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1
Paulus, Clinton. "The Drivers of Monthly IPO Volume." Scholarship @ Claremont, 2011. http://scholarship.claremont.edu/cmc_theses/244.
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This paper looks at the drivers of monthly IPO volume. Different factors have impacted IPO volume in successive time periods since 1960. By using monthly data, there are sufficient data points to draw conclusions about some of the main factors that have continuously had an effect on IPO volume, as well as some variables that have shifted in importance. This paper shows that trailing monthly S&P returns are a potential predictor of future IPO volume, and emphasizes the seasonal boost found at the end of the calendar year. *page numbers do not line up with removed copyright images.
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Wolf, Linden S. "Statistical forecasting of Florida monthly rainfall." Tallahassee, Florida : Florida State University, 2009. http://etd.lib.fsu.edu/theses/available/etd-08242009-163026/.
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Thesis (M.S.)--Florida State University, 2009.Advisor: Jon E. Ahlquist, Florida State University, College of Arts and Sciences, Dept. of Meteorology. Title and description from dissertation home page (viewed on May 11, 2010). Document formatted into pages; contains x, 42 pages. Includes bibliographical references.
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Van, Houten John S. "Forecasting aircraft mishaps using monthly maintenance reports." Thesis, Monterey, Calif. : Springfield, Va. : Naval Postgraduate School ; Available from National Technical Information Service, 1994. http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA286049.
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Lau, Wai-hin, and 劉偉憲. "Stochastic analysis of monthly rainfall in Hong Kong." Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 1991. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B31210387.
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Eglise, Matthew. "A monthly temperature series for Durham from 1784." Thesis, Durham University, 2003. http://etheses.dur.ac.uk/4044/.
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The geographer and climatologist Gordon Manley produced a monthly temperature reduction for Durham University Observatory from 1801 to extend the series back from the start of meteorological observations at the Observatory in the 1840s. He produced his extended series shortly before he died in 1980, and left it in a provisional state, with limited notes regarding his construction of the monthly means based on temperature observations from sites around the North East of England. Papers that Manley left have been examined to ascertain how he arrived at his reduction, and his methods have been fully documented and analysed. Errors in the derivation of his monthly means have been corrected, and methods that he used refined to improve their accuracy. New techniques for the reduction of means from archived data have been studied. A selection of these were implemented to improve the accuracy of the new series, and further temperature observations that Manley did not use in his version have been evaluated and introduced. Observations from South Cave, near Hull, from 1794, and from Brandsby, near York, from 1784, provide the extension of the record back from 1801. Substantial sets of monthly means from Braithwaite, near Keighley, and Jesmond, near Newcastle upon Tyne, in addition to shorter sets from other sites around the North East of England and the Borders, have been incorporated into the reduction from 1801 to improve the representativeness of Manley's series. The completed series, from January 1784, has been analysed and compared with other temperature series for the British Isles, and the potential for a daily version of the monthly series has been investigated, based upon the data sources currently available.
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Lau, Wai-hin. "Stochastic analysis of monthly rainfall in Hong Kong /." [Hong Kong : University of Hong Kong], 1991. http://sunzi.lib.hku.hk/hkuto/record.jsp?B13028315.
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Kucukbahar, Duygu. "Modeling Monthly Electricity Demand In Turkey For 1990-2006." Master's thesis, METU, 2008. http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12609318/index.pdf.
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Factors such as economical development, rapid increase in population and climate change increased electricity demand in Turkey as well as in other countries. Thus, using the correct methods to estimate short, medium and long term electricity demand forms a basis for the countries to develop their energy strategy. In this study, monthly electricity demand of Turkey is estimated. First, the effect of natural gas price and
consumption to electricity demand and elasticities are searched with a simple regression model. Although, natural gas is known as a substitute of electricity, natural
gas consumption and natural gas over electricity price ratio are found to be nearly inelastic. Second part includes two models and cointegration relation is investigated
in nonstationary industry production index, electricity consumption per capita and electricity prices series in the first one. An error correction model is then formed with
an additional average temperature variable and 12 months electricity demand is forecasted. In the second one, heating degree-days and cooling degree-days are used instead of the average temperature variable and a new error correction model is formed. The first model performs better than the second one, indicating the seasonality of electricity consumption during a year. The results of both models are
also compared with previous studies to investigate the effect of different weather variables.
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Bejarno, Mercedes Andrade. "Monthly average temperature modelling for Valle del Cauca (Colombia)." Thesis, University of Reading, 2009. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.515761.
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Wu, Shiying. "Trend analysis of monthly acid rain data - '80 -'86." Thesis, University of British Columbia, 1988. http://hdl.handle.net/2429/28357.
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Three-way median polish is used to model the monthly concentrations of three kinds of ions in precipitation, namely sulphate, nitrate and hydrogen ions. In contrast to previous findings that the wet acid deposition had decreased from late 70's to early 80's, the results suggest that there is a V-shaped trend for wet acid deposition during the period of 1980 -1986 with the change point around 1983. Strong seasonality is also discovered by the analysis. Nonparametric monotone trend tests are performed on the data collected from 1980 to 1986 and on the data collected from 1983 to 1986 separately. The results are consistent with the findings from the median polish approach. A nonparametric slope estimate of the trend is obtained for each monitoring station. Based on these estimates, the slope estimate is obtained by Kriging interpolation for each integer degree grid point of longitude and latitude across the 48 conterminous states in the United States.
Also, a geographical pattern in the data is suggested by hierarchical clustering and by median polishing.Science, Faculty of
Statistics, Department of
Graduate
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Van, Brabant John D. "A monthly squadron sortie scheduling model for improved combat readiness." Thesis, Monterey, Calif. : Springfield, Va. : Naval Postgraduate School ; Available from National Technical Information Service, 1993. http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA274985.
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Hill-O'Neill, Kathleen Anne, and Kathleen Anne Hill-O'Neill. "The Monthly Nursing Home Visit: Does Use of a Template Improve The Quality of the Visit?" Diss., The University of Arizona, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/10150/624559.
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As the baby boomer population continues to age, the number of older adults in the United States continues to rise as well, which has and will continue to result in an ongoing increase in the nursing home population. Challenges in nursing home care include assuring the provision of comprehensive quality care, person centered care, and continuity of care. This DNP project evaluated a comprehensive template for nurse practitioners to use when completing monthly nursing home visits that would help address these challenges. The purpose of this project was to evaluate nurse practitioner satisfaction regarding the effectiveness of the tool in assuring comprehensive, quality and patient centered care when completing monthly nursing home visits. This was accomplished via a descriptive analysis of 10 nurse practitioners providing care in nursing homes. A Likert scale questionnaire was used before and after the nurse practitioners used the tool for a period of two months. All 10 participants agreed or strongly agreed that they would recommend the tool for use by nurse practitioners when completing monthly nursing home visits. Seven of the participants agreed or strongly agreed that the tool helped improve overall quality of the visit. The results demonstrated that the monthly nursing home assessment tool was beneficial in improving the quality of the visits and that there are future implications for use of the tool by not only nurse practitioners who practice in this setting but also for nurse practitioner students and physicians.
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Kim, Tae-Kyung. "Dynamic analysis of sulfur dioxide monthly emissions in U.S. power plants." Columbus, Ohio : Ohio State University, 2004. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc%5Fnum=osu1086195964.
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Thesis (Ph. D.)--Ohio State University, 2004.Title from first page of PDF file. Document formatted into pages; contains xviii, 218 p.; also includes graphics. Includes abstract and vita. Advisor: Jean Michael Guldmann, City and Regional Planning Graduate Program. Includes bibliographical references (p. 130-133).
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FONSECA, FRANCISCO RALSTON. "FIRM ENERGY MONTHLY ALLOCATION OF SHPS IN SHP AND BIOMASS PORTFOLIOS." PONTIFÍCIA UNIVERSIDADE CATÓLICA DO RIO DE JANEIRO, 2009. http://www.maxwell.vrac.puc-rio.br/Busca_etds.php?strSecao=resultado&nrSeq=15891@1.
