Relevant bibliographies by topics / Modèle ARDL

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  1. Journal articles
  2. Dissertations / Theses
  3. Books
  4. Book chapters
  5. Conference papers
  6. Reports

Academic literature on the topic 'Modèle ARDL'

Author: Grafiati
Published: 4 June 2021
Last updated: 25 July 2025

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Journal articles on the topic "Modèle ARDL"

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Lamzihri, Othmane, and Kamli Mohamed El. "Estimation de la loi d'Okun avec le modèle ARDL." International Journal of Accounting, Finance, Auditing, Management and Economics 2, no. 5 (2021): 680–93. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5539980.

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Cet article propose des estimations de vérification de la loi d’Okun pour les pays développés et les pays en voie de développement, à savoir : la France, l’Italie, l’Espagne, le Maroc, la Tunisie, l’Égypte et l’Afrique du Sud, sur une échéance de 1991-2020 pour les deux variables : « Taux de croissance » et « Taux de chômage ». Nous avons abordé une démarche économétrique d’un modèle de régression simpl
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KPANGBA-KINGO, Pothin Melaine Néri. "Agriculture et développement industriel en Centrafrique : une approche par le modèle ARDL." Revista Nacional de Administración 15, no. 2 (2024): e5703. https://doi.org/10.22458/rna.v15i2.5703.

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L’agriculture est une composante principale dans les développements industriels qui constitue, parmi d’autres, un mécanisme fondamental de l’Etat pour stimuler la croissance économique. L’objectif de cet article est d’étudier l’incidence de l’agriculture sur le développement industriel en Centrafrique. Dans cet article, les données utilisées sont des séries chronologiques annuelles qui couvrent la période de 1986-2016. La modélisation par l’approche ARDL (Auto Regressive Distributed Lags) a permis de retenir ARDL (1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 1, 2, 1, 2) comme modèle optimal. De plus, le test de bande de Pe
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Fatiha, ISSOLAH, DJEMACI Brahim, and KERTOUS Mourad. "‎ Education, Santé et croissance économique en Algérie : Étude ‎économétrique via le modèle ARDL." Dirassat Journal Economic Issue 12, no. 1 (2021): 753–69. http://dx.doi.org/10.34118/djei.v12i1.1124.

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Le développement humain est un instrument de mesure et d’évaluation du degré de succès des pays à satisfaire les besoins socio-économiques de leurs populations. L’objectif de cette étude est d’analyser l’impact du développement du capital humain sur la croissance économique en Algérie, à travers la présentation des différentes études empiriques et une analyse économétrique des modèles ARDL, sur la période de 1986 à 2017. Les résultats de l’étude affirment l’existence d’une relation positive entre le taux de scolarisation primaire et secondaire sur la croissance économique et un effet négatif d
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Issolah, Fatiha, Brahim Djemaci, and Mourad Kertous. "Education, Santé et croissance économique en Algérie : Étude économétrique via le modèle ARDL." Dirassat Journal Economic Issue 12, no. 1 (2021): 753–69. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4479100.

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 Le développement humain est un instrument de mesure et d’évaluation du degré de succès des pays à satisfaire les besoins socio-économiques de leurs populations. L’objectif de cette étude est d’analyser l’impact du développement du capital humain sur la croissance économique en Algérie, à travers la présentation des différentes études empiriques et une analyse économétrique des modèles ARDL, sur la période de 1986 à 2017. Les r&eacute
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DIAW, Khady, and Ndiack FALL. "Effets de l’inclusion financière sur la croissance inclusive dans les pays de l’Union Economique et Monétaire Ouest Africaine (UEMOA)." Journal of Academic Finance 13, no. 2 (2022): 56–76. http://dx.doi.org/10.59051/joaf.v13i2.593.

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Objectif : cet article vise à analyser les effets de l’inclusion financière sur la croissance inclusive dans les pays de l’Union Economique et Monétaire Ouest Africaine (UEMOA). 
 Méthodologie : deux approches méthodologiques sont utilisées à savoir le modèle AutoRegressive à Retards Echelonnés (ARDL) (Pesaran,1999) et le modèle de panel dynamique à effet de seuil et à correction d’erreur (Kremer et al., 2013). En outre le test de causalité de Dumitrescu et Hurlin (2012) est utilisé pour déterminer le sens de causalité.
 Résultats : tout d’abord, les résultats montrent qu’il existe u
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COULIBALY, Moussa. "Effets de l’inclusion financière sur la stabilité financière dans l’Union Économique et Monétaire Ouest Africaine." Revue d’Economie Théorique et Appliquée 13, no. 2 (2023): 169–88. http://dx.doi.org/10.62519/reta.v13n2a2.

