Academic literature on the topic 'Monte Carlo sampling and estimation'

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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Monte Carlo sampling and estimation"

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Chen, Wen-shiang. "Bayesian estimation by sequential Monte Carlo sampling for nonlinear dynamic systems." Connect to this title online, 2004. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc%5Fnum=osu1086146309.

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Thesis (Ph. D.)--Ohio State University, 2004.<br>Title from first page of PDF file. Document formatted into pages; contains xiv, 117 p. : ill. (some col.). Advisors: Bhavik R. Bakshi and Prem K. Goel, Department of Chemical Engineering. Includes bibliographical references (p. 114-117).
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Gilabert, Navarro Joan Francesc. "Estimation of binding free energies with Monte Carlo atomistic simulations and enhanced sampling." Doctoral thesis, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/10803/669282.

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The advances in computing power have motivated the hope that computational methods can accelerate the pace of drug discovery pipelines. For this, fast, reliable and user-friendly tools are required. One of the fields that has gotten more attentions is the prediction of binding affinities. Two main problems have been identified for such methods: insufficient sampling and inaccurate models. This thesis is focused on tackling the first problem. To this end, we present the development of efficient methods for the estimation of protein-ligand binding free energies. We have developed a protocol tha
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Xu, Nuo. "A Monte Carlo Study of Single Imputation in Survey Sampling." Thesis, Örebro universitet, Handelshögskolan vid Örebro Universitet, 2013. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-30541.

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Missing values in sample survey can lead to biased estimation if not treated. Imputation was posted asa popular way to deal with missing values. In this paper, based on Särndal (1994, 2005)’s research, aMonte-Carlo simulation is conducted to study how the estimators work in different situations and howdifferent imputation methods work for different response distributions.
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Ptáček, Martin. "Spatial Function Estimation with Uncertain Sensor Locations." Master's thesis, Vysoké učení technické v Brně. Fakulta elektrotechniky a komunikačních technologií, 2021. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-449288.

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Tato práce se zabývá úlohou odhadování prostorové funkce z hlediska regrese pomocí Gaussovských procesů (GPR) za současné nejistoty tréninkových pozic (pozic senzorů). Nejdříve je zde popsána teorie v pozadí GPR metody pracující se známými tréninkovými pozicemi. Tato teorie je poté aplikována při odvození výrazů prediktivní distribuce GPR v testovací pozici při uvážení nejistoty tréninkových pozic. Kvůli absenci analytického řešení těchto výrazů byly výrazy aproximovány pomocí metody Monte Carlo. U odvozené metody bylo demonstrováno zlepšení kvality odhadu prostorové funkce oproti standardnímu
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Diop, Khadim. "Estimation de la fiabilité d'un palier fluide." Thesis, Angers, 2015. http://www.theses.fr/2015ANGE0029/document.

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Les travaux de recherche constituent une contribution au développement de la théorie de la fiabilité en mécanique des fluides. Pour la conception de machines et de systèmes mécatroniques complexes, de nombreux composants fluides, difficiles à dimensionner, sont utilisés. Ces derniers ont des caractéristiques intrinsèques statiques et dynamiques sensibles et ont donc une grande importance sur la fiabilité et la durée de vie de la plupart des machines et des systèmes.Le développement effectué se concentre spécialement sur l'évaluation de la fiabilité d’un palier fluide grâce à un couplage « méca
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Greer, Brandi A. Young Dean M. "Bayesian and pseudo-likelihood interval estimation for comparing two Poisson rate parameters using under-reported data." Waco, Tex. : Baylor University, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/2104/5283.

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Thajeel, Jawad. "Kriging-based Approaches for the Probabilistic Analysis of Strip Footings Resting on Spatially Varying Soils." Thesis, Nantes, 2017. http://www.theses.fr/2017NANT4111/document.

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L’analyse probabiliste des ouvrages géotechniques est généralement réalisée en utilisant la méthode de simulation de Monte Carlo. Cette méthode n’est pas adaptée pour le calcul des faibles probabilités de rupture rencontrées dans la pratique car elle devient très coûteuse dans ces cas en raison du grand nombre de simulations requises pour obtenir la probabilité de rupture. Dans cette thèse, nous avons développé trois méthodes probabilistes (appelées AK-MCS, AK-IS et AK-SS) basées sur une méthode d’apprentissage (Active learning) et combinant la technique de Krigeage et l’une des trois méthodes
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Wu, Yi-Fang. "Accuracy and variability of item parameter estimates from marginal maximum a posteriori estimation and Bayesian inference via Gibbs samplers." Diss., University of Iowa, 2015. https://ir.uiowa.edu/etd/5879.

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Item response theory (IRT) uses a family of statistical models for estimating stable characteristics of items and examinees and defining how these characteristics interact in describing item and test performance. With a focus on the three-parameter logistic IRT (Birnbaum, 1968; Lord, 1980) model, the current study examines the accuracy and variability of the item parameter estimates from the marginal maximum a posteriori estimation via an expectation-maximization algorithm (MMAP/EM) and the Markov chain Monte Carlo Gibbs sampling (MCMC/GS) approach. In the study, the various factors which have
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Argouarc, h. Elouan. "Contributions to posterior learning for likelihood-free Bayesian inference." Electronic Thesis or Diss., Institut polytechnique de Paris, 2024. http://www.theses.fr/2024IPPAS021.

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L'inférence bayésienne a posteriori est utilisée dans de nombreuses applications scientifiques et constitue une méthodologie répandue pour la prise de décision en situation d'incertitude. Elle permet aux praticiens de confronter les observations du monde réel à des modèles d'observation pertinents, et d'inférer en retour la distribution d'une variable explicative. Dans de nombreux domaines et applications pratiques, nous considérons des modèles d'observation complexes pour leur pertinence scientifique, mais au prix de densités de probabilité incalculables. En conséquence, à la fois la vraisemb
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Kastner, Gregor, and Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter. "Ancillarity-Sufficiency Interweaving Strategy (ASIS) for Boosting MCMC Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models." WU Vienna University of Economics and Business, 2013. http://epub.wu.ac.at/3771/1/paper.pdf.

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Bayesian inference for stochastic volatility models using MCMC methods highly depends on actual parameter values in terms of sampling efficiency. While draws from the posterior utilizing the standard centered parameterization break down when the volatility of volatility parameter in the latent state equation is small, non-centered versions of the model show deficiencies for highly persistent latent variable series. The novel approach of ancillarity-sufficiency interweaving has recently been shown to aid in overcoming these issues for a broad class of multilevel models. In this paper, we
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