Academic literature on the topic 'New Keynesian macroeconomics'

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Journal articles on the topic "New Keynesian macroeconomics"

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Trautwein, Hans-Michael. "Leijonhufvud on New Keynesian Economics and the economics of Keynes." Oxford Economic Papers 72, no. 4 (May 18, 2020): 923–45. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oep/gpaa013.

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Abstract The theme that Axel Leijonhufvud has extracted from the economics of Keynes is the potential for failures in the intertemporal coordination of activities in complex market systems. In his path-breaking book of 1968, he attacked standard Keynesian Economics for its view on frictions, which reduces the causes of macroeconomic pathologies to nominal rigidities. With the rise of DSGE-based New Keynesian Economics, Leijonhufvud has pointed out that ‘standard macroeconomics’ is still stuck in the frictions view. Referring to recent financial crises, he considers DSGE modelling to be hopelessly inadequate for dealing with such macroeconomic instability. Yet, the financial frictions literature in New Keynesian Economics claims to have found ways to incorporate financial crises into DSGE frameworks. The article describes continuity and change in Leijonhufvud’s critique of Old and New Keynesians, and assesses contrary claims to progress made in the DSGE world.
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BRESSER-PEREIRA, LUIZ CARLOS. "From classical developmentalism and post-Keynesian macroeconomics to new developmentalism." Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 39, no. 2 (June 2019): 187–210. http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0101-31572019-2966.

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ABSTRACT New developmentalism was a response to the inability of classical developmentalism and post-Keynesian macroeconomics in leading middle-income countries to resume growth. New developmentalism was born in the 2000s to explain why Latin American countries stopped growing in the 1980s, while East Asian countries continued to catch up. This paper compares new developmentalism with classical developmentalism, which didn’t have a macroeconomics, and with post-Keynesian economics, whose macroeconomics is not devoted to developing countries. And shows that to follow the East Asian example is not enough industrial policy, it is also necessary a macroeconomic policy that sets the five macroeconomic prices right, rejects the growth with foreign savings policy, and keeps the macroeconomic accounts balanced.
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Tobin, James. "Price Flexibility and Output Stability: An Old Keynesian View." Journal of Economic Perspectives 7, no. 1 (February 1, 1993): 45–65. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/jep.7.1.45.

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In this symposium I shall play the role in which I was cast, the unreconstructed old Keynesian. Considering the alternatives, I do not mind being billed as a Keynesian, an old Keynesian at that. But old Keynesians come in several varieties, and I speak for no one but myself. Nor do I defend the literal text of The General Theory. Several generations of economists have criticized, amended, and elaborated that seminal work. I shall argue for the validity of the major propositions that distinguish Keynesian macroeconomics from old or new classical macroeconomics.
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Kim, Jin-Ock. "User’s Guide for New Keynesian Macroeconomics." Jeju National University Tourism, Business, and Economic Research Institute 37, no. 4 (November 30, 2017): 13–22. http://dx.doi.org/10.24907/jtir.2017.11.37.4.13.

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Zamulin, O. "The Concept of Real Economic Cycles and Its Role in Evolution of Macroeconomics." Voprosy Ekonomiki, no. 1 (January 20, 2005): 144–53. http://dx.doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2005-1-144-153.

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The article discusses the contribution of the 2004 Nobel Prize winners in Economics, F. Kydland and E. Prescott, to business cycle theory. To place this contribution in historical perspective, development of macroeconomic science at large, beginning with 1930, is discussed, including the early Keynesian theories, rational expectations revolution, and the modern debate between New Keynesians and New Classicals. Special emphasis is then made on the differences between the modern general equilibrium theories proposed by Kydland and Prescott and the supporters of theories based on sticky prices and imperfect information. The article is concluded by a discussion of room for consensus between these two branches of macroeconomics.
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Beltratti, Andrea. "L’economia dell’equilibrio." Journal of Public Finance and Public Choice 3, no. 2 (October 1, 1985): 97–108. http://dx.doi.org/10.1332/251569298x15668907117101.