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Résumé : Cet article analyse les effets de l’inclusion financière sur la stabilité financière dans l’Union Économique et Monétaire Ouest Africaine (UEMOA). Pour ce faire, il adopte le modèle Autorégressif à retards échelonnés (ARRE) ou Autoregressive Distributive Lags (ARDL) et utilise les données de panel couvrant les huit pays de l’UEMOA sur la période 2007-2019. Le modèle a été estimé par la méthode de la moyenne de groupe agrégée ou le Pooled Mean Group (PMG). Les résultats des estimations révèlent que l’inclusion financière renforce la stabilité financière à long terme dans l’UEMOA. Au re
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Saoudi, Hassan, Jamila AYEGOU, and Moulay Youssef EL ALAOUI ISMAILI. "Analyse de la demande touristique de la destination Tanger-Assilah : Modélisation ARMA (Méthodologie Box-Jenkins)." RMd, Economics, Management & Social Sciences 2, no. 1 (2025): e202503. http://dx.doi.org/10.23882/emss25113.

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L’article tente d’analyser la demande touristique de la destination de Tanger-Assilah en utilisant le modèle ARIMA (méthodologie Box-Jenkins). L’objectif est d’identifier l’état d’évolution de la demande touristique au niveau de la destination de Tanger-Assilah. Les résultats obtenus montrent que la demande touristique pour la destination de Tanger-Assilah va croître et valident l’efficacité de la méthode utilisée pour des prévisions à court terme. En effet, pour faire les prévisions à long terme, nous recommandons d’utiliser le modèle « ARDL ». Aussi, l’article permet d’analyser l’activité to
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MOUSSAVOU, Ferdinand. "Determinants of Tax Revenues in Congo-Brazzaville: An Empirical Analysis Using the ARDL Model." Cahiers du cedimes 19, no. 1 (2024): 103–18. https://doi.org/10.69611/cahiers19-1-08.

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This article analyzes the determinants of tax revenues in Congo-Brazzaville based on an autoregressive scaled lag (ARDL) model and data from the period 1990-2020. The results of the study show that in the short term, corruption, education, industry, gross domestic product per capita, money supply and foreign direct investment influence tax revenues. On the other hand, agriculture, unemployment and inflation appear neutral. Of all these factors, corruption and inflation produce no long-term effect. The study recommends the implementation of persuasion mechanisms towards taxpayers and the encour
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Atmani, Anissa, and Nacer-Eddine Mouffok. "Effets des chocs pétroliers sur l’étendue de l'économie informelle en Algérie une approche par un modèle ARDL asymétrique (1970-2018)." les cahiers du cread 39, no. 2 (2023): 313–40. http://dx.doi.org/10.4314/cread.v39i2.11.

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Ce papier analyse la réponse de la taille de l’économie informelle aux variations des cours du pétrole en Algérie. L’application d’un modèle ARDL non linéaire confirme la présence d’une relation de long terme entre la taille de l’économie informelle, la masse monétaire réelle au sens M1, les crédits à l’économie et les prix du pétrole. En utilisant deux mesures de l’économie informelle, basées sur des indicateurs macroéconomiques, utilisées comme une approximation de sa taille, les résultats montrent que l’hypothèse d’asymétrie est valide à court et à long terme. De plus, la taille de l’économ
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Abderrahmani, Farés, and Rabah Tarmoul. "déterminants du taux de chômage en Algérie (1980-2019) : approche par les modèles ARDL." les cahiers du cread 39, no. 4 (2024): 93–116. http://dx.doi.org/10.4314/cread.v39i4.4.

