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One of the key issues for the effective development of the agricultural sector of the economy is foreign economic activity. The study was conducted in order to study the level of development of the sectoral market of certain types of agricultural products in an agro-oriented cross-border region in the context of reaching the international level and the availability of logistics infrastructure. The indicators of the promising leading sectors of the agricultural sector of the economy (economic, innovative, infrastructural) considered for evaluation make it possible to objectively assess the leve

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Tajrin, Tajrin, Hendra Hendra, and Juan Fernando Gurning. "ANALISIS PERFORMANSI METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) DALAM PENGENDALIAN PERSEDIAAN SUSU." Jurnal Teknik Informasi dan Komputer (Tekinkom) 7, no. 1 (2024): 481. https://doi.org/10.37600/tekinkom.v7i1.1222.

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This study aims to address the issue of milk inventory control at PT. Indodairy Continental by applying the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) method. The uncertainty in milk demand, influenced by changes in consumer consumption patterns and market fluctuations, poses challenges in accurate production and distribution planning. This research uses historical milk sales data from the past several years to build an ARIMA model. The data undergoes several steps, including data collection and plotting, stationarity testing using ACF and PACF, differencing, and parameter estimation of

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Klaas, Ann-Kathrin, and Hans-Peter Beck. "A MILP Model for Revenue Optimization of a Compressed Air Energy Storage Plant with Electrolysis." Energies 14, no. 20 (2021): 6803. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en14206803.

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Energy storage, both short- and long-term, will play a vital role in the energy system of the future. One storage technology that provides high power and capacity and that can be operated without carbon emissions is compressed air energy storage (CAES). However, it is widely assumed that CAES plants are not economically feasible. In this context, a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model of the Huntorf CAES plant was developed for revenue maximization when participating in the day-ahead market and the minute-reserve market in Germany. The plant model included various plant variations (in

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Mishkin, Frederic S. "Over the Cliff: From the Subprime to the Global Financial Crisis." Journal of Economic Perspectives 25, no. 1 (2011): 49–70. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/jep.25.1.49.

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The financial crisis of 2007 to 2009 can be divided into two distinct phases. The first and more limited phase from August 2007 to August 2008 stemmed from losses in one relatively small segment of the U.S. financial system—namely, subprime residential mortgages. Despite this disruption to financial markets, real GDP in the United States continued to rise into the second quarter of 2008, and forecasters were predicting only a mild recession. In mid-September 2008, however, the financial crisis entered a far more virulent phase. In rapid succession, the investment bank Lehman Brothers entered b

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Meyer, Brent, Emil Mihaylov, Jose Maria Barrero, Steven J. Davis, David Altig, and Nicholas Bloom. "Pandemic-Era Uncertainty." Journal of Risk and Financial Management 15, no. 8 (2022): 338. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15080338.

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We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one-year VIX and our survey-based measure of firm-level uncertainty at a one-year forecast horizon doubled at the onset of the pandemic and then fell about half-way back to pre-pandemic levels by mid-2021. Second, and in contrast, the 1-month VIX, a Twitter-based Economic Uncertainty Index, and macro forecaster disagreement all rose sharply in reaction to the pandemi

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Precious Azino Usuemerai, Olumide Emmanuel Ibikunle, Luqman Adewale Abass, Victor Alemede, Ejike Innocent Nwankwo, and Akachukwu Obianuju Mbata. "Advanced supply chain optimization for emerging market healthcare systems." International Journal of Management & Entrepreneurship Research 6, no. 10 (2024): 3321–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.51594/ijmer.v6i10.1637.

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The complexities of pharmaceutical supply chains in emerging markets present significant challenges that directly impact healthcare outcomes, particularly in underserved regions. This research focuses on the optimization of supply chain systems for the healthcare sector, with an emphasis on enhancing pharmaceutical delivery. By leveraging data analytics and innovative procurement strategies, the study seeks to improve efficiency, reduce operational costs, and ensure the timely distribution of essential medications. Drawing on practical experiences at eMedic Technologies Africa, the research hi

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Georgiou, Catherine. "Modifications on Book-Valued Ratios." International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research 15, no. 3 (2022): 24–37. http://dx.doi.org/10.25103/ijbesar.153.02.

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Purpose: In this paper we try to explain US stock market variations and cash flow fundamentals by employing three different book-valued based ratios. First, we explore the explanatory capacity of the simple book-market ratio on time-varying expected returns, and procced on altering its construction so as to enhance its performance. We then run the extra mile by constructing two new ratios, the book-dividends and book-earnings ratios based on the long-run equilibrium relationships between book, dividends and earnings. Our analysis includes evidence of predictability on dividend and earnings gro

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Cheremushkina, I. V., and О. V. Oseneva. "Forecast and prospects for the formation of consumer preferences in the field of environmentally friendly products in the regional market." Proceedings of the Voronezh State University of Engineering Technologies 81, no. 4 (2020): 171–77. http://dx.doi.org/10.20914/2310-1202-2019-4-171-177.