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Abstract The new classical macroeconomists have widely criticized Keynesian economics during the last fifteen years; most of all, on the basis of a lack of microfoundations to Keynesian models and theories.The rational expectations hypothesis is necessary but not sufficient, by itself, to deny the policy effectiveness results advocated by Keynesian theorists; the most important hypothesis, and the most characteristic feature, of the new classical school is continuous market-clearing on each market. Rational expectations can be used also in disequilibrium models, and can even strengthen policy effectiveness results.This paper considers some interesting points made by the equilibrium theorists, such as the Lucas critique and the equilibrium business cycles, and also tries to show some limits of the models.The debate between Keynesians and New Classical Economists is very useful; both schools are able to benefit from the valuable insights of the last few years, which allow theorists to hope in a substantial improvement of macroeconomics as a science and as a tool to understand the working of today’s economic systems.
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BEKAERT, GEERT, SEONGHOON CHO, and ANTONIO MORENO. "New Keynesian Macroeconomics and the Term Structure." Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 42, no. 1 (February 2010): 33–62. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4616.2009.00277.x.

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Artamonova, L. N. "POST-KEYNESIANISM: EVOLUTION OF KEYNESIAN MACROECONOMICS IN THE 20TH CENTURY." MGIMO Review of International Relations, no. 6(51) (December 28, 2016): 106–14. http://dx.doi.org/10.24833/2071-8160-2016-6-51-106-114.

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The article analyzes the development of J.M. Keynes's theory in the second half of the twentieth century due to the works within the new direction of economical science - Post-Keynesianism. It is shown that in free-market economy Keynesian school based of the original Keynesian methodology requires additional studies of state regulation principles and take into account the qualitative changes in the market mechanisms. It is shown that post-Keynesianism has had a significant impact on the subject of research and has taken into account the principles of free enterprise, market pricing, level of price dynamics. All this principles allow realizing the principle of self-regulation of the market mechanism. New approaches to the post-Keynesians role of the state and state regulation combined with the freedom of entrepreneurship are analyzed. Taking into account real changes and economic crises it is necessary to analyze the main directions of development of the Keynesian model of economic regulation with a view to their effective use in shaping economic policy. There are considered the basic directions of development of post-Keynesianism such as Neo-Ricardian theory of value and prices of goods based on direct costs of production in the framework of macroeconomic model by P. Sraffa, information theory of "fundamental" uncertainty of the future by R. Klauder and the theory of financial instability hypothesis by H. Minsky. Their differences within the framework of post-Keynesianism under the subject specialization are considered. It is noted that the development of PostKeynesianism allows to present the latest research in modern Keynesian school within an interdisciplinary approach to economical problems.
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Arestis, Philip, Fernando Filho, and Terra Bittes. "Keynesian macroeconomic policy: Theoretical analysis and empirical evidence." Panoeconomicus 65, no. 1 (2018): 1–20. http://dx.doi.org/10.2298/pan1801001a.

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Investment depends on subjective factors, such as expectations, conventions, and confident animal spirits. In a context of economic instability and crises, economic policy is the main source to support entrepreneurs? expectations and investment. In this sense, macroeconomic policies are capable of affecting effective demand and building a good institutional environment, which is essential to keep the entrepreneurs? expectations confident and promote their animal spirits. Given these propositions, this contribution has two objectives. The first is to develop a Keynesian type of macroeconomic policy able to stimulate investment and effective demand, and, as a result, mitigate unemployment. The idea is to offer alternative macroeconomic policy prescriptions in relation to the New Consensus Macroeconomics one. This proposal aims to establish the role, according to the Post Keynesian view, the logic of operation of each policy, and the proper coordination among these Keynesian macroeconomic policies. The second objective is to present, briefly, relevant empirical evidence of the Post Keynesian macroeconomic policies.
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Galí, Jordi. "The State of New Keynesian Economics: A Partial Assessment." Journal of Economic Perspectives 32, no. 3 (August 1, 2018): 87–112. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/jep.32.3.87.

