Relevant bibliographies by topics / Multi-Model ensembles

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  1. Dissertations / Theses

Academic literature on the topic 'Multi-Model ensembles'

Author: Grafiati
Published: 22 February 2025

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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "Multi-Model ensembles"

1

Sessford, Patrick Denis. "Quantifying sources of variation in multi-model ensembles : a process-based approach." Thesis, University of Exeter, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/10871/18121.

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The representation of physical processes by a climate model depends on its structure, numerical schemes, physical parameterizations and resolution, with initial conditions and future emission scenarios further affecting the output. The extent to which climate models agree is therefore of great interest, often with greater confidence in robust results across models. This has led to climate model output being analysed as ensembles rather than in isolation, and quantifying the sources of variation across these ensembles is the aim of many recent studies. Statistical attempts to do this include th
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Sansom, Philip George. "Statistical methods for quantifying uncertainty in climate projections from ensembles of climate models." Thesis, University of Exeter, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/10871/15292.

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Appropriate and defensible statistical frameworks are required in order to make credible inferences about future climate based on projections derived from multiple climate models. It is shown that a two-way analysis of variance framework can be used to estimate the response of the actual climate, if all the climate models in an ensemble simulate the same response. The maximum likelihood estimate of the expected response provides a set of weights for combining projections from multiple climate models. Statistical F tests are used to show that the differences between the climate response of the
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3

Vogt, Linus. "The role of the upper ocean for global ocean heat uptake and climate." Electronic Thesis or Diss., Sorbonne université, 2024. https://theses.hal.science/tel-04951110.

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Le climat terrestre connaît actuellement des changements rapides et généralisés. Les activités humaines depuis l'ère industrielle, en particulier les émissions de CO2 dans l'atmosphère dues à la combustion de combustibles fossiles, ont intensifié l'effet de serre. Cela a entraîné une augmentation de la température moyenne de l'air à la surface du globe de 1.1°C en 2011-2020 par rapport à 1850-1900. Une autre conséquence majeure est le réchauffement des océans mondiaux, qui ont absorbé plus de 90% de l'énergie excédentaire accumulée dans le système climatique en raison de l'augmentation du forç
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4

Tran, Ngo Quoc Huy. "Planification de mouvement pour les systèmes dynamiques multi-agents dans un environnement variable." Thesis, Université Grenoble Alpes (ComUE), 2019. http://www.theses.fr/2019GREAT099.

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Cette thèse propose des solutions de commande basées sur la planification optimale de trajectoires pour des systèmes dynamiques multi-agents fonctionnant dans un environnement variable (avec obstacles statiques ou mobiles et des perturbations variables dans le temps).Cette planification de trajectoires repose sur l'utilisation combinée de la théorie des ensembles (en particulier des ensembles convexes bornés), de la commande prédictive non-linéaire (NMPC), du calcul de champs de potentiel et des méthodes basées sur des graphes. Elle se base sur la construction de champs de potentiel répulsifs
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5

Körner, Stephan [Verfasser], Eike [Akademischer Betreuer] Stumpf, and Ch [Akademischer Betreuer] Breitsamter. "Multi-Model Ensemble Wake Vortex Prediction / Stephan Körner ; Eike Stumpf, Ch. Breitsamter." Aachen : Universitätsbibliothek der RWTH Aachen, 2017. http://d-nb.info/116245122X/34.

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6

Ben, Houria Zeineb. "Optimisation de la gestion du service de maintenance biomédicale." Thesis, Lyon, 2016. http://www.theses.fr/2016LYSES057/document.

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Le milieu hospitalier est un monde à la fois sensible et complexe, sensible parce que la vie humaine est en jeu et complexe parce que les équipements médicaux augmentent en nombre et en complexité technique. Ainsi, afin de préserver le bon état de fonctionnement de ces équipements et à un niveau élevé de disponibilité, leur entretien est devenu l'une des préoccupations majeures des responsables de l’hôpital. L’objectif de cette thèse est de proposer, aux responsables de maintenance biomédicale dans les établissements de soins, des outils d’aide à la décision qui permettent une meilleure maitri
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7

Elvidge, Sean. "On the use of multi-model ensemble techniques for ionospheric and thermospheric characterisation." Thesis, University of Birmingham, 2014. http://etheses.bham.ac.uk//id/eprint/5526/.

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Space weather can have a negative impact on a number of radio frequency (RF) systems, with mitigation by ionospheric and thermospheric modelling one approach to improving system performance. However, before a model can be adopted operationally its performance must be quantified. Taylor diagrams, which show a model’s standard deviation and correlation, have been extended to further illustrate the model’s bias, standard deviation of error and mean square error in comparison to observational data. By normalising the statistics, multiple parameters can be shown simultaneously for a number of model
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Islam, Syed Ataharul. "Multi-model Ensemble Approach for the Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources." Thesis, Curtin University, 2017. http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/59630.

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This research investigates the impact of climate change on water resources using a multi-model ensemble approach through rainfall-runoff projection for A2 and B1 emission scenarios of IPCC (AR4) for mid (2046-2065) and late (2081-2100) century in selected catchments of Western Australia. A bias correction method is also developed to correct projected runoff and a framework for extended hydrologic prediction (EHP) system is outlined. The findings are expected to be beneficial for planning future water resources.
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9

Monteiro, Eric. "Contributions aux méthodes numériques pour traiter les non linéarités et les discontinuités dans les matériaux hétérogènes." Phd thesis, Université Paris-Est, 2010. http://tel.archives-ouvertes.fr/tel-00601050.

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Motivé par l'étude de tissus biologiques, ce travail contribue aux développements d'outils numériques permettant de prédire la réponse mécanique de matériaux hétérogènes non linéaires dans lesquels les énergies d'interfaces deviennent prépondérantes. Ainsi, une méthode d'homogénéisation multi échelle combinée à une technique de réduction de modèle basée sur la décomposition orthogonale aux valeurs propres est proposée dans un cadre thermique et hyperélastique. Les énergies d'interfaces entre les différentes phases des composites sont décrites par un modèle d'interface cohérent et prises en com
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10

Ferrone, Alfonso. "Deterministic and probabilistic verification of multi-model meteorological forecasts on the subseasonal timescale." Master's thesis, Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, 2016. http://amslaurea.unibo.it/11195/.

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In questo studio, un multi-model ensemble è stato implementato e verificato, seguendo una delle priorità di ricerca del Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project (S2S). Una regressione lineare è stata applicata ad un insieme di previsioni di ensemble su date passate, prodotte dai centri di previsione mensile del CNR-ISAC e ECMWF-IFS. Ognuna di queste contiene un membro di controllo e quattro elementi perturbati. Le variabili scelte per l'analisi sono l'altezza geopotenziale a 500 hPa, la temperatura a 850 hPa e la temperatura a 2 metri, la griglia spaziale ha risoluzione 1 ◦ × 1 ◦ lat-lon e s
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