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Journal articles on the topic 'Multidecadal variability'

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1

Xie, Tiejun, Jianping Li, Kaiqi Chen, Yazhou Zhang, and Cheng Sun. "Origin of Indian Ocean multidecadal climate variability: role of the North Atlantic Oscillation." Climate Dynamics 56, no. 9-10 (2021): 3277–94. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05643-w.

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AbstractThe multidecadal variability of Indian Ocean sea surface temperature (IOSST) has an important impact on both the regional Indian Ocean climate and the global climate. Here, we explore multidecadal variability in the annual IOSST. Observational analysis shows that the annual IOSST multidecadal variability is not only related to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), but also to the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). The NAO leads by 15–20 years the detrended annual IOSST in which the PDO signal of the same period has been removed. Further analysis reveals that the NAO leads the annual IO
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Latif, Mojib. "On North Pacific Multidecadal Climate Variability." Journal of Climate 19, no. 12 (2006): 2906–15. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli3719.1.

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Abstract The multidecadal climate variability in the North Pacific region is investigated by using a 2000-yr-long integration with a coupled ocean–atmosphere general circulation model. It is shown that the multidecadal variability evolves largely independent of the variations in the tropical Pacific, so that this kind of multidecadal variability may be regarded as internal to the North Pacific. The coupled model results suggest that the multidecadal variability can be explained by the dynamical ocean response to stochastic wind stress forcing. Superimposed on the red background variability, a
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Bonnet, Rémy, Christine M. McKenna, and Amanda C. Maycock. "Model spread in multidecadal North Atlantic Oscillation variability connected to stratosphere–troposphere coupling." Weather and Climate Dynamics 5, no. 3 (2024): 913–26. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-913-2024.

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Abstract. The underestimation in multidecadal variability in the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) by global climate models remains poorly understood. Understanding the origins of this weak NAO variability is important for making model projections more reliable. Past studies have linked the weak multidecadal NAO variability in models to an underestimated atmospheric response to the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV). We investigate historical simulations from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) large-ensemble models and find that most of the models do not repro
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Nigam, Sumant, Agniv Sengupta, and Alfredo Ruiz-Barradas. "Atlantic–Pacific Links in Observed Multidecadal SST Variability: Is the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation’s Phase Reversal Orchestrated by the Pacific Decadal Oscillation?" Journal of Climate 33, no. 13 (2020): 5479–505. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0880.1.

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AbstractThe Atlantic and Pacific basin are found linked in the context of multidecadal SST variability from analyses of 118 years of observational data. Recurrent spatiotemporal variability, including multidecadal modes, was identified using the extended-EOF technique in a longitudinally global domain, allowing unfettered expression of interbasin interactions. The physicality of the obtained decadal modes was assessed using fishery records and analog counts.A three-mode structure with bi-directional interbasin links frames the new perspective on the cycling of multidecadal SST variability. The
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5

von der Heydt, Anna, and Henk A. Dijkstra. "Localization of Multidecadal Variability. Part I: Cross-Equatorial Transport and Interbasin Exchange." Journal of Physical Oceanography 37, no. 10 (2007): 2401–14. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jpo3133.1.

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Abstract Multidecadal SST variability is studied in idealized one- and two-ocean-basin configurations, using simulations with the Modular Ocean Model. The authors demonstrate that the multidecadal variability on the global “conveyor type” circulation is localized in the North Atlantic Ocean. Interbasin exchange processes determine the locations where regions of deep-water formation occur and induce a localization of SST multidecadal anomalies in the Atlantic. The physics of this localization is subsequently investigated by considering more equatorially symmetric background flows in two-basin a
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Levine, Aaron F. Z., Dargan M. W. Frierson, and Michael J. McPhaden. "AMO Forcing of Multidecadal Pacific ITCZ Variability." Journal of Climate 31, no. 14 (2018): 5749–64. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-17-0810.1.