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In August 2007, when the first signs emerged of what would come to be the most damaging global financial crisis since the Great Depression, the New Keynesian paradigm was dominant in macroeconomics. Ten years later, tons of ammunition has been fired against modern macroeconomics in general, and against dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models that build on the New Keynesian framework in particular. Those criticisms notwithstanding, the New Keynesian model arguably remains the dominant framework in the classroom, in academic research, and in policy modeling. In fact, one can argue that over the past ten years the scope of New Keynesian economics has kept widening, by encompassing a growing number of phenomena that are analyzed using its basic framework, as well as by addressing some of the criticisms raised against it. The present paper takes stock of the state of New Keynesian economics by reviewing some of its main insights and by providing an overview of some recent developments. In particular, I discuss some recent work on two very active research programs: the implications of the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates and the interaction of monetary policy and household heterogeneity. Finally, I discuss what I view as some of the main shortcomings of the New Keynesian model and possible areas for future research.
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Dissertations / Theses on the topic "New Keynesian macroeconomics"

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Dorich, Doig José Antonio. "Essays on new Keynesian Macroeconomics." Doctoral thesis, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, 2008. http://hdl.handle.net/10803/7368.

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El modelo Neo Keynesiano estándar ha sido una de las herramientas más influyentes en debates sobre dinámica macroeconómica, política monetaria y bienestar. Además, este modelo constituye una pieza fundamental en la elaboración de los modelos macroeconómicos que muchos bancos centrales utilizan para la simulación y predicción de variables económicas como la inflación y el crecimiento.

El objetivo de esta tesis es evaluar la veracidad de las siguientes tres implicancias del modelo Neo Keynesiano estándar. Primero, con estabilidad de precios plena, las pérdidas de bienestar que se generan por las rigideces de precios deben ser cero. Segundo, la inflación es un fenómeno determinado por las expectativas. Tercero, el dinero no tiene un rol independiente en el mecanismo de transmisión de la política monetaria.
The standard New Keynesian (NK) model has become one of the most influential tools in discussions of macroeconomic dynamics, monetary policy and welfare. Moreover, it has emerged as the backbone of the medium scale macroeconomic models that several central banks use for simulation and forecasting purposes.

This thesis evaluates the accuracy of the following three implications of the standard NK model. First, with full price stability the welfare losses resulting from price stickiness should be zero. Second, inflation is a forward-looking phenomenon. Third, money does not play an independent role in the monetary transmission mechanism.
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Bonini, Patricia. "New Keynesian macroeconomics and credibility analysis." Thesis, University of Birmingham, 2001. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.246730.

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Welz, Peter. "Quantitative New Keynesian Macroeconomics and Monetary Policy." Doctoral thesis, Uppsala : Department of Economics, Uppsala University, 2005. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-5978.

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Offick, Sven [Verfasser]. "News Shocks, Monetary Policy, and Amplification Effects in New Keynesian Macroeconomics / Sven Offick." Kiel : Universitätsbibliothek Kiel, 2015. http://d-nb.info/1080521674/34.

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Farid, Mai Ahmed Kamel. "Essays in new-keynesian macroeconomics : Monetary policy and vertical production chains in emerging market economies." Thesis, University of York, 2009. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.516641.

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Tsuruga, Takayuki. "Essays on sluggishness in macroeconomics." Connect to this title online, 2005. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc%5Fnum=osu1117222245.

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Thesis (Ph. D.)--Ohio State University, 2005.
Title from first page of PDF file. Document formatted into pages; contains xii, 106 p.; also includes graphics (some col.) Includes bibliographical references (p. 102-106). Available online via OhioLINK's ETD Center
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Holmberg, Karolina. "Empirical Essays in Macroeconomics and Finance." Doctoral thesis, Stockholms universitet, Nationalekonomiska institutionen, 2012. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-72259.

