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Journal articles on the topic 'Multi-hazard flooding scenarios'

Author: Grafiati

Published: 11 March 2023

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1

Hadipour, Vahid, Freydoon Vafaie, and Kaveh Deilami. "Coastal Flooding Risk Assessment Using a GIS-Based Spatial Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Approach." Water 12, no. 9 (2020): 2379. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w12092379.

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Coastal areas are expected to be at a higher risk of flooding when climate change-induced sea-level rise (SLR) is combined with episodic rises in sea level. Flood susceptibility mapping (FSM), mostly based on statistical and machine learning methods, has been widely employed to mitigate flood risk; however, they neglect exposure and vulnerability assessment as the key components of flood risk. Flood risk assessment is often conducted by quantitative methods (e.g., probabilistic). Such assessment uses analytical and empirical techniques to construct the physical vulnerability curves of elements

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2

Bhola, Punit K., Jorge Leandro, and Markus Disse. "Building hazard maps with differentiated risk perception for flood impact assessment." Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 20, no. 10 (2020): 2647–63. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2647-2020.

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Abstract. In operational flood risk management, a single best model is used to assess the impact of flooding, which might misrepresent uncertainties in the modelling process. We have used quantified uncertainties in flood forecasting to generate flood hazard maps that were combined based on different exceedance probability scenarios. The purpose is to differentiate the impacts of flooding depending on the building use, enabling, therefore, more flexibility for stakeholders' variable risk perception profiles. The aim of the study is thus to develop a novel methodology that uses a multi-model co

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Fabris, Massimo. "Monitoring the Coastal Changes of the Po River Delta (Northern Italy) since 1911 Using Archival Cartography, Multi-Temporal Aerial Photogrammetry and LiDAR Data: Implications for Coastline Changes in 2100 A.D." Remote Sensing 13, no. 3 (2021): 529. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/rs13030529.

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Interaction between land subsidence and sea level rise (SLR) increases the hazard in coastal areas, mainly for deltas, characterized by flat topography and with great social, ecological, and economic value. Coastal areas need continuous monitoring as a support for human intervention to reduce the hazard. Po River Delta (PRD, northern Italy) in the past was affected by high values of artificial land subsidence: even if at low rates, anthropogenic settlements are currently still in progress and produce an increase of hydraulic risk due to the loss of surface elevation both of ground and levees.

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Gallegos Reina, Antonio, and María Jesús Perles Roselló. "Relationships between Peri-Urbanization Processes and Multi-Hazard Increases: Compared Diachronic Analysis in Basins of the Mediterranean Coast." ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information 10, no. 11 (2021): 759. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijgi10110759.

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This paper analyzes the relationships between the peri-urbanization process in the surroundings of cities and the increase in the synergistic dangers of flooding and water erosion. An analysis and an evaluation of the conditions causing the flooding in peri-urban basins are carried out, comparing the conditions before and after the peri-urbanization process. For this purpose, a diachronic analysis of the morphological and functional conditions of the territory that conditions flooding and associated dangers is provided. The conditions for the generation of runoff, the incorporation of solids i

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Mesta, Carlos, Gemma Cremen, and Carmine Galasso. "Quantifying the potential benefits of risk-mitigation strategies on future flood losses in Kathmandu Valley, Nepal." Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 23, no. 2 (2023): 711–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-711-2023.

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Abstract. Flood risk is expected to increase in many regions worldwide due to rapid urbanization and climate change if adequate risk-mitigation (or climate-change-adaptation) measures are not implemented. However, the exact benefits of these measures remain unknown or inadequately quantified for potential future events in some flood-prone areas such as Kathmandu Valley, Nepal, which this paper addresses. This study examines the present (2021) and future (2031) flood risk in Kathmandu Valley, considering two flood occurrence cases (with 100-year and 1000-year mean return periods) and using four

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Mladineo, Nenad, Marko Mladineo, Elena Benvenuti, Toni Kekez, and Željana Nikolić. "Methodology for the Assessment of Multi-Hazard Risk in Urban Homogenous Zones." Applied Sciences 12, no. 24 (2022): 12843. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/app122412843.