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The Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) has been shown to play a major role in the multidecadal variability of the Northern Hemisphere, impacting temperature and precipitation, including intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ)-driven precipitation across Africa and South America. Studies into the location of the intertropical convergence zone have suggested that it resides in the warmer hemisphere, with the poleward branch of the Hadley cell acting to transport energy from the warmer hemisphere to the cooler one. Given the impact of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation on Northern Hemispher
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7

Wills, Robert C. J., Kyle C. Armour, David S. Battisti, and Dennis L. Hartmann. "Ocean–Atmosphere Dynamical Coupling Fundamental to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation." Journal of Climate 32, no. 1 (2018): 251–72. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-18-0269.1.

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Abstract The North Atlantic has shown large multidecadal temperature shifts during the twentieth century. There is ongoing debate about whether this variability arises primarily through the influence of atmospheric internal variability, through changes in ocean circulation, or as a response to anthropogenic forcing. This study isolates the mechanisms driving Atlantic sea surface temperature variability on multidecadal time scales by using low-frequency component analysis (LFCA) to separate the influences of high-frequency variability, multidecadal variability, and long-term global warming. Thi
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Kim, Who M., Stephen Yeager, Ping Chang, and Gokhan Danabasoglu. "Low-Frequency North Atlantic Climate Variability in the Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble." Journal of Climate 31, no. 2 (2018): 787–813. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-17-0193.1.

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There is observational and modeling evidence that low-frequency variability in the North Atlantic has significant implications for the global climate, particularly for the climate of the Northern Hemisphere. This study explores the representation of low-frequency variability in the Atlantic region in historical large ensemble and preindustrial control simulations performed with the Community Earth System Model (CESM). Compared to available observational estimates, it is found that the simulated variability in Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), North Atlantic sea surface temper
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9

Jüling, André, Anna von der Heydt, and Henk A. Dijkstra. "Effects of strongly eddying oceans on multidecadal climate variability in the Community Earth System Model." Ocean Science 17, no. 5 (2021): 1251–71. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/os-17-1251-2021.

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Abstract. Climate variability on multidecadal timescales appears to be organized in pronounced patterns with clear expressions in sea surface temperature, such as the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. These patterns are now well studied both in observations and global climate models and are important in the attribution of climate change. Results from CMIP5 models have indicated large biases in these patterns with consequences for ocean heat storage variability and the global mean surface temperature. In this paper, we use two multi-century Community Earth S
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10

Sánchez-Sesma, Jorge, and Arthur Miller. "Multidecadal and centennial ENSO variability." PAGES news 19, no. 2 (2011): 85–86. http://dx.doi.org/10.22498/pages.19.2.85.

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11

Yang, Young-Min, Soon-Il An, Bin Wang, and Jae Heung Park. "A global-scale multidecadal variability driven by Atlantic multidecadal oscillation." National Science Review 7, no. 7 (2019): 1190–97. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/nsr/nwz216.

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ABSTRACT Observational analysis shows that there is a predominant global-scale multidecadal variability (GMV) of sea-surface temperature (SST). Its horizontal pattern resembles that of the interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO) in the Pacific and the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) in the Atlantic Ocean, which could affect global precipitation and temperature over the globe. Here, we demonstrate that the GMV could be driven by the AMO through atmospheric teleconnections and atmosphere–ocean coupling processes. Observations reveal a strong negative correlation when AMO leads GMV by appr
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12

Zhong, Yafang, Zhengyu Liu, and R. Jacob. "Origin of Pacific Multidecadal Variability in Community Climate System Model, Version 3 (CCSM3): A Combined Statistical and Dynamical Assessment." Journal of Climate 21, no. 1 (2008): 114–33. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2007jcli1730.1.

