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1

Hudson, Debra, Oscar Alves, Harry H. Hendon, Eun-Pa Lim, Guoqiang Liu, Jing-Jia Luo, Craig MacLachlan, et al. "ACCESS-S1 The new Bureau of Meteorology multi-week to seasonal prediction system." Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science 67, no. 3 (2017): 132. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/es17009.

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ACCESS-S1 will be the next version of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology's seasonal prediction system, due to become operational in early 2018. The multiweek and seasonal performance of ACCESS-S1 has been evaluated based on a 23-year hindcast set and compared to the current operational system, POAMA. The system has considerable enhancements compared to POAMA, including higher vertical and horizontal resolution of the component models and state-ofthe-art physics parameterisation schemes. ACCESS-S1 is based on the UK Met Office GloSea5-GC2 seasonal prediction system, but has enhancements to th
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2

Hudson, Debra, Oscar Alves, Harry H. Hendon, Eun-Pa Lim, Guoqiang Liu, Jing-Jia Luo, Craig MacLachlan, et al. "Corrigendum to: ACCESS-S1: The new Bureau of Meteorology multi-week to seasonal prediction system." Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science 70, no. 1 (2020): 393. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/es17009_co.

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ACCESS-S1 will be the next version of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology's seasonal prediction system, due to become operational in early 2018. The multiweek and seasonal performance of ACCESS-S1 has been evaluated based on a 23-year hindcast set and compared to the current operational system, POAMA. The system has considerable enhancements compared to POAMA, including higher vertical and horizontal resolution of the component models and state-ofthe-art physics parameterisation schemes. ACCESS-S1 is based on the UK Met Office GloSea5-GC2 seasonal prediction system, but has enhancements to th
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3

Bettio, Lynette, John R. Nairn, Steven C. McGibbony, Pandora Hope, Andrew Tupper, and Robert J. B. Fawcett. "A heatwave forecast service for Australia." Proceedings of the Royal Society of Victoria 131, no. 1 (2019): 53. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/rs19006.

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The Australian Bureau of Meteorology monitors, researches, predicts and communicates Australia’s weather and climate. Australia’s mean temperature has risen by over 1°C since 1910, leading to an increase in the frequency of extreme heat events. Extreme heat can profoundly impact human health, infrastructure and the environment. Research conducted at the Bureau and elsewhere shows that climate change is impacting the intensity and frequency of extreme heat events. One way that the Bureau has responded to this challenge is by providing a forecast service specifically targeted at identifying heat
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Hartigan, Joshua, Shev MacNamara, and Lance M. Leslie. "Comparing precipitation and temperature trends between inland and coastal locations." ANZIAM Journal 60 (July 17, 2019): C109—C126. http://dx.doi.org/10.21914/anziamj.v60i0.13967.

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Motivated by the Millennium Drought and the current drought over much of southern and eastern Australia, this detailed statistical study compares trends in annual wet season precipitation and temperature between a coastal site (Newcastle) and an inland site (Scone). Bootstrap permutation tests reveal Scone precipitation has decreased significantly over the past 40 years (p-value=0.070) whereas Newcastle has recorded little to no change (p-value=0.800). Mean maximum and minimum temperatures for Newcastle have increased over the past 40 years (p-values of 0.002 and 0.015, respectively) while the
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Ly, Pham Thi, and Hoang Luu Thu Thuy. "Spatial distribution of hot days in north central region, Vietnam in the period of 1980-2013." VIETNAM JOURNAL OF EARTH SCIENCES 41, no. 1 (January 8, 2019): 36–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.15625/0866-7187/41/1/13544.

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Based on the data of daily maximum temperature in 26 meteorological stations in the North Center Region, Vietnam over the period of 1980 to 2013, the authors conducted the research on the spatial distribution of the number of hot days. The initial result shows that in general, in the north of the study area, the large number of hot days occurred in the plain, and tended to decrease westward and eastward. In the south, this number tends to increase from the west to the east. Especially, the largest number occurred in two areas: The Ma and Ca River's valleys (Thanh Hoa and Nghe An provinces) and
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Shi, Li, Harry H. Hendon, Oscar Alves, Jing-Jia Luo, Magdalena Balmaseda, and David Anderson. "How Predictable is the Indian Ocean Dipole?" Monthly Weather Review 140, no. 12 (December 1, 2012): 3867–84. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-12-00001.1.

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Abstract In light of the growing recognition of the role of surface temperature variations in the Indian Ocean for driving global climate variability, the predictive skill of the sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies associated with the Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) is assessed using ensemble seasonal forecasts from a selection of contemporary coupled climate models that are routinely used to make seasonal climate predictions. The authors assess predictions from successive versions of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Predictive Ocean–Atmosphere Model for Australia (POAMA 15b and 24), success
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7

Griesser, A. G., and C. M. Spillman. "Assessing the Skill and Value of Seasonal Thermal Stress Forecasts for Coral Bleaching Risk in the Western Pacific." Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 55, no. 7 (July 2016): 1565–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jamc-d-15-0109.1.