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L’objectif de ce papier est d’identifier les déterminants du taux de chômage en Algérie sur la période qui s’étale de 1980 à 2019 en utilisant un modèle à retards échelonnés (ARDL). Les résultats de notre investigation empirique montrent que l’évolution du taux de chômage en Algérie dépend amplement des dépenses publiques et de la croissance économique. Résultat admis, d’un point de vue théorique, la création de richesses par extension de la demande publique et privée s’accompagne de la création d’emploi. Résultats probants dans une économie ou l’essentiel de la valeur ajoutée est généré par l
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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Modèle ARDL"

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Ferdi, Fouad. "Dynamique macroéconomique des firmes financiarisées." Thesis, Sorbonne Paris Cité, 2019. http://www.theses.fr/2019USPCD006.

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La question principale de ce travail de recherche est de déterminer le type du régime de croissance économique des pays dits « avancés ». Pour ce faire, j’étudie le schéma d’accumulation du capital au travers du comportement d’investissement des entreprises non financières, afin d’en établir les conséquences en termes de stabilité économique. Je défends l'idée d'une instauration depuis les années 1980 d'un régime de croissance basé, entre autres, sur le capital intangible et financier, dont j'étudie les caractéristiques et les conséquences sur l'économie. A partir de cette hypothèse, je propos
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Nacanabo, Amade. "Impact des chocs climatiques sur la sécurité alimentaire dans les pays sahéliens : approches macroéconomiques et microéconomiques." Electronic Thesis or Diss., Toulon, 2021. http://www.theses.fr/2021TOUL2007.

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Utilisé très souvent de façon métaphorique pour désigner les franges méridionales du Sahara, le Sahel du fait de sa position géographique est une région vulnérable au changement climatique. L’agriculture est fortement pluviale et largement dépendante des conditions climatiques. La prise en compte du changement climatique est indispensable dans la réalisation de la sécurité alimentaire au Sahel. En alliant travaux empiriques et théoriques, cette thèse se propose de contribuer à une meilleure compréhension de l’incidence du changement climatique sur la sécurité alimentaire au Sahel au niveau mic
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Brahim, Mariem. "Investissements directs étrangers dans les pays émergents : attractivité et effets économiques." Thesis, Sorbonne Paris Cité, 2016. http://www.theses.fr/2016USPCD077.

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L’objectif de cette thèse est l’étude de la croissance et du développement économique des pays émergents à travers l’Investissement Direct Etranger. Les pays émergents adoptent des stratégies d’attractivité des IDE, lesquels favorisent ensuite l’assimilation des transferts technologiques qu’ils véhiculent. Ces stratégies sont articulées autour de plusieurs points : surcroît de réglementation, instauration d’un système de bonne gouvernance, renforcement de la stabilité macroéconomique et développement des infrastructures et du capital humain. Nous nous intéressons aux pays de la région MENA qui
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Khalil, Rosette. "Finance alternative : quels sont les avantages?" Thesis, Pau, 2021. http://www.theses.fr/2021PAUU2090.

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L’Investissement Socialement Responsable (ISR) qui est qualifié d’investissement « éthique », « vert » ou « durable » est établi sur un principe similaire qui repose sur le principe des investissements ESG. Ainsi, la finance islamique, à travers le filtrage sectoriel qu’elle impose, représente une option d’investissement socialement responsable intéressante. On considère qu’à travers le développement durable, les objectifs de l’ISR et de la finance islamique sont convergents. Créé en Janvier 2009, par « Satoshi Nakamoto », de nombreuses devises virtuelles comme Bitcoin sont fortement intéressé
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Lai, Ngoc Anh. "Essays on central banking in Vietnam." Thesis, Paris 1, 2015. http://www.theses.fr/2015PA010017/document.

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Les difficultés rencontrées par la banque centrale du Vietnam dans la dernière décennie, qui se sont traduites par des écarts importants par rapport à l'objectif d'inflation, nourrissent le débat sur l'adéquation subsistante de l'actuelle stratégie de politique monétaire en place dans le pays depuis 1992. Partant de cette idée, cette thèse a pour objectif d'examiner la pertinence du ciblage monétaire quantitatif. De plus, celle-ci recommande quelques aménagements pour améliorer l'efficacité de la politique monétaire. Après un chapitre introductif, le chapitre 2 propose un état des lieux de l'é
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Tjarks, Onno [Verfasser]. "Closed-Loop Beatmung im ARDS : Vergleich von zwei automatisierten Beatmungsprotokollen basierend auf ARDS Network und Open-Lung-Approach in einem ARDS Modell / Onno Tjarks." Berlin : Medizinische Fakultät Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, 2021. http://d-nb.info/1228859663/34.