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Derivation and Estimation of a New Keynesian Phillips Curve in a Small Open Economy This paper explores how well Swedish inflation is explained by a New Keynesian Phillips Curve. As the real driving variable in the Phillips Curve, a measure of firms' real marginal cost is compared to the traditional output gap. The results show that, with real marginal cost in the Phillips Curve equation, the point estimates generally have the expected positive sign, which is less frequently the case with the output gap. However, with both real marginal cost and the output gap, it is difficult to pin down a statistically significant relationship with inflation. Firm-Level Evidence of Shifts in the Supply of Credit This paper examines empirically whether firms are subject to shifts in credit supply over the business cycle. Shifts in the supply of credit are identified by exploring how firms substitute between commitment credit -- lines of credit -- and non-commitment credit. The results show that firms on average rely more on commitment credits when monetary policy is tight and when the financial health of banks is weaker. The results are consistent with a bank lending channel of monetary policy and with shifts in the supply of credit following deteriorations in banks' balance sheets. Lines of Credit and Investment: Firm-Level Evidence of Real Effects of the Financial Crisis This paper studies how the 2008 financial crisis affected corporate investment in Sweden through its effect on credit availability. The approach is to compare investments of firms before and after the onset of the crisis as a function of their ex ante sensitivity to a credit supply shock, controlling for fundamental determinants of investments. Sensitivity to a credit supply shock is measured as credit reserves, defined as unused credit on lines of credit. The results indicate that the decline in investment following the crisis was not exacerbated by a contraction in the supply of credit.
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Tayler, William. "Essays on macroeconomic models with nominal rigidities and imperfections in the goods and credit markets." Thesis, University of Manchester, 2013. https://www.research.manchester.ac.uk/portal/en/theses/essays-on-macroeconomic-models-with-nominal-rigidities-and-imperfections-in-the-goods-and-credit-markets(f8e46351-0f42-4452-b827-cf0051a5c349).html.

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In recent years the New Keynesian framework has become widely used to identify the relationship between monetary policy, inflation, the business cycle and welfare. Most commonly in these models inertia in prices are introduced only through the aggregate supply side which generates a short run non-neutrality of money. This thesis begins with an investigation into the impact of sticky prices on the macroeconomic equilibrium through aggregate demand. We show that in models of price stickiness among differentiated goods aggregate consumption deviates from the conventional Euler equation due to relative price distortions. This has some non-negligible implications: there are additional inflation effects, which enter through aggregate demand, that lower the response of the marginal cost and dampen responses of inflation and output; products' price elasticity of demand affects equilibrium output and inflation dynamics independently of supply factors; monetary policy responses are smoother than in the conventional new Keynesian models, particularly the more competitive are the products markets. In chapter 2 we continue with an investigation into the impact that the aforementioned channel has on welfare and monetary policy under various regimes. Specifically, we compare our results with the benchmark New Keynesian model with a cost channel for alternative levels of competition in the goods market. When the central bank is assumed to follow a Taylor rule we find, contrary to the standard New Keynesian literature, that welfare losses ultimately fall as the goods market becomes more competitive. Furthermore, there are additional adverse implications for welfare coming through an exaggerated stabilisation bias associated with discretionary policy in our model version. A move to optimal commitment implies significant additional gains compared to the standard literature by; eliminating this amplified stabilisation bias and; reducing further the fall in output gap and inflation fluctuations at the time of shock. The final part of this thesis develops a Generalised Taylor economy to include a financial market. This finance sector is characterised by savings contracts to households and loan contracts to firms, both of which are differentiated by the duration for which their interest rate remains fixed. Additionally, a time varying external finance premium on loan rates is introduced through an endogenous probability of firm default. Using break-even conditions we show that the fixed markup on loan rates is dependent on, the expected default risk over the lifetime of the contract, and, spillovers from the unexpected losses of current "locked in" financial contracts that must be accounted for in the zero profit condition of the commercial bank. Our results indicate that inertia in loan and savings rates dampens the responses of monetary policy and the business cycle whilst generating a procylical loan rate spread. In contrast, risk of default amplifies the business cycle and delivers a countercyclical loan rate spread. The overall impact of these two channels on the direction and magnitude of loan rate spreads, spillovers to new contracts and the dynamics of the business cycle, are shown depend on the type of shock hitting the economy.
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Unsal, Derya Filiz. "Essays in Macroeconomics : On Sudden Stops, Oil Price Shocks and the Role of Money in the New-Keynesian Framework." Thesis, University of York, 2009. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.507470.