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Abstract Observations indicate that Pacific multidecadal variability (PMV) is a basinwide phenomenon with robust tropical–extratropical linkage, though its genesis remains the topic of much debate. In this study, the PMV in the Community Climate System Model, version 3 (CCSM3) is investigated with a combined statistical and dynamical approach. In agreement with observations, the modeled North Pacific climate system undergoes coherent multidecadal atmospheric and oceanic variability of a characteristic quasi-50-yr time scale, with apparent connections to the tropical Indo-Pacific. The statistic
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Martin, Elinor R., Chris Thorncroft, and Ben B. B. Booth. "The Multidecadal Atlantic SST—Sahel Rainfall Teleconnection in CMIP5 Simulations." Journal of Climate 27, no. 2 (2014): 784–806. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-13-00242.1.

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Abstract This study uses models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) to evaluate and investigate Sahel rainfall multidecadal variability and teleconnections with global sea surface temperatures (SSTs). Multidecadal variability is lower than observed in all historical simulations evaluated. Focus is on teleconnections with North Atlantic SST [Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV)] as it is more successfully simulated than the Indian Ocean teleconnection. To investigate why some models successfully simulated this teleconnection and others did not, despite having si
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14

Dijkstra, Henk A., Juan A. Saenz, and Andrew McC. Hogg. "Energetics of Multidecadal Atlantic Ocean Variability." Journal of Climate 27, no. 20 (2014): 7874–89. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-12-00801.1.

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Abstract Oscillatory behavior of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (MOC) is thought to underlie Atlantic multidecadal climate variability. While the energy sources and sinks driving the mean MOC have received intense scrutiny over the last decade, the governing energetics of the modes of variability of the MOC have not been addressed to the same degree. This paper examines the energy conversion processes associated with this variability in an idealized North Atlantic Ocean model. In this model, the multidecadal variability arises through an instability associated with a so-called
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15

Han, Weiqing, Jérôme Vialard, Michael J. McPhaden, et al. "Indian Ocean Decadal Variability: A Review." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 95, no. 11 (2014): 1679–703. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-13-00028.1.

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The international scientific community has highlighted decadal and multidecadal climate variability as a priority area for climate research. The Indian Ocean rim region is home to one-third of the world's population, mostly living in developing countries that are vulnerable to climate variability and to the increasing pressure of anthropogenic climate change. Yet, while prominent decadal and multidecadal variations occur in the Indian Ocean, they have been less studied than those in the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. This paper reviews existing literature on these Indian Ocean variations, includ
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16

Frederiksen, Carsten S., Xiaogu Zheng, and Simon Grainger. "Decadal and Multidecadal Variability in ERSSTv5 Global SST during 1879–2018." Journal of Climate 34, no. 18 (2021): 7461–73. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0902.1.

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AbstractDecadal and multidecadal variability in the ERSSTv5 global SST dataset are studied in terms of implicit fast (noise) and slow (signal) processes that affect variability on decadal time scales. Using a new method that better estimates the fast, or noise, component of decadal variability, estimates of the modes of variability in the slow component are possible. The fast component of decadal variability has a leading fast mode, which explains 62% of the variance, and it is shown that this fast variability, or decadal climate noise, is well represented by any of the indices associated with
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17

Wu, Baolan, Xiaopei Lin, and Lisan Yu. "Decadal to Multidecadal Variability of the Mixed Layer to the South of the Kuroshio Extension Region." Journal of Climate 33, no. 17 (2020): 7697–714. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0115.1.

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AbstractThe decadal to multidecadal mixed layer variability is investigated in a region south of the Kuroshio Extension (130°E–180°, 25°–35°N), an area where the North Pacific subtropical mode water forms, during 1948–2012. By analyzing the mixed layer heat budget with different observational and reanalysis data, here we show that the decadal to multidecadal variability of the mixed layer temperature and mixed layer depth is covaried with the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO), instead of the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO). The mixed layer temperature has strong decadal to multidecadal
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18

Zhang, Rong, Thomas L. Delworth, Rowan Sutton, et al. "Have Aerosols Caused the Observed Atlantic Multidecadal Variability?" Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, no. 4 (2013): 1135–44. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jas-d-12-0331.1.