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Gärtner, Silke. "Pulmonale Pharmaka-Applikation mittels Flüssigkeitsbeatmung am ARDS-Modell des Kaninchens." [S.l.] : [s.n.], 2004. http://deposit.ddb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?idn=972051074.

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Altin, Mehmet. "Economic Sentiment Indicator as a Demand Determinant in Tourism: A Case of Turkey." Thesis, Virginia Tech, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/10919/42577.

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Tourism is one of the fastest growing industries in the world, employing approximately 220 million people and generating over 9.4% of the world's GDP. The growing contribution of tourism is accompanied by an increased interest in understanding the major factors which influence visitation levels to those countries. Therefore, finding the right variables to understand and estimate tourism demand becomes very important and challenging in policy formulations. The purpose of this study is to introduce Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) to the field of tourism demand studies. Using ESI in demand ana
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Torres, Luís Filipe Nunes Pardal Esteves. "Modelling the demand for military expenditure in Portugal." Master's thesis, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/6540.

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Mestrado em Economia<br>Throughout history, countries from all over the world have devoted a considerable amount of resources to produce security. This evidence has motivated a growing number of studies that examine the determinants of the demand for military expenditure. Albeit the difficulty to develop a general theoretical framework and the inexistence of a standard empirical approach to model the demand for military expenditure, it is an important issue to understand which factors may influence the military expenditure demand function of a country. The aim of this dissertation is to find
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Alves, Gabriel Godinho. "Recristalização do aço ARBL microligado ao nióbio CSN 2336." Universidade de São Paulo, 2009. http://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/97/97134/tde-27092012-120450/.

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No presente trabalho estudou-se a recristalização do aço de alta resistência baixa liga (ARBL) microligado ao nióbio (160 ppm em peso) da Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional 2336 utilizado na fabricação de reforços estruturais para a indústria automobilística. A grande utilização deste tipo de aço pelas indústrias tem motivado o desenvolvimento de novas ligas capazes de atender a requisitos críticos de estampagem combinado com alta resistência mecânica. Amostras deste aço no estado laminado a quente foram deformadas posteriormente a frio em escala piloto com reduções de 50 e 70%, reduções típicas n
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Books on the topic "Modèle ARDL"

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Bortnik, V. N. Chislennoe issledovanie ͡tsirkul͡ia͡tsii vod v Aralʹskom more. Vychislitelʹnyĭ, 1985.

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Modèle ARDL et ECM: Estimation du modèle ARDL et ECM sur Eviews et stata. Éditions universitaires européennes, 2022.

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Book chapters on the topic "Modèle ARDL"

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Arı, Yakup. "Using COGARCH-Filtered Volatility in Modelling Within ARDL Framework." In Handbook of Research on Emerging Theories, Models, and Applications of Financial Econometrics. Springer International Publishing, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-54108-8_13.

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D’Alessio, Franco R. "Mouse Models of Acute Lung Injury and ARDS." In Methods in Molecular Biology. Springer New York, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4939-8570-8_22.

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Verbrugge, Serge J. C., Vera Šorm, and Burkhard Lachmann. "Use of Liquid Ventilation in Animal Models of Ards." In Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome. Springer US, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-8634-4_39.

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Aladin, N. V. "The conservation ecology of the Podonidae from the Caspian and Aral seas." In Cladocera as Model Organisms in Biology. Springer Netherlands, 1995. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-0021-2_10.

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Leuzzo, Alessia. "A Methodology Toward a Just, Digital and Ecological Transition for Resilient and Sustainable Scenarios." In Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems. Springer International Publishing, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-34211-0_16.

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AbstractClimate change-related extreme events, like droughts and heavy precipitations, are increasingly leading to water-related problems, such as flooding, water scarcity, and disease spreading. Furthermore, it appears insufficiently effective working on the adaptation to some conditions, by merely reducing their impacts on the built environment. The current scenario rather suggests the necessity to produce positive impacts. In this paper, a methodology using the Advanced Resilient Design (ARD) approach is proposed. The ARD is a Regenerative Design that works on resilient scenarios to manage
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Sek, Siok Kun, Khang Yi Sim, and Deep Mukherjee. "Panel ARDL and NARDL Models: Role of Agriculture in Economic Growth in Selected Asian Countries." In Contributions to Economics. Springer Nature Singapore, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-4902-1_16.