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AbstractOver the last 30 years, coral reefs around the world have been under considerable stress because of increasing anthropogenic pressures, overfishing, pollution, and climate change. A primary stress factor is anomalously warm water events, which can cause mass coral bleaching and widespread reef damage. Forecasts of sea surface temperature (SST) and the associated risk of coral bleaching can assist managers, researchers, and other stakeholders in monitoring and managing coral reef resources. At the Australian Bureau of Meteorology, monthly forecasts of SST and thermal stress metrics have
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8

Zhang, Lifu, Na Qiao, Changping Huang, and Siheng Wang. "Monitoring Drought Effects on Vegetation Productivity Using Satellite Solar-Induced Chlorophyll Fluorescence." Remote Sensing 11, no. 4 (February 13, 2019): 378. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/rs11040378.

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Around the world, the increasing drought, which is exacerbated by climate change, has significant impacts on vegetation carbon assimilation. Identifying how short-term climate anomalies influence vegetation productivity in a timely and accurate manner at the satellite scale is crucial to monitoring drought. Satellite solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) has recently been reported as a direct proxy of actual vegetation photosynthesis and has more advantages than traditional vegetation indices (e.g., the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, NDVI and the Enhanced Vegetation Index, EVI)
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9

Verbeke, T., J. Lathière, S. Szopa, and N. de Noblet-Ducoudré. "Impact of future land-cover changes on HNO<sub>3</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> surface dry deposition." Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 15, no. 23 (December 9, 2015): 13555–68. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-13555-2015.

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Abstract. Dry deposition is a key component of surface–atmosphere exchange of compounds, acting as a sink for several chemical species. Meteorological factors, chemical properties of the trace gas considered and land surface properties are strong drivers of dry deposition efficiency and variability. Under both climatic and anthropogenic pressure, the vegetation distribution over the Earth has been changing a lot over the past centuries and could be significantly altered in the future. In this study, we perform a modeling investigation of the potential impact of land-cover changes between the p
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10

Broich, M., and M. G. Tulbure. "RESPONSE OF RIPARIAN VEGETATION IN AUSTRALIA"S LARGEST RIVER BASIN TO INTER AND INTRA-ANNUAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND FLOODING AS QUANTIFIED WITH LANDSAT AND MODIS." ISPRS - International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences XLI-B8 (June 23, 2016): 577–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/isprs-archives-xli-b8-577-2016.

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Australia is a continent subject to high rainfall variability, which has major influences on runoff and vegetation dynamics. However, the resulting spatial-temporal pattern of flooding and its influence on riparian vegetation has not been quantified in a spatially explicit way. Here we focused on the floodplains of the entire Murray-Darling Basin (MDB), an area that covers over 1M&amp;thinsp;km&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;, as a case study. The MDB is the country’s primary agricultural area with scarce water resources subject to competing demands and impacted by climate change and more recently by
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11

Broich, M., and M. G. Tulbure. "RESPONSE OF RIPARIAN VEGETATION IN AUSTRALIA"S LARGEST RIVER BASIN TO INTER AND INTRA-ANNUAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND FLOODING AS QUANTIFIED WITH LANDSAT AND MODIS." ISPRS - International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences XLI-B8 (June 23, 2016): 577–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/isprsarchives-xli-b8-577-2016.

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Australia is a continent subject to high rainfall variability, which has major influences on runoff and vegetation dynamics. However, the resulting spatial-temporal pattern of flooding and its influence on riparian vegetation has not been quantified in a spatially explicit way. Here we focused on the floodplains of the entire Murray-Darling Basin (MDB), an area that covers over 1M&amp;thinsp;km&amp;lt;sup&amp;gt;2&amp;lt;/sup&amp;gt;, as a case study. The MDB is the country’s primary agricultural area with scarce water resources subject to competing demands and impacted by climate change and m
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12

Mahowald, N. M., J. A. Ballantine, J. Feddema, and N. Ramankutty. "Global trends in visibility: implications for dust sources." Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 7, no. 12 (June 26, 2007): 3309–39. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/acp-7-3309-2007.

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Abstract. There is a large uncertainty in the relative roles of human land use, climate change and carbon dioxide fertilization in changing desert dust source strength over the past 100 years, and the overall sign of human impacts on dust is not known. We used visibility data from meteorological stations in dusty regions to assess the anthropogenic impact on long term trends in desert dust emissions. We did this by looking at time series of visibility derived variables and their correlations with precipitation, drought, winds, land use and grazing. Visibility data are available at thousands of
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Mahowald, N. M., J. A. Ballantine, J. Feddema, and N. Ramankutty. "Global trends in visibility: implications for dust sources." Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions 7, no. 1 (February 27, 2007): 3013–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/acpd-7-3013-2007.