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COORDENAÇÃO DE APERFEIÇOAMENTO DO PESSOAL DE ENSINO SUPERIORCONSELHO NACIONAL DE DESENVOLVIMENTO CIENTÍFICO E TECNOLÓGICO
A busca por uma matriz limpa de geração de energia vem incentivando a expansão de fontes alternativas de geração de energia ao redor do mundo. No Brasil, Pequenas Centrais Hidroelétricas (PCHs) e Usinas a Biomassa de Cana de Açúcar (Biomassa) vêm se mostrando alternativas atraentes nos últimos anos. No entanto, ambas as tecnologias são caracterizadas por perfis de geração sazonais (mas complementares). Este fato gera riscos que por muitas vezes inviabilizam a comercialização de maneira individual da energia produzida por essas usinas. As PCHs, em particular, têm uma opção de mitigação de parte desse risco participando do Mecanismo de Realocação de Energia (MRE). O MRE traz às PCHs a flexibilidade de sazonalizar sua Garantia Física ao longo do ano, o que se mostra uma ferramenta adicional para mitigar o risco da sazonalidade da geração hidráulica no Brasil. Neste trabalho, será estudado como a combinação de PCHs e Biomassas em um mesmo portfólio pode trazer ganhos sinérgicos para os Geradores. Em particular, será estudado como essa combinação altera a estratégia de sazonalização da Garantia Física da PCH participante do MRE e como essa sazonalização diferenciada resulta em benefícios para os geradores. Para isto, será proposto um modelo de otimização estocástica utilizado para simular o processo decisório de como sazonalizar a Garantia Física de PCHs combinadas com Biomassas em uma proporção fixa ou no contexto de otimização de portfólios compostos por estes dois tipos de usinas. Serão apresentados estudos de caso mostrando diferentes estratégias de comercialização de energia por parte destes Geradores e como a decisão de sazonalização da Garantia Física da PCH se comporta em cada um desses casos.
The search for clean energy development has motivated the expansion of renewable sources of generation around the world. In Brazil, Small Hydro Plants (SHP) and Cogenaration from Sugarcane waste (Biomass) have proven themselves to be attractive alternatives during the last years. Nevertheless, both tecnologies have seazonal (yet complementary) availability. This fact results in financial risks that can make the commercialization of these plants energy individually too risky. SHPs have the option of mitigating their risk by joining the Energy Realocation Mecanism (ERM). The ERM, additionally, gives the SHPs the flexibility of allocate its firm energy in different manners along the year, which can be a valuable tool in mitigating the risks due to the seasonal availability of these plants. In this work, the combination of SHPs and Biomass in a single portfolio will be studied as a tool to mitigate the risks each plant faces individually. In particular, we will study the impact that this combination has over the decision process of SHPs on how to allocate their firm energy and how this different allocation can prove to be beneficial to both generators. In order to do so, a stochastic optimization model will be proposed to simulate the decision process of the SHPs on how to allocate its firm energy when combined in a portfolio with a Biomass in a fixed proportion or in the context of portfolio optimization. Case studies will be presented showing different strategies of commercialization by these generators and how the firm energy allocation decision by the SHP changes in each case.
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Kapangaziwiri, Evison. "Revised parameter estimation methods for the Pitman monthly rainfall-runoff model." Thesis, Rhodes University, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1006172.
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In recent years, increased demands have been placed on hydrologists to find the most effective methods of making predictions of hydrologic variables in ungauged basins. A huge part of the southern African region is ungauged and, in gauged basins, the extent to which observed flows represent natural flows is unknown, given unquantified upstream activities. The need to exploit water resources for social and economic development, considered in the light of water scarcity forecasts for the region, makes the reliable quantification of water resources a priority. Contemporary approaches to the problem of hydrological prediction in ungauged basins in the region have relied heavily on calibration against a limited gauged streamflow database and somewhat subjective parameter regionalizations using areas of assumed hydrological similarity. The reliance of these approaches on limited historical records, often of dubious quality, introduces uncertainty in water resources decisions. Thus, it is necessary to develop methods of estimating model parameters that are less reliant on calibration. This thesis addresses the question of whether physical basin properties and the role they play in runoff generation processes can be used directly in the estimation of parameter values of the Pitman monthly rainfall-runoff model. A physically-based approach to estimating the soil moisture accounting and runoff parameters of a conceptual, monthly time-step rainfall-runoff model is proposed. The study investigates the physical meaning of the model parameters, establishes linkages between parameter values and basin physical properties and develops relationships and equations for estimating the parameters taking into account the spatial and temporal scales used in typical model applications. The estimationmethods are then tested in selected gauged basins in southern Africa and the results of model simulations evaluated against historical observed flows. The results of 71 basins chosen from the southern African region suggest that it is possible to directly estimate hydrologically relevant parameters for the Pitman model from physical basin attributes. For South Africa, the statistical and visual fit of the simulations using the revised parameters were at least as good as the current regional sets, albeit the parameter sets being different. In the other countries where no regionalized parameter sets currently exist, simulations were equally good. The availability, within the southern African region, of the appropriate physical basin data and the disparities in the spatial scales and the levels of detail of the data currently available were identified as potential sources of uncertainty. GIS and remote sensing technologies and a widespread use of this revised approach are expected to facilitate access to these data.
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Clark, Logan Nicholas. "A New Monthly Pressure Dataset Poleward of 60°S since 1957." Ohio University Art and Sciences Honors Theses / OhioLINK, 2018. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=ouashonors1524761975172787.
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Sukheswalla, Zubin Rohinton. "A statistical model for estimating mean annual and mean monthly flows at ungaged locations." Texas A&M University, 2003. http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/192.
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Prediction of flow is necessary for planning and management of water resources. The objective of this study is to estimate mean annual flows for the USA and mean monthly flows for the rivers of central Texas based on the precipitation and their watershed characteristics. Flow varies largely with topographic and climatic parameters and hence generalization of runoff models is difficult. This model aims at providing a prediction at
ungaged locations with very few parameters that are easily available and measurable.
Scatter in predicted data will be seen at the annual and monthly time scale in the range selected for each data. This model will work on annual and monthly means to reduce the scatter and produce better estimates.
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Aider, Rabah. "Skill of monthly and seasonal forecasts using a Canadian general circulation model." Thesis, McGill University, 2009. http://digitool.Library.McGill.CA:80/R/?func=dbin-jump-full&object_id=32296.
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An analysis of the co-variability of surface air temperature and precipitation over North America and Pacific SST is conducted using an SVD analysis. The leading SVD mode revealed a strong link between November SST anomalies and winter surface air temperature (SAT) and precipitation anomalies. In summer this relationship is much weaker. In winter GCM3 captured well the Pacific SST forcing and its response, particularly on the SAT pattern, but its response is less accurate in the summer. The monthly and seasonal forecasts using GCM3 are also analyzed. Precipitation forecasts showed little skill, especially in the warm season where the SST forcing is weak. Furthermore, GCM3 has low seasonal predictive skill in forecasting drought events over the Canadian prairies. However, the model has generally good predictive skill for 500 hPa heights and SAT, with higher scores in the winter. The skill is concentrated in the first month of the prediction period and decreases as the lead time is extended to one month.Une analyse de la co-variabilité entre la température de l'air au sol (SAT) ainsi que les précipitations en Amérique du Nord et la température de l'océan Pacifique à la surface (SST), a été faite en utilisant la méthode SVD. Le mode dominant de la SVD a révélé une relation forte entre les anomalies de la SST du mois de novembre et celles de la SAT et des précipitations hivernales. Ce lien est beaucoup plus faible en été. Le modèle GCM3 reproduit assez bien la réponse au forçage de la SST, particulièrement sur les patrons de la SAT, mais sa réponse est beaucoup moins précise en été. Les prévisions mensuelles et saisonnières de GCM3 ont aussi été analysées. Les capacités de GCM3 à prévoir les précipitations sont faibles, surtout en été où le forçage de la SST est aussi faible. De plus, le modèle ne possède pas d'habiletés notables à prédire les sécheresses dans les prairies Canadiennes. Par contre, les capacités prévisionnelles du modèle concernant la SAT et le géopotentiel à 500 hPa sont généralement assez élevées, particulièrement en hivers. Les habiletés de GCM3 sont concentrées dans le premier mois de la période de prévision, puis déclinent lorsque le délai d'émission est prolongé.