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Abstract Identifying the prime drivers of the twentieth-century multidecadal variability in the Atlantic Ocean is crucial for predicting how the Atlantic will evolve in the coming decades and the resulting broad impacts on weather and precipitation patterns around the globe. Recently, Booth et al. showed that the Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model, version 2, Earth system configuration (HadGEM2-ES) closely reproduces the observed multidecadal variations of area-averaged North Atlantic sea surface temperature in the twentieth century. The multidecadal variations simulated in HadGEM2-ES ar
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19

Dijkstra, Henk A., and Anna von der Heydt. "Localization of Multidecadal Variability. Part II: Spectral Origin of Multidecadal Modes." Journal of Physical Oceanography 37, no. 10 (2007): 2415–28. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jpo3135.1.

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Abstract In a companion paper, the authors have shown that in an idealized Atlantic–Pacific Ocean configuration with a conveyor-type overturning circulation, localized multidecadal variability occurs in the Atlantic. Results suggest that the multidecadal variability originates from the instability of the three-dimensional thermohaline circulation and that the physics of the spatial patterns of the SST anomalies can be understood from a study of an Atlantic-only configuration. Specific internal (multidecadal) modes, which obtain a positive growth factor depending on the background thermohaline
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Dijkstra, H. A., L. M. Frankcombe, and A. S. von der Heydt. "A stochastic dynamical systems view of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation." Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 366, no. 1875 (2008): 2543–58. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2008.0031.

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We provide a dynamical systems framework to understand the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and show that this framework is in many ways similar to that of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation. A so-called minimal primitive equation model is used to represent the Atlantic Ocean circulation. Within this minimal model, we identify a normal mode of multidecadal variability that can destabilize the background climate state through a Hopf bifurcation. Next, we argue that noise is setting the amplitude of the sea surface temperature variability associated with this normal mode. The results provide supp
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Aster, R. C., D. E. McNamara, and P. D. Bromirski. "Multidecadal Climate-induced Variability in Microseisms." Seismological Research Letters 79, no. 2 (2008): 194–202. http://dx.doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.79.2.194.

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22

Russell, Alexandria M., and Anand Gnanadesikan. "Understanding Multidecadal Variability in ENSO Amplitude." Journal of Climate 27, no. 11 (2014): 4037–51. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-13-00147.1.

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Abstract Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the tropical Pacific vary as a result of the coupling between ocean and atmosphere driven largely by El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). ENSO amplitude is known to vary on long time scales, which makes it difficult to quantify its response to climate change and constrain the physical processes that drive it. To characterize the long-period variability in ocean–atmosphere coupling strengths, a linear regression of local SST changes is applied to the 4000-yr GFDL Climate Model, version 2.1 (CM2.1) and the 500-yr GFDL CM2 with Modular Ocean Model versi
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Woollings, T., C. Franzke, D. L. R. Hodson, et al. "Contrasting interannual and multidecadal NAO variability." Climate Dynamics 45, no. 1-2 (2014): 539–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2237-y.

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Lorenzo, María N., Juan J. Taboada, and Isabel Iglesias. "Sensitivity of thermohaline circulation to decadal and multidecadal variability." ICES Journal of Marine Science 66, no. 7 (2009): 1439–47. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsp061.

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Abstract Lorenzo, M. N., Taboada, J. J., and Iglesias, I. 2009. Sensitivity of thermohaline circulation to decadal and multidecadal variability. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 66: 1439–1447. In this paper, stochastic freshwater inputs with different variabilities are introduced into an Earth Model of Intermediate Complexity to study their effect on the behaviour of the thermohaline circulation (THC). The variability in the stochastic signal was set to be either decadal or multidecadal (70 years), based on intensity modulation of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon. The result
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Stolpe, Martin B., Iselin Medhaug, and Reto Knutti. "Contribution of Atlantic and Pacific Multidecadal Variability to Twentieth-Century Temperature Changes." Journal of Climate 30, no. 16 (2017): 6279–95. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-16-0803.1.