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Abdalla, A., K. Dhaliwal, and M. Shankar-Hari. "Ex Vivo Lung Perfusion Models to Explore the Pathobiology of ARDS." In Annual Update in Intensive Care and Emergency Medicine 2023. Springer Nature Switzerland, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-23005-9_9.

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Neumann, P., and G. Hedenstierna. "Dynamics of Recruitment and Collapse of the Lung in Models of ARDS." In Anesthesia, Pain, Intensive Care and Emergency Medicine — A.P.I.C.E. Springer Milan, 2000. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-88-470-2286-7_13.

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Palaczynski, Piotr, Denis Kowalski, and Szymon Bialka. "Flow Control Ventilation in Intensive Care Unit: ARDS, COVID, and Alternative Uses." In Flow Controlled Ventilation Mode Through a Straw Size Tube. Springer Nature Switzerland, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-77477-5_15.

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Becha, Hamdi, Maha Kalai, Saifeddine Houidi, and Kamel Helali. "The Symmetric and Asymmetric Effects of Digitalization on Economic Growth in African Countries: Evidence from Linear and Non-Linear ARDL Models." In Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing. Springer International Publishing, 2023. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-42788-6_20.

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Conference papers on the topic "Modèle ARDL"

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Shao, Enze, Yuxuan Jiang, Fan Zhang, Zihan Wang, and Can Wang. "A Carbon Emission Projection and Prediction Method Based on LSTM and ARDL Models for Multiple Emission Sources." In 2024 IEEE PES 16th Asia-Pacific Power and Energy Engineering Conference (APPEEC). IEEE, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1109/appeec61255.2024.10922332.

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Yoon, Siyeop, Yujin Oh, Xiang Li, Yi Xin, Maurizio Cereda, and Quanzheng Li. "High-fidelity 3D lung CT synthesis in ARDS swine models using score-based 3D residual diffusion models." In Imaging Informatics, edited by Shandong Wu. SPIE, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1117/12.3047621.

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Al-Assaf, Dr Ghazi. "Understanding the Nexus Between Oil Price Volatility and Trade Balance in GCC Countries: A Comparative Investigation of Linear and Nonlinear ARDL Models." In 5th World Conference on Business, Management, Finance, Economics, and Marketing. Eurasia Conferences, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.62422/978-81-968539-6-9-019.

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The GCC countries, being rich in oil deposits, have always experienced volatility in the price of oil, and the consequences are predominantly in the form of the trade balance proportions. This research work attempts to unravel the complex interplay of oil price volatility and trade balance in GCC countries through the use of comparative analysis of Linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Nonlinear ARDL models. This research uses annual time-series data covering the period 1989-2021, which includes the major GCC economies of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrai
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Balcılar, Mehmet, Harun Bal, Neşe Algan, and Mehmet Demiral. "Turkey’s Export Performance: Examining the Main Determinants of Export Volume (1995-2012)." In International Conference on Eurasian Economies. Eurasian Economists Association, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.36880/c04.00774.

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The main objective of this study is to investigate the short and the long run relationships between export performance proxied by export volume index and real effective exchange rate changes in Turkey using the aggregated quarterly data sets covering the period of 1995-2012. The other factors that are expected to affect export performance such as wage, foreign income, productivity, trend GDP and exchange rate volatility are also added to the model. The ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration is performed in the estimation process. The causalities among the variables in the model are dete
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Gordon, Alex, Kevin Ai Xin Jue Luo, Rami Saab, et al. "A Device for Improving Oxygenation in Patients With Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome." In 2018 Design of Medical Devices Conference. American Society of Mechanical Engineers, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/dmd2018-6838.

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In this paper we present a device for improving blood oxygenation in patients with Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS). ARDS is caused by lung-related illness or injury, and can occur in mechanically ventilated ICU patients due to volutrauma or barotrauma. In ARDS, the lower lung is closed resulting in impaired gas exchange, and the upper lung is easily overstretched resulting in injury. The application of continuous negative abdominal pressure (CNAP) assists in opening the lower lung by pulling the diaphragm towards the abdomen. The device, consisting of a rigid arch, a compliant patie
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Geil, Bruce R., Charles W. Tipton, and Damian P. Urciuoli. "ARL 400 Amp Silicon Carbide Power Module." In 2024 NDIA Michigan Chapter Ground Vehicle Systems Engineering and Technology Symposium. National Defense Industrial Association, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.4271/2024-01-3187.