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Swords, Scott H. "A monthly sortie scheduling model for improved EA-6B Prowler combat readiness." Thesis, Monterey, Calif. : Springfield, Va. : Naval Postgraduate School ; Available from National Technical Information Service, 1998. http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA344558.
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Thesis (M.S. in Operations Research) Naval Postgraduate School, March 1998.Thesis advisor(s): John F. Raffensperger. "March 1998." Includes bibliographical references (p. 59). Also available online.
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Javaid, Muhammad Athar [Verfasser], and Wolfgang [Akademischer Betreuer] Keller. "Data mining in GRACE monthly solutions / Muhammad Athar Javaid ; Betreuer: Wolfgang Keller." Stuttgart : Universitätsbibliothek der Universität Stuttgart, 2019. http://d-nb.info/1186063777/34.
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Kriegler, Benjamin Jacobus. "Probabilistic analysis of monthly peak factors in a regional water distribution system." Thesis, Stellenbosch : Stellenbosch University, 2013. http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/85738.
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Thesis (MScEng)--Stellenbosch University, 2013.ENGLISH ABSTRACT: The design of a water supply system relies on the knowledge of the water demands of its specific end-users. It is also important to understand the end-users’ temporal variation in water demand. Failure of the system to provide the required volume of water at the required flow-rate is deemed a system failure. The system therefore needs to be designed with sufficient capacity to ensure that it is able to supply the required volume of water during the highest demand periods. In practice, bulk water supply systems do not have to cater for the high frequency, short duration high peak demand scenarios of the end-user, such as the peak hour or peak day events, as the impact of events is reduced by the provision of water storage capacity at the off-take from the bulk supply system. However, for peak demand scenarios with durations longer than an hour or a day, depending on the situation, the provision of sufficient storage capacity to reduce the impact on the bulk water system, becomes impractical and could lead to potential water quality issues during low demand periods. It is, therefore, a requirement that bulk water systems be designed to be able to meet the peak weekly or peak month end-user demands. These peak demand scenarios usually occur only during a certain portion of the year, generally concentrated in a two to three month period during the drier months. Existing design guidelines usually follow a deterministic design approach, whereby a suitable DPF is applied to the average annual daily system demand in order to determine the expected peak demand on the system. This DPF does not account for the potential variability in end-user demand profiles, or the impact that end-storage has on the required peak design factor of the bulk system. This study investigated the temporal variations of end-user demand on two bulk water supply systems. These systems are located in the winter rainfall region of the Western Cape province of South Africa. The data analysed was the monthly measured consumption figures of different end-users supplied from the two systems. The data-sets extended over 14 years of data. Actual monthly peak factors were extracted from this data and used in deterministic and probabilistic methods to determine the expected monthly peak factor for both the end-user and the system design. The probabilistic method made use of a Monte Carlo analysis, whereby the actual recorded monthly peak factor for each end-user per bulk system was used as an input into discrete probability functions. The Monte Carlo analysis executed 1 500 000 iterations in order to produce probability distributions of the monthly peak factors for each system. The deterministic and probabilistic results were compared to the actual monthly peak factors as calculated from the existing water use data, as well as against current DPFs as published in guidelines used in the industry. The study demonstrated that the deterministic method would overstate the expected peak system demand and result in an oversized system. The probabilistic method yielded good results and compared well with the actual monthly peak factors. It is thus deemed an appropriate tool to use to determine the required DPF of a bulk water system for a chosen reliability of supply. The study also indicated the DPFs proposed by current guidelines to be too low. The study identified a potential relationship between the average demand of an end-user and the expected maximum monthly peak factor, whereas in current guidelines peak factors are not indicated as being influenced by the end-user average demand.
AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Die ontwerp van ‘n watervoorsiening stelsel berus op die kennis van die water aanvraag van sy spesifieke eindverbruikers. Dit is ook belangrik om ‘n begrip te hê van die tydelike variasie van die eindverbruiker se water-aanvraag. Indien die voorsieningstelsel nie in staat is om die benodigde volume water teen die verlangde vloeitempo te kan lewer nie, word dit beskou as ‘n faling. Die stelsel word dus ontwerp met voldoende kapasiteit wat dit sal in staat stel om die benodigde volume gedurende die hoogste aanvraag periodes te kan voorsien. In die praktyk hoef grootmaat water-voorsiening stelsels nie te voldoen aan spits watergebeurtenisse met hoë frekwensie en kort duurtes, soos piek-dag of piek-uur aanvraag nie, aangesien hierdie gebeurtenisse se impak op die grootmaat stelsel verminder word deur die voorsiening van wateropgaring fasiliteite by die aftap-punte vanaf die grootmaatstelsels. Nieteenstaande, vir piek-aanvraag gebeurtenisse met langer duurtes as ‘n uur of dag, raak die voorsiening van voldoende wateropgaring kapasiteit by die aftap-punt onprakties en kan dit selfs lei tot waterkwaliteits probleme. Dit is dus ‘n vereiste dat grootmaat watervoorsienings stelsels ontwerp moet word om die piek-week of piek-maand eindverbruiker aanvrae te kan voorsien. Hierdie piek-aanvraag gebeurtenisse vind algemeen in gekonsentreerde twee- of drie maand periodes tydens die droeër maande plaas. Bestaande ontwerpsriglyne volg gewoonlik ‘n deterministiese ontwerp benadering, deurdat ‘n voldoende ontwerp spits faktor toegepas word op die gemiddelde jaarlikse daaglikse stelsel aanvraag om sodoende te bepaal wat die verwagte spits aanvraag van die stelsel sal wees. Hierdie ontwerp spits faktor maak nie voorsiening vir die potensiële variasie in die eindverbruiker se aanvraag karakter of die impak van die beskikbare water-opgaring fasiliteit op die benodigde ontwerp spits faktor van die grootmaat-stelsel nie. Hierdie studie ondersoek die tydelike variasie van die eindverbruiker se aanvraag op twee grootmaat watervoorsiening stelsels. Die twee stelsels is geleë in die winter reënval streek van die Wes-Kaap provinsie van Suid-Afrika. Die data wat geanaliseer is was die maandelikse gemeterde verbruiksyfers van verskillende eindverbruikers voorsien deur die twee stelsels. Die datastelle het oor 14 jaar gestrek. Die ware maand piekfaktore is bereken vanaf die data en is in deterministiese en probabilistiese metodes gebruik om die verwagte eindverbruiker en stelsel ontwerp se maand spits-faktore te bereken. Die probabilistiese metode het gebruik gemaak van ‘n Monte Carlo analise metode, waardeur die ware gemeette maand spits-faktor vir elke eindverbruiker vir elke grootmaatstelsel gebruik is as invoer tot diskrete waarskynlikheids funksies. Die Monte Carlo analise het 1 500 000 iterasies voltooi om waarskynlikheids-verdelings van elke maand spitsfaktor vir elke stelsel te bereken. Die deterministiese en probabilistiese resultate is vergelyk met die ware maand spits faktore soos bereken vanuit die bestaande waterverbruik data, asook teen huidige gepubliseerde ontwerp spits-faktore, wat in die bedryf gebruik word. Die studie het aangetoon dat die deterministiese metode te konserwatief is en dat dit die verwagte piekaanvraag van die stelsel sal oorskat en dus sal lei tot ‘n oorgrootte stelsel. Die probabilistiese metode het goeie resultate opgelewer wat goed vergelyk met die ware maand piek-faktore. Dit word gereken as ‘n toepaslike metode om die benodigde ontwerp spits-faktor van ‘n grootmaat-watervoorsiening stelsel te bepaal vir ‘n gekose voorsieningsbetroubaarheid. Die studie het ook aangedui dat die ontwerps piek-faktore voorgestel deur die huidige riglyne te laag is en dat dit tot die falings van ‘n stelsel sal lei. Die studie het ‘n moontlike verwantskap tussen die gemiddelde daaglikse wateraanvraag van die eindverbruiker en die verwagte maksimum maand spits faktor geïdentifiseer, nademaal die piek-faktore soos voorgestel deur die huidige riglyne nie beïnvloed word deur die eindverbruiker se gemiddelde verbruik nie.