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Abstract. There is a large uncertainty in the relative roles of human land use, climate change and carbon dioxide fertilization in changing desert dust source strength over the past 100 years, and the overall sign of human impacts on dust is not known. We used visibility data from meteorological stations in dusty regions to assess the anthropogenic impact on long term trends in desert dust emissions. Visibility data are available at thousands of stations globally from 1900 to the present, but we focused on 359 stations with more than 30 years of data in regions where mineral aerosols play a do
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14

Hudson, D., A. G. Marshall, O. Alves, G. Young, D. Jones, and A. Watkins. "Forewarned is Forearmed: Extended-Range Forecast Guidance of Recent Extreme Heat Events in Australia." Weather and Forecasting 31, no. 3 (April 29, 2016): 697–711. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-15-0079.1.

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Abstract There has been increasing demand in Australia for extended-range forecasts of extreme heat events. An assessment is made of the subseasonal experimental guidance provided by the Bureau of Meteorology’s seasonal prediction system, Predictive Ocean Atmosphere Model for Australia (POAMA, version 2), for the three most extreme heat events over Australia in 2013, which occurred in January, March, and September. The impacts of these events included devastating bushfires and damage to crops. The outlooks performed well for January and September, with forecasts indicating increased odds of to
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15

Zhao, Mei, Harry H. Hendon, Oscar Alves, Yonghong Yin, and David Anderson. "Impact of Salinity Constraints on the Simulated Mean State and Variability in a Coupled Seasonal Forecast Model." Monthly Weather Review 141, no. 1 (January 1, 2013): 388–402. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-11-00341.1.

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Abstract The authors assess the sensitivity of the simulated mean state and coupled variability to systematic initial state salinity errors in seasonal forecasts using the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Predictive Ocean Atmosphere Model for Australia (POAMA) coupled model. This analysis is based on two sets of hindcasts that were initialized from old and new ocean initial conditions, respectively. The new ocean initial conditions are provided by an ensemble multivariate analysis system that assimilates subsurface temperatures and salinity and is a clear improvement over the previous system,
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16

Power, Scott, Malcolm Haylock, Rob Colman, and Xiangdong Wang. "The Predictability of Interdecadal Changes in ENSO Activity and ENSO Teleconnections." Journal of Climate 19, no. 19 (October 1, 2006): 4755–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli3868.1.

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Abstract El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in a century-long integration of a Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre (BMRC) coupled general circulation model (CGCM) drives rainfall and temperature changes over Australia that are generally consistent with documented observational changes: dry/hot conditions occur more frequently during El Niño years and wet/mild conditions occur more frequently during La Niña years. The relationship between ENSO [as measured by Niño-4 or the Southern Oscillation index (SOI), say] and all-Australia rainfall and temperature is found to be nonlinear in the observ
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Hens, Luc, Nguyen An Thinh, Tran Hong Hanh, Ngo Sy Cuong, Tran Dinh Lan, Nguyen Van Thanh, and Dang Thanh Le. "Sea-level rise and resilience in Vietnam and the Asia-Pacific: A synthesis." VIETNAM JOURNAL OF EARTH SCIENCES 40, no. 2 (January 19, 2018): 127–53. http://dx.doi.org/10.15625/0866-7187/40/2/11107.

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Climate change induced sea-level rise (SLR) is on its increase globally. Regionally the lowlands of China, Vietnam, Bangladesh, and islands of the Malaysian, Indonesian and Philippine archipelagos are among the world’s most threatened regions. Sea-level rise has major impacts on the ecosystems and society. It threatens coastal populations, economic activities, and fragile ecosystems as mangroves, coastal salt-marches and wetlands. This paper provides a summary of the current state of knowledge of sea level-rise and its effects on both human and natural ecosystems. The focus is on coastal urban
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أروي احمد الحارثي و ميسون بركات الزغول, أروي احمد الحارثي و. ميسون بركات الزغول. "Trends change of temperature and rainfall in southwestern of Saudi Arabia." journal of King Abdulaziz University Arts And Humanities 28, no. 14 (May 12, 2020): 23–61. http://dx.doi.org/10.4197/art.28-14.2.

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the current study presents the analyses of monthly, seasonal and annual temperature and rainfall data for the period (1987 – 2017) across seven climatic zones in southwestern Saudi Arabia (Abha, Khamis Mushait, Bisha, Najran, Jazan, Sharurah and Al-Baha, monitored by the General Authority for Meteorology and Environmental Protection). The analyses aim to investigate the overall variations in rainfall and temperatures recorded in these seven climatic zones. The study employs the descriptive analytical approach. Several descriptive statistical analyses have been carried out on the obtained meteo
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Barron, O. V., R. S. Crosbie, D. Pollock, W. R. Dawes, S. P. Charles, T. Pickett, and M. Donn. "Climatic controls on diffuse groundwater recharge across Australia." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 9, no. 5 (May 9, 2012): 6023–62. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hessd-9-6023-2012.