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&lt;title&gt;ABSTRACT&lt;/title&gt; &lt;p&gt;The need for improved electrical power conversion systems and components is being driven by requirements for higher efficiency, performance, and improved survivability and lethality capabilities on current and future Army platform power system. The U.S. Army Research Laboratory (ARL) has demonstrated a 1200 V, 400 A silicon carbide (SiC) power module based on a standard commercial design. This module uses large area SiC MOS-FETs and diodes and has been evaluated under varying temperatures, loads, and switching frequencies. Throughout the operating r
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Chu, Jenq Fei, and Siok Kun Sek. "Investigating the relationship between inflation and growth: Evidence from panel ARDL models." In PROCEEDINGS OF THE 21ST NATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES (SKSM21): Germination of Mathematical Sciences Education and Research towards Global Sustainability. AIP Publishing LLC, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.4887717.

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Aghabaglou, Fariba, Keely Buesing, Nathan D. Legband, et al. "Preliminary Investigation of the Mechanics of a Novel Thoracic Cavity Extra Pulmonary Oxygenation Device." In 2018 Design of Medical Devices Conference. American Society of Mechanical Engineers, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/dmd2018-6908.

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Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) arising from trauma, sepsis, pneumonia or other diseases has been acknowledged to be a major clinical problem in respiratory medicine. Hypoxia and hypercapnia arising from ARDS are life-threating particularly in children and elderly people. The reported mortality rate for ARDS is high. Current methods for treating patients who have limited or no lung function are ineffective or insufficient and present additional risks to the patients. In this research, we have explored new methods of infusing phospholipid-coated oxygen microbubbles (OMBs) to the thor
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Choji, Niri Martha, and Siok Kun Sek. "Linear and nonlinear panel ARDL models in examining the purchasing power parity theory." In The 5th Innovation and Analytics Conference & Exhibition (IACE 2021). AIP Publishing, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/5.0092680.

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Hojdan, David. "Exploring the relationship between government DEBT and real GDP: a panel ARDL analysis." In 14th International Scientific Conference „Business and Management 2024“. Vilnius Gediminas Technical University, 2024. http://dx.doi.org/10.3846/bm.2024.1311.

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This study explores the impact of government debt on real GDP in 37 high-income economies from 1990 to 2019, using quarterly data and panel ARDL models with the PMG estimator to distinguish between short-run and long-run effects. Despite identifying a non-linear relationship between government debt and real GDP, suggesting a long-term debt threshold of 95% to 110%, robustness checks using the Common Correlated Effects estimator to adjust for cross-sectional dependence find no significant long-term impact of government debt on real GDP. This conclusion calls into question the existence of a uni
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Reports on the topic "Modèle ARDL"

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Kraujalienė, Lidija, Atif Yaseen, and Inga Bilinskienė. Effects of Natural Resources and Renewable Energy Consumption on Carbon Dioxide Emmisions in the Country Economics. Vilnius Business College, 2024. https://doi.org/10.57005/ab.2024.3.5.

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Climate change is a highly debated issue among policymakers and stakeholders because it catalyzes numerous other problems. Similarly, natural resources are a blessing for any country’s economic development, but sometimes, this blessing can become a source of many problems. The research rigorously employs the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, a widely accepted econometric tool for analyzing long-run relationships, and aims to investigate the impact of natural resources, renewable energy consumption, and agricultural activities on carbon emissions, considering economic growth in Russi
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Debuque-Gonzales, Margarita, and John Paul Corpus. Let's Get Fiscal: Extending the Small Macroeconometric Model of the Philippine Economy. Philippine Institute for Development Studies, 2022. https://doi.org/10.62986/dp2022.43.

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This study presents a small macroeconometric model with a fiscal sector, extending the model presented in Debuque-Gonzales and Corpus (2022). The model retains the original core blocks of domestic demand, international trade, employment, prices, and monetary sectors and adds a fiscal sector consisting of equations for government revenues, expenditures, and debt. Behavioral equations are estimated in error-correction form (using ARDL methodology) on quarterly data from 2002 to 2019. In-sample simulations demonstrate acceptable levels of predictive accuracy for most macroeconomic variables, even
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Palatiello, Brett, and Philip Pinkington. Government Deficits and Interest Rates: A Keynesian View. Institute for New Economic Thinking Working Paper Series, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.36687/inetwp183.