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Drews, Lori Ann. "Trends in failure to appear rates at a monthly foot-care clinic." Pullman, Wash. : Washington State University, 2009. http://www.dissertations.wsu.edu/Thesis/Spring2009/l_drews_041309.pdf.
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Kim, Young-Oh. "The value of monthly and seasonal forecasts in Bayesian stochastic dynamic programming /." Thesis, Connect to this title online; UW restricted, 1996. http://hdl.handle.net/1773/10142.
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Dorsey, Angela. "Using Monthly Support Groups to Increase Resilience and Decrease New Nurse Turnover." Mount St. Joseph University Dept. of Nursing / OhioLINK, 2021. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=msjdn1619196976870881.
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Alali, Ali. "Application of Support Vector Machine in Predicting the Market's Monthly Trend Direction." PDXScholar, 2013. https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/open_access_etds/1496.
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In this work, we investigate different techniques to predict the monthly trend direction of the S&P 500 market index. The techniques use a machine learning classifier with technical and macroeconomic indicators as input features. The Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifier was explored in-depth in order to optimize the performance using four different kernels; Linear, Radial Basis Function (RBF), Polynomial, and Quadratic. A result found was the performance of the classifier can be optimized by reducing the number of macroeconomic features needed by 30% using Sequential Feature Selection. Further performance enhancement was achieved by optimizing the RBF kernel and SVM parameters through gridsearch. This resulted in final classification accuracy rates of 62% using technical features alone with gridsearch and 60.4% using macroeconomic features alone using Rankfeatures
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Kritharas, Petros. "Developing a SARIMAX model for monthly wind speed forecasting in the UK." Thesis, Loughborough University, 2014. https://dspace.lboro.ac.uk/2134/16350.
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Wind is a fluctuating source of energy and, therefore, it can cause several technical impacts. These can be tackled by forecasting wind speed and thus wind power. The introduction of several statistical models in this field of research has brought to light promising results for improving wind speed predictions. However, there is not converging evidence on which is the optimal method. Over the last three decades, significant research has been carried out in the field of short-term forecasting using statistical models though less work focuses on longer timescales. The first part of this work concentrated on long-term wind speed variability over the UK. Two subsets have been used for assessing the variability of wind speed in the UK on both temporal and spatial coverage over a period representative of the expected lifespan of a wind farm. Two wind indices are presented with a calculated standard deviation of 4% . This value reveals that such changes in the average UK wind power capacity factor is equal to 7%. A parallel line of the research reported herein aimed to develop a novel statistical forecasting model for generating monthly mean wind speed predictions. It utilised long-term historic wind speed records from surface stations as well as reanalysis data. The methodology employed a SARIMAX model that incorporated monthly autocorrelation of wind speed and seasonality, and also included exogenous inputs. Four different cases were examined, each of which incorporated different independent variables. The results disclosed a strong association between the independent variables and wind speed showing correlations up to 0.72. Depending on each case, this relationship occurred from 4- up to 12-month lags. The inter comparison revealed an improvement in the forecasting accuracy of the proposed model compared to a similar model that did not take into account exogenous variables. This finding demonstrates the indisputable potential of using a SARIMAX for long-term wind speed forecasting.
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Smith, Melissa Ann. "A TEI Transcription of Conversations with Lord Byron." Thesis, Virginia Tech, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/10919/33006.
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This project accompanies a TEI transcription of Lady Blessingtonâ s Conversations with Lord Byron, currently available on the Life and Times of Lord Byron online archive. Although often cited in biographies of Lord Byron, Lady Blessingtonâ s Conversations of Lord Byron has received little critical attention. Further, the genre of Blessingtonâ s work, the conversation as a biographical form, suffers the same dearth of critical material.
My aims, then, are to 1) present a brief history of the conversation as biographical form; 2) examine the publication history of the Conversations and underscore the social dimensions of its publication; and 3) evaluate Blessingtonâ s rhetorical strategies in the Conversations and to argue that Blessingtonâ s work is superior to two other accounts of Byron (by James Kennedy and Thomas Medwin) in terms of its psychological depth.Master of Arts
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Bayindirli, Cansu. "Monthly Changes In The Abundance And Biomass Of Picoplankton (heterotrophic Bacteria &." Master's thesis, METU, 2007. http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/3/12608190/index.pdf.
Full textAbstract:
Within the content of this thesis, it was aimed to understand the changes in the biomass and abundance of heterotrophic bacteria and marine cyanobacteria Synechococcus in time with respect to multitude of ambient physical, chemical and biological factors. For this, monthly samples from discrete depths in the offshore (0-20-40-60-80-100-125-150-175-200 m) and in the near shore (surface and 10 m) stations over a period of one year in the Cilician Basin (eastern Mediterranean) were collected via rosette sampler. Epifluorescent microscope and the image analysis system were used to estimate abundance and biomass of both groups.
Coastal station was more abundant and had much higher bacterial (heterotrophic bacteria) and cyanobacterial (Synechococcus) biomass than the offshore station as it receives substantial amount of freshwater from the nearby Lamas River throughout the year. The surface annual averages for bacterial and cyanobacterial abundance and biomass were 9600000 cells/ml - 56.5 microgram C/l and 400000 cells/ml - 24.1 microgram C/l, respectively, at the coastal station. The surface annual averages for bacterial and cyanobacterial abundance and biomass were 8100000 cells/ml &ndash49.1 microgram C/l and 210000 cells/ml &ndash
10.6 microgram C/l, respectively, at the offshore station. Bacterial population always found to exceed Synechococcus abundance within the water column. In general, bacterial and cyanobacterial abundance and biomass tend to decrease with depth. On a seasonal basis, bacterial population was found excessively dominant at the surface or near-surface waters during the second half of the year. Synechococcus were also found more abundant during late summer and autumn. Temperature and nitrate concentration seemed to affect efficiently the abundance of both populations in the area. Based on Spearman Rank Correlation analysis, highly significant correlations between bacterial abundance as well as biomass and ambient temperature were observed at both stations. However, a significant correlation was found between Synechococcus and temperature only at the offshore station. Significant negative correlations are found between nitrate and bacterial abundance and biomass at both stations and between Synechococcus abundance and biomass only at the offshore station. At the offshore station, salinity was also found to be positively correlated with the bacterial and cyanobacterial abundance and biomass.
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Kuo, Feng-Yu. "Monthly mean time series of temperature and salinity in Monterey Bay, 1951-1991." Thesis, Monterey, Calif. : Naval Postgraduate School, 1991. http://catalog.hathitrust.org/api/volumes/oclc/52789577.html.
Full text
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Chen, Ming-Yu, and 陳明裕. "Study of Taiwan Hakka Identity Based on “Hakka Affair Monthly” and “Hakka Monthly” Magazines." Thesis, 2011. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/70066330563198698013.