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Abstract. Reviews of field studies of groundwater recharge have attempted to investigate how climate characteristics control recharge, but due to a lack of data have not been able to draw any strong conclusions beyond that rainfall is the major determinant. This study has used numerical modeling for a range of Köppen-Geiger climate types (tropical, arid and temperate) to investigate the effect of climate variables on recharge for different soil and vegetation types. For the majority of climate types the total annual rainfall had a weaker correlation with recharge than the rainfall parameters r
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Suryadi, Yadi, Denny Nugroho Sugianto, and Hadiyanto. "Climate Change In Indonesia (Case Study : Medan, Palembang, Semarang)." E3S Web of Conferences 31 (2018): 09017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20183109017.

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Indonesia's maritime continent is one of the most vulnerable regions regarding to climate change impacts. One of the vulnerable areas affected are the urban areas, because they are home to almost half of Indonesia's population where they live and earn a living, so that environmental management efforts need to be done. To support such efforts, climate change analysis is required. The analysis was carried out in several big cities in Indonesia. The method used in the research was trend analysis of temperature, rainfall, shifts in rainfall patterns, and extreme climatic trend. The data of rainfal
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Barron, O. V., R. S. Crosbie, W. R. Dawes, S. P. Charles, T. Pickett, and M. J. Donn. "Climatic controls on diffuse groundwater recharge across Australia." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 16, no. 12 (December 4, 2012): 4557–70. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-4557-2012.

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Abstract. Reviews of field studies of groundwater recharge have attempted to investigate how climate characteristics control recharge, but due to a lack of data have not been able to draw any strong conclusions beyond that rainfall is the major determinant. This study has used numerical modelling for a range of Köppen-Geiger climate types (tropical, arid and temperate) to investigate the effect of climate variables on recharge for different soil and vegetation types. For the majority of climate types, the correlation between the modelled recharge and total annual rainfall is weaker than the co
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Ghimire, S., J. L. Yadav, N. R. Devkota, and S. Singh. "Impact of Climatic Variability on Sheep Husbandry Practices at Lamjung District." Nepalese Veterinary Journal 34 (December 21, 2017): 135–43. http://dx.doi.org/10.3126/nvj.v34i0.22916.

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This study was done with 70 households of Uttarkanya and Bhujung VDC of Lamjung district to assess the impacts of climatic variability on sheep production and to document their adaptation practices to mitigate this variability. Household interview with structured-questionnaire were used to collect primary information, and secondary data was collected from District Livestock Service Office, Lamjung, Central Bureau of Statistics and Department of Hydrology and Meteorology. This study found that more than 80% of the farmer's perception about climatic parameters matched to those recorded by depart
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Li, Qiang, and Suiqi Zhang. "Impacts of Recent Climate Change on Potato Yields at a Provincial Scale in Northwest China." Agronomy 10, no. 3 (March 20, 2020): 426. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/agronomy10030426.

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Understanding the effects of climate change on potato yield is vital for food security in northwest China. Based on the long-term data of yields and meteorology, this study analysed the impacts of recent climate change on potato yields at a provincial scale in northwest China. The first difference method was used to disentangle the contributions of climate change from the changes in potato yield in two consecutive years. The moving average method was used to decouple the climate-induced yield of potato. The results showed that the yield and planting area of potato from the period 1982 to 2015
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Zhao, Mei, Harry H. Hendon, Oscar Alves, Guoqiang Liu, and Guomin Wang. "Weakened Eastern Pacific El Niño Predictability in the Early Twenty-First Century." Journal of Climate 29, no. 18 (September 2, 2016): 6805–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-15-0876.1.

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Abstract Predictive skill for El Niño in the equatorial eastern Pacific across a range of forecast models declined sharply in the early twenty-first century relative to what was achieved in the late twentieth century despite ongoing improvements of forecast systems. This decline coincided with a shift in Pacific climate to an enhanced east–west surface temperature gradient across the Pacific and a stronger Walker circulation at the end of the twentieth century. Using seasonal forecast sensitivity experiments with the Australian Bureau of Meteorology coupled model POAMA2.4, the authors show tha
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Mathew, Supriya, Benxiang Zeng, Kerstin K. Zander, and Ranjay K. Singh. "Exploring agricultural development and climate adaptation in northern Australia under climatic risks." Rangeland Journal 40, no. 4 (2018): 353. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/rj18011.

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The agriculture sector in northern Australia is vulnerable to the impacts of climate change and climate variability. Climate change risks for future agricultural development include higher atmospheric temperature, increased rainfall variability and an increase in the frequency and severity of extreme weather events such as floods, droughts, heatwaves and fires. An uncertain future climate can affect agricultural production, efficient resource use and sustainable livelihoods. A balance needs to be achieved between resource use and livelihood security for sustainable agricultural development ami
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Pandey, K. S., H. Shrestha, and L. P. Devkota. "Impacts of climate change on agricultural production in Nepal: Case of Kavre and Jumla districts." Nepal Journal of Environmental Science 2 (December 8, 2014): 43–50. http://dx.doi.org/10.3126/njes.v2i0.22740.