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We test the neoclassical loanable funds model which postulates that, ceteris paribus, government borrowing increases the long-term rate of interest. The empirical literature exploring such a connection remains largely mixed. We clarify the conflicting results by deploying an ARDL model to decompose the relationship in the United States into long and short-run effects across multiple measures of the government deficit and long-term interest rate. We find a tendency for changes in the deficit to increase long-term interest rates in the short run but the effect is reversed in the long run. We arg
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Romagnolo, Donato F. A Molecular Model for Repression of BRCA-1 Transcription by the Aryl Hydrocarbon Receptor. Defense Technical Information Center, 2002. http://dx.doi.org/10.21236/ada408088.

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Romagnolo, Donato F. A Molecular Model for Repression of BRCA-1 Transcription by the Aryl Hydrocarbon Receptor. Defense Technical Information Center, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.21236/ada418719.

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Debuque-Gonzales, Margarita, and John Paul Corpus. Starting Small: Building a Macroeconometric Model of the Philippine Economy. Philippine Institute for Development Studies, 2022. https://doi.org/10.62986/dp2022.27.

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This study presents a small macroeconometric model of the Philippines. The model covers the basic parts of the economy—namely, private consumption and investment, international trade, employment, prices, and basic monetary sectors. Behavioral equations are estimated in error-correction form (using ARDL methodology) on quarterly data from 2002 to 2017. The model’s validity is evaluated through various simulation exercises. It generates satisfactory in-sample and out-of-sample predictions for GDP growth, CPI inflation, and employment rate but is less successful in tracking the movement of domest
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Drysdale, Andrew W. U.S. Army Research Laboratory (ARL) DESCENT Model Roadmap: Current Scope and Near-Term Extensions. Defense Technical Information Center, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.21236/ada589953.

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Moldovan, Paula, Sérgio Lagoa, and Diana Mendes. The impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the real exchange rate: Evidence from the UK. DINÂMIA'CET-Iscte, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.15847/dinamiacet-iul.wp.2021.06.

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The world economy has been punctuated by uncertainty as a result of the 2008 subprime crisis, the European sovereign debt crisis, Brexit, and the 2016 US presidential elections, to mention but a few of the reasons. This study explores how the UK real exchange rate reacts to economic policy uncertainty (EPU) shocks using monthly data for the period 1998 to 2020. We contribute to the literature by identifying the long-run and short-run impacts of EPU using a cointegrated ARDL model, and by studying a country that has been through periods of both relatively low and high uncertainty. Results confi
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Whitehead, Martha, Dale Askey, Donna Bourne-Tyson, et al. ARL/CARL Joint Task Force on Research Data Services: Final Report. Association of Research Libraries and Canadian Association of Research Libraries, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.29242/report.arlcarlrdstaskforce2021.

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The Association of Research Libraries (ARL)/Canadian Association of Research Libraries (CARL) Joint Task Force on Research Data Services formed in 2020 with a two-fold purpose: (1) to demonstrate and commit to the roles research libraries have in stewarding research data and as part of institution-wide research support services and (2) to guide the development of resources for the ARL and CARL memberships in advancing their organizations as collaborative partners with respect to research data services in the context of FAIR (findable, accessible, interoperable, and reusable) data principles an
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Mehbub Anwar, Ahm, Nourah Al-Hosain, and Yagyavalk Bhatt. Analyzing the Interplay of Urbanization, Economic Development, and Seaborne Trade A Case of Saudi Arabia. King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center, 2024. https://doi.org/10.30573/ks--2024-dp62.

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Urbanization is widely recognized as a critical factor influencing economic growth and global trade, yet there is ongoing debate about whether it drives these outcomes or is a consequence of them. To address this, it is essential to determine whether urbanization spurs economic development and trade, or if these processes influence urbanization, or if the relationship is one of mutual causality. This study investigates the interplay between urbanization, economic development, and trade in both the short and the long term. Using data from Saudi Arabia spanning from 1991 to 2022, the research em
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