Full textAbstract:
碩士國立中央大學
客家社會文化研究所
99
For discussion of Hakka people, the Hakka people are often seen as invisible group and blurred than other ethnic groups. Hakka people responding to a gradual loss of Hakka identity, gather everyone’s power to establish “Hakka Affair Monthly” in 1987. The research regard "Hakka Affair Monthly" and "Hakka Monthly" as research objects. The subjects are mainly divided into five categories: region, blood, culture, politics and social. Statistics are complied by quantified calculation, percentage, sort and comparison. Research approach is based on content analysis because the content of magazine can deliver the social message. According to "Hakka Affair Monthly" and "Hakka Monthly". We can see the progress of language and culture inheritance, Hakka identity cohesion, Hakka people''s political ideas and Hakka community in the process of social movement. The findings of this study, Taiwan Hakka identity formation for the degree of attention. "Culture" category have the highest proportion. The sub-category of "Culture", Such as: language, culture creativity, are all "Hakka Affair Monthly" and "Hakka Monthly" issues of concern. Minor topics concerned for "region" category. Hakka people in Taiwan can find unique time and space, political and economic background, gradually produce the Taiwan Hakka culture and identity that rather different from the homeland. The most proportion in the sub category are Taiwan, policy and cultural creativity that "Hakka Affair Magazine" and "Hakka Magazine" presents the formation of Taiwan Hakka identity over the years.
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Sung, Ying Chih, and 宋盈緻. "Monthly Effect of Carbon Futures." Thesis, 2013. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/55618075039857996235.
Full textAbstract:
碩士長庚大學
工商管理學系
101
With the Kyoto Protocol entered into force in 2005 years, the Protocol of Member States have been involved in efforts to achieve the emission reduction requirements. The most active entity is European Union, and it established the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (European Union greenhouse gas emission trading scheme, EU ETS). This system is only one mandatory carbon market in the world, and over the 80 percent of the world's carbon credits are trading in this market. In the EU ETS, futures trading is main trading type. This thesis aims to study the monthly effect of carbon future trading in EU ETS. The data including carbon future trading from 2005/4 to 2011/4. In this study that carbon futures have monthly effect in the January, February, June, July, October, November and December. According to EU ETS rule, the banking of allowances for the next year is not allowed. So in the end of year, there exists monthly effect.
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Sivek, Susan Currie 1980. "Constructing Texan identity at Texas monthly magazine." 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/2152/17783.
Full textAbstract:
Today's media are a significant force in aiding individuals in constructing an understanding of their own identities and their place within the world. Therefore, closer attention should be paid to the processes by which media themselves construct those identities and make them available to audiences. This case study explores the means by which Texas Monthly magazine constructs a sense of Texan identity. Employing a media sociology perspective, the study combines three research techniques: content analysis, indepth interviews, and textual analysis. The magazine includes primarily white and wealthy individuals in its version of Texan identity, suggesting that this identity is narrowly applicable, despite the actual diversity of the state. The magazine's content does little to define, deepen, or critique that geographic identity. Furthermore, it seems difficult for the Texas Monthly staff to explain exactly the notion of Texan identity that provides a foundation for the magazine's composition, and advertisers appear to be little concerned with this concept. An examination of the magazine's coverage of President George W. Bush additionally reveals the indistinct and somewhat arbitrary nature of Texan identity within Texas Monthly, as Bush's geographic identity alters in accordance with his political status. Overall, the magazine's image of Texan identity is largely positive yet insubstantial, a surprising finding given its claim to be the "national magazine of Texas." This construction of Texan identity suggests and supports the magazine's need to preserve a positive and commercially appealing image of Texas, both for its readers and for its financial success. In constructing the magazine, then, its staff must weigh this need against the goal of journalism to provide wide-ranging and critical perspectives for audiences. The roles of both consumerism and citizenship in today's media world are clearly demonstrated in the unique position of Texas Monthly as a journalistic producttext
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Chen, Kang-Hung, and 陳康宏. "Study of postwar(1945) Taiwan Hakka movementBased on "Hakka Affair Monthly" and "Hakka Monthly" Magazines." Thesis, 2009. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/03459562316000612071.
Full textAbstract:
碩士臺灣大學
國家發展研究所
98
Hakka people started to move to Taiwan since the Ming and Chin Dynasty, however, restricted by the relevant prohibition law, the time of moving is later and he numbers is fewer compared with the Fuzhou people, who reside the most part of plains, enhanced by the issue of weapon fight, the Hakkas are forced to move to mountain area or other region for development. In the terms of political and economic performance, Hakka people are somewhat inferior to the Fuzhou people, the gradually decreasing confidence made them become almost invisible in urban area, and the mother language was about to fade away eventually; the Hakka people suffer various difficulties for living. Following the lift of the martial law, the development of Taiwan society became more diversified, the Hakka Heroic Magazine was founded at the time, recognizing the changes and tendency of society, the Hakka intellectuals organized the first rally “Restore our Mother Tongue”, the Taiwan Hakka movement therefore launched ever since. This study intends to analyze all the articles and writings in the 245 issues totally of Hakka Heroic Magazine and Hakka Monthly through content analysis. The author learned from the research that Hakka Heroic Magazine is more political and mainly publishes critical writings about social movements, while Hakka Monthly emphasizes the history and folk culture, values less social movements, after the establishment of Council for Hakka Affairs, Executive Yuan, Hakka movements and critical activities decrease progressively. In the Hakka movements, Hakka Heroic Magazine plays the role as pioneer, frontier, and founder, provides the function of a locomotive, for agitating movements and enhancing conscious of Hakka importance in Taiwan, as well as launching the rally “Restore our Mother Tongue”. Continuing the spirit of Hakka Heroic Magazine, Hakka Monthly cooperates with Taiwan Hakka Association for Public Affairs and Hakka Radio, in order to progress Hakka movement and invite elite authors with Hakka knowledge to record the process of Hakka movement, for enriching the knowledge center of Hakka movement as well offering the future directions of strategy.
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TU, SHIN-MIN, and ?馨閔. "A Study of 《Global Kids Monthly》." Thesis, 2017. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/zr4fgj.
Full textAbstract:
碩士國立臺東大學
兒文所
105
Global Kids Monthly is a magazine for children aged 9–14 years, the first issue of which was published in 2011 by the Commonwealth Publishing Group. Compared with existing magazines for young people, Global Kids Monthly stands out because of its brightly colored cover and layout. Research on magazines for children, especially those still in print, is scarce in Taiwanese academia, which is a disappointing omission. After reading magazines for a long period, the researcher became deeply interested in magazines and was particularly attracted by Global Kids Monthly, which was selected as the topic of this study. The goal of this study was to identify how Taiwanese youth magazines present their articles and other content. Chapter 2 introduces the background of Global Kids Monthly, a children’s magazine published in Taiwan, based on its current and back issues and analyzes materials pertaining to the magazine’s editors and founding philosophy. Chapter 3 discusses the selection of article topics for its primary columns: Editor’s Letter, Cover Story, and Special Feature. Chapter 4 examines its secondary columns: Creative Series, Feature Article, and Expert Lecture. Chapter 5 determines the features and style of the magazine on the basis of its content and Editorial philosophy. Finally, Chapter 6 offers a conclusion and suggestions, derived from an analysis of these columns, concerning the magazine’s status and challenges to progress. Because of the emphasis on academic competence among Taiwanese children, Global Kids Monthly tends to be geared towards offering supplementary materials for textbooks; this limits it from providing content with distinct Taiwanese features in today’s era of globalization.
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Kuo, Pao-Chien, and 郭寶謙. "The Analysis of DRAM Monthly Price Trend." Thesis, 2006. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/83960123199958311390.