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Recent studies have suggested that significant parts of the observed warming in the early and the late twentieth century were caused by multidecadal internal variability centered in the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. Here, a novel approach is used that searches for segments of unforced preindustrial control simulations from global climate models that best match the observed Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal variability (AMV and PMV, respectively). In this way, estimates of the influence of AMV and PMV on global temperature that are consistent both spatially and across variables are made. Combine
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Morioka, Yushi, Liping Zhang, Thomas L. Delworth, et al. "Multidecadal variability and predictability of Antarctic sea ice in the GFDL SPEAR_LO model." Cryosphere 17, no. 12 (2023): 5219–40. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-5219-2023.

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Abstract. Using a state-of-the-art coupled general circulation model, physical processes underlying Antarctic sea ice multidecadal variability and predictability are investigated. Our model simulations constrained by atmospheric reanalysis and observed sea surface temperature broadly capture a multidecadal variability in the observed sea ice extent (SIE) with a low sea ice state (late 1970s–1990s) and a high sea ice state (2000s–early 2010s), although the model overestimates the SIE decrease in the Weddell Sea around the 1980s. The low sea ice state is largely due to the deepening of the mixed
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Frankcombe, Leela M., Anna von der Heydt, and Henk A. Dijkstra. "North Atlantic Multidecadal Climate Variability: An Investigation of Dominant Time Scales and Processes." Journal of Climate 23, no. 13 (2010): 3626–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010jcli3471.1.

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Abstract The issue of multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic has been an important topic of late. It is clear that there are multidecadal variations in several climate variables in the North Atlantic, such as sea surface temperature and sea level height. The details of this variability, in particular the dominant patterns and time scales, are confusing from both an observational as well as a theoretical point of view. After analyzing results from observational datasets and a 500-yr simulation of an Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) climate
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Reverdin, G. "North Atlantic Subpolar Gyre Surface Variability (1895–2009)." Journal of Climate 23, no. 17 (2010): 4571–84. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010jcli3493.1.

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Abstract Surface temperature, salinity, and density are examined in the northeastern part of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre over the last 115 years of measurements. This region presents coherent variability in space but also between different seasons, with relatively small trends and large multidecadal variability. The most significant trend is a lowering in surface density. Multidecadal variability in T and S is large and is usually similar, with the largest difference between the two in the 1920s and a tendency of T to lead S. Multidecadal T and S are correlated with the winter North Atlan
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Xu, Yidan, Jianping Li, Cheng Sun, et al. "Contribution of SST change to multidecadal global and continental surface air temperature trends between 1910 and 2013." Climate Dynamics 54, no. 3-4 (2019): 1295–313. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-05060-0.

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AbstractThe global mean surface air temperature (GMST) shows multidecadal variability over the period of 1910–2013, with an increasing trend. This study quantifies the contribution of hemispheric surface air temperature (SAT) variations and individual ocean sea surface temperature (SST) changes to the GMST multidecadal variability for 1910–2013. At the hemispheric scale, both the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) observations and the Community Earth System Model (CESM) Community Atmosphere Model 5.3 (CAM5.3) simulation indicate that the Northern Hemisphere (NH) favors the GMST multide
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Kravtsov, Sergey. "Dynamics and Predictability of Hemispheric-Scale Multidecadal Climate Variability in an Observationally Constrained Mechanistic Model." Journal of Climate 33, no. 11 (2020): 4599–620. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0778.1.