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Turino, Francesco. "Essays on Non-Price Competition and Macroeconomics." Doctoral thesis, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, 2009. http://hdl.handle.net/10803/7406.

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My dissertation is a collection of three essays that study various aspects of non-price competition among firms using fully microfounded general equilibrium models. The first two chapters, both coauthored with Benedetto Molinari, introduce advertising expenditures by firms into a dynamic and stochastic general equilibrium model (DSGE), in order to address the question of whether and how aggregate advertising expenditures provide important effects upon the aggregate economy. In particular, the first chapter provides a short-run analysis, by focusing on the implications of aggregate adverting expenditure upon the business cycle. The second chapter, in turn, focuses on long-run effects of advertising, by analyzing the implications upon the steady-state equilibrium of aggregate advertising expenditures by firms. The last chapter, by using a modified version of the canonical New Keynesian model, investigates the effect upon inflation dynamics of non-price competition among firms.
Esta tesis contiene tres ensayos que estudian varios aspectos de la competencia no en precio entre las impresas, utilizando modelos de equilibrio general micro-fundados. En los primeros dos capítulos, ambos coautorados con Benedetto Molinari, se introducen gastos en publicidad de las empresas en un modelo dinámico y estocástico de equilibrio general, a través del cual, se estudian las implicaciones de la publicidad en la economía agregada. El primer capítulo se focaliza en los efectos de corto plazo de la publicidad, analizando las implicaciones con respecto al ciclo económico. El segundo capítulo, estudia los efectos de largo plazo de la publicidad, con el objetivo de analizar las implicaciones sobra el estado estacionario del economía. En el último capítulo se utiliza una versión modificada del modelo Neo-Keynesiano que estudia los efectos de la competencia no en precio en relación la dinámica de la inflación.
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Books on the topic "New Keynesian macroeconomics"

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Alessandra, Chirco, and Colombo Caterina, eds. The new Keynesian economics. Oxford, UK: Blackwell, 1994.

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Frank, Jeff. The new Keynesian economics: Unemployment, search, andcontracting. New York: St. Martin's Press, 1986.

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Bonini, Patricia. New Keynesian macroeconomics and credibility analysis. Birmingham: University of Birmingham, 2001.

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The new Keynesian economics: Unemployment, search, and contracting. Brighton, Sussex: Wheatsheaf Books, 1986.

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The new Keynesian economics: Unemployment, search, and contracting. New York: St. Martin's Press, 1986.

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Geert, Bekaert. New-keynesian macroeconomics and the term structure. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2005.

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Geert, Bekaert. New-Keynesian macroeconomics and the term structure. Cambridge, Mass: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2005.

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The new Keynesian macroeconomics: Time, belief, and social interdependence. Aldershot, Hants, England: E. Elgar, 1992.

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Levine, Robert A. The new old new economics. Santa Monica, Calif: RAND, 1996.

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Stiglitz, Joseph E. Alternative approaches to macroeconomics: Methodological issues and the new Keynesian economics. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1991.

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Book chapters on the topic "New Keynesian macroeconomics"

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Felderer, Bernhard, and Stefan Homburg. "The Keynesian Theory." In Macroeconomics and New Macroeconomics, 69–113. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1987. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-96969-0_6.

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Felderer, Bernhard, and Stefan Homburg. "The Keynesian Theory." In Macroeconomics and New Macroeconomics, 69–113. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 1992. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-58115-1_5.

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Cao, Jin, and Gerhard Illing. "New Keynesian Macroeconomics." In Springer Texts in Business and Economics, 79–103. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-23618-2_4.