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The study the analyzed relationship of climate change with agricultural production in Kavre and Jumla districts. The specific objective of the study was to find out the dimension and linkage between agricultural production and climatic parameters in Kavre and Jumla. Time series data were analysed for the study. The data was sourced from the Department of Hydrology Meteorology, Department of Agriculture, and National Bureau of Statistics. Descriptive statistics, linear analysis test and back ward difference filter were the analytical tools used to determine the impact of climate change on produ
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Fiddes, Sonya, Acacia Pepler, Kate Saunders, and Pandora Hope. "Redefining southern Australia’s climatic regions and seasons." Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science 71, no. 1 (2021): 92. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/es20003.

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Climate scientists routinely rely on averaging over time or space to simplify complex information and to concisely communicate findings. Currently, no consistent definitions of ‘warm’ or ‘cool’ seasons for southern Australia exist, making comparisons across studies difficult. Similarly, numerous climate studies in Australia use either arbitrarily defined areas or the Natural Resource Management (NRM) clusters to perform spatial averaging. While the NRM regions were informed by temperature and rainfall information, they remain somewhat arbitrary. Here we use weather type influence on rainfall a
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Penereiro, Júlio César. "Climatic trends of temperatures and precipitation in Brazilian localities." Acta Scientiarum. Technology 42 (February 28, 2020): e44359. http://dx.doi.org/10.4025/actascitechnol.v42i1.44359.

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In recent decades, scientific and academic researchers around the world have been concerned with the assessment of regional and global climate trends. Under the hypothesis of the presence of climate change in Brazil, the aim of this work was to verify annual climate trends of maximum and minimum air temperatures and precipitation in 243 localities over all the Brazilian political regions. The data were obtained from National Institute of Meteorology. In this work there were identified and analysed trends in annual time series distributed between in 1961 and 2017. The detections and analyses we
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Regmi, H. P., P. P. Regmi, J. P. Dutta, and D. R. Dangol. "Farmers’ perception on climate change and ecological hazards in Riu and Rapti waterbasin, Chitwan, Nepal." Journal of Agriculture and Environment 18 (May 12, 2018): 59–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.3126/aej.v18i0.19890.

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A survey research was done to study the farmers’ perception on climate change and ecological hazards in Riu and Rapti water basin, Chitwan, Nepal. Altogether 120 households, 60 from each water basin in Riu and Rapti were selected randomly for the study. Pre-tested interview, direct observation, focus group discussion as well as secondary data from Department of Hydrology and Meteorology (DHM), Kathmandu were used to collect the required information. Majority of the farmers’ perceived the change in climatic condition in their locality in terms of increase in hotter days, decrease in colder days
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Chessman, Bruce C. "Declines of freshwater turtles associated with climatic drying in Australia." Wildlife Research 38, no. 8 (2011): 664. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/wr11108.

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Context While much attention has been paid to the effects of global temperature increases on the geographical ranges and phenologies of plants and animals, less is known about the impacts of climatically driven alteration of water regimes. Aims To assess how three species of freshwater turtle in Australia’s Murray–Darling Basin have responded to long-term decline in river flow and floodplain inundation due to climatic drying and water diversions. Methods Turtle populations were sampled in a section of the Murray River and its floodplain in 1976–82 following a wet period and in 2009–11 at the e
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Christina, Mathias, Fawziah Limbada, and Anne Atlan. "Climatic niche shift of an invasive shrub (Ulex europaeus): a global scale comparison in native and introduced regions." Journal of Plant Ecology 13, no. 1 (August 16, 2019): 42–50. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/jpe/rtz041.

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Abstract Aims Invasive species, which recently expanded, may help understand how climatic niche can shift at the time scale of the current global change. Here, we address the climatic niche shift of an invasive shrub (common gorse, Ulex europaeus) at the world and regional scales to assess how it could contribute to increasing invasibility. Methods Based on a 28 187 occurrences database, we used a combination of 9 species distribution models (SDM) to assess regional climatic niche from both the native range (Western Europe) and the introduced range in different parts of the world (North-West A
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Pokhrel, Padma, Dinesh Dhakal, Devendra Gauchan, Harikrishna Panta, and Ram P. Mainali. "Impact of climate change on rice production: an empirical study in Kaski and Nawalparasi, Nepal." Journal of Agriculture and Natural Resources 4, no. 1 (January 1, 2021): 79–86. http://dx.doi.org/10.3126/janr.v4i1.33229.