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AbstractThis paper addresses the dynamics of internal hemispheric-scale multidecadal climate variability by postulating an energy-balance (EBM) model comprising two deep-ocean oscillators in the Atlantic and Pacific basins, coupled through their surface mixed layers via atmospheric teleconnections. This system is linear and driven by the atmospheric noise. Two sets of the EBM model parameters are developed by fitting the EBM-based mixed-layer temperature covariance structure to best mimic basin-average North Atlantic/Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) covariability in either observations or
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Klotzbach, Philip J. "The Influence of El Niño–Southern Oscillation and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on Caribbean Tropical Cyclone Activity." Journal of Climate 24, no. 3 (2011): 721–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010jcli3705.1.

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Abstract Caribbean basin tropical cyclone activity shows significant variability on interannual as well as multidecadal time scales. Comprehensive statistics for Caribbean hurricane activity are tabulated, and then large-scale climate features are examined for their impacts on this activity. The primary interannual driver of variability is found to be El Niño–Southern Oscillation, which alters levels of activity due to changes in levels of vertical wind shear as well as through column stability. Much more activity occurs in the Caribbean with La Niña conditions than with El Niño conditions. On
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Grove, C. A., J. Zinke, F. Peeters, et al. "Madagascar corals reveal a multidecadal signature of rainfall and river runoff since 1708." Climate of the Past 9, no. 2 (2013): 641–56. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-641-2013.

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Abstract. Pacific Ocean sea surface temperatures (SST) influence rainfall variability on multidecadal and interdecadal timescales in concert with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO). Rainfall variations in locations such as Australia and North America are therefore linked to phase changes in the PDO. Furthermore, studies have suggested teleconnections exist between the western Indian Ocean and Pacific Decadal Variability (PDV), similar to those observed on interannual timescales related to the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). However, as instrum
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Suhas, E., and B. N. Goswami. "Loss of Significance and Multidecadal Variability of the Madden–Julian Oscillation." Journal of Climate 23, no. 13 (2010): 3739–51. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010jcli3180.1.

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Abstract Change in significance and multidecadal variability of the Northern Hemispheric winter MJO during 1948–2006 is examined using NCEP–NCAR reanalysis data. Variation of the MJO power relative to a red background is estimated by isolating the MJO signal through frequency–wavenumber spectral analysis using a 10-yr sliding window. It is shown that during the period of study, the rate of increase of background power has been larger than the rate of increase of the MJO power, leading to a decreasing trend of significant MJO power. It is also found that a multidecadal variation rides on the de
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Hochet, Antoine, Thierry Huck, Olivier Arzel, Florian Sévellec, and Alain Colin de Verdière. "Energy Transfers between Multidecadal and Turbulent Variability." Journal of Climate 35, no. 4 (2022): 1157–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-21-0136.1.

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Abstract One of the proposed mechanisms to explain the multidecadal variability observed in sea surface temperature of the North Atlantic Ocean consists of a large-scale low-frequency internal mode spontaneously developing because of the large-scale baroclinic instability of the time-mean circulation. Even though this mode has been extensively studied in terms of the buoyancy variance budget, its energetic properties remain poorly known. Here we perform the full mechanical energy budget including available potential energy (APE) and kinetic energy (KE) of this internal mode and decompose the b
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Hakkinen, S., P. B. Rhines, and D. L. Worthen. "Atmospheric Blocking and Atlantic Multidecadal Ocean Variability." Science 334, no. 6056 (2011): 655–59. http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1205683.

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Griffies, S. M. "Predictability of North Atlantic Multidecadal Climate Variability." Science 275, no. 5297 (1997): 181–84. http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.275.5297.181.

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Tretkoff, Ernie. "Multidecadal variability of the North Brazil Current." Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union 92, no. 23 (2011): 200. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011eo230016.

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Le Bars, D., J. P. Viebahn, and H. A. Dijkstra. "A Southern Ocean mode of multidecadal variability." Geophysical Research Letters 43, no. 5 (2016): 2102–10. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016gl068177.