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The multi-hazard risk assessment of urban areas represents a comprehensive approach that can be used to reduce, manage and overcome the risks arising from the combination of different natural hazards. This paper presents a methodology for multi-hazard risk assessment based on Spatial Multi-Criteria Decision Making. The PROMETHEE method was used to assess multi-hazard risks caused by seismic, flood and extreme sea waves impact. The methodology is applied for multi-hazard risk evaluation of the urban area of Kaštel Kambelovac, located on the Croatian coast of the Adriatic Sea. The settlement is

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7

Fan, An, Li, Li, Deng, and Li. "An Approach Based on the Protected Object for Dam-Break Flood Risk Management Exemplified at the Zipingpu Reservoir." International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 16, no. 19 (2019): 3786. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16193786.

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Dam-break flooding is a potential hazard for reservoirs that poses a considerable threat to human lives and property in downstream areas. Assessing the dam-break flood risk of the Zipingpu Reservoir in Chengdu, Sichuan Province, China, is critically important because this reservoir is located on the Longmen Shan fault, which experiences high seismic activity. In this paper, we develop an approach based on the protected object for dam-break flood risk management. First, we perform a numerical simulation of dam-break flooding in four possible dam break scenarios. Next, the flood areas are divide

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Anzidei, Marco, Giovanni Scicchitano, Giovanni Scardino, et al. "Relative Sea-Level Rise Scenario for 2100 along the Coast of South Eastern Sicily (Italy) by InSAR Data, Satellite Images and High-Resolution Topography." Remote Sensing 13, no. 6 (2021): 1108. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/rs13061108.

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The global sea-level rise (SLR) projections for the next few decades are the basis for developing flooding maps that depict the expected hazard scenarios. However, the spatially variable land subsidence has generally not been considered in the current projections. In this study, we use geodetic data from global navigation satellite system (GNSS), synthetic aperture radar interferometric measurements (InSAR) and sea-level data from tidal stations to show the combined effects of land subsidence and SLR along the coast between Catania and Marzamemi, in south-eastern Sicily (southern Italy). This

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9

Gigović, Ljubomir, Dragan Pamučar, Zoran Bajić, and Siniša Drobnjak. "Application of GIS-Interval Rough AHP Methodology for Flood Hazard Mapping in Urban Areas." Water 9, no. 6 (2017): 360. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w9060360.

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Floods are natural disasters with significant socio-economic consequences. Urban areas with uncontrolled urban development, rapid population growth, an unregulated municipal system and an unplanned change of land use belong to the highly sensitive areas where floods cause devastating economic and social losses. The aim of this paper is to present a reliable GIS multi-criteria methodology for hazard zones’ mapping of flood-prone areas in urban areas. The proposed methodology is based on the combined application of geographical information systems (GIS) and multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA

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10

Schlumberger, Julius, Christian Ferrarin, Sebastiaan N. Jonkman, Manuel Andres Diaz Loaiza, Alessandro Antonini, and Sandra Fatorić. "Developing a framework for the assessment of current and future flood risk in Venice, Italy." Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 22, no. 7 (2022): 2381–400. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2381-2022.

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Abstract. Flooding causes serious impacts on the old town of Venice, its residents, and its cultural heritage. Despite this existence-defining condition, limited scientific knowledge on flood risk of the old town of Venice is available to support decisions to mitigate existing and future flood impacts. Therefore, this study proposes a risk assessment framework to provide a methodical and flexible instrument for decision-making for flood risk management in Venice. We first use a state-of-the-art hydrodynamic urban model to identify the hazard characteristics inside the city of Venice. Exposure,

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11

Asadieh, Behzad, and Nir Y. Krakauer. "Global change in streamflow extremes under climate change over the 21st century." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 21, no. 11 (2017): 5863–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-5863-2017.

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Abstract. Global warming is expected to intensify the Earth's hydrological cycle and increase flood and drought risks. Changes over the 21st century under two warming scenarios in different percentiles of the probability distribution of streamflow, and particularly of high and low streamflow extremes (95th and 5th percentiles), are analyzed using an ensemble of bias-corrected global climate model (GCM) fields fed into different global hydrological models (GHMs) provided by the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP) to understand the changes in streamflow distribution and

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12

Driessen, T. L. A., and M. van Ledden. "The large-scale impact of climate change to Mississippi flood hazard in New Orleans." Drinking Water Engineering and Science Discussions 5, no. 1 (2012): 333–49. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/dwesd-5-333-2012.