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This study explores the relationship between climate variables to rice production in Kaski and Nawalparasi district of Nepal. The study was conducted in the year 2016. This study captured the time series data ranging from 1995 to 2014 on rice production, temperature and rainfall of two different districts and analyzed through panel data regression. Regarding primary data collection, a total of 120 sampled households were surveyed by using simple random sampling to understand the perception of farmers to change in climatic parameters using a semi-structured pre-tested questionnaire and Focus Gr
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Bhattarai, Bikas Chandra, and Dhananjay Regmi. "Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources in View of Contribution of Runoff Components in Stream Flow: A Case Study from Langtang Basin, Nepal." Journal of Hydrology and Meteorology 9, no. 1 (August 30, 2016): 74–84. http://dx.doi.org/10.3126/jhm.v9i1.15583.

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Observation and model-based studies suggest substantial hydrological flow pattern changes in mountain watershed where hydrology is dominated by cryospheric processes (IPCC 2007). The response of cryospheric processes to warming climate in mountain areas can be analysed by examining the responses in the seasonal and annual hydrologic regimes of rivers where snowmelt contributes significantly to the runoff. This study is carried out in Langtang basin, which aims to assess the impact of potential warming on snowmelt contribution and river discharge utilizes a Snowmelt Runoff Model (SRM), which is
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Bullen, R. D., and N. L. McKenzie. "Seasonal range variation of Tadarida australis (Chiroptera:Molossidae) in Western Australia: the impact of enthalpy." Australian Journal of Zoology 53, no. 3 (2005): 145. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/zo04080.

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The Australian bat Tadarida australis has a peculiar geographical niche that involves a continental-scale movement of over 10° of latitude in Western Australia. Its range expands northward by up to 1200 km for the winter and contracts southward for the summer. Its summer range limit correlates with an interaction of temperature and humidity, best summarised by atmospheric enthalpy. Its winter distribution is expanded northward within the enthalpy threshold, but appears to be further restricted in some areas by an unknown factor that may be biotic. We propose a potential competitor and a potent
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35

Paz, Shlomit. "Climate change impacts on West Nile virus transmission in a global context." Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 370, no. 1665 (April 5, 2015): 20130561. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2013.0561.

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West Nile virus (WNV), the most widely distributed virus of the encephalitic flaviviruses, is a vector-borne pathogen of global importance. The transmission cycle exists in rural and urban areas where the virus infects birds, humans, horses and other mammals. Multiple factors impact the transmission and distribution of WNV, related to the dynamics and interactions between pathogen, vector, vertebrate hosts and environment. Hence, among other drivers, weather conditions have direct and indirect influences on vector competence (the ability to acquire, maintain and transmit the virus), on the vec
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36

Kershaw, A. P. "A Bioclimatic Analysis of Early to Middle Miocene Brown Coal Floras, Latrobe Valley, South-eastern Australia." Australian Journal of Botany 45, no. 3 (1997): 373. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/bt96033.

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The bioclimatic prediction system BIOCLIM is employed to provide an estimate of Early to Middle Miocene climate from the overlapping present-day climatic parameter ranges of selected taxa recorded in the Latrobe Valley coal seams. Despite taxon identification to only a coarse taxonomic level, fairly tight climatic envelopes are derived, particularly for temperature parameters. The data suggest that mean annual temperatures may have been about 5˚C higher than those of today, with a similar seasonal temperature variation. Minimum annual precipitation is estimated to have been at least 1500 mm an
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37

Boon, Paul I. "Are mangroves in Victoria (south-eastern Australia) already responding to climate change?" Marine and Freshwater Research 68, no. 12 (2017): 2366. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/mf17015.

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The distribution and productivity of mangroves is directly affected by a wide range of climatic drivers, including temperature, frost, rainfall, evaporation and storm activity, which, in turn, influence a suite of secondary drivers, including changes in freshwater run-off and sediment supply, groundwater dynamics and inter-species competitiveness. The highest-latitude expression of mangroves globally is at Millers Landing, Victoria (38°45′S), and because the vigour and productivity of mangroves across much of Victoria is thought to be limited by low winter temperatures and the incidence and se
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38

Andreae, M. O., O. C. Acevedo, A. Araùjo, P. Artaxo, C. G. G. Barbosa, H. M. J. Barbosa, J. Brito, et al. "The Amazon Tall Tower Observatory (ATTO): overview of pilot measurements on ecosystem ecology, meteorology, trace gases, and aerosols." Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 15, no. 18 (September 28, 2015): 10723–76. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-10723-2015.

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Abstract. The Amazon Basin plays key roles in the carbon and water cycles, climate change, atmospheric chemistry, and biodiversity. It has already been changed significantly by human activities, and more pervasive change is expected to occur in the coming decades. It is therefore essential to establish long-term measurement sites that provide a baseline record of present-day climatic, biogeochemical, and atmospheric conditions and that will be operated over coming decades to monitor change in the Amazon region, as human perturbations increase in the future. The Amazon Tall Tower Observatory (A
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39

Vieira de França, Manoel, Raimundo Mainar de Medeiros, and Romildo Morant de Holanda. "APTIDÃO CLIMÁTICA DA CULTURA DA BANANA NO ESTADO DO PIAUÍ –BRASIL." COLLOQUIUM AGRARIAE 14, no. 3 (September 1, 2018): 12–23. http://dx.doi.org/10.5747/ca.2018.v14.n3.a223.