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39

Zanchettin, Davide, Oliver Bothe, Wolfgang Müller, Jürgen Bader, and Johann H. Jungclaus. "Different flavors of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability." Climate Dynamics 42, no. 1-2 (2013): 381–99. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1669-0.

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Thomas, Jordan, Darryn Waugh, and Anand Gnanadesikan. "Relationship between Ocean Carbon and Heat Multidecadal Variability." Journal of Climate 31, no. 4 (2018): 1467–82. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-17-0134.1.

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The global ocean serves as a critical sink for anthropogenic carbon and heat. While significant effort has been dedicated to quantifying the oceanic uptake of these quantities, less research has been conducted on the mechanisms underlying decadal-to-centennial variability in oceanic heat and carbon. Therefore, little is understood about how much such variability may have obscured or reinforced anthropogenic change. Here the relationship between oceanic heat and carbon content is examined in a suite of coupled climate model simulations that use different parameterization settings for mesoscale
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Bonnet, Rémy, Julien Boé, and Florence Habets. "Influence of multidecadal variability on high and low flows: the case of the Seine basin." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 24, no. 4 (2020): 1611–31. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1611-2020.

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Abstract. The multidecadal hydroclimate variations of the Seine basin since the 1850s are investigated. Given the scarcity of long-term hydrological observations, a hydrometeorological reconstruction is developed based on hydrological modeling and a method that combines the results of a downscaled long-term atmospheric reanalysis and local observations of precipitation and temperature. This method improves previous attempts and provides a realistic representation of daily and monthly river flows. This new hydrometeorological reconstruction, available over more than 150 years while maintaining
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Singh, Hansi K. A., Gregory J. Hakim, Robert Tardif, Julien Emile-Geay, and David C. Noone. "Insights into Atlantic multidecadal variability using the Last Millennium Reanalysis framework." Climate of the Past 14, no. 2 (2018): 157–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-14-157-2018.

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Abstract. The Last Millennium Reanalysis (LMR) employs a data assimilation approach to reconstruct climate fields from annually resolved proxy data over years 0–2000 CE. We use the LMR to examine Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV) over the last 2 millennia and find several robust thermodynamic features associated with a positive Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) index that reveal a dynamically consistent pattern of variability: the Atlantic and most continents warm; sea ice thins over the Arctic and retreats over the Greenland, Iceland, and Norwegian seas; and equatorial precipitati
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Peña-Ortiz, Cristina, David Barriopedro, and Ricardo García-Herrera. "Multidecadal Variability of the Summer Length in Europe*." Journal of Climate 28, no. 13 (2015): 5375–88. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00429.1.

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Abstract This study analyzes the multidecadal variability of the European summer timing and length. The dates of the summer onset and end are computed through an objective algorithm based on locally defined temperature thresholds applied to the European daily high-resolution gridded dataset (E-OBS) during the period 1950–2012. The results reveal a European mean summer lengthening of 2.4 days decade−1 for the period 1950–2012. However, this trend is confined to the post-1979 period, when lengthening rates range between 5 and 12 days decade−1 over western Europe and the Mediterranean region. In
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Tantet, A., and H. A. Dijkstra. "An interaction network perspective on the relation between patterns of sea surface temperature variability and global mean surface temperature." Earth System Dynamics Discussions 4, no. 2 (2013): 743–83. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esdd-4-743-2013.

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Abstract. On interannual-to-multidecadal time scales variability in sea surface temperature appears to be organized in large-scale spatiotemporal patterns. In this paper, we investigate these patterns by studying the community structure of interaction networks constructed from sea surface temperature observations. Much of the community structure as well as the first neighbour maps can be interpreted using known dominant patterns of variability, such as the El Niño/Southern Oscillation and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and teleconnections. The community detection method allows to overco
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Kumar, Sanjiv, James Kinter, Paul A. Dirmeyer, Zaitao Pan, and Jennifer Adams. "Multidecadal Climate Variability and the “Warming Hole” in North America: Results from CMIP5 Twentieth- and Twenty-First-Century Climate Simulations*." Journal of Climate 26, no. 11 (2013): 3511–27. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-12-00535.1.