Full textAbstract:
碩士國立中央大學
資訊管理學系碩士在職專班
94
DRAM plays a central role in the electronics industry due to its wide spread applications in various products like PC, mobile phone, optical disk drive, digital camera, printer, digital TV, etc. For the past two decades, prices of IC chips are subjected to the inevitable descending trend following the principle of Moore’s Law. However, DRAM differs from general ICs with its severe short-term price volatility due to various reasons. As a result, predicting the price of DRAM chips becomes an important problem in the industry. This study attempts to statistically explain the variability of the DRAM prices through a series of stepwise multiple regression analysis. Multiple data items were collected on a monthly basis. These primarily include DRAM prices (both spot and contract), supply and demand volumes. To make a better prediction, analysis are conducted for various types of DRAM, namely DDR, DDRII and SDRAM. Global DRAM supply/demand were taken into account to quantify the underlying forces behind the price fluctuations. Our study shows a close tie between DRAM price fluctuation with sufficiency, which is defined as the difference between supply and demand, which is reflected in the market as glut or shortage. This association is especially obvious in the cases of DDR and DDR2, which are highly reliance on the PC industry. In addition, results also reveals that the monthly changes in DRAM price is also highly related to the sufficiency construct. Keywords: DRAM, DDR, DDR2, SDRAM, Spot price, contract price, supply, demand, sufficiency stepwise multiple regression analysis
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Kuo, Jenny, and 郭玲珍. "The Information Content of Monthly Revenue Anouncement." Thesis, 1996. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/19218036764654653063.
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Tennant, Warren James. "A monthly forecast strategy for Southern Africa." Thesis, 1998. https://hdl.handle.net/10539/26794.
Full textAbstract:
Dissertation submitted to the Faculty of Science,
University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
for the Degree of Master of ScienceVarious techniques and procedures suited to monthly forecasting are investigated and tested. These include using the products generated by atmospheric general circulation models during a 17-year hindcast experiment, and downscaling the forecast circulation to regional rainfall in South Africa using circulation indices and canonical correlation analysis. The downscaling methods are evaluated using the cross-validation technique. Various model forecast bias-correction methods and skill-enhancing ensemble techniques are employed to improve the 30-day prognosis of the model. Forecasts from the general circulation model and each technique are evaluated. Those demonstrating reasonable skill over the southern Africa region, and which are feasible when considering available resources, are adopted into a strategy which can be used operationally to produce monthly outlooks. Various practical issues regarding the operational aspects of long-term forecasting are also discussed.
Andrew Chakane 2019
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Hong, Chen，Chien, and 陳倩虹. "Monthly Assimilative Capacity Analysis of Wu-Chi." Thesis, 1994. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/66373420122232063628.
Full textAbstract:
碩士逢甲大學
土木及水利工程研究所
82
According to The Water Pollution Control Act prescribe the design flow of stream-water quality standard is 75﹪of flow- duration curve. Thus to assess the stream assimilative capacity usually uses design flow Q75 when plan water pollution control alternat.Practically the flow is different with monthly and the assimilative capacity too. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to estimate assimi- lative capacity of Wu-Chi by comparing years'' with monthly. From site investigation it shows that monthly assimilative capacity of Wu-Chi more than the years'' except February and March. All of year the assimilative capacities of Wu-Chi not yet uses have 26,629,670 kg/year(72,958kg/day). The concentrations of waste water have to abate 71﹪ waste load in low-flow、55﹪in high-flow and only 34﹪in June. Therefore the waste water needed secondary treatment in low-flow, and only needed primary waste water treatment in high-flow. The annual operating costs will reduction if the levels of waste water treatment changed with seasonal. This result offers a decision maker to identify and select a preferred course of action among several feasible alternatives.
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Lo, Kuei-Hsiang, and 羅桂香. "The Monthly Effect in BRICs Stock Markets." Thesis, 2007. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/29019563528334903760.
Full textAbstract:
碩士國立高雄第一科技大學
金融營運所
95
Since Goldman Sachs Financial Workbench published a global economics paper no. 99, which title was “Dreaming with BRICs: The Path to 2050” in October 2003, the whole global investors have kept an eye on BRICs and other emerging markets. Although there are many researches about prediction of stock index and the trend in BRICs, only few academic papers regarding its seasonal anomalies can be found. The purpose of this thesis is to investigate if the three monthly effects exist in BRICs stock markets. By using the hypothesis of the three monthly effects, we took each well-known stock index in BRICs to examine the anomalies. The study period was from January 1997 to December 2006 and each close price of trading days was selected from Datastream. The empirical results indicate that the turn-of-the-month effect exists in BRICs, the half-month effect exists in Russia and India and the third month effect exists in Brazil and India.
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Chien, Hsueh-Fang, and 簡雪芳. "THE INFORMATION CONTENT OF MONTHLY SALES ANNOUNCEMENTS." Thesis, 1998. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/25570186877860643156.
Full textAbstract:
博士國立臺灣大學
商學研究所
86
The Security Exchange Act requires the public companies announce the sales of the previous month before the 10th the current month. It provides a more timely accounting information for the investors. The monthly announce- ment of sales numbers could be one of the reasons why prior researches on the information content of earning announcements found no significant results. Specifically, the following conditions should be of concern when researchers try to explain the insignificant empirical evidence: 1. The monthly sales announcement contains information content. There- fore the earnings announcement release only little incremental infor- mation. 2. The investors should have utilized the more timely information to forecast the earning. Yet, the earnings forecast models used by re- searches did not consider the monthly sales information. It would create a measurement errors on the unexpected earnings and consequent- ly, result in a downward bias on the estimate of earning response coefficients. In order to provide for further evidence on the related issues, the ob- jectives of this thesis are: 1. to examine the information content of unexpec- ted sales; 2. to control for the measurement error of unexpected sales; 3. to estimate the relationship of sales response coefficients and persistence of unexpected sales; 4. to study the dynamic relation between stock prices and monthly sales; 5. to compare the forecasting ability of modified earning fore- casting model with that of the traditional models. The results are as follow: 1. Sales response coefficient is positive and significant. Furthermore, the SRC of good news samples is significantly smaller than that of bad news samples. 2. To control for the measurement error of unexpected sales, the observa- tions are grouped based on the CAR values. The grouped SRC is signi- ficantly larger than the before-grouping SRC. 3. Based on the grouped observation, the SRC for persistent unexpected sales is significantly larger than the SRC for non-persistent unex- pected sales. If the sales process follows AR model, the correlation coefficient for sales response coefficient and persistence response coefficient is positive. 4. To explore the dynamic relation of stock price and sales, I establish VARMA models for fabric industry, plastic industry, and electron in- dustry separately. The result shows that sales numbers affect stock prices, but not vise versa. It also implies the sales announcements have information content. 5. The forecasting ability of the modified earnings forecast model is better than the traditional models when forecasting gross profits and earnings from operations. Using mean square error to measure fore- casting ability, the modified earning forecast model is better on forecasting net incomes before income taxes. Under the mean absolute percentage error measure and comparing the performance on forecasting net incomes before income taxes, the modified earning forecast model is better than one of the traditional models and worse than the other traditional model. To sum up, this thesis shows that the monthly sales announcements contain information content and the modified earning forecast model using monthly sales information is better than traditional models. These results could help researchers in explaining the insignificant empirical evidences on the infor- mation content of the earnings announcements reported by prior studies.
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Wu, Yu-ling, and 吳郁聆. "Investor Sentiment and Voluntarily Disclose Companies’ Monthly Earnings." Thesis, 2012. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/79374862583137278490.
Full textAbstract:
碩士國立中央大學
企業管理研究所
100
This study investigates the relation between investor sentiment and voluntarily disclose companies’ monthly earnings. While prior research suggests that investor sentiment influences various corporate financing and investment activities, limited empirical evidence exists on the influence of investor sentiment on firms’ disclosure. We extend this research by examining the relation between investor sentiment and in Taiwan voluntarily disclose companies’ monthly earnings. Using logit analysis, we find that managers’ propensity to disclose companies’ monthly earnings increases with the level of investor sentiment and in particular, the propensity to disclose more prominently monthly earnings to public. During high-sentiment periods, managers tend to disclose companies’ monthly earnings, and disclose more prominently monthly earnings. In contrast, during the low-period, managers tend not to disclose companies’ monthly earnings.