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This study exposes the weather elements, climatic factors, climatic water balance (BHC) developed by Thornthwaite and Mather, climatic classification by the methods of Thornthwaite and Köppen to the state of Piauí followed by its rating for banana cultivation. It used data from climatological precipitation monthly and annual averages acquired from the database collected by the Superintendence of Northeast Development -SUDENE (1990) and Business Technical Assistance and Rural Piauí State Extension -EMATER-PI, the monthly figures and air temperature year were estimated by the method of lines of
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40

Chambers, Lynda E., and Marie R. Keatley. "Phenology and climate - early Australian botanical records." Australian Journal of Botany 58, no. 6 (2010): 473. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/bt10105.

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Historical information from the Hobart Botanical Gardens (1864–1885) was used to identify species and phenological phases that were responsive to climatic variations and have the potential to be used as climate change indicators in southern Australia. Of the 49 species considered, 26 (53%) had at least one phenophase that appeared to be driven by changes in rainfall, minimum temperature, or both. This was particularly true for fruiting species, including currants, pears and plums, and for the phenophases harvest commencement, seed ripening or fall, and fruit ripening.
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41

Berezowski, Tomasz, Mateusz Szcześniak, Ignacy Kardel, Robert Michałowski, Tomasz Okruszko, Abdelkader Mezghani, and Mikołaj Piniewski. "CPLFD-GDPT5: High-resolution gridded daily precipitation and temperature data set for two largest Polish river basins." Earth System Science Data 8, no. 1 (March 21, 2016): 127–39. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/essd-8-127-2016.

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Abstract. The CHASE-PL (Climate change impact assessment for selected sectors in Poland) Forcing Data–Gridded Daily Precipitation &amp;amp; Temperature Dataset–5 km (CPLFD-GDPT5) consists of 1951–2013 daily minimum and maximum air temperatures and precipitation totals interpolated onto a 5 km grid based on daily meteorological observations from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW-PIB; Polish stations), Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD, German and Czech stations), and European Climate Assessment and Dataset (ECAD) and National Oceanic and Atmosphere Administration–National Climat
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42

Hughes, Lesley, and Mark Westoby. "Climate change and conservation policies in Australia: coping with change that is far away and not yet certain." Pacific Conservation Biology 1, no. 4 (1994): 308. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/pc940308.

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Projected changes in temperature and precipitation as a result of the enhanced greenhouse effect suggest that climatic zones could shift several hundred kilometres towards the poles and several hundred metres upwards in elevation over the next 50 years. The potential consequences of such changes for sustainability of natural populations are enormous due to both physiological stresses on individuals and changes in competitive regimes. Despite this, few positive policy initiatives have yet been undertaken in Australia to mitigate the changes for Australia's flora and fauna. Climate change is gen
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43

Cramwinckel, Margot J., Lineke Woelders, Emiel P. Huurdeman, Francien Peterse, Stephen J. Gallagher, Jörg Pross, Catherine E. Burgess, Gert-Jan Reichart, Appy Sluijs, and Peter K. Bijl. "Surface-circulation change in the southwest Pacific Ocean across the Middle Eocene Climatic Optimum: inferences from dinoflagellate cysts and biomarker paleothermometry." Climate of the Past 16, no. 5 (September 1, 2020): 1667–89. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1667-2020.

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Abstract. Global climate cooled from the early Eocene hothouse (∼52–50 Ma) to the latest Eocene (∼34 Ma). At the same time, the tectonic evolution of the Southern Ocean was characterized by the opening and deepening of circum-Antarctic gateways, which affected both surface- and deep-ocean circulation. The Tasmanian Gateway played a key role in regulating ocean throughflow between Australia and Antarctica. Southern Ocean surface currents through and around the Tasmanian Gateway have left recognizable tracers in the spatiotemporal distribution of plankton fossils, including organic-walled dinofl
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44

Andreae, M. O., O. C. Acevedo, A. Araùjo, P. Artaxo, C. G. G. Barbosa, H. M. J. Barbosa, J. Brito, et al. "The Amazon Tall Tower Observatory (ATTO) in the remote Amazon Basin: overview of first results from ecosystem ecology, meteorology, trace gas, and aerosol measurements." Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions 15, no. 8 (April 21, 2015): 11599–726. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/acpd-15-11599-2015.