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Abstract. The objective of this paper is to describe the impact of climate change on the Mississippi River flood hazard in the New Orleans area. This city has a unique flood risk management challenge, heavily influenced by climate change, since it faces flood hazards from multiple geographical locations (e.g. Lake Pontchartrain and Mississippi River) and multiple sources (hurricane, river, rainfall). Also the low elevation and significant subsidence rate of the Greater New Orleans area poses a high risk and challenges the water management of this urban area. Its vulnerability to flooding becam

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Driessen, T. L. A., and M. van Ledden. "The large-scale impact of climate change to Mississippi flood hazard in New Orleans." Drinking Water Engineering and Science 6, no. 2 (2013): 81–87. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/dwes-6-81-2013.

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Abstract. The objective of this paper was to describe the impact of climate change on the Mississippi River flood hazard in the New Orleans area. This city has a unique flood risk management challenge, heavily influenced by climate change, since it faces flood hazards from multiple geographical locations (e.g. Lake Pontchartrain and Mississippi River) and multiple sources (hurricane, river, rainfall). Also the low elevation and significant subsidence rate of the Greater New Orleans area poses a high risk and challenges the water management of this urban area. Its vulnerability to flooding beca

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14

De Luca, Paolo, Gabriele Messori, Robert L. Wilby, Maurizio Mazzoleni, and Giuliano Di Baldassarre. "Concurrent wet and dry hydrological extremes at the global scale." Earth System Dynamics 11, no. 1 (2020): 251–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-251-2020.

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Abstract. Multi-hazard events can be associated with larger socio-economic impacts than single-hazard events. Understanding the spatio-temporal interactions that characterize the former is therefore of relevance to disaster risk reduction measures. Here, we consider two high-impact hazards, namely wet and dry hydrological extremes, and quantify their global co-occurrence. We define these using the monthly self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index based on the Penman–Monteith model (sc_PDSI_pm), covering the period 1950–2014, at 2.5∘ horizontal resolution. We find that the land areas affect

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15

Ronco, P., M. Bullo, S. Torresan, et al. "KULTURisk regional risk assessment methodology for water-related natural hazards – Part 2: Application to the Zurich case study." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 19, no. 3 (2015): 1561–76. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-1561-2015.

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Abstract. The aim of this paper is the application of the KULTURisk regional risk assessment (KR-RRA) methodology, presented in the companion paper (Part 1, Ronco et al., 2014), to the Sihl River basin, in northern Switzerland. Flood-related risks have been assessed for different receptors lying on the Sihl River valley including Zurich, which represents a typical case of river flooding in an urban area, by calibrating the methodology to the site-specific context and features. Risk maps and statistics have been developed using a 300-year return period scenario for six relevant targets exposed

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16

Ronco, P., M. Bullo, S. Torresan, et al. "The KULTURisk Regional Risk Assessment methodology for water-related natural hazards – Part 2: Application to the Zurich case study." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 11, no. 7 (2014): 7875–933. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hessd-11-7875-2014.

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Abstract. The main objective of the paper is the application of the KULTURisk Regional Risk Assessment (KR-RRA) methodology, presented in the companion paper (Part 1, Ronco et al., 2014), to the Sihl River valley, in Switzerland. Through a tuning process of the methodology to the site-specific context and features, flood related risks have been assessed for different receptors lying on the Sihl River valley including the city of Zurich, which represents a typical case of river flooding in urban area. After characterizing the peculiarities of the specific case study, risk maps have been develop

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17

Almeida, Maria do Céu, Maria João Telhado, Marco Morais, João Barreiro, and Ruth Lopes. "Urban Resilience to Flooding: Triangulation of Methods for Hazard Identification in Urban Areas." Sustainability 12, no. 6 (2020): 2227. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su12062227.