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The article considers the formation of consumer preferences in the market of "environmentally friendly products" in the region. The Law "On Organic Products" introduces the concept of organic products, and for its producers it regulates the norms of production, storage, transportation, labeling and sales, and the law defines organic agriculture. The market condition was assessed in relation to Russians to quality products according to a number of criteria and the results were compared with similar indicators for the period from 2015 to 2019. The data are based on the socio-economic studies of

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A., Chmut, Ushkarenko Iu., and Makarenko S. "ECONOMIC AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF MILK PRICES." Scientific Bulletin of Kherson State University. Series Economic Sciences, no. 41 (March 31, 2021): 85–90. http://dx.doi.org/10.32999/ksu2307-8030/2021-41-16.

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The article defines that the market of milk and dairy products is a component of the food market of Ukraine. The relevance of the statistical study of milk prices is that the price is an important component of the market and determines the supply and demand in it. Prices provide sources of income and payment of taxes, and pricing policy determines the efficiency of dairy producers. Prices are also an important factor in living standards, so their study is not only economic but also social and political. Analysis of previous studies has shown that most authors focus on economic analysis, and st

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Chebotarev, Sergei, Zhanna Dibrova, and Natalya Suray. "Cheese Market in Moscow and the Moscow Region: A Regional Analysis." Food Processing: Techniques and Technology 51, no. 2 (2021): 413–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.21603/2074-9414-2021-2-413-422.

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Introduction. Cheese production is a promising niche with high profitability and excellent growth prospects. The city of Moscow and the Moscow region are the largest producers of cheeses and cheese products in Russia. Cheese production is developing there as part of the import substitution policy. The article describes some promising development directions of the local cheese industry. Study objects and methods. The paper analyzes and generalizes recent research publications, as well as regulatory and legislative documents, from legislative, statistical, and diagnostic positions. R

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Chandra, Uday, and Nandkumar Nayar. "The Information Content of Commercial Paper Rating Downgrades: Further Evidence." Journal of Accounting, Auditing & Finance 13, no. 4 (1998): 417–35. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0148558x9801300403.

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In this paper, we study the association between commercial paper rating downgrades and expectations of the level and variability of future earnings. Our examination shows that such rating downgrades are associated with a significant reduction in analyst forecasts of near-term earnings. We document a tendency by financial analysts at the Value Line Investment Survey to progressively revise their estimates of quarterly earnings downward on average and implement two methods to control for the resulting bias. The reduction in earnings estimates is robust to these controls. In addition, we observe

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Kotevska, A., D. Dimitrievski, and E. Erjavec. " Macedonian livestock, dairy and grain sectors and the EU accession impact." Agricultural Economics (Zemědělská ekonomika) 59, No. 3 (2013): 125–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.17221/79/2012-agricecon.

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The Republic of Macedonia is in the process of integrating into the European Union (EU) and adjusting its policies through reforms in policy, regulations and institutions. This paper attempts to provide an answer to the question: what would be the impact on the Macedonian livestock, dairy and grain sectors of Macedonia integrating into the EU. In order to forecast the impact of the EU accession, the research uses the partial equilibrium model as a comprehensive tool for modelling the complex nature of the agricultural markets. The model simulation foresees the changes of the modelled sub-secto

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Merkert, Rico, Michiel C. J. Bliemer, and Muhammad Fayyaz. "Consumer preferences for innovative and traditional last-mile parcel delivery." International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management 52, no. 3 (2022): 261–84. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ijpdlm-01-2021-0013.

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PurposeThe purpose of this research is to reveal consumer preferences towards innovative last-mile parcel delivery and more specifically unmanned aerial delivery drones, in comparison to traditional postal delivery (postie) and the recent rise of parcel lockers in Australia. The authors investigate competitive priorities and willingness to pay for key attributes of parcel delivery (mode, speed, method and time window), the role of contextual moderators such as parcel value and security and opportunities for logistics service providers in the growing e-commerce market.Design/methodology/approac

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Egorova, Irina. "Prospects for the natural uranium world market." Ores and metals, no. 1 (April 7, 2023): 6–16. http://dx.doi.org/10.47765/0869-5997-2023-10001.