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Jhuang, Ji-Fang, and 莊繼方. "Voluntarily Disclose Companies’ Monthly Earnings and Earnings Timeliness." Thesis, 2013. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/96196426736449972444.
Full textAbstract:
碩士國立中央大學
企業管理學系
101
This study investigates the relation between voluntarily disclose companies’ monthly earnings and earnings timeliness. Further testing month earnings disclosure frequency affect earnings timeliness. The relationship between earnings and stock price have been many scholars discussed problems, in the past studies have confirmed that earnings has company's price information content. Therefore, this study uses the Taiwan Economic Journal (TEJ) database, reference Basu (1997) model, using the earnings and stock price reverse regression testing the relation between voluntarily disclose companies’ monthly earnings and earnings timeliness. Empirical results show that voluntarily disclose companies’ monthly earnings and earnings timeliness have positive correlation. when the company disclosed month earnings information, the speed of response bad news was faster. This study discusses the relation between month earnings disclosure frequency and earnings timeliness. The results show the Disclosure month earnings more frequently, will be more quickly response the bad news.
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Hsu, Wen-chi, and 許汶琪. "Research On Chen Xiao Tan’s ” Chinese Opera Monthly”." Thesis, 2014. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/h629cx.
Full textAbstract:
碩士國立中央大學
中國文學系
102
“Chinese Opera Monthly” was published by Mr. Chen Xiao Tan alone from 1977 to 1990 when was the transition of Taiwan society and Peking Chinese opera. “Chinese Opera Monthly” was the witness of that period and the articles gazetted included diversified contents and opinions. On the process of the transition of Peking Chinese opera, contributors of articles kept revising and reviewing their own opinions. However, “Peking Opera is a profound art” is the unquestionable and unchangeable prerequisite. Under the prerequisite, “Chinese Opera Monthly” always took a conservative attitude to respond the reforms in the stage of transition. “Chinese Opera Monthly” can be classified to “discussion of Peking Opera arts”、“reports of Peking opera activity”、“comments of Peking opera performances ” and “comments of Peking opera environmental”. Articles gazetted in “Discussion of Peking Opera Arts” recorded the most glorious period of Peking Opera. The elegant figures of those famous actors were stayed with fans who flied overseas to Taiwan. Therefore, the pith and marrow of the “Peking Opera” should be brought up to be a benchmark in response to the decline of the “Peking Opera” and to be followed by contemporary actors, opera lists and firm critics. Though the attitude was slacked off toward the innovation of Peking Opera, “Chinese Opera Monthly” was still a conservative and uncompromising magazine. That’s why the audiences of “Chinese Opera Monthly” and its affections toward “Peking Opera” were still limited.Mr. Xiao Tan Chen dedicated himself to Peking Opera for nothing but love, which remained a trace of simple in the cruel industrial society.
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KU, YUN-HSUAN, and 古芸瑄. "Taiwanese Tea Industry and Culture in RHYTHMS MONTHLY." Thesis, 2018. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/vedj5q.
Full textAbstract:
碩士慈濟大學
東方語文學系碩士班
106
The " RHYTHMS MONTHLY " was issued by the Tzu Chi Communication Humanities Foundation, which was founded on August 1,1998. The number of issues has exceeded 200. The coverage of the report is very broad. With a respectful attitude and an objective perspective, the topics in each topic are carefully explained and analyzed, so that readers can have more awareness and reflection on these issues. Explore the related issues of "tea" from different perspectives, visit the tea area on the spot, explore the history, production, grading and marketing of tea from a variety of perspectives, present a colorful tea culture, and pursue the past and present conditions of Taiwanese tea. With the future, from the perspective of humanistic care, lead readers to think about these issues from an objective perspective. Culture is omnipresent.it is able to form a socialization that is derived from the social norms of human beings. In order to supplement the inherent insufficiency of instinct, strengthening education has passed on this mode of life and social norms. Therefore, culture can be said to be a powerful system. Cultural studies is a cross-disciplinary study that covers a wide range of fields, from general subjects to journalism, drama, music, as part of cultural studies. The disciplines that are generally identified as closely related to cultural studies are literature, sociology, psychology, which span almost all humanities and social disciplines. Cultural phenomenon refers to the external state and connection presented in the process of human culture development. It has the characteristics of individuality, specificity, direct observation and experience. This thesis is mainly based on the related reports of Taiwanese tea in the topic of "茶域經緯" in the "RHYTHMS MONTHLY". After the 200th issue of "茶知錄", the related reports of Taiwanese tea are supplemented by cultural research methods. Cultural phenomenon in the report.
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HSU, YUAN-CI, and 許淵棋. "Types of Unexpected Monthly Revenue and Announcement Dates." Thesis, 2019. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/6nucgv.
Full textAbstract:
碩士國立臺北大學
會計學系
107
The required announcements of monthly revenue has been improvised in Taiwan for over 20 years. Such information is of significant importance among Taiwanese investors, which is supported by prior relevant research. However, as the preparation and declaration of monthly revenue is the responsibility of the company, this research will explore whether or not there will be the occurrence of "concealing faults and praising" when the company's management level receives the monthly revenue report. This research is based on the monthly revenue of the company and the actual date of announcement from 2013 to 2017. This study finds that the results support the argument of the research, meaning that when the company's management level receives a report on the monthly revenue, they may decide on the timing of the announcement of the monthly revenue using the revenue growth rate YoY as a reference.
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"Benchmarking for multiplicative model with monthly-annual data." 2010. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5894487.
Full textAbstract:
Ma, Chung Ho.Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2010.
Includes bibliographical references (leaves 56-57).
Abstracts in English and Chinese.
Chapter 1 --- Introduction --- p.1
Chapter 1.1 --- Additive model --- p.3
Chapter 1.2 --- Multiplicative model --- p.4
Chapter 2 --- Review of benchmarking methods --- p.7
Chapter 2.1 --- Regression Method and Signal Extraction Method (Additive Case) --- p.7
Chapter 2.1.1 --- Regression method for Additive model --- p.8
Chapter 2.1.2 --- Signal extraction method with known auto-covariance of signal for Additive model --- p.9
Chapter 2.1.3 --- Signal extraction method with unknown auto-covariance of signal for Additive model --- p.10
Chapter 2.2 --- Regression Method and Signal Extraction Method (Multiplicative Case) --- p.15
Chapter 2.2.1 --- Regression method for Multiplicative model --- p.15
Chapter 2.2.2 --- Signal extraction method for Multiplicative model --- p.17
Chapter 3 --- Benchmarking using an assigned error model --- p.21
Chapter 3.1 --- Model setting --- p.22
Chapter 3.2 --- Simulation procedures --- p.24
Chapter 3.3 --- Simulation results --- p.26
Chapter 3.3.1 --- Comparison of benchmarking methods for multiplicative model --- p.34
Chapter 3.3.2 --- Suggestions on the selection of an assigned error model --- p.39
Chapter 3.4 --- Summary on the effects of CV and Φ --- p.44
Chapter 4 --- Error modelling by using benchmarks --- p.47
Chapter 4.1 --- Benchmark Forecasting Method --- p.47
Chapter 4.2 --- Benchmarking using an estimated error model --- p.49
Chapter 4.3 --- Comparison of the best Φ and the estimated Φ on the benchmarking prediction --- p.53
Chapter 5 --- Conclusion --- p.54
Bibliography --- p.56
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Shen, Chin-Wei, and 沈勤瑋. "Impact of Monthly Revenue Announcement to Investment Strategy." Thesis, 2015. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/09899134422974426873.