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Dixon, Huw David. "New Keynesian Macroeconomics." In The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 1–8. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2008. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-95121-5_2401-1.

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Dixon, Huw David. "New Keynesian Macroeconomics." In The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 9493–500. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-95189-5_2401.

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Cao, Jin, and Gerhard Illing. "New Keynesian Macroeconomics." In Springer Texts in Business and Economics, 121–43. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-19697-4_4.

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Musy, Olivier, and Sébastien Pommier. "Assessing the New Keynesian Phillips Curve Under Competing Expectation Hypotheses." In Advances in Monetary Policy and Macroeconomics, 28–49. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2007. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9780230800762_3.

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Arestis, Philip. "Critique of the New Consensus Macroeconomics and a Proposal for a More Keynesian Macroeconomic Model." In Frontiers of Heterodox Macroeconomics, 1–44. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-23929-9_1.

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Strange, Gerard. "Globalisation’s Impact on States, Strategies and Accumulation Regimes: From Neoliberalism to the New Keynesian Macroeconomics." In Towards a New Political Economy of Development, 13–38. London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/9781137277374_2.

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Messori, Marcello. "Keynesians, New Keynesians and the Loanable Funds Theory." In Money, Financial Institutions and Macroeconomics, 33–53. Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands, 1997. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-011-5362-1_3.

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Conference papers on the topic "New Keynesian macroeconomics"

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Hiç, Özlen. "Keynesian System, Keynesian Policies and an Evaluation of What Keynes Might Have Advised Today." In International Conference on Eurasian Economies. Eurasian Economists Association, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.36880/c06.01178.

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We have surveyed in this article the development of the Keynesian macroeconomic system since 1936 up to the present. Our approach was, however, analytical rather than historical and descriptive. Keynesian System, hence Neo-Keynesians and modern Keynesian schools, such as New Keynesian Economics and Post-Keynesian Economics visualize that, if left by itself, the economy will give unemployment due to insufficiency of aggregate demand. In the article, the Keynesian policies are analysed with respect to their efficiency. Keynesian System was developed and modified in the face of criticisms by its opponents. We emphasize in our article that the Keynesian System was mainstream most of the time both in academic circles and in implementation. Presently again, basically Keynesian System has the upper hand, mostly New Keynesian Economics and also to some extent, Post-Keynesian Economics.The last section of the article covers an evaluation of what Keynes might have said for today’s economic problems.
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Tekgül, Yelda, and Mehmet Fatih Cin. "The Rise and Fall of the Washington/Post Washington Consensus as a Neoclassical Paradigm and Alternative Recommendations of Post Keynesians Economics." In International Conference on Eurasian Economies. Eurasian Economists Association, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.36880/c05.01107.

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The Washington Consensus was accepted as common wisdom on policies for development and growth. The set of policies of the Washington Consensus was applied to structural crisis in Latin America and developing economies. Williamson identified 10 policy instruments whose proper deployment Washington could muster a reasonable degree of consensus. Williamson summarizes the content of the Washington Consensus as macroeconomic prudence, outward orientation, domestic liberalization, and free market policies consistent with neoclassical mainstream economic theory. The policy set was modified to the point that Williamson substituted the original name with a new label “Post Washington Consensus. The “Post Washington Consensus” designated a “new set of policy reforms” for Latin America and Developing Countries. The aim of this paper is to compare the two sets of controversial policies, the “Washington Consensus” and “Post Washington Consensus” and offer an alternative based on the Post Keynesian framework. The goal of Post Keynesian framework is the promotion of sensible prudent economic and social development that is equitable, stable and sustainable. The main purpose of the Post Keynesian policy framework proposed in this paper is to go beyond the Post Washington Consensus by emphasizing the importance of a possible new direction for economic policy for developing countries.
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Reports on the topic "New Keynesian macroeconomics"

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Bekaert, Geert, Seonghoon Cho, and Antonio Moreno. New-Keynesian Macroeconomics and the Term Structure. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, May 2005. http://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w11340.

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