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The effects of climate dynamics on urban areas involve the aggravation of existing conditions and the potential for emergence of new hazards or risk factors. Floods are recognized as a leading source of consequences to society, including disruption of critical functions in urban areas, and to the environment. Consideration of the interplay between services providers ensuring urban functions is essential to deal with climate dynamics and associated risks. Assessment of resilience to multiple hazards requires integrated and multi-sectoral approaches embracing each strategic urban sector and inte

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18

Li, Guoyi, Jiahong Liu, and Weiwei Shao. "Flood Risk Assessment Using TELEMAC-2D Models Integrated with Multi-Index Analysis in Shenzhen River Basin, China." Water 14, no. 16 (2022): 2513. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w14162513.

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An urban flood simulation model based on TELEMAC-2D was constructed, and the inundation data of two measured rainstorms (7 June 2018 and 16 September 2018) were selected to validate the model. Flooding processes were simulated under 12 designed rainfall scenarios with rainfall return periods of 20, 50 and 100 years and rainfall peak coefficients of 0.2, 0.4, 0.6 and 0.8, respectively. The hazard-vulnerability (H-V) method was used for urban flood risk assessment. The selected hazard factors included inundation depth, flood velocity, elevation and slope. The vulnerability factors included land

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19

Shampa, Binata Roy, Md Manjurul Hussain, A. K. M. Saiful Islam, Md Ashiqur Rahman, and Khaled Mohammed. "Assessment of Flood Hazard in Climatic Extreme Considering Fluvio-Morphic Responses of the Contributing River: Indications from the Brahmaputra-Jamuna’s Braided-Plain." GeoHazards 3, no. 4 (2022): 465–91. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/geohazards3040024.

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Climate change is expected to raise river discharge and sea level in the future, and these near-term changes could alter the river flow regime and sedimentation pattern of future floods. Present hazard assessment studies have limitations in considering such morpho-dynamic responses in evaluating flood hazards or risks. Here, we present a multi-model-based approach to quantify such potential hazard parameters influenced by climate change for the most vulnerable communities living on river bars and islands of the Brahmaputra–Jamuna River. River flood-flow and flood wave propagation characteristi

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20

de Waal, J. A., A. G. Muntendam-Bos, and J. P. A. Roest. "Production induced subsidence and seismicity in the Groningen gas field – can it be managed?" Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences 372 (November 12, 2015): 129–39. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/piahs-372-129-2015.

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Abstract. Reliable prediction of the induced subsidence resulting from gas production is important for a near sea level country like the Netherlands. Without the protection of dunes, dikes and pumping, large parts of the country would be flooded. The predicted sea-level rise from global warming increases the challenge to design proper mitigation measures. Water management problems from gas production induced subsidence can be prevented if measures to counter its adverse effects are taken timely. This requires reliable subsidence predictions, which is a major challenge. Since the 1960's a numbe

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21

Callahan, John A., Daniel J. Leathers, and Christina L. Callahan. "Skew Surge and Storm Tides of Tropical Cyclones in the Delaware and Chesapeake Bays for 1980–2019." Frontiers in Climate 3 (August 31, 2021). http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2021.610062.

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Coastal flooding poses the greatest threat to human life and is often the most common source of damage from coastal storms. From 1980 to 2020, the top 6, and 17 of the top 25, costliest natural disasters in the U.S. were caused by coastal storms, most of these tropical systems. The Delaware and Chesapeake Bays, two of the largest and most densely populated estuaries in the U.S. located in the Mid-Atlantic coastal region, have been significantly impacted by strong tropical cyclones in recent decades, notably Hurricanes Isabel (2003), Irene (2011), and Sandy (2012). Current scenarios of future c

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22

Colon Useche, Sirel, Valérie Clouard, Mansour Ioualalen, Franck Audemard, and Tony Monfret. "Simulation of Tsunami Inundation for the Island of Martinique to Nearby Large Earthquakes." Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, October 6, 2022. http://dx.doi.org/10.1785/0120220093.

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ABSTRACT In this article, we estimate the tsunami hazard in Martinique due to tsunamis generated by earthquakes associated with the Lesser Antilles subduction zone. Using a deterministic approach based on reliable earthquake scenarios, we use high-resolution bathymetric and topographic data to model tsunami propagation and inundation with Cornell Multi-grid Coupled Tsunami model. An extreme earthquake subduction scenario of magnitude Mw 8.0 is tested, and a further realistic scenario of lower magnitude Mw 7.5, thus of different tsunami frequency content, is also processed to test the possible

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