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Various scenarios for development of the world uranium industry are considered, and an assumption is made of a high probability of the rapid growth scenario, according to the IAEA, which assumes an annual growth rate of the total nuclear power plants (NPPs) capacity of 2-2.5%. Based on this forecast, an assessment is made of capabilities of the uranium world mineral base to meet the NPPs needs in the nuclear fuel. It is demonstrated that only the restoration of production at temporary closed down mining enterprises, the growth of output at existing mines, and using secondary sources of uranium

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Pashchenko, O. V., О. В. Zharikova, and O. V. Faychuk. "Improving the competitiveness of dairy products of Ukrainian producers in accordance with European standards." Bioeconomics and Agrarian Business 11, no. 1 (2020): 76–87. http://dx.doi.org/10.31548/bioeconomy2020.01.076.

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These scientists point out that the market situation in Ukraine is favorable for the dairy industry functioning and the country has the appropriate prerequisites for its development: favorable climate, large areas of agricultural land, soil fertility, historical experience in farming, qualified staff and significant dairy market capacity. However, the authors reveal the presence of significant problems in the development of Ukrainian dairy subcomplex enterprises which requires further research in the industry development in the current conditions. The aim of the paper is to analyze and assess

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Kim, Tae-Men, Bo-Na Choi, and Chan-Jeong Park. "Analysis and Forecast of Patent Trends in Unmanned Delivery Robot Technology: Focusing on Last-Mile Delivery Technology." Korean Logistics Research Association 33, no. 3 (2023): 30–42. http://dx.doi.org/10.17825/klr.2023.33.3.30.

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With the advent of the untact era due to COVID-19, demand in the existing online market and the courier and logistics industry is accelerating. At the same time, the problem of decreasing available labor force due to decreasing population growth rate and aging is growing, causing difficulties due to labor shortage. In this paper, we examine the patent application trends of unmanned delivery systems by country, technology, and major applicants, and identify the degree of patent activity of major companies through index analysis. To this end, we analyzed domestic and foreign patents on unmanned

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Kolesnikov, Andrei Viktorovich, and Marina Viacheslavovna KHarina. "FORECAST OF SELF-SUFFICIENCY IN AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS AND FOOD UNTIL 2046." AIC: economics, management, no. 6 (June 1, 2025): 3–21. https://doi.org/10.33305/256-3.

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The purpose of this study is to substantiate the production volumes of the main types of agricultural products to ensure food security for the population of Russia by 2046. The forecast is made in accordance with the methodology developed at the Federal State Budgetary Scientific Institution Federal Scientific Center All-Russian Research Institute of Agricultural Sciences, which takes into account a set of factors affecting the production of agricultural products and providing the population with food. Given the fact that agricultural production in Russia largely depends on the supply of certa

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Bilous, Svitlana, Yevhenii Kyryliuk, Iryna Kyryliuk, Alina Proshchalykina, and Zenon Stachowiak. "Scenario forecasting of consumption of main organic livestock products in Ukraine." Agricultural and Resource Economics: International Scientific E-Journal 7, no. 3 (2021): 22–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.51599/are.2021.07.03.02.

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Purpose. The aim of the article is to develop scenarios of consumption of the main types of organic livestock products in Ukraine. These scenarios should include the creation of an effective institutional environment aimed not only at strict quality control, but also at stimulating the modernization of production, the implementation of environmentally friendly technologies and genetic technologies for the production of safe products. Methodology / approach. The methodological basis of the study is an integrated (systemic) approach, which allows forecasting more accurately the reproductio

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Cooke, Philip. "The Lithium Wars: From Kokkola to the Congo for the 500 Mile Battery." Sustainability 13, no. 8 (2021): 4215. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su13084215.

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This paper presents an analysis and interpretation of the current state of play in the global value network of minerals mining, refining and transformation processes in the contemporary battery industry, which will power potentially crucial future industries for manufacture of electric vehicles (EVs) and solar-storage energy systems. The dark influence of the carbon lock-in landscape is gradually being mitigated under the challenge of achieving the “500 mile” battery charge, which would make a transformational difference in the replacement of renewably fuelled vehicles and storage systems, cur

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Roy, Debasish. "A Perspective of Adoption of Mobile Applications in Rural India." International Journal of Green Computing 5, no. 1 (2014): 62–77. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/ijgc.2014010105.

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Rural mobile application are designed for various purposes, ranging from reaching information regarding government schemes, agricultural best practices, market prices, fishing zones and weather forecasts, to facilitating money transfer, opening and operating a bank account for saving money and to receive money directly to the bank account for various government schemes and subsidies. This paper examines the critical success factors and inhibitors that affect adoption of the mobile applications and the effect on continued usage. A questionnaire survey was done to gather data for this study. Res

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