Full textAbstract:
碩士國立臺灣大學
國際企業學研究所
103
To let investors acquire more instant accounting information, the 36th regulation of the Security Exchange Act requires listed companies announce their revenue of last month before 10th day of current month. Since monthly revenue announcement is a unique regulation in our country, many researchers tried to find out whether the data coming from such rule contains useful information for investors. However, some of those researches were not capable of reaching enough samples, or others were not available to acquire the practical date of revenue announcement. Although most researchers agree that monthly revenue announcement contains information value for investor, such conclusions were rejected by statistic results since these results could not pass significant test. This study pays an effort on resolving research limitations mentioned in last paragraph. By using physical date of monthly revenue announcement, which containes 18,782 monthly revenue data in the period of 2013 and 2014, this study tested the information value of monthly revenue announcement. The results of physical analysis discover that the return of investment is positively response to information disclosed by monthly revenue announcement, which means monthly revenue announcement actually affect investment decision. Furthermore, if monthly revenue announcements reflect bad news, investor could have more intense response then those announcements reflect good news. In the mean time, this study discovered that investors pay more attention in sustainable information. Investors would response heavier when sustainable good news occurred, and would response lighter when unsustainable good news occurred.
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XIAO, HONG-ZHI, and 蕭宏志. "A comparison between annual and monthly assimilative capacity." Thesis, 1993. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/92721142816714670467.
Full text
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HUANG, PIN-YU, and 黃品諭. "Informed warrants trading prior to monthly sales announcements." Thesis, 2019. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/2s3b92.
Full textAbstract:
碩士東海大學
財務金融學系
107
According to regulations of Taiwan Stock Exchange, listed companies are required to announce monthly sales each month. These monthly sales announcements usually have apparent impacts on stock prices, because monthly sales are hard to be predicted. To exploit private information concerning future change in stock prices, informed traders buy put warrants and/or sell call warrants prior to the announcement of bad news, implying that a broadening implied volatility (IV) skew usually accompanies drop in future stock prices. This research thus explores whether IV skew of warrants has predictive power for stock returns around monthly sales announcements and investigates the information content of warrant trading accordingly. The empirical evidence shows that a negative relation between pre-announcement abnormal IV skew and cumulative abnormal stock returns around monthly sales announcements. Moreover, this predictability is stronger when monthly sales decrease and weaker when information concerning monthly sales has already been incorporated in stock prices. We also find that the selling pressure from foreign investors prior to monthly sales announcements does not have any influence on this predictability. Unlike monthly sales announcements, abnormal IV skew is found to have no predictive power for stock returns prior to quarterly earnings announcements. Overall results suggest that informed warrants trading predicts monthly sales announcement returns.
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Chen, Cheng-Ping, and 陳正平. "Studies on Bilinear Models for the Monthly Riverflow Series." Thesis, 1998. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/48063422155304839486.
Full textAbstract:
碩士淡江大學
水資源及環境工程學系
86
Subba Rao and Gabr(1981)針對非線性時間序列模式中的雙線性模式( Bilinear Model,簡稱BL模式)提出完整的參數推估及模式選取方法，且虞 氏(1986)利用雙波譜證明水文序列大多具有非線性，故將雙線性模式運用 於水文時序之探討應有其適用性。本研究採用合成資料探討參數推估之準 確性、模式選取方法之準確性及非線性檢定之檢定能力，而後則採用實測 資料探討其於台灣河川月流量資料之適用性。本研究依據Subba Rao and Gabr(1981)所提出利用最大概似法推估參數並依據判定準則選取模式，其 中於推估參數值時也可利用Marquardt(1963)所提出之演算法得另一趨近 式。研究結果顯示，於合成資料之參數推估上，利用趨近式之參數推估結 果具有較為穩定、不易發散等特性；利用BIC及BIC1準則之模式選取能力 相似且較AIC準則為佳。於非線性檢定上，引用Saikkonen and Luukkonen(1988)提出將Lagrange Multiplier檢定(簡稱LM檢定)運用於非 線性檢定。研究結果顯示，於合成資料之非線性LM檢定上，在樣本數到 達500時可達相當不錯之結果，且其檢定能力隨樣本數增加而增加。另， 本研究利用LM檢定及當原非線性BL項抽離其檢定結果不顯著之LM檢定延伸 觀念，提出一新的BL模式選取方法，模式選取結果顯示，其選取能力與依 據判定準則之模式選取方法相去不遠，可供模式選取上之參考。對於實測 資料適用性之探討，本研究分析台灣地區20站河川月流量資料中有4站檢 定結果顯示其確實存在非線性之BL模式，且BL模式於豐枯流量之預測能力 確實較傳統線性模式有所提昇，然而其提昇幅度並不顯著。 Subba Rao and Gabr''s (1981) was focused on the bilinear model (BL Model) of the nonlinear time series model that construct a method of parameters estimation and model identification. Yu (1986) used bispectrum to prove that most of hydrological series are nonlinear. Therefore, it should be suitable to make use of bilinear model on discussing hydrological time series. The following research adopted the synthetic data to examine the accuracy of the parameters estimation and model identification, and the defecting ability of nonlinearity. Furthermore, this study adopted the real data of the monthly riverflow of Taiwan to examine the suitability of this model.This research used the method of maximum likelihood to estimate the parameters, which proposed by Subba Rao and Gabr (1981), on the other hand, an approachment of algorithm for estimating parameters which proposed by Marquardt (1963) is also used in this study. The result showed that the approachment of algorithm contribute more stability and convergence when estimates the parameter. For comparing the ability of model selection criteria, BIC and BIC1, better than the AIC, has the close abilities.In this study, the lanrange multiplier test (LM Test), which proposed by Saikkonen and Luukkonen (1988), was applied on the nonlinear test. For the synthetic data study, it shows a good result when the samples reached 500; the testing ability as the samples increased. Furthermore, on the subject of model selection, a BL method derived by using LM test has been proposed in the study. For the real data, 20 stations of monthly riverflow in Taiwan area was studied. The 4 stations out of 20 showed that the series are nonlinear. The forecasting ability of the proposed BL method is better than the traditional method, although it is not obvious.
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Kao, Yu-mei, and 高玉梅. "A Research of Nanshan Monthly Reading Motivation and Satisfaction." Thesis, 2010. http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/37069553103457444568.
Full textAbstract:
碩士南華大學
出版與文化事業管理研究所
98
The enterprise publication restricted publication, the main purpose and the function, in the dissemination company''s idea, the product knowledge and the marketing information, its publication must be able to read listen to the human to accept, its publication goal side can achieve. This research analyzes the Mt. Nan life insurance restricted publication after the content carries on the analysis, and studies the Mt. Nan life insurance field personnel to be in charge to the monthly publication content reading motive, the degree of satisfaction discussion. Then promotion jobholders'' specialized ability, marketing skill, company competitive power Then promotion jobholders'' specialized ability, marketing skill, company competitive power. This research picks the content analytic method and the questionnaire survey procedure and I.P.A (important - performance degree analytic method). The content analysis discovery, monthly publication these ten years text presents the construction, then promotion jobholders'' specialized ability, marketing skill, company competitive power. Accounts for the proportion looking from various categories, sells the proportion which the wind and cloud announcement occupies to be highest, next is the regional dynamics, next is the corporate image again, demonstrates the Mt. Nan monthly publication for the achievement guidance magazine. The questionnaire survey procedure, the use population statistic is variable, variable design questionnaire and so on reading behavior, reading motive, reading degree of satisfaction, and by descriptive statistical analysis, card side examination, I.P.A (important - performance degree analytic method) and so on methods carry on the analysis, confirms each variable difference and the relevance. The result discovered that the different population statistic to reads the behavior, the reading motive, the reading degree of satisfaction to have the remarkable difference variable.