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Abstract. The Amazon Basin plays key roles in the carbon and water cycles, climate change, atmospheric chemistry, and biodiversity. It already has been changed significantly by human activities, and more pervasive change is expected to occur in the next decades. It is therefore essential to establish long-term measurement sites that provide a baseline record of present-day climatic, biogeochemical, and atmospheric conditions and that will be operated over coming decades to monitor change in the Amazon region as human perturbations increase in the future. The Amazon Tall Tower Observatory (ATTO
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45

Laurenson, Yan C. S. M., and Lewis P. Kahn. "A mathematical model to predict the risk arising from the pasture infectivity of four nematode species in Australia." Animal Production Science 58, no. 8 (2018): 1504. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/an17777.

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Gastrointestinal parasites cost the Australian sheep industry AU$436 million annually. Early warning of impending worm risk may reduce this cost by providing producers with sufficient time to implement control strategies. A biophysical model was developed to simulate the on-pasture lifecycle stages of the four predominant nematode species in Australia (Haemonchus contortus, Teladorsagia circumcincta, Trichostrongylus colubriformis and Trichostrongylus vitrinus). The influence of climatic variables (temperature and water availability) on the survival, development and migration of each lifecycle
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46

Rogers, Cassandra Denise Wilks, and Jason Beringer. "Describing rainfall in northern Australia using multiple climate indices." Biogeosciences 14, no. 3 (February 7, 2017): 597–615. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-14-597-2017.

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Abstract. Savanna landscapes are globally extensive and highly sensitive to climate change, yet the physical processes and climate phenomena which affect them remain poorly understood and therefore poorly represented in climate models. Both human populations and natural ecosystems are highly susceptible to precipitation variation in these regions due to the effects on water and food availability and atmosphere–biosphere energy fluxes. Here we quantify the relationship between climate phenomena and historical rainfall variability in Australian savannas and, in particular, how these relationship
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47

Macías Barberán, José Ricardo, Gerardo José Cuenca Nevárez, Frank Guillermo Intriago Flor, Creuci Maria Caetano, Juan Carlos Menjivar Flores, and Henry Antonio Pacheco Gil. "Vulnerability to climate change of smallholder cocoa producers in the province of Manabí, Ecuador." Revista Facultad Nacional de Agronomía Medellín 72, no. 1 (January 1, 2019): 8707–16. http://dx.doi.org/10.15446/rfnam.v72n1.72564.

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The consequences of climate change in the agricultural sector worldwide expose the need to understand the scope of their impact in order to develop mitigation and adaptation strategies for them. Therefore, this research evaluated the alterations in the environmental conditions and their relation with the vulnerability of smallholder cocoa (Theobroma cacao L.) producers to climate change in the province of Manabí. A non-probabilistic sampling of 1,060 small farmers was made in five cantons of Manabí. The vulnerability was determined through indicators such as the normalized difference vegetatio
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48

Oliveira, P. T. L., A. L. N. Amaro, T. Yanagi Júnior, G. A. S. Ferraz, and S. N. M. Yanagi. "Bioclimatic zoning and trend analysis applied to broilers." Arquivo Brasileiro de Medicina Veterinária e Zootecnia 71, no. 5 (October 2019): 1631–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1678-4162-10831.

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ABSTRACT The objective of the present study was to establish the bioclimatic zoning by the temperature and humidity index (THI), considering a historical period and a future scenario, in order to represent the thermal environment for broiler breeding in the State of Minas Gerais. A historical series (1976 - 2014) of THI minimum, average and maximum calculated based on data from 48 conventional meteorological stations was used, belonging to the National Institute of Meteorology of the State of Minas Gerais. The analysis of the temporal series was based on the Mann-Kendall test and linear regres
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49

Gardner, Janet L., Eleanor Rowley, Perry de Rebeira, Alma de Rebeira, and Lyanne Brouwer. "Effects of extreme weather on two sympatric Australian passerine bird species." Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 372, no. 1723 (May 8, 2017): 20160148. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2016.0148.

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Despite abundant evidence that natural populations are responding to climate change, there are few demonstrations of how extreme climatic events (ECEs) affect fitness. Climate warming increases adverse effects of exposure to high temperatures, but also reduces exposure to cold ECEs. Here, we investigate variation in survival associated with severity of summer and winter conditions, and whether survival is better predicted by ECEs than mean temperatures using data from two coexisting bird species monitored over 37 years in southwestern Australia, red-winged fairy-wrens, Malurus elegans and whit
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50

Bond, Nick, Jim Thomson, Paul Reich, and Janet Stein. "Using species distribution models to infer potential climate change-induced range shifts of freshwater fish in south-eastern Australia." Marine and Freshwater Research 62, no. 9 (2011): 1043. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/mf10286.

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There are few quantitative predictions for the impacts of climate change on freshwater fish in Australia. We developed species distribution models (SDMs) linking historical fish distributions for 43 species from Victorian streams to a suite of hydro-climatic and catchment predictors, and applied these models to explore predicted range shifts under future climate-change scenarios. Here, we present summary results for the 43 species, together with a more detailed analysis for a subset of species with distinct distributions in relation to temperature and hydrology. Range shifts increased from the
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