Academic literature on the topic 'Markov Regime Switching GARCH models'

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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Markov Regime Switching GARCH models"

1

Karadag, Mehmet Ali. "Analysis Of Turkish Stock Market With Markov Regime Switching Volatility Models." Master's thesis, METU, 2008. http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/3/12609787/index.pdf.

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In this study, both uni-regime GARCH and Markov Regime Switching GARCH (SW-GARCH) models are examined to analyze Turkish Stock Market volatility. We investigate various models to find out whether SW-GARCH models are an improvement on the uni-regime GARCH models in terms of modelling and forecasting Turkish Stock Market volatility. As well as using seven statistical loss functions, we apply Superior Predictive Ability (SPA) test of Hansen (2005) and Reality Check test (RC) of White (2000) to compare forecast performance of various models.
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2

Duran, William Gonzalo Rojas. "Modelo GARCH com mudança de regime markoviano para séries financeiras." Universidade de São Paulo, 2014. http://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/45/45133/tde-02072014-122143/.

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Neste trabalho analisaremos a utilização dos modelos de mudança de regime markoviano para a variância condicional. Estes modelos podem estimar de maneira fácil e inteligente a variância condicional não observada em função da variância anterior e do regime. Isso porque, é razoável ter coeficientes variando no tempo dependendo do regime correspondentes à persistência da variância (variância anterior) e às inovações. A noção de que uma série econômica possa ter alguma variação na sua estrutura é antiga para os economistas. Marcucci (2005) comparou diferentes modelos com e sem mudança de regime em
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3

Lin, Gang. "Nesting regime-switching GARCH models and stock market volatility, returns and the business cycle /." Diss., Connect to a 24 p. preview or request complete full text in PDF format. Access restricted to UC campuses, 1998. http://wwwlib.umi.com/cr/ucsd/fullcit?p9906497.

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4

Sajjad, Rasoul. "Value-at-risk in a Markov regime-switching GARCH framework." Thesis, University of Essex, 2007. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.438117.

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5

Koh, You Beng, and 辜有明. "Bayesian analysis in Markov regime-switching models." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2012. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B48521644.

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van Norden and Schaller (1996) develop a standard regime-switching model to study stock market crashes. In their seminal paper, they use the maximum likelihood estimation to estimate the model parameters and show that a two-regime speculative bubble model has significant explanatory power for stock market returns in some observed periods. However, it is well known that the maximum likelihood estimation can lead to bias if the model contains multiple local maximum points or the estimation starts with poor initial values. Therefore, a better approach to estimate the parameters in the regime-swi
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6

Spagnolo, Fabio. "Nonlinear error-correction models with regime switching." Thesis, Birkbeck (University of London), 2001. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.368915.

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7

Chen, Ping. "Asset-liability management under regime-switching models." Click to view the E-thesis via HKUTO, 2009. http://sunzi.lib.hku.hk/hkuto/record/B43223928.

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Zhu, Jinxia. "Ruin theory under Markovian regime-switching risk models." Click to view the E-thesis via HKUTO, 2008. http://sunzi.lib.hku.hk/hkuto/record/b40203980.

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9

Chen, Ping, and 陈平. "Asset-liability management under regime-switching models." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2009. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B43223928.

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10

Zhu, Jinxia, and 朱金霞. "Ruin theory under Markovian regime-switching risk models." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2008. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B40203980.

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