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Abstract The ability of phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) climate models to simulate the twentieth-century “warming hole” over North America is explored, along with the warming hole’s relationship with natural climate variability. Twenty-first-century warming hole projections are also examined for two future emission scenarios, the 8.5 and 4.5 W m−2 representative concentration pathways (RCP8.5 and RCP4.5). Simulations from 22 CMIP5 climate models were analyzed, including all their ensemble members, for a total of 192 climate realizations. A nonparametric trend detec
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Kwon, Young-Oh, Hyodae Seo, Caroline C. Ummenhofer, and Terrence M. Joyce. "Impact of Multidecadal Variability in Atlantic SST on Winter Atmospheric Blocking." Journal of Climate 33, no. 3 (2020): 867–92. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0324.1.

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AbstractRecent studies have suggested that coherent multidecadal variability exists between North Atlantic atmospheric blocking frequency and the Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV). However, the role of AMV in modulating blocking variability on multidecadal times scales is not fully understood. This study examines this issue primarily using the NOAA Twentieth Century Reanalysis for 1901–2010. The second mode of the empirical orthogonal function for winter (December–March) atmospheric blocking variability in the North Atlantic exhibits oppositely signed anomalies of blocking frequency over
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Lee, Ming-Ying, and Huang-Hsiung Hsu. "Identification of the Eurasian–North Pacific Multidecadal Oscillation and Its Relationship to the AMO." Journal of Climate 26, no. 20 (2013): 8139–53. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-13-00041.1.

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Abstract A multidecadal geopotential height pattern in the upper troposphere of the extratropical Northern Hemisphere (NH) is identified in this study. This pattern is characterized by the nearly zonal symmetry of geopotential height and temperature between 35° and 65°N and the equivalent barotropic vertical structure with the largest amplitude in the upper troposphere. This pattern is named the Eurasian–Pacific multidecadal oscillation (EAPMO) to describe its multidecadal time scale and the largest amplitudes over Eurasia and the North Pacific. Although nearly extending over the entire extrat
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Latif, M., M. Collins, H. Pohlmann, and N. Keenlyside. "A Review of Predictability Studies of Atlantic Sector Climate on Decadal Time Scales." Journal of Climate 19, no. 23 (2006): 5971–87. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli3945.1.

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Abstract This review paper discusses the physical basis and the potential for decadal climate predictability over the Atlantic and its adjacent land areas. Many observational and modeling studies describe pronounced decadal and multidecadal variability in the Atlantic Ocean. However, it still needs to be quantified to which extent the variations in the ocean drive variations in the atmosphere and over land. In particular, although a clear impact of the Tropics on the midlatitudes has been demonstrated, it is unclear if and how the extratropical atmosphere responds to midlatitudinal sea surface
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Apipattanavis, Somkiat, Gregory J. McCabe, Balaji Rajagopalan, and Subhrendu Gangopadhyay. "Joint Spatiotemporal Variability of Global Sea Surface Temperatures and Global Palmer Drought Severity Index Values." Journal of Climate 22, no. 23 (2009): 6251–67. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2009jcli2791.1.

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Abstract Dominant modes of individual and joint variability in global sea surface temperatures (SST) and global Palmer drought severity index (PDSI) values for the twentieth century are identified through a multivariate frequency domain singular value decomposition. This analysis indicates that a secular trend and variability related to the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are the dominant modes of variance shared among the global datasets. For the SST data the secular trend corresponds to a positive trend in Indian Ocean and South Atlantic SSTs, and a negative trend in North Pacific and No
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Li, Zhiyu, Wenjun Zhang, Fei-Fei Jin, et al. "A robust relationship between multidecadal global warming rate variations and the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability." Climate Dynamics 55, no. 7-8 (2020): 1945–59. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05362-8.

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